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[object Object],Allison Chatrchyan, Ph.D. Shorna Broussard Allred, Ph.D. Rebecca Schneider, Ph.D. Presentation to ANREP Conference, June 28, 2010, Fairbanks, AK
NY's Climate is Already Changing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Projected Changes in New York ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strategic Directions in NY ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Current Cornell Climate Research: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Cornell & CCE Energy & Climate Research & Extension
Cornell DNR Climate Change Study ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cornell Project Team ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Goals of DNR Study:  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Determine Resource Managers Views of: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Survey Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Survey Respondents Expertise
Multiple Areas of Expertise
Climate Change Knowledge “How would you assess your current level of knowledge about potential climate change impacts in NY State?”
Climate Change Attitudes (1=Strongly Disagree, 2=Disagree, 3=Neutral, 4=Agree, 5=Strongly Agree) Questionnaire Item Mean 1. The science indicates our climate is changing 4.35 2. There is sufficient evidence that over the coming decade, climate change will affect the natural resources with which I work 4.09 3. Humans are responsible for climate change 3.84 4. I already see evidence of how climate change is affecting  NY’s natural resources 3.80 5. My personal actions will have an influence on climate change 3.65 6. My personal actions will encourage others to take action  3.61 7. There is sufficient information available on how to address climate change impacts at the local level 2.28 8. There is sufficient information available on the local effects of climate change 2.44 9. I do not currently see a need to address climate change mitigation in the work that I do 2.25 10. I do not currently see a need to address climate change adaptation in the work that I do 2.10
Organizational Actions “ Has your organization already taken specific actions to address climate change?” (Yes=58.2%) Minimum # of Actions Taken (n) Maximum  # of Actions Taken (n) Mean # of Actions Taken (n) Organizational actions to address climate change ADAPTATIONS 0 11 2.90 Organizational actions to address climate change DRIVERS 0 10 2.64
Organizational Actions to Adapt to  Anticipated Climate Change Questionnaire Items (n) 1. Conduct outreach and education about climate change 144 2. Work through new or existing  partnerships with local groups, organizations, or agencies to address climate change issues 104 3. Collect data to monitor climate change 78 4. Develop a climate action plan 66 5. Practice adaptive management 57 6. Plan on long-term horizons (10 years or more) 61 7.  Provide funding for climate change research 42 8.  Plan for specific climate change adaptations at the local level 41 9.  Conduct a climate change vulnerability or risk assessment 30 10.  Implement a climate action plan 27 11.  Monitor and evaluate a climate action plan 22 12.  Develop a comprehensive flood mitigation plan or program 17
Organizational Actions to Address Mitigation of Climate Change Drivers Questionnaire Items (n) 1. Make investments to realize energy savings from buildings 112 2. Plant trees 111 3. Make investments to protect or increase green and open space 109 4. Make investments to realize energy savings in transportation 89 5. Purchase renewable energy 57 6. Develop a climate action plan to reduce greenhouse gases 56 7.  Conduct a baseline greenhouse gas emissions inventory and forecast 46 8.  Adopt an emissions reduction target for the forecast year 38 9.  Make investments to realize energy savings in industrial and waste processes 35 10.  Adopt the Climate Smart Communities Pledge 18
Influencing Factors for Actions Taken “In taking the actions to adapt to or mitigate climate change impacts, how important are or were the following factors?” 1=Not important, 2=Slightly important, 3=Somewhat important, 4=Important, 5=Very important Mean SD Proactive Leadership 3.89 0.83 Local Impacts 3.51 0.95 Fiscal Savings 3.27 1.25 Top-Down Mandate 3.19 1.09 Inaction of Government 2.94 1.38
Barriers to Taking Action “To what extent are the following barriers to taking action on climate change at the scale at which you work in New York?” 1=Not a barrier, 2=Minimal barrier, 3=Slight barrier, 4=Moderate barrier, 5=Significant  barrier Mean SD Lack of Resources (Financial & Human) 3.54 1.03 Lack of perceived threat & understanding 3.26 1.09 Financial Costs 3.67 1.02 Inaction of Government 3.01 1.27 Intra-Organizational Issues 2.01 1.10
Importance and Feasibility of Adaptations for Water Resources Very Important and Very Feasible Very Important and Less Feasible Low Importance and Low Feasibility Low Importance and High Feasibility 5 0 -5 -5 5 Feasibility Importance Importance Feasibility
Protect or Restore forests to reduce runoff and increase rain infiltration
Increase monitoring of water quantity (stream flow) and water quality (temperature, contaminants)
Develop Monitoring and Rapid Response Programs for Aquatic Invasives
Develop flood preparedness and emergency response programs at the state, county, and town levels in high risk areas
Create incentives for protection of water resources through low-impact development, better site design, fewer impervious surfaces, etc.
Plan Infrastructure Projects with Future Climate Changes in Mind
Resources Needed “How useful would the following resources be in addressing natural resource impacts and issues at the local level that result from climate change?” 1=Not at all useful, 2=Slightly useful, 3=Somewhat useful, 4=Useful, 5=Very useful Mean SD Info on Climate Change in General and Specific Local Projections 4.09 0.84 Regulations, Incentives, Planning Tools 3.96 0.82 Research and Data Needs 3.90 0.78
Who should be Involved in Prioritizing Climate Change Planning/Action in NY? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Should the Planning/Action  Process in NY Look Like? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],Open Ended Comments:
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Open Ended Comments:
Relevant Stakeholder Groups ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Next Steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CCE Energy & Climate Team:  Climate Focus ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Building a Climate Change Extension Program  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Contacts/Questions: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Resilience in the Face of Climate Change: Empowering Natural Resource Managers and Professionals through Extension Education

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  • 13. Multiple Areas of Expertise
  • 14. Climate Change Knowledge “How would you assess your current level of knowledge about potential climate change impacts in NY State?”
  • 15. Climate Change Attitudes (1=Strongly Disagree, 2=Disagree, 3=Neutral, 4=Agree, 5=Strongly Agree) Questionnaire Item Mean 1. The science indicates our climate is changing 4.35 2. There is sufficient evidence that over the coming decade, climate change will affect the natural resources with which I work 4.09 3. Humans are responsible for climate change 3.84 4. I already see evidence of how climate change is affecting NY’s natural resources 3.80 5. My personal actions will have an influence on climate change 3.65 6. My personal actions will encourage others to take action 3.61 7. There is sufficient information available on how to address climate change impacts at the local level 2.28 8. There is sufficient information available on the local effects of climate change 2.44 9. I do not currently see a need to address climate change mitigation in the work that I do 2.25 10. I do not currently see a need to address climate change adaptation in the work that I do 2.10
  • 16. Organizational Actions “ Has your organization already taken specific actions to address climate change?” (Yes=58.2%) Minimum # of Actions Taken (n) Maximum # of Actions Taken (n) Mean # of Actions Taken (n) Organizational actions to address climate change ADAPTATIONS 0 11 2.90 Organizational actions to address climate change DRIVERS 0 10 2.64
  • 17. Organizational Actions to Adapt to Anticipated Climate Change Questionnaire Items (n) 1. Conduct outreach and education about climate change 144 2. Work through new or existing partnerships with local groups, organizations, or agencies to address climate change issues 104 3. Collect data to monitor climate change 78 4. Develop a climate action plan 66 5. Practice adaptive management 57 6. Plan on long-term horizons (10 years or more) 61 7. Provide funding for climate change research 42 8. Plan for specific climate change adaptations at the local level 41 9. Conduct a climate change vulnerability or risk assessment 30 10. Implement a climate action plan 27 11. Monitor and evaluate a climate action plan 22 12. Develop a comprehensive flood mitigation plan or program 17
  • 18. Organizational Actions to Address Mitigation of Climate Change Drivers Questionnaire Items (n) 1. Make investments to realize energy savings from buildings 112 2. Plant trees 111 3. Make investments to protect or increase green and open space 109 4. Make investments to realize energy savings in transportation 89 5. Purchase renewable energy 57 6. Develop a climate action plan to reduce greenhouse gases 56 7. Conduct a baseline greenhouse gas emissions inventory and forecast 46 8. Adopt an emissions reduction target for the forecast year 38 9. Make investments to realize energy savings in industrial and waste processes 35 10. Adopt the Climate Smart Communities Pledge 18
  • 19. Influencing Factors for Actions Taken “In taking the actions to adapt to or mitigate climate change impacts, how important are or were the following factors?” 1=Not important, 2=Slightly important, 3=Somewhat important, 4=Important, 5=Very important Mean SD Proactive Leadership 3.89 0.83 Local Impacts 3.51 0.95 Fiscal Savings 3.27 1.25 Top-Down Mandate 3.19 1.09 Inaction of Government 2.94 1.38
  • 20. Barriers to Taking Action “To what extent are the following barriers to taking action on climate change at the scale at which you work in New York?” 1=Not a barrier, 2=Minimal barrier, 3=Slight barrier, 4=Moderate barrier, 5=Significant barrier Mean SD Lack of Resources (Financial & Human) 3.54 1.03 Lack of perceived threat & understanding 3.26 1.09 Financial Costs 3.67 1.02 Inaction of Government 3.01 1.27 Intra-Organizational Issues 2.01 1.10
  • 21. Importance and Feasibility of Adaptations for Water Resources Very Important and Very Feasible Very Important and Less Feasible Low Importance and Low Feasibility Low Importance and High Feasibility 5 0 -5 -5 5 Feasibility Importance Importance Feasibility
  • 22. Protect or Restore forests to reduce runoff and increase rain infiltration
  • 23. Increase monitoring of water quantity (stream flow) and water quality (temperature, contaminants)
  • 24. Develop Monitoring and Rapid Response Programs for Aquatic Invasives
  • 25. Develop flood preparedness and emergency response programs at the state, county, and town levels in high risk areas
  • 26. Create incentives for protection of water resources through low-impact development, better site design, fewer impervious surfaces, etc.
  • 27. Plan Infrastructure Projects with Future Climate Changes in Mind
  • 28. Resources Needed “How useful would the following resources be in addressing natural resource impacts and issues at the local level that result from climate change?” 1=Not at all useful, 2=Slightly useful, 3=Somewhat useful, 4=Useful, 5=Very useful Mean SD Info on Climate Change in General and Specific Local Projections 4.09 0.84 Regulations, Incentives, Planning Tools 3.96 0.82 Research and Data Needs 3.90 0.78
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Editor's Notes

  1. The U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) coordinates and integrates federal research on changes in the global environment and their implications for society. The USGCRP began as a presidential initiative in 1989 and was mandated by Congress in the Global Change Research Act of 1990 . Thirteen departments and agencies participate in the USGCRP, which was known as the U.S. Climate Change Science Program from 2002 through 2008. Mitigation vs Adaptation The Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) is the first mandatory, market-based effort in the United States to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Ten Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic states have capped and will reduce CO 2 emissions from the power sector 10% by 2018. States sell nearly all emission allowances through auctions and invest proceeds in consumer benefits: energy efficiency, renewable energy, and other clean energy technologies.
  2. ClimAID: Integrated Assessment for Effective Climate Change Adaptation Strategies in New York State
  3. Areas of expertise were not mutually exclusive. While most respondents (47%) reported only 1 area of expertise, 30% reported two areas of expertise, 14% reported 3 areas of expertise, and 9% reported four or more areas of expertise
  4. -Data show that natural resource managers believe science about climate change and some are already seeing impacts -Data show clear information needs; managers DO NOT think there is sufficient information available on how to address climate impacts and effects at the local level (Item # 7 and #8 have a mean of 2.44 and 2.25)
  5. -only people that answered “Yes” to “Has your organization already taken specific actions to address climate change?” answered this question -outreach and education are more frequently undertaken actions by organizations (#1) -importance of partnerships (#2)
  6. -only people that answered “Yes” to “Has your organization already taken specific actions to address climate change?” answered this question
  7. Influencing Factors: each of these is a composite score (mean) of what factors influenced most the organizational actions to adapt to climate change and to address drivers Proactive Leadership : Influenced by being a responsible leader, developing useful partnerships, thinking globally and acting locally, and getting a head start on inevitable changes. THIS WAS MOST IMPORTANT INFLUENCING FACTOR FOR ACTION; IMPORTANCE OF DEVELOPING LEADERSHIP SKILLS and BEING PROACTIVE vs REACTIVE Local Impacts : threats and impacts at the local level and state level, belief that scientific evidence about climate change is real, concerns about social equity. 2 nd MOST IMPORTANT INFLUENCING FACTOR Fiscal Savings : Belief that responding to climate change will result in short and long-term fiscal savings. 3 rd MOST IMPORTANT INFLUENCING FACTOR Top-Down Mandate : Influenced by direction from leadership that actions should be taken, responding to mandate from above, or constituent pressure to take action. 4 th MOST IMPORTANT INFLUENCING FACTOR Inaction of Govt .: Lack of action at local, state, and federal levels. 5 th MOST IMPORTANT INFLUENCING FACTOR
  8. Barriers Composite Scores of what barriers there are to organizational actions to adapt to climate change and to address drivers Lack of Resources : barriers associated with lack of funding to develop new programs, lack of staff to take on new initiatives, feeling overwhelmed and not knowing where to start, not enough technical assistance. THIS WAS MOST IMPORTANT BARRIER Lack of Perceived threat/ understanding : Barriers associated with lack of consensus that climate change is real and a current problem, lack of perceived future threat, impacts not being felt at the local level, belief that higher govt entity should take action, no constituent pressure to take action. 2 nd MOST IMPORTANT BARRIER Financial Costs : barriers associated with high costs to respond to and adapt to climate change, savings not being realized immediately, and not relevant given other pressing problems/demands. 3 rd MOST IMPORTANT BARRIER Inaction of Government : barrier is inaction of government at all levels (local, state, federal). 4 th MOST IMPORTANT BARRIER Intra-organizational issues : barriers associated with conflict within my agency/organization and not perceived by manager/supervisor as part of my job description. 5 th MOST IMPORTANT BARRIER
  9. Resources Needed Composite Scores General and Local Info Needs : resources needed about information about climate change in general, specific projections of climate change impacts to the local level (rainfall, temps, sea-level, etc.). THIS WAS MOST IMPORTANT RESOURCE NEEDED. CLEAR ROLE FOR EXTENSION TO HELP BRING SCIENTIFIC INFO TO LOCAL LEVEL REGARDING IMPACTS Regs/Incentives/Planning Tools : resources associated with model ordinances that can be adopted by local governments, incorporation of climate change into state regs, incentives for adopting specific actions, revised management plans reflecting climate impacts, funding/grants for adaptation, educational resources, information on how to assess vulnerability, information on economic value of ecosystem services. THIS WAS 2 nd HIGHEST RATED SET OF RESOURCES Research and Data Needs: Resources associated with applied research about effects of climate resources, habitats, species, increased inter-disciplinary communication and partnerships, additional research on effective adaptations, citizen volunteers for monitoring changes in climate. THIS WAS 3 rd HIGHEST RATED SET OF RESOURCES NEEDED.
  10. These are in response to an open-ended question and are ordered from most frequent responses to least frequent responses --local involvement was key as was a focus on a collaborative, participatory process
  11. These are in response to an open-ended question and are ordered from most frequent responses to least frequent responses -Important to emphasize the role of extension in facilitating participatory process, bringing together stakeholders
  12. Open-ended responses to question about who should be involved in planning for climate change in NY and how it should be done
  13. Verbatim Open-ended responses to question about who should be involved in planning for climate change in NY and how it should be done