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The world of
Tomorrow
40 years ago, we were 4 Billion.
Today, we are 7 Billion human beings
on Earth
World population
(in Billion)

7

+3

6

Billion

5
4
3
2

1973

2013

1

0
10,000 BC

8000 BC

6000 BC

4000 BC

2000 BC

0

1000

2013
In

40 years

People living below
the poverty line

Life expectancy

-60%

+15years

Average revenue
per person

x3

Illiteracy rate

-50%
UNPRECEDENTED TECHNOLOGICAL
REVOLUTIONS DISRUPTED
PEOPLE’S LIFESTYLES
Medical
diagnosis

MICRO
PROCESSOR

1970

1971

NMR
Mass market
computer
hardware &
software

Localization

MICROCHIP

1974
Personal data
and privacy

1978

GPS

HIGH-SPEED
TRAINS

1981
People
transportation
and train freight
HOMO-NUMERICUS
IS ON

?

Digital pictures
mass creation
and replication

1983

MOBILE
PHONE

WORLD WIDE
WEB

1989
e-commerce,
mass
information
storage and
sharing

1992

DIGITAL
CAMERA

2005
Ipod, Iphone,
Itunes and IPad

2013
Predicting the future is
impossible, but we are
allowed to envision it.
4 OVERARCHING TRENDS
1.

2.

3.

4.

People’s
emancipation

Political and
economic
power
redistribution

Disrupted
Water, Food,
Demographics Energy: natural
resources
under strain
People are
emancipating
…A FAST-PACED GROWTH OF
THE MIDDLE-CLASS SEGMENT…

15%

40%

2013

2030
REDUCED
POVERTY
Number of people living with less than 1.25$
of revenue per day worldwide

REDUCED
POVERTY

1 000
Million
2013

500
Million
2030
ACCESS TO
EDUCATION
Average number of years of the academic cycle
in North Africa and the Middle-East

8.7
years

7.1
ACCESS TO
EDUCATION

years
2013

2030
BETTER
ACCESS TO
HEALTHCARE
Transmissible diseases contribution to world
mortality (AIDS, paludism, B hepatitis, etc.)

BETTER
ACCESS TO
HEALTHCARE

- 30%
2013 through 2030
…FASTER ADOPTION OF

NEW TECHNOLOGIES
Number of years needed for a
technology to be adopted by
25% of the US population

Internet
Mobile phone
Color television

Radio

1870
Telephone
Electricity

46

35

31

7

13

18

2013
Political and
economic power is
being redistributed
• In 2030, Asia will be bigger than Europe and the
US in terms of:
• GDP
• Population
• Military and defence expenditure
• Investments in R&D
• China alone will be bigger than the US in economic
terms before 2030
• India and Brasil will keep up with their current growth
rates
• Colombia, Indonesia, South Africa, Nigeria and Turkey
will become key players of the world economy
• The European, Japanese and Russian economies will
stay on the decline
THE WORLD WILL BE MULTI-POLAR
THE US HEGEMONY WILL COME TO AN END.

AGILITY
COOPERATION

TRANSPARENCY
Demographic
disruptions will
shake up the way
we live
In 2030:
8,4 Billion
individuals will live
on our planet:
A global aging of the population,
especially in western countries (but not only)…
GERMANY & JAPAN
Year : 2013
Median age ≈ 45 y.o.

EUROPE / KOREA / TAIWAN
Year : 2013
Median age ≈ 38 y.o.

100+

100+

0

0
….that will lead to a gradual impoverishment and to
more migrations from these countries.
GERMANY & JAPAN
Year : 2030
Median age ≈ 50 y.o.

EUROPE / KOREA / TAIWAN
Year : 2030
Median age ≈ 45 y.o.

100+

100+

0

0
…URBANIZATION WILL NOT
SLOW DOWN…

30%
1960

X2 IN 70 YEARS
60%
2030
5 cities the
size of London will
be built on a
yearly basis

and maybe more
Natural resources
are under strain
THE WORLD OF TOMORROW,
ALSO IS…

A WORLD OF THREATS
POLITICAL

1

2

3

Iran’s isolation

Global military
withdrawal of the US

Cyberterrorism and
use of weapons of
mass destruction
PUBLIC HEALTH

1
Severe pandemic
ECONOMICAL

1

2

China’s collapse

European Union and/or
Eurozone’s collapse
CLIMATIC

1

2

Geomagnetic

Uncontrollable

solar storm

global warming
THE WORLD
OF TOMORROW

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The World of Tomorrow