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U of T, November 14, 2006


   Housing and health:
      What are the
      connections?


                                Michael Shapcott
                    Senior Fellow, The Wellesley Institute


                                               1
What we know (micro). . .
1. Lack of good quality, affordable
   housing affects personal health
  ➡   homelessness, insecure housing leads to
      higher morbidity and higher mortality

2. Subsidized housing is key factor in
   helping the homeless become housed
  ➡   subsidized housing leads to being
      housed


                                          2
…and we also know (macro)
3. Housing insecurity causes social and
   economic problems for communities
  ➡   Poor housing leads to social problems,
      higher taxes, diminished competitiveness
4. Subsidized housing is a good
   investment in people and communities
  ➡   Subsidized housing leads to new homes,
      good jobs, economic stimulation

                                       3
Prerequisite for health
WHO’s Ottawa Charter for Health Promotion (1986)
lists the fundamental conditions and resources for
health as:
         peace,
         shelter,
         education,
         food,
         income,
         a stable eco-system,
         sustainable resources,
         social justice, and equity

                                          4
Homelessness and health
“Specific health effects of homelessness and underhousing
are difficult to separate from often-associated effects of
poverty, unemployment, pre-existing mental and physical
disabilities, and age-related vulnerabilities in children and
the elderly. . .”

“The health effects of homelessness include:
      cold injury [hypothermia and frostbite];
      cardio-respiratory disease [coronary artery disease, high blood
       pressure, emphysema]
      tuberculosis;
      skin problems [infected and ulcerated lesions];


                                                          5
Health effects of homelessness
    nutritional disorders [leading to a greater risk for
     infectious diseases, gastrointestinal disorders, skin
     disease and nervous system dysfunction];
    sleep deprivation [leading to instability, emotional
     irritability, concentration deficits, cognitive
     impairment, apathy and behaviour disorders];
    children’s mental health disorders [leading to
     developmental lags, anxiety, depression, learning
     difficulties];
    adult psychiatric disorders; and
    chronic stress [including insomnia, anxiety,
     depression, loss of self-esteem and withdrawal].”
                       Public inquiry into homelessness and health, 1987

                                                              6
Morbidity and mortality
 “Homeless women and men do not have
 ‘different’ illnesses than general population.
 However, their living circumstances and
 poverty affect their ability to cope with health
 problems.” - Street Health Report, 1992
 Homeless women and men have mortality
 rates 8 to 10 times higher than housed
 women and men - Dr. Stephen Hwang



                                            7
Housing and health (1984)
“Inadequate accommodation is not sole
solution to health problems among Toronto’s
poor, but being homeless or living in
unaffordable or substandard housing makes it
difficult, if not impossible, to engage in many
practices that promote health. Moreover,
inadequate housing fosters stress which
lowers physical resistance to disease and
exacerbates pre-existing emotional strains.”
   Housing and Health: Public Health Implications of the Crisis in Affordable
                       Housing, Toronto Department of Public Health, 1984


                                                                8
Dr Charles Hastings, 1918
“Every nation that permits people to remain
under fetters of preventable disease and
permits social conditions to exist that make it
impossible for them to be properly fed, clothed
and housed so as to maintain a high degree of
resistance and physical fitness; and, who
endorses a wage that does not afford
sufficient revenue for the home, a revenue
that will make possible development of a
sound mind and body, is trampling on a
primary principle of democracy.”

                                        9
Pi ck
        Low Income Families




                                                                                                                                                         e
                                                                                                                                                      ri ng
                                                                                                                                   ve E
                                                                                                                        l   es A
                                                                                                                   Stee




                                                                                                                                                         Tow
  in Toronto Neighbourhoods, 2001




                                                                                                                                                             nLin e
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                               Stee
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         y4
          27




                                                                   Yon
                                                                                                                                    Number of families under




                                                                       g
                                                                     e St
                                                                                                                                    Low Income Cut-Off (LICO)
                                                                                                                                    as a percentage of all
                                                                                                                                    economic families in 2001
                                                                                                                                          2.90- 11.00 %
                                                                                                                                          11.01 - 16.00 %
                                                                                                                                          16.01 - 20.50 %

Data sources:                                                                                                                             20.51 - 25.50 %
Statistics Canada                                                                                  e                                      25.51 - 67.80 %
City of Toronto                                                                            k                   o
                                                                           L       a
                                                                                                           i                              Neighbourhood (n=140)
Copyright © 2004                                                                                       r
Toronto Community Health
                                                                                       t       a
Profiles Partnership:    0   2.5           5         7.5   10 km   O           n                                                          Major street or highway
Not for commercial use




                                            www.torontohealthprofiles.ca
                                                                                                                                                 10
11
·




                                                                                                                                                                                Pi c
         Infant Mortality, 1996-1998




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                                                                                                                                                                                  e r in
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                                                                                                                                                                                        ow
      Minor Health Planning Areas (MinHPA)




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                                                                                                                                              Deaths in live born infants under one




                                                                                 ge
                                                                                                                                             year old per 1000 live births, 1996-1998




                                                                                    St
                                                                    H                                                                        City Rate: 5 .8      Area Rate / City Rate           Number of
                                                                                                                                             MinHPA Ra te             (Rate-Ratio)                 MinHPA
Data sources:
                                                                                                                                                3.5 - 4.4                     0.60 - 0 .80           3
Statistics Canada
Vital Statistics                                                           L                                                                    4.8 - 5.2                     0.81 - 0 .90           2
Ontario Hospital
                                                                                                                                                5.4 - 6.2                     0.91 - 1 .09           5
Inpatient Data                 L
Provincial Health                                                                                                                               6.7 - 6.8                     1.10 - 1 .19           2
Planning Database
Ontario MOHLT C                                                                                                                                 7.0 - 7.8                     1.20 - 1 .33           3
                                                                                                                 e
City of Toronto                                                                                          k                   o                     MinHPA with rates statistically
                                                                                                 a                       i
                                                                                         L                                                   different (p < 0.05) from the city-wide rate
Copyright © 2004                                                                                                     r                                  H    Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y
                                                                                                             a                                               higher than th e city value
Toronto Community Health
                                                                                             n       t
Profiles Partnership:      0   2.5                 5          7.5       10 km     O                                                                     L   Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y
Not for commercial use                                                                                                                                      smalle r than the ci ty val ue




                                                                                                                                                                                     12
Exposure to Second-Hand Tobacco Smoke
                                                                                                                                                                                            ·




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                                                                                                                                    A ve




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                 Minor Health Planning Areas (MinHPA)                                                               St e
                                                                                                                         e




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                                                                                                                                            Percent of people who reported




                                                                        Y on
                                                                                                                                           exposure to second-hand tobacco




                                                                         ge
                                                                           St
                                                                                                                                             smoke during the last month
                                                                                                                                    City Rate: 1 9.8% Area Rate / City Rate Number of
                                                                                                                                     MinHPA Ra te         (Rate-Ratio)       MinHPA

                                                                                                                                     13.6 - 15.5%                  0.6 9 - 0.80             2
                                                                                                                                     16.1 - 17.7%                  0.8 1 - 0.90             3
                                                                                                                                     19.3 - 20.6%                  0.9 1 - 1.09             2
                                                                                                                                      22.6 - 23.5%                 1.1 0 - 1.19             3
                                                                                                                                      25.4 - 27.7%                 1.2 0 - 1.33             2
Data sources:
Canadian Community                                                                                                                                                 data unava ilab le       3
Health Survey 2001
                                                                                                        e
                                                                                                k                   o                MinHPAs with rates statistically different
City of Toronto                                                                         a                       i                     (p < 0.05) from the city-wide rate value
                                                                                L
Copyright © 2004                                                                                            r                                  H   Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y
                                                                                                    a                                              higher than th e city value
Toronto Community Health
                                                                                    n       t
Profiles Partnership:    0   2.5               5          7.5   10 km     O                                                                    L   Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y
Not for commercial use                                                                                                                             smalle r than the ci ty val ue




                                                                                                                                                             13
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                                                                                                                                                                      Pi c
    Body Mass Index: Overweight Levels




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                                                                                                                                           E
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                                                                                                                         e   le s
             Minor Health Planning Areas (MinHPA)                                                                   St e




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                                                                        Y on
                                                                         ge
                                                                                                                                       Percent of people with overweight




                                                                           St
                                                                                                                                           levels of BMI (25.0-29.9)
                                                                                                                                    City Rate: 2 8.7% Area Rate / City Rate Number of
                                                                                                                                      MinHPA Ra te        (Rate-Ratio)        MinHPA
                                                                                                                                         21.9 - 22.7%          0.7 6 - 0 .8 0     4

                                                                                                                                       26.7 - 31.2%                  0.8 1 - 1 .0 9         6

                                                                                                                                       31.5 - 32.9%                  1.1 0 - 1 .1 9         3
Data sources:                                                                                                                          37.7 - 42.0%                  1.2 0 - 1 .4 6         2
Canadian Community
Health Survey 2001
                                                                                                        e                            MinHPAs with rates statistically different
                                                                                                k                   o
City of Toronto                                                                         a                       i                     (p < 0.05) from the city-wide rate value
                                                                                L
Copyright © 2004                                                                                            r                                  H   Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y
                                                                                                    a                                              higher than th e city value
Toronto Community Health
                                                                                    n       t
Profiles Partnership:    0   2.5               5          7.5   10 km     O                                                                    L   Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y
                                                                                                                                                   smalle r than the ci ty val ue
Not for commercial use




                                                                                                                                                              14
Homeless families in NYC
   Predictors of Homelessness Among
 Families in New York City: From Shelter
       Request to Housing Stability

   American Journal of Public Health
    Volume 88(1), November 1998,
          pp.1651 to 1657


                                    15
Method
 568 homeless and housed poor families
 First interviewed in 1988, then
 interviewed again in 1993
 Questions:
     Who was stably housed (> one year)?
     Why were they stably housed?



                                       16
Factors not affecting stability
 NOT – race, age, pregnancy, persistent
 poverty, education, work history,
 marriage, teen motherhood, child poverty,
 mental illness, substance use, physical
 health, incarceration, social ties domestic
 violence, childhood disruptions



                                      17
Who was stable?
  80% of families who went into
  subsidized housing

  18% of families who went into
  unsubsidized housing




                                  18
Only factor affecting stability

       Subsidized housing

  Marybeth Shinn: “Subsidized housing is
   both necessary and sufficient to ‘cure’
      homelessness among families.”




                                     19
Housing succeeds. . .
“We found that subsidized housing succeeds in
curing homelessness among families, regardless
of behavioral disorders or other conditions.
Whatever their problems – substance abuse,
mental illness, physical illness or a history of
incarceration – nearly all of the families became
stably housed when they received subsidized
housing.”
                                     Marybeth Shinn


                                          20
Toronto’s affordable housing crisis
    and homelessness is costly for:
                   People        Neighbourhoods
      Higher rate of illness;   Disruption in
          premature death       communities




           The economy           Government
Decreased competitiveness,       Increased cost of
 depressed local conditions      shelters, services,
                                 policing, health care
The Blueprint to End
            Homelessness in Toronto




practical

                                      effective
             fully-costed
Key indicators...

Growing housing need
     552,525 people in
     Toronto are living below
     the poverty line

Toronto is projected to
grow by 429,400 to 2031;
TO needs 3,300 new      175,190 very-low income
rental homes annually households have annual
                              incomes less than
                                         $20,000
Key indicators...

       Rapidly rising rents
       Toronto’s average market rents
       are the highest in Canada
            To afford this, a household needs an
                        annual income of $42,000
                   Almost one-in-four households
                    cannot afford the average rent

1100
1050
1000
 950
 900
 850
 800
       95


              96


                     97


                            98


                                  99


                                        00


                                               01


                                                      02


                                                            03


                                                                  04


                                                                        05
   19


            19


                    19


                          19


                                 19


                                       20


                                             20


                                                     20


                                                           20


                                                                 20


                                                                       20
Key indicators...

 Shrinking rental supply
From 2001 to 2005, Toronto
lost 3,259 rental units

   More than one-third of rental
   homes need repairs - one-in-ten
   need major repairs

        The number of rented condo
        units dropped from 35,401 in
           1991 to 27,143 in 2005
Spruce Court, 1913 - Toronto’s first affordable housing
    The first of many housing successes for Toronto
Toronto’s recent housing record
The federal government cancelled new
housing funding in 1993, then downloaded
most housing programs in 1996

                 The provincial government cancelled new
                housing funding in 1995, then downloaded
                          most housing programs in 1998

As of 2006, the housing cuts have
cost Toronto 27,900 new homes


           Since 2000, 1,435 new “affordable “ homes have
          been completed in Toronto; only 613 of those are
          truly affordable to the lowest-income households
In 1993, the federal government cancelled new housing
       funding and downloaded housing in 1996
   In 1993, the provincial government cancelled new
   housing funding and downloaded housing in 1998
     If programs had not been cancelled,
   Toronto would have 28,000 more homes
8               39
            7        23              41
    2           9
                    16 25 34 37 38 43 44
        4 11         22 26
3                            35
                          31
        5
        6


No new affordable homes in 23 of Toronto’s 44 wards
Toronto’s three housing “hotspots”
 ... based on six key housing and poverty indicators
The Blueprint:
A two-part
action plan
           Step one:
           Move the
         “sheltered”
           homeless
         into homes
 Monthly cost of a
 shelter bed: $1,932

 Monthly cost of a rent
 supplement: $701
The Blueprint:
A two-part
action plan

        Step two:
Build new homes
✓ 7,800 new homes
✓ 2,000 supportive homes
✓ 8,600 renovated homes
✓ 9,750 rent supplements
✓ emergency relief
✓ eviction prevention
✓ inclusive planning

     25% set-aside for
    Aboriginal housing
The “golden era” of housing
   Post-second world war housing programs; creation
  of Central Mortgage and Housing Corporation;
  amendments to National Housing Act
   High-water mark: 1973 amendments to NHA,
  creation of national social housing program; 500,000-
  plus new homes created across Canada
   In provinces: Growth of rent regulation and tenant
  protection laws




                                               33
The housing download
 1984 to 1993 - almost $2 billion in federal housing cuts
 1993 – new federal housing spending cancelled
 1996 – federal housing downloaded to provinces
 1998 - National Housing Act amended, CMHC partially
 commercialized
 1995 - Ontario cancels all new housing spending
 1998 - Ontario downloads housing to municipalities
  Ontario erodes tenant protection and rent regulation
 laws



                                                34
1990s - decade of housing cuts
                                                  1993-1994      1999-2000     Dollar        Percent
                                                 ($ millions)   ($ millions)   change        change
                                 Newfoundland        18.1           8.0         -10.1         -55.8
                      Prince Edward Island           2.3            3.2         +0.9          +39.1
                                   Nova Scotia      24.2           14.3         -9.9          -40.9
                             New Brunswick          32.7           31.8         -0.9          -2.8
                                       Quebec       286.3          288.3        +2            +0.7
                                      Ontario      1,140.9         837.1       -303.8         -26.6
                                     Manitoba       46.6           43.2         -3.4          -7.3
                                 Saskatchewan       43.1           40.5         -2.6          -6.0
                                      Alberta       287.3          93.2        -194.1         -67.6
                           British Columbia         83.4           90.9         +7.5          +9.0
                            NWT / Nunavut           69.7           114.4       +44.7          +64.1
                                       Yukon         4.9           11.1         +6.2         +126.5
Total – provinces, territories                     2,039.5        1,576.0      -463.5         -22.7
                           Canada (CMHC)           1,944.9        1,927.9       -17           -0.9
Total – all Canada                                 3,984.4        3,503.9      -480.5         -12.1




                                                                                        35
Prof. Jean Wolfe
“It is only in Canada that the national government
has, except for CMHC loans, withdrawn from social
housing. The rush to get out of managing existing
projects and building new, low-income housing has
taken advocates by surprise. It was never imagined
that a system that had taken 50 years to build-up
could be dismantled so rapidly. Social housing
policy in Canada now consists of a checker-board
of 12 provincial and territorial policies, and
innumerable local policies. It is truly post-modern.”

                                             36
Housing / homelessness gains
  Supporting Community Partnerships Initiative and
  federal homelessness strategy (December 1999)
  Residential Rehabilitation Assistance Program
  (December 1999 and federal budget 2003)
  Federal Surplus Real Lands for Homelessness
  Program (December 1999)
  Affordable Housing Framework Agreement
  (November 2001 and federal budget 2003)
  Layton budget bill (June 2005)
  Extension of SCPI and RRAP (November 2005)


                                              37
Spending on housing
                             (in hundreds of millions)
$9,500.000
$8,142.857
$6,785.714                                                     Housing
$5,428.571
                                                                funding
                                                               gap of $5
$4,071.429                                                       billion
$2,714.286
$1,357.143
       $0
         1990         1995         2000            2005             2006
             Prov / terr      Federal        Inf/pop adjusted
                                   Source: Statistics Canada   38
Current federal issues
 PREVIOUS COMMITMENTS: At December, 2005,
 feds report $474 million of $1 billion Affordable
 Housing Program remains unspent
 FEDERAL BUDGET 2006: $1.4 billion in C-48
 housing dollars allocated
 FEDERAL HOMELESS FUNDING: Entire federal
 homelessness program due to “sunset” at the end of
 fiscal 2006 (also federal housing rehab program)
 FEDERAL HOUSING SURPLUSES: Almost $1
 annually, yet the feds are considering further
 privatization of CMHC


                                             39
For more
      information
       Blueprint to End
Homelessness in Toronto



             www.wellesleyinstitute.com/theblueprint   40
For more information
  Finding Room:
  Policy Options for
  a Canadian Rental
  Housing Strategy
  J. David Hulchanski,
  Michael Shapcott, editors
  www.urbancentre.utoronto.ca




                                41
For more information
  Social Determinants
  of Health: Canadian
  Perspectives
  Dennis Raphael, editor
  http://www.cspi.org/books/s/socialdeter.htm




                                                42
On the web…
 On-line housing library and links
   Centre for Urban and Community Studies,
   University of Toronto
   www.urbancentre.utoronto.ca
 Wellesley Institute
   www.wellesleyinstitute.com




                                     43

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U of T Housing Lecture: How Housing Impacts Health

  • 1. U of T, November 14, 2006 Housing and health: What are the connections? Michael Shapcott Senior Fellow, The Wellesley Institute 1
  • 2. What we know (micro). . . 1. Lack of good quality, affordable housing affects personal health ➡ homelessness, insecure housing leads to higher morbidity and higher mortality 2. Subsidized housing is key factor in helping the homeless become housed ➡ subsidized housing leads to being housed 2
  • 3. …and we also know (macro) 3. Housing insecurity causes social and economic problems for communities ➡ Poor housing leads to social problems, higher taxes, diminished competitiveness 4. Subsidized housing is a good investment in people and communities ➡ Subsidized housing leads to new homes, good jobs, economic stimulation 3
  • 4. Prerequisite for health WHO’s Ottawa Charter for Health Promotion (1986) lists the fundamental conditions and resources for health as:  peace,  shelter,  education,  food,  income,  a stable eco-system,  sustainable resources,  social justice, and equity 4
  • 5. Homelessness and health “Specific health effects of homelessness and underhousing are difficult to separate from often-associated effects of poverty, unemployment, pre-existing mental and physical disabilities, and age-related vulnerabilities in children and the elderly. . .” “The health effects of homelessness include:  cold injury [hypothermia and frostbite];  cardio-respiratory disease [coronary artery disease, high blood pressure, emphysema]  tuberculosis;  skin problems [infected and ulcerated lesions]; 5
  • 6. Health effects of homelessness  nutritional disorders [leading to a greater risk for infectious diseases, gastrointestinal disorders, skin disease and nervous system dysfunction];  sleep deprivation [leading to instability, emotional irritability, concentration deficits, cognitive impairment, apathy and behaviour disorders];  children’s mental health disorders [leading to developmental lags, anxiety, depression, learning difficulties];  adult psychiatric disorders; and  chronic stress [including insomnia, anxiety, depression, loss of self-esteem and withdrawal].” Public inquiry into homelessness and health, 1987 6
  • 7. Morbidity and mortality “Homeless women and men do not have ‘different’ illnesses than general population. However, their living circumstances and poverty affect their ability to cope with health problems.” - Street Health Report, 1992 Homeless women and men have mortality rates 8 to 10 times higher than housed women and men - Dr. Stephen Hwang 7
  • 8. Housing and health (1984) “Inadequate accommodation is not sole solution to health problems among Toronto’s poor, but being homeless or living in unaffordable or substandard housing makes it difficult, if not impossible, to engage in many practices that promote health. Moreover, inadequate housing fosters stress which lowers physical resistance to disease and exacerbates pre-existing emotional strains.” Housing and Health: Public Health Implications of the Crisis in Affordable Housing, Toronto Department of Public Health, 1984 8
  • 9. Dr Charles Hastings, 1918 “Every nation that permits people to remain under fetters of preventable disease and permits social conditions to exist that make it impossible for them to be properly fed, clothed and housed so as to maintain a high degree of resistance and physical fitness; and, who endorses a wage that does not afford sufficient revenue for the home, a revenue that will make possible development of a sound mind and body, is trampling on a primary principle of democracy.” 9
  • 10. Pi ck Low Income Families e ri ng ve E l es A Stee Tow in Toronto Neighbourhoods, 2001 nLin e eW le s Av Stee Hw y4 27 Yon Number of families under g e St Low Income Cut-Off (LICO) as a percentage of all economic families in 2001 2.90- 11.00 % 11.01 - 16.00 % 16.01 - 20.50 % Data sources: 20.51 - 25.50 % Statistics Canada e 25.51 - 67.80 % City of Toronto k o L a i Neighbourhood (n=140) Copyright © 2004 r Toronto Community Health t a Profiles Partnership: 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 km O n Major street or highway Not for commercial use www.torontohealthprofiles.ca 10
  • 11. 11
  • 12. · Pi c Infant Mortality, 1996-1998 k e r in E A ve g T e le s St e ow Minor Health Planning Areas (MinHPA) n H L in e H W A ve L le s St e e H H L H Hw y 4 H L 27 L L Y on Deaths in live born infants under one ge year old per 1000 live births, 1996-1998 St H City Rate: 5 .8 Area Rate / City Rate Number of MinHPA Ra te (Rate-Ratio) MinHPA Data sources: 3.5 - 4.4 0.60 - 0 .80 3 Statistics Canada Vital Statistics L 4.8 - 5.2 0.81 - 0 .90 2 Ontario Hospital 5.4 - 6.2 0.91 - 1 .09 5 Inpatient Data L Provincial Health 6.7 - 6.8 1.10 - 1 .19 2 Planning Database Ontario MOHLT C 7.0 - 7.8 1.20 - 1 .33 3 e City of Toronto k o MinHPA with rates statistically a i L different (p < 0.05) from the city-wide rate Copyright © 2004 r H Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y a higher than th e city value Toronto Community Health n t Profiles Partnership: 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 km O L Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y Not for commercial use smalle r than the ci ty val ue 12
  • 13. Exposure to Second-Hand Tobacco Smoke · Pi c k e r in E A ve g T le s Minor Health Planning Areas (MinHPA) St e e ow n L in e L W A ve le s St e e Hw y 4 27 Percent of people who reported Y on exposure to second-hand tobacco ge St smoke during the last month City Rate: 1 9.8% Area Rate / City Rate Number of MinHPA Ra te (Rate-Ratio) MinHPA 13.6 - 15.5% 0.6 9 - 0.80 2 16.1 - 17.7% 0.8 1 - 0.90 3 19.3 - 20.6% 0.9 1 - 1.09 2 22.6 - 23.5% 1.1 0 - 1.19 3 25.4 - 27.7% 1.2 0 - 1.33 2 Data sources: Canadian Community data unava ilab le 3 Health Survey 2001 e k o MinHPAs with rates statistically different City of Toronto a i (p < 0.05) from the city-wide rate value L Copyright © 2004 r H Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y a higher than th e city value Toronto Community Health n t Profiles Partnership: 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 km O L Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y Not for commercial use smalle r than the ci ty val ue 13
  • 14. · Pi c Body Mass Index: Overweight Levels k e r in E A ve g T e le s Minor Health Planning Areas (MinHPA) St e ow n L in e W A ve le s St e e Hw y 4 27 Y on ge Percent of people with overweight St levels of BMI (25.0-29.9) City Rate: 2 8.7% Area Rate / City Rate Number of MinHPA Ra te (Rate-Ratio) MinHPA 21.9 - 22.7% 0.7 6 - 0 .8 0 4 26.7 - 31.2% 0.8 1 - 1 .0 9 6 31.5 - 32.9% 1.1 0 - 1 .1 9 3 Data sources: 37.7 - 42.0% 1.2 0 - 1 .4 6 2 Canadian Community Health Survey 2001 e MinHPAs with rates statistically different k o City of Toronto a i (p < 0.05) from the city-wide rate value L Copyright © 2004 r H Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y a higher than th e city value Toronto Community Health n t Profiles Partnership: 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 km O L Val ue i n MinHPA is si gnificantl y smalle r than the ci ty val ue Not for commercial use 14
  • 15. Homeless families in NYC Predictors of Homelessness Among Families in New York City: From Shelter Request to Housing Stability American Journal of Public Health Volume 88(1), November 1998, pp.1651 to 1657 15
  • 16. Method 568 homeless and housed poor families First interviewed in 1988, then interviewed again in 1993 Questions:  Who was stably housed (> one year)?  Why were they stably housed? 16
  • 17. Factors not affecting stability NOT – race, age, pregnancy, persistent poverty, education, work history, marriage, teen motherhood, child poverty, mental illness, substance use, physical health, incarceration, social ties domestic violence, childhood disruptions 17
  • 18. Who was stable? 80% of families who went into subsidized housing 18% of families who went into unsubsidized housing 18
  • 19. Only factor affecting stability Subsidized housing Marybeth Shinn: “Subsidized housing is both necessary and sufficient to ‘cure’ homelessness among families.” 19
  • 20. Housing succeeds. . . “We found that subsidized housing succeeds in curing homelessness among families, regardless of behavioral disorders or other conditions. Whatever their problems – substance abuse, mental illness, physical illness or a history of incarceration – nearly all of the families became stably housed when they received subsidized housing.” Marybeth Shinn 20
  • 21. Toronto’s affordable housing crisis and homelessness is costly for: People Neighbourhoods Higher rate of illness; Disruption in premature death communities The economy Government Decreased competitiveness, Increased cost of depressed local conditions shelters, services, policing, health care
  • 22. The Blueprint to End Homelessness in Toronto practical effective fully-costed
  • 23. Key indicators... Growing housing need 552,525 people in Toronto are living below the poverty line Toronto is projected to grow by 429,400 to 2031; TO needs 3,300 new 175,190 very-low income rental homes annually households have annual incomes less than $20,000
  • 24. Key indicators... Rapidly rising rents Toronto’s average market rents are the highest in Canada To afford this, a household needs an annual income of $42,000 Almost one-in-four households cannot afford the average rent 1100 1050 1000 950 900 850 800 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20
  • 25. Key indicators... Shrinking rental supply From 2001 to 2005, Toronto lost 3,259 rental units More than one-third of rental homes need repairs - one-in-ten need major repairs The number of rented condo units dropped from 35,401 in 1991 to 27,143 in 2005
  • 26. Spruce Court, 1913 - Toronto’s first affordable housing The first of many housing successes for Toronto
  • 27. Toronto’s recent housing record The federal government cancelled new housing funding in 1993, then downloaded most housing programs in 1996 The provincial government cancelled new housing funding in 1995, then downloaded most housing programs in 1998 As of 2006, the housing cuts have cost Toronto 27,900 new homes Since 2000, 1,435 new “affordable “ homes have been completed in Toronto; only 613 of those are truly affordable to the lowest-income households
  • 28. In 1993, the federal government cancelled new housing funding and downloaded housing in 1996 In 1993, the provincial government cancelled new housing funding and downloaded housing in 1998 If programs had not been cancelled, Toronto would have 28,000 more homes
  • 29. 8 39 7 23 41 2 9 16 25 34 37 38 43 44 4 11 22 26 3 35 31 5 6 No new affordable homes in 23 of Toronto’s 44 wards
  • 30. Toronto’s three housing “hotspots” ... based on six key housing and poverty indicators
  • 31. The Blueprint: A two-part action plan Step one: Move the “sheltered” homeless into homes Monthly cost of a shelter bed: $1,932 Monthly cost of a rent supplement: $701
  • 32. The Blueprint: A two-part action plan Step two: Build new homes ✓ 7,800 new homes ✓ 2,000 supportive homes ✓ 8,600 renovated homes ✓ 9,750 rent supplements ✓ emergency relief ✓ eviction prevention ✓ inclusive planning 25% set-aside for Aboriginal housing
  • 33. The “golden era” of housing Post-second world war housing programs; creation of Central Mortgage and Housing Corporation; amendments to National Housing Act High-water mark: 1973 amendments to NHA, creation of national social housing program; 500,000- plus new homes created across Canada In provinces: Growth of rent regulation and tenant protection laws 33
  • 34. The housing download 1984 to 1993 - almost $2 billion in federal housing cuts 1993 – new federal housing spending cancelled 1996 – federal housing downloaded to provinces 1998 - National Housing Act amended, CMHC partially commercialized 1995 - Ontario cancels all new housing spending 1998 - Ontario downloads housing to municipalities Ontario erodes tenant protection and rent regulation laws 34
  • 35. 1990s - decade of housing cuts 1993-1994 1999-2000 Dollar Percent ($ millions) ($ millions) change change Newfoundland 18.1 8.0 -10.1 -55.8 Prince Edward Island 2.3 3.2 +0.9 +39.1 Nova Scotia 24.2 14.3 -9.9 -40.9 New Brunswick 32.7 31.8 -0.9 -2.8 Quebec 286.3 288.3 +2 +0.7 Ontario 1,140.9 837.1 -303.8 -26.6 Manitoba 46.6 43.2 -3.4 -7.3 Saskatchewan 43.1 40.5 -2.6 -6.0 Alberta 287.3 93.2 -194.1 -67.6 British Columbia 83.4 90.9 +7.5 +9.0 NWT / Nunavut 69.7 114.4 +44.7 +64.1 Yukon 4.9 11.1 +6.2 +126.5 Total – provinces, territories 2,039.5 1,576.0 -463.5 -22.7 Canada (CMHC) 1,944.9 1,927.9 -17 -0.9 Total – all Canada 3,984.4 3,503.9 -480.5 -12.1 35
  • 36. Prof. Jean Wolfe “It is only in Canada that the national government has, except for CMHC loans, withdrawn from social housing. The rush to get out of managing existing projects and building new, low-income housing has taken advocates by surprise. It was never imagined that a system that had taken 50 years to build-up could be dismantled so rapidly. Social housing policy in Canada now consists of a checker-board of 12 provincial and territorial policies, and innumerable local policies. It is truly post-modern.” 36
  • 37. Housing / homelessness gains Supporting Community Partnerships Initiative and federal homelessness strategy (December 1999) Residential Rehabilitation Assistance Program (December 1999 and federal budget 2003) Federal Surplus Real Lands for Homelessness Program (December 1999) Affordable Housing Framework Agreement (November 2001 and federal budget 2003) Layton budget bill (June 2005) Extension of SCPI and RRAP (November 2005) 37
  • 38. Spending on housing (in hundreds of millions) $9,500.000 $8,142.857 $6,785.714 Housing $5,428.571 funding gap of $5 $4,071.429 billion $2,714.286 $1,357.143 $0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 Prov / terr Federal Inf/pop adjusted Source: Statistics Canada 38
  • 39. Current federal issues PREVIOUS COMMITMENTS: At December, 2005, feds report $474 million of $1 billion Affordable Housing Program remains unspent FEDERAL BUDGET 2006: $1.4 billion in C-48 housing dollars allocated FEDERAL HOMELESS FUNDING: Entire federal homelessness program due to “sunset” at the end of fiscal 2006 (also federal housing rehab program) FEDERAL HOUSING SURPLUSES: Almost $1 annually, yet the feds are considering further privatization of CMHC 39
  • 40. For more information Blueprint to End Homelessness in Toronto www.wellesleyinstitute.com/theblueprint 40
  • 41. For more information Finding Room: Policy Options for a Canadian Rental Housing Strategy J. David Hulchanski, Michael Shapcott, editors www.urbancentre.utoronto.ca 41
  • 42. For more information Social Determinants of Health: Canadian Perspectives Dennis Raphael, editor http://www.cspi.org/books/s/socialdeter.htm 42
  • 43. On the web… On-line housing library and links Centre for Urban and Community Studies, University of Toronto www.urbancentre.utoronto.ca Wellesley Institute www.wellesleyinstitute.com 43