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Art of Estimation
Speaker: Vlad Savitsky

          Working at



          Skype: vlad_savitsky
          vlad.savitsky@gmail.com
          +38096 530 27 12
Agenda
●   Client's risks
●   Low quality problem
●   Low estimates strategy
●   Best Practices
●   Deadline! Why again?
Client's risks
Clients vs Developers
Client:                    Developer:
●   Wants to control the   ●   Hates estimates.
    project budget.        ●   Always needs more
●   Wants to get project       time.
    finished in time.      ●   Requirements is not
●   Wants highest              clear enough.
    possible quality.
How clients
                uses estimates?
●   Planning.
●   Budget.
●   Credibility (Trust).
●   Control project flow.
Recap: Estimates isn't what
          clients really need.
Agile:
●   Simple and clear workflow.
●   Release often to get feedback (Sprints).
●   Work on important tasks first.
Low quality problem

        Weak Market Position

1

           Low estimate        3

    2

            Low quality
Estimation Experiment


Task: Cut 54 trees.
Estimate this task.
How many hours it
takes 1 men to
accomplish this task?
Recap: Low quality
makes everyone unhappy!



     Agile: Do your best!
Best Practices
Best Practices (1)
●   Split tasks into smaller.
●   Track your working time.
●   Use pomodoro.me
●   Keep in mind each stage
    (testing, code review, and etc).
●   Each Team has own velocity.
Best Practices (2)
●   Let whole Team estimate.
●   Use planningpoker.com.
●   Estimation also takes time.
●   Definition of Done.
●   Real overdraft is ~3 (up to 4).
Recap: Estimates will never be
                exact
Agile:
●   Estimate using abstract Story Points.
●   Story Points show difficulty of task (not time).
●   Each Sprint has a velocity.
Deadline! Why again?
Reasons
●   Estimates are never accurate.
●   Force Majeure.
●   “Bottle necks” in Development Process.
●   Release at the end of project.
●   There is no typical tasks.
●   Bad planning.
Recap: Release often
Agile:
●   Use Sprints (1-4 weeks)
●   Demonstrate working features to client.
●   Release at the end of Sprint.
●   Each Sprint Product gets working increment.
Agile Development
Agile Manifesto
●   Individuals and interactions
    over processes and tools
●   Working software
    over comprehensive documentation
●   Customer collaboration
    over contract negotiation
●   Responding to change
    over following a plan
                                http://agilemanifesto.org/
Kanban
●   Visualize the workflow
●   Limit work-in-progress (WIP)
●   Manage Flow
Scrum
Time, Cost, and Scope
     Constraints
Recap: Agile could help avoid
     stress and make all happier.
●   Read about Kanban, Scrum, and Lean.
●   Go to trainings.
●   Sell Scrum (Agile) to your clients and Team.
Useful links
Scrum:
●   http://scrumalliance.com/
●   http://agilemanifesto.org/
●   http://www.scrum.com.ua/
Useful links
Free Books:
●   Kanban и Scrum: выжимаем максимум
    –   http://scrum.org.ua/wp-
        content/uploads/ScrumAndKanbanRuFinal.pdf
●   Scrum и XP: заметки с передовой
    –   http://scrum.org.ua/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/scrum_xp-
        from-the-trenches-rus-final.pdf
●   Scrum Handbook
    –   http://jeffsutherland.com/scrumhandbook.pdf
Useful links
Online Kanban boards:
●   kanbanery.com
●   trello.com
Do you have any questions?
Speaker: Vlad Savitsky

          Working at



          Skype: vlad_savitsky
          vlad.savitsky@gmail.com
          +38096 530 27 12

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Art of Estimation. Vlad Savitsky

  • 2. Speaker: Vlad Savitsky Working at Skype: vlad_savitsky vlad.savitsky@gmail.com +38096 530 27 12
  • 3.
  • 4. Agenda ● Client's risks ● Low quality problem ● Low estimates strategy ● Best Practices ● Deadline! Why again?
  • 6. Clients vs Developers Client: Developer: ● Wants to control the ● Hates estimates. project budget. ● Always needs more ● Wants to get project time. finished in time. ● Requirements is not ● Wants highest clear enough. possible quality.
  • 7.
  • 8. How clients uses estimates? ● Planning. ● Budget. ● Credibility (Trust). ● Control project flow.
  • 9. Recap: Estimates isn't what clients really need. Agile: ● Simple and clear workflow. ● Release often to get feedback (Sprints). ● Work on important tasks first.
  • 10. Low quality problem Weak Market Position 1 Low estimate 3 2 Low quality
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Estimation Experiment Task: Cut 54 trees. Estimate this task. How many hours it takes 1 men to accomplish this task?
  • 14.
  • 15. Recap: Low quality makes everyone unhappy! Agile: Do your best!
  • 17. Best Practices (1) ● Split tasks into smaller. ● Track your working time. ● Use pomodoro.me ● Keep in mind each stage (testing, code review, and etc). ● Each Team has own velocity.
  • 18. Best Practices (2) ● Let whole Team estimate. ● Use planningpoker.com. ● Estimation also takes time. ● Definition of Done. ● Real overdraft is ~3 (up to 4).
  • 19. Recap: Estimates will never be exact Agile: ● Estimate using abstract Story Points. ● Story Points show difficulty of task (not time). ● Each Sprint has a velocity.
  • 21. Reasons ● Estimates are never accurate. ● Force Majeure. ● “Bottle necks” in Development Process. ● Release at the end of project. ● There is no typical tasks. ● Bad planning.
  • 22. Recap: Release often Agile: ● Use Sprints (1-4 weeks) ● Demonstrate working features to client. ● Release at the end of Sprint. ● Each Sprint Product gets working increment.
  • 24. Agile Manifesto ● Individuals and interactions over processes and tools ● Working software over comprehensive documentation ● Customer collaboration over contract negotiation ● Responding to change over following a plan http://agilemanifesto.org/
  • 25. Kanban ● Visualize the workflow ● Limit work-in-progress (WIP) ● Manage Flow
  • 26. Scrum
  • 27. Time, Cost, and Scope Constraints
  • 28. Recap: Agile could help avoid stress and make all happier. ● Read about Kanban, Scrum, and Lean. ● Go to trainings. ● Sell Scrum (Agile) to your clients and Team.
  • 29. Useful links Scrum: ● http://scrumalliance.com/ ● http://agilemanifesto.org/ ● http://www.scrum.com.ua/
  • 30. Useful links Free Books: ● Kanban и Scrum: выжимаем максимум – http://scrum.org.ua/wp- content/uploads/ScrumAndKanbanRuFinal.pdf ● Scrum и XP: заметки с передовой – http://scrum.org.ua/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/scrum_xp- from-the-trenches-rus-final.pdf ● Scrum Handbook – http://jeffsutherland.com/scrumhandbook.pdf
  • 31. Useful links Online Kanban boards: ● kanbanery.com ● trello.com
  • 32. Do you have any questions?
  • 33. Speaker: Vlad Savitsky Working at Skype: vlad_savitsky vlad.savitsky@gmail.com +38096 530 27 12