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Economic Study of South Korea
-Group 5
Sreedhar G.
Mayank Tripathi
Poonam Khaitan
Shivam Mehrotra
Shaurya Vikram Singh
Contents
History
Economy
Events under the First Republic
Events under the Second Republic
Events under the Military Rule
Events under the Third Republic
Events under the Fourth Republic
Events under the Fifth Republic
Events under the Sixth Republic
US- South Korea Ties
Graphs
Findings
[Contents contd.]
History
Also called the Republic of Korea (ROK)
Established on 15 August 1948
Its history is marked by alternating
periods of democratic and autocratic
rule as follows:
First Republic(1948-1960)
Second Republic(1960-1961)
Military Rule(1961-1962)
Third Republic(1963-1972)
Fourth Republic(1972-1981)
Fifth Republic(1981-1987)
Sixth Republic(1987-Present)
Economy
Today it is a high-tech industrialized economy.
Per capita GNP, only $100 in 1963, exceeded $9,800 in 2002.
Chaebols
a South Korean form of business conglomerate.
Samsung, Hyundai and LG
Earlier
the centrally planned , government-directed investment model
Now
market-oriented
Economic Overview
GDP(PPP) $1,541trillion
Real GDP Growth Rate 3.4%(27-10- 2011)
GDP per capita $29,997
Unemployment rate 3.1%
Inflation rate (CPI): 4.2%(Nov. 2011)
Industry Electronics,Telecommunications,Autom
obile production,Chemicals
Shipbuilding,Steel
Trade :
Exports
Imports
47 Billion USD
43.1 Billion USD
Major export markets China (23.2%)
U.S. (10.1%)
Japan (5.8%)
Hong Kong (5.3%)
Singapore (3.6%)
Major importers China (16.8%)
Japan (15.3%)
U.S.(9.0%)
Saudi Arabia (6.1%)
Australia (4.6%).
United States' sixth-largest trading partner and is the 12th-
largest economy in the world
Events under the First Republic
First Republic of South Korea was South Korea's first
independent government, ruling the country from 1948 to
1960-the Rhee administration
The government took in vast sums of American Aid in
amounts sometimes near the total size of the national budget.
Major Events
The Korean War
Introduction of hwan
The Korean War(June 25, 1950
- July 27, 1953)
Broke out when the two Koreas
barely managed to maintain
socio-economic stability.
Damage Estimates:
The war destroyed majority of the
industries and industrial
infrastructure
By August of 1951, 44% of factory
buildings and 42% of production
facilities lay in ruins
Power production plummeted
down to a miserable level of 11
thousand kHz, about one-eighth
of the earlier production level of
80 thousand kHz
Foreign trade deteriorated from
US$208 million to US$2.9 million
All these factors led to serious
Inflation
Destruction Ratios:
Textile Industry 70%
Chemical Industry 70%
Agricultural Machinery Industry 40%
Rubber Industry 10%
Power Plants 80%
Overall Industry Destroyed 51%
Hyper Inflation:
War expenses were equivalent to 50% of the national budget
Temporary increase in taxes could not meet the huge demand
in war expenses
Hence, during the first three months of the war, the total
money in circulation was increased by 72%
South Korea also had to provide UN forces with loans in
Korean currency according to the Taegue Agreement - an
agreement of UN forces expenditure
Increase in Money in Circulation
June 24, 1950 - July 31, 1953 24 times
by December 31, 1953 42 times
Result- 79% of the money increased during the
3 year period of war
Distortion of Two Major Economic Reform Policies
The Farmland Reform Bill(1950)
Farmers who wanted to buy distributed farmland had to pay 150% of
the average annual product,30% each in five years with farm
products(not in money)
The tax rate was applied progressively from a 15% to a 28% level
1/3 of farm products had to be sold to the government at an official
set price , according to the newly established Law of Grains
Management(1950)
Old landlords were forced by law to sell all the farmland that was in
excess of 3 chongbo(1 chongbo=0.993 hectares) and received a
voucher called Farmland Price Securities
However the real value of vouchers plummeted with soaring inflation
rate
The Enemy Property Privatization Bill(1950)
Sales of the confiscated enemy properties (production
facilities or business firms) through auction
But landowners were not interested because
the real value of vouchers plummeted
the difficulty of operating business in times of war
By the end of March 1953, less than 7% (20,955 cases) of
the enemy properties (29,906 cases) were sold
Thus the reform failed to make up fiscal deficits with sales
revenue of enemy properties
The Long-term Consequences of the US Aid
During the war the government took in vast sums of American aid , in
amounts sometimes near the total size of the national budget
initial aid items were food, medicine and other necessary consumer
goods
these caused the fall of domestic farm product prices decreasing the
income of farmers
Some Korean agricultural products such as wheat and cotton
eventually disappeared completely due to the sharp decline of their
prices.
US destroyed the agricultural industry through aid
made the Korean economy dependent on the US economy
perpetuated its dependency by controlling the Korean economy through
aid, loans and direct foreign investments
But the US aid was also very effective in stabilizing the Korean
economy
The postwar average annual inflation rate was reduced to 20% from
120% of the preceding period
Mishaps of the Korean Government Economic Policies
Korean government was responsible for fostering consumer goods
industry and later on paving the way for the rise of big-business
oriented Chaebol structure
Operational production facilities were favored with much lower
interest rates for their loans , mostly 10% or lower compared to the
general bank loan rate of 18.25%
Loans were allocated in favor of big firms
This contributed to the establishment of special government-business
nexus and corruption
Cartels such as the Korea Textile Association were formed , which
could monopolize raw material aid
However they could establish neither optimum level of production
scale, nor competitiveness in international markets
the unemployment rate was estimated to be 45%
After the war
South Korean policymakers set upon stimulating economic growth by
promoting indigenous industrial firms
selected firms in targeted industries were given privileges to buy
foreign currencies and to borrow funds from banks at low rates
erected tariff barriers and imposed a prohibition on manufacturing
imports
Import-Substitution Industrialization (ISI) set in
these Directly Unproductive Profit-seeking activities (DUP) caused
efficiency to falter and living standards to stagnate
Hwan
To counter the inflation the first South Korean currency the
won the hwan was introduced in 1953
This was done at the rate of 1 hwan = 100 won
The hwan was nominally subdivided into 100 jeon
However the lowest denomination issued was 1 hwan
The hwan also suffered from inflation and a series of
devaluations occurred
Pegs for the South Korean hwan
Date introduced Value of U.S. dollar in hwan
February 15, 1953 60
15 December 1953 180
August 15, 1955 500
February 23, 1960 650
January 1, 1961 1000
February 2, 1961 1250
Events under the Second Republic
The student revolution caused parliamentary election in 1960.
The Democratic Party - the opposition, gained power
Union membership and activity grew rapidly
Teachers' Union, Journalists' Union, and the Federation of Korean
Trade Union were formed
The government formulated a five-year economic
development plan, although it was unable to act on it prior to
being overthrown
The Hwan lost half of its value against the dollar between fall
1960 and spring 1961
Events under Military Rule
The military coup d'état led by Major
General Park Chung-he on May 16, 1961,
put an effective end to the Second
Republic
The Supreme Council was the first South
Korean government to
introduce economic planning
The first South Korean five-year plan was
inaugurated in 1962
Shift to a strategy of stimulating growth
through export promotion
qualification for the special treatment was
quantifiable and objective
thus the room for DUP became
significantly smaller
per capita output doubled in the following decade
South Korea became an industrialized country
the share of agriculture in GDP fell from 45 percent to 25
percent
the share of manufacturing rose from 9 percent to 27 percent
Events under the Third & Fourth Republic
The Third Republic was initiated by announcing the Five Year
Economic development Plan
The core was an export-oriented industrialization policy
"Development First, Unification Later”
The economy grew rapidly with vast improvement in
industrial structure(heavy chemical industries)
Capital was needed for such development-foreign aid from
Japan and the United States
improved the standard for living
the government controlled prices
the rural economy steadily lost ground
Despite social and political unrest,the economy continued to
flourish under the export-based industrialization policy
the 3rd and 4th five-year plans focused on expanding the
heavy and chemical industries(HCIs) - steel production & oil
refining
most of the profit went back to repaying the loans and
interest
large conglomerate Chaebols were continuously receiving
preferential treatment and soon came to dominate the
domestic market
Low interest loans to chaebols -- selected for the task of
developing different sectors of HCI
Successfully expanding the capital-intensive industries more
rapidly than the rest of the economy
Events under the Fifth & Sixth Republic
Started in 1981 with election of Chun Doo-hwan
Tight monetary laws and low interest rates contributed to
price stability
Notable growth in the electronics, semi-conductor, and
automobile industries.
The country opened up to foreign investments
GDP rose as Korean exports increased.
However, the economic growth widened the gap between the
rich and the poor, the urban and rural regions
The Sixth Republic began in 1987 and remains the current
republic of South
In the 1990s,liberalization of capital account followed causing
rapid accumulation of short-term external debts
Major Events
Financial Crisis of 1997
Re-introduction of won
Economic Crisis of 1997
November 1997, Korea was hit by
a currency-cum-banking crisis
Official assistance from the IMF
Korea has implemented many
institutional and policy reforms
Today, it has gone far toward
strengthening its financial sector
Country not likely to become a
victim of another financial crisis.
Causes
In 1990, Korea’s current account balance started to
deteriorate because
rising inflation
appreciation of the Korean won
the recession of the world economy
Current account recorded a deficit of $8.7 billion
Banks and Business Firms finance long-term investments with
short-term foreign borrowings
Causing maturity mismatches
Remedies
As it was a liquidity crisis, a rapid infusion of hard currency
reserves was critical
The IMF together with other international financial
institutions offered $58.4 billion to bail out Korea
Out of this, $23.4 billion was reserved as a second line of
defense that would be made available to Korea by G-7
countries
Major Reforms
Implemented to achieve the following objectives:
(1) to reduce the likelihood of a similar crisis in the future by cleaning up
the balance sheets of financial institutions
(2) to evolve a financial system that can best help the nation resume
growth with stability
Reforms Till Date
The contents and significance of the reforms that have been
actually undertaken to date can best be reviewed under six
headings:
I. Reforms designed to strengthen the legal and regulatory
infrastructure,
II. Reforms implemented to rehabilitate the financial sector,
III. Reforms aiming at strengthening prudential regulation,
IV. Reforms to reduce moral hazard,
V. Reforms to promote capital account liberalization and
VI. Reforms to strengthen the corporate governance of financial
institutions
Won
• Another attempt to control inflation
• In 1962, the second South Korean won was
• reintroduced
• Rate of 1 won = 10 hwan
• This finally caused inflation to slow down
The slowing global economy and falling exports slowed
growth to 3.3% in 2001
Consumer overspending and rising household debt, along
with external factors, slowed growth to near 3% again in 2003
Economic performance in 2004 improved to 4.6% due to an
increase in exports
Remained at or above 4% in 2005, 2006, and 2007.
With the onset of the global financial and economic crisis in
the third quarter of 2008, annual GDP growth slowed to 2.3%
in 2008 and just 0.2% in 2009.
Current Scenario
Economic
US- South Korea Ties
As Korea's economy has
developed, trade and investment
ties have become an increasingly
important aspect of the U.S.-R.O.K.
relationship
American firms have long been
major investors in Korea
Korea's leading firms have begun
to make significant investments in
the United States
The IMF reforms also improved
the trade relations
Signed a comprehensive FTA that
would eliminate virtually all
barriers to trade and investment
between the two countries, in
2007
Tariffs on 95% of trade were to be eliminated within 3 years
of implementation,
All the remaining tariffs to be removed within 10 years of
implementation
The FTA will generate billions of dollars in increased trade and
investment between the United States and the Republic of
Korea
Boost economic growth and job creation in both countries.
Graphs
Phillip Curve for South Korea
Won and USD Exchange Rate
Findings
South Korea's economic growth potential has fallen because
of a rapidly aging population and structural problems that are
becoming increasingly apparent.
Foremost among these structural concerns are the rigidity of
South Korea's labor regulations, the country's
underdeveloped financial markets, and a general lack of
regulatory transparency.
Korean policy makers are increasingly worried about diversion
of corporate investment to China and other lower wage
countries, and by Korea's falling foreign direct investment
(FDI).

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Economic Study of South Korea

  • 1. Economic Study of South Korea -Group 5 Sreedhar G. Mayank Tripathi Poonam Khaitan Shivam Mehrotra Shaurya Vikram Singh
  • 2. Contents History Economy Events under the First Republic Events under the Second Republic Events under the Military Rule Events under the Third Republic Events under the Fourth Republic Events under the Fifth Republic Events under the Sixth Republic
  • 3. US- South Korea Ties Graphs Findings [Contents contd.]
  • 4. History Also called the Republic of Korea (ROK) Established on 15 August 1948 Its history is marked by alternating periods of democratic and autocratic rule as follows: First Republic(1948-1960) Second Republic(1960-1961) Military Rule(1961-1962) Third Republic(1963-1972) Fourth Republic(1972-1981) Fifth Republic(1981-1987) Sixth Republic(1987-Present)
  • 5. Economy Today it is a high-tech industrialized economy. Per capita GNP, only $100 in 1963, exceeded $9,800 in 2002. Chaebols a South Korean form of business conglomerate. Samsung, Hyundai and LG Earlier the centrally planned , government-directed investment model Now market-oriented
  • 6. Economic Overview GDP(PPP) $1,541trillion Real GDP Growth Rate 3.4%(27-10- 2011) GDP per capita $29,997 Unemployment rate 3.1% Inflation rate (CPI): 4.2%(Nov. 2011) Industry Electronics,Telecommunications,Autom obile production,Chemicals Shipbuilding,Steel Trade : Exports Imports 47 Billion USD 43.1 Billion USD Major export markets China (23.2%) U.S. (10.1%) Japan (5.8%) Hong Kong (5.3%) Singapore (3.6%) Major importers China (16.8%) Japan (15.3%) U.S.(9.0%) Saudi Arabia (6.1%) Australia (4.6%).
  • 7. United States' sixth-largest trading partner and is the 12th- largest economy in the world
  • 8. Events under the First Republic First Republic of South Korea was South Korea's first independent government, ruling the country from 1948 to 1960-the Rhee administration The government took in vast sums of American Aid in amounts sometimes near the total size of the national budget. Major Events The Korean War Introduction of hwan
  • 9. The Korean War(June 25, 1950 - July 27, 1953) Broke out when the two Koreas barely managed to maintain socio-economic stability. Damage Estimates: The war destroyed majority of the industries and industrial infrastructure By August of 1951, 44% of factory buildings and 42% of production facilities lay in ruins Power production plummeted down to a miserable level of 11 thousand kHz, about one-eighth of the earlier production level of 80 thousand kHz Foreign trade deteriorated from US$208 million to US$2.9 million All these factors led to serious Inflation
  • 10. Destruction Ratios: Textile Industry 70% Chemical Industry 70% Agricultural Machinery Industry 40% Rubber Industry 10% Power Plants 80% Overall Industry Destroyed 51%
  • 11. Hyper Inflation: War expenses were equivalent to 50% of the national budget Temporary increase in taxes could not meet the huge demand in war expenses Hence, during the first three months of the war, the total money in circulation was increased by 72% South Korea also had to provide UN forces with loans in Korean currency according to the Taegue Agreement - an agreement of UN forces expenditure Increase in Money in Circulation June 24, 1950 - July 31, 1953 24 times by December 31, 1953 42 times Result- 79% of the money increased during the 3 year period of war
  • 12. Distortion of Two Major Economic Reform Policies The Farmland Reform Bill(1950) Farmers who wanted to buy distributed farmland had to pay 150% of the average annual product,30% each in five years with farm products(not in money) The tax rate was applied progressively from a 15% to a 28% level 1/3 of farm products had to be sold to the government at an official set price , according to the newly established Law of Grains Management(1950) Old landlords were forced by law to sell all the farmland that was in excess of 3 chongbo(1 chongbo=0.993 hectares) and received a voucher called Farmland Price Securities However the real value of vouchers plummeted with soaring inflation rate
  • 13. The Enemy Property Privatization Bill(1950) Sales of the confiscated enemy properties (production facilities or business firms) through auction But landowners were not interested because the real value of vouchers plummeted the difficulty of operating business in times of war By the end of March 1953, less than 7% (20,955 cases) of the enemy properties (29,906 cases) were sold Thus the reform failed to make up fiscal deficits with sales revenue of enemy properties
  • 14. The Long-term Consequences of the US Aid During the war the government took in vast sums of American aid , in amounts sometimes near the total size of the national budget initial aid items were food, medicine and other necessary consumer goods these caused the fall of domestic farm product prices decreasing the income of farmers Some Korean agricultural products such as wheat and cotton eventually disappeared completely due to the sharp decline of their prices. US destroyed the agricultural industry through aid made the Korean economy dependent on the US economy perpetuated its dependency by controlling the Korean economy through aid, loans and direct foreign investments But the US aid was also very effective in stabilizing the Korean economy The postwar average annual inflation rate was reduced to 20% from 120% of the preceding period
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  • 16. Mishaps of the Korean Government Economic Policies Korean government was responsible for fostering consumer goods industry and later on paving the way for the rise of big-business oriented Chaebol structure Operational production facilities were favored with much lower interest rates for their loans , mostly 10% or lower compared to the general bank loan rate of 18.25% Loans were allocated in favor of big firms This contributed to the establishment of special government-business nexus and corruption Cartels such as the Korea Textile Association were formed , which could monopolize raw material aid However they could establish neither optimum level of production scale, nor competitiveness in international markets the unemployment rate was estimated to be 45%
  • 17. After the war South Korean policymakers set upon stimulating economic growth by promoting indigenous industrial firms selected firms in targeted industries were given privileges to buy foreign currencies and to borrow funds from banks at low rates erected tariff barriers and imposed a prohibition on manufacturing imports Import-Substitution Industrialization (ISI) set in these Directly Unproductive Profit-seeking activities (DUP) caused efficiency to falter and living standards to stagnate
  • 18. Hwan To counter the inflation the first South Korean currency the won the hwan was introduced in 1953 This was done at the rate of 1 hwan = 100 won The hwan was nominally subdivided into 100 jeon However the lowest denomination issued was 1 hwan The hwan also suffered from inflation and a series of devaluations occurred
  • 19. Pegs for the South Korean hwan Date introduced Value of U.S. dollar in hwan February 15, 1953 60 15 December 1953 180 August 15, 1955 500 February 23, 1960 650 January 1, 1961 1000 February 2, 1961 1250
  • 20. Events under the Second Republic The student revolution caused parliamentary election in 1960. The Democratic Party - the opposition, gained power Union membership and activity grew rapidly Teachers' Union, Journalists' Union, and the Federation of Korean Trade Union were formed The government formulated a five-year economic development plan, although it was unable to act on it prior to being overthrown The Hwan lost half of its value against the dollar between fall 1960 and spring 1961
  • 21. Events under Military Rule The military coup d'état led by Major General Park Chung-he on May 16, 1961, put an effective end to the Second Republic The Supreme Council was the first South Korean government to introduce economic planning The first South Korean five-year plan was inaugurated in 1962 Shift to a strategy of stimulating growth through export promotion qualification for the special treatment was quantifiable and objective thus the room for DUP became significantly smaller
  • 22. per capita output doubled in the following decade South Korea became an industrialized country the share of agriculture in GDP fell from 45 percent to 25 percent the share of manufacturing rose from 9 percent to 27 percent
  • 23. Events under the Third & Fourth Republic The Third Republic was initiated by announcing the Five Year Economic development Plan The core was an export-oriented industrialization policy "Development First, Unification Later” The economy grew rapidly with vast improvement in industrial structure(heavy chemical industries) Capital was needed for such development-foreign aid from Japan and the United States improved the standard for living the government controlled prices the rural economy steadily lost ground
  • 24. Despite social and political unrest,the economy continued to flourish under the export-based industrialization policy the 3rd and 4th five-year plans focused on expanding the heavy and chemical industries(HCIs) - steel production & oil refining most of the profit went back to repaying the loans and interest large conglomerate Chaebols were continuously receiving preferential treatment and soon came to dominate the domestic market Low interest loans to chaebols -- selected for the task of developing different sectors of HCI Successfully expanding the capital-intensive industries more rapidly than the rest of the economy
  • 25. Events under the Fifth & Sixth Republic Started in 1981 with election of Chun Doo-hwan Tight monetary laws and low interest rates contributed to price stability Notable growth in the electronics, semi-conductor, and automobile industries. The country opened up to foreign investments GDP rose as Korean exports increased. However, the economic growth widened the gap between the rich and the poor, the urban and rural regions
  • 26. The Sixth Republic began in 1987 and remains the current republic of South In the 1990s,liberalization of capital account followed causing rapid accumulation of short-term external debts Major Events Financial Crisis of 1997 Re-introduction of won
  • 27. Economic Crisis of 1997 November 1997, Korea was hit by a currency-cum-banking crisis Official assistance from the IMF Korea has implemented many institutional and policy reforms Today, it has gone far toward strengthening its financial sector Country not likely to become a victim of another financial crisis.
  • 28. Causes In 1990, Korea’s current account balance started to deteriorate because rising inflation appreciation of the Korean won the recession of the world economy Current account recorded a deficit of $8.7 billion Banks and Business Firms finance long-term investments with short-term foreign borrowings Causing maturity mismatches
  • 29. Remedies As it was a liquidity crisis, a rapid infusion of hard currency reserves was critical The IMF together with other international financial institutions offered $58.4 billion to bail out Korea Out of this, $23.4 billion was reserved as a second line of defense that would be made available to Korea by G-7 countries
  • 30. Major Reforms Implemented to achieve the following objectives: (1) to reduce the likelihood of a similar crisis in the future by cleaning up the balance sheets of financial institutions (2) to evolve a financial system that can best help the nation resume growth with stability
  • 31. Reforms Till Date The contents and significance of the reforms that have been actually undertaken to date can best be reviewed under six headings: I. Reforms designed to strengthen the legal and regulatory infrastructure, II. Reforms implemented to rehabilitate the financial sector, III. Reforms aiming at strengthening prudential regulation, IV. Reforms to reduce moral hazard, V. Reforms to promote capital account liberalization and VI. Reforms to strengthen the corporate governance of financial institutions
  • 32. Won • Another attempt to control inflation • In 1962, the second South Korean won was • reintroduced • Rate of 1 won = 10 hwan • This finally caused inflation to slow down
  • 33. The slowing global economy and falling exports slowed growth to 3.3% in 2001 Consumer overspending and rising household debt, along with external factors, slowed growth to near 3% again in 2003 Economic performance in 2004 improved to 4.6% due to an increase in exports Remained at or above 4% in 2005, 2006, and 2007. With the onset of the global financial and economic crisis in the third quarter of 2008, annual GDP growth slowed to 2.3% in 2008 and just 0.2% in 2009. Current Scenario Economic
  • 34. US- South Korea Ties As Korea's economy has developed, trade and investment ties have become an increasingly important aspect of the U.S.-R.O.K. relationship American firms have long been major investors in Korea Korea's leading firms have begun to make significant investments in the United States The IMF reforms also improved the trade relations Signed a comprehensive FTA that would eliminate virtually all barriers to trade and investment between the two countries, in 2007
  • 35. Tariffs on 95% of trade were to be eliminated within 3 years of implementation, All the remaining tariffs to be removed within 10 years of implementation The FTA will generate billions of dollars in increased trade and investment between the United States and the Republic of Korea Boost economic growth and job creation in both countries.
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  • 45. Phillip Curve for South Korea
  • 46. Won and USD Exchange Rate
  • 47. Findings South Korea's economic growth potential has fallen because of a rapidly aging population and structural problems that are becoming increasingly apparent. Foremost among these structural concerns are the rigidity of South Korea's labor regulations, the country's underdeveloped financial markets, and a general lack of regulatory transparency. Korean policy makers are increasingly worried about diversion of corporate investment to China and other lower wage countries, and by Korea's falling foreign direct investment (FDI).