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從社會福利角度看菸害防制 楊銘欽 台大醫療機構管理研究所 2004-07-12
討論題綱 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
為什麼要吸菸? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
吸菸對健康的影響? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
吸菸對社會福利的影響? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
如何估計吸菸的經濟成本? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Health Consequences of Smoking,  A Report of the Surgeon General,  2004 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Four Major Conclusions  of the 2004 Report  (1/5) ,[object Object]
Four Major Conclusions  of the 2004 Report  (2/5) ,[object Object]
Four Major Conclusions  of the 2004 Report  (3/5) ,[object Object]
Four Major Conclusions  of the 2004 Report  (4/5) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Four Major Conclusions  of the 2004 Report  (5/5) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
戒菸的效果 ,[object Object],[object Object]
不吸菸活卡久 30 歲前戒菸可避免早死 記者湯慧文、彭迪/洛杉磯報導 2004-6-22 10:54                                                            英國牛津大學一項橫跨半個世紀的調查發現,年輕的吸菸者如果在 30 歲以前戒掉菸癮,就可以避免早死的命運。  這項從 1951 年就開始進行的研究發現,長期吸菸者和非吸菸者比較起來,平均壽命會短 10 年。研究結果顯示,年輕時期就開始吸菸的人,每 4 個中會有 1 人在中年去世。  研究報告也顯示,假使吸菸者在 30 歲前懸崖,大都可以避免早死,如果在 50 歲才開始戒菸,早死的比例還是可以減半。
世界禁菸日  5/31  WHO ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
菸草與貧窮 – 惡性循環 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
如何估計菸害的經濟成本? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Importance of the Study ,[object Object],[object Object]
Purpose of the study   ,[object Object]
Materials and Methods  1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Materials and Methods  2 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Materials and Methods  3 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Identifying diseases associated with smoking   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2. Deciding types of costs to be estimated   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3. Estimating the quantity and valuing the medical resources used   ,[object Object],[object Object]
3.1 Expenditure and quantity of hospitalization   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3.2 Expenditure and quantity of outpatient visit   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3.3 Estimating the fraction of services attributable to smoking   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3.4 Estimating morbidity cost   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The prevalence rate of smokers in 1990   Sex Aged 35-49 Aged 50-64 Aged 65+ Male 63.95% 65.30% 54.91% Female 4.12% 4.95% 8.35%
3.5 Calculating smoking attributable fraction (SAF)   ,[object Object],[object Object]
3.6 Calculating the mean annual expenditure of the smoker and the non-smoker  (1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3.6 Calculating the mean annual expenditure of the smoker and the non-smoker  (2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Results
Table 1.  Population attributable risk due to smoking by disease and age group for both sexes aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
Table 2.  Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) of outpatient by disease and age group for  males  aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000 5%
Table 3.   Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) of outpatient by disease and age group for  females  aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
Table 4.  Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) of inpatient by disease and age group for  males  aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
Table 5.  Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) of inpatient by disease and age group for  females  aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
Table 6. Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) by disease  for  both sexes  aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
Table 7. Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) by disease and service type  for  both sexes  aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
Table 8 .   Smoking-Attributable-Fraction (SAF)  of each disease system by service type for  males  aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
Table 9 .  Smoking-Attributable-Fraction (SAF)  of each disease system by service type for  females  aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
Table 10 .  Smoking-Attributable-Fraction (SAF)  of each disease system by service type for  both sexes  aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
Table 11. Mean Annual Medical Expenditure for Smokers and Non-Smokers in Taiwan, 2000
Summary of the Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
US$467.3  Million
Discussion 1   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Discussion 2 ,[object Object],7.4% 10.6% 2000 Taiwan NHI This study  5.6% 11.4% 1993 U.S. Medicare Zhang et al  Outpatient Inpatient Study Authors
Discussion 3 ,[object Object],8.5% Taiwan This Study 6 – 8% U.S. Warner et al SAFs Study Authors
Discussion 4 ,[object Object],8.2% 40% Respiratory 19.8% 25% Circulatory 23.5% 20% Neoplasm This study, 2000 Luce and Schweitzer, 1978 SAFsuthors
Discussion 5 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Limitations  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
菸害防制對社會福利的影響為何? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank You  for Your Attention!

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2004ASAP從社會福利角度看菸害防制

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  • 14. 不吸菸活卡久 30 歲前戒菸可避免早死 記者湯慧文、彭迪/洛杉磯報導 2004-6-22 10:54                                                         英國牛津大學一項橫跨半個世紀的調查發現,年輕的吸菸者如果在 30 歲以前戒掉菸癮,就可以避免早死的命運。 這項從 1951 年就開始進行的研究發現,長期吸菸者和非吸菸者比較起來,平均壽命會短 10 年。研究結果顯示,年輕時期就開始吸菸的人,每 4 個中會有 1 人在中年去世。 研究報告也顯示,假使吸菸者在 30 歲前懸崖,大都可以避免早死,如果在 50 歲才開始戒菸,早死的比例還是可以減半。
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  • 31. The prevalence rate of smokers in 1990 Sex Aged 35-49 Aged 50-64 Aged 65+ Male 63.95% 65.30% 54.91% Female 4.12% 4.95% 8.35%
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  • 36. Table 1. Population attributable risk due to smoking by disease and age group for both sexes aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
  • 37. Table 2. Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) of outpatient by disease and age group for males aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000 5%
  • 38. Table 3. Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) of outpatient by disease and age group for females aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
  • 39. Table 4. Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) of inpatient by disease and age group for males aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
  • 40. Table 5. Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) of inpatient by disease and age group for females aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
  • 41. Table 6. Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) by disease for both sexes aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
  • 42. Table 7. Smoking-Attributable-Expenditure (SAE) by disease and service type for both sexes aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
  • 43. Table 8 . Smoking-Attributable-Fraction (SAF) of each disease system by service type for males aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
  • 44. Table 9 . Smoking-Attributable-Fraction (SAF) of each disease system by service type for females aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
  • 45. Table 10 . Smoking-Attributable-Fraction (SAF) of each disease system by service type for both sexes aged 35 and older in Taiwan, 2000
  • 46. Table 11. Mean Annual Medical Expenditure for Smokers and Non-Smokers in Taiwan, 2000
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  • 56. Thank You for Your Attention!