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Global Talent Market Quarterly
                     FOURTH QUARTER   l   2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly




 CONTENTS	
  
CONTENTS




 33          	
  Global	
  Economic	
  Situa>on	
  
            Global Economic Situation
 	          	 •	Briefing	                         			
 	   6      	 	
  Global	
  Labor	
  Market	
  Update	
  
                  •	Outlook
              	
  	
  	
  	
  •	
  Americas	
  
 6          Global MEA	
   Market Update
             	
  	
  	
  	
  •	
  E Labor
 	          	 	
  	
  	
  	
  •	
  APAC	
  
                   •	Americas	                    			
 	          	 •	EMEA	                             			
 	   11     	 	
  U.S.	
  Labor	
  Market	
  Overview	
  
                  •	APAC
 	          	 	
  	
  	
  	
  •	
  Current	
  Employment	
  Condi8ons	
  
                   •	Legislative	Update
             	
  	
  	
  	
  •	
  Supply	
  and	
  Demand	
  
 11          	
  	
  	
  	
  •	
  Labor	
  Market	
  Spotlight	
  
            U.S. Labor Market Overview
 	          	 •	Current	Employment	Conditions	                       			
 	   15     	 	
  Workforce	
  Solu>ons	
  Industry	
  Insight	
  
                  •	Supply	and	Demand	      			
 	          	 	
  	
  	
  	
  •	
  Global	
  RPO	
  Report	
  
                   •	Labor	Market	Spotlight
              	
  	
  	
  	
  •	
  Con8ngent	
  Labor	
  Management	
  Trends	
  
 15         Workforce Webcast	
  Series	
   Insight
             	
  	
  	
  	
  •	
  Kelly	
   Solutions Industry
 	          	 •	Global	RPO	Report
 	   	
     	 •	Contingent	Labor	Management	Trends
 	          	 •	Kelly	Webcast	Series
     	
  
Global Economic Situation
                FOURTH QUARTER   l   2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS



        GLOBAL	
  ECONOMIC	
  BRIEFING	
  
        	
  
        The	
  global	
  economy	
  looks	
  to	
  be	
  on	
  a	
  moderate	
  growth	
  path	
  in	
  the	
  last	
  part	
  of	
  2011.	
  Future	
  growth	
  expecta>ons	
  are	
  dependent	
  upon	
  an	
  
        increase	
  in	
  consumer	
  and	
  business	
  confidence,	
  and	
  an	
  easing	
  in	
  fiscal	
  and	
  poli>cal	
  discord	
  in	
  key	
  markets	
  including	
  the	
  US	
  and	
  Eurozone.	
  


        AMERICAS	
                                                                                                                     EMEA	
                                                                                                                        APAC	
  
        Economic	
  growth	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  be	
  sluggish	
                                                                 Growth	
  will	
  be	
  muted	
  across	
  EMEA	
  as	
                                                                       The	
  region’s	
  economies	
  have	
  rebounded	
  from	
  
        but	
  posi>ve	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  through	
  2012,	
  fueling	
                                                           uncertainty	
  over	
  fiscal	
  policies,	
  social	
                                                                         natural	
  disasters	
  in	
  early	
  2011.	
  Weakening	
  
        moderate	
  economic	
  ac>vity	
  in	
  the	
  region.	
  	
                                                                  tensions,	
  and	
  structural	
  issues	
  con>nues.	
                                                                       export	
  demand	
  is	
  a	
  moun>ng	
  concern.	
  
        Canada	
                                                                                                                       Eurozone	
                                                                                                                    Japan	
  
        AGer	
  a	
  mid-­‐year	
  lull,	
  the	
  Canadian	
  economy	
  is	
                                                         Despite	
  an	
  agreement	
  on	
  	
  the	
  debt	
  crisis,	
                                                              Post-­‐earthquake	
  reconstruc8on	
  con8nues	
  to	
  
        seeing	
  posi8ve	
  momentum	
  in	
  the	
  second	
  half	
                                                                 economic	
  uncertainty	
  persists.	
  In	
  addi8on,	
                                                                      drive	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  second	
  half	
  of	
  2011,	
  but	
  as	
  
        of	
  2011,	
  boosted	
  by	
  strength	
  in	
  manufacturing.	
                                                             weak	
  consumer	
  spending	
  and	
  8ghter	
  fiscal	
                                                                      public	
  spending	
  tapers	
  off	
  in	
  2012,	
  private	
  
        Slower	
  growth	
  is	
  forecast	
  for	
  2012.	
  	
                                                                       policies	
  across	
  the	
  region	
  are	
  contribu8ng	
  to	
                                                             consump8on	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  sustain	
  the	
  
                                                                                                                                       sub-­‐1%	
  growth	
  forecasts	
  and	
  the	
  risk	
  of	
                                                                 economy’s	
  momentum.	
  
        U.S.	
  
                                                                                                                                       recession	
  into	
  2012.	
  
        The	
  economy	
  has	
  struggled	
  to	
  maintain	
  its	
                                                                                                                                                                                                China	
  
        upward	
  trajectory,	
  but	
  forecasts	
  indicate	
                                                                        U.K.	
                                                                                                                        Slowing	
  but	
  s8ll	
  robust	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  range	
  of	
  
        modest	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  second	
  half	
  of	
  2011.	
                                                               The	
  economy	
  will	
  con8nue	
  to	
  struggle	
  in	
  late	
                                                           8-­‐9%	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  con8nue	
  in	
  2012.	
  Poten8al	
  
        Poli8cal	
  disagreements	
  and	
  global	
  uncertainty	
                                                                    2011	
  due	
  to	
  high	
  infla8on,	
  ongoing	
  austerity	
                                                               weakness	
  in	
  export	
  demand	
  from	
  advanced	
  
        con8nue	
  to	
  undermine	
  the	
  na8on’s	
  growth	
                                                                       measures,	
  and	
  regional	
  slowdown	
  concerns.	
                                                                       markets	
  poses	
  the	
  biggest	
  risk	
  to	
  China’s	
  
        prospects.	
                                                                                                                   Modest	
  growth	
  is	
  expected	
  in	
  2012.	
                                                                           economic	
  health.	
  	
  
        La>n	
  America	
                                                                                                              Central	
  and	
  Eastern	
  Europe	
                                                                                         India	
  
        Decelera8ng	
  demand	
  for	
  exports	
  will	
  keep	
                                                                      Economic	
  ac8vity	
  is	
  slowing	
  in	
  response	
  to	
                                                                Despite	
  rising	
  infla8on	
  and	
  a	
  slowdown	
  in	
  the	
  
        economic	
  growth	
  in	
  check	
  in	
  2012.	
  Despite	
  the	
                                                           weaker	
  global	
  and	
  Eurozone	
  demand,	
  but	
                                                                       industrial	
  sector,	
  service	
  sector	
  resilience	
  will	
  
        slowdown,	
  regional	
  growth	
  will	
  remain	
  in	
  a	
                                                                 growth	
  rates	
  will	
  remain	
  among	
  the	
  strongest	
                                                              keep	
  growth	
  rates	
  near	
  8%	
  	
  in	
  2012.	
  	
  
        healthy	
  3-­‐4%	
  range	
  in	
  the	
  short	
  term.                             	
                                       in	
  the	
  EMEA	
  region	
  in	
  2012.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Australia	
  
        	
  
                                                                                                                                       Middle	
  East	
  and	
  North	
  Africa	
                                                                                    Modest	
  economic	
  ac8vity	
  is	
  expected	
  for	
  the	
  
        	
                                                                                                                             Con8nued	
  poli8cal	
  and	
  social	
  turmoil	
  is	
                                                                      balance	
  of	
  2011.	
  The	
  booming	
  natural	
  
        	
                                                                                                                             dampening	
  growth	
  in	
  some	
  markets,	
  but	
  oil	
                                                                 resources	
  and	
  mining	
  sector	
  will	
  drive	
  higher	
  
                                                                                                                                       expor8ng	
  countries	
  will	
  con8nue	
  to	
  see	
  strong	
                                                             growth	
  in	
  2012.	
  
        	
  
                                                                                                                                       economic	
  ac8vity	
  in	
  2012.	
  
        	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          	
  
                                                                                                                               	
                                                                                                                   	
  
                                                                                                                               	
   May	
  Top	
  9%	
  as	
  Slump	
  Poses	
  Risk,	
  Bloomberg,	
  10.16.11;	
  Central	
  Europe	
  Seeing	
  Decelera8ng	
  Growth,	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal	
  Europe,	
  08.17.11;	
  
               Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  –Country	
  Intelligence	
  Reports	
  (Ocotber	
  2011);	
  China	
  Growth	
  
4	
            Eastern	
  European	
  Outlook:	
  Growth	
  will	
  slow	
  -­‐	
  but	
  not	
  as	
  sharply	
  as	
  in	
  the	
  West,	
  SEB,October	
  2011;	
  Recovering	
  Canadian	
  economy	
  grows	
  in	
  July,	
  Reuters,	
  9.30.11;	
  U.S.	
  2Q	
  GDP	
  Growth	
  Edges	
  Up	
  to	
  1.3%,	
  Reuters,	
  9.30.11;	
  Weak	
  and	
  
                                                                                                                                                	
  
               bumpy	
  global	
  recovery	
  ahead,	
  SIA	
  Daily	
  News	
  09.21.1;	
  Consumers,	
  businesses	
  pump	
  up	
  US	
  Q3	
  growth,	
  Reuters,	
  10.27.11	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            TABLE OF CONTENTS



          ECONOMIC	
  OUTLOOK	
  
          	
  
          Economic	
  performance	
  remains	
  very	
  uneven,	
  with	
  strong	
  growth	
  in	
  emerging	
  markets	
  and	
  weakness	
  in	
  the	
  advanced	
  economies,	
  
          par>cularly	
  the	
  U.S.	
  and	
  Europe.	
  A	
  slight	
  accelera>on	
  is	
  expected	
  in	
  H2	
  2011	
  and	
  in	
  2012	
  but	
  ongoing	
  downside	
  risks	
  make	
  the	
  growth	
  
          outlook	
  uncertain.                    	
  

                                             Real	
  GDP	
  Growth	
  Rates	
  (%	
  Change)	
                                                     Real	
  GDP	
  Growth	
  Rates	
  (%	
  Change)	
  Select	
  Markets	
  	
  

                                                      2011	
  (proj.)	
  	
              2012	
  (proj.)	
  	
                        Country/	
  Region	
            2010	
  (est.)	
                   2011	
  (proj.)	
                   2012	
  (proj.)	
  
                                                                                                                                      AMERICAS	
  
                  Japan	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                      Brazil	
                              7.5%	
                              3.6%	
                              3.9%	
  
                       U.K.	
                                                                                                         Canada	
                              3.2%	
                              2.2%	
                              1.9%	
  
                                                                                                                                      U.S.	
                                3.0%	
                              1.7%	
                              1.4%	
  
                 France	
  	
                                                                                                         EMEA	
  
                                                                                                                                      France	
                              1.4%	
                              1.6%	
                              0.4%	
  
                      U.S.	
  	
                                                                                                      Germany	
                             3.6%	
                              3.0%	
                              1.0%	
  
                                                                                                                                      Italy	
                               1.2%	
                              0.6%	
                              -­‐0.2%	
  
        Germany	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                      Russia	
                              4.0%	
                              4.1%	
                              3.9%	
  
                                                                                                                                      U.K.	
                                1.8%	
                              0.9%	
                              1.0%	
  
          WORLD	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                      Eurozone	
                            1.7%	
                              1.6%	
                              0.3%	
  
                   Brazil	
  	
                                                                                                       APAC	
  
                                                                                                                                      Australia	
                           2.7%	
                              1.7%	
                              3.2%	
  
                 Russia	
  	
                                                                                                         China	
                             10.3%	
                               9.3%	
                              8.1%	
  
                                                                                                                                      India	
                               8.8%	
                              7.5%	
                              7.7%	
  
                    India	
  	
                                                                                                       Japan	
                               4.0%	
                             -­‐0.6%	
                            2.7%	
  
                                                                                                                                      APAC	
                                7.0%	
                              4.7%	
                              6.0%	
  
                  China	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                      WORLD	
                               4.2%	
                              3.1%	
                              3.5%	
  
                                 -­‐1%	
        1%	
             3%	
           5%	
           7%	
                9%	
     11%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                      Source:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  –Country	
  Intelligence	
  Reports	
  (October	
  2011)	
  



5	
  
Global Labor Market Update
                 FOURTH QUARTER   l   2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   BACK TO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
                                                                     TABLE OF CONTENTS
        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  AMERICAS	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10%	
  
        	
   employment	
  gains	
  remain	
  moderate	
  as	
  global	
  economic	
  uncertainty	
  
        U.S.	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2008	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      5%	
  
        con>nues	
  to	
  impact	
  employer	
  confidence;	
  other	
  regional	
  labor	
  markets	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2010	
  
        such	
  as	
  Brazil	
  and	
  Canada	
  show	
  more	
  resiliency.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0%	
  
        	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             U.S.	
               Brazil	
            Canada	
               Mexico	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2012	
  




        UNITED	
  STATES	
                                                                    BRAZIL	
                                                                                 CANADA	
                                                                                 MEXICO	
  
        Hiring	
  con8nues	
  on	
  a	
  subdued	
                                            Brazil	
  con8nues	
  to	
  see	
  record	
                                              Canadian	
  job	
  crea8on	
  exceeded	
                                                 Mexico’s	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  
        pace	
  into	
  the	
  last	
  half	
  of	
  2011,	
  as	
                            low	
  unemployment	
  rates	
  	
  (at	
  6%	
                                          expecta8ons	
  in	
  September	
  as	
  the	
                                            rose	
  in	
  August,	
  and	
  remains	
  
        private	
  company	
  job	
  crea8on	
                                                for	
  three	
  straight	
  months)	
  and	
                                             unemployment	
  rate	
  fell	
  to	
  a	
                                                higher	
  than	
  before	
  the	
  economic	
  
        makes	
  up	
  for	
  public	
  sector	
  losses.	
                                   steady	
  job	
  crea8on.	
  The	
  8ght	
                                               three-­‐year	
  low.	
  Much	
  of	
  the	
                                              crisis	
  despite	
  increases	
  in	
  formal	
  
        While	
  the	
  latest	
  labor	
  market	
                                           labor	
  market	
  is	
  also	
  driving	
  salary	
                                     employment	
  growth	
  during	
  the	
                                                  private	
  sector	
  job	
  crea8on.	
  The	
  
        news	
  is	
  posi8ve,	
  hiring	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
                              increases.	
  Average	
  earnings	
  for	
                                               month	
  came	
  in	
  the	
  public	
  sector,	
                                        underemployment	
  rate,	
  or	
  
        remain	
  muted	
  un8l	
  the	
  global	
                                            Brazilian	
  workers	
  were	
  up	
  0.5%	
                                             par8cularly	
  in	
  educa8on;	
  rising	
                                               people	
  who	
  reported	
  having	
  
        economic	
  picture	
  becomes	
  less	
                                              month-­‐over-­‐month	
  and	
  3.2%	
                                                    self-­‐employment	
  also	
  accounted	
                                                 work	
  but	
  wan8ng	
  more,	
  also	
  
        uncertain.	
                                                                          year-­‐over-­‐year	
  in	
  August.	
  	
                                                for	
  a	
  significant	
  por8on	
  of	
  the	
                                          jumped	
  in	
  August.	
  
        Despite	
  persistently	
  high	
                                                     While	
  the	
  labor	
  market	
  remains	
                                             country’s	
  job	
  increases.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                A	
  bright	
  spot	
  in	
  the	
  Mexican	
  
        unemployment,	
  U.S.	
  firms	
  s8ll	
                                               strong,	
  increasing	
  foreign	
                                                       The	
  oil	
  and	
  gas	
  industry	
  is	
                                             economy	
  has	
  been	
  the	
  
        report	
  difficul8es	
  in	
  alrac8ng	
                                               compe88on	
  has	
  caused	
  a	
  lull	
  in	
                                          expected	
  to	
  lead	
  the	
  na8on	
  in	
                                           automo8ve	
  sector.	
  In	
  the	
  first	
  
        and	
  retaining	
  top	
  talent.	
  Some	
                                          the	
  country’s	
  industrial	
  sector.	
                                              job	
  growth	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  20	
                                             nine	
  months	
  of	
  2011,	
  auto	
  
        employers	
  are	
  partnering	
  with	
                                              The	
  Brazilian	
  government	
  has	
                                                  years.	
  Direct	
  and	
  indirect	
                                                    produc8on	
  was	
  up	
  15%	
  over	
  the	
  
        universi8es	
  or	
  the	
  military	
  to	
  find	
                                   launched	
  a	
  program	
  called	
  "A	
                                               employment	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  new	
                                           prior	
  year,	
  and	
  output	
  remains	
  
        qualified	
  candidates,	
  while	
                                                    Bigger	
  Brazil"	
  that	
  is	
  intended	
  to	
                                      oil	
  sands	
  investments	
  is	
  expected	
                                          on	
  a	
  record	
  pace	
  for	
  the	
  full	
  year.	
  	
  
        others	
  are	
  focusing	
  more	
  effort	
                                          protect	
  and	
  promote	
  its	
                                                       to	
  grow	
  from	
  75,000	
  jobs	
  in	
  2010	
  
        on	
  social	
  media	
  and	
  technology-­‐                                         domes8c	
  industry.	
  	
                                                               to	
  over	
  900,000	
  jobs	
  in	
  2035.	
  
        based	
  recrui8ng	
  tools.	
  
        	
  


                           “Canada’s	
  oil	
  sands	
  con8nue	
  to	
  create	
  significant	
  long-­‐term,	
  well-­‐paid,	
  skilled	
  jobs.	
  One	
  of	
  our	
  industry’s	
  most	
  
                                pressing	
  issues	
  is	
  in	
  fact	
  a	
  lack	
  of	
  skilled	
  people	
  to	
  fill	
  the	
  jobs	
  we	
  have	
  today	
  and	
  foresee	
  in	
  the	
  future.”	
  	
  
                                                                                        —	
  Dave	
  Collyer,	
  President,	
  Canadian	
  Associa4on	
  of	
  Petroleum	
  Producers	
  	
  

        Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  –Country	
  Intelligence	
  Reports	
  (October	
  2011);	
  Mexico's	
  August	
  Unemployment	
  5.8%	
  Vs	
  5.4%	
  Year	
  Ago,	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  09.23.11;	
  Brazil's	
  Aug	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  6%,	
  Flat	
  Vs	
  Jul,	
  AE	
  Brazil	
  Newswire,	
  
        09.22.11;	
  Lag	
  in	
  Industrial	
  Sector	
  Slows	
  Brazil’s	
  Job	
  Growth,	
  BusinessWeek,	
  10.18.11;	
  Mexican	
  auto	
  output	
  up	
  14%	
  from	
  September	
  2010,	
  MarketWatch,	
  10.12.11;	
  Canada	
  Talent	
  Market	
  Snapshot,	
  Marke8ng	
  Informa8on,	
  10.11;	
  Oil	
  
7	
     sands	
  a	
  Canadian	
  job	
  creator,	
  CAPP,	
  09.22.11;	
  Feeling	
  the	
  pinch,	
  Calgary	
  Herald,	
  10.15.11;	
  US	
  Talent	
  Market	
  Monthly,	
  October	
  2011;	
  Problems	
  -­‐-­‐	
  and	
  Solu8ons:	
  We	
  asked	
  HR	
  execu8ves:	
  What's	
  your	
  biggest	
  challenge?	
  Wall	
  Street	
  
        Journal,	
  10.24.11	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   BACK TO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
                                                                       TABLE OF CONTENTS

        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  EMEA	
                                                                                                                                                         10%	
  

        	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2008	
  

        The	
  debt	
  crisis	
  and	
  other	
  factors	
  are	
  puing	
  a	
  damper	
  on	
  economic	
  and	
  labor	
                                                                                      5%	
                                                                                                                   2010	
  
        market	
  growth	
  across	
  much	
  of	
  the	
  EMEA	
  region.	
  Austerity	
  plans	
  are	
  limi>ng	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2012	
  
        public	
  sector	
  employment,	
  and	
  firms	
  remain	
  hesitant	
  to	
  take	
  on	
  addi>onal	
  
                            	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 0%	
  
        workers.                                                                                                                                                                                                            Germany	
   France	
                       U.K.	
           Russia	
             Italy	
  



        GERMANY	
                                                                            FRANCE	
                                                                                UNITED	
  KINGDOM	
                                                                      RUSSIA	
  
        The	
  German	
  labor	
  market	
                                                   The	
  labor	
  market	
  remains	
  fragile,	
                                         The	
  UK	
  labor	
  market	
  shows	
                                                  The	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  con8nues	
  
        con8nues	
  to	
  show	
  robust	
                                                   as	
  economic	
  uncertainty	
  is	
                                                   con8nuing	
  weakness,	
  as	
  austerity	
                                              to	
  recover	
  quickly,	
  falling	
  to	
  6.1%	
  
        performance	
  despite	
  indica8ons	
                                               keeping	
  hiring	
  levels	
  soG.	
                                                   measures	
  are	
  causing	
  large	
  job	
                                             in	
  August	
  compared	
  to	
  an	
  average	
  
        of	
  a	
  global	
  economic	
  slowdown.	
                                         Unemployment	
  hit	
  9.1%	
  in	
  the	
                                              losses	
  in	
  the	
  public	
  sector,	
  while	
                                      rate	
  of	
  7.5%	
  in	
  Q1	
  2011.	
  The	
  
        Unemployment	
  fell	
  to	
  a	
  record	
                                          second	
  quarter	
  and	
  is	
  forecast	
  to	
                                      concerns	
  over	
  the	
  European	
  debt	
                                            Russian	
  government	
  expects	
  the	
  
        low	
  again	
  in	
  September	
  2011,	
                                           rise	
  again,	
  signifying	
  the	
                                                   crisis	
  and	
  slowing	
  global	
  growth	
                                           unemployment	
  rate	
  to	
  drop	
  below	
  
        while	
  job	
  vacancies	
  con8nue	
  to	
                                         government’s	
  target	
  rate	
  of	
  9%	
                                            have	
  kept	
  private	
  company	
  hiring	
                                           6%	
  through	
  2014.	
  	
  
        increase.	
  The	
  outlook	
  calls	
  for	
                                        unemployment	
  by	
  the	
  end	
  of	
                                                in	
  check.	
                                                                           Russian	
  workers’	
  mobility	
  has	
  
        con8nued	
  stable	
  employment	
                                                   2011	
  will	
  not	
  be	
  met.	
                                                                                                                                              increased	
  following	
  the	
  recession,	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                     Young	
  people	
  have	
  been	
  among	
  
        growth	
  into	
  2012.	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             as	
  more	
  employees	
  relocate	
  to	
  
                                                                                             According	
  to	
  France's	
  quarterly	
                                              the	
  most	
  severely	
  affected	
  by	
  the	
  
        Wage	
  growth	
  has	
  also	
  been	
  brisk	
                                     business	
  survey,	
  demand	
  for	
                                                  slowdown	
  in	
  the	
  UK	
  labor	
                                                   pursue	
  beler	
  jobs,	
  higher	
  pay,	
  and	
  
        in	
  Germany,	
  as	
  companies	
  are	
                                           manufactured	
  goods	
  weakened	
                                                     market.	
  Unemployment	
  in	
  the	
                                                   improved	
  living	
  condi8ons.	
  	
  
        issuing	
  raises	
  and	
  higher	
  bonus	
                                        sharply	
  during	
  the	
  third	
  quarter.	
                                         age	
  16-­‐24	
  group	
  is	
  approaching	
  1	
  
        payments,	
  and	
  further	
  reducing	
                                            Demand	
  is	
  also	
  expected	
  to	
                                                million,	
  or	
  more	
  than	
  21%,	
  and	
                                          ITALY	
  
        the	
  number	
  of	
  people	
  in	
  short-­‐                                      contract	
  in	
  the	
  fourth	
  quarter	
  of	
                                      concern	
  is	
  growing	
  that	
  many	
                                               Italy’s	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  is	
  stable	
  
        8me	
  work.	
  The	
  highest	
  wage	
                                             the	
  year,	
  giving	
  rise	
  to	
  new	
                                           youths	
  will	
  be	
  out	
  of	
  work	
  for	
  an	
                                 at	
  around	
  8%.To	
  help	
  boost	
  
        growth	
  in	
  Q2	
  2011	
  came	
  from	
                                         worries	
  about	
  the	
  short-­‐term	
                                               extended	
  period	
  given	
  the	
                                                     employment,	
  the	
  government	
  
        the	
  manufacturing	
  industry,	
                                                  strength	
  of	
  the	
  French	
  economy	
                                            persistently	
  weak	
  economy.	
                                                       pledged	
  to	
  ease	
  hiring	
  and	
  firing	
  
        where	
  wages	
  improved	
  by	
  7.0%.	
                                          and	
  labor	
  market.	
                                                                                                                                                        rules	
  as	
  part	
  of	
  an	
  austerity	
  plan	
  
        	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    announced	
  in	
  August	
  2011.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              .	
  	
  

                       "Youth	
  unemployment	
  is	
  like	
  a	
  dripping	
  tap,	
  cos8ng	
  tens	
  of	
  millions	
  of	
  pounds	
  a	
  week	
  through	
  benefits	
  and	
  lost	
  
                             produc8vity.	
  And,	
  just	
  like	
  a	
  dripping	
  tap,	
  if	
  we	
  don't	
  do	
  something	
  to	
  fix	
  it,	
  it's	
  likely	
  to	
  get	
  much	
  worse.“	
  	
  
                                                                  —	
  Paul	
  Brown,	
  director	
  of	
  communica4ons	
  at	
  UK	
  youth	
  charity	
  The	
  Prince's	
  Trust	
  
         Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  –Country	
  Intelligence	
  Reports	
  (October	
  2011);	
  Unemployment	
  rate	
  in	
  Russia	
  might	
  drop	
  to	
  5.8%	
  by	
  2014,	
  Russia	
  &	
  CIS	
  Business	
  and	
  Financial	
  Newswire,	
  09.22.11;	
  White	
  collar	
  workers	
  becoming	
  more	
  
         mobile,	
  Moscow	
  News,	
  10.19.11;	
  Italy’s	
  Jobless	
  Rate	
  Unchanged	
  at	
  8	
  Percent	
  as	
  Economy	
  Grows,	
  Bloomberg,	
  08.31.11;	
  U.K.	
  Unemployment	
  Hits	
  16-­‐Year	
  High,	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal	
  Europe,	
  10.13.11;	
  Youth	
  unemployment:	
  The	
  angry	
  
         millions,	
  The	
  Independent,	
  10.11.11;	
  France	
  -­‐	
  Differing	
  job	
  crea8on	
  forecasts	
  for	
  2012,	
  SIA	
  Daily	
  News,	
  10.07.11;	
  German	
  unemployment	
  falls	
  to	
  record	
  low	
  in	
  September,	
  Agence	
  France	
  Presse,	
  09.29.11;	
  Real	
  wages	
  in	
  Germany	
  grow	
  
8	
      1.9%	
  Y/Y	
  in	
  Q2,	
  Frankfurter	
  Allgemeine	
  Zeitung,	
  09.22.11;	
  French	
  job	
  picture	
  dims,	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  10.26.11	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             BACK TO

             GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  APAC	
                                                                                                                                                                                       Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
                                                                                TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  10%	
  
             	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2008	
  

             A	
  slowdown	
  in	
  global	
  demand	
  has	
  caused	
  some	
  modera>on	
  in	
  the	
  strong	
                                                                                                                  5%	
                                                                                                                 2010	
  
             growth	
  of	
  APAC	
  labor	
  markets,	
  but	
  the	
  region’s	
  economies	
  s>ll	
  show	
  healthy	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2012	
  
             job	
  crea>on	
  and	
  an	
  increasing	
  trend	
  towards	
  recrui>ng	
  foreign	
  talent	
  to	
  
             address	
  skilled	
  labor	
  shortages.                                      	
                                                                                                                                       0%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Japan	
                China	
                 India	
             Australia	
  



             CHINA	
                                                                                   JAPAN	
                                                                                      INDIA	
                                                                                      AUSTRALIA	
  
             The	
  Chinese	
  economy	
  generated	
                                                  Japan’s	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  fell	
                                                    Hiring	
  ac8vity	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
                                                  The	
  labor	
  market	
  has	
  cooled	
  
             9.9	
  million	
  jobs	
  in	
  the	
  first	
  nine	
                                     to	
  4.1%,	
  hiyng	
  its	
  lowest	
  level	
  in	
                                       moderate	
  through	
  the	
  end	
  of	
                                                    somewhat	
  in	
  2011	
  in	
  the	
  wake	
  of	
  
             months	
  of	
  2011,	
  exceeding	
  the	
                                               nearly	
  three	
  years,	
  and	
  job	
                                                    2011,	
  as	
  global	
  economic	
                                                          soGer	
  global	
  and	
  regional	
  
             government’s	
  target	
  of	
  crea8ng	
  9	
                                            availability	
  improved	
  slightly	
  in	
                                                 uncertainty	
  is	
  causing	
  a	
  slight	
                                                demand,	
  but	
  employment	
  trends	
  
             million	
  jobs	
  for	
  the	
  year.	
  The	
                                           September	
  2011.	
  The	
  improved	
                                                      slowdown	
  in	
  the	
  country’s	
  job	
                                                  are	
  stable	
  and	
  op8mis8c	
  headed	
  
             Chinese	
  government	
  will	
                                                           figures	
  from	
  September	
  are	
                                                         market.	
                                                                                    into	
  2012.	
  
             con8nue	
  its	
  efforts	
  to	
  boost	
                                                 par8cularly	
  encouraging,	
  as	
  they	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                    A	
  growing	
  number	
  of	
  foreign	
                                                    Skills	
  shortages	
  are	
  growing	
  
             employment	
  by	
  introducing	
                                                         are	
  the	
  first	
  to	
  include	
  data	
  from	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                    workers,	
  primarily	
  professionals	
                                                     throughout	
  the	
  Australian	
  
             favorable	
  tax	
  policies	
  and	
                                                     the	
  regions	
  hardest	
  hit	
  by	
  the	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                    from	
  the	
  US	
  and	
  Europe,	
  are	
  s8ll	
  	
                                     economy.	
  In	
  a	
  survey	
  of	
  300	
  
             providing	
  financial	
  support.	
  	
                                                   natural	
  disaster	
  in	
  the	
  spring.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                    looking	
  to	
  India	
  for	
  jobs.	
  Hiring	
  of	
                                     Australian	
  businesses,	
  61%	
  of	
  
             China’s	
  largest-­‐ever	
  college	
                                                    Japanese	
  companies	
  are	
  looking	
                                                    expatriates	
  has	
  increased	
  an	
                                                      respondents	
  reported	
  skills	
  
             gradua8ng	
  class,	
  6.6	
  million,	
  hit	
                                           to	
  alleviate	
  a	
  cri8cal	
  long-­‐term	
                                             es8mated	
  15-­‐20%	
  in	
  2011.	
  There	
                                               shortages	
  in	
  2011,	
  up	
  from	
  51%	
  
             the	
  labor	
  market	
  in	
  the	
  summer	
                                           challenge–a	
  shrinking	
  workforce	
                                                      are	
  currently	
  as	
  many	
  as	
  40,000	
                                             the	
  previous	
  year.	
  Many	
  firms	
  
             of	
  2011.	
  Concerns	
  remain	
  about	
                                              –by	
  hiring	
  and	
  promo8ng	
  more	
                                                   expat	
  professionals	
  working	
  in	
                                                    say	
  they	
  prefer	
  to	
  train	
  
             the	
  country’s	
  ability	
  to	
  create	
                                             women.	
  Japanese	
  women	
  are	
                                                         various	
  industries	
  in	
  India,	
                                                      Australian	
  employees	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  
             enough	
  high-­‐quality	
  posi8ons	
  to	
                                              also	
  increasingly	
  interested	
  in	
  job	
                                            par8cularly	
  in	
  the	
  banking	
  and	
                                                 meet	
  future	
  skill	
  needs,	
  but	
  some	
  
             accommodate	
  the	
  growing	
                                                           opportuni8es	
  to	
  help	
  ease	
  family	
                                               financial	
  services,	
  automobile,	
                                                       are	
  sponsoring	
  foreign	
  workers	
  in	
  
             number	
  of	
  educated	
  workers.	
                                                    economic	
  concerns.	
                                                                      pharmaceu8cal,	
  energy	
  and	
                                                            order	
  to	
  fill	
  the	
  gaps.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                    retail	
  sectors.	
  
             	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                    	
  	
  
             	
  


                     "There	
  will	
  be	
  a	
  heavy	
  reliance	
  on	
  bringing	
  people	
  in	
  from	
  overseas.	
  Even	
  with	
  the	
  training	
  of	
  Australians,	
  we	
  have	
  
                                                                                           expecta8ons	
  that	
  [impor8ng	
  foreign	
  workers]	
  will	
  con8nue	
  to	
  grow."	
  
                                                                                                                    —	
  Karen	
  Waller,	
  Head	
  of	
  Migra4on,	
  KPMG	
  Australia	
  
        Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  –Country	
  Intelligence	
  Reports	
  (October	
  2011);	
  Labour	
  shortages	
  grow	
  by	
  10%,	
  re8rement	
  of	
  baby	
  boomers	
  a	
  challenge	
  for	
  SMEs,	
  SmartCompany.au,	
  10.10.11;	
  India	
  Inc's	
  hiring	
  outlook	
  for	
  Oct-­‐Dec	
  quarter	
  takes	
  a	
  
        bea8ng,	
  India	
  Times,	
  10.14.11;	
  Booming	
  economy:	
  India	
  Inc	
  expats’	
  hiring	
  up	
  20%	
  this	
  year,	
  India	
  Times,	
  10.10.11;	
  Japan	
  Jobless	
  Rate	
  Falls	
  to	
  4.3	
  Pct	
  in	
  Aug,	
  Jiji	
  Press,	
  09.29.11;	
  Firms	
  Turning	
  to	
  Women	
  for	
  Growth,	
  Nikkei	
  Report,	
  08.27.11;	
  
        China	
  exceeds	
  employment	
  target,	
  Economic	
  Times,	
  10.25.11;	
  Amid	
  China	
  boom,	
  job	
  search	
  for	
  many	
  grads	
  goes	
  bust,	
  Reuters,	
  09.13.11;	
  Japan's	
  jobless	
  rate	
  drops	
  to	
  lowest	
  in	
  three	
  years,	
  DPA,	
  10.28.11	
  
9	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    TABLE OF CONTENTS



         LEGISLATIVE	
  UPDATE	
  
         	
   desire	
  to	
  boost	
  domes>c	
  worker	
  par>cipa>on	
  is	
  driving	
  employment	
  legisla>on	
  in	
  Singapore	
  and	
  Saudi	
  Arabia,	
  while	
  easing	
  
         A	
  
         restric>ons	
  for	
  employers	
  is	
  the	
  impetus	
  for	
  changes	
  to	
  the	
  labor	
  code	
  in	
  Hungary	
  and	
  Spain.	
  In	
  the	
  US,	
  the	
  “hot	
  bumon”	
  issue	
  of	
  
         classifica>on	
  of	
  independent	
  contractors	
  illustrates	
  the	
  dichotomy	
  between	
  the	
  desire	
  for	
  flexibility	
  and	
  the	
  need	
  for	
  regula>on.                                                                                                           	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                          RUSSIA	
  
                                                                                                                   FRANCE	
                                                                               Government	
  is	
  considering	
  
                                                                                                                   Employers	
  with	
  50	
  or	
  more	
                                                plans	
  to	
  eliminate	
  labor	
  
                                                                                                                   employees	
  must	
  have	
  a	
  gender	
                                             books,	
  the	
  mandatory	
  
                                                                                                                   equality	
  ac8on	
  plan	
  or	
                                                      method	
  of	
  employment	
  
          UNITED	
  STATES	
                                                                                                                                                                              documenta8on	
  and	
  benefit	
                                   CHINA	
  
                                                                                                                   collec8ve	
  agreement	
  in	
  place	
  
          The	
  IRS	
  has	
  launched	
  a	
  limited	
                                                                                                                                                 verifica8on	
  for	
  all	
  workers.	
  	
                        As	
  of	
  October	
  2011,	
  
                                                                                                                   by	
  January	
  1,	
  2012.	
  
          amnesty	
  program	
  that	
  will	
  enable	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    foreign	
  employees	
  who	
  
          employers	
  to	
  resolve	
  past	
  worker	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    work	
  in	
  China	
  must	
  
          classifica8on	
  issues.	
  In	
  addi8on,	
                                        HUNGARY	
                                                                                                                                                                      enroll	
  in	
  the	
  social	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          INDIA	
  
          proposed	
  legisla8on	
  would	
  create	
                                        Reduced	
  unemployment	
  benefits	
  and	
                                                                                                                                    insurance	
  system.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          Approved	
  a	
  na8onal	
  manufacturing	
  
          stricter	
  record-­‐keeping	
                                                     introduced	
  employer-­‐friendly	
  amendments	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          policy	
  that	
  aims	
  to	
  increase	
  
          requirements	
  for	
  companies	
  that	
                                         to	
  the	
  labor	
  code,	
  including	
  looser	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          produc8on	
  capabili8es,	
  improve	
  
          hire	
  independent	
  contractors.	
                                              provisions	
  for	
  over8me	
  work	
  and	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          manufacturing	
  infrastructure,	
  and	
  
                                                                                             compensa8on,	
  and	
  more	
  restric8ons	
  on	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          create	
  100	
  million	
  addi8onal	
  jobs.	
  
                                                                                             vaca8on	
  8me	
  and	
  childcare	
  leave.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     SINGAPORE	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Tightening	
  eligibility	
  
                                                                           SPAIN	
                                                                                                                                                                                   requirements	
  for	
  
                                                                                                                                                                           THAILAND	
  
                                                                           The	
  government	
  is	
  temporarily	
  liGing	
  the	
                                       Reviewing	
  plans	
  to	
  ins8tute	
  a	
                                               expatriates	
  seeking	
  
                                                                           restric8ons	
  requiring	
  employers	
  to	
  offer	
                                           na8onal	
  minimum	
  wage.	
  Currently	
                                                professional	
  employment	
  
                ARGENTINA	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          visas	
  as	
  of	
  January	
  2012.	
  
                                                                           permanent	
  posi8ons	
  to	
  workers	
  with	
                                                there	
  are	
  more	
  than	
  30	
  minimum	
  
                Effec8ve	
  September	
  
                                                                           two	
  or	
  more	
  fixed-­‐term	
  contracts.	
                                                wages	
  that	
  vary	
  by	
  city.	
  
                2011,	
  the	
  minimum	
  
                wage	
  increased	
  by	
  25%.	
  
                                                                                                                                 SAUDI	
  ARABIA	
  
                                                                                                                                 By	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  November	
  2011,	
  employers	
  must	
  
                                                                                                                                 comply	
  with	
  laws	
  that	
  mandate	
  quotas	
  of	
  Saudi	
  
                                                                                                                                 workers	
  or	
  face	
  puni8ve	
  measures.	
  


         Sources:	
  Aon	
  Hewil	
  Global	
  Legisla8ve	
  Developments	
  (July-­‐September	
  2011);	
  Washington	
  DC	
  Employment	
  Law	
  Update,	
  Liller	
  Mendelson,	
  09.23.11	
  and	
  10.17.11;	
  India	
  Cabinet	
  Approves	
  Na8onal	
  Manufacturing	
  Policy,	
  Wall	
  Street	
  
         Journal	
  Online,	
  10.25.11	
  
10	
  
U.S. Labor Market Overview
                 FOURTH QUARTER   l   2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS

          U.S.	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CONDITIONS	
  
          	
  
          PAYROLLS	
  RISE,	
  BUT	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
                                                                   U.S.	
  MONTHLY	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CHANGE	
  AND	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  
          REMAINS	
  STUBBORNLY	
  HIGH	
  
                                                                                                                        600	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         11.0	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Unemployment	
  Rate	
  (%)	
  
                                                                                           Employment	
  (000’s)	
  
          U.S.	
  employers	
  hired	
  103,000	
  new	
  
                                                                                                                        300	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         10.0	
  
          workers	
  in	
  September,	
  slightly	
  ahead	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      9.0	
  
          analysts’	
  modest	
  growth	
  expecta8ons.	
                                                                    0	
  
          Hiring	
  totals	
  for	
  July	
  and	
  August	
  were	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  8.0	
  
                                                                                                                       -­‐300	
  
          revised	
  up	
  by	
  a	
  combined	
  99,000	
  jobs,	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   7.0	
  
          another	
  	
  encouraging	
  sign	
  that	
  is	
  helping	
                                                -­‐600	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       6.0	
  
          ease	
  concerns	
  about	
  the	
  threat	
  of	
  a	
                                                      -­‐900	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5.0	
  


                                                                                                                                     Jul-­‐08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                      Jan-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jul-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Jan-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Jan-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Jul-­‐11	
  
                                                                                                                                                       Oct-­‐08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Oct-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Oct-­‐10	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                     Apr-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Apr-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Apr-­‐11	
  
          double-­‐dip	
  recession.	
  
          Private	
  employers	
  again	
  accounted	
  for	
  all	
  
          of	
  September’s	
  job	
  growth,	
  as	
  
                                                                                                                                                    Non-­‐Farm	
  Employment	
                                              Private-­‐Sector	
  Employment	
                                                         Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
          government	
  payrolls	
  con8nue	
  to	
  shrink	
  
          in	
  response	
  to	
  rising	
  budget	
  deficits.	
  
          Government	
  payrolls	
  fell	
  34,000	
  over	
  the	
  
          month	
  and	
  have	
  shed	
  nearly	
  300,000	
  	
                         EMPLOYMENT	
  OVERVIEW	
  
          jobs	
  since	
  last	
  September.	
                                                                                                                                                                                   SEPT	
                           AUG	
                         JULY	
                      JUNE	
                  MAY	
  
          The	
  na8on’s	
  jobless	
  rate	
  held	
  at	
  9.1%	
  	
  for	
  
          a	
  third	
  consecu8ve	
  month	
  in	
  September,	
                                        Total	
  non-­‐farm	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                            103K	
                           57K	
                        127K	
                          20K	
                53K	
  
          however,	
  and	
  will	
  not	
  see	
  any	
  significant	
  
          improvement	
  un8l	
  the	
  economy	
  can	
                                                 Private	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                                        137K	
                           42K	
                        173K	
                          75K	
                99K	
  
          consistently	
  create	
  a	
  minimum	
  of	
  
          150,000	
  jobs	
  a	
  month.	
  	
                                                           Unemployment	
  rate	
                                                                                                   9.1%	
                           9.1%	
                       9.1%	
                        9.2%	
                 9.1%	
  
          	
  

          EMPLOYERS	
  REMAIN	
  HESITANT	
  TO	
  HIRE	
  

          The	
  current	
  ‘jobless	
  recovery”	
  has	
  now	
  dragged	
  on	
  for	
  more	
  than	
  two	
  years,	
  with	
  employment	
  growth	
  averaging	
  just	
  95,000	
  jobs	
  per	
  month	
  since	
  the	
  start	
  
          of	
  2010.	
  Job	
  crea8on	
  in	
  2011	
  has	
  finally	
  eclipsed	
  the	
  1	
  million	
  mark,	
  surpassing	
  the	
  modest	
  hiring	
  totals	
  achieved	
  last	
  year,	
  and	
  	
  the	
  U.S.	
  is	
  on	
  track	
  to	
  add	
  
          1.4	
  million	
  workers	
  by	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  year.	
  At	
  this	
  pace,	
  total	
  U.S.	
  employment	
  will	
  finish	
  the	
  year	
  more	
  than	
  6	
  million	
  jobs	
  below	
  the	
  pre-­‐recessionary	
  peak.	
  	
  




12	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          TABLE OF CONTENTS

          U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  SUPPLY	
  AND	
  DEMAND	
  	
  



          THE	
  U.S.	
  SUPPLY/DEMAND	
  GAP	
  WIDENS	
  
          There	
  were	
  more	
  than	
  3.5	
  unemployed	
  workers	
  for	
  every	
  online	
  
          adver8sed	
  vacancy	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  in	
  October,	
  as	
  the	
  number	
  of	
                                                     U.S.	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  MONTHLY	
  LABOR	
  DEMAND	
  VS.	
  LABOR	
  SUPPLY	
  
          online	
  job	
  ads	
  con8nues	
  to	
  decrease	
  and	
  unemployment	
  remains	
  
          high.	
  Na8onally,	
  there	
  are	
  nearly	
  10	
  million	
  more	
  unemployed	
                               16	
  
          workers	
  than	
  adver8sed	
  job	
  vacancies.	
  




                                                                                                                Millions	
  
                                                                                                                               14	
  
          DEMAND	
  LEVELS	
  VARY	
  BY	
  REGION	
  –	
  LARGEST	
  GAP	
  IN	
  THE	
  WEST	
  
                                                                                                                               12	
  
          An	
  up8ck	
  in	
  demand	
  for	
  jobs	
  in	
  the	
  Northeast	
  and	
  South	
  regions	
  
          was	
  offset	
  by	
  larger	
  declines	
  in	
  vacancies	
  in	
  the	
  Midwest	
  and	
                         10	
  
          West.	
  In	
  the	
  West,	
  there	
  are	
  more	
  than	
  4	
  unemployed	
  workers	
  
          for	
  each	
  vacancy	
  adver8sed.	
                                                                                 8	
  
                                                                                                                                 6	
  
          HEALTHCARE,	
  SCI/TECH	
  WORKERS	
  STILL	
  IN	
  HIGH	
  DEMAND	
  
          The	
  number	
  of	
  adver8sed	
  vacancies	
  for	
  healthcare	
  prac88oners	
                                    4	
  
          and	
  computer	
  and	
  math	
  occupa8ons	
  con8nues	
  to	
  outnumber	
  job	
  
                                                                                                                                 2	
  
          seekers	
  by	
  more	
  than	
  two	
  to	
  one.	
  The	
  life,	
  physical	
  and	
  social	
  
          sciences	
  category	
  also	
  shows	
  job	
  demand	
  outstripping	
  supply.	
                                    0	
  


                                                                                                                                                          Dec	
  07	
  
                                                                                                                                                                          Mar	
  08	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          Jun	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Jun	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Jun	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Dec	
  08	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Mar	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Dec	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Mar	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                         Sep	
  07	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sep	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sep	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sep	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sep	
  10	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Mar	
  10	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Jun	
  10	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Dec	
  10	
  
          CONSTRUCTION	
  WORKERS	
  CONTINUE	
  TO	
  SUFFER	
  
          An	
  es8mated	
  1.4	
  million	
  construc8on	
  workers	
  remain	
  out	
  of	
  
          work	
  as	
  of	
  September.	
  	
  While	
  job	
  pos8ng	
  volumes	
  have	
  risen	
  
          nearly	
  50%	
  in	
  the	
  past	
  year,	
  there	
  remains	
  nearly	
  19	
  unemployed	
                                                                                 #	
  of	
  online	
  ads	
  	
                                                                  #	
  of	
  unemployed	
  workers	
  
          construc8on	
  workers	
  for	
  every	
  online	
  adver8sed	
  vacancy.	
  

          	
  

          	
  
                 “We	
  have	
  no	
  clear	
  sign	
  that	
  demand	
  is	
  picking	
  up.	
  The	
  drop	
  of	
  513,000	
  in	
  demand	
  over	
  the	
  last	
  seven	
  months	
  has	
  
                 largely	
  offset	
  the	
  gain	
  of	
  763,000	
  in	
  early	
  2011.”	
  	
  
                                                                                          —	
  	
  June	
  Shelp,	
  Vice	
  President,	
  The	
  Conference	
  Board,	
  October	
  2011	
  


          Source:	
  The	
  Conference	
  Board	
  Help	
  Wanted	
  OnLine®	
  (HWOL),	
  10.31.11.	
  

13	
      	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     BACK TO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     TABLE OF CONTENTS



         LABOR	
  MARKET	
  SPOTLIGHT	
  
         	
  
         U.S.	
  MANUFACTURING	
  INDUSTRY	
  FACES	
  A	
  SKILLS	
  GAP	
  
                                                                                                                                                                               IN	
  WHICH	
  WORKFORCE	
  SEGMENTS	
  DO	
  YOU	
  ANTICIPATE	
  THE	
  GREATEST	
  HIRING	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                   CHALLENGES	
  DURING	
  THE	
  NEXT	
  3-­‐5	
  YEARS?	
  
         According	
  to	
  a	
  new	
  report,	
  two-­‐thirds	
  of	
  U.S.	
  manufacturers	
  are	
                                                                                                                                               	
  
         facing	
  a	
  moderate	
  to	
  severe	
  shortage	
  of	
  available,	
  qualified	
                                                                                               Skilled	
  Produc8on	
                                                                                  80%	
  
         workers,	
  and	
  56%	
  expect	
  the	
  shortage	
  to	
  grow	
  worse	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  
         three	
  to	
  five	
  years.	
  	
                                                                                                                                                Produc8on	
  Support	
                                                       48%	
  

         The	
  survey,	
  conducted	
  by	
  The	
  Manufacturing	
  Ins8tute	
  and	
                                                                                   Scien8sts	
  and	
  Design	
  Engineers	
                               29%	
  
         Deloile,	
  indicates	
  that	
  as	
  many	
  as	
  600,000	
  manufacturing	
  jobs	
  
         are	
  going	
  unfilled	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  despite	
  a	
  na8onwide	
                                                                                                     Sales	
  and	
  Marke8ng	
                    21%	
  
         unemployment	
  rate	
  that	
  hovers	
  above	
  9%.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                              Management	
  and	
  
         	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         20%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                               Administra8on	
  
         GREATEST	
  DEMAND	
  FOR	
  SKILLED	
  PRODUCTION	
  WORKERS	
  	
  
         Shortages	
  in	
  skilled	
  produc8on	
  roles	
  –	
  machinists,	
  operators,	
                                                                                            Unskilled	
  Produc8on	
                17%	
  
         craG	
  workers,	
  distributors,	
  technicians,	
  and	
  more	
  –	
  are	
  having	
  a	
  
         significant	
  impact	
  on	
  manufacturers’	
  current	
  ability	
  to	
  expand	
                                                                                                 Customer	
  Service	
            7%	
  
         opera8ons,	
  drive	
  innova8on,	
  and	
  improve	
  produc8vity.	
  And	
  80%	
  
         of	
  respondents	
  indicate	
  that	
  skilled	
  produc8on	
  jobs	
  will	
  be	
  the	
  
         hardest	
  group	
  to	
  fill	
  in	
  the	
  job	
  market	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  3	
  to	
  5	
  years	
  
                                                                                                                                                                           WHICH	
  OF	
  THE	
  FOLLOWING	
  WILL	
  BE	
  MOST	
  IMPORTANT	
  TO	
  YOUR	
  COMPANY’S	
  
         	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      FUTURE	
  BUSINESS	
  SUCCESS	
  DURING	
  THE	
  NEXT	
  3-­‐5	
  YEARS?	
  
         SKILLED,	
  FLEXIBLE	
  WORKFORCE	
  IS	
  KEY	
  TO	
  FUTURE	
  SUCCESS	
  
         Respondents	
  indicate	
  that	
  access	
  to	
  a	
  highly	
  skilled,	
  flexible	
                                                                                                                                              	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                        High	
  skilled,	
  flexible	
  workforce	
                                                                         68%	
  
         workforce	
  is	
  the	
  most	
  important	
  factor	
  in	
  their	
  effec8veness	
  over	
  
         the	
  next	
  3	
  to	
  5	
  years,	
  ranked	
  above	
  factors	
  such	
  as	
  new	
  product	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                 New	
  product	
  innova8on	
                                                             48%	
  
         innova8on	
  and	
  increased	
  market	
  share.	
  	
  	
  
         While	
  most	
  manufacturers	
  have	
  some	
  tools	
  in	
  place	
  to	
  address	
                                                                                                Increased	
  market	
  share	
                                                 38%	
  
         these	
  challenges,	
  some	
  are	
  depending	
  on	
  outdated,	
  informal	
  
         methods	
  to	
  address	
  the	
  rapidly	
  changing	
  talent	
  gap.	
  Leading	
                                                                                                  Low	
  cost	
  producer	
  status	
                                    29%	
  
         companies	
  say	
  it’s	
  crucial	
  to	
  develop	
  an	
  innova8ve	
  workforce	
  
         plan,	
  create	
  a	
  talent	
  pipeline,	
  and	
  engage	
  employees	
  –	
  both	
                                                                           Increased	
  customer	
  service	
  orienta8on	
                                   24%	
  
         current	
  and	
  future	
  –	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  remain	
  compe88ve.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      Increasing	
  sales	
  outside	
  the	
  U.S.	
                        22%	
  
         	
  
         	
                                                                                                                                                              Supply	
  chain	
  integra8on	
  with	
  suppliers	
  or	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             21%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                               customers	
  
         	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0%	
   10%	
   20%	
   30%	
   40%	
   50%	
   60%	
   70%	
   80%	
  
                Source:	
  	
  Boiling	
  point?	
  The	
  skills	
  gap	
  in	
  U.S.	
  manufacturing,	
  Deloile/	
  The	
  Manufacturing	
  Ins8tute,	
  2011.	
  

14	
            	
  
Workforce Solutions
   Industry Insight
         FOURTH QUARTER   l   2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011

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Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011

  • 1. Global Talent Market Quarterly FOURTH QUARTER l 2011
  • 2. Global Talent Market Quarterly CONTENTS   CONTENTS 33  Global  Economic  Situa>on   Global Economic Situation • Briefing 6  Global  Labor  Market  Update   • Outlook        •  Americas   6 Global MEA   Market Update        •  E Labor        •  APAC   • Americas • EMEA 11  U.S.  Labor  Market  Overview   • APAC        •  Current  Employment  Condi8ons   • Legislative Update        •  Supply  and  Demand   11        •  Labor  Market  Spotlight   U.S. Labor Market Overview • Current Employment Conditions 15  Workforce  Solu>ons  Industry  Insight   • Supply and Demand        •  Global  RPO  Report   • Labor Market Spotlight        •  Con8ngent  Labor  Management  Trends   15 Workforce Webcast  Series   Insight        •  Kelly   Solutions Industry • Global RPO Report   • Contingent Labor Management Trends • Kelly Webcast Series  
  • 3. Global Economic Situation FOURTH QUARTER l 2011
  • 4. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  ECONOMIC  BRIEFING     The  global  economy  looks  to  be  on  a  moderate  growth  path  in  the  last  part  of  2011.  Future  growth  expecta>ons  are  dependent  upon  an   increase  in  consumer  and  business  confidence,  and  an  easing  in  fiscal  and  poli>cal  discord  in  key  markets  including  the  US  and  Eurozone.   AMERICAS   EMEA   APAC   Economic  growth  is  expected  to  be  sluggish   Growth  will  be  muted  across  EMEA  as   The  region’s  economies  have  rebounded  from   but  posi>ve  in  the  U.S.  through  2012,  fueling   uncertainty  over  fiscal  policies,  social   natural  disasters  in  early  2011.  Weakening   moderate  economic  ac>vity  in  the  region.     tensions,  and  structural  issues  con>nues.   export  demand  is  a  moun>ng  concern.   Canada   Eurozone   Japan   AGer  a  mid-­‐year  lull,  the  Canadian  economy  is   Despite  an  agreement  on    the  debt  crisis,   Post-­‐earthquake  reconstruc8on  con8nues  to   seeing  posi8ve  momentum  in  the  second  half   economic  uncertainty  persists.  In  addi8on,   drive  growth  in  the  second  half  of  2011,  but  as   of  2011,  boosted  by  strength  in  manufacturing.   weak  consumer  spending  and  8ghter  fiscal   public  spending  tapers  off  in  2012,  private   Slower  growth  is  forecast  for  2012.     policies  across  the  region  are  contribu8ng  to   consump8on  is  expected  to  sustain  the   sub-­‐1%  growth  forecasts  and  the  risk  of   economy’s  momentum.   U.S.   recession  into  2012.   The  economy  has  struggled  to  maintain  its   China   upward  trajectory,  but  forecasts  indicate   U.K.   Slowing  but  s8ll  robust  growth  in  the  range  of   modest  growth  in  the  second  half  of  2011.   The  economy  will  con8nue  to  struggle  in  late   8-­‐9%  is  expected  to  con8nue  in  2012.  Poten8al   Poli8cal  disagreements  and  global  uncertainty   2011  due  to  high  infla8on,  ongoing  austerity   weakness  in  export  demand  from  advanced   con8nue  to  undermine  the  na8on’s  growth   measures,  and  regional  slowdown  concerns.   markets  poses  the  biggest  risk  to  China’s   prospects.   Modest  growth  is  expected  in  2012.   economic  health.     La>n  America   Central  and  Eastern  Europe   India   Decelera8ng  demand  for  exports  will  keep   Economic  ac8vity  is  slowing  in  response  to   Despite  rising  infla8on  and  a  slowdown  in  the   economic  growth  in  check  in  2012.  Despite  the   weaker  global  and  Eurozone  demand,  but   industrial  sector,  service  sector  resilience  will   slowdown,  regional  growth  will  remain  in  a   growth  rates  will  remain  among  the  strongest   keep  growth  rates  near  8%    in  2012.     healthy  3-­‐4%  range  in  the  short  term.   in  the  EMEA  region  in  2012.     Australia     Middle  East  and  North  Africa   Modest  economic  ac8vity  is  expected  for  the     Con8nued  poli8cal  and  social  turmoil  is   balance  of  2011.  The  booming  natural     dampening  growth  in  some  markets,  but  oil   resources  and  mining  sector  will  drive  higher   expor8ng  countries  will  con8nue  to  see  strong   growth  in  2012.     economic  ac8vity  in  2012.             May  Top  9%  as  Slump  Poses  Risk,  Bloomberg,  10.16.11;  Central  Europe  Seeing  Decelera8ng  Growth,  Wall  Street  Journal  Europe,  08.17.11;   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (Ocotber  2011);  China  Growth   4   Eastern  European  Outlook:  Growth  will  slow  -­‐  but  not  as  sharply  as  in  the  West,  SEB,October  2011;  Recovering  Canadian  economy  grows  in  July,  Reuters,  9.30.11;  U.S.  2Q  GDP  Growth  Edges  Up  to  1.3%,  Reuters,  9.30.11;  Weak  and     bumpy  global  recovery  ahead,  SIA  Daily  News  09.21.1;  Consumers,  businesses  pump  up  US  Q3  growth,  Reuters,  10.27.11  
  • 5. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS ECONOMIC  OUTLOOK     Economic  performance  remains  very  uneven,  with  strong  growth  in  emerging  markets  and  weakness  in  the  advanced  economies,   par>cularly  the  U.S.  and  Europe.  A  slight  accelera>on  is  expected  in  H2  2011  and  in  2012  but  ongoing  downside  risks  make  the  growth   outlook  uncertain.   Real  GDP  Growth  Rates  (%  Change)   Real  GDP  Growth  Rates  (%  Change)  Select  Markets     2011  (proj.)     2012  (proj.)     Country/  Region   2010  (est.)   2011  (proj.)   2012  (proj.)   AMERICAS   Japan     Brazil   7.5%   3.6%   3.9%   U.K.   Canada   3.2%   2.2%   1.9%   U.S.   3.0%   1.7%   1.4%   France     EMEA   France   1.4%   1.6%   0.4%   U.S.     Germany   3.6%   3.0%   1.0%   Italy   1.2%   0.6%   -­‐0.2%   Germany     Russia   4.0%   4.1%   3.9%   U.K.   1.8%   0.9%   1.0%   WORLD     Eurozone   1.7%   1.6%   0.3%   Brazil     APAC   Australia   2.7%   1.7%   3.2%   Russia     China   10.3%   9.3%   8.1%   India   8.8%   7.5%   7.7%   India     Japan   4.0%   -­‐0.6%   2.7%   APAC   7.0%   4.7%   6.0%   China     WORLD   4.2%   3.1%   3.5%   -­‐1%   1%   3%   5%   7%   9%   11%   Source:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (October  2011)   5  
  • 6. Global Labor Market Update FOURTH QUARTER l 2011
  • 7. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  AMERICAS   10%     employment  gains  remain  moderate  as  global  economic  uncertainty   U.S.   2008   5%   con>nues  to  impact  employer  confidence;  other  regional  labor  markets   2010   such  as  Brazil  and  Canada  show  more  resiliency.   0%     U.S.   Brazil   Canada   Mexico   2012   UNITED  STATES   BRAZIL   CANADA   MEXICO   Hiring  con8nues  on  a  subdued   Brazil  con8nues  to  see  record   Canadian  job  crea8on  exceeded   Mexico’s  unemployment  rate   pace  into  the  last  half  of  2011,  as   low  unemployment  rates    (at  6%   expecta8ons  in  September  as  the   rose  in  August,  and  remains   private  company  job  crea8on   for  three  straight  months)  and   unemployment  rate  fell  to  a   higher  than  before  the  economic   makes  up  for  public  sector  losses.   steady  job  crea8on.  The  8ght   three-­‐year  low.  Much  of  the   crisis  despite  increases  in  formal   While  the  latest  labor  market   labor  market  is  also  driving  salary   employment  growth  during  the   private  sector  job  crea8on.  The   news  is  posi8ve,  hiring  is  likely  to   increases.  Average  earnings  for   month  came  in  the  public  sector,   underemployment  rate,  or   remain  muted  un8l  the  global   Brazilian  workers  were  up  0.5%   par8cularly  in  educa8on;  rising   people  who  reported  having   economic  picture  becomes  less   month-­‐over-­‐month  and  3.2%   self-­‐employment  also  accounted   work  but  wan8ng  more,  also   uncertain.   year-­‐over-­‐year  in  August.     for  a  significant  por8on  of  the   jumped  in  August.   Despite  persistently  high   While  the  labor  market  remains   country’s  job  increases.   A  bright  spot  in  the  Mexican   unemployment,  U.S.  firms  s8ll   strong,  increasing  foreign   The  oil  and  gas  industry  is   economy  has  been  the   report  difficul8es  in  alrac8ng   compe88on  has  caused  a  lull  in   expected  to  lead  the  na8on  in   automo8ve  sector.  In  the  first   and  retaining  top  talent.  Some   the  country’s  industrial  sector.   job  growth  over  the  next  20   nine  months  of  2011,  auto   employers  are  partnering  with   The  Brazilian  government  has   years.  Direct  and  indirect   produc8on  was  up  15%  over  the   universi8es  or  the  military  to  find   launched  a  program  called  "A   employment  as  a  result  of  new   prior  year,  and  output  remains   qualified  candidates,  while   Bigger  Brazil"  that  is  intended  to   oil  sands  investments  is  expected   on  a  record  pace  for  the  full  year.     others  are  focusing  more  effort   protect  and  promote  its   to  grow  from  75,000  jobs  in  2010   on  social  media  and  technology-­‐ domes8c  industry.     to  over  900,000  jobs  in  2035.   based  recrui8ng  tools.     “Canada’s  oil  sands  con8nue  to  create  significant  long-­‐term,  well-­‐paid,  skilled  jobs.  One  of  our  industry’s  most   pressing  issues  is  in  fact  a  lack  of  skilled  people  to  fill  the  jobs  we  have  today  and  foresee  in  the  future.”     —  Dave  Collyer,  President,  Canadian  Associa4on  of  Petroleum  Producers     Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (October  2011);  Mexico's  August  Unemployment  5.8%  Vs  5.4%  Year  Ago,  Wall  Street  Journal,  09.23.11;  Brazil's  Aug  Unemployment  Rate  6%,  Flat  Vs  Jul,  AE  Brazil  Newswire,   09.22.11;  Lag  in  Industrial  Sector  Slows  Brazil’s  Job  Growth,  BusinessWeek,  10.18.11;  Mexican  auto  output  up  14%  from  September  2010,  MarketWatch,  10.12.11;  Canada  Talent  Market  Snapshot,  Marke8ng  Informa8on,  10.11;  Oil   7   sands  a  Canadian  job  creator,  CAPP,  09.22.11;  Feeling  the  pinch,  Calgary  Herald,  10.15.11;  US  Talent  Market  Monthly,  October  2011;  Problems  -­‐-­‐  and  Solu8ons:  We  asked  HR  execu8ves:  What's  your  biggest  challenge?  Wall  Street   Journal,  10.24.11  
  • 8. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  EMEA   10%     2008   The  debt  crisis  and  other  factors  are  puing  a  damper  on  economic  and  labor   5%   2010   market  growth  across  much  of  the  EMEA  region.  Austerity  plans  are  limi>ng   2012   public  sector  employment,  and  firms  remain  hesitant  to  take  on  addi>onal     0%   workers. Germany   France   U.K.   Russia   Italy   GERMANY   FRANCE   UNITED  KINGDOM   RUSSIA   The  German  labor  market   The  labor  market  remains  fragile,   The  UK  labor  market  shows   The  unemployment  rate  con8nues   con8nues  to  show  robust   as  economic  uncertainty  is   con8nuing  weakness,  as  austerity   to  recover  quickly,  falling  to  6.1%   performance  despite  indica8ons   keeping  hiring  levels  soG.   measures  are  causing  large  job   in  August  compared  to  an  average   of  a  global  economic  slowdown.   Unemployment  hit  9.1%  in  the   losses  in  the  public  sector,  while   rate  of  7.5%  in  Q1  2011.  The   Unemployment  fell  to  a  record   second  quarter  and  is  forecast  to   concerns  over  the  European  debt   Russian  government  expects  the   low  again  in  September  2011,   rise  again,  signifying  the   crisis  and  slowing  global  growth   unemployment  rate  to  drop  below   while  job  vacancies  con8nue  to   government’s  target  rate  of  9%   have  kept  private  company  hiring   6%  through  2014.     increase.  The  outlook  calls  for   unemployment  by  the  end  of   in  check.   Russian  workers’  mobility  has   con8nued  stable  employment   2011  will  not  be  met.   increased  following  the  recession,   Young  people  have  been  among   growth  into  2012.   as  more  employees  relocate  to   According  to  France's  quarterly   the  most  severely  affected  by  the   Wage  growth  has  also  been  brisk   business  survey,  demand  for   slowdown  in  the  UK  labor   pursue  beler  jobs,  higher  pay,  and   in  Germany,  as  companies  are   manufactured  goods  weakened   market.  Unemployment  in  the   improved  living  condi8ons.     issuing  raises  and  higher  bonus   sharply  during  the  third  quarter.   age  16-­‐24  group  is  approaching  1   payments,  and  further  reducing   Demand  is  also  expected  to   million,  or  more  than  21%,  and   ITALY   the  number  of  people  in  short-­‐ contract  in  the  fourth  quarter  of   concern  is  growing  that  many   Italy’s  unemployment  rate  is  stable   8me  work.  The  highest  wage   the  year,  giving  rise  to  new   youths  will  be  out  of  work  for  an   at  around  8%.To  help  boost   growth  in  Q2  2011  came  from   worries  about  the  short-­‐term   extended  period  given  the   employment,  the  government   the  manufacturing  industry,   strength  of  the  French  economy   persistently  weak  economy.   pledged  to  ease  hiring  and  firing   where  wages  improved  by  7.0%.   and  labor  market.   rules  as  part  of  an  austerity  plan     announced  in  August  2011.     .     "Youth  unemployment  is  like  a  dripping  tap,  cos8ng  tens  of  millions  of  pounds  a  week  through  benefits  and  lost   produc8vity.  And,  just  like  a  dripping  tap,  if  we  don't  do  something  to  fix  it,  it's  likely  to  get  much  worse.“     —  Paul  Brown,  director  of  communica4ons  at  UK  youth  charity  The  Prince's  Trust   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (October  2011);  Unemployment  rate  in  Russia  might  drop  to  5.8%  by  2014,  Russia  &  CIS  Business  and  Financial  Newswire,  09.22.11;  White  collar  workers  becoming  more   mobile,  Moscow  News,  10.19.11;  Italy’s  Jobless  Rate  Unchanged  at  8  Percent  as  Economy  Grows,  Bloomberg,  08.31.11;  U.K.  Unemployment  Hits  16-­‐Year  High,  Wall  Street  Journal  Europe,  10.13.11;  Youth  unemployment:  The  angry   millions,  The  Independent,  10.11.11;  France  -­‐  Differing  job  crea8on  forecasts  for  2012,  SIA  Daily  News,  10.07.11;  German  unemployment  falls  to  record  low  in  September,  Agence  France  Presse,  09.29.11;  Real  wages  in  Germany  grow   8   1.9%  Y/Y  in  Q2,  Frankfurter  Allgemeine  Zeitung,  09.22.11;  French  job  picture  dims,  Wall  Street  Journal,  10.26.11  
  • 9. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  APAC   Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   TABLE OF CONTENTS 10%     2008   A  slowdown  in  global  demand  has  caused  some  modera>on  in  the  strong   5%   2010   growth  of  APAC  labor  markets,  but  the  region’s  economies  s>ll  show  healthy   2012   job  crea>on  and  an  increasing  trend  towards  recrui>ng  foreign  talent  to   address  skilled  labor  shortages.   0%   Japan   China   India   Australia   CHINA   JAPAN   INDIA   AUSTRALIA   The  Chinese  economy  generated   Japan’s  unemployment  rate  fell   Hiring  ac8vity  is  expected  to   The  labor  market  has  cooled   9.9  million  jobs  in  the  first  nine   to  4.1%,  hiyng  its  lowest  level  in   moderate  through  the  end  of   somewhat  in  2011  in  the  wake  of   months  of  2011,  exceeding  the   nearly  three  years,  and  job   2011,  as  global  economic   soGer  global  and  regional   government’s  target  of  crea8ng  9   availability  improved  slightly  in   uncertainty  is  causing  a  slight   demand,  but  employment  trends   million  jobs  for  the  year.  The   September  2011.  The  improved   slowdown  in  the  country’s  job   are  stable  and  op8mis8c  headed   Chinese  government  will   figures  from  September  are   market.   into  2012.   con8nue  its  efforts  to  boost   par8cularly  encouraging,  as  they   A  growing  number  of  foreign   Skills  shortages  are  growing   employment  by  introducing   are  the  first  to  include  data  from   workers,  primarily  professionals   throughout  the  Australian   favorable  tax  policies  and   the  regions  hardest  hit  by  the   from  the  US  and  Europe,  are  s8ll     economy.  In  a  survey  of  300   providing  financial  support.     natural  disaster  in  the  spring.   looking  to  India  for  jobs.  Hiring  of   Australian  businesses,  61%  of   China’s  largest-­‐ever  college   Japanese  companies  are  looking   expatriates  has  increased  an   respondents  reported  skills   gradua8ng  class,  6.6  million,  hit   to  alleviate  a  cri8cal  long-­‐term   es8mated  15-­‐20%  in  2011.  There   shortages  in  2011,  up  from  51%   the  labor  market  in  the  summer   challenge–a  shrinking  workforce   are  currently  as  many  as  40,000   the  previous  year.  Many  firms   of  2011.  Concerns  remain  about   –by  hiring  and  promo8ng  more   expat  professionals  working  in   say  they  prefer  to  train   the  country’s  ability  to  create   women.  Japanese  women  are   various  industries  in  India,   Australian  employees  in  order  to   enough  high-­‐quality  posi8ons  to   also  increasingly  interested  in  job   par8cularly  in  the  banking  and   meet  future  skill  needs,  but  some   accommodate  the  growing   opportuni8es  to  help  ease  family   financial  services,  automobile,   are  sponsoring  foreign  workers  in   number  of  educated  workers.   economic  concerns.   pharmaceu8cal,  energy  and   order  to  fill  the  gaps.   retail  sectors.           "There  will  be  a  heavy  reliance  on  bringing  people  in  from  overseas.  Even  with  the  training  of  Australians,  we  have   expecta8ons  that  [impor8ng  foreign  workers]  will  con8nue  to  grow."   —  Karen  Waller,  Head  of  Migra4on,  KPMG  Australia   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (October  2011);  Labour  shortages  grow  by  10%,  re8rement  of  baby  boomers  a  challenge  for  SMEs,  SmartCompany.au,  10.10.11;  India  Inc's  hiring  outlook  for  Oct-­‐Dec  quarter  takes  a   bea8ng,  India  Times,  10.14.11;  Booming  economy:  India  Inc  expats’  hiring  up  20%  this  year,  India  Times,  10.10.11;  Japan  Jobless  Rate  Falls  to  4.3  Pct  in  Aug,  Jiji  Press,  09.29.11;  Firms  Turning  to  Women  for  Growth,  Nikkei  Report,  08.27.11;   China  exceeds  employment  target,  Economic  Times,  10.25.11;  Amid  China  boom,  job  search  for  many  grads  goes  bust,  Reuters,  09.13.11;  Japan's  jobless  rate  drops  to  lowest  in  three  years,  DPA,  10.28.11   9  
  • 10. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS LEGISLATIVE  UPDATE     desire  to  boost  domes>c  worker  par>cipa>on  is  driving  employment  legisla>on  in  Singapore  and  Saudi  Arabia,  while  easing   A   restric>ons  for  employers  is  the  impetus  for  changes  to  the  labor  code  in  Hungary  and  Spain.  In  the  US,  the  “hot  bumon”  issue  of   classifica>on  of  independent  contractors  illustrates  the  dichotomy  between  the  desire  for  flexibility  and  the  need  for  regula>on.   RUSSIA   FRANCE   Government  is  considering   Employers  with  50  or  more   plans  to  eliminate  labor   employees  must  have  a  gender   books,  the  mandatory   equality  ac8on  plan  or   method  of  employment   UNITED  STATES   documenta8on  and  benefit   CHINA   collec8ve  agreement  in  place   The  IRS  has  launched  a  limited   verifica8on  for  all  workers.     As  of  October  2011,   by  January  1,  2012.   amnesty  program  that  will  enable   foreign  employees  who   employers  to  resolve  past  worker   work  in  China  must   classifica8on  issues.  In  addi8on,   HUNGARY   enroll  in  the  social   INDIA   proposed  legisla8on  would  create   Reduced  unemployment  benefits  and   insurance  system.   Approved  a  na8onal  manufacturing   stricter  record-­‐keeping   introduced  employer-­‐friendly  amendments   policy  that  aims  to  increase   requirements  for  companies  that   to  the  labor  code,  including  looser   produc8on  capabili8es,  improve   hire  independent  contractors.   provisions  for  over8me  work  and   manufacturing  infrastructure,  and   compensa8on,  and  more  restric8ons  on   create  100  million  addi8onal  jobs.   vaca8on  8me  and  childcare  leave.     SINGAPORE   Tightening  eligibility   SPAIN   requirements  for   THAILAND   The  government  is  temporarily  liGing  the   Reviewing  plans  to  ins8tute  a   expatriates  seeking   restric8ons  requiring  employers  to  offer   na8onal  minimum  wage.  Currently   professional  employment   ARGENTINA   visas  as  of  January  2012.   permanent  posi8ons  to  workers  with   there  are  more  than  30  minimum   Effec8ve  September   two  or  more  fixed-­‐term  contracts.   wages  that  vary  by  city.   2011,  the  minimum   wage  increased  by  25%.   SAUDI  ARABIA   By  the  end  of  November  2011,  employers  must   comply  with  laws  that  mandate  quotas  of  Saudi   workers  or  face  puni8ve  measures.   Sources:  Aon  Hewil  Global  Legisla8ve  Developments  (July-­‐September  2011);  Washington  DC  Employment  Law  Update,  Liller  Mendelson,  09.23.11  and  10.17.11;  India  Cabinet  Approves  Na8onal  Manufacturing  Policy,  Wall  Street   Journal  Online,  10.25.11   10  
  • 11. U.S. Labor Market Overview FOURTH QUARTER l 2011
  • 12. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  EMPLOYMENT  CONDITIONS     PAYROLLS  RISE,  BUT  UNEMPLOYMENT   U.S.  MONTHLY  EMPLOYMENT  CHANGE  AND  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   REMAINS  STUBBORNLY  HIGH   600   11.0   Unemployment  Rate  (%)   Employment  (000’s)   U.S.  employers  hired  103,000  new   300   10.0   workers  in  September,  slightly  ahead  of   9.0   analysts’  modest  growth  expecta8ons.   0   Hiring  totals  for  July  and  August  were   8.0   -­‐300   revised  up  by  a  combined  99,000  jobs,   7.0   another    encouraging  sign  that  is  helping   -­‐600   6.0   ease  concerns  about  the  threat  of  a   -­‐900   5.0   Jul-­‐08   Jan-­‐09   Jul-­‐09   Jan-­‐10   Jul-­‐10   Jan-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Oct-­‐08   Oct-­‐09   Oct-­‐10   Apr-­‐09   Apr-­‐10   Apr-­‐11   double-­‐dip  recession.   Private  employers  again  accounted  for  all   of  September’s  job  growth,  as   Non-­‐Farm  Employment   Private-­‐Sector  Employment   Unemployment  Rate   government  payrolls  con8nue  to  shrink   in  response  to  rising  budget  deficits.   Government  payrolls  fell  34,000  over  the   month  and  have  shed  nearly  300,000     EMPLOYMENT  OVERVIEW   jobs  since  last  September.   SEPT   AUG   JULY   JUNE   MAY   The  na8on’s  jobless  rate  held  at  9.1%    for   a  third  consecu8ve  month  in  September,   Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   103K   57K   127K   20K   53K   however,  and  will  not  see  any  significant   improvement  un8l  the  economy  can   Private  employment  growth   137K   42K   173K   75K   99K   consistently  create  a  minimum  of   150,000  jobs  a  month.     Unemployment  rate   9.1%   9.1%   9.1%   9.2%   9.1%     EMPLOYERS  REMAIN  HESITANT  TO  HIRE   The  current  ‘jobless  recovery”  has  now  dragged  on  for  more  than  two  years,  with  employment  growth  averaging  just  95,000  jobs  per  month  since  the  start   of  2010.  Job  crea8on  in  2011  has  finally  eclipsed  the  1  million  mark,  surpassing  the  modest  hiring  totals  achieved  last  year,  and    the  U.S.  is  on  track  to  add   1.4  million  workers  by  the  end  of  the  year.  At  this  pace,  total  U.S.  employment  will  finish  the  year  more  than  6  million  jobs  below  the  pre-­‐recessionary  peak.     12  
  • 13. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  -­‐  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND     THE  U.S.  SUPPLY/DEMAND  GAP  WIDENS   There  were  more  than  3.5  unemployed  workers  for  every  online   adver8sed  vacancy  in  the  U.S.  in  October,  as  the  number  of   U.S.  MARKET  -­‐  MONTHLY  LABOR  DEMAND  VS.  LABOR  SUPPLY   online  job  ads  con8nues  to  decrease  and  unemployment  remains   high.  Na8onally,  there  are  nearly  10  million  more  unemployed   16   workers  than  adver8sed  job  vacancies.   Millions   14   DEMAND  LEVELS  VARY  BY  REGION  –  LARGEST  GAP  IN  THE  WEST   12   An  up8ck  in  demand  for  jobs  in  the  Northeast  and  South  regions   was  offset  by  larger  declines  in  vacancies  in  the  Midwest  and   10   West.  In  the  West,  there  are  more  than  4  unemployed  workers   for  each  vacancy  adver8sed.   8   6   HEALTHCARE,  SCI/TECH  WORKERS  STILL  IN  HIGH  DEMAND   The  number  of  adver8sed  vacancies  for  healthcare  prac88oners   4   and  computer  and  math  occupa8ons  con8nues  to  outnumber  job   2   seekers  by  more  than  two  to  one.  The  life,  physical  and  social   sciences  category  also  shows  job  demand  outstripping  supply.   0   Dec  07   Mar  08   Jun  08   Jun  09   Jun  11   Dec  08   Mar  09   Dec  09   Mar  11   Sep  07   Sep  08   Sep  09   Sep  11   Sep  10   Mar  10   Jun  10   Dec  10   CONSTRUCTION  WORKERS  CONTINUE  TO  SUFFER   An  es8mated  1.4  million  construc8on  workers  remain  out  of   work  as  of  September.    While  job  pos8ng  volumes  have  risen   nearly  50%  in  the  past  year,  there  remains  nearly  19  unemployed   #  of  online  ads     #  of  unemployed  workers   construc8on  workers  for  every  online  adver8sed  vacancy.       “We  have  no  clear  sign  that  demand  is  picking  up.  The  drop  of  513,000  in  demand  over  the  last  seven  months  has   largely  offset  the  gain  of  763,000  in  early  2011.”     —    June  Shelp,  Vice  President,  The  Conference  Board,  October  2011   Source:  The  Conference  Board  Help  Wanted  OnLine®  (HWOL),  10.31.11.   13    
  • 14. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT     U.S.  MANUFACTURING  INDUSTRY  FACES  A  SKILLS  GAP   IN  WHICH  WORKFORCE  SEGMENTS  DO  YOU  ANTICIPATE  THE  GREATEST  HIRING   CHALLENGES  DURING  THE  NEXT  3-­‐5  YEARS?   According  to  a  new  report,  two-­‐thirds  of  U.S.  manufacturers  are     facing  a  moderate  to  severe  shortage  of  available,  qualified   Skilled  Produc8on   80%   workers,  and  56%  expect  the  shortage  to  grow  worse  in  the  next   three  to  five  years.     Produc8on  Support   48%   The  survey,  conducted  by  The  Manufacturing  Ins8tute  and   Scien8sts  and  Design  Engineers   29%   Deloile,  indicates  that  as  many  as  600,000  manufacturing  jobs   are  going  unfilled  in  the  U.S.,  despite  a  na8onwide   Sales  and  Marke8ng   21%   unemployment  rate  that  hovers  above  9%.     Management  and     20%   Administra8on   GREATEST  DEMAND  FOR  SKILLED  PRODUCTION  WORKERS     Shortages  in  skilled  produc8on  roles  –  machinists,  operators,   Unskilled  Produc8on   17%   craG  workers,  distributors,  technicians,  and  more  –  are  having  a   significant  impact  on  manufacturers’  current  ability  to  expand   Customer  Service   7%   opera8ons,  drive  innova8on,  and  improve  produc8vity.  And  80%   of  respondents  indicate  that  skilled  produc8on  jobs  will  be  the   hardest  group  to  fill  in  the  job  market  in  the  next  3  to  5  years   WHICH  OF  THE  FOLLOWING  WILL  BE  MOST  IMPORTANT  TO  YOUR  COMPANY’S     FUTURE  BUSINESS  SUCCESS  DURING  THE  NEXT  3-­‐5  YEARS?   SKILLED,  FLEXIBLE  WORKFORCE  IS  KEY  TO  FUTURE  SUCCESS   Respondents  indicate  that  access  to  a  highly  skilled,  flexible     High  skilled,  flexible  workforce   68%   workforce  is  the  most  important  factor  in  their  effec8veness  over   the  next  3  to  5  years,  ranked  above  factors  such  as  new  product   New  product  innova8on   48%   innova8on  and  increased  market  share.       While  most  manufacturers  have  some  tools  in  place  to  address   Increased  market  share   38%   these  challenges,  some  are  depending  on  outdated,  informal   methods  to  address  the  rapidly  changing  talent  gap.  Leading   Low  cost  producer  status   29%   companies  say  it’s  crucial  to  develop  an  innova8ve  workforce   plan,  create  a  talent  pipeline,  and  engage  employees  –  both   Increased  customer  service  orienta8on   24%   current  and  future  –  in  order  to  remain  compe88ve.   Increasing  sales  outside  the  U.S.   22%       Supply  chain  integra8on  with  suppliers  or   21%   customers     0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%   70%   80%   Source:    Boiling  point?  The  skills  gap  in  U.S.  manufacturing,  Deloile/  The  Manufacturing  Ins8tute,  2011.   14    
  • 15. Workforce Solutions Industry Insight FOURTH QUARTER l 2011