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Strategic Audit
Business Strategies
    Tim Fowler
Harley-Davidson Motorcycle Company is
 considered a successful company for four key
 reasons…

 1.   Strong brand loyalty
 2.   Independent women riders
 3.   Increasing plant efficiency by reorganizing
 4.   Expanding international markets




… which has lead to an increase in market share and cost savings
  …                                                                2
Harley-Davidson has a strong brand loyalty
among their customers
•      In 2011, 65% of people that purchased
       a new Harley-Davidson motorcycle in
       the U.S. had owned a Harley-Davidson
       previously in their lifetime.1
•      57% of people that purchased a new
       motorcycle around the globe had
       previously owned a Harley-Davidson.1
•      In the U.S. Harley-Davidson owns over                                                                 1
       50% of the motorcycle market.2
•      The Harley Owners Group (H.O.G) is a
       site where the owners of Harleys can
       register to receive special benefits.3
•      The Harley Owners Group has over
       1,400 chapters all over the world.3


                                                                                                             1
1http://investor.harley-davidson.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=87981&p=irol-demographics&locale=en_US&bmLocale=en_US
2http://finance.yahoo.com/news/harley-davidson-remains-outperform-153018666.html
3http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/HOG/HOG.html                                             3
Harley-Davidson is expanding their target
 market to include independent women riders
 •       According to theMotorcycle Industry Council, women riders have increased to 7.2 million of
         27 million riders.1
 •       Harley-Davidson is producing more motorcycles that are low to the ground, so women can
         plant their feet firmly at rest.2
           – They have also developed narrower seats and softer clutches; they are also adjusting
             handlebars and windshields to make their bikes more comfortable for smaller riders. 2
 •       Approximately 12% of all Harley-Davidson motorcycle sales are to women. Roughly 32,000
         new bikes in 2006 – compared to 4% in 1990, and 9% in 1998, and 10.6% in 2003.3
 •       It is estimated that women will spend around $300 million on Harley-Davidson motorcycles
         this year in the United States, not including accessories, riding gear, or clothing.3
 •       In July 2011, Harley-Davidson launched the $7,990 Harley Superlow, designed to appeal to
         both women and first-time riders.4
           – The bike is 150 pounds lighter than a typical Harley-Davidson motorcycle, with a generous
             rear-suspension travel, a deeply cushioned seat, easy-reach handlebar and the lowest seat
             (25.5″) in Harley’s 32-bike lineup.4
 •       The company now has a 53% point market-share lead among female motorcycle riders.4

1http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-201_162-57465216/women-riding-motorcycles-in-increasing-numbers/
2http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/25/business/25biker.html?_r=0
3http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/25/business/25biker.html?_r=0
4http://cyrilhuzeblog.com/2010/10/03/harley-davidson-scoring-high-after-intensively-courting-women/
                                                                                                         4
Harley-Davidson is increasing their
efficiency by reorganizing their plants
•         Restructuring the plants has allowed the                                                •     By reorganizing their plants, Harley-Davidson will
          company to have “surge capability” to match                                                   in turn increase their EPS. The impact of
          production with seasonal demands.1                                                            restructuring costs and benefit changes in 2012
                                                                                                        and 2013, is add +$0.25 in 2012, and another
•         The company is also restructuring the inner-
                                                                                                        +$0.25 in 2013.3
          workings of the plants to allow for more
          employee feedback.1                                                                         Harley-DavidsonAnnual Units: 2000-2011
•         Harley-Davidson has eliminated the problem
          with bottlenecks in the development process by
          loading finished products directly on the trucks;
          this doubles the staging capability in the plants.1
•         Improvements that used to take months, now
          are completed in only weeks.1
•         As a result of these changes, Harley-Davidson
          will build more motorcycles in one facility this
          year than they did in all 41 facilities in 2011.1
•         Harley-Davidson also is trying to reduce the                                                                                                                  3
          amount of time it takes to develop a new
          product from five years down to three. 2                                                                Despite some reasonable unit growth this
                                                                                                                  year, Harley-Davidson's bike units are still
                                                                                                                  substantially below the average level of the
                                                                                                                  past 10 years. The trough in unit sales appears
                                                                                                                  to have come as recently as 2010.3
    1http://www.harley-davidson.com
    2http://www.manufacturing.net/news/2010/11/harley-davidson-restructuring-plans-in-place
    3http://seekingalpha.com/article/317846-harley-davidson-could-have-25-upside-based-on-restructuring-benefits-and-volume-increases
                                                                                                                                                                    5
Harley-Davidson has expanded
   internationally into other markets
   •       In 2011, Harley-Davidson announced the opening of their Latin American headquarters in
           Miami, FL.1
              •     Harley-Davidson is now implementing a “multi-generational and multi-cultural marketing
                    strategy” as it looks to increase sales to non-core customer (women, young adults, and
                    ethnically diverse adults) without alienating its core customer base.1
   •       Harley-Davidson predicts that sales outside of the United States will exceed 40% by 2014.2
              •     By implementing permanent headquarters in Miami, Harley-Davidson is able to better
                    accommodate Latin American customers more quickly.3
   •       “There is a longstanding history between Hispanics and Harley-Davidson and we want to
           celebrate it,” said Karina Jaramillo-Saa, manager of market outreach, Harley-Davidson Motor
           Company.3
              •     “Harlistas” section on website showcasing stories of Latino riders and their bikes, also features
                    short films on Latino heritage and culture.3
   •       For the full year 2012, retail unit sales of new Harley-Davidson motorcycles grew 6.2%
           worldwide, with increases of 6.6% in the U.S. and 5.6% internationally compared to 2011.3
              •     Dealers sold 249,849 new Harley-Davidson motorcycles worldwide in 2012, with retail unit
                    sales up 39.2% in the Latin America region, 14.3% in the Asia Pacific region and 6.2% in the
                    North America region (U.S. and Canada).3

1http://investor.harley-davidson.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=87981&p=irol-newsArticle&id=1616776

2http://seekingalpha.com/article/281976-harley-davidson-riding-on-international-growth-and-new-riders

3http://www.motorcycle-usa.com/568/3071/Motorcycle-Article/Harley-Davidson-Celebrates-Hispanic-Riders.aspx
                                                                                                                    6
Harley-Davidson's strategies have lead to
     increased market share and cost savings
•       Harley-Davidson’s international sales has
        increased.3
          – In 2006, 80% of sales were in the U.S.
          – By 2010, only 60% of sales were in the
             U.S.
•       Restructuring activities have saved Harley-
        Davidson over $217 million dollars.1                                                                                       1
•       In the fourth quarter of 2010 revenue was
        $697.8 million, up 26.4% compared to
        2009.2
•       Harley-Davidson’s market share in the
        U.S., their biggest market, increased 54.9%
        in 2010, from 53.3% in 2009, and 45.4% in
        2008, for the sales of the 651+cc.2
                                                                                                                                   1
                                                                                                             * Estimated savings
    1http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/76075/harley-davidson-remains-outperform
    2http://www.cyclenews.com/articles/industry-news/2011/01/25/harley-davidson-increases-u-s-market-share
    3http://www.trefis.com/stock/hog/articles/65441/harley/2011-07-21                                                              7
Harley-Davidson faces 3 external
 opportunities and 3 external threats
                      External Factor Analysis Summary
Opportunities:                                    Comments/Data:
1. The improvement of the economy in   1. China has entered the World Trade
   other countries                        Organization.
2. A new generation/younger            2. Anything can be customized from
   generation to market to –              clothing, cars, food, toys, etc.
   customization trend
3. The economy (current & future)
Threats:                                          Comments/Data:
1. The aging baby boomers population   1. Baby boomers make up
2. Competitors                            approximately 28% of the U.S.
3. The economy (2008-current)             population.
                                       2. BMW holds a considerable size of
                                          the market share in Europe.
                                       3. The amount of disposable income is
                                          dramatically lower.
                                                                               8
Improving economies around the world will provide the
opportunity to expand into other markets
•      China's economic reforms and                             Asia: 2012 GDP Growth Forecast
       entry into the World Trade
       Organization have improved the
       company's investment
       opportunities and warmed up the
       country's leisure heavyweight
       motorcycle market.1
•      The International Monetary Fund
       (IMF) and the World Bank have
       helped many countries to improve
       their economic management.2
          –     They have provided temporary financial
                assistance to countries to help ease
                balance-of-payment difficulties and
                offered training for government finance
                officials.
•      The Universal Postal Union (UPU)
       facilitates the exchange of
       international mail and develops
       social, cultural and commercial
       communications between peoples
       and businesses with up-to-date                                                            3
       postal services and products.2

1https://www.chinabusinessreview.com/public/1201/miller.html
2http://www.un.org/un60/60ways/ec_dev.shtml
3http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2012/01/pdf/text.pdf
                                                                                                 9
Younger generations are demanding customization for
 their products…
 • In today's market, people can customize just about
   anything they buy.1
            – Anything can be customized, from clothing, cars, food,
              toys, electronic, etc.
            – Many brands are taking products to the next level by
              offering incremental customization to refresh established
              products.
            – The customization trend ranges from products that spice it
              up with customized features, to products that are
              customized from the inside out.
                      • Founded 13 years ago, Build-A-Bear Workshop was an early
                        entrant into mass customization.
                      • With more than 400 stores worldwide, it has successfully scaled to
                        become the largest chain dedicated to the create-your-own trend.

 …which is a great opportunity for Harley-Davidson
1http://www.articlesbase.com/marketing-tips-articles/the-customization-consumer-trend-2953150.html
                                                                                                     10
The economy is an excellent opportunity for Harley-
   Davidson because the rise in sales is steadily growing
   with each year
   •      Any sales increase is a positive sign for the economy, but sales of high-end
          equipment are especially important.1
             – In the technology sector, large servers and other expensive electronic equipment have
               increased. The purchase of specialized medical testing equipment by hospitals and labs
               has also increased from the end of 2010 through early 2011.
   •      According to the Brookings Institution, in the third quarter of 2010,
          housing prices rose in 80 of the 100 largest metropolitan areas in the U.S.1
             –      They rose 0.6 percent overall among those 100 cities. While the gain is small, it's
                   significant because each of those 100 cities had experienced a decline in housing prices
                   for the previous three quarters.
   •      Standard & Poor's 500 Index shows 2010 was the third-best year for
          corporations since 1998.1
             – Even adjusted for inflation, corporate profits were much more robust in 2010 than in
               2009, showing a 17 percent increase.
             – This figure excludes financial corporations, who had such a terrible 2009 that they'd
               make those profits look artificially huge if they were included.
   •      The National Retail Federation's 2011 economic forecast predicts a 4
          percent increase in retail sales.1
             – Retail growth has enjoyed seven months of continual growth, and retailers had a pretty
               good 2010 holiday shopping season.

1http://www.howstuffworks.com/10-signs-the-economy-is-improving.htm#page=1

                                                                                                              11
The aging baby boomer population is a
   major threat to Harley-Davidson
      •       Baby boomers make up approximately
              28% of the U.S. population.1
      •       By 2020, the population of Americans
              between ages 55 to 64 will have
              increased 73% since 2000.2
      •       On January 1, 2011, as the baby
              boomers begin to celebrate their 65th
              birthdays, 10,000 people will turn 65
              every day. This trend will continue for 20
              years.5
      •       20% of Harley-Davidson riders are over
              the age of 55.3                                                                                                                        4
                –      Someday thousands of those Harley-
                       Davidson riders will have to trade in their
                       hogs for rocking chairs

                                                                                                                          The increasing number
1http://www.babyboomer-magazine.com/news/165/ARTICLE/1437/2010-04-04.html                                                 of Americans 65 and
2http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/02/aging-in-america-baby-boomers-arianna-huffington_n_1397686.html

3http://www.brandchannel.com/features_effect.asp?pf_id=55
                                                                                                                          older is a growing trend
4http://insiderlouisville.com/news/2011/02/02/louisville-adds-dharma-construction-building-long-term-care-industry-hub/
                                                                                                                                                     12
5http://mayoresearch.mayo.edu/aging_center/aging_demographics.cfm
A threat to Harley-Davidson is competition
   from other companies
    Harley Davidson faces competition from four major companies: Suzuki, Yamaha,
    BMW, and Polaris.
         •
         BMW is currently Harley-Davidson’s biggest competitor.
                   •     BMW currently holds a considerable size of market share in the European market. BMW and
                         Harley-Davidson currently hold the same brand image when it comes to consumers. BMW
                         continues to fashion their marketing strategies to appeal to current Harley-Davidson customers.1
         •      Suzuki is a Japanese company that holds a large market share in the Asian
                markets.
                   •     They have a diverse portfolio of different motorcycle styles that compete with Harley-Davidson.
                         They are considered competition to Harley-Davidson because they develop motorcycles that are
                         affordable.1
         •      Yamaha like Suzuki manufacture a wide variety of motorcycle styles that appeal
                to consumers.
                   •     Yamaha is a major competitor to Harley-Davidson because they can supply parts to other
                         manufactures in the industry.1
         •      Polaris is Harley-Davidson’s biggest competitor in the 1400cc and up engine size
                for motorcycles.
                   •     Polaris has been able to compete with Harley-Davidson by offering bikes that are less expensive.
                         Polaris was able to compete with Harley-Davidson by purchasing Indian.2


1http://bmw.ezinemark.com/harley-davidson-competitor-analysis-1866a32568f.html


2http://money.cnn.com/2012/10/03/auto/harley-davidson-polaris.fortune/index.html
                                                                                                                            13
The economy has been a major threat to Harley-
 Davidson because of the lack of disposable
 income in the United States
 •       The disposable income of Americans is still trying to reach what it was in 2008. The average measure of
         disposable income on a per capita basis is still 20% lower than what it was in 2007. 1
 •       The average per capita disposable personal income rose 4.7% from four years ago, which is the smallest
         gain since the late 1940s. Adjusted for inflation, the income of the average American is 2.1% lower than
         four years ago. 1
 •       Data released by the Commerce Department showed that personal income fell 3.6% in January 2013.3
           – Real personal disposable income, after taxes and inflation are taken out, fell by 4% which was the
               biggest monthly drop in half a century.
 •       Disposable Personal Income in the United States decreased to 11,923.20 Billion in January of 2013 from
         12,422.40 Billion in December of 2012.4




                                                                                                             4
1http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/09/business/economy/as-recovery-drags-on-income-and-wealth-lag.html?_r=0
2http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/08/business/Earning-Less-and-Worth-Less.html?ref=economy
3http://business.time.com/2013/03/05/why-many-americans-feel-like-theyre-getting-poorer/
4http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/disposable-personal-income
                                                                                                                    14
Harley-Davidson faces 4 internal
     strengths and 3 internal weaknesses
                                Internal Factor Analysis Summary
Strengths:                                             Comments/Data:
1.   Harley-Davidson can reduce production             1.   They are consolidating their current 41 buildings
     cost/streamline their factories                        into 1 large facility
2.   They have created a strong brand loyalty and      2.   In 2011 Harley-Davidson made over a billion
     dealer network                                         dollars in selling Harley-Davison branded
3.   They have great cash equivalents                       merchandise
4.   They have the opportunity to expand their         3.   HOG's liquidity remains strong, with $1.1 billion
     customization options                                  of cash, cash equivalents and marketable
                                                            securities
                                                       4.   H-D1™ is the full customization process made
                                                            easy

Weaknesses:                                            Comments/Data:
1.   Their price point is too high                     1.   The Harley-Davidson Financial Services financed
2.   Harley-Davidson has created quite a bit of debt        roughly 47.9% of all new Harley-Davidson
3.   They have a limited market                        2.   Harley-Davidson current has an estimated $5.10
                                                            billion dollars in debt
                                                       3.   In 2003, baby boomer riders outnumbered Gen
                                                            Y motorcyclists almost four to one
                                                                                                                15
An internal strength of Harley-Davidson is their
 low production costs
 •      Consolidating their current 41 buildings at
        the York Plant to one large new facility in
        Kansas City, MO.1
 •      Brought in automation to reduce their
        work force by up to 50%.1
 •      Harley-Davidson no longer needs peak
        production levels to achieve strong
        profits.1
 •      They have negotiated new terms with
        unions to help control production costs.1
 •      Revamping has allowed Harley-Davidson
        to quickly increase or cut production in
        response to shifting demand.1
 •      In 2013, they will have finished all of the
        reorganization of the major plants which
        brings the large cash flows to an end.1
 •      Revenue has not fully recovered, but
        profits are increasing due to this strategy.1                                                                   1

                                                                                  Harley-Davidson is slowly
                                                                                  recovering their Net Income
                                                                                  although their sales are still
                                                                                  fairly low.
1http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443720204578004164199848452.html
                                                                                                                   16
One of Harley-Davidson’s internal strengths is
their strong brand loyalty and devoted market
following
•       In 2011 Harley-Davidson made                              Sales by Product Line
        over a billion dollars in selling
        Harley-Davison branded
        merchandise and accessories.1
•       Harley-Davidson established
        Harley Owners Groups (HOG), a
        motorcycle group with over a
        million members belonging to
        over 1,400 owner groups across
        the U.S.2
•       They grew their brand loyalty by
        sponsoring huge motorcycle
        rallies in Florida and South
        Dakota, which each attract over
        half a million riders each year.2
                                                                                           3




1http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/IROL/87/87981/HD.pdf
2http://cultbrands.net/harley-davidson/
3http://www.harley-davidson/com
                                                                                          17
Harley-Davidson’s strong cash equivalents is an
 internal strength
 • HOG's liquidity remains strong, with $1.1 billion of cash,
   cash equivalents and marketable securities as of April 1,
   2012. 1
 • After backing out its debt, it was in a $761 million net cash
   position. This was despite the company making another
   $200 million voluntary contribution to its pension plans.1
 • Fitch, a company that rates corporate credit, recently
   upgraded Harley's outlook from "Negative" to "Stable" due
   to: "[Harley's] leading market position, strong cash position
   and relatively low debt levels."2
 • This strong cash position gives Harley-Davidson the ability
   to respond to negative conditions, expand or acquire debt
   relatively easy to accomplish strategies for the future.2

1http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/07/20/idUSWNA157520120720
2http://motorcycles.about.com/b/2010/08/04/harleys-upgrade-to-stable-suggests-light-at-the-end-of-the-tunnel.htm   18
Customization options is another internal
 strength for Harley-Davidson
 H-D1™ is the full customization process made easy. Only H-D1™ brings the exclusive parts, processes and expertise together so you can build
      your one-of-a-kind Harley-Davidson® motorcycle.1
 •      Fit
          –    A good fit is like your favorite pair of jeans - the better you fit your motorcycle, the better the ride. The right fit is crucial for
               maximizing comfort and getting the most out of every ride. Once you've chosen your Harley, take the time to custom fit your
               handlebars, seat, foot controls and suspension. To find the right fit for you visit the H-D Fit Shop.2
 •      Function
          – Decide how you want to roll. Solo and stripped down, two-up and fully loaded, or anywhere in between, you can tailor any H-D
               motorcycle to meet the demands of the byways. If you crave maximum storage capacity and on-road versatility, detachable
               accessories can be changed in seconds.2
 •      Style
          – With Harley, your custom style possibilities are endless. Have an overall plan to maximize installation efficiency and minimize
               your time off the road.2
 •      Performance
          – Let's talk torque, horsepower, brute force and speed. Whether you're into aggressive riding or need to haul a heavy load,
               Screamin' Eagle® Performance Parts are proven on the track and engineered for the streets.2
 Factory Customization
 From your plan, to our factory, to you. In as little as 4 weeks.3
 3 Easy Steps:
 1)    H-D1 Bike Builder
       Only you can design your perfect bike. Use the online H-D1 Bike Builder tool to build a bike that fits your style and personality.3
 2)    Head to your dealer
       Bring your plan to your Harley-Davidson dealer for consultation and to place your order.3
 3)    We build it
       Our employees go to work, building your motorcycle according to your design and in about 4 weeks* your masterpiece will be ready for
       you at your dealer.3


1http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/H-D1_Customization/h-d1_customization.html?locale=en_US&bmLocale=en_US
2http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/H-D1_Customization/guide-to-customizing.html?locale=en_US&bmLocale=en_US
3http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/H-D1_Customization/factory-customization.html?locale=en_US&bmLocale=en_US
                                                                                                                                                    19
The number of motorcycles that are being
financed is an internal weakness
•     A motorcycle loan is a way for those who don't have the cash on hand to buy
      outright.1
•     At the end of 2011, the net accounts receivables for Harley-Davidson was
      $4,026,214. At the end of 2012, it rose to $4,038,807.
        – Those numbers are astonishing because that is the amount of money that consumers owe to
          Harley-Davidson based on their purchases on credit.2
•     Asset quality performance has shown stabilization and, recently, improvement.
      Annualized losses on HDFS’ managed retail motorcycle loans were 2.04% during
      the first half of 2010 compared to 2.69% during the first half of last year.3
•     The Financial Services segment recorded operating income of $62 million in the
      third quarter, compared to operating income of $50.9 million in the year-ago
      quarter.
        – The increase in year-over-year operating income was largely the result of continued
          improvement in credit performance at Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Through nine
          months, operating income from financial services was $212 million, compared to operating
          income of $138.4 million in the first three quarters of 2010.4
•     The Harley-Davidson Financial Services financed roughly 47.9% of all new Harley-
      Davidson purchases in the United States in 2010, which shows that Americans do
      not have the disposable income that they have had in prior years.5
1http://www.ehow.com/about_4680984_motorcycle-loans.html
2http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/HD_News/Company/news.html?article=en_US/News/1611_press_release.hdnews
3http://motorsportsnewswire.wordpress.com/2010/08/02/fitch-raises-outlook-on-harley-davidson-debt-0802101/
4http://investor.harley-davidson.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=87981&p=irol-newsArticle&id=1618163
                                                                                                                             20
5http://www.asphaltandrubber.com/banter/five-interesting-facts-harley-davidson-annual-report/
Harley-Davidson has an internal weakness
 because of the amount of debt they have
 • Harley-Davidson
   current has an
   estimated $5.10 billion
   dollars in debt.1
 • For the first nine
   months of 2012,
   Harley Davidson had
   an interest expense of                                                                                                              4

   $34,528,000.2
 • Harley-Davidson
   currently has a 72.1                                                                  This graph shows the long term debt
   times total liabilities to                                                            that Harley-Davidson has. It is broken
                                                                                         down by quarter, and starts from the
   total assets ratio.3                                                                  third quarter of 2010, and is extended
                                                                                         until the fourth quarter of 2012.
1http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=HOG+Key+Statistics
2http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/793952/000144530512003553/hog-09302012x10q.htm
3http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/financials/ratios.asp?ticker=HOG                                               21
4http://www.wikinvest.com/stock/Harley-Davidson_(HOG)/Data/Long-Term_Debt
Harley-Davidson’s limited market is an
internal weakness
•       A New Generation is Riding
          – “In 2003, baby boomer riders outnumbered Gen Y motorcyclists almost four to one. But Gen Y
              motorcycle ownership grew 62 percent since 2003, putting the current ratio of baby boomers
              to Gen Y at two to one.”1
          – Due to fuel prices, more riders are transitioning to using motorcycles more often for
              transportation. 1
                 • Riders are doing it for transportation, not just recreation. Motorcycling for Americans is
                   primarily about recreation and the pure joy of riding, but among the reasons given for
                   motorcycling, transportation climbed to second place in the 2008 survey.1
•       Sport Bikes Rule With Gen Y
          – 1/2 of baby boomer motorcyclists surveyed ride traditional cruisers, but among Gen Y
              motorcyclists, modern, high-tech sport bikes lead the way with 30% of those riders.1
•       Motorcyclists Make More Money
          – While owning a motorcycle is much more affordable in many ways compared to having a car,
              the median household income of motorcycle owners exceeds that of the average American.
              Two-wheel households average $59,290 while the U.S. average is $50,233.1
•       Of all the motorcycles registered in the USA, (6,567,197) 4.3% of them are used for year-round
        primary transportation (282,389), with an additional 9.9% used seasonally for this purpose
        (932,542 total).2
•       Out of a total 129,141,982 commuters in this country 147,703 ride motorcycles to work regularly.
        That’s about 1.1 percent.2


1http://www.womenridersnow.com/pages/story_detail.aspx?lid=1221
2http://trafficsafety.org/safety/sharing/motorcycle/motor-facts/motorcycling-to-work.com                   22
Based on EFAS and IFAS analyses, we have
identified 13 potential strategies and a ‘wild
idea’…
               Potential and Recommended Strategies, and a ‘wild idea’

1. Harley-Davidson could license their      7. Expand into more areas of South
logo to other companies and do              America making their customization
partnership deals                           options more affordable for people to use
2. Create a three wheeler type bike to      8. Create focus groups to get feedback
market to their aging baby boomer           from the biking community
generation                                  9.Create a fuel efficient bike
3. Introduce a build your bike from         10. Enter the ATV market
scratch option                              11. Electric/Hybrid bikes
4. Sell a line of cheap sport bikes         12. A bike you can ride on water
under a different brand name                13. A bike shell
5. Market to a younger generation           14. Wild Idea: Hover bike
with a more affordable line of
‘beginner’ bikes
6. Create a new sportier bike (crotch
rocket style)


 …and we recommend 5 of these ideas for implementation
                                                                                        23
The key components of our first strategy
includes reaching out to current clientele…
• Beginning to design their new ‘easy rider’ bikes
• Reach out to already established clientele that are moving up in age
• Start the initiative as soon as they have a bike available
• Use their own stores / facilities to reach their customers
• Reach their customers through the Harley-Davidson forums that
  exist
• Start working on a design immediately with their creative engineers
• Research similar bikes that other companies have made as a
  starting off point
• Test their idea at biker gatherings like Sturgis (and similar venues)




                                                                      24
…which presents several benefits and
risks to Harley-Davidson
                Key benefits and risks of strategy baby boomers
                Benefits                                  Risks
 • This idea will keep clients that          • Current clients won’t want to
    are already Harley-Davidson                 switch to the new kind of bike
    owners riding the bikes long             • It will change the overall image
    into their retirement                       for Harley-Davidson from
 • The idea expands on a market              “tough” to “accommodating”
    that Harley-Davidson already             • The cost of developing a new line
    has                                         of bikes will add to Harley-
 • Will create a “bike for any age”             Davidson’s overall debt issues.
   promotion for Harley-Davidson




                                                                                   25
The key components of selling cheaper starter
and sport bikes under a different brand
nameinclude marketing a new brand…
• Design the brand name, logo, and register them
• Design cheaper bikes that more customers can afford
• Create the supply chain
   – including cheaper lightweight materials
   – new dealerships
• Design a market campaign
• Market the new brand
• Evaluate the results and make improvements




                                                        26
…which present several benefits and risks to
Harley-Davidson
             Key benefits and risks of selling cheaper starter bikes
               Benefits                                     Risks
• New markets for Harley-                  • Requires significant resources
  Davidson to compete in                   • May have to issue more debt
• A new source for profits                 • The process might take a long
• Keeps the Harley-Davidson                  time to see a profit
  image of a higher priced quality         • Consumers may avoid buying
  brand                                      bikes from a new brand in favor
• More diversification                       of established brands
• Harley-Davidson could use the            • Harley-Davidson may not be
  ideas and experiences from the             able to keep costs low enough
  new brand to improve current               to compete on prices
  process                                  • Employees and management
                                             may resist the new brand


                                                                               27
The key components of the sport bike strategy
include building cheaper and faster
motorcycles...
•   Building motorcycles that are faster
•   Motorcycles that are cheaper
•   Motorcycles that are Light weight
•   Sleek looking
•   Motorcycles that appeal to the younger generation
•   Less noisy



                                                        28
…which present several benefits and risks
to Harley-Davidson
                 Key benefits and risks of the sport bike strategy
                Benefits                                     Risks
• It will appeal more to younger            • Their current customer base could
  riders such as Generation Y                 alienate them
• They will have a motorcycle               • Could lose loyal customers
  that will be in same category as          • If a motorcycle is introduced a
  their major competitors                     lower price point it could dilute
     • BMW, Suzuki, and Yamaha                Harley-Davidson motorcycle values
• It would be a motorcycle that             • Has the possibility to fail because
  would be introduced at a lower              Harley-Davidson’s competitor have
  price point                                 already perfected the art of making
• With the economy being what                 sport bikes
  it is, people would get the
  Harley-Davidson brand at a
  lower price

                                                                                    29
The key components of the fuel efficient bike
strategy include increasing fuel economy and
MPG…
• Currently, Harley-Davidson’s most fuel-efficient bike is
  the Iron 883 weighing 553lbs and gets 51 MPG
    – Prototype: 400-500 cc Engine with MPG greater than 60
      MSRP around $6,000
•   Smaller engines accompanied by smaller frames
•   Focus on consumer wants and needs with smaller bikes
•   Target fuel economy: greater than 60 mpg
•   More diverse selling markets
•   More transportation use

                                                              30
…which presents several benefits and
risks to Harley-Davidson
                     Key benefits and risks of a fuel efficient bike
                  Benefits                                       Risks
 •   More diverse selling markets              • Bike will lose “Harley-
     such as India and Latin America             Davidson” brand feel
 •   Motorcycles can be used for               • Customers will not support
     transportation purposes more
                                                 brand change
 •   Lower selling costs
 •   Market to entry-level riders and          • May not have classic
     younger consumers                           “Harley Davidson” sound
 •   Smaller, more eco-friendly bikes          • Overpriced compared to
     may appeal to new riders                    competitors
 •   Compete with over brands such
     as Honda, Kawasaki, and BMW
     who offer fuel-efficient models
     already




                                                                              31
The key components of entering the ATV
market includes expanding their customer
base…
• Increases customer base due to new product line.
• A unique advertising campaign marketed not only to Harley-
  Davidson riders, but also to outdoor enthusiasts in general.
• If production design and pricing schedules were developed
  now, the company could be geared towards release in Spring
  2014.
• Market through current Harley-Davidson channels
  (commercials, dealerships, etc.)
• Get feedback from / demonstrate a model to current clients at
  events (such as Sturgis).

                                                             32
…which presents several benefits and
risks to Harley-Davidson
               Key benefits and risks of entering the ATV market
                 Benefits                                    Risks
 1.   A new source of revenue for            1.   Products may be too
      Harley-Davidson.                            expensive for people to
 2.   Dedicated following already                 reasonably afford.
      exists; the company would now          2.   May not be “off-road”
      be meeting an additional need.              enough.
 3.   New market and new potential           3.   ATVs for recreation or
      customers.                                  transport? The company
 4.   Freedom for Harley to design                would have to decide.
      from scratch to meet the needs         4.   The demand for ATVs may
      of their customers.                         not be high enough to
 5.   Steal market share from some                justify production.
      competitors.                           5.   Could potentially alienate
                                                  current customers.


                                                                               33
The key components of the “wild idea” of
creating a hover bike includes developing anti-
gravitation technology…
• It would be made from lightweight materials
• It would feature an anti-gravity mechanism that would allow the bike to
  rise to any height
• Engineered for maximum enjoyment and freedom
• It would still feature the traditional Harley-Davidson look and sound
• It would feature an innovative way for the bike to stay parked so it does
  not scrape the bottom of the bike.
• Engineered with safety features that would keep the rider from falling off
  the bike




                                                                               34
…which presents several benefits and risks to
Harley-Davidson
                       Key benefits and risks of the hover bike
                 Benefits                                     Risks
1. It would be the first of its kind to       1. Could anger some of the “old
   be manufactured                               school” riders
2. It would reduce the chance of an           2. Could be a complete flop, and
   accident with another vehicle                 waste the company’s time and
3. It would reduce the time of the               money.
   commute for the user                       3. Research and Development
4. It could virtually go any where               would be costly to design the
   since it does not touch the                   new product.
   ground                                     4. It could be unreliable since it
5. It would allow the user to avoid              would be the first of its kind
   any traffic on their commute




                                                                                   35
The ATV strategy will take 1 ½ years to complete and will
cost approximately $34,350,000 to implement
                                    Strategy ATV action plan and costs
Sample Action Plan, with Cost Estimates


Item Description                               Responsibility        Duration Units     Start Date    End Date      Estimated Cost
Collect information from client base            Marketing Dept.            6   Months      4/1/2013     9/30/2013         $300,000
Create team of professionals to design the product
                                                R&D Dept.                  6   Months      4/1/2013     9/30/2013        $1,500,000
Gather research on exisiting production plants  CFO                        3   Months      4/1/2013      7/1/2013                $0
Inform internal employees of new direction      CEO                        2   Months      6/1/2013      8/1/2013           $75,000
Build prototypes of possible design             ATV specialist             3   Months     10/1/2013      1/5/2014        $1,500,000
Secure component suppliers                      Operations Manager         2   Months     10/1/2013     12/1/2013                $0
Build production plant                          CEO / Construction Co.     9   Months      7/1/2013      4/1/2013        $7,500,000
Create marking plan                             Marketing Dept.            2   Months     10/1/2013     12/1/2013         $150,000
Implement new advertising campaign              Marketing/Sales team       2   Months      1/5/2014      3/1/2014         $750,000
Take product models to shows/events to debut Marketing/Sales team          4   Months      2/1/2014      6/1/2014           $75,000
Take pre-orders                                 Sales Team                 2   Months     6/15/2014     8/15/2014                $0
Mass produce ATVs                               Operations Manager         5   Months     6/15/2014    11/15/2014       $15,000,000
Distribute to current sales facilities          Distribution Center        2   Months      8/1/2014     8/15/2014        $7,500,000
                                                                                                            Total      $34,350,000




 Team estimates                                                                                                           36
… and there are several key implementation considerations that
must be addressed for the ATV strategy to be successful.

ATV strategy key implementation considerations
• This will be a costly venture, that will take a significant
  amount of time to complete.
• There will be a lot of data that is collected in the beginning of
  this strategy; all of which must be considered before
  progressing further with the project.
• Current Harley client’s feedback will be vital to the
  progression of this new venture.
• Harley may have to consider changing it’s image to
  accommodate a new product line.


                                                                  37
Success of the ATV strategy will be
assessed through financial and customer
measures…
      ATV Strategy – Financial and Customer Measures

   Measurement Area           Baseline                   Target

 Financial            1. The R&D within         1. R&D under $95,000
                      budget $100,000           2. Total budget
                      2. Total budget stays     $1,930,000
                      under 1,930,000           3. Earnings per share**
                      3. Earnings per share**   4. Profit Margin**
                      4. Profit Margin**
 Customer             1. ATV is affordable      1. Affordable, yet good
                      2. Under $10,000          quality
                      ($4,000-10,000)           2. Price competes with
                      3. Track amount of        competitors
                      purchases                 3. 10,000 ATVs made
                                                and sold every year
                                                                          38
…as well as through business process, and
innovation and learning measures
              ATV Strategy – Business Process and
               Innovation and Learning Measures
     Measurement Area                   Baseline                                Target

   Business Process          1. Effective and efficient            1. Comparable to biggest
                             operations while staying under        competition in the market
                             budget                                2. Operations fulfilling
                             2. Keep operations under              production needs of 10,00 ATVs
                             budget                                3. Keep Inventory turnover
                             3. Inventory turnover 8.42**          8.42 **
                             4. Cash Conversion Cycle**            4. Cash Conversion Cycle**
   Innovation and Learning   1. Track new product lines emerging   1. Research 4 new product lines in
                             on the market                         depth every year
                             2. Track customer wants and needs     2. Research recent ATV trends every
                             in ATV (survey 1 per year)            6 months
                             3. Research customer feedback on      3. Track feedback on competitors
                             ATVs (2 surveys per year)             (Compile once per year)
                             4. 0 people trained                   4. Train 2 people per store
                             5. Duration** (4 years 9 months)      5. Duration** 4 years target
                             according to task descriptions in
                             section5

                                                                                                         39
Harley-Davidson’s five year projected inflows
and outflows for the ATV strategy…

                 Implementation     Year 1        Year 2        Year 3         Year 4         Year 5          Total
Initial
investment          ($34,350,000)            $0            $0            $0             $0             $0 ($34,350,000)
Cost of
goods sold                   $0 ($37,500,000) ($75,000,000) ($112,500,000) ($135,000,000) ($105,000,000) ($465,000,000)

Sales                        $0 $50,000,000 $100,000,000 $150,000,000 $180,000,000 $140,000,000 $620,000,000

Net per year ($34,350,000) $12,500,000 $25,000,000 $37,500,000 $45,000,000 $35,000,000 $120,650,000

Team estimates
                                                                                                                      40
…will provide a ROI of 24%

• Inflows: $620,000,000.
• Outflows: $499,350,000.

• ROI: (620,000,000 – 499,350,000)
                                   = 24%
        499,350,000




                                           41
Questions?

             42

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Harley davidson Co. Strategic Audit

  • 2. Harley-Davidson Motorcycle Company is considered a successful company for four key reasons… 1. Strong brand loyalty 2. Independent women riders 3. Increasing plant efficiency by reorganizing 4. Expanding international markets … which has lead to an increase in market share and cost savings … 2
  • 3. Harley-Davidson has a strong brand loyalty among their customers • In 2011, 65% of people that purchased a new Harley-Davidson motorcycle in the U.S. had owned a Harley-Davidson previously in their lifetime.1 • 57% of people that purchased a new motorcycle around the globe had previously owned a Harley-Davidson.1 • In the U.S. Harley-Davidson owns over 1 50% of the motorcycle market.2 • The Harley Owners Group (H.O.G) is a site where the owners of Harleys can register to receive special benefits.3 • The Harley Owners Group has over 1,400 chapters all over the world.3 1 1http://investor.harley-davidson.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=87981&p=irol-demographics&locale=en_US&bmLocale=en_US 2http://finance.yahoo.com/news/harley-davidson-remains-outperform-153018666.html 3http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/HOG/HOG.html 3
  • 4. Harley-Davidson is expanding their target market to include independent women riders • According to theMotorcycle Industry Council, women riders have increased to 7.2 million of 27 million riders.1 • Harley-Davidson is producing more motorcycles that are low to the ground, so women can plant their feet firmly at rest.2 – They have also developed narrower seats and softer clutches; they are also adjusting handlebars and windshields to make their bikes more comfortable for smaller riders. 2 • Approximately 12% of all Harley-Davidson motorcycle sales are to women. Roughly 32,000 new bikes in 2006 – compared to 4% in 1990, and 9% in 1998, and 10.6% in 2003.3 • It is estimated that women will spend around $300 million on Harley-Davidson motorcycles this year in the United States, not including accessories, riding gear, or clothing.3 • In July 2011, Harley-Davidson launched the $7,990 Harley Superlow, designed to appeal to both women and first-time riders.4 – The bike is 150 pounds lighter than a typical Harley-Davidson motorcycle, with a generous rear-suspension travel, a deeply cushioned seat, easy-reach handlebar and the lowest seat (25.5″) in Harley’s 32-bike lineup.4 • The company now has a 53% point market-share lead among female motorcycle riders.4 1http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-201_162-57465216/women-riding-motorcycles-in-increasing-numbers/ 2http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/25/business/25biker.html?_r=0 3http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/25/business/25biker.html?_r=0 4http://cyrilhuzeblog.com/2010/10/03/harley-davidson-scoring-high-after-intensively-courting-women/ 4
  • 5. Harley-Davidson is increasing their efficiency by reorganizing their plants • Restructuring the plants has allowed the • By reorganizing their plants, Harley-Davidson will company to have “surge capability” to match in turn increase their EPS. The impact of production with seasonal demands.1 restructuring costs and benefit changes in 2012 and 2013, is add +$0.25 in 2012, and another • The company is also restructuring the inner- +$0.25 in 2013.3 workings of the plants to allow for more employee feedback.1 Harley-DavidsonAnnual Units: 2000-2011 • Harley-Davidson has eliminated the problem with bottlenecks in the development process by loading finished products directly on the trucks; this doubles the staging capability in the plants.1 • Improvements that used to take months, now are completed in only weeks.1 • As a result of these changes, Harley-Davidson will build more motorcycles in one facility this year than they did in all 41 facilities in 2011.1 • Harley-Davidson also is trying to reduce the 3 amount of time it takes to develop a new product from five years down to three. 2 Despite some reasonable unit growth this year, Harley-Davidson's bike units are still substantially below the average level of the past 10 years. The trough in unit sales appears to have come as recently as 2010.3 1http://www.harley-davidson.com 2http://www.manufacturing.net/news/2010/11/harley-davidson-restructuring-plans-in-place 3http://seekingalpha.com/article/317846-harley-davidson-could-have-25-upside-based-on-restructuring-benefits-and-volume-increases 5
  • 6. Harley-Davidson has expanded internationally into other markets • In 2011, Harley-Davidson announced the opening of their Latin American headquarters in Miami, FL.1 • Harley-Davidson is now implementing a “multi-generational and multi-cultural marketing strategy” as it looks to increase sales to non-core customer (women, young adults, and ethnically diverse adults) without alienating its core customer base.1 • Harley-Davidson predicts that sales outside of the United States will exceed 40% by 2014.2 • By implementing permanent headquarters in Miami, Harley-Davidson is able to better accommodate Latin American customers more quickly.3 • “There is a longstanding history between Hispanics and Harley-Davidson and we want to celebrate it,” said Karina Jaramillo-Saa, manager of market outreach, Harley-Davidson Motor Company.3 • “Harlistas” section on website showcasing stories of Latino riders and their bikes, also features short films on Latino heritage and culture.3 • For the full year 2012, retail unit sales of new Harley-Davidson motorcycles grew 6.2% worldwide, with increases of 6.6% in the U.S. and 5.6% internationally compared to 2011.3 • Dealers sold 249,849 new Harley-Davidson motorcycles worldwide in 2012, with retail unit sales up 39.2% in the Latin America region, 14.3% in the Asia Pacific region and 6.2% in the North America region (U.S. and Canada).3 1http://investor.harley-davidson.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=87981&p=irol-newsArticle&id=1616776 2http://seekingalpha.com/article/281976-harley-davidson-riding-on-international-growth-and-new-riders 3http://www.motorcycle-usa.com/568/3071/Motorcycle-Article/Harley-Davidson-Celebrates-Hispanic-Riders.aspx 6
  • 7. Harley-Davidson's strategies have lead to increased market share and cost savings • Harley-Davidson’s international sales has increased.3 – In 2006, 80% of sales were in the U.S. – By 2010, only 60% of sales were in the U.S. • Restructuring activities have saved Harley- Davidson over $217 million dollars.1 1 • In the fourth quarter of 2010 revenue was $697.8 million, up 26.4% compared to 2009.2 • Harley-Davidson’s market share in the U.S., their biggest market, increased 54.9% in 2010, from 53.3% in 2009, and 45.4% in 2008, for the sales of the 651+cc.2 1 * Estimated savings 1http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/76075/harley-davidson-remains-outperform 2http://www.cyclenews.com/articles/industry-news/2011/01/25/harley-davidson-increases-u-s-market-share 3http://www.trefis.com/stock/hog/articles/65441/harley/2011-07-21 7
  • 8. Harley-Davidson faces 3 external opportunities and 3 external threats External Factor Analysis Summary Opportunities: Comments/Data: 1. The improvement of the economy in 1. China has entered the World Trade other countries Organization. 2. A new generation/younger 2. Anything can be customized from generation to market to – clothing, cars, food, toys, etc. customization trend 3. The economy (current & future) Threats: Comments/Data: 1. The aging baby boomers population 1. Baby boomers make up 2. Competitors approximately 28% of the U.S. 3. The economy (2008-current) population. 2. BMW holds a considerable size of the market share in Europe. 3. The amount of disposable income is dramatically lower. 8
  • 9. Improving economies around the world will provide the opportunity to expand into other markets • China's economic reforms and Asia: 2012 GDP Growth Forecast entry into the World Trade Organization have improved the company's investment opportunities and warmed up the country's leisure heavyweight motorcycle market.1 • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank have helped many countries to improve their economic management.2 – They have provided temporary financial assistance to countries to help ease balance-of-payment difficulties and offered training for government finance officials. • The Universal Postal Union (UPU) facilitates the exchange of international mail and develops social, cultural and commercial communications between peoples and businesses with up-to-date 3 postal services and products.2 1https://www.chinabusinessreview.com/public/1201/miller.html 2http://www.un.org/un60/60ways/ec_dev.shtml 3http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2012/01/pdf/text.pdf 9
  • 10. Younger generations are demanding customization for their products… • In today's market, people can customize just about anything they buy.1 – Anything can be customized, from clothing, cars, food, toys, electronic, etc. – Many brands are taking products to the next level by offering incremental customization to refresh established products. – The customization trend ranges from products that spice it up with customized features, to products that are customized from the inside out. • Founded 13 years ago, Build-A-Bear Workshop was an early entrant into mass customization. • With more than 400 stores worldwide, it has successfully scaled to become the largest chain dedicated to the create-your-own trend. …which is a great opportunity for Harley-Davidson 1http://www.articlesbase.com/marketing-tips-articles/the-customization-consumer-trend-2953150.html 10
  • 11. The economy is an excellent opportunity for Harley- Davidson because the rise in sales is steadily growing with each year • Any sales increase is a positive sign for the economy, but sales of high-end equipment are especially important.1 – In the technology sector, large servers and other expensive electronic equipment have increased. The purchase of specialized medical testing equipment by hospitals and labs has also increased from the end of 2010 through early 2011. • According to the Brookings Institution, in the third quarter of 2010, housing prices rose in 80 of the 100 largest metropolitan areas in the U.S.1 – They rose 0.6 percent overall among those 100 cities. While the gain is small, it's significant because each of those 100 cities had experienced a decline in housing prices for the previous three quarters. • Standard & Poor's 500 Index shows 2010 was the third-best year for corporations since 1998.1 – Even adjusted for inflation, corporate profits were much more robust in 2010 than in 2009, showing a 17 percent increase. – This figure excludes financial corporations, who had such a terrible 2009 that they'd make those profits look artificially huge if they were included. • The National Retail Federation's 2011 economic forecast predicts a 4 percent increase in retail sales.1 – Retail growth has enjoyed seven months of continual growth, and retailers had a pretty good 2010 holiday shopping season. 1http://www.howstuffworks.com/10-signs-the-economy-is-improving.htm#page=1 11
  • 12. The aging baby boomer population is a major threat to Harley-Davidson • Baby boomers make up approximately 28% of the U.S. population.1 • By 2020, the population of Americans between ages 55 to 64 will have increased 73% since 2000.2 • On January 1, 2011, as the baby boomers begin to celebrate their 65th birthdays, 10,000 people will turn 65 every day. This trend will continue for 20 years.5 • 20% of Harley-Davidson riders are over the age of 55.3 4 – Someday thousands of those Harley- Davidson riders will have to trade in their hogs for rocking chairs The increasing number 1http://www.babyboomer-magazine.com/news/165/ARTICLE/1437/2010-04-04.html of Americans 65 and 2http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/02/aging-in-america-baby-boomers-arianna-huffington_n_1397686.html 3http://www.brandchannel.com/features_effect.asp?pf_id=55 older is a growing trend 4http://insiderlouisville.com/news/2011/02/02/louisville-adds-dharma-construction-building-long-term-care-industry-hub/ 12 5http://mayoresearch.mayo.edu/aging_center/aging_demographics.cfm
  • 13. A threat to Harley-Davidson is competition from other companies Harley Davidson faces competition from four major companies: Suzuki, Yamaha, BMW, and Polaris. • BMW is currently Harley-Davidson’s biggest competitor. • BMW currently holds a considerable size of market share in the European market. BMW and Harley-Davidson currently hold the same brand image when it comes to consumers. BMW continues to fashion their marketing strategies to appeal to current Harley-Davidson customers.1 • Suzuki is a Japanese company that holds a large market share in the Asian markets. • They have a diverse portfolio of different motorcycle styles that compete with Harley-Davidson. They are considered competition to Harley-Davidson because they develop motorcycles that are affordable.1 • Yamaha like Suzuki manufacture a wide variety of motorcycle styles that appeal to consumers. • Yamaha is a major competitor to Harley-Davidson because they can supply parts to other manufactures in the industry.1 • Polaris is Harley-Davidson’s biggest competitor in the 1400cc and up engine size for motorcycles. • Polaris has been able to compete with Harley-Davidson by offering bikes that are less expensive. Polaris was able to compete with Harley-Davidson by purchasing Indian.2 1http://bmw.ezinemark.com/harley-davidson-competitor-analysis-1866a32568f.html 2http://money.cnn.com/2012/10/03/auto/harley-davidson-polaris.fortune/index.html 13
  • 14. The economy has been a major threat to Harley- Davidson because of the lack of disposable income in the United States • The disposable income of Americans is still trying to reach what it was in 2008. The average measure of disposable income on a per capita basis is still 20% lower than what it was in 2007. 1 • The average per capita disposable personal income rose 4.7% from four years ago, which is the smallest gain since the late 1940s. Adjusted for inflation, the income of the average American is 2.1% lower than four years ago. 1 • Data released by the Commerce Department showed that personal income fell 3.6% in January 2013.3 – Real personal disposable income, after taxes and inflation are taken out, fell by 4% which was the biggest monthly drop in half a century. • Disposable Personal Income in the United States decreased to 11,923.20 Billion in January of 2013 from 12,422.40 Billion in December of 2012.4 4 1http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/09/business/economy/as-recovery-drags-on-income-and-wealth-lag.html?_r=0 2http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/08/business/Earning-Less-and-Worth-Less.html?ref=economy 3http://business.time.com/2013/03/05/why-many-americans-feel-like-theyre-getting-poorer/ 4http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/disposable-personal-income 14
  • 15. Harley-Davidson faces 4 internal strengths and 3 internal weaknesses Internal Factor Analysis Summary Strengths: Comments/Data: 1. Harley-Davidson can reduce production 1. They are consolidating their current 41 buildings cost/streamline their factories into 1 large facility 2. They have created a strong brand loyalty and 2. In 2011 Harley-Davidson made over a billion dealer network dollars in selling Harley-Davison branded 3. They have great cash equivalents merchandise 4. They have the opportunity to expand their 3. HOG's liquidity remains strong, with $1.1 billion customization options of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities 4. H-D1™ is the full customization process made easy Weaknesses: Comments/Data: 1. Their price point is too high 1. The Harley-Davidson Financial Services financed 2. Harley-Davidson has created quite a bit of debt roughly 47.9% of all new Harley-Davidson 3. They have a limited market 2. Harley-Davidson current has an estimated $5.10 billion dollars in debt 3. In 2003, baby boomer riders outnumbered Gen Y motorcyclists almost four to one 15
  • 16. An internal strength of Harley-Davidson is their low production costs • Consolidating their current 41 buildings at the York Plant to one large new facility in Kansas City, MO.1 • Brought in automation to reduce their work force by up to 50%.1 • Harley-Davidson no longer needs peak production levels to achieve strong profits.1 • They have negotiated new terms with unions to help control production costs.1 • Revamping has allowed Harley-Davidson to quickly increase or cut production in response to shifting demand.1 • In 2013, they will have finished all of the reorganization of the major plants which brings the large cash flows to an end.1 • Revenue has not fully recovered, but profits are increasing due to this strategy.1 1 Harley-Davidson is slowly recovering their Net Income although their sales are still fairly low. 1http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443720204578004164199848452.html 16
  • 17. One of Harley-Davidson’s internal strengths is their strong brand loyalty and devoted market following • In 2011 Harley-Davidson made Sales by Product Line over a billion dollars in selling Harley-Davison branded merchandise and accessories.1 • Harley-Davidson established Harley Owners Groups (HOG), a motorcycle group with over a million members belonging to over 1,400 owner groups across the U.S.2 • They grew their brand loyalty by sponsoring huge motorcycle rallies in Florida and South Dakota, which each attract over half a million riders each year.2 3 1http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/IROL/87/87981/HD.pdf 2http://cultbrands.net/harley-davidson/ 3http://www.harley-davidson/com 17
  • 18. Harley-Davidson’s strong cash equivalents is an internal strength • HOG's liquidity remains strong, with $1.1 billion of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities as of April 1, 2012. 1 • After backing out its debt, it was in a $761 million net cash position. This was despite the company making another $200 million voluntary contribution to its pension plans.1 • Fitch, a company that rates corporate credit, recently upgraded Harley's outlook from "Negative" to "Stable" due to: "[Harley's] leading market position, strong cash position and relatively low debt levels."2 • This strong cash position gives Harley-Davidson the ability to respond to negative conditions, expand or acquire debt relatively easy to accomplish strategies for the future.2 1http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/07/20/idUSWNA157520120720 2http://motorcycles.about.com/b/2010/08/04/harleys-upgrade-to-stable-suggests-light-at-the-end-of-the-tunnel.htm 18
  • 19. Customization options is another internal strength for Harley-Davidson H-D1™ is the full customization process made easy. Only H-D1™ brings the exclusive parts, processes and expertise together so you can build your one-of-a-kind Harley-Davidson® motorcycle.1 • Fit – A good fit is like your favorite pair of jeans - the better you fit your motorcycle, the better the ride. The right fit is crucial for maximizing comfort and getting the most out of every ride. Once you've chosen your Harley, take the time to custom fit your handlebars, seat, foot controls and suspension. To find the right fit for you visit the H-D Fit Shop.2 • Function – Decide how you want to roll. Solo and stripped down, two-up and fully loaded, or anywhere in between, you can tailor any H-D motorcycle to meet the demands of the byways. If you crave maximum storage capacity and on-road versatility, detachable accessories can be changed in seconds.2 • Style – With Harley, your custom style possibilities are endless. Have an overall plan to maximize installation efficiency and minimize your time off the road.2 • Performance – Let's talk torque, horsepower, brute force and speed. Whether you're into aggressive riding or need to haul a heavy load, Screamin' Eagle® Performance Parts are proven on the track and engineered for the streets.2 Factory Customization From your plan, to our factory, to you. In as little as 4 weeks.3 3 Easy Steps: 1) H-D1 Bike Builder Only you can design your perfect bike. Use the online H-D1 Bike Builder tool to build a bike that fits your style and personality.3 2) Head to your dealer Bring your plan to your Harley-Davidson dealer for consultation and to place your order.3 3) We build it Our employees go to work, building your motorcycle according to your design and in about 4 weeks* your masterpiece will be ready for you at your dealer.3 1http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/H-D1_Customization/h-d1_customization.html?locale=en_US&bmLocale=en_US 2http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/H-D1_Customization/guide-to-customizing.html?locale=en_US&bmLocale=en_US 3http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/H-D1_Customization/factory-customization.html?locale=en_US&bmLocale=en_US 19
  • 20. The number of motorcycles that are being financed is an internal weakness • A motorcycle loan is a way for those who don't have the cash on hand to buy outright.1 • At the end of 2011, the net accounts receivables for Harley-Davidson was $4,026,214. At the end of 2012, it rose to $4,038,807. – Those numbers are astonishing because that is the amount of money that consumers owe to Harley-Davidson based on their purchases on credit.2 • Asset quality performance has shown stabilization and, recently, improvement. Annualized losses on HDFS’ managed retail motorcycle loans were 2.04% during the first half of 2010 compared to 2.69% during the first half of last year.3 • The Financial Services segment recorded operating income of $62 million in the third quarter, compared to operating income of $50.9 million in the year-ago quarter. – The increase in year-over-year operating income was largely the result of continued improvement in credit performance at Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Through nine months, operating income from financial services was $212 million, compared to operating income of $138.4 million in the first three quarters of 2010.4 • The Harley-Davidson Financial Services financed roughly 47.9% of all new Harley- Davidson purchases in the United States in 2010, which shows that Americans do not have the disposable income that they have had in prior years.5 1http://www.ehow.com/about_4680984_motorcycle-loans.html 2http://www.harley-davidson.com/en_US/Content/Pages/HD_News/Company/news.html?article=en_US/News/1611_press_release.hdnews 3http://motorsportsnewswire.wordpress.com/2010/08/02/fitch-raises-outlook-on-harley-davidson-debt-0802101/ 4http://investor.harley-davidson.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=87981&p=irol-newsArticle&id=1618163 20 5http://www.asphaltandrubber.com/banter/five-interesting-facts-harley-davidson-annual-report/
  • 21. Harley-Davidson has an internal weakness because of the amount of debt they have • Harley-Davidson current has an estimated $5.10 billion dollars in debt.1 • For the first nine months of 2012, Harley Davidson had an interest expense of 4 $34,528,000.2 • Harley-Davidson currently has a 72.1 This graph shows the long term debt times total liabilities to that Harley-Davidson has. It is broken down by quarter, and starts from the total assets ratio.3 third quarter of 2010, and is extended until the fourth quarter of 2012. 1http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=HOG+Key+Statistics 2http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/793952/000144530512003553/hog-09302012x10q.htm 3http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/financials/ratios.asp?ticker=HOG 21 4http://www.wikinvest.com/stock/Harley-Davidson_(HOG)/Data/Long-Term_Debt
  • 22. Harley-Davidson’s limited market is an internal weakness • A New Generation is Riding – “In 2003, baby boomer riders outnumbered Gen Y motorcyclists almost four to one. But Gen Y motorcycle ownership grew 62 percent since 2003, putting the current ratio of baby boomers to Gen Y at two to one.”1 – Due to fuel prices, more riders are transitioning to using motorcycles more often for transportation. 1 • Riders are doing it for transportation, not just recreation. Motorcycling for Americans is primarily about recreation and the pure joy of riding, but among the reasons given for motorcycling, transportation climbed to second place in the 2008 survey.1 • Sport Bikes Rule With Gen Y – 1/2 of baby boomer motorcyclists surveyed ride traditional cruisers, but among Gen Y motorcyclists, modern, high-tech sport bikes lead the way with 30% of those riders.1 • Motorcyclists Make More Money – While owning a motorcycle is much more affordable in many ways compared to having a car, the median household income of motorcycle owners exceeds that of the average American. Two-wheel households average $59,290 while the U.S. average is $50,233.1 • Of all the motorcycles registered in the USA, (6,567,197) 4.3% of them are used for year-round primary transportation (282,389), with an additional 9.9% used seasonally for this purpose (932,542 total).2 • Out of a total 129,141,982 commuters in this country 147,703 ride motorcycles to work regularly. That’s about 1.1 percent.2 1http://www.womenridersnow.com/pages/story_detail.aspx?lid=1221 2http://trafficsafety.org/safety/sharing/motorcycle/motor-facts/motorcycling-to-work.com 22
  • 23. Based on EFAS and IFAS analyses, we have identified 13 potential strategies and a ‘wild idea’… Potential and Recommended Strategies, and a ‘wild idea’ 1. Harley-Davidson could license their 7. Expand into more areas of South logo to other companies and do America making their customization partnership deals options more affordable for people to use 2. Create a three wheeler type bike to 8. Create focus groups to get feedback market to their aging baby boomer from the biking community generation 9.Create a fuel efficient bike 3. Introduce a build your bike from 10. Enter the ATV market scratch option 11. Electric/Hybrid bikes 4. Sell a line of cheap sport bikes 12. A bike you can ride on water under a different brand name 13. A bike shell 5. Market to a younger generation 14. Wild Idea: Hover bike with a more affordable line of ‘beginner’ bikes 6. Create a new sportier bike (crotch rocket style) …and we recommend 5 of these ideas for implementation 23
  • 24. The key components of our first strategy includes reaching out to current clientele… • Beginning to design their new ‘easy rider’ bikes • Reach out to already established clientele that are moving up in age • Start the initiative as soon as they have a bike available • Use their own stores / facilities to reach their customers • Reach their customers through the Harley-Davidson forums that exist • Start working on a design immediately with their creative engineers • Research similar bikes that other companies have made as a starting off point • Test their idea at biker gatherings like Sturgis (and similar venues) 24
  • 25. …which presents several benefits and risks to Harley-Davidson Key benefits and risks of strategy baby boomers Benefits Risks • This idea will keep clients that • Current clients won’t want to are already Harley-Davidson switch to the new kind of bike owners riding the bikes long • It will change the overall image into their retirement for Harley-Davidson from • The idea expands on a market “tough” to “accommodating” that Harley-Davidson already • The cost of developing a new line has of bikes will add to Harley- • Will create a “bike for any age” Davidson’s overall debt issues. promotion for Harley-Davidson 25
  • 26. The key components of selling cheaper starter and sport bikes under a different brand nameinclude marketing a new brand… • Design the brand name, logo, and register them • Design cheaper bikes that more customers can afford • Create the supply chain – including cheaper lightweight materials – new dealerships • Design a market campaign • Market the new brand • Evaluate the results and make improvements 26
  • 27. …which present several benefits and risks to Harley-Davidson Key benefits and risks of selling cheaper starter bikes Benefits Risks • New markets for Harley- • Requires significant resources Davidson to compete in • May have to issue more debt • A new source for profits • The process might take a long • Keeps the Harley-Davidson time to see a profit image of a higher priced quality • Consumers may avoid buying brand bikes from a new brand in favor • More diversification of established brands • Harley-Davidson could use the • Harley-Davidson may not be ideas and experiences from the able to keep costs low enough new brand to improve current to compete on prices process • Employees and management may resist the new brand 27
  • 28. The key components of the sport bike strategy include building cheaper and faster motorcycles... • Building motorcycles that are faster • Motorcycles that are cheaper • Motorcycles that are Light weight • Sleek looking • Motorcycles that appeal to the younger generation • Less noisy 28
  • 29. …which present several benefits and risks to Harley-Davidson Key benefits and risks of the sport bike strategy Benefits Risks • It will appeal more to younger • Their current customer base could riders such as Generation Y alienate them • They will have a motorcycle • Could lose loyal customers that will be in same category as • If a motorcycle is introduced a their major competitors lower price point it could dilute • BMW, Suzuki, and Yamaha Harley-Davidson motorcycle values • It would be a motorcycle that • Has the possibility to fail because would be introduced at a lower Harley-Davidson’s competitor have price point already perfected the art of making • With the economy being what sport bikes it is, people would get the Harley-Davidson brand at a lower price 29
  • 30. The key components of the fuel efficient bike strategy include increasing fuel economy and MPG… • Currently, Harley-Davidson’s most fuel-efficient bike is the Iron 883 weighing 553lbs and gets 51 MPG – Prototype: 400-500 cc Engine with MPG greater than 60 MSRP around $6,000 • Smaller engines accompanied by smaller frames • Focus on consumer wants and needs with smaller bikes • Target fuel economy: greater than 60 mpg • More diverse selling markets • More transportation use 30
  • 31. …which presents several benefits and risks to Harley-Davidson Key benefits and risks of a fuel efficient bike Benefits Risks • More diverse selling markets • Bike will lose “Harley- such as India and Latin America Davidson” brand feel • Motorcycles can be used for • Customers will not support transportation purposes more brand change • Lower selling costs • Market to entry-level riders and • May not have classic younger consumers “Harley Davidson” sound • Smaller, more eco-friendly bikes • Overpriced compared to may appeal to new riders competitors • Compete with over brands such as Honda, Kawasaki, and BMW who offer fuel-efficient models already 31
  • 32. The key components of entering the ATV market includes expanding their customer base… • Increases customer base due to new product line. • A unique advertising campaign marketed not only to Harley- Davidson riders, but also to outdoor enthusiasts in general. • If production design and pricing schedules were developed now, the company could be geared towards release in Spring 2014. • Market through current Harley-Davidson channels (commercials, dealerships, etc.) • Get feedback from / demonstrate a model to current clients at events (such as Sturgis). 32
  • 33. …which presents several benefits and risks to Harley-Davidson Key benefits and risks of entering the ATV market Benefits Risks 1. A new source of revenue for 1. Products may be too Harley-Davidson. expensive for people to 2. Dedicated following already reasonably afford. exists; the company would now 2. May not be “off-road” be meeting an additional need. enough. 3. New market and new potential 3. ATVs for recreation or customers. transport? The company 4. Freedom for Harley to design would have to decide. from scratch to meet the needs 4. The demand for ATVs may of their customers. not be high enough to 5. Steal market share from some justify production. competitors. 5. Could potentially alienate current customers. 33
  • 34. The key components of the “wild idea” of creating a hover bike includes developing anti- gravitation technology… • It would be made from lightweight materials • It would feature an anti-gravity mechanism that would allow the bike to rise to any height • Engineered for maximum enjoyment and freedom • It would still feature the traditional Harley-Davidson look and sound • It would feature an innovative way for the bike to stay parked so it does not scrape the bottom of the bike. • Engineered with safety features that would keep the rider from falling off the bike 34
  • 35. …which presents several benefits and risks to Harley-Davidson Key benefits and risks of the hover bike Benefits Risks 1. It would be the first of its kind to 1. Could anger some of the “old be manufactured school” riders 2. It would reduce the chance of an 2. Could be a complete flop, and accident with another vehicle waste the company’s time and 3. It would reduce the time of the money. commute for the user 3. Research and Development 4. It could virtually go any where would be costly to design the since it does not touch the new product. ground 4. It could be unreliable since it 5. It would allow the user to avoid would be the first of its kind any traffic on their commute 35
  • 36. The ATV strategy will take 1 ½ years to complete and will cost approximately $34,350,000 to implement Strategy ATV action plan and costs Sample Action Plan, with Cost Estimates Item Description Responsibility Duration Units Start Date End Date Estimated Cost Collect information from client base Marketing Dept. 6 Months 4/1/2013 9/30/2013 $300,000 Create team of professionals to design the product R&D Dept. 6 Months 4/1/2013 9/30/2013 $1,500,000 Gather research on exisiting production plants CFO 3 Months 4/1/2013 7/1/2013 $0 Inform internal employees of new direction CEO 2 Months 6/1/2013 8/1/2013 $75,000 Build prototypes of possible design ATV specialist 3 Months 10/1/2013 1/5/2014 $1,500,000 Secure component suppliers Operations Manager 2 Months 10/1/2013 12/1/2013 $0 Build production plant CEO / Construction Co. 9 Months 7/1/2013 4/1/2013 $7,500,000 Create marking plan Marketing Dept. 2 Months 10/1/2013 12/1/2013 $150,000 Implement new advertising campaign Marketing/Sales team 2 Months 1/5/2014 3/1/2014 $750,000 Take product models to shows/events to debut Marketing/Sales team 4 Months 2/1/2014 6/1/2014 $75,000 Take pre-orders Sales Team 2 Months 6/15/2014 8/15/2014 $0 Mass produce ATVs Operations Manager 5 Months 6/15/2014 11/15/2014 $15,000,000 Distribute to current sales facilities Distribution Center 2 Months 8/1/2014 8/15/2014 $7,500,000 Total $34,350,000 Team estimates 36
  • 37. … and there are several key implementation considerations that must be addressed for the ATV strategy to be successful. ATV strategy key implementation considerations • This will be a costly venture, that will take a significant amount of time to complete. • There will be a lot of data that is collected in the beginning of this strategy; all of which must be considered before progressing further with the project. • Current Harley client’s feedback will be vital to the progression of this new venture. • Harley may have to consider changing it’s image to accommodate a new product line. 37
  • 38. Success of the ATV strategy will be assessed through financial and customer measures… ATV Strategy – Financial and Customer Measures Measurement Area Baseline Target Financial 1. The R&D within 1. R&D under $95,000 budget $100,000 2. Total budget 2. Total budget stays $1,930,000 under 1,930,000 3. Earnings per share** 3. Earnings per share** 4. Profit Margin** 4. Profit Margin** Customer 1. ATV is affordable 1. Affordable, yet good 2. Under $10,000 quality ($4,000-10,000) 2. Price competes with 3. Track amount of competitors purchases 3. 10,000 ATVs made and sold every year 38
  • 39. …as well as through business process, and innovation and learning measures ATV Strategy – Business Process and Innovation and Learning Measures Measurement Area Baseline Target Business Process 1. Effective and efficient 1. Comparable to biggest operations while staying under competition in the market budget 2. Operations fulfilling 2. Keep operations under production needs of 10,00 ATVs budget 3. Keep Inventory turnover 3. Inventory turnover 8.42** 8.42 ** 4. Cash Conversion Cycle** 4. Cash Conversion Cycle** Innovation and Learning 1. Track new product lines emerging 1. Research 4 new product lines in on the market depth every year 2. Track customer wants and needs 2. Research recent ATV trends every in ATV (survey 1 per year) 6 months 3. Research customer feedback on 3. Track feedback on competitors ATVs (2 surveys per year) (Compile once per year) 4. 0 people trained 4. Train 2 people per store 5. Duration** (4 years 9 months) 5. Duration** 4 years target according to task descriptions in section5 39
  • 40. Harley-Davidson’s five year projected inflows and outflows for the ATV strategy… Implementation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total Initial investment ($34,350,000) $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 ($34,350,000) Cost of goods sold $0 ($37,500,000) ($75,000,000) ($112,500,000) ($135,000,000) ($105,000,000) ($465,000,000) Sales $0 $50,000,000 $100,000,000 $150,000,000 $180,000,000 $140,000,000 $620,000,000 Net per year ($34,350,000) $12,500,000 $25,000,000 $37,500,000 $45,000,000 $35,000,000 $120,650,000 Team estimates 40
  • 41. …will provide a ROI of 24% • Inflows: $620,000,000. • Outflows: $499,350,000. • ROI: (620,000,000 – 499,350,000) = 24% 499,350,000 41