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Swedbank’s first quarter 2013 results
Michael Wolf, CEO
        Wolf
Göran Bronner, CFO
Håkan Berg, CRO
Retail banking

Customer requirements drive new ways of banking
           q                      y           g
• Focus on functionality and ease of use


million
                 Monthly logins Swedbank and Savings Banks
30


25


20


15


10


5


0
Jan 2010             Jan 2011                 Jan 2012       Jan 2013
                            Mobile bank   Internet bank




                                                                        2
Swedbank and Savings Banks

Fast increase of digital usage
                   g        g
•   Internet Bank, private and corporate (since March 1997)
     – Number of users: >3.5 million

•   Mobile Bank, private (since Dec 2009)
     – Number of users: >1.3 million

•   Mobile Bank Youth (since March 2013)
     – Number of users: 6 700

•   Mobile Bank Corporate (since March 2013)
     – Number of users: >8 000

•   Ipad (since Oct 2012)
     – Number of users: >200 000

•   Swish (since Dec 2012)
          (              )
     – Number of users: ~100 000




                                                              3
Retail

Stable results
SEKm                  Q1 12   Q4 12   Q1 13   ▲ Q/Q   ▲ Y/Y   • Stable NII
Net interest income   3 371   3 353   3 332     -21     -39

Net commissions       1 538   1 554   1 589      35      51   • Solid asset quality
Total income          5 346   5 255   5 377     122      31

Total
T t l expenses        2 429   2 474   2 406     -68
                                                 68     -23
                                                         23   • New organisation
Profit before
                      2 917   2 781   2 971     190      54
impairments
Credit impairments      21      91      55      -36      34




ROE, %                 28.4    28.0    27.9

C/I ratio
      ti               0.45
                       0 45    0.47
                               0 47    0.45
                                       0 45




                                                                                      4
Large Corporates & Institutions

Good return
SEKm                     Q1 12   Q4 12   Q1 13   ▲ Q/Q   ▲ Y/Y   • Stable NII
Net interest income       728     795     783      -12      55

Net commissions           485     536     419     -117     -66   • Low activity in Corporate
Total income             2 071   1 857   1 814     -43    -257     Finance
Expenses excl variable
   pe ses e c a ab e
                          661     668     646      -22
                                                    22     -15
                                                            15
staff costs
Variable staff costs      105      75      88       13     -17   • Structural challenges in
Profit before
impairments
                         1 305   1 114   1 080     -34    -225     Equities
                                                                    q
Credit impairments         17     162      74      -88      57

                                                                 • Solid credit quality
ROE, %                    18.9    18.3    16.7

C/I ratio                 0.37    0.40    0.40




                                                                                               5
Baltic Banking

Focus on costs
SEKm                  Q1 12   Q4 12   Q1 13   ▲ Q/Q   ▲ Y/Y   • Stable NII in local currency
Net interest income    910     760     742      -18    -168

Net commissions        386     366     388       22       2   • Increased customer activity
Total income          1 468   1 289   1 281      -8    -187

Total
T t l expenses         629     633     586      -47
                                                 47      43
                                                        -43   • Recoveries
Profit before
                       839     656     695       39    -144
impairments
Credit impairments     -134    -329     -70    -259     -64   • Increased efficiency in focus

ROE, %                 14.6    13.3    12.6

C/I ratio
      ti               0.43
                       0 43    0.49
                               0 49    0.46
                                       0 46




                                                                                                6
Group results

Robust earnings
             g
SEKm                            Q1 12   Q4 12   Q1 13   ▲Q/Q    ▲Y/Y    • Stable NII
Net interest income             4 895   5 346   5 353      7     458
                                                                           – Repricing
Net commission income           2 398   2 502   2 388    -114     -10
                                                                           – Funding costs
Net gains and losses              979     830     557    -273    -422

Total income                    9 072   9 437   9 082    -355     10
                                                                           – Lower deposit margins
Total expenses                  4 327   4 142   4 043     -99    -284

Profit before impairments       4 745   5 295   5 039    -256    294
                                                                        • Net gains and losses
Impairment of tangible assets     40     141      85     -56      45      one-off gain in Q4 12
                                                                                  g
Credit impairments                -96     -76     60     136    -156

Tax                             1 108    786     976     190    -132    • Lower costs
Profit from continued ops.      3 693   4 427   3 918    -509    225

Profit from discontinued ops.    -279    -174    -390    -216    -111
                                                                        • Continued good asset quality
Profit for the period           3 410   4 252   3 525    -727    115


Return on equity, %              14.1    16.9    13.8                   • Ukraine and Russia
ROE continuing operations, %     15.3    17.5    15.3                     discontinued operations
Cost/income ratio                0.48    0.44    0.45




                                                                                                         7
Capital situation

Continued strengthening capital position
               g      g p       p
                  Common Tier 1 capital ratio
                                                                                • 13-15% CET1
 Basel 2*        Basel 3                                  16.7       17.3
                                                                         16.4
                                                             15.4
                                                             15 4
* As of 2012 incl. IAS 19
                                                                                • CRD/CRR IV – less impact

                                                                                • IRB Advanced

                                                                                • Waiting for regulatory clarity

  2007       2008       2009        2010       2011        2012      Q1 13

                     Changes in B3 CET1 ratio Q4-Q1

                                                0.55%                 16.38%

                                    0.24%                   -0.13
             0.14%      0.14%
  15.45%




 Q4 2012    Profit Q1   IAS 19      RWA         SME &       Other    Q1 2013
                                  change Q1      CVA       Basel 3
                                              (Basel 3)   changes
                               Increase    Decrease

                                                                                                                   8
Strong credit quality
     g        q     y
Credit impairments, SEKm                Q1 12        Q4 12        Q1 13    • Continued high credit quality
Retail                                     21           91           55
                                                                             in Sweden
Large Corporates & Institutions            17          162           74

Baltic Banking                           -134         -329          -70    • Slower net recoveries in
     Estonia
     E t i                                 -78
                                            78        -242
                                                       242          -54
                                                                     54
                                                                             Baltic Banking
                                                                             B lti B ki
     Latvia                                -21          86            4

     Lithuania                             -35        -173          -20
                                                                           • Exiting Russia and Ukraine
                                                                                   g
Swedbank Group                             -96          -76          60

SEKbn                    Impaired loans
35  31.7
30

25

20

15
                                                                   10.3
10

 5

 0
     Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12              Q4 12 Q1 13*
* Russia and Ukraine reported as discontinued operations.

                                                                                                             9
Swedbank’s first quarter 2013 results
Q&A
Appendix
Loans past due 60 days – performance Q/Q
      p             y    p

EURm



                       Estonia                                   Latvia                                   Lithuania
 50

  0

 -50

-100

-150

-200

-250
       Q1 12
           2


               Q2 12
                   2


                        Q3 12
                            2


                                 Q4 12
                                     2


                                         Q1 13
                                             3




                                                 Q1 12
                                                     2


                                                         Q2 12
                                                             2


                                                                  Q3 12
                                                                      2


                                                                          Q4 12
                                                                              2


                                                                                  Q1 13
                                                                                      3




                                                                                          Q1 12
                                                                                              2


                                                                                                  Q2 12
                                                                                                      2


                                                                                                            Q3 12
                                                                                                                2


                                                                                                                    Q4 12
                                                                                                                        2


                                                                                                                            Q1 13
                                                                                                                                3
                                                                                                                                    12
Provisions – well provided for
                  p

SEKm
25 000                                                                                                     Provision ratios, %   Q1 13
                                                                                                           Retail                  70
20 000                                                                                                     LC&I                    76

                  65.0%                  63.7%              65.2%                                          Baltic Banking          52
                                                                               61.9%
                                                                                                  57.0%    Group                   57
15 000
                 2 478
                                         2 040
                 11 915                                     1 774
10 000                                   10 951
                                                            9 934
                                                                               1 545
                                                                               7 077
 5 000                                                                                             1 420
                                                                                                   4 429

      0
                 Q1 12                   Q2 12              Q3 12              Q4 12              Q1 13*
                 Individual provisions                 Portf olio provisions           Provision ratio

* Russia and Ukraine reported as discontinued operations.




                                                                                                                                    13
Credit portfolio - Retail

Corporate portfolio drives capital efficiency
   p      p                  p              y
          Total portfolio SEK 222bn                 Segments excl. Swedbank          Volume   Secured
                                                    Mortgage and Swedbank Finance   (SEKbn)       (%)
                                                    Agriculture
                                                    A i lt                              5.9
                                                                                        59        81
                                                    Manufacturing                       9.7       74
                                                    Public sector and utilities         5.1       92

                             94                     Construction                        4.7       82
             104
                                                    Retail                              9.0       88
                                                    Transportation                      1.9       85
                                                    Shipping                            0.1       95
                                                    Hotels and restaurants              3.1       91
                        24
                                                    Information & communication         0.9       46
                             Swedbank Mortgage AB   Finance and insurance               2.0       66
                             Swedbank Finans AB
                                                    Property management               49.4        97
                             Other
                                                    Professional service                6.7       65
                                                    Other                               6.0       72
                                                    Total                            104.4        87




                                                                                                        14
Credit portfolio – Large Corporates & Institutions

Shipping and Offshore
   pp g                                                                              SEKbn
                                                                                                         Shipping and Offshore
                                                                                                                g
                                                                                                                  -3.0%
                                                                                                                                      -3.0%
                                                                                    30
•   Exposure to Shipping & Offshore                                                             24       26        25
                                                                                                                             24            23
    sector was SEK 23.5bn plus                                                                                                             4
                                                                                    20
    unutilised commitments of SEK 7.7bn                                                                                                    5

    – Portfolio duration 4-5y
                                                                                    10
    – Average fleet age 7y
            g          g y                                                                                                                 15

    – Strong employment profiles
                                                                                     0
                                                                                            Q1-12       Q2-12     Q3-12    Q4-12          Q1-13

                                                                                                       Offshore   Tanker   Other

            Shipping and Offshore Portfolio by subsegment
                                                                                                Shipping and Offshore portfolio by currency
                     RORO                       1.6                                        bn
                  Container               0.9
                                                                                         JPY
                    Dry bulk          0.7                                                                                         Q1-13

           Gas (LNG/LPG)                    1.4                                                                                   Q4-12
                                                                  Q1-13
                   Crude oil          0.7                                                NOK

                    Product                           2.3         Q4-12
                   Chemical         0.2                                                  USD
        Floating p
               g production                         1.9

           Accommodation                   1.2
                                                                                         EUR
                     Supply                                 3.5

                 Oil service                    1.6

       Drilling & exploration                                             6.8            SEK

                      Cruise         0.5
                                     05
                                                                                                0         5         10         15               20
                                0               2           4     6             8
                     SEKbn


                                                                                                                                                     15
Credit portfolio

Agriculture
 g
                                               • Segmentation definitions
                                                  –   Corporate Agriculture: Businesses
                                                      that derive their main income from
         Private:
        Residential                                   agricultural activities
          20%                                     –   Private Investments: Private individuals who
                                                      own agricultural p p
                                                            g           properties for residential or
                                                      investment purposes

                                 Agriculture
                                    45%

                                               • Lending to the agricultural sector
    Private:
    Forestry
                                                 SEK 63.3bn
     22%                                          –   Corporate Agriculture: (58%)
                                                        • Agriculture 45%
                                                        • Forestry 13%
                      Forestry
                       13%                        –   Private Investments (42%)
                                                        • Residential: 20%
                                                        • Forestry: 22%




                                                                                                        16
Liquidity and funding

Core balance sheet* structure
                  Assets                                         Liabilities
SEKbn                                                    SEKbn
1 400                                                    1 400
                                                                               Suppl. cap
                                                                               S
                                                                               CET1
                                                                               Government guaranteed debt
1 200                                                    1 200                 Senior
                                   Estonia
                                   CEE lending

1 000                              Other corporate       1 000
                                   lending, Sweden &
                                                                               Deposits
                                   other Nordics

 800                                                      800
                                   Other i t S d
                                   Oth private, Sweden



 600                                                      600


                                   Swedish
                                   mortgage loans         400
 400
                                                                               Covered
                                                                               bonds
 200                                                      200



   0                                                        0
                    Q1 2013                                          Q1 2013

* Simplified balance sheet
Source: Swedbank, 31 March, 2013
                                                                                                            17
Liquidity and funding

Senior unsecured debt strategy
                            gy
• Limited need given Swedbank’s balance sheet structure
• Secure OC
• Fund liquidity reserves

        Senior unsecured debt maturity profile                                                          House price sensitivity of the cover pool
SEKbn                         Senior unsecured debt                                              40%

60
                                                                                                 30%
                                                                                                                                             OC, Q113




                                                                                          tion
                                                                                                 20%




                                                                         ver-collateralisat
40

                                                                                                 10%


                                                                                                  0%



                                                                        Ov
20

                                                                                                 -10%


 0                                                                                               -20%
                                                                                                  20%
       2013       2014       2015       2016      2017   2018   2019-                                    0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% -40% -45% -50%
Source: Swedbank, 31 March, 2013, nominal amounts                                                                        House price drop

                                                                                                                                                          18
Liquidity and funding

Lower funding needs
            g
• LCR 139% (Swedish FSA definition FFFS 2012:6)
• NSFR 93%
• Expanded investor base

      Term funding issuance – completed and planned
SEKbn
SEKb                         Covered bonds     Senior unsecured
120

100

 80

 60

 40

 20

  0




Source: Swedbank, 31 March, 2013, nominal amounts
                                                                  19
Liquidity and funding

Conservative funding plan
                   gp
• Issued SEK 40bn of term-funding in Q1
• Term funding plan in 2013 of SEK 120bn full year
                                   120bn, full-year
  maturities of SEK 86bn


 SEKm           Issued long-term debt                                      SEKm         Outstanding short-term debt
 70 000                                                                    60 000

 60 000                                                                    50 000

 50 000
                                                                           40 000
 40 000                                                          FY 2012
                                                                 Q1 13     30 000                                                    Q4 12
 30 000
                                                                           20 000                                                    Q1 13
 20 000

 10 000                                                                    10 000


      0                                                                        0
           Domestic   Euro CB   USD CB    Other CB     Senior                       Domestic CP   ECP/CD   USCP   Yankee CD   French CD
             CB                 (144A)               unsecured

Source: Swedbank, 31 March, 2013, nominal amounts
                                                                                                                                             20
Liquidity and funding

Long-term funding maturity p
   g            g        y profile
• FY 2013 maturities amount to nominal SEK 86bn, of which
  SEK 46bn for the remainder of 2013




       Long-term funding maturity profile
SEKbn
200                                                  Government
                                                     guaranteed debt
                                                     Senior unsecured
150
                                                     debt
                                                     Covered bonds

100



 50



   0
         2013      2014         2015   2016   2017    2018     2019
                                                               2019-


Source: Swedbank Mar 31, 2013

                                                                        21
Liquidity and funding

Limited need for USD-funding
                           g
•       USD-funding need covered for more than 12 months
•       Issued USD 1bn of covered bonds (144a) and USD 1bn of senior (144a) YTD 2013
                                        (    )                       (    )

SEKbn
300
                                               Interest-bearing securities


250
                                               Lending to the public


200
                                               Loans to credit institutions



150                                            Cash and balances with
                                               central banks


100                                            Deposits and borrowings
                                               from the public


50                                             Amounts owed to credit
                                               institutions


                                               Debt securities in issue
    0
            Assets               Liabilities
Source: Swedbank Fact book, Mar 31, 2013
                                                                                       22
Liquidity and funding

Liquidity reserve
  q     y
According to the template defined by the Swedish Bankers' Association



                                                                                                                    SEKm
Cash and holdings in central banks                                                                               210 251
Deposits in other banks available overnight                                                                        1 290
Securities issued or guaranteed by sovereigns, central banks or multilateral development banks                    27 751
Securities issued or guaranteed by municipalities or Public sector entities                                          378
Covered bonds                                                                                                     58 284
    - Issued by other institutions                                                                                58 284
    - Own issued
Securities issued by non-financial corporates
Securities issued by financial corporates (excl. covered bonds)
                   y                      (                   )                                                     2 532
Other
       1
Total                                                                                                            300 486

                                  2,
                                  2 3
Additional li id assets, G
Additi   l liquid    t Group                                                                                      56 472




1   95% of the securities in the liquidity reserve per Q1 2013 are rated AAA
2 84% of the additional liquid assets fulfill the Liquidity Reserve definition by the Swedish Bankers’ Association except for
the fact that they are held outside the Treasury department.
3 82% of the additional assets are rated AAA


Source: Swedbank Fact book, 31 March, 2013
                                                                                                                                23
Liquidity and funding

Prolonged survival horizon
      g


SEKbn
      SEKbn
300


250


200


150


100


 50


  0
      0   20   40     60                                                          365
                           80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360
      Days forw ard                       Days forward




Source: Swedbank 31 March, 2013

                                                                                        24
Liquidity and funding

Conservative liquidity levels
               q     y
• Short-term funding mainly a tool for cash management
• More than 12 months pre funded
                      pre-funded



SEKbn
400                                                                400
350                                                                350
                                                  Additional pledgeable
300                                                                300
                                                  and/or liquid assets
                                                                             Next 12-month term
250                                                               250
                                                                  1         funding maturities
                                                                            f
                                                  Liquidity reserve,
200                                               securities       200
                                                                            CP / CDs and net
150                                                                1
                                                                   150      interbank funding,
                                                  Liquidity reserve,
                                                  central bank deposits
                                                                deposits,   SEKm
100                                               SEKm             100
    50                                                              50
    0                                                                 0
1As defined by the Swedish Bankers’ Association
Source: Swedbank 31 March, 2013

                                                                                                  25
Liquidity and funding

Asset encumbrance
Encum bered assets - distribution by type of liability (row ) and asset (colum n)
                                         Central banks                     Debt
                                                    and             instruments      Securities
                            Government supranational                  issued by      issued by
                                   debt            debt    Covered        credit corporate and                    Mortgage
SEKm                          s u e s
                            instruments      s u e s
                                           instruments        bo ds
                                                              bonds institutions other issuers
                                                                       s u o s o e ssue s                  ABS
                                                                                                             S        oa s
                                                                                                                     loans    Cas
                                                                                                                              Cash       Total

Central bank funding                                                                                                                         0
Intraday settlement                   1 028                      10 772                                                                 11 800
Repurchase agreements 1)             18 448                      12 765                                                                 31 213
Derivative 2)                            74                       1 949                                                      13 125     15 148
Covered bonds 3)                                                                                                   514 795             514 795
Other 4)                                                              0        736                                          284          1 020
Total                                19 550                 0    25 486        736               0             0 514 795 13 409        573 976

Financial assets pledged for insurance policy holders                                                                                  109 813

Unencum bered assets - additional assets available for secured funding
                                       Central banks                   Debt
                                                 and            instruments      Securities
                          Government supranational                issued by      issued by
                                  debt          debt    Covered       credit corporate and                        Mortgage
SEKm                       instruments   instruments      bonds institutions other issuers                 ABS       loans    Cash       Total

Securities 5, 6)
             , )                     30 948             11 213   73 812     12 671           8 238          984                        137 866
Cover pool over
collateralisation 7)                                                                                            192 782                192 782
Cover pool eligible assets 8)                                                                                    12 031                 12 031
Total                                30 948             11 213   73 812     12 671           8 238          984 204 813           0    342 679

Total assets                                                                                                                          1 917 227

1) Repoed securities on balance sheet.                                    6) All type of securities, including securities non pledgeable at central
2) Collateral posted under CSA agreements, gross (3-year, SEKm,           banks, of w hich 80% are rated AAA, 2% are rated below A-
High: 21 572, Low : 10 945, Average: 13 975).                             and 8% are not rated.
3) Of w hich accrued interest of assets in the cover pool, SEK 2 389m     7) Of w hich accrued interest of assets in the cover pool
as of Q1 2013                                                             overcollateralisation, SEK 831m as of Q1 2013
4) Collateral pledged in securities lending activities and w ith          8) Type of loans; Residential 84.3%, Forestry & Agriculture 15.4%,
exchanges                                                                 Commercial 0.3%.
5) Reversed repos are included.
 Source: Swedbank Fact book Q1 2013

                                                                                                                                                      26
Swedish housing and mortgage market

Swedish mortgage market
            g g
•    No securitisation (on balance sheet), no sub-prime market, no 3rd party origination, insignificant
     buy-to-let market

•    70% home ownership1

•    Rental market is regulated

•    Transparent credit information (credit information agency, www.uc.se)
      – Publicly available information regarding income, debt, payment track record etc

•    Consumer credit legislation requires affordability calculations including stress test of higher interest
     rate

•    Very limited debt forgiveness possibilities (full recourse)

•    Strong social security and generous unemployment benefit system




1 Source:   Boverket, 2011

                                                                                                            27
Swedish housing and mortgage market

Real estate prices – Sweden 12 months development
            p                               p
             Single-family homes1          Tenant-owner rights2             Combined3
                            12M Δ                        12M Δ                 12M Δ


 Apr/12                             -2%                          2%                  -1%

 May/12                             -2%                          3%                  -1%

 Jun/12                             -1%
                                     1%                          4%                   0%

  Jul/12                             0%                          4%                   1%

 Aug/12                              2%                          4%                   3%

 Sep/12                              2%                          5%                   3%

 Oct/12                              1%                          6%                   3%

 Nov/12                              3%                          7%                   4%

 Dec/12                              4%                          7%                   6%

 Jan/13                              3%                          7%                   5%

 Feb/13                              4%                          7%                   5%

 Mar/13                              3%                          7%                   5%


Source: Valuegard www.valuegard.se (Based on data from Mäklarstatistik), 1 HOXHOUSESWE, 2 HOXFLATSWE, 3 HOXSWE

                                                                                                                 28
0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       800
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1800




                                                                                                       1 000
                                                                                                               1 200
                                                                                                                       1 400
                                                                                                                               1 600
                                                                                                                                       1 800




                                                                           0
                                                                               200
                                                                                     400
                                                                                           600
                                                                                                 800
                                                                     Ja
                                                                      an-05                                                                                                                            J an-05

                                                                     J ul-05                                                                                                                           J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-05

                                                                     Ja
                                                                      an-06                                                                                                                            J an-06

                                                                     J ul-06                                                                                                                           J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-06
                                                                      an-07
                                                                     Ja                                                                                                                                J an-07
                                                                     J ul-07
                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-07
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Real estate prices




                                                                     Ja
                                                                      an-08




                                                                                                                                                         Source: Swedbank, Estonian Land Board
                                                                                                                                                                                                       J an-08
                                                                     J ul-08




                                      Nr.of deals
                                                                                                                                                                                         Nr.of deals
                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-08
                                                                      an-09
                                                                     Ja
                                                                                                                                                                                                       J an-09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Baltic countries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Tallinn




                                                                                                                                               Vilnius
                                                                     J ul-09




     Source: Swedbank, State Enterprise Centre of Registers
                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-09
                                                                     Ja
                                                                      an-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                       J an-10
                                                                     J ul-10




                                                            EUR/m2
                                                                                                                                                                                  EUR/m2               J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-10
                                                                     Ja
                                                                      an-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                       J an-11
                                                                     J ul-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-11
                                                                     Ja
                                                                      an-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                       J an-12
                                                                     J ul-12

                                                                      an-13
                                                                     Ja                                                                                                                                J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-12

                                                                                                                                                                                                       J an-13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1 000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1 200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1 400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1 600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1 800




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       800




                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-05

                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-05

                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-06

                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-06
                                                                                                                                                     Source: Land book database




                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-07

                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-07

                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-08
                                                                                                                                                                                  Nr.of deals




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-08

                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Riga




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-09

                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-10
                                                                                                                                                                                  EUR/m2




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-10

                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-11

                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-11

                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-12

                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-12

                                                                                                                                                                                                       J
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan-13
29
Mortgage loans, gross margin (3 months)
    g g         g        g (          )
%

6




5




4

                                                                                                                     Net margin

3
                                                                                                                The gross margin covers:
                                                                                                                Cost of liquidity ~0.2%
2
                                                                                                                Administrative costs ~0.3%
                                                                                                                Credit i
                                                                                                                C dit impairments ~ 0.03%
                                                                                                                            i      t   0 03%
                                                                                                                Tax (22 % on profit before tax)

1




0
 2003       2004       2005     2006      2007       2008    2009       2010     2011      2012          2013

        Gross margin      Swedbank's f unding cost    Stibor 3 months     Swedish Riksbank's repo rate



                                                                                                                                                  30

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Swedbank reports stable Q1 results

  • 1. Swedbank’s first quarter 2013 results Michael Wolf, CEO Wolf Göran Bronner, CFO Håkan Berg, CRO
  • 2. Retail banking Customer requirements drive new ways of banking q y g • Focus on functionality and ease of use million Monthly logins Swedbank and Savings Banks 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Jan 2010 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Jan 2013 Mobile bank Internet bank 2
  • 3. Swedbank and Savings Banks Fast increase of digital usage g g • Internet Bank, private and corporate (since March 1997) – Number of users: >3.5 million • Mobile Bank, private (since Dec 2009) – Number of users: >1.3 million • Mobile Bank Youth (since March 2013) – Number of users: 6 700 • Mobile Bank Corporate (since March 2013) – Number of users: >8 000 • Ipad (since Oct 2012) – Number of users: >200 000 • Swish (since Dec 2012) ( ) – Number of users: ~100 000 3
  • 4. Retail Stable results SEKm Q1 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 ▲ Q/Q ▲ Y/Y • Stable NII Net interest income 3 371 3 353 3 332 -21 -39 Net commissions 1 538 1 554 1 589 35 51 • Solid asset quality Total income 5 346 5 255 5 377 122 31 Total T t l expenses 2 429 2 474 2 406 -68 68 -23 23 • New organisation Profit before 2 917 2 781 2 971 190 54 impairments Credit impairments 21 91 55 -36 34 ROE, % 28.4 28.0 27.9 C/I ratio ti 0.45 0 45 0.47 0 47 0.45 0 45 4
  • 5. Large Corporates & Institutions Good return SEKm Q1 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 ▲ Q/Q ▲ Y/Y • Stable NII Net interest income 728 795 783 -12 55 Net commissions 485 536 419 -117 -66 • Low activity in Corporate Total income 2 071 1 857 1 814 -43 -257 Finance Expenses excl variable pe ses e c a ab e 661 668 646 -22 22 -15 15 staff costs Variable staff costs 105 75 88 13 -17 • Structural challenges in Profit before impairments 1 305 1 114 1 080 -34 -225 Equities q Credit impairments 17 162 74 -88 57 • Solid credit quality ROE, % 18.9 18.3 16.7 C/I ratio 0.37 0.40 0.40 5
  • 6. Baltic Banking Focus on costs SEKm Q1 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 ▲ Q/Q ▲ Y/Y • Stable NII in local currency Net interest income 910 760 742 -18 -168 Net commissions 386 366 388 22 2 • Increased customer activity Total income 1 468 1 289 1 281 -8 -187 Total T t l expenses 629 633 586 -47 47 43 -43 • Recoveries Profit before 839 656 695 39 -144 impairments Credit impairments -134 -329 -70 -259 -64 • Increased efficiency in focus ROE, % 14.6 13.3 12.6 C/I ratio ti 0.43 0 43 0.49 0 49 0.46 0 46 6
  • 7. Group results Robust earnings g SEKm Q1 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 ▲Q/Q ▲Y/Y • Stable NII Net interest income 4 895 5 346 5 353 7 458 – Repricing Net commission income 2 398 2 502 2 388 -114 -10 – Funding costs Net gains and losses 979 830 557 -273 -422 Total income 9 072 9 437 9 082 -355 10 – Lower deposit margins Total expenses 4 327 4 142 4 043 -99 -284 Profit before impairments 4 745 5 295 5 039 -256 294 • Net gains and losses Impairment of tangible assets 40 141 85 -56 45 one-off gain in Q4 12 g Credit impairments -96 -76 60 136 -156 Tax 1 108 786 976 190 -132 • Lower costs Profit from continued ops. 3 693 4 427 3 918 -509 225 Profit from discontinued ops. -279 -174 -390 -216 -111 • Continued good asset quality Profit for the period 3 410 4 252 3 525 -727 115 Return on equity, % 14.1 16.9 13.8 • Ukraine and Russia ROE continuing operations, % 15.3 17.5 15.3 discontinued operations Cost/income ratio 0.48 0.44 0.45 7
  • 8. Capital situation Continued strengthening capital position g g p p Common Tier 1 capital ratio • 13-15% CET1 Basel 2* Basel 3 16.7 17.3 16.4 15.4 15 4 * As of 2012 incl. IAS 19 • CRD/CRR IV – less impact • IRB Advanced • Waiting for regulatory clarity 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q1 13 Changes in B3 CET1 ratio Q4-Q1 0.55% 16.38% 0.24% -0.13 0.14% 0.14% 15.45% Q4 2012 Profit Q1 IAS 19 RWA SME & Other Q1 2013 change Q1 CVA Basel 3 (Basel 3) changes Increase Decrease 8
  • 9. Strong credit quality g q y Credit impairments, SEKm Q1 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 • Continued high credit quality Retail 21 91 55 in Sweden Large Corporates & Institutions 17 162 74 Baltic Banking -134 -329 -70 • Slower net recoveries in Estonia E t i -78 78 -242 242 -54 54 Baltic Banking B lti B ki Latvia -21 86 4 Lithuania -35 -173 -20 • Exiting Russia and Ukraine g Swedbank Group -96 -76 60 SEKbn Impaired loans 35 31.7 30 25 20 15 10.3 10 5 0 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13* * Russia and Ukraine reported as discontinued operations. 9
  • 10. Swedbank’s first quarter 2013 results Q&A
  • 12. Loans past due 60 days – performance Q/Q p y p EURm Estonia Latvia Lithuania 50 0 -50 -100 -150 -200 -250 Q1 12 2 Q2 12 2 Q3 12 2 Q4 12 2 Q1 13 3 Q1 12 2 Q2 12 2 Q3 12 2 Q4 12 2 Q1 13 3 Q1 12 2 Q2 12 2 Q3 12 2 Q4 12 2 Q1 13 3 12
  • 13. Provisions – well provided for p SEKm 25 000 Provision ratios, % Q1 13 Retail 70 20 000 LC&I 76 65.0% 63.7% 65.2% Baltic Banking 52 61.9% 57.0% Group 57 15 000 2 478 2 040 11 915 1 774 10 000 10 951 9 934 1 545 7 077 5 000 1 420 4 429 0 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13* Individual provisions Portf olio provisions Provision ratio * Russia and Ukraine reported as discontinued operations. 13
  • 14. Credit portfolio - Retail Corporate portfolio drives capital efficiency p p p y Total portfolio SEK 222bn Segments excl. Swedbank Volume Secured Mortgage and Swedbank Finance (SEKbn) (%) Agriculture A i lt 5.9 59 81 Manufacturing 9.7 74 Public sector and utilities 5.1 92 94 Construction 4.7 82 104 Retail 9.0 88 Transportation 1.9 85 Shipping 0.1 95 Hotels and restaurants 3.1 91 24 Information & communication 0.9 46 Swedbank Mortgage AB Finance and insurance 2.0 66 Swedbank Finans AB Property management 49.4 97 Other Professional service 6.7 65 Other 6.0 72 Total 104.4 87 14
  • 15. Credit portfolio – Large Corporates & Institutions Shipping and Offshore pp g SEKbn Shipping and Offshore g -3.0% -3.0% 30 • Exposure to Shipping & Offshore 24 26 25 24 23 sector was SEK 23.5bn plus 4 20 unutilised commitments of SEK 7.7bn 5 – Portfolio duration 4-5y 10 – Average fleet age 7y g g y 15 – Strong employment profiles 0 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q1-13 Offshore Tanker Other Shipping and Offshore Portfolio by subsegment Shipping and Offshore portfolio by currency RORO 1.6 bn Container 0.9 JPY Dry bulk 0.7 Q1-13 Gas (LNG/LPG) 1.4 Q4-12 Q1-13 Crude oil 0.7 NOK Product 2.3 Q4-12 Chemical 0.2 USD Floating p g production 1.9 Accommodation 1.2 EUR Supply 3.5 Oil service 1.6 Drilling & exploration 6.8 SEK Cruise 0.5 05 0 5 10 15 20 0 2 4 6 8 SEKbn 15
  • 16. Credit portfolio Agriculture g • Segmentation definitions – Corporate Agriculture: Businesses that derive their main income from Private: Residential agricultural activities 20% – Private Investments: Private individuals who own agricultural p p g properties for residential or investment purposes Agriculture 45% • Lending to the agricultural sector Private: Forestry SEK 63.3bn 22% – Corporate Agriculture: (58%) • Agriculture 45% • Forestry 13% Forestry 13% – Private Investments (42%) • Residential: 20% • Forestry: 22% 16
  • 17. Liquidity and funding Core balance sheet* structure Assets Liabilities SEKbn SEKbn 1 400 1 400 Suppl. cap S CET1 Government guaranteed debt 1 200 1 200 Senior Estonia CEE lending 1 000 Other corporate 1 000 lending, Sweden & Deposits other Nordics 800 800 Other i t S d Oth private, Sweden 600 600 Swedish mortgage loans 400 400 Covered bonds 200 200 0 0 Q1 2013 Q1 2013 * Simplified balance sheet Source: Swedbank, 31 March, 2013 17
  • 18. Liquidity and funding Senior unsecured debt strategy gy • Limited need given Swedbank’s balance sheet structure • Secure OC • Fund liquidity reserves Senior unsecured debt maturity profile House price sensitivity of the cover pool SEKbn Senior unsecured debt 40% 60 30% OC, Q113 tion 20% ver-collateralisat 40 10% 0% Ov 20 -10% 0 -20% 20% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019- 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% -40% -45% -50% Source: Swedbank, 31 March, 2013, nominal amounts House price drop 18
  • 19. Liquidity and funding Lower funding needs g • LCR 139% (Swedish FSA definition FFFS 2012:6) • NSFR 93% • Expanded investor base Term funding issuance – completed and planned SEKbn SEKb Covered bonds Senior unsecured 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Source: Swedbank, 31 March, 2013, nominal amounts 19
  • 20. Liquidity and funding Conservative funding plan gp • Issued SEK 40bn of term-funding in Q1 • Term funding plan in 2013 of SEK 120bn full year 120bn, full-year maturities of SEK 86bn SEKm Issued long-term debt SEKm Outstanding short-term debt 70 000 60 000 60 000 50 000 50 000 40 000 40 000 FY 2012 Q1 13 30 000 Q4 12 30 000 20 000 Q1 13 20 000 10 000 10 000 0 0 Domestic Euro CB USD CB Other CB Senior Domestic CP ECP/CD USCP Yankee CD French CD CB (144A) unsecured Source: Swedbank, 31 March, 2013, nominal amounts 20
  • 21. Liquidity and funding Long-term funding maturity p g g y profile • FY 2013 maturities amount to nominal SEK 86bn, of which SEK 46bn for the remainder of 2013 Long-term funding maturity profile SEKbn 200 Government guaranteed debt Senior unsecured 150 debt Covered bonds 100 50 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2019- Source: Swedbank Mar 31, 2013 21
  • 22. Liquidity and funding Limited need for USD-funding g • USD-funding need covered for more than 12 months • Issued USD 1bn of covered bonds (144a) and USD 1bn of senior (144a) YTD 2013 ( ) ( ) SEKbn 300 Interest-bearing securities 250 Lending to the public 200 Loans to credit institutions 150 Cash and balances with central banks 100 Deposits and borrowings from the public 50 Amounts owed to credit institutions Debt securities in issue 0 Assets Liabilities Source: Swedbank Fact book, Mar 31, 2013 22
  • 23. Liquidity and funding Liquidity reserve q y According to the template defined by the Swedish Bankers' Association SEKm Cash and holdings in central banks 210 251 Deposits in other banks available overnight 1 290 Securities issued or guaranteed by sovereigns, central banks or multilateral development banks 27 751 Securities issued or guaranteed by municipalities or Public sector entities 378 Covered bonds 58 284 - Issued by other institutions 58 284 - Own issued Securities issued by non-financial corporates Securities issued by financial corporates (excl. covered bonds) y ( ) 2 532 Other 1 Total 300 486 2, 2 3 Additional li id assets, G Additi l liquid t Group 56 472 1 95% of the securities in the liquidity reserve per Q1 2013 are rated AAA 2 84% of the additional liquid assets fulfill the Liquidity Reserve definition by the Swedish Bankers’ Association except for the fact that they are held outside the Treasury department. 3 82% of the additional assets are rated AAA Source: Swedbank Fact book, 31 March, 2013 23
  • 24. Liquidity and funding Prolonged survival horizon g SEKbn SEKbn 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 20 40 60 365 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 Days forw ard Days forward Source: Swedbank 31 March, 2013 24
  • 25. Liquidity and funding Conservative liquidity levels q y • Short-term funding mainly a tool for cash management • More than 12 months pre funded pre-funded SEKbn 400 400 350 350 Additional pledgeable 300 300 and/or liquid assets Next 12-month term 250 250 1 funding maturities f Liquidity reserve, 200 securities 200 CP / CDs and net 150 1 150 interbank funding, Liquidity reserve, central bank deposits deposits, SEKm 100 SEKm 100 50 50 0 0 1As defined by the Swedish Bankers’ Association Source: Swedbank 31 March, 2013 25
  • 26. Liquidity and funding Asset encumbrance Encum bered assets - distribution by type of liability (row ) and asset (colum n) Central banks Debt and instruments Securities Government supranational issued by issued by debt debt Covered credit corporate and Mortgage SEKm s u e s instruments s u e s instruments bo ds bonds institutions other issuers s u o s o e ssue s ABS S oa s loans Cas Cash Total Central bank funding 0 Intraday settlement 1 028 10 772 11 800 Repurchase agreements 1) 18 448 12 765 31 213 Derivative 2) 74 1 949 13 125 15 148 Covered bonds 3) 514 795 514 795 Other 4) 0 736 284 1 020 Total 19 550 0 25 486 736 0 0 514 795 13 409 573 976 Financial assets pledged for insurance policy holders 109 813 Unencum bered assets - additional assets available for secured funding Central banks Debt and instruments Securities Government supranational issued by issued by debt debt Covered credit corporate and Mortgage SEKm instruments instruments bonds institutions other issuers ABS loans Cash Total Securities 5, 6) , ) 30 948 11 213 73 812 12 671 8 238 984 137 866 Cover pool over collateralisation 7) 192 782 192 782 Cover pool eligible assets 8) 12 031 12 031 Total 30 948 11 213 73 812 12 671 8 238 984 204 813 0 342 679 Total assets 1 917 227 1) Repoed securities on balance sheet. 6) All type of securities, including securities non pledgeable at central 2) Collateral posted under CSA agreements, gross (3-year, SEKm, banks, of w hich 80% are rated AAA, 2% are rated below A- High: 21 572, Low : 10 945, Average: 13 975). and 8% are not rated. 3) Of w hich accrued interest of assets in the cover pool, SEK 2 389m 7) Of w hich accrued interest of assets in the cover pool as of Q1 2013 overcollateralisation, SEK 831m as of Q1 2013 4) Collateral pledged in securities lending activities and w ith 8) Type of loans; Residential 84.3%, Forestry & Agriculture 15.4%, exchanges Commercial 0.3%. 5) Reversed repos are included. Source: Swedbank Fact book Q1 2013 26
  • 27. Swedish housing and mortgage market Swedish mortgage market g g • No securitisation (on balance sheet), no sub-prime market, no 3rd party origination, insignificant buy-to-let market • 70% home ownership1 • Rental market is regulated • Transparent credit information (credit information agency, www.uc.se) – Publicly available information regarding income, debt, payment track record etc • Consumer credit legislation requires affordability calculations including stress test of higher interest rate • Very limited debt forgiveness possibilities (full recourse) • Strong social security and generous unemployment benefit system 1 Source: Boverket, 2011 27
  • 28. Swedish housing and mortgage market Real estate prices – Sweden 12 months development p p Single-family homes1 Tenant-owner rights2 Combined3 12M Δ 12M Δ 12M Δ Apr/12 -2% 2% -1% May/12 -2% 3% -1% Jun/12 -1% 1% 4% 0% Jul/12 0% 4% 1% Aug/12 2% 4% 3% Sep/12 2% 5% 3% Oct/12 1% 6% 3% Nov/12 3% 7% 4% Dec/12 4% 7% 6% Jan/13 3% 7% 5% Feb/13 4% 7% 5% Mar/13 3% 7% 5% Source: Valuegard www.valuegard.se (Based on data from Mäklarstatistik), 1 HOXHOUSESWE, 2 HOXFLATSWE, 3 HOXSWE 28
  • 29. 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 0 200 400 600 800 Ja an-05 J an-05 J ul-05 J Jul-05 Ja an-06 J an-06 J ul-06 J Jul-06 an-07 Ja J an-07 J ul-07 J Jul-07 Real estate prices Ja an-08 Source: Swedbank, Estonian Land Board J an-08 J ul-08 Nr.of deals Nr.of deals J Jul-08 an-09 Ja J an-09 Baltic countries Tallinn Vilnius J ul-09 Source: Swedbank, State Enterprise Centre of Registers J Jul-09 Ja an-10 J an-10 J ul-10 EUR/m2 EUR/m2 J Jul-10 Ja an-11 J an-11 J ul-11 J Jul-11 Ja an-12 J an-12 J ul-12 an-13 Ja J Jul-12 J an-13 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 0 200 400 600 800 J Jan-05 Jul-05 J Jan-06 Jul-06 Source: Land book database J Jan-07 Jul-07 J Jan-08 Nr.of deals Jul-08 J Jan-09 Riga Jul-09 J Jan-10 EUR/m2 Jul-10 J Jan-11 Jul-11 J Jan-12 Jul-12 J Jan-13 29
  • 30. Mortgage loans, gross margin (3 months) g g g g ( ) % 6 5 4 Net margin 3 The gross margin covers: Cost of liquidity ~0.2% 2 Administrative costs ~0.3% Credit i C dit impairments ~ 0.03% i t 0 03% Tax (22 % on profit before tax) 1 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Gross margin Swedbank's f unding cost Stibor 3 months Swedish Riksbank's repo rate 30