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Malaria Elimination: Global Picture



The Science of Eradication: Malaria
Boston
8 June 2012




Robert D. Newman, MD, MPH
Director, Global Malaria Programme
WHO Global Malaria Programme:
                  four key roles
             I                                                               II

 Set, communicate and                                             Keep independent score
promote the adoption of                                             of global progress
evidence-based norms,              I
standards, policies, and
                                                             II
       guidelines
                                         Chart the
                                        course for
                                          malaria
                                          control
            IV
                                       & elimination                        III
                              IV
Identify threats to malaria                                        Develop approaches
control and elimination as                             III
                                                                   for capacity-building,
well as new opportunities                                         systems strengthening,
         for action                                                  and surveillance
MPAC Background

●  Scale up of malaria control and major investments in research =
   rapidly evolving policy environment for new tools and
   technologies (and end of one-size-fits-all approach)
●  Setting policy, norms and guidance on malaria control is primary
   role of WHO Global Malaria Programme (GMP)
●  MPAC provides independent strategic advice and technical input
   to WHO for development of policies related to malaria control &
   elimination
●  GMP dedicated to a policy setting process that is more:
    §  Timely, transparent, and accountable
●  2011 was a critical year in the redesign, launch and
   implementation of a strengthened policy setting process
Designing and Launching MPAC
●  March 2011 - GMP Advisory Group on policy setting convened to
   review previous and existing processes, consider successful
   models, propose draft ToR
●  April-June 2011 - Draft ToR (based on SAGE) received extensive
   input from over 40 external stakeholders
●  August 2011 – ToR approved by WHO Director General
●  September-October 2011 – Open call for nominations, 100
   applications received & reviewed by independent selection panel
●  November 2011 – 15 nominees appointed as MPAC members,
   selected for their experience and broad expertise
●  December 2011 – all MPAC related information available online
●  January/February 2102 – Inaugural meeting
●  April 2012 – MPAC report published in Malaria Journal
MPAC: organogram
      Evidence Review
          Groups

 ERG a               ERG c

          ERG b                Standing TEG
                               on
                               chemotherapy
                                                                                      WHO COs


                                                               WHO malaria policy
SAGE                           MPAC                 WHO DG    recommendations and
                                                                   guidelines
                                                                                      MoH and
                                                                                      NMCPs
                   JTEG
                  (with IVB)
 Other WHO                            WHO GMP                WHO ROs         RBM: Secretariat,
departments                           Secretariat                             WGs and SRNs


                   VCAG
                  (Proposed,
                  with NTD)
Interface between Roll Back Malaria
     Partnership (RBM) and WHO-GMP

●  RBM Secretariat is hosted at WHO
●  RBM Roles
    §  Advocacy
    §  Resource mobilization
    §  Partner harmonization
●  Important to optimize interface between RBM
   mechanisms and WHO-GMP
    §  Example: MPAC meetings are offset from RBM Board
        meetings by 3 months to allow for dissemination of
        new policies and input into next agenda
World Malaria Report 2011
        •  2011	
  Report	
  released	
  on	
  13	
  December	
  2011	
  
        • 	
  Annual	
  reference	
  on	
  the	
  status	
  of	
  global	
  malaria	
  
        control	
  &	
  elimina<on.	
  	
  Data	
  to	
  2010	
  and	
  2011	
  
        • 	
  Principal	
  data	
  source	
  is	
  na<onal	
  programs	
  in	
  106	
  
        endemic	
  countries	
  with	
  support	
  from:	
  WHO	
  Regional	
  
        offices,	
  ACT	
  Watch,	
  AMFm,	
  ALMA,	
  CDC,	
  CHAI,	
  Columbia	
  
        University,	
  DFID,	
  DHS/	
  Measure,	
  FIND,	
  GHG	
  UCSF,	
  
        Global	
  Fund,	
  IHME,	
  ISGlobal,	
  JHU,	
  PATH,	
  R4D,	
  RBM,	
  
        Tulane	
  University,	
  UNICEF,	
  UNSE,	
  USAID	
  
        • 	
  Summarizes	
  key	
  malaria	
  targets	
  &	
  goals	
  
        • 	
  Documents	
  trends	
  in	
  financing,	
  interven<on	
  coverage	
  
        and	
  malaria	
  cases	
  and	
  deaths	
  
        • 	
  Updates	
  malaria	
  burden	
  es<mates	
  for	
  decade:	
  
        2000-­‐2010	
  	
  
        • 	
  NEW:	
  Profiles	
  for	
  each	
  of	
  the	
  99	
  countries	
  with	
  
        ongoing	
  transmission	
  
Past and projected international funding
           for malaria control
Number of LLINs delivered by manufacturers
    to countries in sub-Saharan Africa
294 million LLINs procured for distribution in Africa between 2008 and end 2010
More than 50% of households in sub-Saharan Africa owned at least 1 ITN as of 2011
Proportion of population at malaria risk
           protected by IRS
Malaria RDT sales

Sales	
  to	
  public	
  and	
  private	
  sectors	
     Sales	
  by	
  panel	
  detec3on	
  score	
  (PDS)	
  	
  
Proportion of suspected malaria cases at
public health facilities receiving a parasitological test
     100%
      90%
      80%
      70%                                                            Africa
      60%                                                            Americas
                                                                     Eastern Mediterranean
      50%
                                                                     Europe
      40%
                                                                     South-East Asia
      30%                                                            Western Pacific
      20%
      10%
      0%
            2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

            Despite improvements, long way to go to reach
            universal access to diagnostic testing, especially in
            Africa (currently 45%)
Current classification of 193 countries and 2 territories
 by the malaria programme that is implemented in the worst affected part of the country




                                                                     control
                   9    8
               8
                                                                     pre-elimination
                                                              29
                                                                     elimination

                                        89
                                                                     prevention of
                                                              60     reintroduction
       81
                                                                     certified malaria-free


                                                                     supplementary list
Malaria Elimination: 2011
Progress with malaria elimination in the
        WHO European Region

●  Ten out of 53 countries in the European Region were
   affected by malaria in 2000
●  As of 2011, 102 locally acquired malaria cases were
   reported in only five countries: Azerbaijan (4), Georgia
   (1), Tajikistan (53), Turkey (4) and Greece (40)
●  Turkmenistan was certified malaria-free by WHO in
   2010 and Armenia – in 2011
●  Kazakhstan was added to supplementary list of
   malaria free countries in 2012
Progress with malaria elimination in WHO
           European Region
                     Indigenous malaria cases in WHO EURO, 2000-2011

                   25000
                   20000
    Cases number




                   15000
                   10000

                    5000
                       0
                          00

                          01

                          02

                          03

                          04

                          05

                          06

                          07

                          08

                          09

                          10

                          11
                       20

                       20

                       20

                       20

                       20

                       20

                       20

                       20

                       20

                       20

                       20

                       20
                    Azerbaijan           Georgia         Kyrgyzstan
                    Russian Federation   Tajikistan      Turkey
                    Turkmenistan         Uzbekistan
Number of autochthonous cases of
          malaria in EURO, 1990-2011




                                                                     2011
                  100000
                   90000
                   80000
                   70000
                   60000
1996               50000
                   40000
                   30000
                   20000
                   10000
                       0
                        1990   1993   1996   1999   2002   2005   2008   2011
Autochthonous malaria, Central Asia 2011

 30000

 25000

 20000

 15000

 10000

  5000

     0
      1992   1995   1998   2001   2004   2007   2010




                                  KAZAKHSTAN


               UZBEKISTAN                              KYRGYZSTAN

                                                                AREAS AFFECTED BY MALARIA

                                                       TAJIKISTAN
             TURKMENISTAN
Progress with malaria elimination in WHO
      Eastern Mediterranean Region
●  Twelve out of 20 countries in the Eastern Mediterranean
   Region reported local malaria transmission in 2000
●  During subsequent decade, six countries embarked on
   nationwide elimination programmes (Islamic Republic
   of Iran, Iraq, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Syria),
   resulting in 10-fold reduction in malaria cases
●  Three others (Pakistan, Sudan and Yemen) developed
   sub-national malaria-elimination initiatives
●  The United Arab Emirates and Morocco were certified
   malaria-free in 2007 and 2010, respectively
Elimination in Morocco
                                                                                      Monitoring & surveillance
              Malaria has been eliminated in Morocco                                    remain high priority

Total cases
(log scale)                                                                           Map of entomological surveillance
100,000                                                                                    sites in Morocco today


 10,000




  1,000




   100




    10
                Local cases                                                               Permanent breeding sites for
                Total cases                                                                entomological surveillance

     0
      1960     1965   1970    1975   1980   1985   1990   1995   2000   2005   2010




                                                                                                                         2
                                                                                                                         0
Elimination in Iraq
                                                                                         Last Local cases in
              Cases of vivax malaria                  Local cases in Iraq,                      2008
                 - Iraq 1990-2008                         2005-2008

Local cases                                                                     Total cases
100,000
               98,222                                                             50

                                                                                        3              Imported cases
                                                                                                       Local cases
                                                                                  40
                        49,836

 40,000                                                                           30


                                                                                              1
                                                                                  20
 20,000

                        9,684
                                                                                  10
                           1,860
                                   44     2 0                                                     1    4
                                                                                                           1
                                                                                                                   7
      0                                           Sulaimania was the last
                                                                                   0              2    2
      1990       1995      2000    2005    2010   region with malaria in Iraq
                                                                                       2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010




                                                                                                               2
                                                                                                               1
Elimination in Saudi Arabia

                                                           Reported malaria                                                                             Strong political
                                                   cases in Saudi Arabia, 1990-2010                                                                      commitment

                           100,000	
                                Total cases                          Local cases



                            10,000	
  

                                                                                                                                         1941	
  

                              1,000	
  




                                100	
                                                                                                                 Coordination with
                                                                                                                                       29	
         Yemen for cross-border
Southwestern Saudi
                                                                                                                                                    IRS activities to reduce
Arabia (including Jazan,                                                                                                                                 transmission
                                  10	
  
Aseer & Qunfuda) is the
primary malaria focus
for P. falciparum,                  1	
  
transmitted via An.                         1990	
   1992	
   1994	
   1996	
   1998	
   2000	
   2002	
   2004	
   2006	
   2008	
   2010	
  

arabiensis
Progress in Republic of Iran
•  Iran has had gradual
                                            Trend of Total and Local Cases- Iran (Islamic Republic of )

                             25000


   reduction of malaria      20000
                                                                                                          Total Reported Cases
                                                                                                          Local Cases




   cases
                             15000


•  Only 1847 local cases     10000


   recorded in 2010
                             5000

   (85% reduction
   compared to 2000)
                                0
                                     2000   2001   2002    2003   2004    2005   2006    2007    2008      2009         2010




•  Both Pf & Pv exist;
   close to Pf elimination
•  Transmission is focal
   mainly in areas
   bordering Pakistan
Progress with malaria elimination in WHO
     Region of the Americas (PAHO)
●  Local malaria transmission in 23 out of 47
   countries in 2000
●  Four have since progressed to the pre-
   elimination phase (Argentina, El Salvador,
   Paraguay and Mexico)
●  Two have initiated an elimination programme
   at sub-national level (Dominican Republic and
   Haiti)
●  Two other countries (Bahamas and Jamaica)
   suffered a temporary reintroduction of
   malaria transmission in 2006 that has since
   been controlled
Progress with malaria elimination in WHO
    Southeast Asia Region (SEARO)
●  With exception of the Maldives, which is preventing
   reintroduction following its successful elimination
   efforts in the 1980s, all 11 countries affected by
   malaria during last decade
●  Two countries progressing with nationwide
   elimination (Sri Lanka and Democratic People’s
   Republic of Korea)
●  Indonesia has adopted a sub-national elimination
   strategy for Java and Bali
●  Bhutan and Thailand, where large areas with no
   malaria transmission are found, have expressed their
   intention to proceed with elimination
Progress with malaria elimination in WHO
     Western Pacific Region (WPRO)
●  Malaria is still endemic in 10 of 37 countries
●  Malaysia and Republic of Korea implementing
   nationwide malaria elimination programmes
●  Sub-national elimination on-going in Philippines,
   Solomon Islands, and Vanuatu
●  Cambodia, China, Viet Nam and Lao People’s
   Democratic Republic have included elimination in
   their national strategies.
●  In 2010, China made a government commitment to
   eliminate malaria
Progress with malaria elimination in WHO
          African Region (AFRO)
●  All but four of 46 countries have on-going transmission
●  Lesotho, Mauritius, and the Seychelles not endemic for
   malaria
●  Algeria is in the elimination phase; Cape Verde entered the
   pre-elimination phase in 2010
●  Four countries of southern Africa (Botswana, Namibia, South
   Africa and Swaziland) share a common goal of eliminating
   malaria by 2015; joined by four northern neighbours (Angola,
   Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe) in 2009, to form sub-
   regional malaria elimination initiative known as Elimination
   Eight (E8)
●  Another four countries in Africa (Gambia, Rwanda, Sao Tome
   and Principe, and Madagascar) have secured grants to
   prepare for elimination
Recent WHO activities on malaria elimination
●  Community Based Reduction of Malaria
   Transmission (with malERA)
●  Eliminating Malaria: Learning from the Past and
   Looking Ahead
●  Malaria Elimination Case Studies Series (together
   with UCSF Global Health Group)
●  Elimination Scenario Planning (ESP) tool
   (together with Clinton Health Access Initiative)
●  Launch of Disease Surveillance for Malaria
   Elimination
●  Launch of T3: Test. Treat. Track.
Major challenges ahead
●  Political commitment
●  Financial resources
●  Global health architecture
●  Procurement and supply chain management
●  Health system capacity; human resource capacity
●  Delivering quality case management in the private sector
●  Antimalarial drug resistance
●  Insecticide resistance
●  Inadequate surveillance and controversies over burden
   estimation
●  Delivering results in highest burden countries
Challenge: Global political commitment
●  Context
    §  Major shift towards non-communicable diseases
    §  Sense that malaria has already made significant progress, therefore
        needs less support going forward
    §  Fatigue (this is a long fight)
●  Potential solutions
    §  Consistent evidence-based policy setting (WHO Malaria Policy
        Advisory Committee)
    §  Careful and consistent documenting of impact
    §  Link to wider health & development efforts
    §  Resolutions from major organizations (e.g. UN, WHO)
    §  Organizational support (e.g. ALMA)
    §  Helping countries cross the finish line (malaria elimination)
●  Risks
    §  Advocacy sometimes out ahead of reality: a fine line
Continued global political commitment

●  Creation of African Leaders Malaria Alliance
   (ALMA): 2009
●  United Nations General Assembly resolution on
   malaria: April 2011
●  World Health Assembly (WHA) resolution on
   malaria: May 2011
●  Roll Back Malaria (RBM) Partnership revised
   objectives, targets, and priorities: June 2011
●  malERA (2009-2011) & MESA (2012 & beyond)
Challenge: Financial
●  Context
    §  Well short of estimated 6 billion USD per year required
    §  Concerning data to suggest that funds could decline by 2015
    §  Global financial crisis and competing priorities with potential to
        worsen the situation
    §  Global Fund Continuity of Services policy does not include
        malaria
●  Potential solutions
    §  Increased efficiency and value for money
    §  Increased domestic funding for malaria
    §  Innovative financing mechanisms
●  Risks
    §  Worsening financial crisis; continued financial challenges at
        Global Fund
Tashkent	
  
                                                                                                                                    declara3on	
  WHO/
                                    Northern	
  Africa	
                                                                            EURO	
  2005	
  
                                    WHO/EMRO	
  1997	
  




                                The	
  Hispaniola	
                                                                                        APMEN	
  
                                Ini3a3ve	
  	
                                                                                             2009	
  
                                Carter	
  Center	
  
                                2008	
  


                                    Suriname	
             West	
  Africa	
  
                                    ini3a3ve?	
                                                       Professor	
  Li's	
  
                                                           2009	
                                     FEMSE	
  projects	
  
                                                                                                      2003-­‐2005-­‐2007	
  
Mesoamerican	
  
Ini3a3ve	
  for	
  Public	
                                                                           	
  
Health	
  2008	
                      Southern	
  Cone	
  
	
                                    ini3a3ve	
  	
                                                  Arabian	
  Peninsula	
  
	
                                                                                                    malaria	
  free	
  2006	
  
	
  

                                                           	
  	
  	
  	
  SADC	
  2007	
  
                                                    	
  Elimina3on	
  8	
  2009	
  
                                                                                                         GLOBAL
                                                                                              MALARIA PROGRAMME
Major opportunities ahead
●  Malaria elimination: crossing the finish line
●  Trans-border collaboration
●  New uses for existing tools. Example: Seasonal Malaria
   Chemoprevention (WHO policy for Sahel sub-Region as of 2012)
●  New tools: malaria vaccine in 2015?
●  Integrated community case management (iCCM)
●  Improving efficiency and value for money. Example: a 5-year LLIN
●  Universal diagnostic testing, improved case management, and
   strengthened surveillance (T3: Test, Treat, Track)
●  Stratification:
   §  Using data for decision making
   §  Determining the optimal intervention mix for different
       epidemiological settings
Malaria Surveillance Manuals – Worldwide launch:
             Namibia, 24 April 2012
Surveillance Manuals: Objective and Rationale
●  Objective
   §  To provide guidance to malaria-endemic countries on the operation of
       malaria surveillance systems for malaria control and elimination
●  Rationale
   §  Updated malaria surveillance guidance has not been issued by WHO
       since the Global Malaria Eradication Programme era
   §  Scale-up of malaria interventions increases need for timely and
       accurate information on malaria occurrence for program management
   §  Increasing availability of malaria diagnostic tests allows for tracking
       confirmed malaria cases and better targeting of resources
   §  New manuals focus on program implementation and complement
       other existing guidance on malaria indicators
Three WHO Manuals as pillars of T3


 Test       Treat       Track
T3: Test. Treat. Track.
Worldwide Launch: Namibia, World Malaria Day 2012
Keep our eye on the prizes

● First: near zero deaths from malaria
  § Today, no one should die from
     malaria for lack of a 5 dollar bednet,
     a 50 cent diagnostic test, and a 1
     dollar antimalarial treatment
● Ultimately: a world free of malaria

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Robert Newman - Science of Eradication: Malaria 2012

  • 1. Malaria Elimination: Global Picture The Science of Eradication: Malaria Boston 8 June 2012 Robert D. Newman, MD, MPH Director, Global Malaria Programme
  • 2. WHO Global Malaria Programme: four key roles I II Set, communicate and Keep independent score promote the adoption of of global progress evidence-based norms, I standards, policies, and II guidelines Chart the course for malaria control IV & elimination III IV Identify threats to malaria Develop approaches control and elimination as III for capacity-building, well as new opportunities systems strengthening, for action and surveillance
  • 3. MPAC Background ●  Scale up of malaria control and major investments in research = rapidly evolving policy environment for new tools and technologies (and end of one-size-fits-all approach) ●  Setting policy, norms and guidance on malaria control is primary role of WHO Global Malaria Programme (GMP) ●  MPAC provides independent strategic advice and technical input to WHO for development of policies related to malaria control & elimination ●  GMP dedicated to a policy setting process that is more: §  Timely, transparent, and accountable ●  2011 was a critical year in the redesign, launch and implementation of a strengthened policy setting process
  • 4. Designing and Launching MPAC ●  March 2011 - GMP Advisory Group on policy setting convened to review previous and existing processes, consider successful models, propose draft ToR ●  April-June 2011 - Draft ToR (based on SAGE) received extensive input from over 40 external stakeholders ●  August 2011 – ToR approved by WHO Director General ●  September-October 2011 – Open call for nominations, 100 applications received & reviewed by independent selection panel ●  November 2011 – 15 nominees appointed as MPAC members, selected for their experience and broad expertise ●  December 2011 – all MPAC related information available online ●  January/February 2102 – Inaugural meeting ●  April 2012 – MPAC report published in Malaria Journal
  • 5. MPAC: organogram Evidence Review Groups ERG a ERG c ERG b Standing TEG on chemotherapy WHO COs WHO malaria policy SAGE MPAC WHO DG recommendations and guidelines MoH and NMCPs JTEG (with IVB) Other WHO WHO GMP WHO ROs RBM: Secretariat, departments Secretariat WGs and SRNs VCAG (Proposed, with NTD)
  • 6. Interface between Roll Back Malaria Partnership (RBM) and WHO-GMP ●  RBM Secretariat is hosted at WHO ●  RBM Roles §  Advocacy §  Resource mobilization §  Partner harmonization ●  Important to optimize interface between RBM mechanisms and WHO-GMP §  Example: MPAC meetings are offset from RBM Board meetings by 3 months to allow for dissemination of new policies and input into next agenda
  • 7. World Malaria Report 2011 •  2011  Report  released  on  13  December  2011   •   Annual  reference  on  the  status  of  global  malaria   control  &  elimina<on.    Data  to  2010  and  2011   •   Principal  data  source  is  na<onal  programs  in  106   endemic  countries  with  support  from:  WHO  Regional   offices,  ACT  Watch,  AMFm,  ALMA,  CDC,  CHAI,  Columbia   University,  DFID,  DHS/  Measure,  FIND,  GHG  UCSF,   Global  Fund,  IHME,  ISGlobal,  JHU,  PATH,  R4D,  RBM,   Tulane  University,  UNICEF,  UNSE,  USAID   •   Summarizes  key  malaria  targets  &  goals   •   Documents  trends  in  financing,  interven<on  coverage   and  malaria  cases  and  deaths   •   Updates  malaria  burden  es<mates  for  decade:   2000-­‐2010     •   NEW:  Profiles  for  each  of  the  99  countries  with   ongoing  transmission  
  • 8. Past and projected international funding for malaria control
  • 9. Number of LLINs delivered by manufacturers to countries in sub-Saharan Africa 294 million LLINs procured for distribution in Africa between 2008 and end 2010 More than 50% of households in sub-Saharan Africa owned at least 1 ITN as of 2011
  • 10. Proportion of population at malaria risk protected by IRS
  • 11. Malaria RDT sales Sales  to  public  and  private  sectors   Sales  by  panel  detec3on  score  (PDS)    
  • 12. Proportion of suspected malaria cases at public health facilities receiving a parasitological test 100% 90% 80% 70% Africa 60% Americas Eastern Mediterranean 50% Europe 40% South-East Asia 30% Western Pacific 20% 10% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Despite improvements, long way to go to reach universal access to diagnostic testing, especially in Africa (currently 45%)
  • 13. Current classification of 193 countries and 2 territories by the malaria programme that is implemented in the worst affected part of the country control 9 8 8 pre-elimination 29 elimination 89 prevention of 60 reintroduction 81 certified malaria-free supplementary list
  • 15. Progress with malaria elimination in the WHO European Region ●  Ten out of 53 countries in the European Region were affected by malaria in 2000 ●  As of 2011, 102 locally acquired malaria cases were reported in only five countries: Azerbaijan (4), Georgia (1), Tajikistan (53), Turkey (4) and Greece (40) ●  Turkmenistan was certified malaria-free by WHO in 2010 and Armenia – in 2011 ●  Kazakhstan was added to supplementary list of malaria free countries in 2012
  • 16. Progress with malaria elimination in WHO European Region Indigenous malaria cases in WHO EURO, 2000-2011 25000 20000 Cases number 15000 10000 5000 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Azerbaijan Georgia Kyrgyzstan Russian Federation Tajikistan Turkey Turkmenistan Uzbekistan
  • 17. Number of autochthonous cases of malaria in EURO, 1990-2011 2011 100000 90000 80000 70000 60000 1996 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
  • 18. Autochthonous malaria, Central Asia 2011 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 KAZAKHSTAN UZBEKISTAN KYRGYZSTAN AREAS AFFECTED BY MALARIA TAJIKISTAN TURKMENISTAN
  • 19. Progress with malaria elimination in WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region ●  Twelve out of 20 countries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region reported local malaria transmission in 2000 ●  During subsequent decade, six countries embarked on nationwide elimination programmes (Islamic Republic of Iran, Iraq, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Syria), resulting in 10-fold reduction in malaria cases ●  Three others (Pakistan, Sudan and Yemen) developed sub-national malaria-elimination initiatives ●  The United Arab Emirates and Morocco were certified malaria-free in 2007 and 2010, respectively
  • 20. Elimination in Morocco Monitoring & surveillance Malaria has been eliminated in Morocco remain high priority Total cases (log scale) Map of entomological surveillance 100,000 sites in Morocco today 10,000 1,000 100 10 Local cases Permanent breeding sites for Total cases entomological surveillance 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2 0
  • 21. Elimination in Iraq Last Local cases in Cases of vivax malaria Local cases in Iraq, 2008 - Iraq 1990-2008 2005-2008 Local cases Total cases 100,000 98,222 50 3 Imported cases Local cases 40 49,836 40,000 30 1 20 20,000 9,684 10 1,860 44 2 0 1 4 1 7 0 Sulaimania was the last 0 2 2 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 region with malaria in Iraq 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2 1
  • 22. Elimination in Saudi Arabia Reported malaria Strong political cases in Saudi Arabia, 1990-2010 commitment 100,000   Total cases Local cases 10,000   1941   1,000   100   Coordination with 29   Yemen for cross-border Southwestern Saudi IRS activities to reduce Arabia (including Jazan, transmission 10   Aseer & Qunfuda) is the primary malaria focus for P. falciparum, 1   transmitted via An. 1990   1992   1994   1996   1998   2000   2002   2004   2006   2008   2010   arabiensis
  • 23. Progress in Republic of Iran •  Iran has had gradual Trend of Total and Local Cases- Iran (Islamic Republic of ) 25000 reduction of malaria 20000 Total Reported Cases Local Cases cases 15000 •  Only 1847 local cases 10000 recorded in 2010 5000 (85% reduction compared to 2000) 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 •  Both Pf & Pv exist; close to Pf elimination •  Transmission is focal mainly in areas bordering Pakistan
  • 24. Progress with malaria elimination in WHO Region of the Americas (PAHO) ●  Local malaria transmission in 23 out of 47 countries in 2000 ●  Four have since progressed to the pre- elimination phase (Argentina, El Salvador, Paraguay and Mexico) ●  Two have initiated an elimination programme at sub-national level (Dominican Republic and Haiti) ●  Two other countries (Bahamas and Jamaica) suffered a temporary reintroduction of malaria transmission in 2006 that has since been controlled
  • 25. Progress with malaria elimination in WHO Southeast Asia Region (SEARO) ●  With exception of the Maldives, which is preventing reintroduction following its successful elimination efforts in the 1980s, all 11 countries affected by malaria during last decade ●  Two countries progressing with nationwide elimination (Sri Lanka and Democratic People’s Republic of Korea) ●  Indonesia has adopted a sub-national elimination strategy for Java and Bali ●  Bhutan and Thailand, where large areas with no malaria transmission are found, have expressed their intention to proceed with elimination
  • 26. Progress with malaria elimination in WHO Western Pacific Region (WPRO) ●  Malaria is still endemic in 10 of 37 countries ●  Malaysia and Republic of Korea implementing nationwide malaria elimination programmes ●  Sub-national elimination on-going in Philippines, Solomon Islands, and Vanuatu ●  Cambodia, China, Viet Nam and Lao People’s Democratic Republic have included elimination in their national strategies. ●  In 2010, China made a government commitment to eliminate malaria
  • 27. Progress with malaria elimination in WHO African Region (AFRO) ●  All but four of 46 countries have on-going transmission ●  Lesotho, Mauritius, and the Seychelles not endemic for malaria ●  Algeria is in the elimination phase; Cape Verde entered the pre-elimination phase in 2010 ●  Four countries of southern Africa (Botswana, Namibia, South Africa and Swaziland) share a common goal of eliminating malaria by 2015; joined by four northern neighbours (Angola, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe) in 2009, to form sub- regional malaria elimination initiative known as Elimination Eight (E8) ●  Another four countries in Africa (Gambia, Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, and Madagascar) have secured grants to prepare for elimination
  • 28. Recent WHO activities on malaria elimination ●  Community Based Reduction of Malaria Transmission (with malERA) ●  Eliminating Malaria: Learning from the Past and Looking Ahead ●  Malaria Elimination Case Studies Series (together with UCSF Global Health Group) ●  Elimination Scenario Planning (ESP) tool (together with Clinton Health Access Initiative) ●  Launch of Disease Surveillance for Malaria Elimination ●  Launch of T3: Test. Treat. Track.
  • 29. Major challenges ahead ●  Political commitment ●  Financial resources ●  Global health architecture ●  Procurement and supply chain management ●  Health system capacity; human resource capacity ●  Delivering quality case management in the private sector ●  Antimalarial drug resistance ●  Insecticide resistance ●  Inadequate surveillance and controversies over burden estimation ●  Delivering results in highest burden countries
  • 30. Challenge: Global political commitment ●  Context §  Major shift towards non-communicable diseases §  Sense that malaria has already made significant progress, therefore needs less support going forward §  Fatigue (this is a long fight) ●  Potential solutions §  Consistent evidence-based policy setting (WHO Malaria Policy Advisory Committee) §  Careful and consistent documenting of impact §  Link to wider health & development efforts §  Resolutions from major organizations (e.g. UN, WHO) §  Organizational support (e.g. ALMA) §  Helping countries cross the finish line (malaria elimination) ●  Risks §  Advocacy sometimes out ahead of reality: a fine line
  • 31. Continued global political commitment ●  Creation of African Leaders Malaria Alliance (ALMA): 2009 ●  United Nations General Assembly resolution on malaria: April 2011 ●  World Health Assembly (WHA) resolution on malaria: May 2011 ●  Roll Back Malaria (RBM) Partnership revised objectives, targets, and priorities: June 2011 ●  malERA (2009-2011) & MESA (2012 & beyond)
  • 32. Challenge: Financial ●  Context §  Well short of estimated 6 billion USD per year required §  Concerning data to suggest that funds could decline by 2015 §  Global financial crisis and competing priorities with potential to worsen the situation §  Global Fund Continuity of Services policy does not include malaria ●  Potential solutions §  Increased efficiency and value for money §  Increased domestic funding for malaria §  Innovative financing mechanisms ●  Risks §  Worsening financial crisis; continued financial challenges at Global Fund
  • 33. Tashkent   declara3on  WHO/ Northern  Africa   EURO  2005   WHO/EMRO  1997   The  Hispaniola   APMEN   Ini3a3ve     2009   Carter  Center   2008   Suriname   West  Africa   ini3a3ve?   Professor  Li's   2009   FEMSE  projects   2003-­‐2005-­‐2007   Mesoamerican   Ini3a3ve  for  Public     Health  2008   Southern  Cone     ini3a3ve     Arabian  Peninsula     malaria  free  2006            SADC  2007    Elimina3on  8  2009   GLOBAL MALARIA PROGRAMME
  • 34. Major opportunities ahead ●  Malaria elimination: crossing the finish line ●  Trans-border collaboration ●  New uses for existing tools. Example: Seasonal Malaria Chemoprevention (WHO policy for Sahel sub-Region as of 2012) ●  New tools: malaria vaccine in 2015? ●  Integrated community case management (iCCM) ●  Improving efficiency and value for money. Example: a 5-year LLIN ●  Universal diagnostic testing, improved case management, and strengthened surveillance (T3: Test, Treat, Track) ●  Stratification: §  Using data for decision making §  Determining the optimal intervention mix for different epidemiological settings
  • 35. Malaria Surveillance Manuals – Worldwide launch: Namibia, 24 April 2012
  • 36. Surveillance Manuals: Objective and Rationale ●  Objective §  To provide guidance to malaria-endemic countries on the operation of malaria surveillance systems for malaria control and elimination ●  Rationale §  Updated malaria surveillance guidance has not been issued by WHO since the Global Malaria Eradication Programme era §  Scale-up of malaria interventions increases need for timely and accurate information on malaria occurrence for program management §  Increasing availability of malaria diagnostic tests allows for tracking confirmed malaria cases and better targeting of resources §  New manuals focus on program implementation and complement other existing guidance on malaria indicators
  • 37. Three WHO Manuals as pillars of T3 Test Treat Track
  • 38. T3: Test. Treat. Track. Worldwide Launch: Namibia, World Malaria Day 2012
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  • 42. Keep our eye on the prizes ● First: near zero deaths from malaria § Today, no one should die from malaria for lack of a 5 dollar bednet, a 50 cent diagnostic test, and a 1 dollar antimalarial treatment ● Ultimately: a world free of malaria