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DIGITAL MEDIA TECHNOLOGY & WINE
              SERIES
     INTRODUCTORY SEMINAR (Prodi)
#vinitaly2013
 @vinitalytour
@steviekim222
•  Mr. Shao Li, First Secretary, Department of
   Foreign Trade, Ministry of Commerce of the
   People’s Republic of China
•  Mr. Xuwei Wang, Secretary General, China
   Association for Importers & Exporters of Wine
   & Spirits
•  Professor Giorgio Prodi, University of Ferrara
   (ALMA Graduate School)
•  Pierpaolo Cielo, Marketing & Export Manager
   of Cielo e Terra S.p.a.
•  Mr. Anthony Zhang, Manager Hoonay Wines
THE CHINESE WINE MARKET:
STATISTICS AND NEW REGULATIONS
- WHAT IS THE FUTURE FOR ITALIAN
         WINES IN CHINA?


ÂŤif we could persuade every person in China to lengthen his shirttail by a
 foot. We could keep the mills of Lancashire working around the clockÂť

                                                 An English merchant 1840

  “There  is  nothing  mysterious  about  China  once  you  understand  her”

                                                              Zhou Enlai
China facts:
                GDP per head ($ at PPP)
10000,000
 9000,000
 8000,000
 7000,000
 6000,000
 5000,000
 4000,000
 3000,000
 2000,000
 1000,000
     ,000
            1980
            1981
            1982
            1983
            1984
            1985
            1986
            1987
            1988
            1989
            1990
            1991
            1992
            1993
            1994
            1995
            1996
            1997
            1998
            1999
            2000
            2001
            2002
            2003
            2004
            2005
            2006
            2007
            2008
            2009
            2010
            2011
            2012
•   Second largest economy in PPP
•   First  in  2050,2040,  2025,  2020….2018?
•   Still a medium income country (risk of medium income trap?)
•   Space for more growth
•   Great  opportunities  but  with  “Chinese  characteristics”
•   Problems: growth model unbalanced (too many investment),
    pollution, economic and social unbalances, corruption, etc.
Consumers and market

                                                                         Northeast China
                                                                         3 provinces
                                                                         8% of population
                                                                         8% of GDP
            Northwest China
            5 provinces
                                                   North China
            7% of population
                                                   5 provinces
            5% of GDP
                                                   12% of population
                                                      North
                                                   14% of GDP




                                                Middle China
                                                3 provinces
                                                16% of population
                                                12% of GDP
                                                                          East China
                            Southwest China                               7 provinces
                            5 provinces                                   29% of
                            15% of population                             population 38%
                            8% of GDP                                     of GDP


 • 283 prefecture-level cities                       South China
 • 368 county-level cities                           3 provinces
                                                     12% of population
 • More than 50,000 towns
                                                     14% of GDP
Source: China Statistical Yearbook 2010
Consumers and market - Urbanization



   One billion people will  live  in  China’s  urban  centers  by 2030.

   350 million people will  be  added  to  China’s  urban  population  by
     2025, of which 240 million will be migrants.

   By 2025, China will have 219 cities with population exceeding
     one million and 24 cities with more than five million
     inhabitants.




Source: Mckinsey Global Institute
Wine is not only for luxury consumers
Export import and trade balance with China
Wine export to China: Italy and France in €


                                                           Export wine total in US$




                                                           Source: Un Comtrade



                               Source: Eurostat: HS 2204
                Jan.-Dec.     Jan.-Dec.           Jan.-Dec.       Jan.-Dec.
       PERIOD      2005          2009                2010            2012
  REPORTER
FRANCE           15,829,433   148,221,930         277,269,212     546,572,755
ITALY             4,678,388    19,598,881          40,714,670      76,992,158
Small facts
 How is important China on total export

 •   France          3,2%                 • EU sell to China mainly technologies
                                            (machinery, aircrafts, etc.)
 •   Italy           2,6%
                                          • Consumer goods are still a small %
 •   Germany         6,1%                   but in absolute value not negligible.

 Wine on total export to China

 •   France 3,6%

 •   Italy 0,9%

 China on total export of wine


% cn on tot        2002      2005    2011 % HK on tot       2002      2005       2011
France            0,09%     0,28%   7,05% France           0,56%     0,64%      5,97%
Italy             0,28%     0,16%   1,52% Italy            0,13%     0,15%      0,51%
Focus points
• Market understanding (fast changes)

• Brand

• Institution  (don’t  ask  too  much  – ask what they can
  deliver)

• Cooperation (small is not beautiful in China)

• Distribution

• Long term view

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Intro seminar c giorgio prodi (vinitaly)

  • 1. DIGITAL MEDIA TECHNOLOGY & WINE SERIES INTRODUCTORY SEMINAR (Prodi)
  • 3. •  Mr. Shao Li, First Secretary, Department of Foreign Trade, Ministry of Commerce of the People’s Republic of China •  Mr. Xuwei Wang, Secretary General, China Association for Importers & Exporters of Wine & Spirits •  Professor Giorgio Prodi, University of Ferrara (ALMA Graduate School) •  Pierpaolo Cielo, Marketing & Export Manager of Cielo e Terra S.p.a. •  Mr. Anthony Zhang, Manager Hoonay Wines
  • 4. THE CHINESE WINE MARKET: STATISTICS AND NEW REGULATIONS - WHAT IS THE FUTURE FOR ITALIAN WINES IN CHINA? ÂŤif we could persuade every person in China to lengthen his shirttail by a foot. We could keep the mills of Lancashire working around the clockÂť An English merchant 1840 “There  is  nothing  mysterious  about  China  once  you  understand  her” Zhou Enlai
  • 5. China facts: GDP per head ($ at PPP) 10000,000 9000,000 8000,000 7000,000 6000,000 5000,000 4000,000 3000,000 2000,000 1000,000 ,000 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 • Second largest economy in PPP • First  in  2050,2040,  2025,  2020….2018? • Still a medium income country (risk of medium income trap?) • Space for more growth • Great  opportunities  but  with  “Chinese  characteristics” • Problems: growth model unbalanced (too many investment), pollution, economic and social unbalances, corruption, etc.
  • 6. Consumers and market Northeast China 3 provinces 8% of population 8% of GDP Northwest China 5 provinces North China 7% of population 5 provinces 5% of GDP 12% of population North 14% of GDP Middle China 3 provinces 16% of population 12% of GDP East China Southwest China 7 provinces 5 provinces 29% of 15% of population population 38% 8% of GDP of GDP • 283 prefecture-level cities South China • 368 county-level cities 3 provinces 12% of population • More than 50,000 towns 14% of GDP Source: China Statistical Yearbook 2010
  • 7. Consumers and market - Urbanization  One billion people will  live  in  China’s  urban  centers  by 2030.  350 million people will  be  added  to  China’s  urban  population  by 2025, of which 240 million will be migrants.  By 2025, China will have 219 cities with population exceeding one million and 24 cities with more than five million inhabitants. Source: Mckinsey Global Institute
  • 8. Wine is not only for luxury consumers
  • 9. Export import and trade balance with China
  • 10. Wine export to China: Italy and France in € Export wine total in US$ Source: Un Comtrade Source: Eurostat: HS 2204 Jan.-Dec. Jan.-Dec. Jan.-Dec. Jan.-Dec. PERIOD 2005 2009 2010 2012 REPORTER FRANCE 15,829,433 148,221,930 277,269,212 546,572,755 ITALY 4,678,388 19,598,881 40,714,670 76,992,158
  • 11. Small facts How is important China on total export • France 3,2% • EU sell to China mainly technologies (machinery, aircrafts, etc.) • Italy 2,6% • Consumer goods are still a small % • Germany 6,1% but in absolute value not negligible. Wine on total export to China • France 3,6% • Italy 0,9% China on total export of wine % cn on tot 2002 2005 2011 % HK on tot 2002 2005 2011 France 0,09% 0,28% 7,05% France 0,56% 0,64% 5,97% Italy 0,28% 0,16% 1,52% Italy 0,13% 0,15% 0,51%
  • 12. Focus points • Market understanding (fast changes) • Brand • Institution  (don’t  ask  too  much  – ask what they can deliver) • Cooperation (small is not beautiful in China) • Distribution • Long term view