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ASSESSMENT ANALYSIS OF SEISMOLOGIC RISK
   AND GEOHAZARD VULNERABILITY OF FIRST LEVEL
   IN MAJOR CULTURAL HERITAGE SITES OF ALBANIA


    Gian Paolo Cavinato (*), Llambro Duni (**), Massimiliano Moscatelli (*), Iris Pojani (**),
             Maurizio Simionato (*), Giuseppe Cosentino (*), Alessandro Pagliaroli (*)


  (*) CNR- Istituto di Geologia Ambientale e Geoingegneria, Rome, Italy
  (**) University of Tirana, Albania



Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites   Berat, 8th May 2012
ASSESSMENT ANALYSIS OF SEISMOLOGIC RISK
         AND GEOHAZARD VULNERABILITY OF FIRST LEVEL IN
                MAJOR CULTURAL HERITAGE SITES OF ALBANIA


                          Contributions

                          • Historical and archaeological assessment (Iris Pojani)

                          • Regional seismic hazard assessment (Llambro Duni)

                          • Local seismic hazard assessment (CNR-IGAG work group)


Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
Risk preparedness in CH sites




                  Risk = Hazard x Elements at risk x Vulnerability




                             from Managing Disaster Risks (UNESCO 2010)

Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
Risk preparedness in CH sites




                                                                               from Managing Disaster Risks (UNESCO 2010)

Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
from Managing
                                                                                                          Disaster Risks
                                                                                                          (UNESCO 2010)
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
Seismic hazard - Foreword
                        •    Surface effects due to an earthquake propagation are related to several physical
                             phenomena, that can be summarized in three groups as: 1) source mechanism; 2)
                             propagation of seismic waves; 3) site effects.
                        •    When seismic waves propagate from a source, their amplitudes, frequencies, and
                             durations are modified due to local conditions. These “modifications” are globally
                             defined as site effects or local seismic response.
                        •    Modifications of the seismic input for a specific site are defined in comparison to a
                             seismic bedrock, where the seismic signal is assumed to be unmodified. This seismic
                             bedrock is generally located below the ground surface and underlies the covering
                             geological formations inducing site effects.
                        •    Seismic response can be defined for several sites and a map grouping zones whit
                             homogeneous site effects can be produced: this is the seismic microzonation.
                        •    Seismic microzonation in urban areas is a tool suitable for planners and decision
                             makers. Moreover, the seismic action calculated for significant monuments is useful
                             for consolidation works.
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
REGIONAL
 SEISIMC HAZARD
    IN ALBANIA

 Albania is
 characterized
 from an
 intensive
 seismic
 microactivity
 (1.0<M≤3.0),
 from many
 small
 earthquakes
 (3.0<M≤5.0),
 from rare
 medium-sized
 earthquakes
 (5.0<M≤ 7), and
 very seldom
 from strong
 earthquakes
 (M>7.0).
                             CH sites



Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
Seismic microzonation
       LOCAL
  SEISIMC HAZARD        The seismic microzonation studies are aimed at streamlining the
    EVALUATION          knowledge of local seismic hazard, returning useful information for:
  When seismic          • guiding the choice of areas for new settlements;
  waves                 • planning investigations and levels of detail;
  propagate from
  a source, their       • establishing guidelines and criteria of interventions in urban areas and
  amplitudes,              CH sites.
  frequencies,
  and durations         • defining priorities for interventions.
  are modified          In retrofitting of existing infrastructures or monuments, seismic
  due to local
  conditions.           microzonation studies highlight the importance of phenomena such as
  These                 possible amplification of shaking and permanent deformation.
  “modifications”
  are globally          Following the Italian "Addresses and Criteria for Seismic Microzonation"
  defined as site       (ICMS, 2008), the levels of analysis for studies of seismic microzonation
  effects or local
  seismic               increase in complexity and effort going from level 1 to level 3:
  response.             • level 1 is an introductory level designed to divide the territory into
                           seismic microzones qualitatively “homogeneous” in seismic
                           perspective;
                        • levels 2 and 3 produces a quantitative map of seismic microzonation,
                           by means of numerical simulations.
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
Seismic microzonation of level 1
       LOCAL
  SEISIMC HAZARD        How is created?
    EVALUATION
                        The input information can be summarized as follow:
  When seismic          1) topographic (e.g., maps and Digital Terrain Models) and
  waves
  propagate from
                           geomorphological (e.g., escarpments and landslides) information ;
  a source, their       2) geological maps with information on litho-type, i.e., “different kinds of
  amplitudes,
  frequencies,
                           rocks or terrains”;
  and durations         3) already available geological, geotechnical, and geophysical
  are modified
  due to local
                           information from boreholes and other in situ tests;
  conditions.           4) thickness of soft geological formations covering the seismic bedrock;
  These
  “modifications”
                        5) evaluation of the seismic bedrock depth from noise measurements.
  are globally
  defined as site
  effects or local
                        What is on the map?
  seismic
  response.
                        • Stable zones, where significant local effects of any nature are unlikely.
                        • Stable zones susceptible to local amplifications, where intensifications
                          of ground motion are likely.
                        • Zones susceptible to geological instability, in which the predominant
                          and expected seismic effects are due to permanent deformations.
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
GEOLOGICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Different
 lithotypes
 behave in
 different ways
 when interested
 by a seismic
 wave: they have
 to be carefully
 mapped.
 Zones
 susceptible of
 permanent
 deformations in
 seismic
 conditions (i.e.,
 landslide prone
 areas) have also
 to be mapped.                                                                                 Apollonia


Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Microtremor
 measurements
 performed to
 define site the                               f0=Vs/4H                                                          Apollonia
 fundamental                                                                                              THE MONASTERY
 frequencies,
 i.e., soil
 resonance
 frequencies
 when affected
 by an
 earthquake
 event.




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
700 m/s
        NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
                                                                                       Apollonia
 MICROZONATION
                                                                                       THE MONASTERY
 MASW enable
 to characterize
 the velocity
 structure of the
 subsoil. The
 lower the shear
 velocity Vs, the
 poorer the
 «quality» of the
 soil in terms of
 site response.
 The higher the
 velocity
 contrast
 between
 superimposed
 layers of soils,
 the higher the
 susceptibility to
 local seismic
 amplification.
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
SUSCEPTIBILITY
  TO INSTABILITY

Define zones                                                              crowns
susceptible to
geological
instability, i.e.,
slope instability,
differential
settlement,
liquefaction, in                                                                                          Apollonia
which the
predominant and
                                                                                                          THE THEATRE
expected seismic
effects are due to
permanent
deformations
(amplification of
ground motion is                                                                                             earth flow
also possible).
                                                                                                            accumulation




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION
  OF LEVEL 1 OF
    APOLLONIA




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
What is critical?
      SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION          The seismic microzonation level 1 enables to divide the territory
  OF LEVEL 1 OF         of Apollonia in two main zones: 1) the hilly area, less susceptible
    APOLLONIA
                        to seismic amplification; 2) the coastal plain, more susceptible to
                        seismic amplification, given the presence of Quaternary very soft
                        sediments.

                        Where the weaknesses are?
                        The main uncertainties are related 1) to not well known
                        distribution of lithotypes characterizing the geological bedrock,
                        and 2) to not well known thickness of the Quaternary cover in the
                        lateral valleys and coastal plain. For this motive is desirable that
                        these uncertainties can be reduced through i) a detailed
                        geological-geotechnical survey of the archaeological area, and ii)
                        the use of geophysical methods which provide information on the
                        thicknesses of the recent soft covers.

Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
GEOLOGICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Different
 lithotypes
 behave in
 different ways
 when interested
 by a seismic
 wave: they have
 to be carefully
 mapped.
 Zones                                      Berat
 susceptible of
 permanent
 deformations in
 seismic
 conditions (i.e.,
 landslide prone
 areas) have also
 to be mapped.




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Microtremor
 measurements
 performed to
 define site the
 fundamental                                   f0=Vs/4H                                                         Berat
 frequencies,                                                                                             THE CASTLE
 i.e., soil
 resonance
 frequencies
 when affected
 by an
 earthquake
 event.




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Microtremor
 measurements
 performed to
 define site the
                                               f0=Vs/4H                                                             Berat
 fundamental
 frequencies,                                                                                             THE OSUM RIVER
 i.e., soil
 resonance
 frequencies
 when affected
 by an
 earthquake
 event.




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
1200 m/s
        NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION                                                                             Berat
 MASW enable
                                                                                           THE CASTLE
 to characterize
 the velocity
 structure of the
 subsoil. The
 lower the shear
 velocity Vs, the
 poorer the
 «quality» of the
 soil in terms of
 site response.
 The higher the
 velocity
 contrast
 between
 superimposed
 layers of soils,
 the higher the
 susceptibility to
 local seismic
 amplification.
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC                                          < 200 m/s
 MICROZONATION

 MASW enable
 to characterize
 the velocity
 structure of the
 subsoil. The
 lower the shear
 velocity Vs, the
 poorer the
 «quality» of the
 soil in terms of
 site response.
 The higher the
 velocity
 contrast
 between
 superimposed
 layers of soils,
 the higher the                                                      1300 m/s
 susceptibility to            Berat
 local seismic                THE OSUM RIVER
 amplification.
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
SUSCEPTIBILITY
  TO INSTABILITY

Define zones
susceptible to
geological
instability, i.e.,
slope instability,
differential
settlement,
liquefaction, in
                                                                                                Berat
which the                                                                                       THE HISTORIC CENTER
predominant and
expected seismic
effects are due to
permanent
deformations
(amplification of
ground motion is
also possible).




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION
  OF LEVEL 1 OF
       BERAT




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
What is critical?
      SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION          No relevant Vs contrasts were recorded in Berat, except for the
  OF LEVEL 1 OF         Osum River valley, even if steep slopes can induce local seismic
       BERAT
                        amplification and trigger gravitational instabilities.
                        By the way, the main geohazard affecting the city of Berat is
                        represented by the instability of rock escarpments overlooking
                        the historic city center. The risk related to this criticality is high in
                        static conditions and could be even higher if a seismic event
                        should occur.

                        Where the weaknesses are?
                        We suggest to carry out a detailed study of structural and
                        geomechanical setting of the limestone cropping out along the
                        escarpments, if not already available.



Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
GEOLOGICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Different
 lithotypes
 behave in
 different ways
 when interested
 by a seismic
 wave: they have
 to be carefully
 mapped.
 Zones                                                                                    Butrint
 susceptible of
 permanent
 deformations in
 seismic
 conditions (i.e.,
 landslide prone
 areas) have also
 to be mapped.                                                                                            fault scarp

Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR                                                                                     f0=Vs/4H
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Microtremor
 measurements
 performed to
 define site the
 fundamental
 frequencies,
 i.e., soil
 resonance
 frequencies
 when affected
 by an
 earthquake
 event.




                                             Butrint
                                  TRICONCH PALACE
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Microtremor
 measurements
 performed to
 define site the
 fundamental
 frequencies,
 i.e., soil
 resonance
 frequencies
 when affected
 by an
 earthquake
 event.



                              topographic effect
                                                      Butrint
                                                  ACROPOLIS
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
SUSCEPTIBILITY
  TO INSTABILITY




                coastal plain

                                                                                                          rock falls
                                                                     differential settlements
                                                              Butrint
                                                              THEATRE AND DWELLING WITH ATRIUM
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION
  OF LEVEL 1 OF
      BUTRINT




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
What is critical?
      SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION
                        The territory of Butrint is heterogeneous in terms of susceptibility
  OF LEVEL 1 OF         to seismic amplification, due to extreme geological variability.
      BUTRINT           The most critical zone in terms of possible site amplifications is
                        the coastal plain. High susceptibility to geological instability, both
                        for differential settlements and rock falls, is related to the
                        presence of the fault scarp bounding the Acropolis.

                        Where the weaknesses are?
                        The seismic microzonation of level 1 of Butrint is affected by high
                        level of uncertainty because of the lack of information about
                        lithology, thickness, and shear wave velocity of the lithotypes.
                        Lithostratigraphic and geometric uncertainty could be pulled
                        down by means of one deep borehole located close to the Vivari
                        channel, associated with Electrical Resistivity Tomographies
                        (ERTs) oriented perpendicular to the fault scarp. Shear wave
                        velocity could be detected by means of MASW measurements.
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
GEOLOGICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Different
 lithotypes
 behave in
 different ways
 when interested
 by a seismic
 wave: they have
 to be carefully                                                                                          Gjirokastra
 mapped.
 Zones
 susceptible of
 permanent
 deformations in
 seismic
 conditions (i.e.,
 landslide prone
 areas) have also
 to be mapped.




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR                                 f0=Vs/4H
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Microtremor
 measurements
 performed to
 define site the
 fundamental                       topographic effect                                                       Gjirokastra
 frequencies.                                                                                             THE CASTLE
 These
 frequencies are
 related to the
 thickness of
 soft soils
 covering the
 basal rigid
 bedrock
 through the
 shear velocity,
 Vs.




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
NEW
  GEOPHYSICAL
   SURVEY FOR
 LEVEL 1 SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION

 Microtremor
 measurements
 performed to
 define site the
 fundamental                                                                                                 Gjirokastra
 frequencies.
 These                                                                                                    THE STADIUM
 frequencies are
 related to the
 thickness of
 soft soils
 covering the
 basal rigid
 bedrock
 through the
 shear velocity,
 Vs.




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
SUSCEPTIBILITY
  TO INSTABILITY

                                                                                               debries flows from
                                                                                               alluvial fan
                                historic walls
        fractured
        conglomerates


                                                                                                           castle
                          rafting blocks



                                          Gjirokastra                                                     rafting blocks
                                   TOPPLED BLOCKS
                                   AND ALLUVIAL FAN
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION
  OF LEVEL 1 OF
   GJIROKASTRA




       Z1         Z2          Z3          Z4        Z5-Z6




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
What is critical?
      SEISMIC
 MICROZONATION
                        The most critical zones in terms of possible site amplifications:
  OF LEVEL 1 OF         1) buried narrow valleys located at the mouth of mountain
   GJIROKASTRA          streams (zone 4), carrying high volumes of coarse clastic
                        materials to the valley Drino River; 2) narrow ridges bonding the
                        buried valleys, where topographic effects highlighted by
                        microtremors measurements could induce site amplification.
                        A rigid fractured layer of conglomerates generally occupies the
                        top of the narrow ridges (e.g., where the castle is located) and is
                        highly susceptible to rock falls and toppling of isolated blocks.

                        Where the weaknesses are?
                        Neither direct observation of subsoil nor Vs information are
                        generally available for the site. No geotechnical parameters are
                        available for a proper evaluation of the dynamic behavior of soils
                        and rocks. An additional investigation survey and the passage to
                        a level 3 of seismic microzonation is suggested.
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
What is useful for?
      SEISMIC
                        The seismic microzonation of level 3 is an advanced map that allows
 MICROZONATION
                        quantitatively to define homogeneous zones - in terms of site response -
    OF LEVEL 3
                        for a specific seismic input, i.e., for a specific earthquake scenario.

                        How is created?
                        The input information can be summarized as follow:
                        1) topographic (e.g., maps and Digital Terrain Models) and
                           geomorphological (e.g., escarpments and landslides) information;
                        2) geological maps with information on lithotype, i.e., “different kinds of
                           rocks or terrains”;
                        3) already available and new geological, geotechnical, and geophysical
                           information from boreholes and other in situ and laboratory tests;
                        4) evaluation of the seismic bedrock depth from noise measurements.
                        5) seismic input from one or more earthquake scenarios.
                        Numerical modeling allows quantitatively to define site effects.


Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
Seismic microzonation of level 3 - Dynamic parameters




                                                                                                         Vertical velocity gradient of the anthropic layer
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat,   8th   May 2012
Seismic microzonation of level 3 - Seismic input




                        Characteristics of the seismicity affecting Berat (left) and
                        reference spectra selected for the microzonation (right)
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
Seismic microzonation of level 3 - Modeling of local
                        seismic response                                                                  Cross-section 7

      Cross-section 2




                                                                                                                            Coliseum




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
0.8
     trale, Sa(g)spettrale, AccelerazioneAccelerazione spettrale, AccelerazioneAccelerazione spettrale, AccelerazioneAccelerazione spettrale, Sa(g)
                                                                                                                                                                                             2A
                                                                                                                                                                                             input
                                                                                                                                                      0.6

                                                                                                                                                      0.8
                                                                                                                                                      0.4
                                                                                                                     spettrale, Sa(g)



                                                                                                                                                                                             3E
                                                                                                                                                                                             input
                                                                                                                                                      0.6
                                                                                                                                                      0.2             Seismic microzonation maps of level 3 and response spectra
                                                                                                                                                      0.4
                                                                                                                                                        0
                                                                                                                                                            0   0.5          1         1.5           2           lower or
                                                                                                                                                                       Periodo, T(s)                          no mplification
                                                                                                                                                      0.2
                                                                                                                                                      0.8
                                                                                                        Sa(g)




                                                                                                                                                                                             2B
                                                                                                                                                        0                                    input
                                                                                                                                                      0.6 0     0.5          1         1.5           2
                                                                                                                                                                       Periodo, T(s)                                         higher
                                                                                                                                                      0.8
                                                                                                                                                      0.4
                                                                                                                                                                         SAN TEODORO’S                                     amplification
                                                                               spettrale, Sa(g)




                                                                                                                                                                         CHURCH     3F
                                                                                                                                                                                             input
                                                                                                                                                      0.6
                                                                                                                                                      0.2

                                                                                                                                                      0.4
                                                                                                                                                        0
                                                                                                                                                            0   0.5          1         1.5           2
                                                                                                                                                      0.2              Periodo, T(s)
                                                                                                                                                      0.8
                                                                  Sa(g)




                                                                                                                                                                                             2C
                                                                                                                                                        0                                    input
                                                                                                                                                      0.6 0     0.5          1         1.5           2
                                                                                                                                                                       Periodo, T(s)
                                                                                                                                                      0.8
                                                                                                                                                      0.4
                                         spettrale, Sa(g)




                                                                                                                                                                                             3G
                                                                                                                                                                                             input                                ARCH OF TITUS
                                                                                                                                                      0.6
                                                                                                                                                      0.2

                                                                                                                                                      0.4
                                                                                                                                                        0
                                                                                                                                                                         ARCH OF TITUS                   SAN TEODORO’S
                                                                                                                                                            0   0.5          1         1.5           2   CHURCH
                                                                                                                                                                       Periodo, T(s)
                                                                                                                                                      0.2
                                                                                                                                                      0.8
                            Sa(g)




                                                                                                                                                                                             2D
                                                                                                                                                        0                                    input
                                                                                                                                                      0.6 0     0.5          1         1.5           2
                                                                                                                                                                       Periodo, T(s)
                                                                                                                                                      0.8
                                                                                                                                                      0.4
      lerazione




                                                                                                                                                                                             3H
                                                                                                                                                                                             input
        0.6
        0.2
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
Concluding remarks and future works
                        • Cooperation among the involved Institutions has been crucial for the project.

                        • The application presented in this work clearly demonstrates the potential for
                        full integration of geological, geophysical, and archaeological methodologies.

                        • Seismic microzonation in historical centers and archaeological areas is
                        strongly conditioned by the availability of data. For the sites of this project,
                        scarcity of data is the main factor affecting the reliability of seismic
                        microzonations of level 1.

                        • An integration of existing surveying is recommended for all the investigated
                        Albanian Cultural Heritage sites. Seismic microzonation of level 3 is
                        recommended for evaluating local seismic amplification, aimed at seismic risk
                        prevention and mitigation.

                        • Regarding seismic microzonation, addenda to available guidelines (i.e., for
                        seismic microzonation) is specifically required for archaeological areas or for
                        historical center of ancient and permanent urbanization.
Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
Coming soon
                        Special issue of the Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering on:

                        Seismic Microzonation of the Central Archaeological
                        Area of Rome
                        Editors: Massimiliano Moscatelli, Alessandro Pagliaroli, Gian Paolo Cavinato
                        (National Research Council), Sergio Castenetto, Giuseppe Naso (Italian Civil
                        Protection Department)


                        Contribution focused on:
                        Cultural heritage - proposal of guidelines for
                        evaluating local seismic hazard




Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012

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Disaster Risk Preparedness & Management: Cavinato - II

  • 1. ASSESSMENT ANALYSIS OF SEISMOLOGIC RISK AND GEOHAZARD VULNERABILITY OF FIRST LEVEL IN MAJOR CULTURAL HERITAGE SITES OF ALBANIA Gian Paolo Cavinato (*), Llambro Duni (**), Massimiliano Moscatelli (*), Iris Pojani (**), Maurizio Simionato (*), Giuseppe Cosentino (*), Alessandro Pagliaroli (*) (*) CNR- Istituto di Geologia Ambientale e Geoingegneria, Rome, Italy (**) University of Tirana, Albania Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 2. ASSESSMENT ANALYSIS OF SEISMOLOGIC RISK AND GEOHAZARD VULNERABILITY OF FIRST LEVEL IN MAJOR CULTURAL HERITAGE SITES OF ALBANIA Contributions • Historical and archaeological assessment (Iris Pojani) • Regional seismic hazard assessment (Llambro Duni) • Local seismic hazard assessment (CNR-IGAG work group) Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 3. Risk preparedness in CH sites Risk = Hazard x Elements at risk x Vulnerability from Managing Disaster Risks (UNESCO 2010) Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 4. Risk preparedness in CH sites from Managing Disaster Risks (UNESCO 2010) Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 5. from Managing Disaster Risks (UNESCO 2010) Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 6. Seismic hazard - Foreword • Surface effects due to an earthquake propagation are related to several physical phenomena, that can be summarized in three groups as: 1) source mechanism; 2) propagation of seismic waves; 3) site effects. • When seismic waves propagate from a source, their amplitudes, frequencies, and durations are modified due to local conditions. These “modifications” are globally defined as site effects or local seismic response. • Modifications of the seismic input for a specific site are defined in comparison to a seismic bedrock, where the seismic signal is assumed to be unmodified. This seismic bedrock is generally located below the ground surface and underlies the covering geological formations inducing site effects. • Seismic response can be defined for several sites and a map grouping zones whit homogeneous site effects can be produced: this is the seismic microzonation. • Seismic microzonation in urban areas is a tool suitable for planners and decision makers. Moreover, the seismic action calculated for significant monuments is useful for consolidation works. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 7. REGIONAL SEISIMC HAZARD IN ALBANIA Albania is characterized from an intensive seismic microactivity (1.0<M≤3.0), from many small earthquakes (3.0<M≤5.0), from rare medium-sized earthquakes (5.0<M≤ 7), and very seldom from strong earthquakes (M>7.0). CH sites Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 8. Seismic microzonation LOCAL SEISIMC HAZARD The seismic microzonation studies are aimed at streamlining the EVALUATION knowledge of local seismic hazard, returning useful information for: When seismic • guiding the choice of areas for new settlements; waves • planning investigations and levels of detail; propagate from a source, their • establishing guidelines and criteria of interventions in urban areas and amplitudes, CH sites. frequencies, and durations • defining priorities for interventions. are modified In retrofitting of existing infrastructures or monuments, seismic due to local conditions. microzonation studies highlight the importance of phenomena such as These possible amplification of shaking and permanent deformation. “modifications” are globally Following the Italian "Addresses and Criteria for Seismic Microzonation" defined as site (ICMS, 2008), the levels of analysis for studies of seismic microzonation effects or local seismic increase in complexity and effort going from level 1 to level 3: response. • level 1 is an introductory level designed to divide the territory into seismic microzones qualitatively “homogeneous” in seismic perspective; • levels 2 and 3 produces a quantitative map of seismic microzonation, by means of numerical simulations. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 9. Seismic microzonation of level 1 LOCAL SEISIMC HAZARD How is created? EVALUATION The input information can be summarized as follow: When seismic 1) topographic (e.g., maps and Digital Terrain Models) and waves propagate from geomorphological (e.g., escarpments and landslides) information ; a source, their 2) geological maps with information on litho-type, i.e., “different kinds of amplitudes, frequencies, rocks or terrains”; and durations 3) already available geological, geotechnical, and geophysical are modified due to local information from boreholes and other in situ tests; conditions. 4) thickness of soft geological formations covering the seismic bedrock; These “modifications” 5) evaluation of the seismic bedrock depth from noise measurements. are globally defined as site effects or local What is on the map? seismic response. • Stable zones, where significant local effects of any nature are unlikely. • Stable zones susceptible to local amplifications, where intensifications of ground motion are likely. • Zones susceptible to geological instability, in which the predominant and expected seismic effects are due to permanent deformations. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 10. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Different lithotypes behave in different ways when interested by a seismic wave: they have to be carefully mapped. Zones susceptible of permanent deformations in seismic conditions (i.e., landslide prone areas) have also to be mapped. Apollonia Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 11. NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Microtremor measurements performed to define site the f0=Vs/4H Apollonia fundamental THE MONASTERY frequencies, i.e., soil resonance frequencies when affected by an earthquake event. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 12. 700 m/s NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC Apollonia MICROZONATION THE MONASTERY MASW enable to characterize the velocity structure of the subsoil. The lower the shear velocity Vs, the poorer the «quality» of the soil in terms of site response. The higher the velocity contrast between superimposed layers of soils, the higher the susceptibility to local seismic amplification. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 13. SUSCEPTIBILITY TO INSTABILITY Define zones crowns susceptible to geological instability, i.e., slope instability, differential settlement, liquefaction, in Apollonia which the predominant and THE THEATRE expected seismic effects are due to permanent deformations (amplification of ground motion is earth flow also possible). accumulation Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 14. SEISMIC MICROZONATION OF LEVEL 1 OF APOLLONIA Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 15. What is critical? SEISMIC MICROZONATION The seismic microzonation level 1 enables to divide the territory OF LEVEL 1 OF of Apollonia in two main zones: 1) the hilly area, less susceptible APOLLONIA to seismic amplification; 2) the coastal plain, more susceptible to seismic amplification, given the presence of Quaternary very soft sediments. Where the weaknesses are? The main uncertainties are related 1) to not well known distribution of lithotypes characterizing the geological bedrock, and 2) to not well known thickness of the Quaternary cover in the lateral valleys and coastal plain. For this motive is desirable that these uncertainties can be reduced through i) a detailed geological-geotechnical survey of the archaeological area, and ii) the use of geophysical methods which provide information on the thicknesses of the recent soft covers. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 16. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Different lithotypes behave in different ways when interested by a seismic wave: they have to be carefully mapped. Zones Berat susceptible of permanent deformations in seismic conditions (i.e., landslide prone areas) have also to be mapped. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 17. NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Microtremor measurements performed to define site the fundamental f0=Vs/4H Berat frequencies, THE CASTLE i.e., soil resonance frequencies when affected by an earthquake event. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 18. NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Microtremor measurements performed to define site the f0=Vs/4H Berat fundamental frequencies, THE OSUM RIVER i.e., soil resonance frequencies when affected by an earthquake event. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 19. 1200 m/s NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Berat MASW enable THE CASTLE to characterize the velocity structure of the subsoil. The lower the shear velocity Vs, the poorer the «quality» of the soil in terms of site response. The higher the velocity contrast between superimposed layers of soils, the higher the susceptibility to local seismic amplification. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 20. NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC < 200 m/s MICROZONATION MASW enable to characterize the velocity structure of the subsoil. The lower the shear velocity Vs, the poorer the «quality» of the soil in terms of site response. The higher the velocity contrast between superimposed layers of soils, the higher the 1300 m/s susceptibility to Berat local seismic THE OSUM RIVER amplification. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 21. SUSCEPTIBILITY TO INSTABILITY Define zones susceptible to geological instability, i.e., slope instability, differential settlement, liquefaction, in Berat which the THE HISTORIC CENTER predominant and expected seismic effects are due to permanent deformations (amplification of ground motion is also possible). Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 22. SEISMIC MICROZONATION OF LEVEL 1 OF BERAT Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 23. What is critical? SEISMIC MICROZONATION No relevant Vs contrasts were recorded in Berat, except for the OF LEVEL 1 OF Osum River valley, even if steep slopes can induce local seismic BERAT amplification and trigger gravitational instabilities. By the way, the main geohazard affecting the city of Berat is represented by the instability of rock escarpments overlooking the historic city center. The risk related to this criticality is high in static conditions and could be even higher if a seismic event should occur. Where the weaknesses are? We suggest to carry out a detailed study of structural and geomechanical setting of the limestone cropping out along the escarpments, if not already available. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 24. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Different lithotypes behave in different ways when interested by a seismic wave: they have to be carefully mapped. Zones Butrint susceptible of permanent deformations in seismic conditions (i.e., landslide prone areas) have also to be mapped. fault scarp Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 25. NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR f0=Vs/4H LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Microtremor measurements performed to define site the fundamental frequencies, i.e., soil resonance frequencies when affected by an earthquake event. Butrint TRICONCH PALACE Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 26. NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Microtremor measurements performed to define site the fundamental frequencies, i.e., soil resonance frequencies when affected by an earthquake event. topographic effect Butrint ACROPOLIS Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 27. SUSCEPTIBILITY TO INSTABILITY coastal plain rock falls differential settlements Butrint THEATRE AND DWELLING WITH ATRIUM Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 28. SEISMIC MICROZONATION OF LEVEL 1 OF BUTRINT Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 29. What is critical? SEISMIC MICROZONATION The territory of Butrint is heterogeneous in terms of susceptibility OF LEVEL 1 OF to seismic amplification, due to extreme geological variability. BUTRINT The most critical zone in terms of possible site amplifications is the coastal plain. High susceptibility to geological instability, both for differential settlements and rock falls, is related to the presence of the fault scarp bounding the Acropolis. Where the weaknesses are? The seismic microzonation of level 1 of Butrint is affected by high level of uncertainty because of the lack of information about lithology, thickness, and shear wave velocity of the lithotypes. Lithostratigraphic and geometric uncertainty could be pulled down by means of one deep borehole located close to the Vivari channel, associated with Electrical Resistivity Tomographies (ERTs) oriented perpendicular to the fault scarp. Shear wave velocity could be detected by means of MASW measurements. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 30. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Different lithotypes behave in different ways when interested by a seismic wave: they have to be carefully Gjirokastra mapped. Zones susceptible of permanent deformations in seismic conditions (i.e., landslide prone areas) have also to be mapped. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 31. NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR f0=Vs/4H LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Microtremor measurements performed to define site the fundamental topographic effect Gjirokastra frequencies. THE CASTLE These frequencies are related to the thickness of soft soils covering the basal rigid bedrock through the shear velocity, Vs. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 32. NEW GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY FOR LEVEL 1 SEISMIC MICROZONATION Microtremor measurements performed to define site the fundamental Gjirokastra frequencies. These THE STADIUM frequencies are related to the thickness of soft soils covering the basal rigid bedrock through the shear velocity, Vs. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 33. SUSCEPTIBILITY TO INSTABILITY debries flows from alluvial fan historic walls fractured conglomerates castle rafting blocks Gjirokastra rafting blocks TOPPLED BLOCKS AND ALLUVIAL FAN Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 34. SEISMIC MICROZONATION OF LEVEL 1 OF GJIROKASTRA Z1 Z2 Z3 Z4 Z5-Z6 Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 35. What is critical? SEISMIC MICROZONATION The most critical zones in terms of possible site amplifications: OF LEVEL 1 OF 1) buried narrow valleys located at the mouth of mountain GJIROKASTRA streams (zone 4), carrying high volumes of coarse clastic materials to the valley Drino River; 2) narrow ridges bonding the buried valleys, where topographic effects highlighted by microtremors measurements could induce site amplification. A rigid fractured layer of conglomerates generally occupies the top of the narrow ridges (e.g., where the castle is located) and is highly susceptible to rock falls and toppling of isolated blocks. Where the weaknesses are? Neither direct observation of subsoil nor Vs information are generally available for the site. No geotechnical parameters are available for a proper evaluation of the dynamic behavior of soils and rocks. An additional investigation survey and the passage to a level 3 of seismic microzonation is suggested. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 36. What is useful for? SEISMIC The seismic microzonation of level 3 is an advanced map that allows MICROZONATION quantitatively to define homogeneous zones - in terms of site response - OF LEVEL 3 for a specific seismic input, i.e., for a specific earthquake scenario. How is created? The input information can be summarized as follow: 1) topographic (e.g., maps and Digital Terrain Models) and geomorphological (e.g., escarpments and landslides) information; 2) geological maps with information on lithotype, i.e., “different kinds of rocks or terrains”; 3) already available and new geological, geotechnical, and geophysical information from boreholes and other in situ and laboratory tests; 4) evaluation of the seismic bedrock depth from noise measurements. 5) seismic input from one or more earthquake scenarios. Numerical modeling allows quantitatively to define site effects. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 37. Seismic microzonation of level 3 - Dynamic parameters Vertical velocity gradient of the anthropic layer Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 38. Seismic microzonation of level 3 - Seismic input Characteristics of the seismicity affecting Berat (left) and reference spectra selected for the microzonation (right) Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 39. Seismic microzonation of level 3 - Modeling of local seismic response Cross-section 7 Cross-section 2 Coliseum Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 40. 0.8 trale, Sa(g)spettrale, AccelerazioneAccelerazione spettrale, AccelerazioneAccelerazione spettrale, AccelerazioneAccelerazione spettrale, Sa(g) 2A input 0.6 0.8 0.4 spettrale, Sa(g) 3E input 0.6 0.2 Seismic microzonation maps of level 3 and response spectra 0.4 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 lower or Periodo, T(s) no mplification 0.2 0.8 Sa(g) 2B 0 input 0.6 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Periodo, T(s) higher 0.8 0.4 SAN TEODORO’S amplification spettrale, Sa(g) CHURCH 3F input 0.6 0.2 0.4 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 0.2 Periodo, T(s) 0.8 Sa(g) 2C 0 input 0.6 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Periodo, T(s) 0.8 0.4 spettrale, Sa(g) 3G input ARCH OF TITUS 0.6 0.2 0.4 0 ARCH OF TITUS SAN TEODORO’S 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 CHURCH Periodo, T(s) 0.2 0.8 Sa(g) 2D 0 input 0.6 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Periodo, T(s) 0.8 0.4 lerazione 3H input 0.6 0.2 Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 41. Concluding remarks and future works • Cooperation among the involved Institutions has been crucial for the project. • The application presented in this work clearly demonstrates the potential for full integration of geological, geophysical, and archaeological methodologies. • Seismic microzonation in historical centers and archaeological areas is strongly conditioned by the availability of data. For the sites of this project, scarcity of data is the main factor affecting the reliability of seismic microzonations of level 1. • An integration of existing surveying is recommended for all the investigated Albanian Cultural Heritage sites. Seismic microzonation of level 3 is recommended for evaluating local seismic amplification, aimed at seismic risk prevention and mitigation. • Regarding seismic microzonation, addenda to available guidelines (i.e., for seismic microzonation) is specifically required for archaeological areas or for historical center of ancient and permanent urbanization. Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012
  • 42. Coming soon Special issue of the Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering on: Seismic Microzonation of the Central Archaeological Area of Rome Editors: Massimiliano Moscatelli, Alessandro Pagliaroli, Gian Paolo Cavinato (National Research Council), Sergio Castenetto, Giuseppe Naso (Italian Civil Protection Department) Contribution focused on: Cultural heritage - proposal of guidelines for evaluating local seismic hazard Conference on Disaster Risk Preparedness and Management in Cultural Heritage Sites. Berat, 8th May 2012