I am very fond of complexity thinking these days. It provides a refreshing alternative for people planning interventions and conducting evaluation in humanitarian and development aid.
16. Interdependent Attributes Adaptable Elements Embedded Systems Co-Evolution Non-Linearity Simple Rules Not Predicable in Detail Order w/o Central Control Natural Emergence & Creativity
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20. Stacey Diagram Know When Your Challenges Are In the Zone of Complexity Certainty Agreement Close to Far from Far from Close to Simple Plan, control Chaotic Seek Patterns Zone of Complexity
21. Stacey Diagram Know When Your Challenges Are In the Zone of Complexity Certainty Agreement Close to Far from Far from Close to Simple Plan, control Chaotic Seek Patterns Complicated Complex Swarm
22. What Approaches Are Useful in the Zone? Certainty Agreement Close to Far from Far from Close to Simple Plan, control Chaos Seek Patterns CAS Metaphors, Good Enough Vision, Minimum Specs, Seeking Out Paradox, Multiple Actions, Chunking, Generative Relationships, Informal Networks, Tuning To Your System & Natural Attractors, Swarmware Creative Adaptability
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30. Simplicity on the Other Side of Complexity IV. Scientific Origins & Emerging Insights
32. Surprising Convergence of Disciplines Biology Ecology Meteorology Mathematics Chemistry Psychology S ociology Economics Physics Computer Science
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38. Surprising Convergence: We Stand on the Shoulders of Giants Complex Adaptive Systems ((( Murray Gell-Mann ))) The Quark & the Jaguar ((( Stuart Kaufmann ))) At Home in the Universe ((( John Holland ))) Emergence ((( Brian Arthur ))) Increasing Returns Ecology James Lovelock, Gaia Hypothesis Meteorology Edward Lorenz, The Butterfly Effect Sociology Robert Axelrod, Complexity of Cooperation Chemistry Ilya Prigogine, Order Out of Chaos Physiology Ary Goldberger, Cardiac Research Socio-Biology E.O. Wilson Consilience Computer Science Christopher Langton Genetics R.C. Lewontin, Biology as Ideology Philosophy Ken Wilbur, Integral Science & Religion Physics-Ecology Fritjof Capra, Web of Life Mathematics Mandlebrot, Fractals Physics David Bohm, Wholeness & the Implicate Order
43. Key Attributes Adaptable Elements Embedded Systems Co-Evolution Non-Linearity Simple Rules Not Predictable in Detail Order w/o Central Control Natural Emergence & Creativity
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49. Simple Rules & Attractors “Auto-Pilot” Rules.... New Pattern Emerging Search for simple rules, subtle patterns or rhythms that attract natural energy in your system.
59. Nine Interdependent Principles Complexity Lens Seek Paradox Shadow System Good Enough Vision Multiple Actions Chunking Tune To The Edge Clockware/ Swarmware Competition/ Cooperation
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63. Reflection – Interdependent Principles Complexity Lens Seek Paradox Shadow System Good Enough Vision Multiple Actions Chunking Tune To The Edge Clockware/ Swarmware Competition/ Cooperation
64. Kevin Kelly’s 10 Rules for the New Economy Opportunities Before Efficiencies Let Go at the Top Increasing Returns Relationship Tech Follow the Free Embrace the Swarm From Places to Spaces No Harmony, All Flux Plenitude, not Scarcity Feed the Web First
65. Simplicity on the Other Side of Complexity V. Stories that Illustrate Complexity Principles in Practice
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67. Traditional Storytelling Heroic Individual Actions Luke Skywalker (The Force) Guru-Guide Obi Wan Kenobi & Yoda Trickster Darth Vader Blocking Force Imperial Forces (The Dark Side)
68. Storytelling Through a Complexity Lens Heroic Individual Actions New Attractor Pattern Guru-Guide Adaptive Principles-At-Play Trickster Waves of Emergence & Serendipity Blocking Force “ Autopilot” Attractor ( Self-Fulfilling Prophecy)
69. New Attractor Pattern > Notice how new patterns emerge in far-from-equilibrium conditions Adaptive Principles > Discern complexity practices-in-action Waves of Emergence > Expect novelty & surprise that dampens or amplifies change “ Autopilot” Attractor ( Self-Fulfilling Prophecy) > Uncover subtle/simple rules embedded in current patterns of behavior Keith McCandless, 1999
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71. New Attractor Pattern Notice how new patterns emerge in far-from-equilibrium conditions > “Do what is right for the patient!” > Frustration & commitment to change Adaptive Principles Discern complexity practices-in-action > Seek paradox > Tune to the edge > Good-enough vision > Simple rules Waves of Emergence Expect novelty & surprise that dampens or amplifies change > Patients can walk to surgery! > All stakeholders benefit when patient is the focus > Common-sense AND radical at the same time “ Autopilot” Attractor Uncover subtle/simple rules embedded in current patterns of behavior > Do what the surgeons want… and, don’t question it! > Acceptance of “The operation is a success, the patient is pissed!”
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73. New Attractor Pattern Notice how new patterns emerge in far-from-equilibrium conditions > Early 1990’s recession; Ray’s soul searching; Ecology of Commerce > Pesky customers asking about recycled materials; grow by cleaning up! Adaptive Principles Discern complexity practices-in-action > Systems-in-systems interdependency > Good-enough vision > Simple rules Waves of Emergence Expect novelty & surprise that dampens or amplifies change > Some suppliers got on board > “Evergreen leasing” > “All beauty starts with nature” & customers noticed “ Autopilot” Attractor Uncover subtle/simple rules embedded in current patterns of behavior > Sell “flexibility”; buy supplies cheap; and, grow by acquisition > Manage internal production -- ignore how your suppliers produce their goods and how your customers dispose of your product
74. New Attractor Pattern > Notice how new patterns emerge in far-from-equilibrium conditions Adaptive Principles > Discern complexity practices-in-action Waves of Emergence > Expect novelty & surprise that dampens or amplifies change “ Autopilot” Attractor ( Self-Fulfilling Prophecy) > Uncover subtle/simple rules embedded in current patterns of behavior Keith McCandless, 1999
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Hinweis der Redaktion
06/07/09 Simplicity on the Other Side of Complexity I would not give a fig for the simplicity this side of complexity, but I would give my life for the simplicity on the other side of complexity. Oliver Wendell Holmes… Who better to begin our exploration of organizational mysteries and a new science? A physician, scientist and writer. Through examining new science, our view of the world will change. This has been true over the course of history. In turn, our framework or mindset for managing, decision-making and acting will shift. A new “scientific management” is emerging. This is an opportunity for the presenter/faculty to express why they are attracted to this emerging science. Briefly. For me, I like to help people make connections to each other and whole systems “outside themselves.” Like our ecological system, the Earth. Connecting and remembering “where we fit in larger systems” creates healing, surprise, joy, reverence, humility and deep understanding. Complexity provides a framework for me to understand and accept my role/place in the universe.