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The impact of subsidence: can peatland
drainage be sustainable in the long term?




Al Hooijer1, Budi Triadi2, Oka Karyanto3, Sue Page4, Marnix
van der Vat1 and Gilles Erkens1
        1 januari 2008
(1Deltares, Netherlands; 2Puslitbang Air, PU, Indonesia, 3Universitas Gajah Madah, Indonesia;
4Leicester University, UK)
What is peat?
Peat soils consist mostly of water (>90%),
held together by a little vegetation remains (<10%)




                        Apples
                       are also
                 vegetation remains…
                            1 januari 2008
Peatland development and degradation
How do peatlands develop?

Peatlands develop where dead vegetation (carbon) accumulates over thousands of
   years, in water-saturated conditions




                                             Carbon




                                                                               channel
       channel




                                                                               Stream
       Stream




                                                  ∆L

                                        Peat swamp

                                             Clay / sand
                                                               Deltares 2008




                            1 januari 2008
Peatland development and degradation
How do peatlands develop?

Peat accumulation continues as long as water tables are near the soil surface:
   ‘carbon sink’




                                             Carbon




                                                                                   channel
       channel




                                                                                   Stream
       Stream




                                                 WL
                                             Peat dome




                                                                   Deltares 2008




                            1 januari 2008
Peatland development and degradation
How do peatlands develop?

The water remains stored as long as natural vegetation and hydrology remains in
   place, with water levels near the surface




                                                                                  channel
       channel




                                                                                  Stream
       Stream




                                                 WL
                                             Peat dome




                                                                  Deltares 2008




                            1 januari 2008
Peatland development and degradation
Why does peatland drainage lead to subsidence, flooding, fire and CO2 emissions?

Drainage lowers water table and dries the peat




                                                                 Deltares 2008




                           1 januari 2008
Peatland development and degradation
Why does peatland drainage lead to subsidence, flooding, fire and CO2 emissions?

Dry peat will burn easily, but also decomposes (‘rotting’) without fires: ’carbon
   source’




                    Carbon




                                                                      Deltares 2008




                             1 januari 2008
Peatland development and degradation
What is the long-term impact?

Peat loss can be quick (fires) or slow (oxidation)


When drained, all peat above drainage limit (River / Sea) will inevitably be lost




                                                              Deltares 2008




                             1 januari 2008
Peatland development and degradation
In peatlands converted to agriculture, conditions have changed radically compared
    to natural conditions:
1. From very wet to dry, through drainage
2. From dense vegetation cover to open, leading to high soil temperature
3. From low nutrients to high nutrients, through vegetation
4. From stable soil to disturbed soil




Each of these effects causes peat oxidation.
Carbon loss from drained peatlands is therefore inevitable.
                            1 januari 2008
International examples of peatland subsidence
In nearly all countries where it has been attempted, peatland drainage
has resulted in subsidence-related problems. Good examples are:

•   Netherlands
•   UK
•   USA
•   Others…

Some of these examples will be illustrated here.

The lesson that has been learnt by these countries is that drainage of
  (deep) peatlands should be avoided, as it is uneconomic in the
  longer term and causes a number of environmental problems.

Indeed, Indonesia and Malaysia are now the only countries still attempting large-
   scale developent of new agriculture on peatland. Other countries are now
   attempting to undo some of the damage that peatland drainage has done
   there – with great difficulty, often limited success and at enormous cost. Over
   25 billion dollar for the US Everglades swamps alone!




                         1 januari 2008
UK: Fenlands




               1 januari 2008
UK: Fenlands


                                     Ground surface when
                                     pole was built (well AFTER
                                     subsidence started)




                                4m



                                           1913




               1 januari 2008
USA, Florida: Everglades swamps




                           4m




               1 januari 2008
USA, California: Sacramento Delta

Now 3 to 8 m below Sea (and canal) level…




                       1 januari 2008
USA, California: Sacramento Delta

Being below Sea level means flooding, even in USA…




                       1 januari 2008
What international science tells us about SE Asia

 Peat oxidation temperature dependent: subsidence far higher in tropics



                                 SE Asia




Everglades, USA (Stephens et al. 1984)
                          1 januari 2008
The oldest experience in SE Asia: Johor, Malaysia
       Surface before drainage?

       (subsidence pole placed
             well after drainage)




 The first industrial
 oil palm plantations
 on peat, developed
 early 1960s

 Now we see 3 to 4
 metres ofsubsidence
 within 50 years




                     1 januari 2008
Subsidence rates from all known
published field studies in SE Asia
  In plantations, more than 5 years after drainage, on peat >3m:

  (Stephens et al. 1984 (extrapolation from Everglades): up to 8 cm/y in tropical peat)

  Andriesse, 1988 (Southeast Asia measurements; FAO): up to 6 cm/y

  Wosten et al., 1997 (Johor): 4.6 cm/y after 14-28 years

  DID Sarawak, 2001: 5 cm/y

  Mohammed et al., 2008 (Sarawak): 4.3 cm/y after 15 years under best management

  Hooijer et al. 2012 (Riau, Jambi): ~5 cm/y

  Conclusion: subsidence in deep drained tropical peatlands is
    always 4–6 cm/y.

  This is regardless of management regime, as oxidation is
    controlled by high temperature, soil disturbance and fertilizer –
    not only by water table depth.

                           1 januari 2008
Long-term subsidence projections

constant subsidence rate for many decades, until the area becomes undrainable


1 m subsidence
in first year after
drainage

1.5 m subsidence
in 5 years

2.5 m subsidence
in 25 years

>5 m in 100 years?




                        1 januari 2008
Long-term subsidence & drainability projections

 We see the effect of subsidence on the landscape, wherever good elevation date
    are available (usually they are not!).
 LIDAR cross section in Central Kalimantan, EMRP Blok B:

                         12               Estimated original surface                  LiDAR profile A+B, 2011
                              W           LiDAR profile B+C, 2011                     LiDAR profile A+B+C+D, 2011   E
                         11               Bottom of peat deposit                      River high water level
                         10               Drainage base

                          9                        1
    Elevation (m +MSL)




                          8
                                                                                                           4
                          7                                                                   3
                                  2
                          6
                          5           3
                          4
                          3
                          2
                          1
                          0
                         -1
                          2000              7000                        12000                           17000       22000

                                                Distance along profile from Kahayan river to east (m)

Oil palm plantation in Central Kalimantan: already well underway
to becoming undrainable, 5-15 years after drainage…


                                           1 januari 2008
Long-term drainability projections




                1 januari 2008
Long-term drainability projections

Resulting statistics are indicative, and maybe surprising, but need further work, with
   more data and with Indonesian experts, in the Joint Cooperation Programme?
                                                              Sarawak       Kalimantan + Sarawak +
                                                                            Sumatra      Kalimantan
                                                                                         + Sumatra
                            Number of cross sections available      27           16           43
              Average length of cross sections, from river (km)     7.0         12.2          9.0
          Average peat depth (m)
                                       Average peat depth (m)       6.2            7.5           6.7
                                  Percentage peat depth > 3m       81%           88%            83%
          Position of peat surface
                     Position above MSL, 1 km from river (m)        3.8            3.1           3.6
                     Position above MSL, 5 km from river (m)        5.9            5.7           5.8
          Position of peat bottom
                           Percentage peat bottom below MSL         60             68            63
                                                               a
                 % peat bottom below MSL + Sea Level Rise           67             75            70
                                                               b
                      % peat bottom below High Water Level          83             94            87
                                                               c
                         % peat bottom below Drainage Base          92             97            94
          Trend in start of drainage problems (peat surface below Drainage Base)
                                                  after 25 years    46             48            46
                                                  after 50 years    70             68            69
                                                after 100 years     83             89            85
          Trend in end of gravity drainage (peat surface below Mean Sea Level)
                                                  after 25 years    12             12            12
                                                  after 50 years    32             27            30
                                                after 100 years     52             52            52
          a
            A value of 0.5 has been assumed for Sea Level Rise over 100 years (IPCC, 2007)
          b
            High Water Level: High Tide Level near the Sea, and Flood level along inland rivers
          c
            The Drainage Base was defined by adding a conveyance gradient of 0.2 m/km
             to HWL for River dominated water levels, and to MSL for Sea dominated water levels.
                                       1 januari 2008
Long-term drainability projections

Of the 25 Mha peatland in SE Asia, 15–20 Mha may be flooded and
   improductive within decades. The region may in fact be losing up to
   10% of its actual usable land area, in the long term.

This is by far the largest and most impacted subsidence area in the world
   (Netherlands: 1.5 Mha subsided; other areas < 1 Mha).

Peatland subsidence due to drainage may well become one of the biggest
   economic problems in SE Asia:
• Insecure ‘food security’ if agriculture expansion planned in peatlands?
• Loss of export crops (oil palm, pulp & paper)?
• Increased poverty of local population?
• Further increased carbon emissions?




                      1 januari 2008
And then there is climate change and Sea level rise…


Expected Sea level rise of
0.5-1 m over 100 years far
less than peatland subsidence,
but should still be considered…




                 1 januari 2008
We are in the process of building projection models…

Prototype example for Rajang Delta, Sarawak

Data gaps for this area: not accurate but realistic




                                    Movie?




                       1 januari 2008
Questions?




             1 januari 2008

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The impact of Subsidence: Can Peatland Drainage be Sustainable In The Long Term

  • 1. The impact of subsidence: can peatland drainage be sustainable in the long term? Al Hooijer1, Budi Triadi2, Oka Karyanto3, Sue Page4, Marnix van der Vat1 and Gilles Erkens1 1 januari 2008 (1Deltares, Netherlands; 2Puslitbang Air, PU, Indonesia, 3Universitas Gajah Madah, Indonesia; 4Leicester University, UK)
  • 2. What is peat? Peat soils consist mostly of water (>90%), held together by a little vegetation remains (<10%) Apples are also vegetation remains… 1 januari 2008
  • 3. Peatland development and degradation How do peatlands develop? Peatlands develop where dead vegetation (carbon) accumulates over thousands of years, in water-saturated conditions Carbon channel channel Stream Stream ∆L Peat swamp Clay / sand Deltares 2008 1 januari 2008
  • 4. Peatland development and degradation How do peatlands develop? Peat accumulation continues as long as water tables are near the soil surface: ‘carbon sink’ Carbon channel channel Stream Stream WL Peat dome Deltares 2008 1 januari 2008
  • 5. Peatland development and degradation How do peatlands develop? The water remains stored as long as natural vegetation and hydrology remains in place, with water levels near the surface channel channel Stream Stream WL Peat dome Deltares 2008 1 januari 2008
  • 6. Peatland development and degradation Why does peatland drainage lead to subsidence, flooding, fire and CO2 emissions? Drainage lowers water table and dries the peat Deltares 2008 1 januari 2008
  • 7. Peatland development and degradation Why does peatland drainage lead to subsidence, flooding, fire and CO2 emissions? Dry peat will burn easily, but also decomposes (‘rotting’) without fires: ’carbon source’ Carbon Deltares 2008 1 januari 2008
  • 8. Peatland development and degradation What is the long-term impact? Peat loss can be quick (fires) or slow (oxidation) When drained, all peat above drainage limit (River / Sea) will inevitably be lost Deltares 2008 1 januari 2008
  • 9. Peatland development and degradation In peatlands converted to agriculture, conditions have changed radically compared to natural conditions: 1. From very wet to dry, through drainage 2. From dense vegetation cover to open, leading to high soil temperature 3. From low nutrients to high nutrients, through vegetation 4. From stable soil to disturbed soil Each of these effects causes peat oxidation. Carbon loss from drained peatlands is therefore inevitable. 1 januari 2008
  • 10. International examples of peatland subsidence In nearly all countries where it has been attempted, peatland drainage has resulted in subsidence-related problems. Good examples are: • Netherlands • UK • USA • Others… Some of these examples will be illustrated here. The lesson that has been learnt by these countries is that drainage of (deep) peatlands should be avoided, as it is uneconomic in the longer term and causes a number of environmental problems. Indeed, Indonesia and Malaysia are now the only countries still attempting large- scale developent of new agriculture on peatland. Other countries are now attempting to undo some of the damage that peatland drainage has done there – with great difficulty, often limited success and at enormous cost. Over 25 billion dollar for the US Everglades swamps alone! 1 januari 2008
  • 11. UK: Fenlands 1 januari 2008
  • 12. UK: Fenlands Ground surface when pole was built (well AFTER subsidence started) 4m 1913 1 januari 2008
  • 13. USA, Florida: Everglades swamps 4m 1 januari 2008
  • 14. USA, California: Sacramento Delta Now 3 to 8 m below Sea (and canal) level… 1 januari 2008
  • 15. USA, California: Sacramento Delta Being below Sea level means flooding, even in USA… 1 januari 2008
  • 16. What international science tells us about SE Asia Peat oxidation temperature dependent: subsidence far higher in tropics SE Asia Everglades, USA (Stephens et al. 1984) 1 januari 2008
  • 17. The oldest experience in SE Asia: Johor, Malaysia Surface before drainage? (subsidence pole placed well after drainage) The first industrial oil palm plantations on peat, developed early 1960s Now we see 3 to 4 metres ofsubsidence within 50 years 1 januari 2008
  • 18. Subsidence rates from all known published field studies in SE Asia In plantations, more than 5 years after drainage, on peat >3m: (Stephens et al. 1984 (extrapolation from Everglades): up to 8 cm/y in tropical peat) Andriesse, 1988 (Southeast Asia measurements; FAO): up to 6 cm/y Wosten et al., 1997 (Johor): 4.6 cm/y after 14-28 years DID Sarawak, 2001: 5 cm/y Mohammed et al., 2008 (Sarawak): 4.3 cm/y after 15 years under best management Hooijer et al. 2012 (Riau, Jambi): ~5 cm/y Conclusion: subsidence in deep drained tropical peatlands is always 4–6 cm/y. This is regardless of management regime, as oxidation is controlled by high temperature, soil disturbance and fertilizer – not only by water table depth. 1 januari 2008
  • 19. Long-term subsidence projections constant subsidence rate for many decades, until the area becomes undrainable 1 m subsidence in first year after drainage 1.5 m subsidence in 5 years 2.5 m subsidence in 25 years >5 m in 100 years? 1 januari 2008
  • 20. Long-term subsidence & drainability projections We see the effect of subsidence on the landscape, wherever good elevation date are available (usually they are not!). LIDAR cross section in Central Kalimantan, EMRP Blok B: 12 Estimated original surface LiDAR profile A+B, 2011 W LiDAR profile B+C, 2011 LiDAR profile A+B+C+D, 2011 E 11 Bottom of peat deposit River high water level 10 Drainage base 9 1 Elevation (m +MSL) 8 4 7 3 2 6 5 3 4 3 2 1 0 -1 2000 7000 12000 17000 22000 Distance along profile from Kahayan river to east (m) Oil palm plantation in Central Kalimantan: already well underway to becoming undrainable, 5-15 years after drainage… 1 januari 2008
  • 22. Long-term drainability projections Resulting statistics are indicative, and maybe surprising, but need further work, with more data and with Indonesian experts, in the Joint Cooperation Programme? Sarawak Kalimantan + Sarawak + Sumatra Kalimantan + Sumatra Number of cross sections available 27 16 43 Average length of cross sections, from river (km) 7.0 12.2 9.0 Average peat depth (m) Average peat depth (m) 6.2 7.5 6.7 Percentage peat depth > 3m 81% 88% 83% Position of peat surface Position above MSL, 1 km from river (m) 3.8 3.1 3.6 Position above MSL, 5 km from river (m) 5.9 5.7 5.8 Position of peat bottom Percentage peat bottom below MSL 60 68 63 a % peat bottom below MSL + Sea Level Rise 67 75 70 b % peat bottom below High Water Level 83 94 87 c % peat bottom below Drainage Base 92 97 94 Trend in start of drainage problems (peat surface below Drainage Base) after 25 years 46 48 46 after 50 years 70 68 69 after 100 years 83 89 85 Trend in end of gravity drainage (peat surface below Mean Sea Level) after 25 years 12 12 12 after 50 years 32 27 30 after 100 years 52 52 52 a A value of 0.5 has been assumed for Sea Level Rise over 100 years (IPCC, 2007) b High Water Level: High Tide Level near the Sea, and Flood level along inland rivers c The Drainage Base was defined by adding a conveyance gradient of 0.2 m/km to HWL for River dominated water levels, and to MSL for Sea dominated water levels. 1 januari 2008
  • 23. Long-term drainability projections Of the 25 Mha peatland in SE Asia, 15–20 Mha may be flooded and improductive within decades. The region may in fact be losing up to 10% of its actual usable land area, in the long term. This is by far the largest and most impacted subsidence area in the world (Netherlands: 1.5 Mha subsided; other areas < 1 Mha). Peatland subsidence due to drainage may well become one of the biggest economic problems in SE Asia: • Insecure ‘food security’ if agriculture expansion planned in peatlands? • Loss of export crops (oil palm, pulp & paper)? • Increased poverty of local population? • Further increased carbon emissions? 1 januari 2008
  • 24. And then there is climate change and Sea level rise… Expected Sea level rise of 0.5-1 m over 100 years far less than peatland subsidence, but should still be considered… 1 januari 2008
  • 25. We are in the process of building projection models… Prototype example for Rajang Delta, Sarawak Data gaps for this area: not accurate but realistic Movie? 1 januari 2008
  • 26. Questions? 1 januari 2008