From the Saskatoon Regional Growth Summit, President &CEO of SREDA Tim LeClair

1. Setting the Context
Top of Mind Elements
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2. Challenges of Growth
• New Normal
– Averaged 4.5% growth over the last 10 years
– Forecasted to grow by 5.2 % in 2013
• Demographics
– Growing at 3+% year over year
• Job Growth
– Added 11,000 private sector jobs since 3Q of 2012
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3. Challenges of Growth
• Investment is good, Growth Is good....but...
• All Jurisdictions are feeling the pressure:
– Core Infrastructure (provincial infrastructure
deficit has been pegged at 3.2 Billion – that is just
to catch up – how then do we keep up?
– Health and Education
– Housing – Housing Needs Assessment
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4. Regional Housing Demand
• By 2023, there will be an additional 18,691 people,
living in the SREDA region, excluding Saskatoon.
• This is an increase of 40% over 2011
• Regional housing demand expand by 5,790 housing
units based on 2023 medium economic growth
scenario
– Includes rental, single family and multi-family condos
– High & Low growth scenarios are 8,960 units & 5380 units,
respectively
• Approximately 40% of new people will choose to live
on RM acreages, 60% in communities
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5. Regional Housing Demand
• With continued high wages in the mining and construction sectors,
80% of new demand will be market priced housing
• 20% of new demand will require incentives or funding
– 150 new entry level units will require incentives to builders
• HeadStart on a Home, tax abatement, below cost lots, etc.
– 995 new social and affordable multi-family units (mainly rental) will
need direct government funding
• Senior population (65+) will expand by 2,900 by 2023, a 45%
increase.
– New seniors housing is a priority across the region
– Seniors will gravitate to communities with health centres and support
services
– Seniors moving into condos and assisted living complexes boosts the
supply of pre-owned houses on the market
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6. Municipal Readiness
• Most municipalities have the necessary community, zoning and
bylaws in place
• Some urban municipalities need to upgrade water/sewage systems
• Regionally, there is an ample supply of lots available to satisfy
future housing demands
• Municipalities should consider collaborating on a regional housing
supply plan that would:
– Promote housing development across the housing continuum,
including senior and affordable units
– Prepare to engage senior levels of government to support regional
housing needs
– Engage with developers to plan for future housing supply and to
improve the efficiency of the development approval process
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7. Context
• Regional impacts and opportunities
• Readiness means:
– Growing forward together - One voice
• Tactical
• Prepared
• Egs: the SREDA view
– Project site selection
– Development limitations continue
• What is the plan?
• How do we move forward?
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8. Context
• Lessons Learned
– What we will hear
• Setting our own Regional Agenda
• Private Sector Impacts – Need for balance and
rational structures for both Government and
Business.
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9. Cities Study
• CMS Overview - Doug McNair
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10. Sustaining Saskatchewan’s Growth
Growth, Attitude and Action
Institute of Certified Management
Consultants of Saskatchewan
In Cooperation with the Johnson Shoyama
Graduate School of Public Policy

11. Saskatchewan:
Demand for exports drives investment
Change in Share of Canada’s Exports
World wants what
we have
2003 = 100
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Global opportunities
within our reach
Ont
Man
2003
Sask
Alta
BC
2003
2012
Source: Statistics Canada
The place to invest

12. Saskatchewan:
Unprecedented growth
• Saskatchewan and Alberta
leaders in economic
growth since 2009
• Economic drivers have
been natural resource
production and exports
and construction activity
from high levels of capital
investment

13. Saskatchewan:
Income levels have grown
• Incomes have grown steadily
since 2000, most dramatic
since 2005
• Highest incomes in
Saskatchewan are in
Estevan, Regina and Saskatoon

14. Saskatchewan:
Employment has grown
• Saskatoon and Regina
employment growth
amongst the strongest in
Canada over the past 5 years

15. Saskatchewan:
Return to positive attitudes
1905
2013
Building together
Regional communities
Cooperation for win/win
Land of opportunity
World wants what we have
Outward looking,
confidence in the future
Global opportunities
within our reach
Innovative
Entrepreneurial
Welcoming immigration
International Immigration
driving population growth
Outlook of abundance
Population growth
Create a better life
The place to invest
Population growth resumed
A prosperous future

16. Saskatchewan:
Residents believe the future is bright
Source: Praxis Analytics 2013 household survey
• 85% of residents think the Saskatchewan economy will
continue to be strong in the next 4 years

17. Saskatchewan:
Population growth in the cities
• Population growth strongest in
Saskatoon, Regina
Share of Sask Pop Growth
2006 – 2011 (%)
80
70
• 60% of residents now live in
cities
60
50
40
• Regina and Saskatoon enroute to
cities of around 300,000 or more
within a decade
30
20
% Population Growth
2006 - 2011
10
Share of population
0
Rural and
Small Urban
Sask 8 Urban
Centres

18. Saskatchewan:
Largest cities critical to sustaining growth
International immigrants tend
to locate in the largest cities
-1 % population growth to Saskatchewan annually and 2% to
Regina and Saskatoon annual population growth
Employment growth is in the
cities because service industries
are predominantly urban-based

19. Saskatchewan:
Saskatoon and Region key to sustain
growth
• The largest cities and regions have seen the majority of the
growth
• Larger cities and regions will attract and retain new skilled
professionals and professional services
• Larger cities and regions will attract value add
manufacturing, processing, technologies, services
• Larger cities and regions will attract increase immigration

20. Saskatchewan:
There are inhibitors to growth
• Such as high housing
costs, traffic congestion /
infrastructure, the rising
cost of living
• Housing supply is
restricting growth

21. Saskatchewan:
Sustainable growth requires action…
• Continued business investment which requires…
• Building our capacity related to infrastructure, skilled
labour, value added production, cultural industries
• Good policy and leadership from governments and
institutions
• Attitude, regional cooperation and inclusion