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Towards a



Pathways to Sustainable Development and Poverty Eradication
Citation
UNEP, 2011, Towards a Green Economy: Pathways to Sustainable Development and Poverty Eradication,
www.unep.org/greeneconomy
ISBN: 978-92-807-3143-9

Layout by UNEP/GRID-Arendal, www.grida.no




Copyright © United Nations Environment Programme, 2011
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Disclaimer
The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply
the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the United Nations Environment                       UNEP promotes
Programme concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its au-
thorities, or concerning delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Moreover, the views           environmentally sound practices
expressed do not necessarily represent the decision or the stated policy of the United           globally and in its own activities. This
Nations Environment Programme, nor does citing of trade names or commercial
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Version -- 02.11.2011                                                                                reduce UNEP’s carbon footprint.
Towards a



Pathways to Sustainable Development and Poverty Eradication
Acknowledgements
The writing of this report would not have been possible                Chapter Coordinating Authors, interact with relevant experts
without a coordinated effort from a cast of talented authors           in UNEP, solidify outlines, review drafts, facilitate peer reviews,
and contributors over the past two years. Acknowledgements             compile review comments, guide revisions, conduct research
first go to Chapter Coordinating Authors: Robert Ayres, Steve          and bring all chapters to final production.
Bass, Andrea Bassi, Paul Clements-Hunt, Holger Dalkmann,
Derek Eaton, Maryanne Grieg-Gran, Hans Herren, Prasad                  Additionally, several UNEP staff members provided technical and
Modak, Lawrence Pratt, Philipp Rode, Ko Sakamoto, Rashid               policy guidance on various chapters: Jacqueline Alder, Juanita
Sumaila, Cornis Van Der Lugt, Ton van Dril, Xander van Tilburg,        Castaño, Charles Arden-Clark, Surya Chandak, Munyaradzi
Peter Wooders and Mike D. Young. Contributing Authors of the           Chenje, Thomas Chiramba, Hilary French, Garrette Clark, Rob
chapters are acknowledged in the respective chapters.                  de Jong, Renate Fleiner, Niklas Hagelberg, Arab Hoballah, James
                                                                       Lomax, Angela M. Lusigi, Kaj Madsen, Donna McIntire, Desta
Within UNEP, this report was conceived and initiated by the            Mebratu, Nick Nuttall, Thierry Oliveira, Martina Otto, David Owen,
Executive Director, Achim Steiner. It was led by Pavan Sukhdev and     Ravi Prabhu, Jyotsna Puri, Mark Radka, Helena Rey, Rajendra
coordinated by Sheng Fulai under the overall management and            Shende, Soraya Smaoun, James Sniffen, Guido Sonnemann,
guidance of Steven Stone and Sylvie Lemmet. Additional guidance        Virginia Sonntag-O’Brien, Niclas Svenningsen, Eric Usher, Cornis
was provided by Joseph Alcamo, Marion Cheatle, John Christensen,       Van Der Lugt, Jaap van Woerden, Geneviève Verbrugge, Farid
Angela Cropper, Peter Gilruth and Ibrahim Thiaw. Alexander             Yaker and Yang Wanhua. Their contributions at various stages of
Juras and Fatou Ndoye are acknowledged for their leadership in         the report development are deeply appreciated.
facilitating consultations with Major Groups and Stakeholders. The
initial design of the report benefited from inputs from Hussein        We acknowledge and appreciate the partnership and support of
Abaza, Olivier Deleuze, Maxwell Gomera and Anantha Duraiappah.         the team from the International Labour Organization (ILO), led
                                                                       by Peter Poschen. Many ILO staff, in particular Edmundo Werna
The conceptualization of the report benefitted from discussions        and those acknowledged in the individual chapters, provided
involving Graciela Chichilnisky, Peter May, Theodore Panayotou,        contributions on employment related issues. The tourism
John David Shilling, Kevin Urama and Moses Ikiara. Thanks also         chapter was developed in partnership with the World Tourism
go to Kenneth Ruffing for his technical editing and contribution       Organization (UNWTO), through the coordination of Luigi Cabrini.
across several chapters and to Edward B. Barbier and Tim
Swanson for their contributions to the Introduction Chapter.           Special recognition and thanks are due to Lara Barbier, Etienne
Numerous internal and external peer reviewers, acknowledged            Cadestin, Daniel Costelloe, Moritz Drupp, Jane Gibbs, Annie
in the individual chapters, contributed their time and expertise       Haakenstad, Hadia Hakim, Jasmin Hundorf, Sharon Khan, Kim
to improve the overall quality and sharpness of the report.            Hyunsoo, Andrew Joiner, Kim Juhern, Richard L’Estrange, Tilmann
                                                                       Liebert, François Macheras, Dominique Maingot, Semhar
In addition, hundreds of people offered their views and perspectives   Mebrahtu, Edward Naval, Laura Ochia, Pratyancha Perdeshi, Dmitry
on the report at four major events: the launch meeting of the Green    Preobrazhensky, Marco Portugal, Alexandra Quandt, Victoria Wu
Economy Initiative in December 2008, a technical workshop in April     Qiong, Waqas Rana, Alexandria Rantino, Pascal Rosset, Daniel
2009, a review meeting in July 2010, and a consultative meeting        Szczepanski, Usman Tariq, Dhanya Williams, Carissa Wong, Yitong
in October 2010. Although they are too numerous to mention             Wu and Zhang Xinyue for their research assistance, and Désirée
individually, their contributions are deeply appreciated. Experts      Leon, Rahila Mughal, and Fatma Pandey for administrative support.
who commented on specific draft chapters are noted accordingly
in the relevant chapters. The International Chamber of Commerce        Many thanks are also due to Nicolas Bertrand and Leigh Ann
(ICC) warrants special mention here for its constructive feedback on   Hurt for managing the production; Robert McGowan, Dianna
numerous chapters.                                                     Rienstra, and Mark Schulman for editing; Elizabeth Kemf for
                                                                       copy-editing; and, Tina Schieder, Michael Nassl and Dorit Lehr
The report was produced through the dedicated efforts of               for fact-checking.
the UNEP Chapter Managing Team: Anna Autio, Fatma Ben
Fadhl, Nicolas Bertrand, Derek Eaton, Marenglen Gjonaj, Ana            Finally, we would like to extend a special thanks to Anne
Lucía Iturriza, Moustapha Kamal Gueye, Asad Naqvi, Benjamin            Solgaard and the team at UNEP/GRID-Arendal for preparing the
Simmons and Vera Weick. They worked tirelessly to engage the           layout and design of the report.


            UNEP would like to thank the governments of Norway, Switzerland and United Kingdom of Great Britain
            and Northern Ireland as well as the International Labour Organization, the UN World Tourism Organization
                   and the UN Foundation for their generous support towards the Green Economy Initiative.
Foreword
Nearly 20 years after the Earth Summit, nations are again on the Road to Rio, but in a world
very different and very changed from that of 1992.

Then we were just glimpsing some of the challenges            a reduced risk of the crises and shocks increasingly
emerging across the planet from climate change and the        inherent in the existing model.
loss of species to desertification and land degradation.
                                                              New ideas are by their very nature disruptive, but far less
Today many of those seemingly far off concerns are            disruptive than a world running low on drinking water
becoming a reality with sobering implications for not         and productive land, set against the backdrop of climate
only achieving the UN’s Millennium Development Goals,         change, extreme weather events and rising natural
but challenging the very opportunity for seven billion        resource scarcities.
people − rising to nine billion by 2050 − to be able to
thrive, let alone survive.                                    A green economy does not favour one political
                                                              perspective over another. It is relevant to all economies,
Rio 1992 did not fail the world – far from it. It provided    be they state or more market-led. Neither is it a
the vision and important pieces of the multilateral           replacement for sustainable development. Rather, it
machinery to achieve a sustainable future.                    is a way of realising that development at the national,
                                                              regional and global levels and in ways that resonate
But this will only be possible if the environmental and       with and amplify the implementation of Agenda 21.
social pillars of sustainable development are given equal
footing with the economic one: where the often invisible      A transition to a green economy is already underway, a
engines of sustainability, from forests to freshwaters, are   point underscored in the report and a growing wealth
also given equal if not greater weight in development         of companion studies by international organisations,
and economic planning.                                        countries, corporations and civil society. But the
                                                              challenge is clearly to build on this momentum.
Towards a Green Economy is among UNEP’s key
contributions to the Rio+20 process and the overall goal      Rio+20 offers a real opportunity to scale-up and embed
of addressing poverty and delivering a sustainable 21st       these “green shoots”. In doing so, this report offers not
century.                                                      only a roadmap to Rio but beyond 2012, where a far
                                                              more intelligent management of the natural and human
The report makes a compelling economic and social             capital of this planet finally shapes the wealth creation
case for investing two per cent of global GDP in greening     and direction of this world.
ten central sectors of the economy in order to shift
development and unleash public and private capital
flows onto a low-carbon, resource-efficient path.
                                                                  Achim Steiner
Such a transition can catalyse economic activity of at            UNEP Executive Director
least a comparable size to business as usual, but with            United Nations Under-Secretary General
Contents
Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Foreword . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11

   PART I: Investing in natural capital . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29
Agriculture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31
Fisheries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .77
Water. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111
Forests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151

  PART II: Investing in energy and resource efficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                                                     195
Renewable energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                     197
Manufacturing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                241
Waste. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     287
Buildings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        331
Transport. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         375
Tourism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        413
Cities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .   453

  PART III: Supporting the transition to a global green economy . . . . . .                                                                                                        495
Modelling global green investment scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                                  497
Enabling conditions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                    545
Financing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         583

Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 627

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The Green Economy Report (Title page Acknowledgements, Forward, Contents)

  • 1. Towards a Pathways to Sustainable Development and Poverty Eradication
  • 2. Citation UNEP, 2011, Towards a Green Economy: Pathways to Sustainable Development and Poverty Eradication, www.unep.org/greeneconomy ISBN: 978-92-807-3143-9 Layout by UNEP/GRID-Arendal, www.grida.no Copyright © United Nations Environment Programme, 2011 This publication may be reproduced in whole or in part and in any form for educational or non-profit purposes without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgement of the source is made. UNEP would appreciate receiving a copy of any publication that uses this publication as a source. No use of this publication may be made for resale or for any other commercial purpose whatsoever without prior permission in writing from the United Nations Environment Programme. Disclaimer The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the United Nations Environment UNEP promotes Programme concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its au- thorities, or concerning delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Moreover, the views environmentally sound practices expressed do not necessarily represent the decision or the stated policy of the United globally and in its own activities. This Nations Environment Programme, nor does citing of trade names or commercial publication is printed on 100% recycled paper, processes constitute endorsement. using vegetable - based inks and other eco- friendly practices. Our distribution policy aims to Version -- 02.11.2011 reduce UNEP’s carbon footprint.
  • 3. Towards a Pathways to Sustainable Development and Poverty Eradication
  • 4.
  • 5. Acknowledgements The writing of this report would not have been possible Chapter Coordinating Authors, interact with relevant experts without a coordinated effort from a cast of talented authors in UNEP, solidify outlines, review drafts, facilitate peer reviews, and contributors over the past two years. Acknowledgements compile review comments, guide revisions, conduct research first go to Chapter Coordinating Authors: Robert Ayres, Steve and bring all chapters to final production. Bass, Andrea Bassi, Paul Clements-Hunt, Holger Dalkmann, Derek Eaton, Maryanne Grieg-Gran, Hans Herren, Prasad Additionally, several UNEP staff members provided technical and Modak, Lawrence Pratt, Philipp Rode, Ko Sakamoto, Rashid policy guidance on various chapters: Jacqueline Alder, Juanita Sumaila, Cornis Van Der Lugt, Ton van Dril, Xander van Tilburg, Castaño, Charles Arden-Clark, Surya Chandak, Munyaradzi Peter Wooders and Mike D. Young. Contributing Authors of the Chenje, Thomas Chiramba, Hilary French, Garrette Clark, Rob chapters are acknowledged in the respective chapters. de Jong, Renate Fleiner, Niklas Hagelberg, Arab Hoballah, James Lomax, Angela M. Lusigi, Kaj Madsen, Donna McIntire, Desta Within UNEP, this report was conceived and initiated by the Mebratu, Nick Nuttall, Thierry Oliveira, Martina Otto, David Owen, Executive Director, Achim Steiner. It was led by Pavan Sukhdev and Ravi Prabhu, Jyotsna Puri, Mark Radka, Helena Rey, Rajendra coordinated by Sheng Fulai under the overall management and Shende, Soraya Smaoun, James Sniffen, Guido Sonnemann, guidance of Steven Stone and Sylvie Lemmet. Additional guidance Virginia Sonntag-O’Brien, Niclas Svenningsen, Eric Usher, Cornis was provided by Joseph Alcamo, Marion Cheatle, John Christensen, Van Der Lugt, Jaap van Woerden, Geneviève Verbrugge, Farid Angela Cropper, Peter Gilruth and Ibrahim Thiaw. Alexander Yaker and Yang Wanhua. Their contributions at various stages of Juras and Fatou Ndoye are acknowledged for their leadership in the report development are deeply appreciated. facilitating consultations with Major Groups and Stakeholders. The initial design of the report benefited from inputs from Hussein We acknowledge and appreciate the partnership and support of Abaza, Olivier Deleuze, Maxwell Gomera and Anantha Duraiappah. the team from the International Labour Organization (ILO), led by Peter Poschen. Many ILO staff, in particular Edmundo Werna The conceptualization of the report benefitted from discussions and those acknowledged in the individual chapters, provided involving Graciela Chichilnisky, Peter May, Theodore Panayotou, contributions on employment related issues. The tourism John David Shilling, Kevin Urama and Moses Ikiara. Thanks also chapter was developed in partnership with the World Tourism go to Kenneth Ruffing for his technical editing and contribution Organization (UNWTO), through the coordination of Luigi Cabrini. across several chapters and to Edward B. Barbier and Tim Swanson for their contributions to the Introduction Chapter. Special recognition and thanks are due to Lara Barbier, Etienne Numerous internal and external peer reviewers, acknowledged Cadestin, Daniel Costelloe, Moritz Drupp, Jane Gibbs, Annie in the individual chapters, contributed their time and expertise Haakenstad, Hadia Hakim, Jasmin Hundorf, Sharon Khan, Kim to improve the overall quality and sharpness of the report. Hyunsoo, Andrew Joiner, Kim Juhern, Richard L’Estrange, Tilmann Liebert, François Macheras, Dominique Maingot, Semhar In addition, hundreds of people offered their views and perspectives Mebrahtu, Edward Naval, Laura Ochia, Pratyancha Perdeshi, Dmitry on the report at four major events: the launch meeting of the Green Preobrazhensky, Marco Portugal, Alexandra Quandt, Victoria Wu Economy Initiative in December 2008, a technical workshop in April Qiong, Waqas Rana, Alexandria Rantino, Pascal Rosset, Daniel 2009, a review meeting in July 2010, and a consultative meeting Szczepanski, Usman Tariq, Dhanya Williams, Carissa Wong, Yitong in October 2010. Although they are too numerous to mention Wu and Zhang Xinyue for their research assistance, and Désirée individually, their contributions are deeply appreciated. Experts Leon, Rahila Mughal, and Fatma Pandey for administrative support. who commented on specific draft chapters are noted accordingly in the relevant chapters. The International Chamber of Commerce Many thanks are also due to Nicolas Bertrand and Leigh Ann (ICC) warrants special mention here for its constructive feedback on Hurt for managing the production; Robert McGowan, Dianna numerous chapters. Rienstra, and Mark Schulman for editing; Elizabeth Kemf for copy-editing; and, Tina Schieder, Michael Nassl and Dorit Lehr The report was produced through the dedicated efforts of for fact-checking. the UNEP Chapter Managing Team: Anna Autio, Fatma Ben Fadhl, Nicolas Bertrand, Derek Eaton, Marenglen Gjonaj, Ana Finally, we would like to extend a special thanks to Anne Lucía Iturriza, Moustapha Kamal Gueye, Asad Naqvi, Benjamin Solgaard and the team at UNEP/GRID-Arendal for preparing the Simmons and Vera Weick. They worked tirelessly to engage the layout and design of the report. UNEP would like to thank the governments of Norway, Switzerland and United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland as well as the International Labour Organization, the UN World Tourism Organization and the UN Foundation for their generous support towards the Green Economy Initiative.
  • 6.
  • 7. Foreword Nearly 20 years after the Earth Summit, nations are again on the Road to Rio, but in a world very different and very changed from that of 1992. Then we were just glimpsing some of the challenges a reduced risk of the crises and shocks increasingly emerging across the planet from climate change and the inherent in the existing model. loss of species to desertification and land degradation. New ideas are by their very nature disruptive, but far less Today many of those seemingly far off concerns are disruptive than a world running low on drinking water becoming a reality with sobering implications for not and productive land, set against the backdrop of climate only achieving the UN’s Millennium Development Goals, change, extreme weather events and rising natural but challenging the very opportunity for seven billion resource scarcities. people − rising to nine billion by 2050 − to be able to thrive, let alone survive. A green economy does not favour one political perspective over another. It is relevant to all economies, Rio 1992 did not fail the world – far from it. It provided be they state or more market-led. Neither is it a the vision and important pieces of the multilateral replacement for sustainable development. Rather, it machinery to achieve a sustainable future. is a way of realising that development at the national, regional and global levels and in ways that resonate But this will only be possible if the environmental and with and amplify the implementation of Agenda 21. social pillars of sustainable development are given equal footing with the economic one: where the often invisible A transition to a green economy is already underway, a engines of sustainability, from forests to freshwaters, are point underscored in the report and a growing wealth also given equal if not greater weight in development of companion studies by international organisations, and economic planning. countries, corporations and civil society. But the challenge is clearly to build on this momentum. Towards a Green Economy is among UNEP’s key contributions to the Rio+20 process and the overall goal Rio+20 offers a real opportunity to scale-up and embed of addressing poverty and delivering a sustainable 21st these “green shoots”. In doing so, this report offers not century. only a roadmap to Rio but beyond 2012, where a far more intelligent management of the natural and human The report makes a compelling economic and social capital of this planet finally shapes the wealth creation case for investing two per cent of global GDP in greening and direction of this world. ten central sectors of the economy in order to shift development and unleash public and private capital flows onto a low-carbon, resource-efficient path. Achim Steiner Such a transition can catalyse economic activity of at UNEP Executive Director least a comparable size to business as usual, but with United Nations Under-Secretary General
  • 8.
  • 9. Contents Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Foreword . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 PART I: Investing in natural capital . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Agriculture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31 Fisheries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .77 Water. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 Forests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 PART II: Investing in energy and resource efficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195 Renewable energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197 Manufacturing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241 Waste. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287 Buildings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331 Transport. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 375 Tourism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 413 Cities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 453 PART III: Supporting the transition to a global green economy . . . . . . 495 Modelling global green investment scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 497 Enabling conditions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 545 Financing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 583 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 627