1. Understanding transitions and developing transition management strategies Dr. Derk Loorbach New Delhi, India, October 14 2008

2. You?

4. System analysis

9. Regional stock and flow analysis Figure SCENE-model Parkstad Limburg as presented on February 17, 2002

10. Complex societal systems: multi-level thinking Societal system Innovations and niches Societal structures (regime) Laws and regulations Institutions Infrastructures / technologies Culture and paradigms Societal trends

12. Transition dynamics

14. Multi-level: a possible heuristic Meso-level (regimes, institutions) Macro-level (landscape, trends) Micro-level (Niches, individuals) From: Geels and Kemp, 2001

15. Multi-phase: ideal typical transition pattern From: Rotmans et al, 2000 Predevelopment Stabilization time Societal development Acceleration Take-off

20. Transition management approach

24. Energytransition in the Netherlands Process design 2001

26. Emerging organizational structure 6 Directors general of: EZ VROM LNV (agriculture) V&W (mobility) Foreign Affairs Finance Task Force energy transition Interdepartmental projectdirectorate energy transition Platform sustainable mobility Platform New Gas Platform green resources Platform chain efficiency Platform sustainable Rotterdam Platform built environment exp exp exp exp exp exp exp exp exp exp

32. The transition of “roofs & roads”

33. Roofs and Air Quality Air

34. Roofs and Energy Energy

35. Transition Black Grass Transitionlab Black Grass Transitionlab Black Grass Transitionlab Black Grass Transitionlab Black Grass Evolving transition agenda Emerging transition approach

37. Implementing Transition management

41. Governance framework for dealing with transitions Monitoring, evaluating and adapting Developing sustainability images, coalitions and joint transition-agendas Problem structuring, envisioning and organizing transition-arenas Mobilizing actors and transition- experiments Strategic (emphasis on system, culture) Tactical (emphasis on subsystem, structures) Operational (emphasis on niches, practices)

42. Reflexive thinking Reflexive attitude Participatory evaluation Adjustment of vision, agenda New experiments Adaptation Expert knowledge Structuring skills Transition monitoring Monitoring and evaluation Inventory of learning experiences Social learning Evaluation Project management Experiment portfolios Implementation Development Learning and communication Transition experiments, testing grounds Experimenting Innovation Operational Communication and consensus building Transition paths Innovation networks Coalition building Networking Thinking in terms of co-production, negotiation skills Transition agenda transition coalitions Exchange of goals, negotiations, shared goal -formulation Agenda-building Creativity, independence Transition images, transition paths Developing inspiring images, strategies Translating Tactical Communication and network skills, integrative capabilities Transition Arena, Integrated systems analysis Transition vision Exchange of perspectives, developing new discourse Reframing Creativity, guts, innovative ideas Transition Arena, Transition visions Envisioning Giving direction Systems thinking Integrated systems analysis System demarcation problem structuring Integration Strategic Capabilities Transition Instruments Activities Goals Type of governance activity

48. Transition research: activist science Sustainability Sciences History Policy sciences Complexity research Sociology Ecology MODE 1 Action Grounded theory consultancy Applied Participatory MODE 2

50. Lessons learned