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Workforce Management
 Fundamentals Series
    The Future of WFM
             Scott Brown
             President, Sability

           Jeremy Finney
      Chief Technology Officer, Sability
Predicting the Future
Approach
• Talked to WFM Vendors
  – What’s in your future?
  – What do practitioners want?
  – How do you see things currently changing?
• Talked to Practitioners
  – What’s in your company’s future?
  – How can WFM best sustain and enrich the
    organization?
Technology Adoption (i)
• Hardware realization
  – Initial capabilities
• Software realization
  – Can lag hardware significantly
• Sociological/community acceptance
  – Resistance to change
  – Video phones
  – Reversion
Technology Adoption (ii)
• Sociological Model
• Diffusion of Innovators
  – Everett Rogers
• Normal distribution
• Describes acceptance
  – Demographic factors
  – Psychological factors
• Crossing the Chasm, Geoffrey Moore
Workforce Management

NEAR TERM
Suite vs Best of Breed
Topic                   Suite                   Best of Breed
Interfacing             Suite! It’s all done!   New technologies enhance
                                                timeliness, reliability, and effort
Expertise               Seek it out             Focused
Nimbleness              Battleship              Turn on a dime
Competitive             Customers locked in     Must continue to earn your
                                                business
Analogy
 Kindle vs. iPad
Global
“Customers below                            "Over the last 5 years – there has
multinational in size are                   been a clear distinction between
managing WFM systems                        cultural acceptance and
                                            recognition of WFM and its value
through separate instances.”
                                            vs. technology’s readiness and
                                            capabilities. The technology has
“I’m sure the future will be                been there, and is way ahead of
the Fortune 500 will demand                 the cultural and socio-political
a consistent applications and               acceptance, and constraints due
consistent solutions, *…+ but               to data privacy concerns and
we have not found that to                   cross-country data exchange."
be a requirement.”                          --Ed Colby, WFM Technology
-- Ernie Pozzobon, TiMETech, CEO            evangelist
Scheduling
• Optimization
                              "Hybrid approach is best.
  – Recent discipline         Optimizers should drive to
  – Moving from team based        85%, then let store
                              manager manage the last
    to individual based         15% - the last mile." --
                               John Orr, CSO, Dayforce
  – Optimization algorithms
    are very basic
  – Human store managers
    are intuitive
Mobile
• Mobile sector is growing 8x faster than traditional
  PCs did at the same stage in their evolution
• Your future workers & possibly current customers
   – “Children now have two states of existence, *…+ asleep or
     online.“ -- Eric Schmidt, Google CEO
• Insure your WFM strategy includes mobile
  integration
Mobile
    Captive vs. User Owned Devices
• Captive device – Supplied by employer
  – Ultimate control over the device
     • Security
  – No multi-platform development required
• User Owned Device
  – Associate (employee) manages
  – Process required for enrollment of device
  – Remote wipe
Forecasting/Optimization
– Many organizations: not ready for forecasting and optimization
    • Not enough data in the proper format. A year of history is essential.
    • Socioeconomic makeup
– Dilemma
    • Market
    • What is the impact of the legal/socio/economic environment
–   What are the cause and effect relationships on your demand
–   Continuous learning
–   Much ROI still on the table
–   Schedule optimization is the most computational intense
    function in WFM
Business Intelligence
• Intelligence?
                                 " Business Intelligence
  – Information?                  would be a success if
  – Data.                       measured in volume. It
                               currently falls far short on
• Key Performance Indicators     the intelligence side."
                               -- John Orr, CSO, Dayforce

• Benchmarking
• Goal
  – Alert based
Social Media
• Big three
  – Facebook
  – LinkedIn
  – Twitter
• Data moving outside the corporate walls
• Integration points
• Standards would help
Threats (i)
• Cybercrime
  – All grown up
  – For profit
• Structured Organization
  – documented by the FBI
  – evolved roles
• Target is bank account information
  – worth $80 to $700 per account
Threats (ii)
• Technological obsolescence
  – Hidden cost associated with staying on a platform
    too long
     • Eroding skill sets (COBOL, assembler)
     • Support issues, not only software but OS, app servers
       and database servers
     • Legal/compliance updates
     • Cost of changes/opportunity costs of not being able to
       respond to market driven changes in a timely fashion
Threats (iii)
• Disruptive technologies
  – Web perfect example
  – Currently in another wave: Social
     •   Social interactions becoming very efficient
     •   This year I have twice as many friends as last
     •   As a society we are becoming much more connected
     •   Employees ever more comfortable with social software
     •   Largest current impact: recruiting
     •   Largest threat: privacy
Threats (iv)
• IPv4 address space exhausted
• IPv6 is coming
  – Successor to IPV4
  – 340,282,366,920,938,463,463,374,607,431,768,211,456
    unique addresses
• World IPV6 Day – June 8th, 2011
  – Test by major internet companies
  – http://isoc.org/wp/worldipv6day/participants/
Opportunities

• What will the Internet look like in 10 years?
• Internet Society
  – Scenario planning exercise
  – Shape the future as a citizen of the internet
  – Nicely done videos illustrating scenarios
     • http://www.isoc.org/tools/blogs/scenarios/
Workforce Management

LONG TERM
Building /Fitting
• Currently evolving from coding to configuring
  – Think of it as “Code as Data”
  – Code backdoors
  – Change control is still essential
• Next evolution: system training
  – Artificial intelligence
Data Gathering
• Automation of data gathering
• Technically ready
• Economically justifiable
• Primary barrier to adoption is
  sociological
• Current technologies employ
  wireless sensor bands or
  video recognition with
                                   • EA Sports Active 2
  “wand”
                                       – Coaches participant on exercise
• Future: no augmentation
                                   • Potential to replace majority
  required                           of data entry
Pattern Recognition
• Systems that watch and learn
• Any gatherable quantifiable metric
• Moving from systems that track to systems
  that predict
• Danger is generation of false correlations
User Interfaces (i)
• Best enjoyed when not
  seen
• Most today involve one or
  more levels of abstraction
• (Whisking these
  away/improving these)
  produces interfaces that
  require no training
• Learning UI’s must be ultra-
  transparent
User Interfaces (ii)
– The distance between information and our brain is
  getting shorter.
   • The time involved could have easily have been 10 hours
     per question.
   • Time-to-answer process has been reduced to as little as
     10 minutes.
   • The next iteration of interface design will give us the
     power to find answers in as little as 10 seconds.
   --Thomas Frey - Google’s Top Rated Futurist Speaker

   • WFM systems are in the 10 seconds or less category
   • Next step – virtual elimination of wait time
User Interfaces (iii)
• Keyboard – 130 year old “technology”
  – Universal adoption
  – Dvorak keyboard
  – Requires a disruptive technology
• Mouse – showing it’s age
  – Stopgap: Multi-touch touch-screens
• What’s the answer?
  – Voice Recognition
  – Video: gestures
                                         Scroll up
Video
• Next generation of input/data gathering
• Boil down to essential elements
  – “Videometrics”
  – Less liability
  – Less privacy issues
  – Should be defined to a common format
     • Standards based
Non Human workers
• No, not robots in the traditional sense
• Chatbots
   – http://www.chatbots.org/
• Gartner: by 2015 10% of your online friends will be
  automated
• Enterprises will not be able to keep up with the “Social Gap”
• Chatbots are the only answer, teleclerks will be replaced be
  chatbots “managed” (monitored) by humans. Slowly the
  entire line function will be replaced
• Turing test
Gartner - Top Technology Predictions
•   Gartner Webinar Top Technology Predictions for 2011 and Beyond
•   By 2015, a G20 nation’s critical infrastructure will be disrupted and damaged by online sabotage.
•   By 2015, new revenue generated each year by IT will determine the annual compensation of most
    new Global 2000 CIOs.
•   By 2015, information-smart businesses will increase recognized IT spending per head by 60
    percent.
•   By 2015, tools and automation will eliminate 25 percent of labor hours associated with IT
    services.
•   By 2015, most external assessments of enterprise value and viability will include explicit analysis
    of IT assets and capabilities.
•   By 2015, 80% of enterprises using external cloud services will demand independent certification
    that providers can restore operations and data
•   By 2015, companies will generate 50% of Web sales via their social presence and mobile
    applications
•   By 2014, 90 percent of organizations will support corporate applications on personal devices.
•   By 2013, 80 percent of businesses will support a workforce using tablets.
•   By 2015, 10 percent of your online “friends” will be nonhuman
WFM Today vs Tomorrow
                           Tired                   Wired
Critical success factors   Cost Saving             Revenue/Value Generation
Productivity               100% Utilization        3M approach
Resources                  Manage                  Inspire
Reporting                  Business Intelligence   Alerts
Data Gathering             Biometric               Videometric
Orientation                Tracking                Predicting
Conclusions
• Video is the “Killer App”
• Sociological acceptance is typically the
  primary factor in delaying the rollout of new
  technologies.
• Moving from systems that track to systems
  that predict
• Technology is not a solution, but an enabler of
  solutions
Thank You

scott.brown@sability.com
  twitter: #scottabrown
         #sability

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Sability The Future of WFM

  • 1. Workforce Management Fundamentals Series The Future of WFM Scott Brown President, Sability Jeremy Finney Chief Technology Officer, Sability
  • 3. Approach • Talked to WFM Vendors – What’s in your future? – What do practitioners want? – How do you see things currently changing? • Talked to Practitioners – What’s in your company’s future? – How can WFM best sustain and enrich the organization?
  • 4. Technology Adoption (i) • Hardware realization – Initial capabilities • Software realization – Can lag hardware significantly • Sociological/community acceptance – Resistance to change – Video phones – Reversion
  • 5. Technology Adoption (ii) • Sociological Model • Diffusion of Innovators – Everett Rogers • Normal distribution • Describes acceptance – Demographic factors – Psychological factors • Crossing the Chasm, Geoffrey Moore
  • 7. Suite vs Best of Breed Topic Suite Best of Breed Interfacing Suite! It’s all done! New technologies enhance timeliness, reliability, and effort Expertise Seek it out Focused Nimbleness Battleship Turn on a dime Competitive Customers locked in Must continue to earn your business Analogy Kindle vs. iPad
  • 8. Global “Customers below "Over the last 5 years – there has multinational in size are been a clear distinction between managing WFM systems cultural acceptance and recognition of WFM and its value through separate instances.” vs. technology’s readiness and capabilities. The technology has “I’m sure the future will be been there, and is way ahead of the Fortune 500 will demand the cultural and socio-political a consistent applications and acceptance, and constraints due consistent solutions, *…+ but to data privacy concerns and we have not found that to cross-country data exchange." be a requirement.” --Ed Colby, WFM Technology -- Ernie Pozzobon, TiMETech, CEO evangelist
  • 9. Scheduling • Optimization "Hybrid approach is best. – Recent discipline Optimizers should drive to – Moving from team based 85%, then let store manager manage the last to individual based 15% - the last mile." -- John Orr, CSO, Dayforce – Optimization algorithms are very basic – Human store managers are intuitive
  • 10. Mobile • Mobile sector is growing 8x faster than traditional PCs did at the same stage in their evolution • Your future workers & possibly current customers – “Children now have two states of existence, *…+ asleep or online.“ -- Eric Schmidt, Google CEO • Insure your WFM strategy includes mobile integration
  • 11. Mobile Captive vs. User Owned Devices • Captive device – Supplied by employer – Ultimate control over the device • Security – No multi-platform development required • User Owned Device – Associate (employee) manages – Process required for enrollment of device – Remote wipe
  • 12. Forecasting/Optimization – Many organizations: not ready for forecasting and optimization • Not enough data in the proper format. A year of history is essential. • Socioeconomic makeup – Dilemma • Market • What is the impact of the legal/socio/economic environment – What are the cause and effect relationships on your demand – Continuous learning – Much ROI still on the table – Schedule optimization is the most computational intense function in WFM
  • 13. Business Intelligence • Intelligence? " Business Intelligence – Information? would be a success if – Data. measured in volume. It currently falls far short on • Key Performance Indicators the intelligence side." -- John Orr, CSO, Dayforce • Benchmarking • Goal – Alert based
  • 14. Social Media • Big three – Facebook – LinkedIn – Twitter • Data moving outside the corporate walls • Integration points • Standards would help
  • 15. Threats (i) • Cybercrime – All grown up – For profit • Structured Organization – documented by the FBI – evolved roles • Target is bank account information – worth $80 to $700 per account
  • 16. Threats (ii) • Technological obsolescence – Hidden cost associated with staying on a platform too long • Eroding skill sets (COBOL, assembler) • Support issues, not only software but OS, app servers and database servers • Legal/compliance updates • Cost of changes/opportunity costs of not being able to respond to market driven changes in a timely fashion
  • 17. Threats (iii) • Disruptive technologies – Web perfect example – Currently in another wave: Social • Social interactions becoming very efficient • This year I have twice as many friends as last • As a society we are becoming much more connected • Employees ever more comfortable with social software • Largest current impact: recruiting • Largest threat: privacy
  • 18. Threats (iv) • IPv4 address space exhausted • IPv6 is coming – Successor to IPV4 – 340,282,366,920,938,463,463,374,607,431,768,211,456 unique addresses • World IPV6 Day – June 8th, 2011 – Test by major internet companies – http://isoc.org/wp/worldipv6day/participants/
  • 19. Opportunities • What will the Internet look like in 10 years? • Internet Society – Scenario planning exercise – Shape the future as a citizen of the internet – Nicely done videos illustrating scenarios • http://www.isoc.org/tools/blogs/scenarios/
  • 21. Building /Fitting • Currently evolving from coding to configuring – Think of it as “Code as Data” – Code backdoors – Change control is still essential • Next evolution: system training – Artificial intelligence
  • 22. Data Gathering • Automation of data gathering • Technically ready • Economically justifiable • Primary barrier to adoption is sociological • Current technologies employ wireless sensor bands or video recognition with • EA Sports Active 2 “wand” – Coaches participant on exercise • Future: no augmentation • Potential to replace majority required of data entry
  • 23. Pattern Recognition • Systems that watch and learn • Any gatherable quantifiable metric • Moving from systems that track to systems that predict • Danger is generation of false correlations
  • 24. User Interfaces (i) • Best enjoyed when not seen • Most today involve one or more levels of abstraction • (Whisking these away/improving these) produces interfaces that require no training • Learning UI’s must be ultra- transparent
  • 25. User Interfaces (ii) – The distance between information and our brain is getting shorter. • The time involved could have easily have been 10 hours per question. • Time-to-answer process has been reduced to as little as 10 minutes. • The next iteration of interface design will give us the power to find answers in as little as 10 seconds. --Thomas Frey - Google’s Top Rated Futurist Speaker • WFM systems are in the 10 seconds or less category • Next step – virtual elimination of wait time
  • 26. User Interfaces (iii) • Keyboard – 130 year old “technology” – Universal adoption – Dvorak keyboard – Requires a disruptive technology • Mouse – showing it’s age – Stopgap: Multi-touch touch-screens • What’s the answer? – Voice Recognition – Video: gestures Scroll up
  • 27. Video • Next generation of input/data gathering • Boil down to essential elements – “Videometrics” – Less liability – Less privacy issues – Should be defined to a common format • Standards based
  • 28. Non Human workers • No, not robots in the traditional sense • Chatbots – http://www.chatbots.org/ • Gartner: by 2015 10% of your online friends will be automated • Enterprises will not be able to keep up with the “Social Gap” • Chatbots are the only answer, teleclerks will be replaced be chatbots “managed” (monitored) by humans. Slowly the entire line function will be replaced • Turing test
  • 29. Gartner - Top Technology Predictions • Gartner Webinar Top Technology Predictions for 2011 and Beyond • By 2015, a G20 nation’s critical infrastructure will be disrupted and damaged by online sabotage. • By 2015, new revenue generated each year by IT will determine the annual compensation of most new Global 2000 CIOs. • By 2015, information-smart businesses will increase recognized IT spending per head by 60 percent. • By 2015, tools and automation will eliminate 25 percent of labor hours associated with IT services. • By 2015, most external assessments of enterprise value and viability will include explicit analysis of IT assets and capabilities. • By 2015, 80% of enterprises using external cloud services will demand independent certification that providers can restore operations and data • By 2015, companies will generate 50% of Web sales via their social presence and mobile applications • By 2014, 90 percent of organizations will support corporate applications on personal devices. • By 2013, 80 percent of businesses will support a workforce using tablets. • By 2015, 10 percent of your online “friends” will be nonhuman
  • 30. WFM Today vs Tomorrow Tired Wired Critical success factors Cost Saving Revenue/Value Generation Productivity 100% Utilization 3M approach Resources Manage Inspire Reporting Business Intelligence Alerts Data Gathering Biometric Videometric Orientation Tracking Predicting
  • 31. Conclusions • Video is the “Killer App” • Sociological acceptance is typically the primary factor in delaying the rollout of new technologies. • Moving from systems that track to systems that predict • Technology is not a solution, but an enabler of solutions
  • 32. Thank You scott.brown@sability.com twitter: #scottabrown #sability