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Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR)
Novartis Egypt market analysis practices
Eng. Walid Saafan (MBA), Business Intelligence Manager
Cairo, Egypt. April/2007
Topics
.

 Introduction
 Product objectives
 IMS market elements of growth
 Market Elements of Growth (MEGR)
 Conclusion




2 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
Introduction
Stretching IMS data to the edge

 IMS DataView limited analysis capabilities
 Transform IMS data into a better format for more analysis.
 Detailed analysis become easier.
 Untapped information are identified and clear.
 Techniques can be applied on regional level
               “Simple tools with high business impact”

           “Charging our knowledge with Extra information”



                           SMI
       Simple Market Information
3 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
Product objectives
what is the growth driver?

 Break down to the market/ CRP elements of growth.
 Follow up competitor strategies.
 Assess the success of our portfolio management.
 Detailed analysis for each element components (NI, LCM,
 PI).

 Assess the leading therapeutic classes in terms of NI/LCM.




4 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
IMS Market elements of growth
Limited analytical capabilities

 IMS produce ‘Market Elements of growth = 5000 US$ per
  issue, difficult to analyze.




5 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR)
Think beyond what is possible
 Detail analysis for MKT/ MNCs/ OTHERs/ CRPs growth
   components:

 IMS classification:
  1. New Introductions (new brand was no sales in the previous 5 years).
  2. Life Cycle Management (new pack, new strength, new form, etc).
  3. Price Increase (price changes granted by MOH – source IMS).
  4. Units
  5. Others (components that can’t be identified in IMS audits):
    •       Growth due to interaction between simultaneous price and quantity changes- interactive
            effect.
    •       Growth due to exchange rate changes
    •       Residual growth :
        »    Growth caused by discontinued products or packs.
        »    Growth caused by new packs of existing form-strengths.


                       “Market growth elements at your finger tip”

6 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
MEGR data sources
All data is available with no extra effort

 New Introductions & Life Cycle Management is extracted
  from IMS Dataview report.

 Price Increases reported by IMS, YTD sales impact is
  calculated accordingly.




7 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR)
Y06 Market Elements of Growth ‘IMS vs MEGR’




                           20.0%
                           18.0%
                           16.0%
                                                                6.9%
                           14.0%
                           12.0%

                           10.0%
                                                                          18.5%
                           8.0%                         7%

                           6.0%

                           4.0%                  0.6%
                                          1.9%
                           2.0%
                                   2.2%
                           0.0%


                                                  PI
                                    NIs




                                           LCM




                                                                           GR%
                                                        Units




                                                                 Others
8 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
MEGR - Summary results
  List of all growth elements

   List of YTD value for each element along with automated
     waterfall chart (based on your selection).

                                                                                   Select CRP




Top 30 MNCs
                                                              Y06 - Value
                       LY Sales           NIs         #          LCM           #         PI           #      Y06 sales
   Total market        7,864,762,700    175,869,500            145,901,500             46,086,556            9,319,240,304
   Top 30 MNCs         3,470,055,600     33,869,200             94,127,400             22,548,675            4,108,206,308
   Novartis PH           339,932,900        994,300             41,758,100              4,288,449              411,320,804
                                                      Y06 - GR Elements
                         NIs             LCM                PI's               Units        Others        GR%
   Total market        2.2%             1.9%              0.6%                6.9%             6.9%        18.5%
   Top 30 MNCs         1.0%             2.7%              0.6%                4.1%            10.0%       18.39%
   Novartis PH         0.3%            12.3%              1.3%               -5.2%            12.4%       21.00%



  9 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
MEGR - New Introductions
Full details about NIs

 Detailed information including:
  • CRP, brand, pack(s), PSP, introduction month, YTD value sales.
                                                             NOVARTIS Y06 NIs

 Selection by CRP/ brand.         16,000,000
                                                                                         627,300     14,040,900
                                   14,000,000                              2,014,200

                                   12,000,000                994,300
 NI strategy assessment.          10,000,000
                                                10,405,100


                                    8,000,000
                                    6,000,000
                                    4,000,000
                                    2,000,000
                                          -




                                                                                         MIACALCIC




                                                                                                        TOTAL NIs
                                                   FLOTAC




                                                                              ANTOPRAL
                                                               HYPOTEARS




                                                                                           PLUS
10 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
MEGR - Life Cycle Management LCM
Full details about LCMs

 Detailed information including:
 • CRP, brand, pack(s), PSP, introduction month, YTD value sales.

 Selection by CRP/ brand.                                                NOVARTIS LCM-Y06
                             45,000,000
                                                                                            6,843,000   83,200      579,200    627,300      41,841,300
                             40,000,000

 NI strategy assessment.    35,000,000
                             30,000,000                            14,392,400
                                                                                4,304,300



                             25,000,000

                             20,000,000
                                                       4,606,800
                             15,000,000
                                          10,405,100
                             10,000,000

                              5,000,000

                                    -




                                                                    CATAFLAM
                                                       ANAFRONIL




                                                                                CATAFLAM
                                                                                75mg 6AMP




                                                                                            75mg 6AMP
                                           FLOTAC




                                                                                            VOLTAREN




                                                                                                                               MIACALCIC
                                                                                                                    SIRDALUD
                                                                                                         CH (JUL)




                                                                                                                               PLUS (SEP)



                                                                                                                                                Total
                                                                    50mg 20T




                                                                                                                     2MG 20T
                                                        75mg 20T
                                            (JAN)




                                                                      (FEB)




                                                                                                                       (JUL)
                                                                                  (APR)




                                                                                              (APR)
                                                          (FEB)




11 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
MEGR - Price Increases PI
Full details about PIs

 Detailed information including:
 • CRP, brand, pack(s), old/ new price, monthly PI sales impact.

 Selection by CRP/ brand.         6,000,000
                                                                 NOVARTIS PIs -Y06



                                   5,000,000                                         1,453,241     4,775,380



 NI strategy assessment.          4,000,000

                                   3,000,000
                                                             486,931
                                                                           870,923


                                               1,964,285
                                   2,000,000

                                   1,000,000

                                         -




                                                                                                      TOTAL
                                                  CO-TAREG




                                                                             TAREG




                                                                                        VOLTAREN
                                                              GLYVENOL
                                                               PROCTO




12 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
Conclusion
Information is a competitive edge

 Local tools transfers IMS data into new information for
 detailed analysis and identify untapped opportunities.

 Identification of the growth drivers for competitors is
 important to follow up our performance in the market.




13 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
Thank you
        .




14 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |

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PHARMA Market Elements of Growth (MEGR)

  • 1. Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) Novartis Egypt market analysis practices Eng. Walid Saafan (MBA), Business Intelligence Manager Cairo, Egypt. April/2007
  • 2. Topics .  Introduction  Product objectives  IMS market elements of growth  Market Elements of Growth (MEGR)  Conclusion 2 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 3. Introduction Stretching IMS data to the edge  IMS DataView limited analysis capabilities  Transform IMS data into a better format for more analysis.  Detailed analysis become easier.  Untapped information are identified and clear.  Techniques can be applied on regional level “Simple tools with high business impact” “Charging our knowledge with Extra information” SMI Simple Market Information 3 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 4. Product objectives what is the growth driver?  Break down to the market/ CRP elements of growth.  Follow up competitor strategies.  Assess the success of our portfolio management.  Detailed analysis for each element components (NI, LCM, PI).  Assess the leading therapeutic classes in terms of NI/LCM. 4 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 5. IMS Market elements of growth Limited analytical capabilities  IMS produce ‘Market Elements of growth = 5000 US$ per issue, difficult to analyze. 5 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 6. Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) Think beyond what is possible  Detail analysis for MKT/ MNCs/ OTHERs/ CRPs growth components:  IMS classification: 1. New Introductions (new brand was no sales in the previous 5 years). 2. Life Cycle Management (new pack, new strength, new form, etc). 3. Price Increase (price changes granted by MOH – source IMS). 4. Units 5. Others (components that can’t be identified in IMS audits): • Growth due to interaction between simultaneous price and quantity changes- interactive effect. • Growth due to exchange rate changes • Residual growth : » Growth caused by discontinued products or packs. » Growth caused by new packs of existing form-strengths. “Market growth elements at your finger tip” 6 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 7. MEGR data sources All data is available with no extra effort  New Introductions & Life Cycle Management is extracted from IMS Dataview report.  Price Increases reported by IMS, YTD sales impact is calculated accordingly. 7 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 8. Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) Y06 Market Elements of Growth ‘IMS vs MEGR’ 20.0% 18.0% 16.0% 6.9% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 18.5% 8.0% 7% 6.0% 4.0% 0.6% 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 0.0% PI NIs LCM GR% Units Others 8 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 9. MEGR - Summary results List of all growth elements  List of YTD value for each element along with automated waterfall chart (based on your selection). Select CRP Top 30 MNCs Y06 - Value LY Sales NIs # LCM # PI # Y06 sales Total market 7,864,762,700 175,869,500 145,901,500 46,086,556 9,319,240,304 Top 30 MNCs 3,470,055,600 33,869,200 94,127,400 22,548,675 4,108,206,308 Novartis PH 339,932,900 994,300 41,758,100 4,288,449 411,320,804 Y06 - GR Elements NIs LCM PI's Units Others GR% Total market 2.2% 1.9% 0.6% 6.9% 6.9% 18.5% Top 30 MNCs 1.0% 2.7% 0.6% 4.1% 10.0% 18.39% Novartis PH 0.3% 12.3% 1.3% -5.2% 12.4% 21.00% 9 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 10. MEGR - New Introductions Full details about NIs  Detailed information including: • CRP, brand, pack(s), PSP, introduction month, YTD value sales. NOVARTIS Y06 NIs  Selection by CRP/ brand. 16,000,000 627,300 14,040,900 14,000,000 2,014,200 12,000,000 994,300  NI strategy assessment. 10,000,000 10,405,100 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 - MIACALCIC TOTAL NIs FLOTAC ANTOPRAL HYPOTEARS PLUS 10 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 11. MEGR - Life Cycle Management LCM Full details about LCMs  Detailed information including: • CRP, brand, pack(s), PSP, introduction month, YTD value sales.  Selection by CRP/ brand. NOVARTIS LCM-Y06 45,000,000 6,843,000 83,200 579,200 627,300 41,841,300 40,000,000  NI strategy assessment. 35,000,000 30,000,000 14,392,400 4,304,300 25,000,000 20,000,000 4,606,800 15,000,000 10,405,100 10,000,000 5,000,000 - CATAFLAM ANAFRONIL CATAFLAM 75mg 6AMP 75mg 6AMP FLOTAC VOLTAREN MIACALCIC SIRDALUD CH (JUL) PLUS (SEP) Total 50mg 20T 2MG 20T 75mg 20T (JAN) (FEB) (JUL) (APR) (APR) (FEB) 11 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 12. MEGR - Price Increases PI Full details about PIs  Detailed information including: • CRP, brand, pack(s), old/ new price, monthly PI sales impact.  Selection by CRP/ brand. 6,000,000 NOVARTIS PIs -Y06 5,000,000 1,453,241 4,775,380  NI strategy assessment. 4,000,000 3,000,000 486,931 870,923 1,964,285 2,000,000 1,000,000 - TOTAL CO-TAREG TAREG VOLTAREN GLYVENOL PROCTO 12 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 13. Conclusion Information is a competitive edge  Local tools transfers IMS data into new information for detailed analysis and identify untapped opportunities.  Identification of the growth drivers for competitors is important to follow up our performance in the market. 13 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |
  • 14. Thank you . 14 | Market Elements of GRowth (MEGR) |