Amazon in Focus is RetailNet Group's authoritative new study, with groundbreaking insight into the world's most disruptive retailer and a playbook to maximizing profitable growth.
3. Even As It Scales, Amazon’s
Growth Outpaces Competitors
US Store-Based Retail
(SBR) is growing at
3.4% CAGR 13-16
Total US Ecommerce is
growing at ~3.5X SBR
Amazon is growing at
~2X ecommerce in the
US
Outpacing US Store-Based
Retail’s Growth Rate by 6X:
Source: RNG research & analysis
58%
51% 48%
34%
26%
22%
8%
23%
30%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2007 2012 2016E
ShareofTotalUSEcommerceSales
Brick&Mortar.com Pure-Play Amazon
Amazon is Consolidating Non-
Store Retail in the US
4. Including 3P GMV, Amazon is
Already an ~$86B Retailer
Source: RNG research & analysis
Including 3P Gross Merchandise Value (GMV), Amazon is currently:
• The 7th largest retailer globally
• 23% of global ecommerce sales
5. Amazon’s Influence Goes Way
Beyond What it Sells
Source: RNG research & analysis; *Forrester July 2012
Amazon’s “limitless” selection &
info-rich product detail pages
make it a destination for product
research
30%
13%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Amazon Google
Share of Product Research by
Origin
Amazon has growing influence over offline
retail as shoppers research before the trip &
in-store—a key driver of “digitally-
influenced” retail
*
6. Amazon Defies Conventional
Financial and Retail Metrics
Source: RNG research & analysis
-$5.00
-$4.00
-$3.00
-$2.00
-$1.00
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Stock Price Earnings/Share
Amazon’s EPS defies conventional
logic, but investors (and vendors)
see long-term earnings potential:
• Amazon takes the long view and is
willing to be misunderstood
• Amazon constantly reinvests in growth
and new businesses, e.g. offering faster
subsidized shipping over increasing
margins
• Amazon is selectively willing to sell at a
loss/low margins to win lifetime
customers and “annuity” revenue
streams (i.e. Kindle Fire)
• As the low cost player, low margins help
Amazon gain share and discourage
potential competitors
7. Amazon’s Asset-Light Structure and
Platform Approach are Key Advantages
Source: RNG research & analysis
Amazon’s asset structure is very
different from Brick & Mortar
retailers
B&M:
• Assets are ~30% as a percent of
sales
• They include primarily
depreciating assets along with
rent & labor, which continue to
increase in cost over time
Amazon:
• Assets are ~9% of sales
• Amazon is asset-light and its
assets include technologies that
get less expensive over time i.e.
data storage
• Amazon has optimized its asset
base and created ancillary
businesses out of excess
capacity i.e. FBA & ASW
8. AmazonFresh is Coming…
The ‘Trojan Horse’ for Same-Day Delivery?
Phase 1:
2007-2012
Seattle
Incubation
Phase 2: 2013
Rumored
Expansion
(California)
Phase 3:
2014+
“National”
Expansion
Building on its “forward
deploy” fulfillment center
network, Amazon could
match demand to truck
capacity to deliver
general merchandise
same-day in cities that
offer AmazonFresh
Source: RNG research & analysis
Amazon incubates
AmazonFresh, its full-
basket grocery delivery
service, including
Amazon’s own last-mile
delivery fleet
9. Masters of Real-Time Retailing…
Dynamic Pricing, Merchandising, and Marketing
Source: RNG research & analysis
Prices change by the hour
25-30% of sales are driven
by personalized
recommendations
10. Amazon’s Dynamic Pricing Model is
Disruptive—and Shoppers Love It
Source: RNG research & analysis
Amazon checks
against its own
platform’s 3P prices
Internal assessments
of the importance of
the ASIN
Pricing
Algorithm
Selling Price
Amazon crawls key
competitor’s sites
Shopper-scanned
prices from in-store
MAP/MSRP
Shown Price
Great Price Communication
MAP
11. When Amazon Wins Shoppers, It Retains Them—
and Grows Wallet Share Exponentially
A $79 annual membership programs entitling members to
free 2-day shipping on over 15M eligible items & access
to a Prime Instant Video
• Launched in the US in 2005 and currently available in
all markets except China
• Prime members visit the site 3X non-prime and
households spend 3-5X non-prime households
An auto-replenishment program for consumables like paper
towels, shampoo, and diapers with free shipping and a
discount of 5% or 15% (with at least 5 subscriptions)
• Launched in the US in 2007 and currently available in
the UK, Germany, France, and Japan
• Accounts for 40%+ of Amazon’s sales in certain
consumables categories
• Instrumental in the growth of many consumables
categories (i.e. Baby)
Source: RNG research & analysis
12. Amazon Does Have Vulnerabilities
• Its competitors already have large, loyal customer bases and local
inventory—and they’re investing aggressively
• Non-store economics are hard, especially for low-cost, heavy, and
temperature-controlled items
• It is platform-driven, not partnership-driven; some vendors find it
difficult to work with, unwilling to share data, and expensive to fund
• Amazon competes with 3P sellers it increasingly depends on
• It is an item merchant; it doesn’t benefit from the blended economics
(or data) of full-basket models
• Its user experience prioritizes the functional over the emotional – hard
for premium/aspirational/lifestyle brands to accept
• Online category specialists (verticals) can best its one-size-fits-all
approach to merchandising
• It struggles in key international markets, especially as a late entrant
Source: RNG and Ideoclick research & analysis
13. The Skillset and Playbook for Amazon
Vendors are Different than Brick-and-Mortar
• You do business through Amazon, not with
Amazon
• “The internal sell” is as complex as engaging
Amazon itself
• Winning the digital shelf requires world-class
digital assets (images, copy, reviews, etc.)
• The economics of non-store retailing are complex
• The merchandising menu is long; it’s essential to
know what works (and what doesn’t)
Source: Ideoclick; RNG research & analysis
14. Learn More
For more about Amazon, stay tuned for a webinar on May 1 and the
forthcoming release of Amazon in Focus: The Authoritative Guide to Amazon
for Retailers and Suppliers
• Amazon In Focus – May 1 @ 1pm EST
– Register
– Add to Calendar
– Event Password: Amazon
• Pre-Order Amazon in Focus HERE
• Sign up for the Amazon in Focus Session at the RNG 2013 Mid-Year
Forum HERE
– Chicago, June 27th
Questions? Comments?
• Call: 757-270-3839
• Email: RNGDIGITAL@retailnetgroup.com
• Web: RetailNetGroup.com
15. Amazon in Focus: 200+ Slides, Full-Text
Commentary, & Half-Day Workshop
Amazon in Detail
• The growth model explained
• Growth trajectory: country and
category expansion
• Culture & organization structure
• Economics & financial model
• Pricing, marketing, and
merchandising approaches
• Fulfillment center network and
logistics model
• AmazonFresh in Detail
The Amazon Vendor
Playbook
• Launching new products on Amazon
• Improving search ranking on Amazon
• Delivering high-performance product detail
pages
• Assortment strategies
• Best funding practices
• Optimizing packaging, pack configuration
and supply chain
• Getting optimal value from Amazon Retail
Analytics (ARA)
• Strategic Vendor Services (SVS) – If, when,
and how
• Managing key third party (3P) marketplace
challenges
• Closing out and liquidating on Amazon