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What Now? Health Reform in the
Aftermath of the S. Ct. Decision
Jaime S. King, JD, PhD
UCSF/UC Hastings Consortium on Law, Science and
Health Policy
June 29, 2012
Two Major Holdings
 Individual Mandate upheld
  4 Justices upheld it via the Commerce Clause
   (Ginsburg, Sotomayor, Kagan, and Breyer)
  Chief Justice Roberts upheld it as a tax.


 Medicaid Expansion
  Federal government may incentivize the expansion
      Roberts, Kagan, Breyer, Ginsburg, Sotomayor
  But, the Federal Government cannot withdraw all
   Medicaid funds for failure to expand
      Roberts, Kagan, Breyer, Scalia, Alito, Kennedy,
        Thomas
Major Elements of the ACA
    Upheld
 Individual Mandate
 Employer Mandate/Play or Pay
 Premium and Cost Sharing Subsidies
 Medicaid Expansion (limited)
 Health Insurance Exchanges
 No Preexisting Condition Exclusion
 Community Rating
 Dependents can stay on insurance until age 26
 Payment Changes in Medicare
Health Law and Policy Initial
Implications
 2014 – Nearly all individuals will have to purchase
  health insurance or pay a tax.



 Medicaid Expansion – Opt In



 State Exchanges – Back on Track



 Future Litigation/Repeal Efforts
No “Broccoli Horrible”
Mandate vs. Tax
Medicaid Expansion – Opt In
  Prior Medicaid Eligibility                ACA
 Disabled                      All individuals with incomes
                                 under 133% of the Federal
 Blind                          Poverty Level

 Families with Children

 Elderly                       ACA Following S. Ct. Ruling
                                  133% only if state decides
                                   to expand
What will the States do?
Medicaid/Tax Credit Ineligible?
 $15,000 Total Income for 2    $90,000 Total Income for 4
Exempt from the Individual
Mandate, but No Subsidy?




    100% FPL
Strategies to Undermine the
  Health Law
 Repeal and Replace Entire Bill



 Repeal Portions of the Bill



 Litigate HHS Regulations



 Limit Appropriations
Difficult to Repeal and
Replace All of it….
Is This the End of the Fight?

 Repeal and Replace Entire Bill



 Repeal Portions of the Bill



 Litigate HHS Regulations



 Limit Appropriations
Intersection of Law, Science
and Health Policy

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What Now? Health Reform in the Aftermath of the Supreme Court Decision.

  • 1. What Now? Health Reform in the Aftermath of the S. Ct. Decision Jaime S. King, JD, PhD UCSF/UC Hastings Consortium on Law, Science and Health Policy June 29, 2012
  • 2. Two Major Holdings  Individual Mandate upheld  4 Justices upheld it via the Commerce Clause (Ginsburg, Sotomayor, Kagan, and Breyer)  Chief Justice Roberts upheld it as a tax.  Medicaid Expansion  Federal government may incentivize the expansion  Roberts, Kagan, Breyer, Ginsburg, Sotomayor  But, the Federal Government cannot withdraw all Medicaid funds for failure to expand  Roberts, Kagan, Breyer, Scalia, Alito, Kennedy, Thomas
  • 3. Major Elements of the ACA Upheld  Individual Mandate  Employer Mandate/Play or Pay  Premium and Cost Sharing Subsidies  Medicaid Expansion (limited)  Health Insurance Exchanges  No Preexisting Condition Exclusion  Community Rating  Dependents can stay on insurance until age 26  Payment Changes in Medicare
  • 4. Health Law and Policy Initial Implications  2014 – Nearly all individuals will have to purchase health insurance or pay a tax.  Medicaid Expansion – Opt In  State Exchanges – Back on Track  Future Litigation/Repeal Efforts
  • 7. Medicaid Expansion – Opt In Prior Medicaid Eligibility ACA  Disabled  All individuals with incomes under 133% of the Federal  Blind Poverty Level  Families with Children  Elderly  ACA Following S. Ct. Ruling  133% only if state decides to expand
  • 8. What will the States do?
  • 9. Medicaid/Tax Credit Ineligible?  $15,000 Total Income for 2  $90,000 Total Income for 4
  • 10. Exempt from the Individual Mandate, but No Subsidy? 100% FPL
  • 11.
  • 12. Strategies to Undermine the Health Law  Repeal and Replace Entire Bill  Repeal Portions of the Bill  Litigate HHS Regulations  Limit Appropriations
  • 13. Difficult to Repeal and Replace All of it….
  • 14. Is This the End of the Fight?  Repeal and Replace Entire Bill  Repeal Portions of the Bill  Litigate HHS Regulations  Limit Appropriations
  • 15. Intersection of Law, Science and Health Policy