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Global Talent Market Quarterly
                     SECOND QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly




CONTENTS




 3	      Global Economic Situation
 	       	 • Briefing	          
 	       	 • Outlook


 6	      Global Labor Market Update
 	       	 • Americas	          
 	       	 • EMEA	              
 	       	 • APAC
 	       	 • Global Labor Market Spotlight
 	       	 • Legislative Update


 12	     U.S. Labor Market Overview	
 	       	 • Current Employment Conditions	         
 	       	 • Supply and Demand	           
 	       	 • Labor Market Spotlight


 16	     Workforce Solutions Industry Insight
 	       	 • Acquisition and Retention in the War for Talent
 	       	 • Future of Work in Advanced Economies
 	       	 • Kelly Knowledge
Global Economic Situation
                SECOND QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           TABLE OF CONTENTS



        GLOBAL	
  ECONOMIC	
  BRIEFING	
  
        	
  
        Global	
  economic	
  growth	
  has	
  been	
  lethargic	
  in	
  the	
  first	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  year,	
  and	
  is	
  only	
  forecast	
  to	
  reach	
  2.7%	
  in	
  2012,	
  well	
  below	
  the	
  long-­‐term	
  
        trend.	
  The	
  global	
  economy	
  con=nues	
  to	
  face	
  numerous	
  headwinds,	
  including	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  economic	
  crisis,	
  the	
  threat	
  of	
  higher	
  oil	
  prices,	
  
        fiscal	
  deficits	
  in	
  several	
  developed	
  countries,	
  and	
  a	
  slowdown	
  in	
  demand	
  in	
  some	
  emerging	
  markets.	
  	
  	
  

        AMERICAS	
                                                                                                                 EMEA	
                                                                                                                    APAC	
  
        Con=nued	
  modest	
  economic	
  growth	
  is	
                                                                           The	
  Eurozone’s	
  economic	
  problems	
  con=nue	
                                                                    Although	
  the	
  global	
  economic	
  climate	
  is	
  
        expected	
  throughout	
  the	
  region,	
  with	
                                                                         to	
  limit	
  regional	
  and	
  global	
  growth	
  prospects,	
                                                        keeping	
  growth	
  rates	
  in	
  check	
  in	
  many	
  APAC	
  
        external	
  risks	
  such	
  as	
  rising	
  oil	
  prices	
  and	
                                                        with	
  few	
  markets	
  showing	
  posi=ve	
  trends.	
                                                                 countries,	
  healthy	
  economic	
  performances	
  
        slower	
  demand	
  from	
  Europe	
  and	
  Asia	
                                                                                                                                                                                                  are	
  forecast	
  throughout	
  the	
  region.	
  
                                                                                                                                   Eurozone	
  
        dampening	
  growth	
  prospects.	
  	
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Japan	
  
                                                                                                                                   The	
  Eurozone	
  economy	
  began	
  to	
  contract	
  in	
  
        Canada	
                                                                                                                   late	
  2011.	
  Despite	
  some	
  resilience,	
  primarily	
  in	
                                                      Reconstruc:on	
  efforts	
  following	
  the	
  2011	
  
        Muted	
  GDP	
  growth	
  of	
  just	
  over	
  2%	
  is	
  expected	
                                                     the	
  northern	
  countries,	
  the	
  region	
  is	
  not	
                                                             natural	
  disasters	
  con:nue	
  to	
  drive	
  Japan’s	
  
        to	
  con:nue	
  throughout	
  2012,	
  with	
  a	
  more	
                                                                expected	
  to	
  return	
  to	
  posi:ve	
  economic	
  growth	
                                                         modest	
  growth,	
  but	
  domes:c	
  consump:on	
  is	
  
        favorable	
  outlook	
  projected	
  in	
  2013	
  as	
  global	
                                                          before	
  the	
  second	
  half	
  of	
  2012.	
                                                                          also	
  beginning	
  to	
  show	
  signs	
  of	
  improvement.	
  
        economic	
  uncertainty	
  subsides.	
                                                                                                                                                                                                               China	
  
                                                                                                                                   U.K.	
  
        U.S.	
                                                                                                                     The	
  U.K.	
  economy	
  con:nued	
  to	
  weaken	
  in	
  the	
                                                         The	
  country’s	
  economic	
  growth	
  rate	
  remains	
  
        Slow	
  but	
  stable	
  growth	
  con:nues	
  for	
  the	
  U.S.	
                                                        first	
  part	
  of	
  2012	
  and	
  will	
  struggle	
  to	
  achieve	
                                                  above	
  8%,	
  but	
  the	
  pace	
  has	
  cooled	
  in	
  recent	
  
        economy	
  in	
  2012.	
  Improvements	
  in	
  consumer	
                                                                 posi:ve	
  growth	
  for	
  the	
  year.	
  Modest	
  growth	
  is	
                                                      months	
  due	
  to	
  slower	
  external	
  demand	
  and	
  
        demand	
  were	
  offset	
  by	
  weaknesses	
  in	
                                                                        forecast	
  to	
  begin	
  in	
  late	
  2012	
  and	
  into	
  2013.                         	
                          weakness	
  in	
  construc:on	
  and	
  manufacturing.	
  
        government	
  spending	
  and	
  business	
  investment	
                                                                                                                                                                                            India	
  
        in	
  the	
  first	
  quarter.	
                                                                                            Central	
  and	
  Eastern	
  Europe	
  
                                                                                                                                   Growth	
  in	
  export-­‐dependent	
  countries	
  will	
                                                                 India’s	
  economy	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  rebound	
  to	
  an	
  
        La=n	
  America	
                                                                                                          con:nue	
  to	
  be	
  subdued	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  the	
                                                        above	
  7%	
  growth	
  rate	
  in	
  2012,	
  following	
  a	
  
        The	
  region	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  see	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
                                                      Eurozone’s	
  woes;	
  	
  however,	
  Russia’s	
  economy	
  is	
                                                        slight	
  slowdown	
  in	
  2011.	
  
        mid-­‐3%	
  range	
  in	
  2012,	
  led	
  by	
  countries	
  such	
  as	
                                                 s:ll	
  growing	
  at	
  a	
  modest	
  pace.	
                                                                           Australia	
  
        Brazil,	
  Mexico,	
  Peru,	
  Colombia	
  and	
  Chile	
  that	
                                                                                                                                                                                    Economic	
  growth	
  will	
  regain	
  some	
  momentum	
  
        have	
  strong	
  economic	
  fundamentals,	
  easy	
                                                                      Middle	
  East	
  and	
  North	
  Africa	
  
                                                                                                                                   The	
  region	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  see	
  moderate	
  growth	
                                                      in	
  2012,	
  with	
  strength	
  in	
  the	
  natural	
  resources	
  
        monetary	
  policies,	
  and	
  healthy	
  domes:c	
                                                                                                                                                                                                 industry	
  tempered	
  by	
  sluggish	
  domes:c	
  
                                                                                                                                   in	
  2012,	
  with	
  gains	
  from	
  higher	
  oil	
  prices	
  offset	
  
        demand.	
  	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        demand	
  and	
  uncertainty	
  over	
  global	
  economic	
  
                                                                                                                                   by	
  risks	
  from	
  ongoing	
  poli:cal	
  and	
  social	
  issues.	
  
        	
                                                                                                                         	
                                                                                                                        condi:ons.	
  	
  
        	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             	
  

4	
            Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (April	
  2012);	
  EU	
  Expects	
  2012	
  Recession,	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  02.23.12;	
  UK	
  Back	
  in	
  Recession,	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  04.25.12;	
  Economic	
  Outlook	
  Darkens	
  for	
  Eastern	
  Europe,	
  Financial	
  Times,	
  01.24.12;	
  
               Australia	
  GDP	
  Grows	
  at	
  Half	
  the	
  Pace	
  Economists	
  Forecast,	
  Bloomberg,	
  03.07.12	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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b"
Global Labor Market Update
                 SECOND QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS
        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  AMERICAS	
  
        	
  
        Employment	
  trends	
  in	
  the	
  Americas	
  are	
  generally	
  posi=ve,	
  but	
  somewhat	
  subdued	
  by	
  uncertain=es	
  stemming	
  from	
  the	
  global	
  economic	
  
        climate.	
  The	
  pace	
  of	
  hiring	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  remain	
  steady	
  in	
  2012	
  and	
  improve	
  in	
  2013,	
  causing	
  unemployment	
  rates	
  to	
  edge	
  downward.	
  

        	
  

        UNITED	
  STATES	
                                                                   BRAZIL	
                                                                                 CANADA	
                                                                                MEXICO	
  
        Although	
  the	
  U.S.	
  labor	
  market	
                                         Seasonal	
  impacts	
  liged	
  the	
                                                    Canada’s	
  labor	
  market	
  is	
  on	
  a	
                                          The	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  in	
  
        began	
  the	
  year	
  on	
  a	
  posi:ve	
                                         unemployment	
  rate	
  in	
  Brazil	
  in	
                                             moderate,	
  if	
  uneven,	
  growth	
                                                  Mexico	
  was	
  steady	
  in	
  early	
  2012	
  
        note,	
  employment	
  trends	
  have	
                                              the	
  first	
  part	
  of	
  2012,	
  but	
                                              path	
  in	
  2012,	
  with	
  job	
  gains	
                                           as	
  labor	
  force	
  increases	
  offset	
  
        begun	
  to	
  weaken	
  somewhat,	
                                                 unemployment	
  remains	
  at	
  	
                                                      broadly	
  outpacing	
  losses.	
                                                       private	
  sector	
  employment	
  gains.	
  
        sugges:ng	
  that	
  the	
  hiring	
                                                 historically	
  low	
  levels	
  and	
  is	
  not	
                                      Budgetary	
  :ghtening	
  will	
                                                        The	
  economy	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  add	
  
        momentum	
  may	
  be	
  slowing.	
                                                  forecast	
  to	
  grow	
  significantly.	
                                                con:nue	
  to	
  shrink	
  public	
  sector	
                                           450,000	
  formal	
  jobs	
  in	
  2012;	
  
        Nevertheless,	
  employment	
  gains	
                                               The	
  :ght	
  labor	
  market	
  is	
  pushing	
                                        employment,	
  leaving	
  the	
  private	
                                              formal	
  employment	
  only	
  
        are	
  s:ll	
  expected	
  to	
  average	
  a	
                                      up	
  wages	
  and	
  fueling	
  infla:on.	
                                              sector	
  to	
  keep	
  up	
  the	
  hiring	
                                           accounts	
  for	
  around	
  one-­‐third	
  of	
  
        stronger	
  pace	
  in	
  2012	
  than	
  2011.	
                                    	
                                                                                       momentum.	
                                                                             the	
  labor	
  force	
  in	
  Mexico.	
  
        	
  



                                                                                                                                       Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
                                                                             10%	
  
                                                                                8%	
              8.9%	
  
                                                                                                             8.3%	
   8.1%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                 7.5%	
   7.3%	
                                                                                    2011	
  
                                                                                6%	
                                                                                                                 6.8%	
  
                                                                                                                                          6.0%	
   6.2%	
   5.7%	
                                                                                                                  2012	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                4%	
                                                                                                                                     5.2%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4.8%	
   4.6%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2013	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                2%	
  
                                                                                0%	
  
                                                                                                             U.S.	
                              Brazil	
                             Canada	
                                Mexico	
  


        Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (April	
  2012);	
  Brazil	
  Jobless	
  Rate	
  Rises	
  Unexpectedly	
  in	
  March,	
  Reuters,	
  04.26.12;	
  Brazil	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  Edged	
  Higher	
  in	
  February,	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  03.22.12	
  
7	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       TABLE OF CONTENTS

        GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  EMEA	
  
        	
  
        Low	
  business	
  confidence	
  and	
  government	
  austerity	
  measures	
  con=nue	
  to	
  constrain	
  hiring	
  in	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  and	
  beyond.	
  The	
  cau=ous	
  
        approach	
  to	
  employment	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  con=nue	
  throughout	
  2012,	
  with	
  only	
  modest	
  improvements	
  forecast	
  for	
  2013.                                                                                  	
  


        GERMANY	
                                                                          FRANCE	
                                                                           UNITED	
  KINGDOM	
                                  RUSSIA	
  
        The	
  German	
  labor	
  market	
                                                 Unemployment	
  has	
  risen	
  steadily	
                                         Although	
  recent	
  data	
  suggests	
             The	
  labor	
  market	
  in	
  Russia	
  is	
  
        con:nues	
  to	
  show	
  resilience,	
  and	
                                     over	
  the	
  past	
  year,	
  and	
  in	
  March	
                               some	
  easing	
  in	
  the	
  challenging	
         stable,	
  with	
  slow	
  improvements	
  
        is	
  expected	
  to	
  remain	
  much	
                                           2012	
  hit	
  a	
  twelve-­‐year	
  high.	
  The	
                                U.K.	
  labor	
  market,	
  unemployment	
           in	
  employment	
  projected	
  for	
  
        healthier	
  than	
  most	
  others	
  in	
  the	
                                 labor	
  market	
  is	
  not	
  expected	
  to	
                                   is	
  forecast	
  to	
  con:nue	
  to	
  trend	
     2012.	
  Russian	
  companies	
  are	
  
        region.	
  Job	
  gains	
  have	
  been	
                                          improve	
  in	
  the	
  short	
  term	
  as	
  low	
                               higher	
  in	
  2012	
  due	
  to	
  weak	
          showing	
  some	
  cau:on	
  in	
  hiring	
  
        steady,	
  and	
  the	
  unemployment	
                                            business	
  confidence	
  and	
  :ght	
                                             economic	
  ac:vity,	
  private	
  sector	
          as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  the	
  European	
  crisis.	
  	
  	
  
        rate	
  con:nues	
  to	
  fall	
  to	
                                             fiscal	
  condi:ons	
  limit	
  hiring.	
                                           cau:on,	
  and	
  public	
  sector	
  cuts.	
        	
  
        historically	
  low	
  levels.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ITALY	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   With	
  the	
  economy	
  in	
  recession	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   and	
  con:nuing	
  to	
  deteriorate,	
  
                                                                               Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
                                                                                                         the	
  weak	
  demand	
  for	
  labor	
  is	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   forecast	
  to	
  persist	
  throughout	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2012.	
  Prospects	
  for	
  new	
  job	
  
                 10%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                             crea:on	
  are	
  dim	
  in	
  both	
  the	
  
                                                                        9.7%	
   9.9%	
   9.8%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          9.3%	
   9.6%	
                          private	
  and	
  public	
  sector.	
  
                    8%	
                                                                                               9.0%	
   8.9%	
  
                                                                                                            8.1%	
                                                             8.3%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                              2011	
  
                    6%	
             7.1%	
  
                                                6.7%	
   6.5%	
  
                                                                                                                                               6.1%	
  
                                                                                                                                                          5.7%	
   5.4%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                              2012	
  (p)	
  
                    4%	
                                                                                                                                                                                      2013	
  (p)	
  
                    2%	
  

                    0%	
  
                                       Germany	
                             France	
                               U.K.	
                           Russia	
                         Italy	
  



         Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (April	
  2012);	
  Mixed	
  Jobs	
  Outlook	
  Worrying	
  Russians,	
  Moscow	
  News,	
  03.06.12	
  
         	
  
8	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                TABLE OF CONTENTS
         GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  UPDATE:	
  APAC	
  
         	
  
         APAC	
  labor	
  markets	
  remain	
  healthy,	
  but	
  may	
  face	
  challenges	
  in	
  2012.	
  The	
  cool	
  global	
  economic	
  climate	
  is	
  a	
  risk	
  to	
  export	
  growth,	
  and	
  
         domes=c	
  demand	
  is	
  soiening;	
  as	
  a	
  result,	
  APAC	
  countries’	
  resilient	
  employment	
  performance	
  may	
  falter	
  somewhat.	
  

         	
  

         CHINA	
                                                                               JAPAN	
                                                                                   INDIA	
                                                                                  AUSTRALIA	
  
         China’s	
  unemployment	
  rate	
                                                     Employment	
  trended	
  downward	
                                                       The	
  formal	
  sector	
  is	
  projected	
  to	
                                       Labor	
  market	
  condi:ons	
  are	
  
         remains	
  steady	
  and	
  well	
  below	
  the	
                                    in	
  the	
  first	
  quarter	
  of	
  2012	
  as	
                                        add	
  around	
  1.6	
  million	
  jobs	
  in	
                                          expected	
  to	
  remain	
  favorable	
  
         government’s	
  4.6%	
  target	
  for	
  2012.	
                                      economic	
  growth	
  remained	
                                                          2012,	
  a	
  slight	
  increase	
  from	
  the	
                                        with	
  some	
  fluctua:ons	
  in	
  2012,	
  
         However,	
  the	
  country	
  faces	
                                                 sluggish.	
  Labor	
  market	
  demand	
  is	
                                            1.4	
  million	
  jobs	
  created	
  in	
  2011.	
                                       as	
  employers	
  and	
  workers	
  
         numerous	
  employment	
  challenges	
                                                expected	
  to	
  slowly	
  accelerate	
                                                  The	
  healthcare,	
  hospitality	
  and	
  IT	
                                         navigate	
  an	
  uncertain	
  economic	
  
         including	
  rising	
  wages,	
  a	
  significant	
                                    throughout	
  the	
  year,	
  and	
  the	
                                                sectors	
  have	
  the	
  most	
  op:mis:c	
                                             climate.	
  Investment	
  in	
  the	
  
         skills	
  gap,	
  and	
  the	
  need	
  to	
  create	
                                jobless	
  rate	
  will	
  begin	
  to	
  improve	
                                       hiring	
  outlooks.	
                                                                    resources	
  sector	
  con:nues	
  to	
  
         25	
  million	
  jobs	
  this	
  year	
  to	
  keep	
  up	
                           in	
  late	
  2012	
  or	
  early	
  2013.	
                                                                                                                                       drive	
  labor	
  demand.	
  
         with	
  labor	
  force	
  trends.	
  	
  
         	
  	
  
         	
  
                                                                                                                                        Average	
  Annual	
  Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
         	
                                                                    10%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                          9.4%	
   9.3%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                              9.0%	
  
                                                                                  8%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2011	
  
                                                                                  6%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2012	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                                  5.1%	
                                                                                                            5.1%	
   5.3%	
   5.1%	
  
                                                                                  4%	
                 4.6%	
                4.8%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2013	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                                                                 4.1%	
   4.2%	
   4.1%	
  

                                                                                  2%	
  

                                                                                  0%	
  
                                                                                                             Japan	
                                   China	
                                    India	
                              Australia	
  

    Sources:	
  IHS	
  Global	
  Insight	
  reports	
  (April	
  2012);	
  China	
  faces	
  huge	
  employment	
  pressure,	
  Xinhua	
  Economic	
  News	
  Service,	
  03.07.12;	
  Jobs	
  stable	
  but	
  there	
  may	
  be	
  trouble	
  ahead,	
  Shanghai	
  Daily,	
  04.26.12;	
  India	
  Inc.	
  op:mis:c	
  on	
  2012	
  hiring,	
  India	
  
    Infoline,	
  03.05.12;	
  Japan	
  Mar	
  jobless	
  rate	
  stays	
  at	
  4.5%,	
  payrolls	
  on	
  downtrend,	
  The	
  Main	
  Wire,	
  04.26.12	
  	
  

9
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS



         GLOBAL	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  SPOTLIGHT:	
  	
  YOUTH	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  
         	
   opportuni=es	
  for	
  young	
  people	
  diminished	
  during	
  the	
  recession,	
  and	
  remain	
  scarce	
  during	
  the	
  current	
  climate	
  of	
  economic	
  uncertainty.	
  
         Job	
  
         Businesses	
  and	
  policymakers	
  are	
  looking	
  to	
  address	
  the	
  issue	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  avoid	
  long-­‐term	
  social	
  and	
  financial	
  consequences.	
  	
  

         	
  
         AN	
  ISSUE	
  IN	
  BOTH	
  DEVELOPED	
  AND	
  EMERGING	
  MARKETS	
  
         Youth	
  unemployment	
  is	
  at	
  a	
  historic	
  high	
  in	
  the	
  EU	
  (22.6%	
  in	
  March	
  2012)	
  and	
  in	
                                                                   Youth	
  Unemployment	
  Rates	
  by	
  Region,	
  2011	
  (e)	
  
         many	
  European	
  countries.	
  Some	
  of	
  the	
  highest	
  youth	
  unemployment	
  rates	
  are	
  
         found	
  in	
  	
  markets	
  at	
  the	
  center	
  of	
  the	
  financial	
  crisis	
  such	
  as	
  Spain,	
  Greece,	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         WORLD	
                                     12.7%	
  
         Portugal,	
  and	
  Italy,	
  and	
  in	
  Middle	
  East	
  and	
  North	
  African	
  countries.	
  	
  
         In	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  youth	
  unemployment	
  has	
  been	
  steadily	
  declining	
  from	
  a	
  high	
  of	
  over	
  
         19%	
  in	
  late	
  2009,	
  but	
  it	
  is	
  s:ll	
  twice	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  overall	
  unemployment.	
  East	
  and	
                                                                             East	
  Asia	
                      8.8%	
  
         South	
  Asia	
  show	
  the	
  lowest	
  youth	
  unemployment	
  rates	
  among	
  global	
  regions,	
  but	
  
         these	
  rates	
  are	
  also	
  more	
  than	
  twice	
  the	
  regions’	
  overall	
  unemployment	
  rates.	
                                                                                           South	
  Asia	
                           9.9%	
  
         YOUTH	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  IS	
  A	
  GLOBAL	
  PHENOMENON	
  
         According	
  to	
  the	
  ILO,	
  nearly	
  75	
  million	
  youth	
  around	
  the	
  world	
  are	
  unemployed	
                                                                        Sub-­‐Saharan	
  Africa	
                                        12.8%	
  
         and	
  the	
  youth	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  was	
  12.7%	
  in	
  2011	
  –	
  	
  figures	
  that	
  are	
  not	
  
         projected	
  to	
  improve	
  in	
  2012.	
  The	
  ILO	
  and	
  the	
  European	
  Commission	
  are	
  among	
  
         the	
  ins:tu:ons	
  that	
  have	
  launched	
  ini:a:ves	
  aimed	
  at	
  iden:fying	
  and	
                                                                                                SE	
  Asia	
  &	
  Pacific	
                                   13.4%	
  
         implemen:ng	
  solu:ons	
  to	
  the	
  youth	
  unemployment	
  crisis.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                         Central	
  &	
  SE	
  Europe	
  &	
  CIS	
                                                  17.7%	
  
         	
  
                                Current	
  Youth	
  Unemployment	
  Rates,	
  Selected	
  Countries	
  
         	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                       Developed	
  Economies	
  &	
  EU	
                                                           17.9%	
  
         	
  
         60%	
                                                                                                               51.1%	
  
         50%	
  
                                                                                                          35.9%	
                                                                                                 Middle	
  East	
                                                                              26.2%	
  
         40%	
  
                                                                                      26.7%	
                                                   25.0%	
  
         30%	
                                  20.0%	
            21.8%	
  
                            16.4%	
  
         20%	
                                                                                                                                                       8.6%	
                                      North	
  Africa	
                                                                                 27.1%	
  
         10%	
  
                0%	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0%	
           5%	
           10%	
           15%	
           20%	
           25%	
           30%	
  
                              U.S.	
             U.K.	
           France	
           Poland	
              Italy	
            Spain	
         Australia	
           Japan	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                Sources:	
  ILO	
  Global	
  Employment	
  Trends	
  2012;	
  US	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs;	
  	
  EU	
  Employment	
  and	
  
                     Current	
  youth	
  unemployment	
  rates,	
  seasonally	
  adjusted:	
  US	
  –	
  April	
  2012;	
  Australia,	
  EU	
  countries,	
  Japan	
  –	
  March	
           Social	
  Situa:on;	
  UK	
  Office	
  of	
  Na:onal	
  Sta:s:cs;	
  Sta:s:cs	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Japan	
  ;	
  Western	
  Australia	
  Bureau	
  
                     2012;	
  UK	
  –	
  Dec	
  2011-­‐Feb	
  2012	
                                                                                                                                                 of	
  Sta:s:cs;	
  Unemployment	
  crisis	
  spurs	
  global	
  youth	
  summit,	
  GlobalPost,	
  04.18.12	
  
10	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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         GLOBAL	
  LEGISLATIVE	
  UPDATE	
  
         	
  
         Legisla=on	
  that	
  seeks	
  to	
  improve	
  labor	
  market	
  flexibility	
  is	
  a	
  key	
  priority	
  in	
  European	
  countries	
  such	
  as	
  Italy	
  and	
  Spain	
  that	
  have	
  rigid	
  
         labor	
  laws	
  and	
  are	
  experiencing	
  severe	
  economic	
  turmoil.	
  Several	
  countries	
  including	
  Japan	
  and	
  South	
  Africa	
  have	
  introduced	
  
         legisla=on	
  that	
  would	
  improve	
  condi=ons	
  for	
  temporary	
  workers.	
  And	
  encouraging	
  immigra=on	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  alleviate	
  skills	
  shortages	
  is	
  
         the	
  goal	
  of	
  new	
  direc=ves	
  in	
  the	
  European	
  Union	
  and	
  Australia.	
  	
  

         	
                                                                                                                        EUROPE	
  
                                                                                                                                   A	
  new	
  direc:ve	
  requires	
  EU	
  member	
  states	
  to	
  
                 CANADA	
                                                                                                          facilitate	
  migra:on	
  of	
  non-­‐EU	
  ci:zens,	
  including	
  
                 The	
  government	
  announced	
  that	
  the	
                                                                   implemen:ng	
  a	
  single	
  permit	
  procedure	
  and	
                                                             JAPAN	
  
                 re:rement	
  age,	
  currently	
  at	
  age	
  65,	
  will	
  be	
                                                                                                                                                                       A	
  new	
  revision	
  to	
  the	
  worker	
  dispatch	
  
                                                                                                                                   gran:ng	
  equal	
  working	
  condi:ons	
  and	
  rights.	
  
                 gradually	
  increased	
  to	
  age	
  67	
  over	
  the	
                                                        Members	
  have	
  un:l	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  2013	
  to	
  comply.	
                                                 law	
  	
  aims	
  to	
  improve	
  the	
  treatment	
  of	
  
                 next	
  ten	
  years.	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  temporary	
  workers	
  in	
  Japan.	
  The	
  bill	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          prohibits	
  temporary	
  employment	
  of	
  30	
  
                                                                                                            ITALY	
                                                                                                                                       days	
  or	
  less.	
  It	
  also	
  mandates	
  more	
  
                                                                                                            The	
  cabinet	
  approved	
  labor	
  reforms	
  that	
  are	
                                                                               transparency	
  in	
  fees	
  and	
  considera:on	
  
           UNITED	
  STATES	
                                                                               designed	
  to	
  create	
  a	
  more	
  flexible	
  and	
                                                                                     for	
  equal	
  wages	
  for	
  temporary	
  work.	
  
           The	
  Jumpstart	
  Our	
  Business	
                                                            dynamic	
  labor	
  market.	
  A	
  new	
  decree	
  that	
  
           Startups	
  (JOBS)	
  Act,	
  a	
  bill	
                                                        eases	
  restric:ons	
  on	
  the	
  use	
  of	
  temporary	
  
           that	
  will	
  make	
  it	
  easier	
  for	
                                                    employees	
  has	
  also	
  been	
  approved.	
                                                                           CHINA	
  	
  
           startup	
  companies	
  and	
  small	
                                                                                                                                                                                     The	
  state	
  council	
  draged	
  new	
  regula:ons	
  
           businesses	
  to	
  raise	
  funds,	
                                                                                                                                                                                      that	
  would	
  strengthen	
  benefits	
  and	
  
           was	
  signed	
  into	
  law.	
  	
                                                                                                                                                                                        protec:ons	
  for	
  female	
  employees.	
  A	
  
                                                                              SPAIN	
  
                                                                              Significant	
  reforms	
  that	
  aim	
  to	
  make	
  the	
  labor	
  market	
                                                                          number	
  of	
  ci:es	
  have	
  also	
  introduced	
  new	
  
                                                                              more	
  flexible	
  were	
  approved	
  by	
  the	
  government.	
                                                                                       rules	
  designed	
  to	
  protect	
  women’s	
  
                                                                              Among	
  the	
  key	
  measures	
  are	
  those	
  that	
  seek	
  to	
  reduce	
                                                                       employment	
  rights.	
  
                                                                              the	
  cost	
  and	
  complexity	
  of	
  employee	
  termina:on,	
  and	
  
                                                                              give	
  companies	
  greater	
  power	
  to	
  opt	
  out	
  of	
  collec:ve	
  
                                                                              bargaining	
  agreements.	
                                                                                                                 AUSTRALIA	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Recruitment	
  agencies	
  will	
  now	
  be	
  allowed	
  to	
  
                             SOUTH	
  AFRICA	
                                                                                                                                                                            sponsor	
  overseas	
  workers	
  to	
  work	
  in	
  Australia.	
  
                             New	
  legisla:on	
  would	
  require	
  equal	
  pay	
  for	
  temporary	
  workers	
  on	
  fixed-­‐                                                                                        Previously,	
  only	
  the	
  companies	
  that	
  directly	
  
                             term	
  contracts.	
  Workers	
  that	
  are	
  employed	
  for	
  more	
  than	
  six	
  months	
  also	
                                                                                   employed	
  overseas	
  workers	
  were	
  allowed	
  to	
  
                             will	
  be	
  considered	
  as	
  permanent	
  employees	
  under	
  the	
  new	
  bill.	
                                                                                                   act	
  as	
  sponsors.	
  	
  


                Sources:	
  Global	
  Insight;	
  SIA	
  WE	
  Legs	
  and	
  Reg	
  Advisor,	
  02.12;	
  SIA	
  Daily	
  News;	
  	
  Interna:onal	
  Law	
  Office;	
  The	
  labour	
  reform:	
  What	
  are	
  the	
  main	
  changes	
  for	
  companies	
  in	
  Spain?	
  Clifford	
  Chance,	
  02.12;	
  Japan	
  Economic	
  Newswire,	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    03.28.12;	
  Forbes.com,	
  04.05.12;	
  Japan	
  Interna:onal	
  Labour	
  Federa:on,	
  04.06.12	
  	
  	
  
11	
  
U.S. Labor Market Overview
                 SECOND QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            TABLE OF CONTENTS

          U.S.	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CONDITIONS	
  
          	
  
          MODEST	
  FIRST	
  QUARTER	
  HIRING	
                                        U.S.	
  MONTHLY	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  CHANGE	
  AND	
  UNEMPLOYMENT	
  RATE	
  
          The	
  U.S.	
  labor	
  market	
  con:nued	
  to	
  add	
  jobs	
  in	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Unemployment	
  Rate	
  (%)	
  
          the	
  first	
  part	
  of	
  2012,	
  averaging	
  more	
  than	
  




                                                                                         Employment	
  (000’s)	
  
                                                                                                                       600	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     11	
  
          200,000	
  new	
  jobs	
  per	
  month	
  in	
  the	
  first	
  four	
                                        300	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10	
  
          months	
  and	
  recording	
  the	
  strongest	
  first	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               9	
  
                                                                                                                            0	
  
          quarter	
  performance	
  in	
  six	
  years.	
  The	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 8	
  
          unemployment	
  rate	
  also	
  con:nued	
  to	
  inch	
                                                    -­‐300	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 7	
  
          down,	
  reaching	
  8.1%	
  in	
  April.	
                                                                 -­‐600	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   6	
  
                                                                                                                      -­‐900	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   5	
  
          SOFTENING	
  TRENDS	
  A	
  CONCERN	
  


                                                                                                                                    Jan-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jan-­‐11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jan-­‐12	
  
                                                                                                                                                    Apr-­‐09	
  

                                                                                                                                                                   Jul-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                Apr-­‐10	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jul-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Apr-­‐11	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jul-­‐11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                  Oct-­‐09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Oct-­‐10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Oct-­‐11	
  
          Hiring	
  trends	
  weakened	
  throughout	
  the	
  
          quarter,	
  giving	
  rise	
  to	
  fears	
  that	
  the	
  posi:ve	
  
          momentum	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  labor	
  market	
  may	
  be	
  
                                                                                                                                                   Non-­‐Farm	
  Employment	
                                            Private-­‐Sector	
  Employment	
                                                    Unemployment	
  Rate	
  
          slowing.	
  And	
  the	
  recent	
  improvements	
  in	
  the	
  
          unemployment	
  rate	
  were	
  largely	
  aoributable	
  to	
  
          declines	
  in	
  the	
  labor	
  force	
  rather	
  than	
  any	
               EMPLOYMENT	
  OVERVIEW	
  
          significant	
  strengthening	
  in	
  the	
  jobs	
  market.	
  	
  
          LACKLUSTER	
  GROWTH	
  PROSPECTS	
                                                                                                                                                                                  APR	
                         MAR	
                          FEB	
                               JAN	
                DEC	
  
          The	
  tepid	
  U.S.	
  economic	
  performance	
  in	
  the	
  
          first	
  quarter	
  of	
  the	
  year	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  improve	
                                  Total	
  non-­‐farm	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                             115K	
                        154K	
                         259K	
                              275K	
              223K	
  
          only	
  slightly	
  throughout	
  the	
  year.	
  The	
  uncertain	
  
          global	
  economic	
  climate	
  and	
  concerns	
  over	
                                                 Private	
  employment	
  growth	
                                                                         130K	
                        166K	
                         254K	
                              277K	
              234K	
  
          higher	
  oil	
  prices	
  represent	
  addi:onal	
  short-­‐term	
  
          threats	
  to	
  future	
  job	
  gains.	
                                                                 Unemployment	
  rate	
                                                                                    8.1%	
                        8.2%	
                         8.3%	
                              8.3%	
              8.5%	
  

          LONG-­‐TERM	
  CHALLENGES	
  
          Despite	
  modestly	
  posi:ve	
  hiring	
  trends,	
  the	
  U.S.	
  jobless	
  rate	
  remains	
  stubbornly	
  high	
  and	
  employment	
  has	
  yet	
  to	
  recover	
  to	
  its	
  pre-­‐recessionary	
  levels.	
  
          Perhaps	
  the	
  biggest	
  challenge	
  over	
  the	
  coming	
  months	
  and	
  years	
  will	
  be	
  bringing	
  the	
  na:on’s	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  back	
  down	
  into	
  the	
  5-­‐6%	
  range	
  that	
  
          was	
  once	
  taken	
  for	
  granted.	
  At	
  the	
  current	
  rates	
  of	
  economic	
  growth	
  and	
  job	
  crea:on,	
  the	
  labor	
  market	
  recovery	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
  be	
  a	
  very	
  slow	
  process.	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Sources:	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs	
  
13	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             TABLE OF CONTENTS

         U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  SUPPLY	
  AND	
  DEMAND	
  	
  



           POSITIVE	
  JOB	
  DEMAND	
  CONTINUES	
  	
  
           U.S.	
  labor	
  demand	
  con:nued	
  on	
  an	
  upward	
  trend	
  in	
                                                           U.S.	
  MARKET	
  -­‐	
  MONTHLY	
  LABOR	
  DEMAND	
  VS.	
  LABOR	
  SUPPLY	
  
           the	
  first	
  quarter	
  of	
  2012.	
  Online	
  adver:sed	
  job	
  
           vacancies	
  grew	
  by	
  over	
  90,000	
  in	
  April	
  2012,	
  the	
  figh	
  
                                                                                                                                   16,000	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      8,000	
  
           consecu:ve	
  monthly	
  rise,	
  leading	
  to	
  the	
  highest	
  level	
  
           of	
  labor	
  demand	
  since	
  data	
  collec:on	
  began	
  in	
  2005.	
  
           The	
  labor	
  supply/demand	
  ra:o	
  fell	
  to	
  2.7	
  in	
  April,	
                                            14,000	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      7,000	
  
           signifying	
  that	
  there	
  are	
  fewer	
  than	
  3	
  people	
  
           unemployed	
  for	
  every	
  job	
  vacancy.	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             No.	
  of	
  	
  Online	
  Job	
  Ads	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                   12,000	
  


                                                                                                 No.	
  of	
  Unemployed	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 6,000	
  
           MIDWEST	
  LEADS	
  JOBS	
  RECOVERY	
  	
  


                                                                                                         (in	
  000's)	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        (in	
  000's)	
  
           Since	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  recession	
  in	
  mid-­‐2009,	
  the	
                                             10,000	
  
           Midwest	
  has	
  shown	
  considerable	
  growth	
  in	
  job	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      5,000	
  
           demand.	
  Nine	
  metropolitan	
  areas	
  have	
  seen	
  online	
  
           adver:sed	
  vacancies	
  grow	
  more	
  than	
  100%	
  in	
  that	
                                                   8,000	
  
           :me	
  period,	
  led	
  by	
  Cleveland,	
  Minneapolis-­‐St.	
  Paul,	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4,000	
  
           Detroit,	
  and	
  Columbus.	
  	
                                                                                       6,000	
  

           DEMAND	
  IMPROVES	
  FOR	
  OFFICE,	
  LEGAL	
  WORKERS	
  	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3,000	
  
           In	
  the	
  first	
  three	
  months	
  of	
  2012,	
  demand	
  increased	
                                             4,000	
  
           for	
  legal	
  and	
  office/administra:ve	
  support	
  workers,	
  
           two	
  occupa:ons	
  that	
  saw	
  sluggish	
  growth	
  in	
  2011.	
                                                  2,000	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2,000	
  
                                                                                                                                                                 Jul	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jul	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jul	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jul	
  11	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan	
  11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan	
  12	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Apr	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Apr	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Apr	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Apr	
  11	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Apr	
  12	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                 Oct	
  08	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Oct	
  09	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Oct	
  10	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Oct	
  11	
  
           Demand	
  for	
  these	
  posi:ons	
  is	
  highest	
  in	
  large	
  states,	
  
           including	
  California,	
  Texas,	
  and	
  Florida.	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                        #	
  of	
  unemployed	
  workers	
                                                                                                                        #	
  of	
  online	
  ads	
  
           	
  
           	
  

           	
  
                  “Labor	
  demand	
  con:nues	
  its	
  five-­‐month	
  upward	
  trend,	
  which	
  has	
  averaged	
  about	
  113,000	
  vacancies	
  per	
  
                                       month.	
  This	
  is	
  welcome	
  news	
  for	
  unemployed	
  workers	
  or	
  those	
  looking	
  to	
  change	
  jobs.”	
  	
  
                                                                    —	
  	
  Judy	
  Shelp,	
  Vice	
  President,	
  	
  The	
  Conference	
  Board,	
  April	
  	
  30,	
  2012	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sources:	
  Conference	
  Board	
  Help	
  Wanted	
  OnLine,	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs	
  
14	
  
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         TABLE OF CONTENTS



         U.S.	
  LABOR	
  MARKET	
  SPOTLIGHT:	
  2010-­‐2020	
  EMPLOYMENT	
  PROJECTIONS	
  
         	
  
                HEALTHCARE	
  AND	
  SERVICE	
  OCCUPATIONS	
  WILL	
                                                                                 Fastest	
  Growing	
  Occupa=onal	
  Groups,	
  2010-­‐2020	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                           40%	
  
                LEAD	
  FUTURE	
  	
  U.S.	
  JOB	
  GROWTH	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2010-­‐2020	
  (p)	
                           2006-­‐2010	
  
                                                                                                           30%	
            35%	
  
                The	
  U.S.	
  economy	
  is	
  projected	
  to	
  add	
  20.5	
  million	
  
                new	
  jobs	
  from	
  2010-­‐2020,	
  a	
  14.3%	
  growth	
  rate,	
                     20%	
                                   27%	
                 26%	
  
                                                                                                                                       13%	
                                                       24%	
  
                according	
  to	
  the	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs.	
                                                                                                                                          22%	
                22%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      8%	
                                                             7%	
          17%	
  
                	
                                                                                         10%	
                                                                                                                                                                                 16%	
   5%	
  
                                                                                                                                                              2%	
                                             1%	
  
                Healthcare,	
  personal	
  care,	
  and	
  community	
  and	
  
                social	
  service	
  occupa:ons	
  are	
  projected	
  to	
  see	
                             0%	
  
                the	
  fastest	
  growth	
  from	
  2010-­‐2020.	
  The	
  largest	
                                                                                                                                                                                           -­‐1%	
  
                                                                                                        -­‐10%	
  
                number	
  of	
  new	
  jobs	
  will	
  be	
  in	
  healthcare,	
  office	
  
                and	
  administra:ve	
  support,	
  and	
  sales	
                                      -­‐20%	
  
                occupa:ons.	
  	
  
                                                                                                        -­‐30%	
                                                                                                               -­‐24%	
  
                	
                                                                                                         Healthcare	
          Personal	
  Care	
   Healthcare	
                Community	
   Construc:on	
   Computer	
  and	
   Business	
  and	
   Life,	
  Physical	
  
                DEMOGRAPHIC	
  CHANGES	
  AND	
  ECONOMIC	
                                                                 Support	
  	
         and	
  Service	
   Prac::oners	
                 and	
  Social	
   and	
  Extrac:on	
   Mathema:cal	
   Financial	
     and	
  Social	
  
                SHIFTS	
  ARE	
  DRIVING	
  GROWTH	
  TRENDS	
                                                                                                                                      Service	
                                             Opera:ons	
      Science	
  

                The	
  changing	
  demographics	
  of	
  the	
  U.S.	
  
                popula:on,	
  in	
  par:cular	
  the	
  aging	
  baby	
  boom	
  
                                                                                                                                                     Occupa=onal	
  Groups	
  with	
  Largest	
  Numeric	
  Growth,	
  	
  
                genera:on,	
  are	
  a	
  key	
  driver	
  in	
  the	
  growth	
  of	
                         4	
                                                      2010-­‐2020	
  (p)	
  
                                                                                                Millions	
  




                many	
  occupa:ons,	
  in	
  par:cular	
  healthcare-­‐
                related	
  areas.	
  	
                                                                        4	
  
                                                                                                                             3.5	
  
                	
                                                                                             3	
  
                Economic	
  shigs	
  are	
  also	
  behind	
  some	
  growth	
                                 3	
  
                trends,	
  as	
  many	
  occupa:ons	
  will	
  be	
  recovering	
  
                                                                                                               2	
                                  2.3	
  
                jobs	
  that	
  were	
  lost	
  during	
  the	
  recession.	
  For	
  
                example,	
  construc:on	
  saw	
  the	
  biggest	
  loss	
  of	
  jobs	
                       2	
                                                          1.9	
  
                from	
  2006-­‐2010;	
  even	
  with	
  the	
  22%	
  growth	
                                 1	
                                                                                   1.4	
                1.4	
                 1.3	
                    1.3	
                       1.3	
  
                projected	
  from	
  2010-­‐2020,	
  the	
  sector	
  won’t	
  reach	
  
                                                                                                               1	
  
                pre-­‐recessionary	
  employment	
  levels.	
  	
  
                	
                                                                                             0	
  
                                                                                                                         Healthcare	
      Office	
  and	
               Sales	
  and	
           Construc:on	
        Educa:on,	
   Personal	
  Care	
   Transporta:on	
           STEM	
  
                	
                                                                                                      Prac::oners	
   Administra:ve	
                 Related	
              and	
  Extrac:on	
   Training	
  and	
   and	
  Service	
   and	
  Material	
   Occupa:ons*	
  
                	
                                                                                                      and	
  Support	
    Support	
                                                                  Library	
                             Moving	
  

                                                                                                                             *STEM	
  occupa:on	
  groups:	
  Computer	
  and	
  Mathema:cal;	
  Life,	
  Physical,	
  and	
  Social	
  Science;	
  Architecture	
  and	
  Engineering	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Source:	
  US	
  Bureau	
  of	
  Labor	
  Sta:s:cs	
  
15	
  
Workforce Solutions
   Industry Insight
         SECOND QUARTER   l   2012
Global Talent Market Quarterly


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        TABLE OF CONTENTS



         KGWI:	
  ACQUISITION	
  AND	
  RETENTION	
  IN	
  THE	
  WAR	
  FOR	
  TALENT	
  
         	
  
         Findings	
  from	
  the	
  2012	
  Kelly	
  Global	
  Workforce	
  Index	
  (KGWI)	
  show	
  that	
  in	
  the	
  period	
  aier	
  the	
  global	
  financial	
  crisis,	
  workers	
  are	
  in	
  a	
  state	
  
         of	
  uncertainty.	
  Employees	
  have	
  experienced	
  unprecedented	
  economic	
  turmoil;	
  many	
  are	
  restless	
  and	
  are	
  ac=vely	
  looking	
  for	
  new	
  
         opportuni=es.	
  However,	
  employees	
  across	
  regions	
  and	
  genera=ons	
  show	
  differing	
  desires	
  and	
  mo=va=ons	
  regarding	
  job	
  choices.	
  

         	
  
          EMPLOYEES	
  LOOKING	
  FOR	
  CHANGE	
  
          Globally,	
  two-­‐thirds	
  of	
  workers	
  (66%)	
  intend	
  to	
  look	
  for	
  a	
  job	
  with	
  another	
     Top	
  factors	
  driving	
  the	
  decision	
  to	
  accept	
  one	
  job/posi=on	
  
          organiza:on	
  within	
  the	
  next	
  year,	
  	
  a	
  significant	
  increase	
  from	
  2009,	
  when	
                                  over	
  another	
  (By	
  genera=on)	
  
          59%	
  intended	
  to	
  look	
  for	
  a	
  job	
  elsewhere.	
  The	
  dissa:sfac:on	
  is	
  most	
  
          pronounced	
  in	
  the	
  Americas,	
  where	
  67%	
  intend	
  to	
  look	
  for	
  a	
  new	
  job,	
  
          compared	
  with	
  only	
  45%	
  in	
  2009.	
  
          	
                                                                                                                      39%	
                       34%	
                         41%	
                          48%	
                        Personal	
  
          MOTIVATIONS	
  BEHIND	
  JOB	
  CHOICE	
                                                                                                                                                                                                      fulfillment/	
  
          Several	
  factors,	
  including	
  lack	
  of	
  opportunity,	
  low	
  salaries,	
  and	
  poor	
                                                                                                                                           work-­‐life	
  balance	
  
          management,	
  cause	
  workers	
  to	
  look	
  for	
  new	
  jobs.	
  However,	
  these	
  drivers	
  
          differ	
  by	
  genera:on.	
  Work/life	
  balance	
  is	
  the	
  predominant	
  considera:on	
                                                     41%	
                                                                                     Personal	
  growth/	
  
          among	
  Baby	
  Boomers	
  evalua:ng	
  jobs.	
  But	
  for	
  Gen	
  Y,	
  the	
  leading	
                           36%	
                                                     34%	
                                                       advancement	
  
          considera:on	
  is	
  personal	
  growth/	
  advancement—an	
  outlook	
  that	
  reflects	
                                                                                                                      25%	
  
          their	
  near-­‐term	
  career	
  priori:es.	
  	
  
          	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Compensa:on/	
  
                                                                                                                                  19%	
                       20%	
                         19%	
                          19%	
  
          	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            benefits	
  
                      Do	
  you	
  intend	
  to	
  look	
  for	
  a	
  job	
  with	
  another	
  organiza=on	
  
                                    within	
  the	
  next	
  year?	
  (%	
  Yes,	
  by	
  region)	
                               Total	
                   Gen	
  Y	
                    Gen	
  X	
            Baby	
  Boomer	
  

                                                                2009	
     2012	
  
                                                                                                                                                  Top	
  factors	
  that	
  would	
  most	
  likely	
  cause	
  
                80%	
                                                                                                                                     employees	
  to	
  leave	
  their	
  jobs	
  
                60%	
                                                                                                                   •         Lack	
  of	
  opportuni:es	
  for	
  advancement	
  
                                        66%	
                   67%	
           67%	
   67%	
  
                              59%	
                                                                       59%	
   62%	
  
                40%	
                                 45%	
                                                                             •         Poor	
  salary/benefits	
  
                20%	
                                                                                                                   •         Poor	
  management	
  
                 0%	
                                                                                                                   •         Inadequate	
  work/life	
  balance	
  
                           All	
  Countries	
         Americas	
                  EMEA	
                     APAC	
  
                                                                                                                                        Source:	
  Acquisi:on	
  and	
  Reten:on	
  in	
  the	
  War	
  for	
  Talent,	
  Kelly	
  Global	
  Workforce	
  Index,	
  April	
  2012	
  
17	
  
Q2 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q2 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q2 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q2 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly
Q2 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

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Q2 2012 Global Talent Market Quarterly

  • 1. Global Talent Market Quarterly SECOND QUARTER l 2012
  • 2. Global Talent Market Quarterly CONTENTS 3 Global Economic Situation • Briefing • Outlook 6 Global Labor Market Update • Americas • EMEA • APAC • Global Labor Market Spotlight • Legislative Update 12 U.S. Labor Market Overview • Current Employment Conditions • Supply and Demand • Labor Market Spotlight 16 Workforce Solutions Industry Insight • Acquisition and Retention in the War for Talent • Future of Work in Advanced Economies • Kelly Knowledge
  • 3. Global Economic Situation SECOND QUARTER l 2012
  • 4. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  ECONOMIC  BRIEFING     Global  economic  growth  has  been  lethargic  in  the  first  part  of  the  year,  and  is  only  forecast  to  reach  2.7%  in  2012,  well  below  the  long-­‐term   trend.  The  global  economy  con=nues  to  face  numerous  headwinds,  including  the  Eurozone  economic  crisis,  the  threat  of  higher  oil  prices,   fiscal  deficits  in  several  developed  countries,  and  a  slowdown  in  demand  in  some  emerging  markets.       AMERICAS   EMEA   APAC   Con=nued  modest  economic  growth  is   The  Eurozone’s  economic  problems  con=nue   Although  the  global  economic  climate  is   expected  throughout  the  region,  with   to  limit  regional  and  global  growth  prospects,   keeping  growth  rates  in  check  in  many  APAC   external  risks  such  as  rising  oil  prices  and   with  few  markets  showing  posi=ve  trends.   countries,  healthy  economic  performances   slower  demand  from  Europe  and  Asia   are  forecast  throughout  the  region.   Eurozone   dampening  growth  prospects.     Japan   The  Eurozone  economy  began  to  contract  in   Canada   late  2011.  Despite  some  resilience,  primarily  in   Reconstruc:on  efforts  following  the  2011   Muted  GDP  growth  of  just  over  2%  is  expected   the  northern  countries,  the  region  is  not   natural  disasters  con:nue  to  drive  Japan’s   to  con:nue  throughout  2012,  with  a  more   expected  to  return  to  posi:ve  economic  growth   modest  growth,  but  domes:c  consump:on  is   favorable  outlook  projected  in  2013  as  global   before  the  second  half  of  2012.   also  beginning  to  show  signs  of  improvement.   economic  uncertainty  subsides.   China   U.K.   U.S.   The  U.K.  economy  con:nued  to  weaken  in  the   The  country’s  economic  growth  rate  remains   Slow  but  stable  growth  con:nues  for  the  U.S.   first  part  of  2012  and  will  struggle  to  achieve   above  8%,  but  the  pace  has  cooled  in  recent   economy  in  2012.  Improvements  in  consumer   posi:ve  growth  for  the  year.  Modest  growth  is   months  due  to  slower  external  demand  and   demand  were  offset  by  weaknesses  in   forecast  to  begin  in  late  2012  and  into  2013.   weakness  in  construc:on  and  manufacturing.   government  spending  and  business  investment   India   in  the  first  quarter.   Central  and  Eastern  Europe   Growth  in  export-­‐dependent  countries  will   India’s  economy  is  expected  to  rebound  to  an   La=n  America   con:nue  to  be  subdued  as  a  result  of  the   above  7%  growth  rate  in  2012,  following  a   The  region  is  expected  to  see  growth  in  the   Eurozone’s  woes;    however,  Russia’s  economy  is   slight  slowdown  in  2011.   mid-­‐3%  range  in  2012,  led  by  countries  such  as   s:ll  growing  at  a  modest  pace.   Australia   Brazil,  Mexico,  Peru,  Colombia  and  Chile  that   Economic  growth  will  regain  some  momentum   have  strong  economic  fundamentals,  easy   Middle  East  and  North  Africa   The  region  is  expected  to  see  moderate  growth   in  2012,  with  strength  in  the  natural  resources   monetary  policies,  and  healthy  domes:c   industry  tempered  by  sluggish  domes:c   in  2012,  with  gains  from  higher  oil  prices  offset   demand.     demand  and  uncertainty  over  global  economic   by  risks  from  ongoing  poli:cal  and  social  issues.       condi:ons.           4   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (April  2012);  EU  Expects  2012  Recession,  Wall  Street  Journal,  02.23.12;  UK  Back  in  Recession,  Wall  Street  Journal,  04.25.12;  Economic  Outlook  Darkens  for  Eastern  Europe,  Financial  Times,  01.24.12;   Australia  GDP  Grows  at  Half  the  Pace  Economists  Forecast,  Bloomberg,  03.07.12  
  • 5. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS "#$%$AL#'$),?$$Z' " 234563'C74849:7'N@4H;O':K'J4@C76K;';4'677C3C@6;C'K3:NO;3M';O@4<NO4<;';OC'@CK;'4J'./0.S'68E'@C;<@8';4'6'K;@48NC@';@C8E':8'./01F'"9C@N:8N' 96@BC;K'H:33'748=8<C';4'3C6E';OC'N@4H;O'949C8;<9S'H:;O'C74849:7'67=G:;M':8'ECGC34DCE'C74849:CK'CXDC7;CE';4'@C96:8'K<5D6@F''' +C63'2&['2@4H;O'+6;CK']U'#O68NC^'!C3C7;'A6@BC;K'' +C63'2&['2@4H;O'+6;CK']U'#O68NC^' MP!!"_%*5B`"" MP!M"_7&1LB`"" MP!K"_7&1LB`" #4<8;@M_' ./00']CK;F^' ./0.']D@4`F^' ./01']D@4`F^' +CN:48' #O:86'' *A"+L#*!' L8E:6'' P@6W:3' MBdN" KBbN" bBMN" #686E6' MBKN" MBPN" MBeN" +<KK:6'' )F!F' !BN" MB!N" MBKN" P@6W:3'' "A"*' Q@687C' !BN" UPB!N" PB[N" *<K;@63:6'' 2C@968M' KB!N" PBeN" !BbN" )F!F'' L;63M' PBKN" U!BeN" UPBMN" +<KK:6' aBKN" KBeN" KBdN" #686E6'' /012)0"/A-"/&1J59" )FZF' PBdN" PBbN" !BeN" _MP!M"7&1LB`]"MBN" 6D68'' "<@4W48C' !BbN" UPBbN" PB[N" *[*#' 2C@968M'' *<K;@63:6' MBPN" MBdN" KB!N" )FZF'' #O:86' dBMN" [BPN" [BbN" Q@687C'' L8E:6' eB[N" BMN" [BPN" 6D68' UPBdN" !BMN" MB!N" L;63M' *[*#' aBbN" aBdN" bBN" V.U' V0U' /U' 0U' .U' 1U' aU' bU' >U' TU' cU' dU' 0/U' I$+?&' KBPN" MBN" KBeN" 61>&(%]"R^6"/012)0"R?*'895"&%71&5*"_#7&'0"MP!M`" b"
  • 6. Global Labor Market Update SECOND QUARTER l 2012
  • 7. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  AMERICAS     Employment  trends  in  the  Americas  are  generally  posi=ve,  but  somewhat  subdued  by  uncertain=es  stemming  from  the  global  economic   climate.  The  pace  of  hiring  is  expected  to  remain  steady  in  2012  and  improve  in  2013,  causing  unemployment  rates  to  edge  downward.     UNITED  STATES   BRAZIL   CANADA   MEXICO   Although  the  U.S.  labor  market   Seasonal  impacts  liged  the   Canada’s  labor  market  is  on  a   The  unemployment  rate  in   began  the  year  on  a  posi:ve   unemployment  rate  in  Brazil  in   moderate,  if  uneven,  growth   Mexico  was  steady  in  early  2012   note,  employment  trends  have   the  first  part  of  2012,  but   path  in  2012,  with  job  gains   as  labor  force  increases  offset   begun  to  weaken  somewhat,   unemployment  remains  at     broadly  outpacing  losses.   private  sector  employment  gains.   sugges:ng  that  the  hiring   historically  low  levels  and  is  not   Budgetary  :ghtening  will   The  economy  is  expected  to  add   momentum  may  be  slowing.   forecast  to  grow  significantly.   con:nue  to  shrink  public  sector   450,000  formal  jobs  in  2012;   Nevertheless,  employment  gains   The  :ght  labor  market  is  pushing   employment,  leaving  the  private   formal  employment  only   are  s:ll  expected  to  average  a   up  wages  and  fueling  infla:on.   sector  to  keep  up  the  hiring   accounts  for  around  one-­‐third  of   stronger  pace  in  2012  than  2011.     momentum.   the  labor  force  in  Mexico.     Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   10%   8%   8.9%   8.3%   8.1%   7.5%   7.3%   2011   6%   6.8%   6.0%   6.2%   5.7%   2012  (p)   4%   5.2%   4.8%   4.6%   2013  (p)   2%   0%   U.S.   Brazil   Canada   Mexico   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (April  2012);  Brazil  Jobless  Rate  Rises  Unexpectedly  in  March,  Reuters,  04.26.12;  Brazil  Unemployment  Rate  Edged  Higher  in  February,  Wall  Street  Journal,  03.22.12   7  
  • 8. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  EMEA     Low  business  confidence  and  government  austerity  measures  con=nue  to  constrain  hiring  in  the  Eurozone  and  beyond.  The  cau=ous   approach  to  employment  is  expected  to  con=nue  throughout  2012,  with  only  modest  improvements  forecast  for  2013.   GERMANY   FRANCE   UNITED  KINGDOM   RUSSIA   The  German  labor  market   Unemployment  has  risen  steadily   Although  recent  data  suggests   The  labor  market  in  Russia  is   con:nues  to  show  resilience,  and   over  the  past  year,  and  in  March   some  easing  in  the  challenging   stable,  with  slow  improvements   is  expected  to  remain  much   2012  hit  a  twelve-­‐year  high.  The   U.K.  labor  market,  unemployment   in  employment  projected  for   healthier  than  most  others  in  the   labor  market  is  not  expected  to   is  forecast  to  con:nue  to  trend   2012.  Russian  companies  are   region.  Job  gains  have  been   improve  in  the  short  term  as  low   higher  in  2012  due  to  weak   showing  some  cau:on  in  hiring   steady,  and  the  unemployment   business  confidence  and  :ght   economic  ac:vity,  private  sector   as  a  result  of  the  European  crisis.       rate  con:nues  to  fall  to   fiscal  condi:ons  limit  hiring.   cau:on,  and  public  sector  cuts.     historically  low  levels.   ITALY   With  the  economy  in  recession   and  con:nuing  to  deteriorate,   Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   the  weak  demand  for  labor  is   forecast  to  persist  throughout   2012.  Prospects  for  new  job   10%   crea:on  are  dim  in  both  the   9.7%   9.9%   9.8%   9.3%   9.6%   private  and  public  sector.   8%   9.0%   8.9%   8.1%   8.3%   2011   6%   7.1%   6.7%   6.5%   6.1%   5.7%   5.4%   2012  (p)   4%   2013  (p)   2%   0%   Germany   France   U.K.   Russia   Italy   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (April  2012);  Mixed  Jobs  Outlook  Worrying  Russians,  Moscow  News,  03.06.12     8  
  • 9. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  APAC     APAC  labor  markets  remain  healthy,  but  may  face  challenges  in  2012.  The  cool  global  economic  climate  is  a  risk  to  export  growth,  and   domes=c  demand  is  soiening;  as  a  result,  APAC  countries’  resilient  employment  performance  may  falter  somewhat.     CHINA   JAPAN   INDIA   AUSTRALIA   China’s  unemployment  rate   Employment  trended  downward   The  formal  sector  is  projected  to   Labor  market  condi:ons  are   remains  steady  and  well  below  the   in  the  first  quarter  of  2012  as   add  around  1.6  million  jobs  in   expected  to  remain  favorable   government’s  4.6%  target  for  2012.   economic  growth  remained   2012,  a  slight  increase  from  the   with  some  fluctua:ons  in  2012,   However,  the  country  faces   sluggish.  Labor  market  demand  is   1.4  million  jobs  created  in  2011.   as  employers  and  workers   numerous  employment  challenges   expected  to  slowly  accelerate   The  healthcare,  hospitality  and  IT   navigate  an  uncertain  economic   including  rising  wages,  a  significant   throughout  the  year,  and  the   sectors  have  the  most  op:mis:c   climate.  Investment  in  the   skills  gap,  and  the  need  to  create   jobless  rate  will  begin  to  improve   hiring  outlooks.   resources  sector  con:nues  to   25  million  jobs  this  year  to  keep  up   in  late  2012  or  early  2013.   drive  labor  demand.   with  labor  force  trends.           Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate     10%   9.4%   9.3%   9.0%   8%   2011   6%   2012  (p)   5.1%   5.1%   5.3%   5.1%   4%   4.6%   4.8%   2013  (p)   4.1%   4.2%   4.1%   2%   0%   Japan   China   India   Australia   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  reports  (April  2012);  China  faces  huge  employment  pressure,  Xinhua  Economic  News  Service,  03.07.12;  Jobs  stable  but  there  may  be  trouble  ahead,  Shanghai  Daily,  04.26.12;  India  Inc.  op:mis:c  on  2012  hiring,  India   Infoline,  03.05.12;  Japan  Mar  jobless  rate  stays  at  4.5%,  payrolls  on  downtrend,  The  Main  Wire,  04.26.12     9
  • 10. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:    YOUTH  EMPLOYMENT     opportuni=es  for  young  people  diminished  during  the  recession,  and  remain  scarce  during  the  current  climate  of  economic  uncertainty.   Job   Businesses  and  policymakers  are  looking  to  address  the  issue  in  order  to  avoid  long-­‐term  social  and  financial  consequences.       AN  ISSUE  IN  BOTH  DEVELOPED  AND  EMERGING  MARKETS   Youth  unemployment  is  at  a  historic  high  in  the  EU  (22.6%  in  March  2012)  and  in   Youth  Unemployment  Rates  by  Region,  2011  (e)   many  European  countries.  Some  of  the  highest  youth  unemployment  rates  are   found  in    markets  at  the  center  of  the  financial  crisis  such  as  Spain,  Greece,   WORLD   12.7%   Portugal,  and  Italy,  and  in  Middle  East  and  North  African  countries.     In  the  U.S.,  youth  unemployment  has  been  steadily  declining  from  a  high  of  over   19%  in  late  2009,  but  it  is  s:ll  twice  the  level  of  overall  unemployment.  East  and   East  Asia   8.8%   South  Asia  show  the  lowest  youth  unemployment  rates  among  global  regions,  but   these  rates  are  also  more  than  twice  the  regions’  overall  unemployment  rates.   South  Asia   9.9%   YOUTH  UNEMPLOYMENT  IS  A  GLOBAL  PHENOMENON   According  to  the  ILO,  nearly  75  million  youth  around  the  world  are  unemployed   Sub-­‐Saharan  Africa   12.8%   and  the  youth  unemployment  rate  was  12.7%  in  2011  –    figures  that  are  not   projected  to  improve  in  2012.  The  ILO  and  the  European  Commission  are  among   the  ins:tu:ons  that  have  launched  ini:a:ves  aimed  at  iden:fying  and   SE  Asia  &  Pacific   13.4%   implemen:ng  solu:ons  to  the  youth  unemployment  crisis.   Central  &  SE  Europe  &  CIS   17.7%     Current  Youth  Unemployment  Rates,  Selected  Countries     Developed  Economies  &  EU   17.9%     60%   51.1%   50%   35.9%   Middle  East   26.2%   40%   26.7%   25.0%   30%   20.0%   21.8%   16.4%   20%   8.6%   North  Africa   27.1%   10%   0%   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   U.S.   U.K.   France   Poland   Italy   Spain   Australia   Japan   Sources:  ILO  Global  Employment  Trends  2012;  US  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs;    EU  Employment  and   Current  youth  unemployment  rates,  seasonally  adjusted:  US  –  April  2012;  Australia,  EU  countries,  Japan  –  March   Social  Situa:on;  UK  Office  of  Na:onal  Sta:s:cs;  Sta:s:cs  Bureau  of  Japan  ;  Western  Australia  Bureau   2012;  UK  –  Dec  2011-­‐Feb  2012   of  Sta:s:cs;  Unemployment  crisis  spurs  global  youth  summit,  GlobalPost,  04.18.12   10  
  • 11. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LEGISLATIVE  UPDATE     Legisla=on  that  seeks  to  improve  labor  market  flexibility  is  a  key  priority  in  European  countries  such  as  Italy  and  Spain  that  have  rigid   labor  laws  and  are  experiencing  severe  economic  turmoil.  Several  countries  including  Japan  and  South  Africa  have  introduced   legisla=on  that  would  improve  condi=ons  for  temporary  workers.  And  encouraging  immigra=on  in  order  to  alleviate  skills  shortages  is   the  goal  of  new  direc=ves  in  the  European  Union  and  Australia.       EUROPE   A  new  direc:ve  requires  EU  member  states  to   CANADA   facilitate  migra:on  of  non-­‐EU  ci:zens,  including   The  government  announced  that  the   implemen:ng  a  single  permit  procedure  and   JAPAN   re:rement  age,  currently  at  age  65,  will  be   A  new  revision  to  the  worker  dispatch   gran:ng  equal  working  condi:ons  and  rights.   gradually  increased  to  age  67  over  the   Members  have  un:l  the  end  of  2013  to  comply.   law    aims  to  improve  the  treatment  of   next  ten  years.   temporary  workers  in  Japan.  The  bill   prohibits  temporary  employment  of  30   ITALY   days  or  less.  It  also  mandates  more   The  cabinet  approved  labor  reforms  that  are   transparency  in  fees  and  considera:on   UNITED  STATES   designed  to  create  a  more  flexible  and   for  equal  wages  for  temporary  work.   The  Jumpstart  Our  Business   dynamic  labor  market.  A  new  decree  that   Startups  (JOBS)  Act,  a  bill   eases  restric:ons  on  the  use  of  temporary   that  will  make  it  easier  for   employees  has  also  been  approved.   CHINA     startup  companies  and  small   The  state  council  draged  new  regula:ons   businesses  to  raise  funds,   that  would  strengthen  benefits  and   was  signed  into  law.     protec:ons  for  female  employees.  A   SPAIN   Significant  reforms  that  aim  to  make  the  labor  market   number  of  ci:es  have  also  introduced  new   more  flexible  were  approved  by  the  government.   rules  designed  to  protect  women’s   Among  the  key  measures  are  those  that  seek  to  reduce   employment  rights.   the  cost  and  complexity  of  employee  termina:on,  and   give  companies  greater  power  to  opt  out  of  collec:ve   bargaining  agreements.   AUSTRALIA   Recruitment  agencies  will  now  be  allowed  to   SOUTH  AFRICA   sponsor  overseas  workers  to  work  in  Australia.   New  legisla:on  would  require  equal  pay  for  temporary  workers  on  fixed-­‐ Previously,  only  the  companies  that  directly   term  contracts.  Workers  that  are  employed  for  more  than  six  months  also   employed  overseas  workers  were  allowed  to   will  be  considered  as  permanent  employees  under  the  new  bill.   act  as  sponsors.     Sources:  Global  Insight;  SIA  WE  Legs  and  Reg  Advisor,  02.12;  SIA  Daily  News;    Interna:onal  Law  Office;  The  labour  reform:  What  are  the  main  changes  for  companies  in  Spain?  Clifford  Chance,  02.12;  Japan  Economic  Newswire,   03.28.12;  Forbes.com,  04.05.12;  Japan  Interna:onal  Labour  Federa:on,  04.06.12       11  
  • 12. U.S. Labor Market Overview SECOND QUARTER l 2012
  • 13. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  EMPLOYMENT  CONDITIONS     MODEST  FIRST  QUARTER  HIRING   U.S.  MONTHLY  EMPLOYMENT  CHANGE  AND  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   The  U.S.  labor  market  con:nued  to  add  jobs  in   Unemployment  Rate  (%)   the  first  part  of  2012,  averaging  more  than   Employment  (000’s)   600   11   200,000  new  jobs  per  month  in  the  first  four   300   10   months  and  recording  the  strongest  first   9   0   quarter  performance  in  six  years.  The   8   unemployment  rate  also  con:nued  to  inch   -­‐300   7   down,  reaching  8.1%  in  April.   -­‐600   6   -­‐900   5   SOFTENING  TRENDS  A  CONCERN   Jan-­‐09   Jan-­‐10   Jan-­‐11   Jan-­‐12   Apr-­‐09   Jul-­‐09   Apr-­‐10   Jul-­‐10   Apr-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Oct-­‐09   Oct-­‐10   Oct-­‐11   Hiring  trends  weakened  throughout  the   quarter,  giving  rise  to  fears  that  the  posi:ve   momentum  in  the  U.S.  labor  market  may  be   Non-­‐Farm  Employment   Private-­‐Sector  Employment   Unemployment  Rate   slowing.  And  the  recent  improvements  in  the   unemployment  rate  were  largely  aoributable  to   declines  in  the  labor  force  rather  than  any   EMPLOYMENT  OVERVIEW   significant  strengthening  in  the  jobs  market.     LACKLUSTER  GROWTH  PROSPECTS   APR   MAR   FEB   JAN   DEC   The  tepid  U.S.  economic  performance  in  the   first  quarter  of  the  year  is  expected  to  improve   Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   115K   154K   259K   275K   223K   only  slightly  throughout  the  year.  The  uncertain   global  economic  climate  and  concerns  over   Private  employment  growth   130K   166K   254K   277K   234K   higher  oil  prices  represent  addi:onal  short-­‐term   threats  to  future  job  gains.   Unemployment  rate   8.1%   8.2%   8.3%   8.3%   8.5%   LONG-­‐TERM  CHALLENGES   Despite  modestly  posi:ve  hiring  trends,  the  U.S.  jobless  rate  remains  stubbornly  high  and  employment  has  yet  to  recover  to  its  pre-­‐recessionary  levels.   Perhaps  the  biggest  challenge  over  the  coming  months  and  years  will  be  bringing  the  na:on’s  unemployment  rate  back  down  into  the  5-­‐6%  range  that   was  once  taken  for  granted.  At  the  current  rates  of  economic  growth  and  job  crea:on,  the  labor  market  recovery  is  likely  to  be  a  very  slow  process.   Sources:  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs   13  
  • 14. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  -­‐  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND     POSITIVE  JOB  DEMAND  CONTINUES     U.S.  labor  demand  con:nued  on  an  upward  trend  in   U.S.  MARKET  -­‐  MONTHLY  LABOR  DEMAND  VS.  LABOR  SUPPLY   the  first  quarter  of  2012.  Online  adver:sed  job   vacancies  grew  by  over  90,000  in  April  2012,  the  figh   16,000   8,000   consecu:ve  monthly  rise,  leading  to  the  highest  level   of  labor  demand  since  data  collec:on  began  in  2005.   The  labor  supply/demand  ra:o  fell  to  2.7  in  April,   14,000   7,000   signifying  that  there  are  fewer  than  3  people   unemployed  for  every  job  vacancy.   No.  of    Online  Job  Ads     12,000   No.  of  Unemployed     6,000   MIDWEST  LEADS  JOBS  RECOVERY     (in  000's)   (in  000's)   Since  the  end  of  the  recession  in  mid-­‐2009,  the   10,000   Midwest  has  shown  considerable  growth  in  job   5,000   demand.  Nine  metropolitan  areas  have  seen  online   adver:sed  vacancies  grow  more  than  100%  in  that   8,000   :me  period,  led  by  Cleveland,  Minneapolis-­‐St.  Paul,   4,000   Detroit,  and  Columbus.     6,000   DEMAND  IMPROVES  FOR  OFFICE,  LEGAL  WORKERS     3,000   In  the  first  three  months  of  2012,  demand  increased   4,000   for  legal  and  office/administra:ve  support  workers,   two  occupa:ons  that  saw  sluggish  growth  in  2011.   2,000   2,000   Jul  08   Jul  09   Jul  10   Jul  11   Jan  09   Jan  10   Jan  11   Jan  12   Apr  08   Apr  09   Apr  10   Apr  11   Apr  12   Oct  08   Oct  09   Oct  10   Oct  11   Demand  for  these  posi:ons  is  highest  in  large  states,   including  California,  Texas,  and  Florida.   #  of  unemployed  workers   #  of  online  ads         “Labor  demand  con:nues  its  five-­‐month  upward  trend,  which  has  averaged  about  113,000  vacancies  per   month.  This  is  welcome  news  for  unemployed  workers  or  those  looking  to  change  jobs.”     —    Judy  Shelp,  Vice  President,    The  Conference  Board,  April    30,  2012   Sources:  Conference  Board  Help  Wanted  OnLine,  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs   14  
  • 15. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  SPOTLIGHT:  2010-­‐2020  EMPLOYMENT  PROJECTIONS     HEALTHCARE  AND  SERVICE  OCCUPATIONS  WILL   Fastest  Growing  Occupa=onal  Groups,  2010-­‐2020  (p)   40%   LEAD  FUTURE    U.S.  JOB  GROWTH     2010-­‐2020  (p)   2006-­‐2010   30%   35%   The  U.S.  economy  is  projected  to  add  20.5  million   new  jobs  from  2010-­‐2020,  a  14.3%  growth  rate,   20%   27%   26%   13%   24%   according  to  the  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs.   22%   22%   8%   7%   17%     10%   16%   5%   2%   1%   Healthcare,  personal  care,  and  community  and   social  service  occupa:ons  are  projected  to  see   0%   the  fastest  growth  from  2010-­‐2020.  The  largest   -­‐1%   -­‐10%   number  of  new  jobs  will  be  in  healthcare,  office   and  administra:ve  support,  and  sales   -­‐20%   occupa:ons.     -­‐30%   -­‐24%     Healthcare   Personal  Care   Healthcare   Community   Construc:on   Computer  and   Business  and   Life,  Physical   DEMOGRAPHIC  CHANGES  AND  ECONOMIC   Support     and  Service   Prac::oners   and  Social   and  Extrac:on   Mathema:cal   Financial   and  Social   SHIFTS  ARE  DRIVING  GROWTH  TRENDS   Service   Opera:ons   Science   The  changing  demographics  of  the  U.S.   popula:on,  in  par:cular  the  aging  baby  boom   Occupa=onal  Groups  with  Largest  Numeric  Growth,     genera:on,  are  a  key  driver  in  the  growth  of   4   2010-­‐2020  (p)   Millions   many  occupa:ons,  in  par:cular  healthcare-­‐ related  areas.     4   3.5     3   Economic  shigs  are  also  behind  some  growth   3   trends,  as  many  occupa:ons  will  be  recovering   2   2.3   jobs  that  were  lost  during  the  recession.  For   example,  construc:on  saw  the  biggest  loss  of  jobs   2   1.9   from  2006-­‐2010;  even  with  the  22%  growth   1   1.4   1.4   1.3   1.3   1.3   projected  from  2010-­‐2020,  the  sector  won’t  reach   1   pre-­‐recessionary  employment  levels.       0   Healthcare   Office  and   Sales  and   Construc:on   Educa:on,   Personal  Care   Transporta:on   STEM     Prac::oners   Administra:ve   Related   and  Extrac:on   Training  and   and  Service   and  Material   Occupa:ons*     and  Support   Support   Library   Moving   *STEM  occupa:on  groups:  Computer  and  Mathema:cal;  Life,  Physical,  and  Social  Science;  Architecture  and  Engineering   Source:  US  Bureau  of  Labor  Sta:s:cs   15  
  • 16. Workforce Solutions Industry Insight SECOND QUARTER l 2012
  • 17. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS KGWI:  ACQUISITION  AND  RETENTION  IN  THE  WAR  FOR  TALENT     Findings  from  the  2012  Kelly  Global  Workforce  Index  (KGWI)  show  that  in  the  period  aier  the  global  financial  crisis,  workers  are  in  a  state   of  uncertainty.  Employees  have  experienced  unprecedented  economic  turmoil;  many  are  restless  and  are  ac=vely  looking  for  new   opportuni=es.  However,  employees  across  regions  and  genera=ons  show  differing  desires  and  mo=va=ons  regarding  job  choices.     EMPLOYEES  LOOKING  FOR  CHANGE   Globally,  two-­‐thirds  of  workers  (66%)  intend  to  look  for  a  job  with  another   Top  factors  driving  the  decision  to  accept  one  job/posi=on   organiza:on  within  the  next  year,    a  significant  increase  from  2009,  when   over  another  (By  genera=on)   59%  intended  to  look  for  a  job  elsewhere.  The  dissa:sfac:on  is  most   pronounced  in  the  Americas,  where  67%  intend  to  look  for  a  new  job,   compared  with  only  45%  in  2009.     39%   34%   41%   48%   Personal   MOTIVATIONS  BEHIND  JOB  CHOICE   fulfillment/   Several  factors,  including  lack  of  opportunity,  low  salaries,  and  poor   work-­‐life  balance   management,  cause  workers  to  look  for  new  jobs.  However,  these  drivers   differ  by  genera:on.  Work/life  balance  is  the  predominant  considera:on   41%   Personal  growth/   among  Baby  Boomers  evalua:ng  jobs.  But  for  Gen  Y,  the  leading   36%   34%   advancement   considera:on  is  personal  growth/  advancement—an  outlook  that  reflects   25%   their  near-­‐term  career  priori:es.       Compensa:on/   19%   20%   19%   19%     benefits   Do  you  intend  to  look  for  a  job  with  another  organiza=on   within  the  next  year?  (%  Yes,  by  region)   Total   Gen  Y   Gen  X   Baby  Boomer   2009   2012   Top  factors  that  would  most  likely  cause   80%   employees  to  leave  their  jobs   60%   •  Lack  of  opportuni:es  for  advancement   66%   67%   67%   67%   59%   59%   62%   40%   45%   •  Poor  salary/benefits   20%   •  Poor  management   0%   •  Inadequate  work/life  balance   All  Countries   Americas   EMEA   APAC   Source:  Acquisi:on  and  Reten:on  in  the  War  for  Talent,  Kelly  Global  Workforce  Index,  April  2012   17