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Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion,[object Object]
The Futureof the Internet,[object Object],ARMA CalgaryFebruary 10, 2010,[object Object],2,[object Object]
Yogi SchulzBiography,[object Object],Partner in Corvelle Consulting,[object Object],Information technology related management consulting,[object Object],Microsoft Canada columnist & CBC Radio host,[object Object],PPDM Association board member,[object Object],Industry presenter:,[object Object],Project World - 5 years,[object Object],CIPS Informatics - 7 years,[object Object],PMI - Information Systems SIG - 2 years,[object Object],Convergence - 4 years,[object Object],PPDM Association - several years,[object Object],3,[object Object]
The Future of the Internetat various points in the past,[object Object],Secure communication system for US political and military leaders during nuclear war,[object Object],System to conduct business,[object Object],Cheap, fast, shared communication systemfor everyone,[object Object],A whole new media channel,[object Object],System to improve social life,[object Object],Basis for warfare,[object Object],Estonia urged NATO to develop a unified strategyagainst "cyber-terrorists" today after suspectedRussian hackers launched a third wave of attackson leading government, banking andmedia websites this week.,[object Object],19 May 2007,[object Object],4,[object Object]
Cyber War:Sabotaging the System,[object Object],Brazilian disruption of electrical power networks initiated by hackers,[object Object],China Expands Cyberspying in U.S.,[object Object],The New E-spionage Threat,[object Object],5,[object Object]
Close toHome,[object Object],“Great news, Mrs. Janoski!,[object Object],We put a video of your tummy-tuck surgeryon YouTube,,[object Object],And it’s currently ranked second!”,[object Object],6,[object Object]
Evolution from Web 1.0to Web 2.0,[object Object],End-user input,[object Object],Web 1.0,[object Object],Mostly text content,[object Object],Internet,[object Object],Web 2.0,[object Object],End-user generated content,[object Object],Multi-media content,[object Object],7,[object Object]
Increasing Online Sales,[object Object],8,[object Object]
Over 72 million active sites,[object Object],9,[object Object],World Wide Web map,[object Object],Number of Web Siteson the Web,[object Object]
The Future of the Internet Outline,[object Object],Social computing will expand to business,[object Object],Internet access will be ubiquitous,[object Object],The Web will become faster,[object Object],The Web will become smarter,[object Object],Security will improve,[object Object],IT products will morph into services,[object Object],Recommendations,[object Object],Questions & Answers,[object Object],10,[object Object]
Social ComputingSurvey,[object Object],created a personal profile onFacebook, MySpace, Second Life?,[object Object],played FarmVille?,[object Object],written personal blog entries?,[object Object],written a review at Amazon?,[object Object],posted pictures at Flickr?,[object Object],posted video at YouTube?,[object Object],produced content for the Web?,[object Object],Who has . .,[object Object],11,[object Object]
Daily Weblog Postings,[object Object],Daily Weblog Postings,[object Object],1.4 million posts per day,[object Object],12,[object Object]
New Hobbieson the Internet,[object Object],How did anyone,[object Object],survive before the,[object Object],Internet?,[object Object],Isn’t it truly amazinghow a day after Matthewtakes off his shirt, wecan all enjoy it?,[object Object],13,[object Object]
The future of Social Networks,[object Object],Companies:,[object Object],operate FaceBook groups & YouTube channels,[object Object],offer chat to customers,[object Object],host discussion forums,[object Object],Individuals:,[object Object],stay in touch with family & friends,[object Object],promote causes,[object Object],participate in political action,[object Object],14,[object Object]
Internet AccessSurvey,[object Object],Who has . .,[object Object],abandoned phones for VOIP?,[object Object],used wireless access at Starbucks? ,[object Object],found Internet access in remote corners of the world?,[object Object],mooched Internet access froman open WiFi access point?,[object Object],surfed the Web using a phone?,[object Object],15,[object Object]
InternetEverywhere,[object Object],16,[object Object]
T-Mobile HotSpot @Home,[object Object],+ $ 20.00 per month,[object Object],In a Wi-Fi wirelessInternet hot spot,all your calls are free ,[object Object],Phone hands offyour calls fromWi-Fi network to cell networkseamlessly and automatically,[object Object],Includes a wireless router for your home,[object Object],17,[object Object],NovatelMiFi,[object Object]
PCs vs. Cell PhonesProjected Shipments,[object Object],Over 700 million phones,[object Object],18,[object Object]
Internet-CapableCell Phones,[object Object],19,[object Object]
20,[object Object],Chinese   InformationHighway,[object Object]
Revenge of the PCs?,[object Object],21,[object Object],Netbook,[object Object]
The Future of Internet Access,[object Object],Internet 2,[object Object],Cable/ADSL,[object Object],Rural Internet,[object Object],Satellite services,[object Object],Municipal WiFi,[object Object],Device convergence,[object Object],22,[object Object]
Faster Web Survey,[object Object],waited and waited for web pages to load?,[object Object],noticed significant variability when loading the same web page?,[object Object],rented movies because the download time takes hours?,[object Object],abandoned an online purchase because the hour glass stayed on forever?,[object Object],23,[object Object],Who has . .,[object Object]
Internet speed by country,[object Object],24,[object Object]
The Future of Internet Speed,[object Object],Internet 2,[object Object],Faster web browsers,[object Object],Higher speed Cable/ADSL,[object Object],Higher speed cell phone network,[object Object],Higher speed in-home network,[object Object],25,[object Object]
Smarter Web Survey,[object Object],not found what you were searching for?,[object Object],failed to re-find a page you’ve seen before?,[object Object],become tired of typing the same personal information over and over and over?,[object Object],received unexpected/embarrassing pages in the results set?,[object Object],found exactly what you were looking for; only it’s in Chicago?,[object Object],26,[object Object],Who has . .,[object Object]
Mobile agents,[object Object],RosettaNet,[object Object],ebXML,[object Object],UDDI,[object Object],WS-<alphabet soup>,[object Object],Web Services willconnect organizations ,[object Object],},[object Object],WS-Trust,[object Object],WS-Security,[object Object],Web Services Interoperability,[object Object],WS-MetadataExchange,[object Object],WS-Addressing,[object Object],WS-Eventing,[object Object],WS-ServiceGroup,[object Object],WS-BaseFaults,[object Object],27,[object Object]
The Future Semantic Web,[object Object]
SecuritySurvey,[object Object],actually produced a disaster recovery plan after deferring the work for many years?,[object Object],been hesitant about creating a profile?,[object Object],a paper shredder in use at home?,[object Object],their social security number with them?,[object Object],their password written on a sticky note?,[object Object],a firewall, anti-virus and anti-spyware installed at home?,[object Object],Who has . .,[object Object],29,[object Object]
The Future of Security ,[object Object],Biometric identification:,[object Object],Technical identification:,[object Object],Less total freedom to be irresponsible:,[object Object],30,[object Object]
Software &Hardware Survey,[object Object],implemented virtualization technology,[object Object],contracted for on-demandserver computing?,[object Object],used open source software?,[object Object],installed OpenOffice?,[object Object],developed softwarethrough crowdsourcing?,[object Object],31,[object Object],Who has . .,[object Object]
IT products will morph into servicesSoftware as a Service,[object Object],Open source software,[object Object],Pay for software usage by the month,[object Object],Web-accessible office software,[object Object],IT infrastructure management,[object Object],32,[object Object],Qbyte,[object Object],online,[object Object],Java,[object Object],Enterprise,[object Object],System,[object Object]
IT products will morph into servicesHardware as a Service,[object Object],Commodity computing,[object Object],Service oriented architecture,[object Object],Cluster,[object Object],Grid,[object Object],33,[object Object]
What will the future of the Internetmean to business?,[object Object],Enhance distributed collaboration,[object Object],Enhance supply chain performance,[object Object],Improve work/life balance,[object Object],Improve integration of field andhead office business processes,[object Object],Address the potential ofknowledge management,[object Object],34,[object Object]
Conclusions,[object Object],The future of the Internet will surprise us,[object Object],We tend to under-estimate the pace of progress in technology,[object Object],We tend to over-estimate the pace at which people are prepared to adopt technology,[object Object],35,[object Object]
KeepingUp,[object Object],Don’t languish behind,,[object Object],The Internet offersmany possibilities!,[object Object],36,[object Object]
Recommendations,[object Object],Monitor Internet technology developments,[object Object],Experiment using emerging Web services ,[object Object],Match technology to business problems and opportunities,[object Object],Pilot Web services in modest ways,[object Object],Don’t over-commit,[object Object],37,[object Object]
Questions & Answers,[object Object],Elroy will,[object Object],explain it,[object Object],to you,[object Object],38,[object Object]
Future of the Internet ,[object Object],Corvelle Consulting,[object Object],700, 205 - 5 Ave. S. W.,[object Object],Calgary,  Alberta  T2P 2V7,[object Object],Phone: (403) 249-5255,[object Object],E-mail: YogiSchulz@corvelle.com,[object Object],Web: www.corvelle.com,[object Object],Yogi Schulz,[object Object],Partner of Corvelle Consulting,[object Object],Information technology related management consulting,[object Object],Microsoft Canada columnist& CBC Radio host,[object Object],Industry presenter,[object Object],PPDM Association board member,[object Object],39,[object Object]
Man – ComputerIntegration,[object Object],40,[object Object]
searched for Open Source software components?,[object Object],contemplated installing the Compiere Open Source ERP software application?,[object Object],read about the Open Source Website Content Management System?,[object Object],participated in an Open Source community?,[object Object],considered an open source application?,[object Object],SoftwareDevelopmentSurvey,[object Object],Who has . .,[object Object],41,[object Object]
Software development will rely heavily on module re-use,[object Object],Microsoft modules,[object Object],Java modules,[object Object],Applications built on tools,[object Object],Reducing what developers have to code,[object Object],42,[object Object]
Supplemental Slides,[object Object],43,[object Object]
44,[object Object]
45,[object Object]
Top 10 Sites,[object Object],46,[object Object]
47,[object Object]
48,[object Object]
Mobile Web-surfingGrowth,[object Object],49,[object Object]
Websitesvisited afterTwitter,[object Object],50,[object Object]
51,[object Object],Top-10 Malware Sites,[object Object]
Internet speed by country,[object Object],52,[object Object]
Number of Weblogs,[object Object],Number of Weblogs,[object Object],Over 70 million blogs,[object Object],53,[object Object]
USA HolidayOnline Spending,[object Object],54,[object Object]
Web SearchActivity Share,[object Object],55,[object Object]
Future ofelectronic books,[object Object],56,[object Object],AmazonKindle,[object Object],MSI Dual screen slate,[object Object],Sonyereader,[object Object],Barnes & NobleNook,[object Object],Apple iPAD,[object Object]
Bibliography - 1,[object Object],A Brief History of the World Wide Web ,[object Object],www.walthowe.com/navnet/history.html,[object Object],A Little History of the World Wide Web,[object Object],www.w3.org/History.html,[object Object],Biometric Identification,[object Object],et.wcu.edu/aidc/BioWebPages/Biometrics_Eye.html,[object Object],Classmate PC by Intel,[object Object],www.classmatepc.com/index.html,[object Object],Creative Licensing,[object Object],Erik Heinrich, EDGE, September 2004, p. 14,[object Object],Digital dilemmas,[object Object],The Economist, Jan 23rd, 2003,[object Object],www.economist.com/opinion/displayStory.cfm?Story_id=1534303 ,[object Object],Eight business technology trends to watch,[object Object],http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/High_Tech/Strategy_Analysis/Eight_business_technology_trends_to_watch_2080?gp=1,[object Object],Electrolux Screenfridge,[object Object],www.electrolux.com/screenfridge,[object Object],57,[object Object]
Bibliography - 2,[object Object],Future of the Internet and Web,[object Object],www.cs.purdue.edu/homes/bxd/inter/futureineweb.html,[object Object],Hardware, On Demand Help Drive IBM's Profit ,[object Object],Erin Joyce, January 15, 2004 ,[object Object],www.internetnews.com/bus-news/article.php/3299631 ,[object Object],Histories of the Internet,[object Object],www.isoc.org/internet/history,[object Object],en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_history,[object Object],www.let.leidenuniv.nl/history/ivh/frame_theorie.html,[object Object],Hobbes' Internet Timeline v7.0,[object Object],www.zakon.org/robert/internet/timeline,[object Object],How the internet has woven itself into American life,[object Object],www.pewinternet.org/PPF/r/148/report_display.asp,[object Object],How big brother and big media can put the Internet genie back in the bottle,[object Object],John Walker, Revision 4 -- November 4th, 2003,[object Object],www.fourmilab.ch/documents/digital-imprimatur ,[object Object],58,[object Object]
Bibliography - 3,[object Object],IBM - Capacity on demand ,[object Object],www-1.ibm.com/servers/eserver/iseries/ondemand/cod/,[object Object],IBM Makes Social Computing Push For Business ,[object Object],Internet News, January 23, 2007,[object Object],www.internetnews.com/ent-news/article.php/3655391,[object Object],www-142.ibm.com/software/sw-lotus/products/product3.nsf/wdocs/connections,[object Object],Inside Reality - Improve collaborative decision making,[object Object],www.slb.com/content/services/software/virtual,[object Object],Internet histories,[object Object],www.isoc.org/internet/history,[object Object],Internet Society,[object Object],www.isoc.org,[object Object],Internet2,[object Object],www.internet2.edu,[object Object],IPhone-Free Cellphone News ,[object Object],By David Pogue, New York Times. July 5, 2007,[object Object],www.nytimes.com/2007/07/05/technology/circuits/05pogue.html?ex=1186459200&en=45706190e9cee2fb&ei=5070,[object Object],59,[object Object]
Bibliography - 4,[object Object],Mobile Agents and the Future of the Internet ,[object Object],www.cs.dartmouth.edu/~dfk/papers/kotz:future2/,[object Object],NASA Research and Education Network (NREN) ,[object Object],www.nren.nasa.gov/about/index.html,[object Object],On-Demand Computing,[object Object],www.computerworld.com/hardwaretopics/hardware/report/0,11188,06282004,00.html,[object Object],One Laptop per Child (OLPC),[object Object],laptop.org,[object Object],Pattie Maes and PranavMistry demo SixthSense,[object Object],http://www.ted.com/talks/pattie_maes_demos_the_sixth_sense.html,[object Object],Rich Internet application,[object Object],en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rich_Internet_application,[object Object],www.adobe.com/devnet/ria/,[object Object],theopensourcery.com/xmlria.htm,[object Object],Software as a Service: Choosing an Effective Model,[object Object],www.accelacomm.com/jlp/BellSaas-txtEm2/22/10002557/,[object Object],60,[object Object]
Bibliography - 5,[object Object],Taming the World Wide Web,[object Object],A rising tide of companies are tapping Semantic Web technologies to unearth hard-to-find connections between disparate pieces of online data,[object Object],by Rachael King ,[object Object],www.businessweek.com/technology/content/apr2007/tc20070409_248062.htm?chan=search,[object Object],61,[object Object]
Bibliography - 6,[object Object],Utility Computing,[object Object],www.utilitycomputing.com,[object Object],Unveiling the genius of multi-touch interface design,[object Object],Jeff Han,[object Object],www.ted.com/index.php/talks/view/id/65,[object Object],Voice over IP 101 - Juniper Networks,[object Object],whitepapers.informationweek.com/detail/RES/1099072997_513.html?src=mu_p_j2e,[object Object],W3C - One Web: Going Mobile,[object Object],Steve Bratt, W3C - One Web: Going Mobile,[object Object],www.w3.org/2006/Talks/1106-sb-OneWeb-Mobile2/#(1),[object Object],Web 2.0 Directory : eConsultant,[object Object],World Wide Web Consortium,[object Object],62,[object Object]
The Future of the Internetat various points in the past - 1,[object Object],Secure communication system for US political and military leaders during nuclear war,[object Object],Fast communication system for US Department of Defense and its military contractors,[object Object],Global system of hypertext linkages to cross-reference academic documents across computers,[object Object],Fast, shared communication system for large corporations,[object Object],A way to apply computing without sending vast sums of money to Microsoft,[object Object],63,[object Object]
The Future of the Internetat various points in the past - 2,[object Object],Replacement for Fedexing documents,[object Object],A whole new media channel for:,[object Object],Distributing information ,[object Object],Delivering entertainment & education,[object Object],Collaborating for business or pleasure ,[object Object],System to:,[object Object],Perform rapid research (with limitations),[object Object],Conduct business with consumers – B2C,[object Object],Improve social life,[object Object],Get rich quick scheme based on dubious products & services,[object Object],64,[object Object]
The Future of the Internetat various points in the past - 3,[object Object],A software distribution/update mechanism,[object Object],Cheap, fast, shared communication system for everyone,[object Object],System to conduct business:,[object Object],Among businesses – B2B,[object Object],With government,[object Object],A turbo-charged way to:,[object Object],Defraud the innocent & the naive,[object Object],Aggravate & disrupt the lives of many,[object Object],Operate a global casino without spending billions,[object Object],65,[object Object]
The Future of the Internetat various points in the past - 4,[object Object],Basis for warfare:,[object Object],Disrupt enemy communication,[object Object],Disable enemy weapons,[object Object],Freeze enemy financial assets,[object Object],Avoid casualties on the evening news,[object Object],Replacement for:,[object Object],The telephone system,[object Object],Video conferencing,[object Object],A shared infrastructure to enable:,[object Object],Media convergence,[object Object],Wireless communication system,[object Object],On-demand television,[object Object],66,[object Object]
A Brief History of the Internet,[object Object],67,[object Object]
A Brief Historyof the Internet - 1,[object Object],1957  U. S. government forms Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA) as a defense initiative,[object Object],1968 ARPANET, the precursor of the Internet, is launched to connect Department of Defense (DoD) with military contractors,[object Object],1970s ARPA and Stanford develop packet switching - TCP/IP,[object Object],1971 Ray Tomlinson of ARPANET sent the world's first e-mail,[object Object],1972 Scientist start to use ARPANET for E-mail,[object Object],1973 The term Internet is first used,[object Object],1981 ARPANET  grows to 213 hosts,[object Object],1982 first Newsgroups established,[object Object],1983 TCP/IP becomes the standard protocol,[object Object],1984 The term cyberspace is coined by author William Gibson,[object Object],1984 ARPANET  grows to 1,000 hosts,[object Object],68,[object Object]
A Brief Historyof the Internet - 2,[object Object],1985 NSFNet begins; takes over Internet,[object Object],1985, 15 March – first registered domain name was symbolics.com,[object Object],1989 Tim Berners-Lee wrote the first web client and server,[object Object],1990 Tim Berners-Lee’s specifications of URIs, HTTP and HTML refined as Web technology spread,[object Object],1990 The phrase World Wide Web is coined by Tim Berners-Lee.  He is considered the inventor of the Web,[object Object],1990 NSF lifts ban on commercial hosts on Internet,[object Object],1990 Archie, first search engine, developed at McGill University,[object Object],1991 PSI Net begins as first commercial ISP,[object Object],1991 Gopher system - improvement on ftp retrieval developed,[object Object],1992 Network Solutions wins bid to register domain extensions,[object Object],1992 Internet reaches 1,000,000 hosts,[object Object],1993 MOSAIC browser developed at University of Illinois under federal grant,[object Object],69,[object Object]
A Brief Historyof the Internet - 3,[object Object],1993 Internet reaches 2,000,000 hosts,[object Object],1993 Netscape Communications is founded,[object Object],1994 The first bank opens online,[object Object],1994 Pizza Hut offers online pizza order and delivery,[object Object],1994 first International World Wide Web Conferences held ,[object Object],1994 Yahoo starts as "Jerry's Guide to the World Wide Web" ,[object Object],1994, 7 July – Fraunhofer Society released the first MP3 software,[object Object],1995 Internet access providers Compuserve, Aol and Prodigy began,[object Object],1995 PC-to-PC Voice over IP began by hobbyists in Israel ,[object Object],1995, 3 September – eBay launched,[object Object],1995, 15 December – AltaVista launched as an Internet search engine ,[object Object],1995 Amazon.com launched,[object Object],1996 Microsoft feels threatened by Internet growth in importance; re-prioritizes software development,[object Object],70,[object Object]
A Brief Historyof the Internet - 4,[object Object],1996 Yahoo Internet search engine is launched,[object Object],1997 The one millionth domain name is registered,[object Object],1997 Net2Phone Direct (Phone-to-Phone Over IP) launched in the USA,[object Object],1998 More than 300 million web pages exist; growing by 1.5 million pages per day,[object Object],1998 VOIP first PC-to-Phone and later Phone-to-Phone connections,[object Object],1998, 7 September – Google Inc.opens for business,[object Object],1999 B2C E-commerce, portals and electronic auctions become popular,[object Object],1999 Consumer high-speed access widely adopted,[object Object],1999 MySpace.com is launched,[object Object],1999 wireless technology called 802.11b or Wi-Fi is standardized,[object Object],2000 B2B E-commerce gains momentum,[object Object],2000 AOL Time Warner merger announced,[object Object],71,[object Object]
A Brief Historyof the Internet - 5,[object Object],2001 B2B Marketplaces experiment with mixed success,[object Object],2001 Internet startup frenzy implodes,[object Object],2001 eBay reaches $10 billion sales; exceeds 35 million users,[object Object],2001 W3C Publishes Web Services Description Language (WSDL),[object Object],2001 Napster litigation forces it to suspend service,[object Object],2001 The first live distributed musical,[object Object],2001 SETI@Home launches ,[object Object],2001 European Council finalizes an international cyber-crime treaty ,[object Object],2001 Code Red worm and Sircam virus infiltrate thousands of web servers and email accounts,[object Object],2002 Having your own Blog becomes hip ,[object Object],2002 A distributed denial of service (DDoS) attack struck the 13 DNS root servers ,[object Object],72,[object Object]
A Brief Historyof the Internet - 6,[object Object],2003 Spam, unsolicited email, becomes a server-clogging menace. It accounts for about half of all emails,[object Object],2003 The first official Swiss online election takes place in Anières,[object Object],2003 SQL Slammer worm causes one of the largest and fastest spreading DDoS attacks ,[object Object],2003 Flash mobs, organized over the Net, start in New York and quickly form in cities worldwide ,[object Object],2003 first Weblog site launched,[object Object],2003 Second Life launched,[object Object],2003 May LinkedIn launched,[object Object],2003 Taxes make headlines as larger US Internet retailers begin collecting taxes on all purchases,[object Object],2003 The Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA) sues 261 individuals for distributing copyright music files,[object Object],2003 Internet users illegally download about 2.6 billion music files each month,[object Object],73,[object Object]
A Brief Historyof the Internet - 7,[object Object],2003 Apple Computer introduces Apple iTunes Music Store,[object Object],2003 Last Abilene Internet segment upgraded to 10Gbps ,[object Object],2004 WS-Security,[object Object],2004 February - Facebook was founded by Mark Zuckerberg,[object Object],2004 Google IPO,[object Object],2004 more instances of DNS root servers outside the USA,[object Object],2004 VeriSign (VNDS) begins updating authoritative name servers in near real-time,[object Object],2004 CERNET2 – first backbone IPv6 network in China,[object Object],2004 Internet Worm, called MyDoom or Novarg, spreads through Internet servers,[object Object],2004 Online spending reaches a record high - $117 billion, a 26% increase over 2003,[object Object],2004, 9 November – Firefox Internet browser released,[object Object],74,[object Object]
A Brief Historyof the Internet - 8,[object Object],2005 One Laptop Per Child project begins,[object Object],2005 YouTube.com is launched,[object Object],2005 News Corporation's Fox Interactive Media buys MySpace,[object Object],2006 Estimated 92 – 100 million Web sites online,[object Object],2006 July Twitter launched publicly,[object Object],2006, 14 November Microsoft launches Zune,[object Object],2006 Google acquires YouTube for $1.65 billion in a stock-for-stock transaction,[object Object],75,[object Object]
A Brief Historyof the Internet - 9,[object Object],2007 February Apple surpasses one billion iTunes downloads,[object Object],2007 March 1.1 billion people use the Internet according to Internet World Stats,[object Object],April 2007  Search engine giant Google surpasses Microsoft as "the most valuable global brand," and also is the most visited Web site,[object Object],2007 – Amazon.com sales exceed $ 3 Billion,[object Object],2008 - Hulu launches; an online video site for copyrighted work by major networks, ,[object Object],December 2009 Ciplex Builds World's First Multi-Touch Website Using Silverlight ,[object Object],Internet Archive:,[object Object],http://www.archive.org,[object Object],76,[object Object]
Social Computingin Business,[object Object],Example product,[object Object],IBM's new social computing platform, Lotus Connections, includes five basic components:,[object Object],Profiles - Find the people you need,[object Object],Communities - Work with people whoshare common interests and expertise,[object Object],Blogs - Present your own ideas andlearn from others,[object Object],Dogear - Save and share bookmarks,[object Object],Activities - Organize your work andtap your professional network,[object Object],77,[object Object]
Mobile Subscriptionsby Region,[object Object],78,[object Object]

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Future of the Internet

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Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Thank you Jessica Arts for the invitation to speak at the ARMA luncheon todayMy name is Yogi SchulzI hope you’ll find this presentation about The Future of the Internet thought-provoking and little outside of the box of the presentations that you typically hear during your lunch events
  2. Who am I?I’m a partner of Corvelle ConsultingWe offer information technology related management consultingWe have executed many project management and systems development assignments for our clientsMany of our clients operate in the upstream oil & gas industryI have written many columns for Computing Canada. These columns have tended to focus on project management and systems development themes. The audience is composed largely of IT executives and managersTwo years ago, I began to write columns for the Microsoft web site. These columns have tended to describe useful responses to IT developments for a general audience of business managersI’ve participated in many industry conferences as a presenter:Project World - 5 yearsCIPS Informatics - 7 yearsPMI - Information Systems SIG – 2 yearsConvergence - 4 yearsProfessional Petroleum Data Management Association -PPDM Association - several years
  3. Cyber War: Sabotaging the Systemhttp://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2009/11/06/60minutes/main5555565.shtml60 Minutes: Former Chief of National Intelligence Says U.S. Unprepared for Cyber Attacks, Nov. 8, 2009Several prominent intelligence sources confirmed that there were a series of cyber attacks in Brazil: one north of Rio de Janeiro in January 2005 that affected three cities and tens of thousands of people, and another, much larger event beginning on Sept. 26, 2007.That one in the state of Espirito Santo affected more than three million people in dozens of cities over a two-day period, causing major disruptions. In Vitoria, the world's largest iron ore producer had seven plants knocked offline, costing the company $7 million. It is not clear who did it or what the motive was.But the people who do these sorts of things are no longer teenagers making mischief. They're now likely to be highly trained soldiers with the Chinese army or part of an organized crime group in Russia, Europe or the Americas."They can disrupt critical infrastructure, wipe databases. We know they can rob banks. So, it's a much bigger and more serious threat," explained Jim Lewis, director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.China Expands Cyberspying in U.S., Report Sayshttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB125616872684400273.htmlCongressional Advisory Panel in Washington Cites Apparent Campaign by Beijing to Steal Information From American FirmsThe New E-spionage Threathttp://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_16/b4080032218430.htmA BusinessWeek probe of rising attacks on America's most sensitive computer networks uncovers startling security gaps
  4. Increasing Online SalesWe’ve now all bought products onlineThere’s every indication this trend will continueIt’s fast and convenient; the selection is vast, certainly more than a mall can offerOnline selling has significantly changed the retail sector of the economyOnline selling has dramatically changed the distribution industry from a focus on truckloads and cases of items to vast distribution centers focused on shipments of individual items to consumersHow many of us now conduct our research and comparison shopping online but then actually buy in a store?Anyone tried the iPod app that scans UPC codes and then produces search results for that UPC code in the browser?http://www.iphoneness.com/iphone-apps/5-best-barcode-iphone-applications/
  5. The future of Social NetworksIn the future, the impact of Social Networkswill increase in many aspects of our livesCompanies:operate FaceBook groups & YouTube channelsoffer chat to customershost moderated discussion forumsThe goal is increased customer satisfaction through increased customer interactivityIncreased customer satisfaction leads first to increased sales and then more importantly, to better understanding of future products and services that will resonate with customersIndividuals:stay in touch with family & friendspromote causesparticipate in political actionIndividuals find value in easily staying in touch with friends and familyIt think that’s great way to maintain a sense of connectedness that phones don’t achieve as wellWe’ll see the Web used more for political actionThe last two elections in the US made use of the WebMany commentators saw the election of Barack Obama greatly assisted by his ability to raise money and mobilize local volunteers through the WebConversely, the government of China operates the Great Firewall that restricts its people’s access to various parts of the Internet These restrictions will escalate into confrontation, violence and eventually insurrectionZappos is widely touted as a superb online merchantWhat differentiates Zappos?It’s not their technology; it’s the way they train their customer service agentsThey’re never is a hurryThey typically have their competitors’ website open in another session to help customer find the exact product they want to purchase when Zappos doesn’t have the item in stock
  6. EstoniaTahitiFar EastIsrael
  7. ChineseInformationHighwaySome countries filter Internet content; this undermines Internet accessFor China this effort has been labelled The Great FirewallThe goal of such filtering is to minimize calls for political freedoms and to forestall challenges to the legitimacy of the clique that holds powerIn the future we will see more such attempts by autocratic regines; ultimately such efforts are bound to fail as the ingenuity of various engineers circumvents attempts to cut off Internet accessDefying censorship, Google threatens to pull out of ChinaMove follows 'sophisticated' cyber-attackhttp://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/defying-censorship-google-threatens-to-pull-out-of-china/article1429173/Globe and Mail cartoonhttp://v1.theglobeandmail.com/v5/content/cartoon/generated/20100115.html
  8. Revenge of the PCs?The manufacturers of PCs have not been oblivious to the faster-growing market for Internet-capable cell phonesThe response has been to make smaller, lighter, cheaper PC’sClassmate PChttp://www.classmatepc.com/One laptop per childhttp://laptop.org/en/NetbooksNetbooks have been the surprise sales hit of 2008 and 2009The lower price and weight appeal to everyone; particularly those who require only e-mail, web browsing and a little word processingThat usage profile applies to the majority of laptop users
  9. Internet speed by countryU.S. lags other nations in Internet speed August 25, 2009 http://news.cnet.com/the-iconoclast/?keyword=InternetWonders have been achieved in video compression to reduce download bandwidth requirementsHowever, for effective video download, the average download speed likely needs to exceed 10 megabits per second
  10. Man – ComputerIntegrationWe’re going to see more wearable PC’s appearWe’re also going to see changes to how we interact with devicesYou may recall how Tom Cruise interacted with his computer in Minority ReportDevelopments in gestures and two-point cursors will continueLinks for graphics:http://www.iswc.net/iswc09/http://www.designboom.com/weblog/cat/16/view/5586/wearable-computers.htmlhttp://www.codinghorror.com/blog/images/minority-report-ui.jpg
  11. http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/consumer/2009-online-holiday-sales-outlook-what-consumers-have-in-store-for-retailers/
  12. http://www.marketingcharts.com/interactive/top-10-internet-mobile-sites-google-yahoo-lead-in-2008-7350/nielsen-top-10-websites-us-2008jpg/
  13. http://marketingly.com/tips/consumer-insights/
  14. http://www.marketingcharts.com/interactive/top-10-social-networking-websites-forums-november-2009-11450/
  15. http://www.marketingcharts.com/interactive/top-10-video-multimedia-websites-november-2009-11452/
  16. http://www.opera.com/smw/2009/11/index.dmlVolume of data downloaded has grown correspondingly
  17. http://weblogs.hitwise.com/us-heather-hopkins/2009/03/where_to_from_twitter.html
  18. http://googleonlinesecurity.blogspot.com/2009/06/top-10-malware-sites.html
  19. Internet speed by countryAkamai: World's Net connection speeds risingJanuary 14, 2010Looking at the third quarter of 2009, the report found that most countries in the top-10 list for Internet performance saw an average 18 percent increase in speed from the second quarter. South Korea topped the list, with a 29 percent jump in speed to 14.6 megabits per second, while Ireland came in second for most improved, with a 26 percent rise to 5.3Mbps.http://news.cnet.com/8301-1035_3-10434930-94.htmlInternet Connection Speed: The Top 10 CountriesApril 8th, 2009http://www.techpark.net/2009/04/08/internet-connection-speed-the-top-10-countries/
  20. RESTON, VA, December 30, 2009 – comScore (NASDAQ : SCOR), a leader in measuring the digital world, today reported retail e-commerce spending for the holiday season from November 1 through Christmas Eve. During this period, approximately $27 Billion was spent online, which represents an increase of 5 percent over the same period a year ago. For the period from Black Friday through Christmas Eve, and after adjusting for the additional shopping day in 2009, sales grew by approximately 3.5 percent.http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2009/12/E-Commerce_Sales_Rise_by_5_Percent_to_Reach_27_Billion_for_the_2009_Holiday_Shopping_Season_through_Christmas_Eve
  21. http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2009/12/Top_Growing_Properties_and_Site_Categories_for_November_2009
  22. Readers based on E Ink black & white, low-power consuming display technologyAmazon – KindleSony – ereaderBarnes & Noble – NookLCD technology – faster, color, higher-power consuming display technologySiPixMirasolPhilips – LiquavistaFujitsu FLEPia – cholesteric LCDPixelQiC.E.S. 2010: Explosion of E-Book Readershttp://video.nytimes.com/video/2010/01/08/technology/personaltech/1247466451590/c-e-s-2010-explosion-of-e-book-readers.html?ref=technology
  23. http://mobileanalystwatch.blogspot.com/2006_05_01_archive.html