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New developments in transition studies beyond visions and innovation Derk Loorbach Delft, 23-05-2011
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Persistent problems of sustainability
Transitions   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Consumption: a persistent problem? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transition levels Macro-level: landscape autonomous trends, paradigms, slow changes Meso-level: regime Dominant structure, culture and practices Micro-level :  niches  innovative ideas, projects, technologies, niche actors Based on Geels and Kemp, 2001
Multiple Phases   From: Rotmans et al, 2000 Predevelopment Stabilization  time  Societal development Acceleration Take-off
Transition phases predevelopment take-off acceleration stabilisation Based on Rotmans et al, 2001 Sustainable society? health care energy waste water construction mobility finance
Where is consumption? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transition governance principles (predev.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Governance framework  Strategic (culture, worldviews,  norms and values) Tactical (institutions, networks,  structures) Operational (practices, innovations, niches) Influencing learning and reflection ( transition monitoring ) Influencing changes in structures ( transition-network and –agenda) Influencing changes in culture and discourse ( transitionarena ) Influencing innovation dynamics ( transitionexperiments )
society Transition arena Regular policy arena ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Transition arenas
Dutch Energytransition ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Structure
Impact? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Recent experiences ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Urban Transition Management Rotterdam ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
CityPorts area ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
5 strategies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Long term : perspective  2040 Mid term : course  2025 Short term : action  2015 CityPorts
One of the images: Floating City (Design: www.deltasync.nl)
… the transition experiment
Societal resilience and transition ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Core transitional challenge ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Social and policy transition Tijd  Pact op Zuid City harbors Program-directors Self-organisation:   Supply driven, Integral,  Process oriented Innovative,/sustainable  Co-production Fragmented Competition  Individualism Distrust  Short-term  GGW Gideon Policy new style nwe stijl City marines SONS Bureau frontline Field-academy Activation   Human centered  concrete solutions Empowering  Experimenting  Learning  Mono-actor Group portrets Participation visions Norm op Zuid Roffa 5314 Artroute
Rotterdam sustainability transition ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
 
 
InContext (FP7) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Behavioral/consumption transition? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The community arena
The community arena Key activities Key output 0. Pre-preparation A. Case orientation  B. Transition team formation A. Initial case description for each pilot B. Transition team  1. Preparation &  Exploration A. Process design B. System analysis  C. Actor analysis (long-list and shortlist of relevant actors) +  interviews A. Community Arena process plan B. Reframed challenge C. Actor identification + insight inner context behaviour 2. Problem structuring & Envisioning A. Transition Arena formation B. Problem structuring process +  meeting C. Selection of key priorities  D. Participatory vision process +  meeting A. Frontrunner network B. Individual and shared problem perceptions C. Guiding sustainability principles  D. Individual and shared visions 3. Backcasting, Agenda Building & Target Setting A. Backcasting  meeting  and  interviews B. Formulation agenda and specific actions C. Defining transition paths +  meeting A. Backcasting analysis B. Community action agenda C. Transition paths 4. Experimenting & Implementing A. Dissemination of arena, visions and agenda  B. Coalition forming & broadening the network C. Conduct transition experiments A. Embedded results B. Change agents network C. Experiment portfolio  5. Monitoring & Evaluation A. Monitoring and evaluation of method and content (process) +  meeting B. Monitoring and evaluation of individual level (inner context) + meeting and  interviews A. Adaptation methodological framework (during process), and lessons learned for local and EU-level governance B. Insight in drivers and barriers for sustainable behaviour
Hypotheses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TM: evolving theory and practice Monitoring, evaluating and adapting Developing sustainability images, coalitions and joint  transition-agendas Problem structuring, envisioning and organizing  transition-arenas   Mobilizing actors and  transition- experiments TM 1.0 Creating space and convergence Arenas, experiments Discourse and culture  Monitoring, evaluating and adapting Developing sustainability images, coalitions and joint  transition-agendas Problem structuring, envisioning and organizing  transition-arenas   Mobilizing actors and  transition- experiments TM 2.0 Focus on breakthroughs Institutions for transition Upscaling and structural change
Transition governance principles (acceleration) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TM 2.011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TM 2.011 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is TM? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],social  innovation and change
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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College delft

  • 1. New developments in transition studies beyond visions and innovation Derk Loorbach Delft, 23-05-2011
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Transition levels Macro-level: landscape autonomous trends, paradigms, slow changes Meso-level: regime Dominant structure, culture and practices Micro-level : niches innovative ideas, projects, technologies, niche actors Based on Geels and Kemp, 2001
  • 7. Multiple Phases From: Rotmans et al, 2000 Predevelopment Stabilization time Societal development Acceleration Take-off
  • 8. Transition phases predevelopment take-off acceleration stabilisation Based on Rotmans et al, 2001 Sustainable society? health care energy waste water construction mobility finance
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Governance framework Strategic (culture, worldviews, norms and values) Tactical (institutions, networks, structures) Operational (practices, innovations, niches) Influencing learning and reflection ( transition monitoring ) Influencing changes in structures ( transition-network and –agenda) Influencing changes in culture and discourse ( transitionarena ) Influencing innovation dynamics ( transitionexperiments )
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.  
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. One of the images: Floating City (Design: www.deltasync.nl)
  • 22. … the transition experiment
  • 23.
  • 24. Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 25.
  • 26. Social and policy transition Tijd Pact op Zuid City harbors Program-directors Self-organisation: Supply driven, Integral, Process oriented Innovative,/sustainable Co-production Fragmented Competition Individualism Distrust Short-term GGW Gideon Policy new style nwe stijl City marines SONS Bureau frontline Field-academy Activation Human centered concrete solutions Empowering Experimenting Learning Mono-actor Group portrets Participation visions Norm op Zuid Roffa 5314 Artroute
  • 27.
  • 28.  
  • 29.  
  • 30.  
  • 31.  
  • 32.  
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. The community arena Key activities Key output 0. Pre-preparation A. Case orientation B. Transition team formation A. Initial case description for each pilot B. Transition team 1. Preparation & Exploration A. Process design B. System analysis C. Actor analysis (long-list and shortlist of relevant actors) + interviews A. Community Arena process plan B. Reframed challenge C. Actor identification + insight inner context behaviour 2. Problem structuring & Envisioning A. Transition Arena formation B. Problem structuring process + meeting C. Selection of key priorities D. Participatory vision process + meeting A. Frontrunner network B. Individual and shared problem perceptions C. Guiding sustainability principles D. Individual and shared visions 3. Backcasting, Agenda Building & Target Setting A. Backcasting meeting and interviews B. Formulation agenda and specific actions C. Defining transition paths + meeting A. Backcasting analysis B. Community action agenda C. Transition paths 4. Experimenting & Implementing A. Dissemination of arena, visions and agenda B. Coalition forming & broadening the network C. Conduct transition experiments A. Embedded results B. Change agents network C. Experiment portfolio 5. Monitoring & Evaluation A. Monitoring and evaluation of method and content (process) + meeting B. Monitoring and evaluation of individual level (inner context) + meeting and interviews A. Adaptation methodological framework (during process), and lessons learned for local and EU-level governance B. Insight in drivers and barriers for sustainable behaviour
  • 37.
  • 38. TM: evolving theory and practice Monitoring, evaluating and adapting Developing sustainability images, coalitions and joint transition-agendas Problem structuring, envisioning and organizing transition-arenas Mobilizing actors and transition- experiments TM 1.0 Creating space and convergence Arenas, experiments Discourse and culture Monitoring, evaluating and adapting Developing sustainability images, coalitions and joint transition-agendas Problem structuring, envisioning and organizing transition-arenas Mobilizing actors and transition- experiments TM 2.0 Focus on breakthroughs Institutions for transition Upscaling and structural change
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Systeemwijzigingen zijn nodig vanwege persistent problemen: diep geworteld in onze maatschappelijke structuren, cultuur en gedrag