Iraq war 2003

2. INTRODUCTIO
N

3. NOSTRADAMUS
LIQUI
D

4. “ EITHER YOU ARE WITH US
AGAINST US.
OR
THERE IS NOTHING IN
BETWEEN
PRESIDENT GEORGE BUSH
POST 9/11 ADDRESS TO
NATION

5. N KOREA
IRAQ
IRAN
AXIS OF EVIL

6. INTERNATIONAL FORUMS
 UNITED NATIONS
- FRAGMENTED.

EUROPEAN UNION
- DIVIDED.

NATO
- FRACTURED.

NAM
 OIC

ARAB LEAGUE
 OPEC
 G-8
IRRELEVANT

7. OPERATION
IRAQI
FREEDOM

8. SHOCK & AWE

9. ?

10. OPERATION
IRAQI
FREEDOM

11. PREVIEW
 PART I
– HISTORICAL
PERSPECTIVE.
 PART II
– AMERICAN DESIGNS FOR
WAR.
 PART III – OPERATION IRAQI
FREEDOM.
 PART IV
– ROLE AND RELEVANCE OF
UNITED NATIONS.

12. PART I
HISTORICAL
PERSPECTIVE

13. HISTORICAL
PERSPECTIVE
 MESOPOTAMIAN CIVILIZATION (5000
BC).
 OTTAMAN EMPIRE.
 TRIBAL IRAQ - AUTONOMOUS.

14. PERIMETER OF IRAQ
KMS.
COASTLINE
KMS.
3650
60

15. HISTORICAL
PERSPECTIVE
 BRITISH RULE – A HASHEMITE
MONARCHY (1921 – 1958).
 DECADE OF COUP / COUNTER COUPS.
 THE BAATH PARTY (1968).

16. SADDAM
“THE ONE WHO CONFRONTS”
• 1937
- BORN
• 1956
- JOINED BAATH PARTY.
• 1959
- FLED TO EGYPT.
• 1963
- RETURNED TO BAGHDAD.
( TIKRIT ).
• 1979
- BECAME THE PRESIDENT OF IRAQ.
• 2003
- MISSING IN ACTION

17. IRAN – IRAQ WAR
(1980 – 1988)

18. KUWAIT – IRAQ
RELATIONSHIP.

19. KUWAIT IRAQ - RELATIONSHIP
19 TH PROVINCE
OF IRAQ ??

20. OPERATION DESERT
STORM
16 JAN – 27 FEB
1991

21. NO FLY ZONES

22. NATURAL
RESOURCES
 PETROLEUM.
 NATURAL GAS.
 PHOSPHORUS.
 SULPHUR.

23. DEMOGRAPHY
 TOTAL POPULATION – 24
MILLION.

A MULTI – ETHNIC SOCIETY.
 SHIA ARABS
– 60 %
 SUNNI ARABS
– 15%
 KURDS
– 20 %
 OTHERS
– 5%
 RELIGION
-

24. MIDDLE EAST
REGION

25. PART II
AMERICAN
DESIGNS FOR
WAR

26. BUILD UP TO THE
WAR
 THE SEPTEMBER 11
LINK.
 WAR AGAINST
TERRORISM.

AXIS OF EVIL.

27. 9/11
“WE ARE GOING TO FIND OUT WHO DID THIS
AND WE ARE GOING TO KICK HIM”

28. AL - QAIDA
IDEOLOGICAL ENEMY

29. COERCIVE DIPLOMACY

30. UN RESOLUTIONS
 IMPOSITION OF SANCTIONS.
 DESTRUCTION OF WMD.
 RESTRICTING MILITARY CAPABILITY.
 PROHIBIT SALE AND PURCHASE OF ARMS.
 OIL FOR FOOD PROGRAMME.
 SIMULTANEOUS BUILD UP IN GULF SINCE
SEP 02

31. FINAL BUILD UP
 NON COMPLIANCE OF RESOLUTION 1441.
SEC UN RESOLUTION SEEKING USE OF
FORCE.
 MOBILISATION OF FORCES IN GULF SINCE
SEP 02.
 UN RESOLUTION NOT NECESSARY TO TAKE
MILITARY ACTION.

32. THE AMERICAN AGENDA
• POLITICAL
• SECURITY
• ECONOMIC

33. POLITICAL AGENDA

REGIME CHANGE .

34. MIDDLE EAST

35. POLITICAL AGENDA
LIBERATION OF IRAQI
PEOPLE .
 IMPERIALISTIC
DESIGNS .

36. SECURITY
CONSIDERATIONS
WMD

37. TERRORISM

38. ISRAELI
CONNECTION
ARIEL SHARON

39. ECONOMIC
CONSIDERATIONS
CONTROL OF ENERGY
RESOURCES

40. ECONOMIC
CONSIDERATIONS
(
=
EURO
VERSUS
$
DOLLAR

41. ECONOMIC
CONSIDERATIONS
WEAKEN
OPEC.

42. EUROPEAN
UNION

43. PART III

44. OPERATION
IRAQI
FREEDOM

45. FORCE LEVELS
COALITION FORCES .
• THREE LAKHS TROOPS - AB-FORCES, MARINES AND
SPECIAL FORCES.
•
KURD FIGHTERS.
• M1 ABRAM TANKS.
• BRADLEY FIGHTING VEHICLES.
• AH64 APACHE ATTACK HELICOPTERS.
• F117 STEALTH BOMBERS.
• B1,B2 AND B52 BOMBERS.
• AIR CRAFT CARRIERS AND OTHER NAVAL SHIPS.
• HI-TECH WEAPONARY

46. IRAQI FORCES
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
FOUR LAKHS TROOPS.
ELITE REPUBLICAN GUARDS.
PARA MILITARY FORCES.
FIDAYEENS.
FOUR THOUSAND ARTY GUNS .
T-72 TANKS.
SCUD MISSILES.
VINTAGE SOVIET ERA WEAPONS.

47. AMERICAN MILITARY
STRATEGY

48. SHOCK
&
AWE

49. SIMULTANIETY OF
OPERATIONS

50. DOUBLE PINCER

51. CAPTURE OF BAGHDAD
SUSTAINED BOMBING.

52. SPRINT TO BAGHDAD.
(CAPTURE OF AIRPORT)

53. FALL OF SADDAM
FIRDOS SQUARE

54. LOOT & ANARCHY

55. FALL OF SADDAM
FIRDOS SQUARE

56. PROPAGANDA
WAR
WESTERN
MEDIA.

57. JOKER IN THE
PACK

58. HI-TECH WAR

59. TOMAHAWK
MISSILES
COST $ 1 MILLION

60. HI-TECH WAR
• B 52 BOMBERS.
– COST.
$ 1.3 BILLION.
• F16 FALCON AIRCRAFT.

61. APACHE HELICOPTER
COST $ 4 MILLION

62. MI ABRAM TANK
$ 4.3 MILLION

63. $ 3.2 MILLION
M2 BRADELEY
(TROOP CARRYING
VEHICLE)

64. 30,000 SORTIES.
2000 AIRCRAFT.
20,000 TONNES
EXPLOSIVES
14,000 PGMs

65. LETHAL ARMADA

66. HI-TECH BLASTERS
• BAT.
• JDAM.
• BLU-114B.
• CBU-97.
• TANK BUSTER.

67. ECONOMICS OF WAR
• LIBERATION OF IRAQ-$ 75 BILLION$1.6 TRILLION.
• 1% TO 2 % OF US GDP.
• GULF WAR I - 80% COST BORNE BY
ALLIES.
• US PROFIT - $ 20 BILLION.
• OIL BILL FOR US - $ 10 PER BARREL
INCREASE RAISES US TAX TO $ 100
BILLION.

68. RECONSTRUCTION
• OPERATION IRAQI FREEDOM TO COST $ 75
BILLION.
• COST OF RECONSTRUCTION - $ 20 TO $100
BILLION.
• CUMULATIVE COST - $ 100 TO $150 BILLION.

69. USA’S POST WAR
PLAN
• DEVELOPMENT OF PORT
• ROADS
- 5,000 KM.
• POWER .
• AIR LINKS.
• HOSPITALS - 300.
• SCHOOLS
- 5,000.
• HOUSES
- 25,000.

70. BUDGET
• IMMEDIATE HUMANITARIAN AID
- $ 2.5 BILLION.
• ANNUAL COST OF PEACE KEEPING
- $25 BILLION.
• REBUILDING INFRASTRUCSTURE
- $ 75 BILLION.

71. PART IV
ROLE AND RELEVANCE
OF
THE UNITED NATIONS

72. AIM : UNITED NATIONS
 TO MAINT INTERNATIONAL PEACE.
 TO SETTLE DISPUTES PEACEFULLY.
 TO AVOID THREAT / USE OF FORCE
AND ESCHEW INTERFERENCE
EXCEPT WHEN AUTHORISED BY
THE
SECURITY COUNCIL .

73. IRAQ
CRISIS
WHERE DOES UN
STAND ???

74. IRAQ CRISIS
 POTENTIALLY CAPABLE OF
RESOLUTION.
 LARGER US AGENDA FOR WAR NOT
FULFILLED.
 MOCKERY OF SECURITY
COUNCIL ???

75. FUTURE ROLE OF UN IN
IRAQ
 GRANTING LEGITIMACY TO IRAQI
REGIME.
 REMOVAL OF SANCTIONS.
 HUMANITARIAN ROLE .
 PEACEKEEPING.

76. FUTURE OF THE UN
???

77. “THERE IS NO UNITED NATIONS.
THERE IS
AN INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
THAT
OCCASIONALLY CAN BE LED BY THE
ONLY SUPERPOWER IN THE WORLD
THAT IS UNITED STATES. WHEN THE
UNITED STATES LEADS THE UNITED
NATIONS WILL FOLLOW”.
John Bolton,
US Under Secretary of State
1994
Global Structure Convocation,

78. RELEVANCE OF UN
 FUTURE OF THE UN DEPENDS ON THE
ATTITUDE OF THE US.
 US NEVER HESITATED TO USE ‘VETO’ TO
FURTHER THEIR OWN NATIONAL
INTERESTS.
 US HAS SUPPLANTED THE UN ITSELF.

79. THE UNITED NATIONS
OR
UNITED NATIONS OF UNITED STATES

80. ?
FUTURE STATUS OF
UN

81. ASSESSMENT OF GULF WAR
II

82. ADVERSE REACTION IN ISLAMIC
WORLD

83. REACTIONS IN IRAQ

84. AMERICAN DOMINANCE IN
21 st CENTURY

85. EMERGENCE OF NEW WORLD
ORDER.
HISTORY IS SHAPED NOT JUST BY THE EVENT ITSELF
BUT MORE BYTHE EXTENT & FORCE OF ITS AFTER
EFFECTS

86. UNI-POLAR
WORLD

87. INDO – US
EQUATION
REALISIM, NOT RHETORIC, SHOULD
GOVERN INDIA’S RELATIONSHIP WITH
USA

88. COOPERATION
IN
MILITARY
FIELDS

89. MILITARY
IMPLICATIONS
FOR INDIA

90. WARS OF PREEMPTION
PROACTIVE
INTERDICTION

91. MILITARY IMPLICATIONS FOR
INDIA
• ICBMs.
• SLBMs.
• AIRCRAFT CARRIERS.
• ANTI MISSILE SYSTEMS.
• AIR DEFENCE SYSTEMS.

92. MILITARY IMPLICATIONS FOR
INDIA
• GLOBAL POSITIONING SYSTEMS.
• PRECISION GUIDED MUNITIONS.
• NIGHT FIGHTING CAPABILITIES.
• COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS.

94. CONCLUSIO
N

95. CONCLUSION
• INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM.
• POLITICAL INSTABILITY.
• INTERVENTION IN KASHMIR.
• WARS OF PRE-EMPTION
• CREDIBLE DETERRENT MILITARY CAPABALITY.
• STATE OF THE ART TECHONOLOGY.
• ECONOMICALLY STRONG.
• IDEOLOGICAL STRAITJACKET.
• STABILITY & PROSPERITY AT HOME.
• INTERNATIONAL PRE-EMINENCE.

96. ?