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Working together so
   everyone has a good
    place to call home

NLHHN
October 26, 2011

Michael Shapcott
Director, Housing and Innovation
The Wellesley Institute
Let’s get clicking!
Who is your favourite accordion player?


       1.  Kris MacFarlane from Great Big Sea


2.  Minnie White, ‘first lady of accordion’


3.  Words ‘favourite’ and ‘accordion’ don’t belong together!
Four observations:

!"   Housing insecurity deep / persistent
#"   Costly to people, communities,
     economy, government
$"   Federal housing / homelessness
     investments eroding
%"   No comprehensive national plan
Growing numbers

Changing face of
 homelessness

 Hidden needs
Complex links between housing,
homelessness, poverty, poor health
OECD – growing unequal
Bad housing makes you sick!
                                                             Homelessness:
                                                           Increased morbidity
                                                      Increased premature morality

                                                Contextual:
                                  Individual / neighbourhood deprivation
                                         networks / friends / crime


                                                           Biological / physical:
                                                        Chemicals, gases, pollutants
     Socio-economic:                                    Design (accidents) / crowding
    Affordability / energy
Transportation / income / jobs




                         Mental health:
                  Alarming rates... especially
                Clinical depression and anxiety
                       Control / meaning
                       Collective efficacy
Good housing good for health!
                            Physical and mental health:
                              Better health outcomes /
                           decreased health care utilization



 Environment / physical infrastructure:
   New housing, repairs, heating, noise,
  indoor + outdoor environmental issues,
       allergens, water + sanitation
                                                             Community safety:
                                                          Reduced recidivism among
                                                          people leaving incarceration



                                                       Affordability interventions:
                                                     Income-based housing subsidies
“We are used to thinking of affordable
housing as a social and a health issue...”

“However, working to find solutions to
problem of affordable housing is also smart
economic policy. An inadequate supply of
housing can be a major impediment to
business investment and growth...”
            Ba
               df
           bad or
              for   peo
                  eco ple -
                     nom
                         y
Homelessness is bad for business and the federal
government does not have a national plan to end
homelessness in Canada.

While solutions to homelessness exist and efforts are
being made by communities to implement solutions...
the government has been unable to reduce the total
number of homeless...

A national plan to end homelessness will clearly set
goals, objectives, metrics and outcomes and provide
the proper mechanisms...


                                      September 2010
Federal gov’t: Housing investments
    have big economic impact
The story thus far:

 Ø  Deep housing insecurity

Ø  Poor housing = poor health

 Ø  Good housing = good for
    health, good for economy
What’s happening in your community?

In my area over the last year, housing and
homelessness issues are:

1.  Getting worse

2.  Getting better

3.  Staying about the same
UN Special Rapporteur, 2009
               “Canada has a long and proud history of
               housing successes, and has been known
               around the world for its innovative
               housing solutions. The Special Rapporteur
               visited and received information about
               programmes, laws and policies that
               represent good practices... Canada can
               also rely on a tremendous range of
               academic and civil society resources.” !
“There has been a significant erosion of housing rights
 over the past two decades. Canada’s successful social
 housing programme, which created more than half a
million homes starting in 1973, has been discontinued.
1980s and 1990s:
 Era of big housing cuts
- even as economy roars
Federal housing cuts:
     Federal 2011-12 Spending Estimates cut 39% in
 housing investments from $3.1 billion last year to $1.9
billion this year, including 97% cut to affordable housing
  initiative, 94% cut to housing repairs and 70% cut to
                      assisted housing.

      Short-term federal housing and homelessness
 initiatives expire in 2014: All short-term funding ends,
      including July 2011 federal-provincial-territorial
 affordable housing agreement. In addition, long-term
  step out of federal long-term housing commitments
               (started in 1996) continues...
$3,000,000,000                                                                                           640,000


$2,750,000,000
                                                                                                         620,000
$2,500,000,000


$2,250,000,000                                                                                           600,000


$2,000,000,000
                                                                                                         580,000
$1,750,000,000


$1,500,000,000                                                                                           560,000
                 2001


                        2004


                                 2005


                                         2006


                                                2007


                                                       2008


                                                               2009


                                                                      2010


                                                                             2011


                                                                                    2012


                                                                                           2013


                                                                                                  2014
                               housing program                estimated h/hs



                                        CMHC corporate plan
Total revenues: $153
                 million in 2010



 In 2010, 40% of Newfoundland
Labrador Housing’s total revenues
 came from federal government

    (down from 58% in 2004)


    CMHC contribution:
     $60 million in 2010
$3,500,000,000

$3,000,000,000

$2,500,000,000

$2,000,000,000

$1,500,000,000

$1,000,000,000

 $500,000,000

           $-
                 2000



                         2001



                                2002



                                       2003



                                              2004



                                                     2005



                                                            2006



                                                                   2007



                                                                          2008



                                                                                 2009
                        Federal, provincial and municipal
                         unadjusted housing spending

                 Can these trends continue???
From 1998 to 2008: As federal housing
  investments erode, most provinces
     increase housing investments
2008 – unilateral housing
 investments per capita
CMHC / federal housing cuts (2011 – 2015)
          coming at a time when:

•    feds restricting mortgage market
•    # of h/hs projected to increase
•    private rental market stagnant
•    CMHC projecting growing surpluses ($1.5
     billion in 2015)
Continuing the story:

Ø  Erosion of federal housing
      investments continues

     Ø  Provinces and
   municipalities picked up
 some of slack… until now…
Federal policy priority:
Reverse erosion housing
investments:
•  CAEH - New national voice
•  Council of Federation
•  FCM
Housing needs in your community?

In my area, the top housing need is:

1.  Unaffordable housing costs

2.  Not enough housing

3.  Poor repair in existing housing

4.  Inadequate social / medical supports
Adding up numbers: 1990 to 2008

                     Canada:
 •  Median renter h/h income stagnant – up 5%
•  Avg private market rent skyrocketed - up 43%
  •  Median renter h/h income (2008) - $33,100
      •  h/h income req’d for AMR - $32,160

           Newfoundland and Labrador:
 •  Median renter h/h income down – minus 19%
•  Avg private market rent skyrocketed – up 23%
   •  Median renter h/h income (2008) - $25,200
       •  h/h income req’d for AMR - $25,360
Shrinking rental housing supply - NL

                  Primary    Vacant   Secondary
                   rental     units     rental

2011 (1)          5,023       107        xx
2010 (2)          5,088       51       13,023
2010 (1)          5,170       58         xx
2009 (2)          5,213       51       12,896

           Rental vacancy rates painfully low
Forecasting h/h growth to 2036

                   Canada:
•  2006 – 12.8m households (owner and renter)
         •  2036 – 17.9m households

                     New housing starts:
New affordable homes under
Canada’s National Housing Act
‘The very nature of homelessness makes accurate counts
and surveys … difficult. At the provincial level, precision of
homeless counts is not as important as having a strong
understanding about the magnitude of the problem and the
trends. For such a complex issue, good overall information
is critical if the government is to make effective decisions
and match its programs to the problems… if the biggest
cause of homelessness… is the gap between the cost of
housing and what people can afford to pay, then the
appropriate solution would be quite different than if the main
cause is poor mental health and/or addictions.’
          - BC Auditor General, Homelessness: Clear Focus Needed, 2009
Dominion Housing Act - 1935!
(1) improvement of housing conditions, and
(2) absorb unemployment by stimulation of
     construction and building industries


        Dominion Housing Act is a
      ‘comedy of errors’ and ‘an act
         to facilitate the financing of
         homes for the middle class
        who were not in the market.’

                                   Percy Nobbs,
                       Dean of Architecture, McGill University,
                                  January, 1936
Time for an adult
       conversation
    about housing
     indicators and
          measures

WI discussion brief
by Steve Pomeroy,
     October 2012

        Building evidence base for local,
        provincial, national housing plans
Better evidence allows:

Communities to better target real
   needs, and assess results

Governments to shift incentives to
  reward better outcomes –
 performance-based measures

NPs to attract new partners and
       new financing…
Initial differences in social                        Population-wide          Population size by
   determinants and health by ethnicity,                    averages & disparity       ethnicity, immigrant
       immigrant status, and gender                                ratios              status, and gender




       Social capital         Social capital
       interventions                                                  Death rate
                                                                                            Health care
                                                                                           interventions

  Behavioral
                                                      Chronically ill %
 interventions

                 Unhealthy behavior                                                 Poor access to
                    & obese %                                                       health care %
                                                   Disabled %

  Education
                                                                                         General health care
interventions
                                                                                           access trend
             Undereducated (not
              college grad) %                       Low income %             Adverse housing %
                                                                           (by low/higher income)


                                                        General low
                                                       income trend         General adverse
                                                                             housing trends
                                               Jobs/income                                    Housing
                                               interventions                               interventions




                          Wellesley Urban Health Model
Continuing the story:

Ø  Available numbers suggest
    big housing troubles ahead

 Ø  Need better evidence to
   better target funding and
           programs
NL policy priority:
Robust housing plan built
from community up… with
targets, timelines, funding,
accountability for results
Supports for collaboration / innovation?

In my area, we have people and organizations
that are able to effectively work together on good
and promising practices:

1.  No

2.  Yes

3.  Not sure
Thataway
                             Thisaway
 Sometimes best route
  isn’t obvious: Actual
sign on Banff hiking trail
“Wicked” policy problems cannot be “solved”
with a program here or an investment there.
They require interventions by multiple actors
over the long term. We can’t just throw up
our hands and say it all is too complex. We
need models of policy thinking, strategic
investment, and service interventions that
address complex problems…
Bob Gardner,
The Wellesley Institute
“Comprehensive community initiatives
  have been developed to address exactly
these kinds of issues. CCIs bring together a
  wide range of service providers, people
 with lived experience, community leaders,
   and other stakeholders to build broad
 collaborations to address the roots of local
  problems in their specific communities.”

                   Bob Gardner, The Wellesley Institute
Putting together the pieces:
Wellesley Institute’s collaboration initiative:
•  promise + perils of working together

Integrated human services management:
•  linking housing + other human services

Supporting a robust, dynamic NP sector:
•  social innovation funding
“Moving from accidental and incidental
         [collaboration] to intentional and
     structured requires resources (from
  non-profit organizations and funders),
    knowledge exchange to share good
practices, and a coherent structure that
   encourages collaboration and allows
  for proper monitoring and evaluation.”

                       - WI collaboration initiative
Spanning spectrum from charity to
   social purpose business to
     commercial enterprise
Social finance /
social impact
bonds: Putting
private money
to public good
Sometimes our
engagement takes
  us in surprising
directions, and with
   ‘unusual’ allies
“Our survey of Toronto housing conditions
reveals thousands of families living in
houses which are insanitary,
verminous, and grossly
overcrowded... Bad
houses are not only
a menace: they are
active agents of
destruction... they
destroy happiness,
health and life...”

Dr. H.A. Bruce,
Lieutenant-Governor
of Ontario, 1934
Thank you!
www.wellesleyinstitute.com

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Working Together so Everyone has a Good Place to Call Home

  • 1. Working together so everyone has a good place to call home NLHHN October 26, 2011 Michael Shapcott Director, Housing and Innovation The Wellesley Institute
  • 2. Let’s get clicking! Who is your favourite accordion player? 1.  Kris MacFarlane from Great Big Sea 2.  Minnie White, ‘first lady of accordion’ 3.  Words ‘favourite’ and ‘accordion’ don’t belong together!
  • 3. Four observations: !" Housing insecurity deep / persistent #" Costly to people, communities, economy, government $" Federal housing / homelessness investments eroding %" No comprehensive national plan
  • 4. Growing numbers Changing face of homelessness Hidden needs
  • 5. Complex links between housing, homelessness, poverty, poor health
  • 7. Bad housing makes you sick! Homelessness: Increased morbidity Increased premature morality Contextual: Individual / neighbourhood deprivation networks / friends / crime Biological / physical: Chemicals, gases, pollutants Socio-economic: Design (accidents) / crowding Affordability / energy Transportation / income / jobs Mental health: Alarming rates... especially Clinical depression and anxiety Control / meaning Collective efficacy
  • 8. Good housing good for health! Physical and mental health: Better health outcomes / decreased health care utilization Environment / physical infrastructure: New housing, repairs, heating, noise, indoor + outdoor environmental issues, allergens, water + sanitation Community safety: Reduced recidivism among people leaving incarceration Affordability interventions: Income-based housing subsidies
  • 9. “We are used to thinking of affordable housing as a social and a health issue...” “However, working to find solutions to problem of affordable housing is also smart economic policy. An inadequate supply of housing can be a major impediment to business investment and growth...” Ba df bad or for peo eco ple - nom y
  • 10. Homelessness is bad for business and the federal government does not have a national plan to end homelessness in Canada. While solutions to homelessness exist and efforts are being made by communities to implement solutions... the government has been unable to reduce the total number of homeless... A national plan to end homelessness will clearly set goals, objectives, metrics and outcomes and provide the proper mechanisms... September 2010
  • 11. Federal gov’t: Housing investments have big economic impact
  • 12. The story thus far: Ø  Deep housing insecurity Ø  Poor housing = poor health Ø  Good housing = good for health, good for economy
  • 13. What’s happening in your community? In my area over the last year, housing and homelessness issues are: 1.  Getting worse 2.  Getting better 3.  Staying about the same
  • 14. UN Special Rapporteur, 2009 “Canada has a long and proud history of housing successes, and has been known around the world for its innovative housing solutions. The Special Rapporteur visited and received information about programmes, laws and policies that represent good practices... Canada can also rely on a tremendous range of academic and civil society resources.” ! “There has been a significant erosion of housing rights over the past two decades. Canada’s successful social housing programme, which created more than half a million homes starting in 1973, has been discontinued.
  • 15. 1980s and 1990s: Era of big housing cuts - even as economy roars
  • 16. Federal housing cuts: Federal 2011-12 Spending Estimates cut 39% in housing investments from $3.1 billion last year to $1.9 billion this year, including 97% cut to affordable housing initiative, 94% cut to housing repairs and 70% cut to assisted housing. Short-term federal housing and homelessness initiatives expire in 2014: All short-term funding ends, including July 2011 federal-provincial-territorial affordable housing agreement. In addition, long-term step out of federal long-term housing commitments (started in 1996) continues...
  • 17. $3,000,000,000 640,000 $2,750,000,000 620,000 $2,500,000,000 $2,250,000,000 600,000 $2,000,000,000 580,000 $1,750,000,000 $1,500,000,000 560,000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 housing program estimated h/hs CMHC corporate plan
  • 18. Total revenues: $153 million in 2010 In 2010, 40% of Newfoundland Labrador Housing’s total revenues came from federal government (down from 58% in 2004) CMHC contribution: $60 million in 2010
  • 19. $3,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $500,000,000 $- 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Federal, provincial and municipal unadjusted housing spending Can these trends continue???
  • 20. From 1998 to 2008: As federal housing investments erode, most provinces increase housing investments
  • 21. 2008 – unilateral housing investments per capita
  • 22. CMHC / federal housing cuts (2011 – 2015) coming at a time when: •  feds restricting mortgage market •  # of h/hs projected to increase •  private rental market stagnant •  CMHC projecting growing surpluses ($1.5 billion in 2015)
  • 23. Continuing the story: Ø  Erosion of federal housing investments continues Ø  Provinces and municipalities picked up some of slack… until now…
  • 24. Federal policy priority: Reverse erosion housing investments: •  CAEH - New national voice •  Council of Federation •  FCM
  • 25. Housing needs in your community? In my area, the top housing need is: 1.  Unaffordable housing costs 2.  Not enough housing 3.  Poor repair in existing housing 4.  Inadequate social / medical supports
  • 26. Adding up numbers: 1990 to 2008 Canada: •  Median renter h/h income stagnant – up 5% •  Avg private market rent skyrocketed - up 43% •  Median renter h/h income (2008) - $33,100 •  h/h income req’d for AMR - $32,160 Newfoundland and Labrador: •  Median renter h/h income down – minus 19% •  Avg private market rent skyrocketed – up 23% •  Median renter h/h income (2008) - $25,200 •  h/h income req’d for AMR - $25,360
  • 27. Shrinking rental housing supply - NL Primary Vacant Secondary rental units rental 2011 (1) 5,023 107 xx 2010 (2) 5,088 51 13,023 2010 (1) 5,170 58 xx 2009 (2) 5,213 51 12,896 Rental vacancy rates painfully low
  • 28. Forecasting h/h growth to 2036 Canada: •  2006 – 12.8m households (owner and renter) •  2036 – 17.9m households New housing starts:
  • 29. New affordable homes under Canada’s National Housing Act
  • 30. ‘The very nature of homelessness makes accurate counts and surveys … difficult. At the provincial level, precision of homeless counts is not as important as having a strong understanding about the magnitude of the problem and the trends. For such a complex issue, good overall information is critical if the government is to make effective decisions and match its programs to the problems… if the biggest cause of homelessness… is the gap between the cost of housing and what people can afford to pay, then the appropriate solution would be quite different than if the main cause is poor mental health and/or addictions.’ - BC Auditor General, Homelessness: Clear Focus Needed, 2009
  • 31. Dominion Housing Act - 1935! (1) improvement of housing conditions, and (2) absorb unemployment by stimulation of construction and building industries Dominion Housing Act is a ‘comedy of errors’ and ‘an act to facilitate the financing of homes for the middle class who were not in the market.’ Percy Nobbs, Dean of Architecture, McGill University, January, 1936
  • 32. Time for an adult conversation about housing indicators and measures WI discussion brief by Steve Pomeroy, October 2012 Building evidence base for local, provincial, national housing plans
  • 33. Better evidence allows: Communities to better target real needs, and assess results Governments to shift incentives to reward better outcomes – performance-based measures NPs to attract new partners and new financing…
  • 34. Initial differences in social Population-wide Population size by determinants and health by ethnicity, averages & disparity ethnicity, immigrant immigrant status, and gender ratios status, and gender Social capital Social capital interventions Death rate Health care interventions Behavioral Chronically ill % interventions Unhealthy behavior Poor access to & obese % health care % Disabled % Education General health care interventions access trend Undereducated (not college grad) % Low income % Adverse housing % (by low/higher income) General low income trend General adverse housing trends Jobs/income Housing interventions interventions Wellesley Urban Health Model
  • 35. Continuing the story: Ø  Available numbers suggest big housing troubles ahead Ø  Need better evidence to better target funding and programs
  • 36. NL policy priority: Robust housing plan built from community up… with targets, timelines, funding, accountability for results
  • 37. Supports for collaboration / innovation? In my area, we have people and organizations that are able to effectively work together on good and promising practices: 1.  No 2.  Yes 3.  Not sure
  • 38. Thataway Thisaway Sometimes best route isn’t obvious: Actual sign on Banff hiking trail
  • 39. “Wicked” policy problems cannot be “solved” with a program here or an investment there. They require interventions by multiple actors over the long term. We can’t just throw up our hands and say it all is too complex. We need models of policy thinking, strategic investment, and service interventions that address complex problems… Bob Gardner, The Wellesley Institute
  • 40. “Comprehensive community initiatives have been developed to address exactly these kinds of issues. CCIs bring together a wide range of service providers, people with lived experience, community leaders, and other stakeholders to build broad collaborations to address the roots of local problems in their specific communities.” Bob Gardner, The Wellesley Institute
  • 41. Putting together the pieces: Wellesley Institute’s collaboration initiative: •  promise + perils of working together Integrated human services management: •  linking housing + other human services Supporting a robust, dynamic NP sector: •  social innovation funding
  • 42. “Moving from accidental and incidental [collaboration] to intentional and structured requires resources (from non-profit organizations and funders), knowledge exchange to share good practices, and a coherent structure that encourages collaboration and allows for proper monitoring and evaluation.” - WI collaboration initiative
  • 43. Spanning spectrum from charity to social purpose business to commercial enterprise
  • 44. Social finance / social impact bonds: Putting private money to public good
  • 45. Sometimes our engagement takes us in surprising directions, and with ‘unusual’ allies
  • 46.
  • 47. “Our survey of Toronto housing conditions reveals thousands of families living in houses which are insanitary, verminous, and grossly overcrowded... Bad houses are not only a menace: they are active agents of destruction... they destroy happiness, health and life...” Dr. H.A. Bruce, Lieutenant-Governor of Ontario, 1934
  • 48.