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Power Sector ‐
Power Sector India
March 2009
Executive Summary

                 India has 5th largest electricity generation capacity in the world
   Market        The installed capacity of India as of July 2008 was 145,587 MW
 Overview &      India is facing acute power deficit with peak power deficit of about 16% 
 Value Chain
 Value Chain    PPower trading is still at nascent stage with merely 3.5% of the power generated traded in 2007‐08
                          t di i till t             t t     ith      l 3 5% f th              t d t d d i 2007 08
                 Distribution is primarily controlled by state electricity boards (SEBs) 
                 Government policies are aimed at encouraging investment in the sector and increasing the 
                  competition
Government 
Government
                 Government allows 100%  FDI under the automatic approval route in all segments of the industry 
 Policies &       (except atomic energy)
 Incentives      5‐year tax holiday is given for power generating projects
                 Import duty at the confessional rate of 20% has been set for import of equipment

                 Key Trends: Increase in per capita consumption of electricity, Increase in corporate investments, 
                  Increase in FDI, increasing interest shown by PE/VC firms in power sector and surge in captive 
Key Trends &      production
 Challenges
                 Challenges: Shortage of coal, power loss in transmission and distribution, ageing and improperly
                  Challenges: Shortage of coal, power loss in transmission and distribution, ageing and improperly 
                  maintained infrastructure
                 Public sector undertakings LIKE NTPC, MHPC hold the majority of the total installed capacity 
                 Private players including Reliance, Tata Power, Torrent Power have presence across value chain 
Competition       and making significant investments in power sector
                  and making significant investments in power sector
                 Foreign players like CLP, Marubeni Corporation have entered/planning the India power market


                                             POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                  2
• Introduction
• Power Sector – Overview
• Value Chain Analysis
• Government Policies and Initiatives
• Key Trends & Challenges
• Competitive Landscape
     y       p
• Key Developments
• Appendix


            POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT    3
India is among the top electricity generating countries in the 
world
Introduction                                                          Region – Wise Installed Capacity
• India ranks sixth largest energy consumer in 
  the world
• India consumes 3.7% of the world’s 
  commercial energy
• Electricity is the backbone of the nation and                                     North
  falls under the Concurrent List where both the 
  falls under the Concurrent List where both the                                 38,155 MW
                                                                                                          North‐East
                                                                                                              h
  Union and State Government can regulate the                                                             2,255 MW

  sector                                                                                          East
                                                                                              20,816 MW
• Country is divided into five regions for                                        Western
  transmission systems:
  transmission systems:                                                          44, 628 MW
                                                                                 44, 628 MW

             0     10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
                                                    MW
    North                                 38,156
     West                                                                            South
                                               44,628
                                               44 628
                                                                                  39,656 MW
    South                                  39,656
      East                    20,816
                                                                      *As on 31‐07‐08
North‐East       2,255
                  ,




                                                    POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                           4
• Introduction
• Power Sector – Overview
• Value Chain Analysis
• Government Policies & Initiatives
• Key Trends & Challenges
• Competitive Landscape
     y       p
• Key Developments
• Appendix


            POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT   5
Installed capacity has been increasing continuously to meet the 
need of growing economy..
Supply Side                                                                  Plan‐wise Installed Capacity
• India has 5th largest electricity generation capacity in                        MW
  the world                                                               140,000
                                                                                                                            126,082
• Installed capacity of 145,587 MW as of July 2008                        120,000
                       Nuclear Renewable                                                                         104,917
               Gas‐based      8%                                          100,000
                                                                                                   85,902
                         10%                                               80,000      69,480
                             3%
           Hydel power
           Hydel power 25%
                                                                           60,000
                                64%                                                                                                       Plan
                                    Thermal                                             VII          VIII          IX            X

Demand Side                                                                  Current and projected demand
• Demand for power is growing at 8‐10% per annum                                  MW                                             bn units
                                                                                                Energy Required
• Demand has five key components:                                         250,000               Planned Demand                        1,500
                                                                                                                        212,725
     Industry, commercial, residential, agriculture, and others
                                                                          200,000
• Key drivers of increasing demand are growth in:
    y                     g            g                                                                157,107
                                                                                                           ,                          1,000
                                                                                                                                      1 000
     Household consumption                                               150,000
                                                                                        115,705
     Electrification of rural areas                                      100,000
                                                                                                                                      500
     Manufacturing growing faster
                                                                           50,000
     Realization of suppressed demand due to load‐shedding
• Required investment of ~USD 600 bn by 2017                                     0                                                    0
                                                                                          X                 XI             XII


                                                           POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                         6
.. but India still facing acute demand supply gap

Demand Supply Gap
• Power supply position characterized by shortages ‐ both in terms of demand met during peak time and overall 
  energy supply
• Peak power deficit in India is about 16% and is expected to rise to 20% by 2017
• Demand supply gap is more than 16% 
                                       Actual Power Supply Position during 2006‐07 (End of Xth Plan)

                               Peak                                                                    Energy
Requirement     Availability           Shortage       Shortage (%)      Requirement      Availability           Shortage        Shortage (%)
100,715 MW      86,818 MW             ‐13,897 MW         ‐13.8%         690,587 MU       624,495 MU         ‐66,092 MU             ‐9.6%


Peak Shortages
P k Sh t                                                                Energy
                                                                        E
     (%)                                                                         BU
20                                                                         800

15                                                                         600

10                                                                         400
                                                                                                                 Average Energy Demand
 5                                                                         200
                                                                                                                 Generation
 0                                                                           0                                                             Plan
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08                                  VI        VII           VIII              IX         X



                                                          POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                           7
• Introduction
• Power Sector – Overview
• Value Chain Analysis
• Government Policies & Initiatives
• Key Trends & Challenges
• Competitive Landscape
     y       p
• Key Developments
• Appendix


            POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT   8
Public sector companies or State Electricity Boards (SEB) have 
presence across the value chain
        Raw 
       materials


       Generators      • Power generation depends on coal, gas, nuclear and hydroelectric sources
                       • Coal accounts for 50% of the generation capacity


                       • Power trading company buys power from surplus area and sells it in deficit
                         Power trading company buys power from surplus area and sells it in deficit 
        Traders
                         area using and transfers power through transmission lines 
                       • Power trading is at a very nascent stage in India 



      Transmission     • Transmission of electricity involves bulk transfer of power over a long 
                         distance at high voltage (132kV and above) 



      Distribution     • Distribution involves supply of power to end consumers 
                       • It also includes billing and collection services


        End user
        End user



                             POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                               9
Power generation capacity has increased over the years
                                                                                              Generation    Trading     Transmission    Distribution




Generation ‐ Overview                                          Power Generation Growth
• Power generation increased from 662.5 bn                          BU
                                                                                Nuclear
  units (BU) in 2006‐07 to 704.5 BU in 2007‐08                800
                                                                                Hydro                                                   704
• The electricity generation target for the year              700           Thermal
                                                                                                                       659               2%
                                                                                         616                            3%
  2008‐09 has been fixed at 774.4 BU :                        600        558
                                                                                  587     3%                                            18%
                                                                                      3%                               17%
    Thermal ‐ 631.3 BU                                                      3% 14%      16%
                                                              500        13%
    Hydro ‐ 118 5 BU
     Hydro  118.5 BU                                                                                                                    80%
                                                              400                       83%           81%              80%
    Nuclear ‐ 19.0 BU                                                   84%
    Import from Bhutan ‐ 5.6 BU                              300
                                                                        2003-04     2004-05        2005-06            2006-07          2007-08
• State accounts for a large share of installed 
  capacity (53%), followed by central (34%) and 
  capacity (53%) followed by central (34%) and                 Plant Load Factor
                                                               Plant Load Factor
  private sector (14%)                                              %
• The plant load factor (PLF) of generating                    80                                                                        78.6%
  plants has improved consistently over the last               78                                                     76.8%
  few years
  f
                                                               76
                                                                                  74.2%          74.0%
                                                               74       72.7%
                                                               72
                                                               70
                                                               2003-04           2004-05        2005-06           2006-07               2007-08


                                             POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                                           10
Power trading is still at nascent stage in India
                                                                                                       Generation     Trading     Transmission   Distribution




Trading ‐ Overview                                                           Market Share Power Trading (2007‐08)
• Merely 3.5% of the power generated in 2007‐08 was                                              Adani Power
  traded in India                                                                                               6%
    Power Trading Corporation of India (PTC) was the first
     Power Trading Corporation of India (PTC) was the first 
                                                                                             Others
     company to start with trading o f power                                                          22%
    Out of the 42 licenses issues in 2004, only 13 of the                                                                      46% PTC
     licenses actually traded in 2007‐08
    Current norms require an applicant to have net worth of                            Tata Power
                                                                                                      10%
     Rs 1.5 crore for allotment of license, which gives him the 
     right of power trading of up to 100 mn KWh                                                              16%
• Online trading in India started with Indian Energy 
                                                                                                NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam
  Exchange (IEX), launched in June, 2008
    Financial Technologies is the major stakeholder with 90% 
     share                                                                   Volume of Power Transacted 
• Second power trading exchange, Power Exchange 
  India ltd (PXI), was launched in October 2008 
    PXI is promoted by National Stock Exchange of India Ltd                                Total Energy              Market Clearing Prices
     (NSE) & National Commodities & Derivatives Exchange Ltd                 Exchange    Transacted (till 05‐
     (NCDEX)                                                                                  12‐2008)               Maximum              Minimum
• In order to promote trading, power regulators will                            IEX         1470.30 MU              INR 11.00          INR 0.92
  review in 2009 the 4‐paise‐a‐unit cap on power 
  trading margins                                                               PXI          26.96 MU               INR 11.00          INR 3.00
    Weighted average purchase price and sales price of 
     power in 2007‐08 were INR 4.48 a kWh and INR 4.52 a 
     kWh, respectively
     k h         i l



                                                           POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                                      11
Transmission & Distribution network of India is the third largest 
in the world                                                                                            Generation      Trading       Transmission   Distribution




Transmission ‐ Overview                                                    Transmission Network 
• Current transmission capacity is 143,000 MW and                                   ckm
  inter‐regional power transfer capacity of 17,000 MW                      400,000
• MoP plans to establish an integrated National Power                                                                                                325,000
                                                                                                                                                     325 000
                                                                           300,000                                                265,000
  Grid in the country by 2012 with 200,000 MW of 
  Grid capacity and 37,700 MW of inter‐regional                            200,000                                   172,000
  power transfer capacity
                                                                           100,000                    67,000
• Government is encouraging private sector
  Government is encouraging private sector 
                                                                                          2,700
  participation in transmission sector                                              0
    Transmission sector is 100% opened for private                                       1950        1970            1990          2008              2012
     participation on a Build, Operate and Transfer (BOT) basis
    Currently, private sector participation in transmission 
     projects is in the form of JV with Power Grid Corporation 
                                                                           Proposed Investments in Transmission 
                                                                           Proposed Investments in Transmission *
     of India Ltd (PGCIL)
• The Planning Commission of India expects 
                                                                           USD bn           Center           State           Private                 Total
  investments worth USD 25 bn (INR 1,292 bn) for 
  transmission in XIth Plan against a target plan 
                             g           g p                               Inter‐State       12.3               0                 4.0                16.3
  estimate investment of USD 9 bn (INR 457 bn) in Xth                      Intra‐State            0          10.9                 3.0                13.9
  Plan
    Planning Commission has taken a 15% cut on the initial                Total             12.3            10.9                 7                  30.2
     estimates in XIth Plan, which was USD 30.2 bn (INR1,520               *Planned investments before 15% cut 
     bn)




                                                         POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                                            12
SEBs control the distribution with the presence of few private 
players                                                                                                Generation      Trading    Transmission   Distribution




Distribution ‐ Overview                                                         Aggregate Technical & Commercial Losses
• Distribution of electricity is controlled by State 
  Electricity Boards (SEBs)                                                      %
• Few private players like Reliance and Tata are also
  Few private players like Reliance and Tata are also                          40 38 9%
                                                                                  38.9%                               AT&C Losses
  present in electricity distribution                                                     36.6%
                                                                                                   34.9%            34.8%        35.2%
     Distribution licenses of several cities are with private                 35                                                                 33.1%
      sector players
• Distribution system in India is characterized by high                        30
  Aggregate Technical and Commercial (AT&C) losses
  A       t T h i l dC                i l (AT&C) l
     AT&C losses are declining but still on higher side                       2001-02   2002-03   2003-04      2004-05          2005-06         2006-07
      compared to other countries
     Most of the technical losses are due to poor transformers, 
      improper load management, pilferage, low voltage                          Billing and Collection Efficiency 
      distribution lines etc
      distribution lines etc
• Distribution sector is also crippled with poor billing                                                               Collection Efficiency
  and collection efficiency                                                         %
                                                                                                                       Billing Efficiency
• A reduction in T&D losses by 1% point is estimated                         100                   95.2%            93.9%      93.0%      94.2%
  to be equivalent to power generated from a 600‐700                                90.9% 92.7%
  MW plant
  MW plant                                                                     90
• Government introduced the APDRP (Accelerated 
                                                                               80
  Power Development and Reforms Program) to fund                                                                                                  71.0%
                                                                                                                    69.5%        69.7%
  investments and also offer incentives for efficiency                         70   67.3% 68.4%    68.4%
  improvements
• Government plans to invest Rs 287,000 crore in                               60
  power distribution in XIth Plan                                              2001-02   2002-03   2003-04 2004-05               2005-06         2006-07


                                                              POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                                   13
• Introduction
• Power Sector – Overview
• Value Chain Analysis
• Government Policies & Initiatives
• Key Trends & Challenges
• Competitive Landscape
     y       p
• Key Developments
• Appendix


            POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT   14
Government has been taking positive steps by introducing new 
policies and regulations..
Policies (1/2)
                      • Accelerated Power Development and Reform Program (APDRP) launched in 
                        2001 with the objective of:
                                        j
                            reducing T&D losses to 15% in five years in urban and high density areas
     APDRP                  reducing power outage and raising collection efficiency
                      • Restructured to achieve the objective of 15% loss by end of the XI 5‐year Plan
                      • Central government has earmarked an outlay of INR8 billion for APDRP for FY09

                      • Removed/reduced entry barriers
                            De‐licensed generation
 Electricity Act            Freedom to captive generation
      2003                 RRecognized trading as an independent activity
                                    i d di            i d     d        i i
                            Open access in transmission already in place
                      • Multiple licenses in distribution


                      •   Total village electrification by 2010
                               l ll      l     f        b
    National          •   Access to Electricity Available for all households in next five years
Electricity Policy    •   Per capita availability of electricity to be increased to over 1000 units by 2012
      2005            •   Full development of hydro potential of the country
                      •   Development of National Grid


                                       POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                               15
.. and giving better incentives to encourage investment in power 
sector
Policies (2/2)

                                   • Tariff of Generation and Transmission Projects in Private Sector determined 
                                     through competitive bidding
                                     through competitive bidding
Tariff Policy 2006                 • Reduction of cross subsidy to ± 20% of average tariff in next five years
                                   • Facilitating Open Access in Distribution
                                   • Time‐bound introduction of Multi Year Tariff



Incentives
• 100% foreign equity participation is allowed under the automatic approval route in all segments of the industry
  100% foreign equity participation is allowed under the automatic approval route in all segments of the industry 
  (except atomic energy)
• Generation and distribution power projects of any type and size are allowed
• A renewable license period of 30 years has been set
• Return on equity up to 16% is assured at 68.5% PLF for thermal power plants. Similar incentives are provided for
  Return on equity up to 16% is assured at 68.5% PLF for thermal power plants. Similar incentives are provided for 
  hydroelectric power projects
• Import duty at the confessional rate of 20% has been set for import of equipment
• The government allows a 5‐year tax holiday for power generating projects with an additional five years in which a 
                            p
  deduction of 30% taxable profits is allowed



                                                  POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                             16
Public Private Partnership (PPP) model is not witnessing much 
activity compared to other sector in infrastructure
PPP Model ‐ Overview
• India has around 300 projects under the public private                                  Airports Railways
  partnerships in infrastructure                                                     Energy
                                                                                                1%
• The power sector in India has not witness much PPP                                       11%
  activity as compared to other sectors                               Urban Development         2%
                                                                                        12%
    Power sector witnessed investments worth USD 3.5 bn
• Government is encouraging PPP model to meet the                                                       62%
                                                                                           13%                Road
  capacity addition target of 78,700 MW in XIth Plan
       i    ddi i           f 78 700 MW i XI h Pl                                  Ports
    Government plans to promote PPP model in ash utilization, 
     augmentation of transmission lines and distribution



                                          Types of public private partnerships in India




                                                                                       Ultra Mega Power 
                   Distribution Franchisee
                                                                                        Projects (UMPP)




                                                       POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                      17
Government prefer distribution franchisee model compared to 
complete privatization of SEBs in India
Distribution franchisee

  State Power                                             Distribution
                                                                                                            End User
  Corporation                                             Franchisee
                             Sell power to                                      Franchisee distribute at 
                              Franchisee                                        price prescribes by SEC



• The distribution franchisee agreement is based upon a contract under which the distribution assets stay
  The distribution franchisee agreement is based upon a contract under which the distribution assets stay 
  under State control while private player is involved in efficiently distributing electricity in particular region
• Power utilities follow revenue‐based model in which franchisee is responsible for all obligations of 
  distribution license in the franchisee area viz :
     Supply of power
         pp y p
     Consumer service
     Operation and maintenance of distribution network
     Billing and collection
     Compliance with regulatory standards
• A total of 14 States, including Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Orissa, West Bengal, Haryana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka 
  and Gujarat, have appointed franchisees for different zones
• Crompton Greaves has been awarded 3 major divisions in Nagpur by the Maharashtra State Electricity 
  Distribution Company under this model




                                                          POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                     18
Private players bidding for Ultra Mega Power Projects proposed 
by the government
Ultra Mega Power projects
• MoP plans to set up Ultra Mega Power projects through private sector participation with capacity of 400 MW each
• UMPP the projects are build on BOO (Build‐Own‐Operate) basis through tariff based competitive bidding route 
• Bidders are finalized on tariff based competitive bidding and takes over Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) from Power 
  Finance Corporation (PFC)
• PFC is the nodel agency for setting up the SPV for any project 
• Projects to use supercritical technology based on pithead (captive block) or imported coal (coastal)
• Full exemption of central excise duty on goods procured under supercritical technology
• The identified projects are –
    Five coastal site projects:‐ Mundra in Gujarat, Krishnapatnam in Andhra Pradesh, Tadri in Karnataka, Girye in Maharashtra, and 
     Cheyyur  in Tamil Nadu
   FFour pithead site projects:‐ S
            ith d it        j t Sasan in Madhya Pradesh, Tilaiya in Jharkhand, Sundergarh district in Orissa and Akaltara in 
                                        i M dh P d h Til i i Jh kh d S d                  h di t i t i O i      d Ak lt i
     Chhattisgarh




                                                         POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                      19
• Introduction
• Power Sector – Overview
• Value Chain Analysis
• Government Policies & Initiatives
• Key Trends & Challenges
• Competitive Landscape
     y       p
• Key Developments
• Appendix


            POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT   20
Key Trends


                                    Increase in per capita 
                                        consumption
                                                p




    Increase in captive 
    Increase in captive                                               Increase in domestic 
                                                                      Increase in domestic
    power production                                                      investments
                                            Trends



             PE firms showing 
                                                                 Increase in FDI
                                                                 Increase in FDI
         interest in power sector




                                      POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                21
Power sector witnessing increase in per capita electricity 
consumption and corporate investments
Increase in per capita electricity consumption
• India's per capita consumption of electricity has increased steadily over a period but still 
  insignificant compared to the rest of the world                                                                 National Electricity 
                                                                                                                 Policy expects the per 
     Kwh                                                                             Kwh                            capita electricity 
                                                                                             15,000              consumption to reach 
800                                                                           15,000
                                                                                                                   1000 Kwh by 2012
                                                                  704
                                                     672                      10,000
700                                     632
              595          613
600    567                                                                     5,000
                                                                               5 000
                                                                                                      1,800
                                                                                                              704        2,300
500                                                                                 0                                   World Average
 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08                                              US      China   India

Increase in domestic investments
Increase in domestic investments
• Indian power sector has attracted USD 38 bn (INR 1.95 tn) in investments in the H12008 
  (Jan – June)                                                                                                    Positive government 
• Power sector attracted 30% of the total corporate investments                                                   policies encouraging 
                                                                                                                 corporate investments 
                                                                                                                 corporate investments
USD b
    bn
                                                                                                                    in power sector
      38.0
40
                    29.9
                                 21.4         17.7         17.6
20

 0
      Power     Realty       Steel        Retail      Telecom


                                                                  POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                             22
Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) and private equity (PE) 
 investments surging
 Increase in FDI
 • 100% FDI is allowed in all segments of power sector including trading
 • Foreign players can invest in Hydro Projects, Captive Power, Ultra Mega Power Projects,
   Foreign players can  invest in Hydro Projects, Captive Power, Ultra Mega Power Projects,                    Power sector is 
   Nuclear Power, National Grid Program, Rural Electrification, Trading, Renewable energy                   witnessing  increase in 
                                                                                                             investments by the  
        USD mn                                                                                                  foreign players 
                                                      967.0
 1,000
                                                                594.0
   500
                    87.0            157.0
        0
                2005-06           2006-07           2007-08   2008-09 *
 PE firms showing interest in power sector
 • Reforms in the power sector attracting large global PE firms to invest in power sector
                                                                                                               Global investors 
 • PE investments increased , both in volume and value                                                           investing in 
         PE  firms make up 59% of the total deals (M&A and PE investments) in 2008 in power sector with    alternatives fuels and 
          majority of deals in renewable energy **                                                           energy segments in 
        USD mn                                                                                                       India
                                                                                                                     I di
                                                              900
 1,000                                       682                          20          Number of deals
   500                 113                                                10          Deal Amount
        0                                                                 0
                      2006                  2007              2008
Note:       * From April 2008 – November 2008
            ** Complete list of PE deals in Appendix III


                                                                          POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                23
Captive power production becoming an attractive option for the 
manufacturers
Increase in captive power production
• Electricity Act 2003 liberalized captive power generation in order to meet the energy 
                                                                                                     Manufacturers 
  shortages and enable cost effective power supply to manufacturing sector
         g                              p       pp y                  g                            increasing captive 
                                                                                                   increasing captive
    Act allows captive power producers to sell excess capacity to others                         power production as 
    Group captive power plants also allowed to enable small medium industries and cooperatives      sale of surplus 
                                                                                                    becomes easier
• Captive power generation is attractive to manufacturers as they can generate power at 
  prices 25‐80% cheaper than power from the grid
• The captive power plant players can sell surplus electricity to 
    State electricity board through 15‐25 year power purchase agreements (PPAs)
    Online electricity trading platform like IEX or PXI
• Free capacity from captive plants  is connected to the grid to meet the country’s energy 
  requirements
      i
    In 2005, 14,636 MW was connected to grid, while in 2006 14,866 was connected to grid
      MW
40,000
                                                                 31,000
                                                                   ,
30,000                                         24,600
            18,740            19,485
20,000

10,000

     0
            Mar-05           Mar-06           Mar-07            Mar-12


                                                        POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                     24
Challenges 




              Inability to meet the capacity 
                                                                  Shortage of coal
                      addition targets



                                           Challenges


                Ageing and improperly‐               Huge power loss in transmission 
               maintained infrastructure                    and distribution




                                       POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                         25
Government has failed to meet the capacity addition targets set 
in Five Year Plans
Inability to meet the capacity addition targets
• Actual capacity additions have substantially lagged the planned capacity additions in the 
  past 5 Year Plans                                                                                             Government inability 
    Eighth Five Year Plan (1992‐1997) – 54% implemented                                                        meet power capacity 
    Ninth Five Year Plan (1997‐2002) – 48% implemented                                                        targets is widening  the 
    Tenth Five Year Plan (2002‐2007) ‐ 51.5% implemented                                                        demand‐supply gap
• Capacity addition of 21,180 MW was achieved in Xth against the target of 41,110 MW 
• S
  Some of the reasons for the slippage of projects were ‐
         f th          f th li          f    j t
    Delay in supplies/erection by suppliers/ contractors
    Delay in tie‐up for super critical technology
    Non‐availability of Gas 
    Delay in clearance/investment decisions (Hydro Projects)
         y              /                       ( y       j )
    Hydro Project delayed due to delay in environmental clearance, natural calamities, delay in signing of 
     MoU
    Law & Order Problems

                            Summary of capacity addition during Xth Plan 
                            Summary of capacity addition during Xth Plan
                         Original Target                                             41,110 MW
(‐) Net capacity additions from original target                                      19,829 MW
()
(‐) Net capacity addition from additional projects 
          p y                             p j                                         1,351 MW
                  Capacity slipped/Dropped                                           21,281 MW


                                                          POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                    26
Power plants facing coal shortages while distribution companies 
facing huge T&D losses
Shortage of Coal
• Some of the India’s 77 coal‐based stations totalling 70,000MW are facing severe coal 
  shortages                                                                                                 Coal supply shortages 
• Power utilities are expected to face shortage of 66 mn tonnes of coal by end of 2011‐12                  due to inability to keep 
                                                                                                           due to inability to keep
                                                                                                             imports in line with 
     Total coal requirement is  448.5 mn tonnes in 2011‐12 while the indigenous coal availability from 
                                                                                                           targets or problems in 
      Coal India and subsidiaries during the is estimated at 382.4 mn tonnes
                                                                                                                Coal India Ltd
• Coal shortages are either due to inability of power utilities to import coal in line with its 
  target or law and order problems at subsidiaries of Coal India Ltd
  target or law and order problems at subsidiaries of Coal India Ltd
• The current peaking shortages of 14% and energy shortages of 8% could worsen because 
  of coal shortages

Huge power loss in transmission and distribution
• Average transmission and distribution losses (T&D) exceed 30% of total power generation 
  compared to less than 15% for developing economies
                                                                                                           High T&D losses results 
• Huge T&D losses impacting the financial health  of the power utilities with majority of 
                                                                                                              in lower effective 
  them having negative rate of return                                                                       realization of per unit 
                                                                                                            realization of per unit
• Significant proportion of loss is non‐technical, primarily due to theft of electricity                     of power produced
• Weak T&D system is due to lack of government focus on expanding T&D network
     Ratio of investment in generation to T&D is 2:1 in India compared to 1:1 or more in developed 
      countries
• Ratio of low‐tension (LT) and high‐tension (HT) has increasing significantly, resulting in 
  higher share of low‐voltage lines and high T&D losses 

                                                          POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                27
Power equipments used in generation and transmission of 
electricity not well maintained
Ageing and improperly‐maintained infrastructure
• Network infrastructure has failed to grow at the pace of load growth
• Most of the network equipments including power transformers, distribution            Poor quality and 
  transformers, 33 kV lines, 11 kV feeders and LT networks are old and overloaded       ageing power 
                                                                                        ageing power
                                                                                    equipments impacting  
• Lack of proper maintenance is further worsening the health of the equipments.      quality and reliability 
• Distribution companies are spending huge amount in replacing burnt equipments        of power supply




                                                POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                   28
• Introduction
• Power Sector – Overview
• Value Chain Analysis
• Government Policies & Initiatives
• Key Trends & Challenges
• Competitive Landscape
     y       p
• Key Developments
• Appendix


            POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT   29
Majority of the installed power capacity in India with public 
sector undertakings
Public Sector Players

          Company Name                Generation   Transmission      Distribution    Revenues       EBITDA     Total Capacity
                                                                                    (FY2007‐8)    (FY2007‐8)
National Thermal Power Corp
                                                                                   USD 9.6 bn    USD 2.9 bn    29,144 MW

National Hydro Electric  Power Corp
                                                                                   USD 780 mn    USD 545 mn    2,755 MW

Nuclear power Corp. of India Ltd
        p        p                                                                 USD 1.05 bn
                                                                                    USD 1.05 bn   USD 584 mn
                                                                                                  USD 584 mn    4,120 MW
                                                                                                                4,120 MW

Power Grid Corporation Of India                                                    USD 1.07 bn   USD 961 mn

Power Trading Corporation of India 
                                                                                   USD 957 mn    USD 5.2 mn

• National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) is the si th largest thermal po er prod cer in the orld and India’s
  National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) is the sixth largest thermal power producer in the world and India’s 
  largest power producer. It accounts for 20% of the country’s installed capacity. NTPC plans to invest up to USD 36 bn by 
  2012 to transform itself into an integrated regional energy player and have an installed capacity of over 50,000 MW
• National Hydro Electric Power Corp (NHPC) plans to increase the power generation capacity to over 10,000 MW by 
  2011–12
    0
• Nuclear Power Corporation of India Ltd. (NPCIL) has 5 plants under construction adding 2660MW by 2012
• Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd (PGCIL) is responsible for inter‐state transmission of electricity. The company 
  reported revenue of USD 1.1 bn in FY2007‐08
• Power Trading Corporation of India (PTC) is the Government of India initiated public private partnership, formed for
  Power Trading Corporation of India (PTC) is the Government of India initiated public private partnership, formed for 
  the purpose of trading of power


                                                    POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                30
Many private players investing in power sector with presence 
across the value chain
Domestic Private Players
        Company Name               Generation   Transmission       Distribution    Revenues       EBITDA        Total 
                                                                                  (
                                                                                  (FY2007‐8)
                                                                                           )    (FY2007‐08)
                                                                                                (          )   Capacity
                                                                                                                 p     y
           Tata Power                                                          USD 1.9 bn    USD 340 mn     2323 MW

            CESC Ltd                                                            USD 880 mn    USD 120.5 mn   975 MW

    Reliance Infrastructure                                                    USD 1.7 bn    USD 119 mn     941 MW

 Gujarat Industrial Power Corp.                                                  USD 232 mn     USD 63 mn     560 MW

       Lanco Infratech Ltd                                                       USD 797 mn    USD 175 mn     523 MW

         Torrent Power                                                         USD 899 mn    USD 137 mn     500MW

  Jaiprakash Hydro Power Ltd                                                      USD 74.7 mn   USD 68.5 mn    300 MW
• Some of the other significant private players in power sector include:
    Kalpatru Power Transmission Ltd is design, testing, fabrication, erection and construction of EHV transmission 
     lines. The company has annual production of 62,450 MTs and reported revenues of USD664 mn in FY2007 08 
     lines. The company has annual production of 62,450 MTs and reported revenues of USD664 mn in FY2007‐08
    KEC International Ltd is power transmission engineering, procurement and construction company with annual 
     production of 113,000 MTs . The company reported revenues of USD 699 mn in FY2007‐08
    Auro Mira Energy is power generation company involved in BioMass, Hydel and Wind sectors. Planned reach of 
     1000MW by 2012
    DPSC Ltd is involved in power distribution and generation in Asansol‐Raniganj coal belt in West Bengal


                                                 POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                              31
Foreign players also showing interest in Indian power sector

International Players
            Company Name               Generation         Transmission         Distribution     Revenues    Total Capacity
                                                                                               (FY2007‐8)

      China Light & Power (CLP)
                                                                                             USD 320 mn*     655 MW

        Marubeni Corporation                                                                     n.a.        347 MW
Note: * Revenues from India
Note: * Revenues from India

• China Light & Power (CLP): CLP Power India Private Ltd, a subsidiary of China Light and Power Ltd (Hong Kong) is the 
  largest foreign investor in the Indian power sector 
• Marubeni Corporation: Marubeni is very active in power sector for both EPC (Engineering, Procurement and 
  Construction) type of projects as well as IPP (Independent Power Producer) type of projects 
                 )       f                ll    ( d     d              d     )       f
• Many other foreign players planning to enter Indian power generation market including:
     Ranhill Berhad (Malaysia)
     Tronoh Alco (Malaysia)
     Israel Electric Corporation (Israel)
     Korea Electric Power Company (South Korea)
     Khanjee Holding Inc (US)




                                                    POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                              32
• Introduction
• Power Sector – Overview
• Value Chain Analysis
• Government Policies & Initiatives
• Key Trends & Challenges
• Competitive Landscape
     y       p
• Key Developments
• Appendix


            POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT   33
Key Developments

Date            Development
14‐Feb‐2009     NTPC and Nuclear Power Corp. will spend as much as USD$3 bn to build new atomic plants in the next eight years
11‐Feb‐2009     The power regulator Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) will come out with new trading regulation for the 
                country in March 2009. 
                country in March 2009
28‐Jan‐2009     Reliance Industries scrapped a INR 1,500 crore captive power plant after the government decided to allocate gas from its 
                eastern offshore fields to existing power and fertiliser plants only. RIL had proposed to set up a 345 MW power plant at 
                Nagothane in Maharashtra for captive use and was wanting to pipe its KG basin gas to the plant
27‐ Dec‐ 2008   Jindal Power announced today that will raise INR  7,000 crore in the next one year from both, domestic as well as 
                international sources to fund its thermal power project in Chhattisgarh. 
01‐Nov‐2008     Power Trading Company India (PTC India) is looking at picking up stakes in power generation projects across the country.




                                                         POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                           34
• Introduction
• Power Sector – Overview
• Value Chain Analysis
• Government Policies & Initiatives
• Key Trends & Challenges
• Competitive Landscape
     y       p
• Key Developments
• Appendix


            POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT   35
Appendix I – Power Sector Structure in India

                            Central                                         State

     Policy            Ministry of Power
                                                                      State Government
      Plan                    CEA

   Regulations               CERC                                           SERC

   Generation       Central Generating Units                     GENCOs               IPPs

  Transmission                CTU                                    STU
                                                                                 Some private 
System operations   NRLDC                RLDC                       SLDC           players in 
                                                                                 generation & 
                                                                 Distribution     distribution 
  Distribution
                                                                  Licencee

     Trading           Trading Licencee                               Trading Licencee

     Appeal
      pp               Appellate Tribunal
                        pp                                            Appellate Tribunal
                                                                       pp



                                      POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                    36
Appendix II – Planned Capacity Additions for 11th Plan

                          Plan Capacity Additions (MW) – 11th Five Year Plan
                 Central                        State                      Private     Total

Thermal          24,840                        23,301                      11,552      59,693
Hydro
H d               8,654
                  8 654                         3,482
                                                3 482                          3,491
                                                                               3 491   15,627
                                                                                       15 627
Nuclear           3,380                           0                             0      3,380
Total Utility    36,874                        26,783                      15,043      78,700
Renewables         NA                            NA                             NA     14,000
Grand Total      36,874                        26,783                      15,043      92,700




                                       POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                 37
Appendix III – PE Deals in India 

Investor                                                                                 Investee              % Stake    Investment 
                                                                                                                         Value in USD
Darby Overseas Investments Ltd                                                Bhoruka Power Corporation Ltd     N.A.      17.50 mn
DE Shaw
DE Shaw                                                                       Soham Renewable Energy India
                                                                              Soham Renewable Energy India      N.A.
                                                                                                                NA        15.00 mn
                                                                                                                          15 00 mn
Farallon Capital                                                                 Indiabulls Power Services     23.40%     246.88 mn

LNM India Internet Ventures                                                      Indiabulls Power Services     14.10%     148.13 mn
State Bank of India and ICICI Bank                                               Jaiprakash Power Ventures      3.005     100.00 mn
NYLIM Jacob Ballas India Fund III                                               Saravana Global Energy  Ltd     N.A.      25.00 mn
Mayfield Fund                                                                         Servomax India            N.A.       3.75 mn
Orient Global Tamarind Fund Pte Ltd                                                   Cairn India Ltd          2.60%      278.69 mn
First Reserve Corporation
First Reserve Corporation                                                                Kenersys               N.A.
                                                                                                                NA           N.A.
                                                                                                                             NA
Dubai Investment Group                                                          Chiranjeevi Wind Energy Ltd.   40.00%        N.A.
Nexus India Capital                                                           SEDEMAC Mechatronics Pvt Ltd      N.A.         N.A.
Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, Sherpalo Ventures and Applied Materials            Kotak Urja Pvt Ltd         N.A.       8.00 mn
Olympus Capital Holdings Asia, Shriram EPC and Bessemer Venture                 Orient Green Power Ltd          N.A.      55.00 mn

Acumen Fund                                                                  SBA Hydro & Renewable Energy       N.A.       1.26 mn
Acumen Fund                                                                            D.light Design           N.A.       1.00 mn
Helion Venture Partners andFoundation Capital
Helion Venture Partners andFoundation Capital                                          Azure Power
                                                                                       Azure Power              N.A.
                                                                                                                NA           N.A.
                                                                                                                             NA




                                                          POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                   38
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                                                            POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT                                                          39

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Market Research India - Power Sector Market in India 2009

  • 2. Executive Summary  India has 5th largest electricity generation capacity in the world Market   The installed capacity of India as of July 2008 was 145,587 MW Overview &   India is facing acute power deficit with peak power deficit of about 16%  Value Chain Value Chain PPower trading is still at nascent stage with merely 3.5% of the power generated traded in 2007‐08 t di i till t t t ith l 3 5% f th t d t d d i 2007 08  Distribution is primarily controlled by state electricity boards (SEBs)   Government policies are aimed at encouraging investment in the sector and increasing the  competition Government  Government  Government allows 100%  FDI under the automatic approval route in all segments of the industry  Policies &  (except atomic energy) Incentives  5‐year tax holiday is given for power generating projects  Import duty at the confessional rate of 20% has been set for import of equipment  Key Trends: Increase in per capita consumption of electricity, Increase in corporate investments,  Increase in FDI, increasing interest shown by PE/VC firms in power sector and surge in captive  Key Trends &  production Challenges  Challenges: Shortage of coal, power loss in transmission and distribution, ageing and improperly Challenges: Shortage of coal, power loss in transmission and distribution, ageing and improperly  maintained infrastructure  Public sector undertakings LIKE NTPC, MHPC hold the majority of the total installed capacity   Private players including Reliance, Tata Power, Torrent Power have presence across value chain  Competition and making significant investments in power sector and making significant investments in power sector  Foreign players like CLP, Marubeni Corporation have entered/planning the India power market POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 2
  • 3. • Introduction • Power Sector – Overview • Value Chain Analysis • Government Policies and Initiatives • Key Trends & Challenges • Competitive Landscape y p • Key Developments • Appendix POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 3
  • 4. India is among the top electricity generating countries in the  world Introduction Region – Wise Installed Capacity • India ranks sixth largest energy consumer in  the world • India consumes 3.7% of the world’s  commercial energy • Electricity is the backbone of the nation and North falls under the Concurrent List where both the  falls under the Concurrent List where both the 38,155 MW North‐East h Union and State Government can regulate the  2,255 MW sector East 20,816 MW • Country is divided into five regions for  Western transmission systems: transmission systems: 44, 628 MW 44, 628 MW 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 MW North 38,156 West South 44,628 44 628 39,656 MW South 39,656 East 20,816 *As on 31‐07‐08 North‐East 2,255 , POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 4
  • 5. • Introduction • Power Sector – Overview • Value Chain Analysis • Government Policies & Initiatives • Key Trends & Challenges • Competitive Landscape y p • Key Developments • Appendix POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 5
  • 6. Installed capacity has been increasing continuously to meet the  need of growing economy.. Supply Side Plan‐wise Installed Capacity • India has 5th largest electricity generation capacity in  MW the world 140,000 126,082 • Installed capacity of 145,587 MW as of July 2008 120,000 Nuclear Renewable 104,917 Gas‐based 8% 100,000 85,902 10% 80,000 69,480 3% Hydel power Hydel power 25% 60,000 64% Plan Thermal VII VIII IX X Demand Side Current and projected demand • Demand for power is growing at 8‐10% per annum MW bn units Energy Required • Demand has five key components:  250,000 Planned Demand 1,500 212,725  Industry, commercial, residential, agriculture, and others 200,000 • Key drivers of increasing demand are growth in: y g g 157,107 , 1,000 1 000  Household consumption 150,000 115,705  Electrification of rural areas 100,000 500  Manufacturing growing faster 50,000  Realization of suppressed demand due to load‐shedding • Required investment of ~USD 600 bn by 2017 0 0 X XI XII POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 6
  • 7. .. but India still facing acute demand supply gap Demand Supply Gap • Power supply position characterized by shortages ‐ both in terms of demand met during peak time and overall  energy supply • Peak power deficit in India is about 16% and is expected to rise to 20% by 2017 • Demand supply gap is more than 16%  Actual Power Supply Position during 2006‐07 (End of Xth Plan) Peak Energy Requirement Availability Shortage Shortage (%) Requirement Availability Shortage Shortage (%) 100,715 MW 86,818 MW ‐13,897 MW ‐13.8% 690,587 MU 624,495 MU ‐66,092 MU ‐9.6% Peak Shortages P k Sh t Energy E (%) BU 20 800 15 600 10 400 Average Energy Demand 5 200 Generation 0 0 Plan 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 VI VII VIII IX X POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 7
  • 8. • Introduction • Power Sector – Overview • Value Chain Analysis • Government Policies & Initiatives • Key Trends & Challenges • Competitive Landscape y p • Key Developments • Appendix POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 8
  • 9. Public sector companies or State Electricity Boards (SEB) have  presence across the value chain Raw  materials Generators • Power generation depends on coal, gas, nuclear and hydroelectric sources • Coal accounts for 50% of the generation capacity • Power trading company buys power from surplus area and sells it in deficit Power trading company buys power from surplus area and sells it in deficit  Traders area using and transfers power through transmission lines  • Power trading is at a very nascent stage in India  Transmission • Transmission of electricity involves bulk transfer of power over a long  distance at high voltage (132kV and above)  Distribution • Distribution involves supply of power to end consumers  • It also includes billing and collection services End user End user POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 9
  • 10. Power generation capacity has increased over the years Generation Trading Transmission Distribution Generation ‐ Overview  Power Generation Growth • Power generation increased from 662.5 bn  BU Nuclear units (BU) in 2006‐07 to 704.5 BU in 2007‐08 800 Hydro 704 • The electricity generation target for the year  700 Thermal 659 2% 616 3% 2008‐09 has been fixed at 774.4 BU : 600 558 587 3% 18% 3% 17%  Thermal ‐ 631.3 BU 3% 14% 16% 500 13%  Hydro ‐ 118 5 BU Hydro  118.5 BU  80% 400 83% 81% 80%  Nuclear ‐ 19.0 BU  84%  Import from Bhutan ‐ 5.6 BU   300 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 • State accounts for a large share of installed  capacity (53%), followed by central (34%) and  capacity (53%) followed by central (34%) and Plant Load Factor Plant Load Factor private sector (14%) % • The plant load factor (PLF) of generating  80 78.6% plants has improved consistently over the last  78 76.8% few years f 76 74.2% 74.0% 74 72.7% 72 70 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 10
  • 11. Power trading is still at nascent stage in India Generation Trading Transmission Distribution Trading ‐ Overview  Market Share Power Trading (2007‐08) • Merely 3.5% of the power generated in 2007‐08 was  Adani Power traded in India 6%  Power Trading Corporation of India (PTC) was the first Power Trading Corporation of India (PTC) was the first  Others company to start with trading o f power 22%  Out of the 42 licenses issues in 2004, only 13 of the  46% PTC licenses actually traded in 2007‐08  Current norms require an applicant to have net worth of  Tata Power 10% Rs 1.5 crore for allotment of license, which gives him the  right of power trading of up to 100 mn KWh 16% • Online trading in India started with Indian Energy  NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam Exchange (IEX), launched in June, 2008  Financial Technologies is the major stakeholder with 90%  share Volume of Power Transacted  • Second power trading exchange, Power Exchange  India ltd (PXI), was launched in October 2008   PXI is promoted by National Stock Exchange of India Ltd  Total Energy  Market Clearing Prices (NSE) & National Commodities & Derivatives Exchange Ltd  Exchange Transacted (till 05‐ (NCDEX) 12‐2008) Maximum Minimum • In order to promote trading, power regulators will  IEX 1470.30 MU INR 11.00 INR 0.92 review in 2009 the 4‐paise‐a‐unit cap on power  trading margins PXI 26.96 MU INR 11.00 INR 3.00  Weighted average purchase price and sales price of  power in 2007‐08 were INR 4.48 a kWh and INR 4.52 a  kWh, respectively k h i l POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 11
  • 12. Transmission & Distribution network of India is the third largest  in the world Generation Trading Transmission Distribution Transmission ‐ Overview  Transmission Network  • Current transmission capacity is 143,000 MW and  ckm inter‐regional power transfer capacity of 17,000 MW 400,000 • MoP plans to establish an integrated National Power  325,000 325 000 300,000 265,000 Grid in the country by 2012 with 200,000 MW of  Grid capacity and 37,700 MW of inter‐regional  200,000 172,000 power transfer capacity 100,000 67,000 • Government is encouraging private sector Government is encouraging private sector  2,700 participation in transmission sector  0  Transmission sector is 100% opened for private  1950 1970 1990 2008 2012 participation on a Build, Operate and Transfer (BOT) basis  Currently, private sector participation in transmission  projects is in the form of JV with Power Grid Corporation  Proposed Investments in Transmission  Proposed Investments in Transmission * of India Ltd (PGCIL) • The Planning Commission of India expects  USD bn Center State Private Total investments worth USD 25 bn (INR 1,292 bn) for  transmission in XIth Plan against a target plan  g g p Inter‐State 12.3 0 4.0 16.3 estimate investment of USD 9 bn (INR 457 bn) in Xth  Intra‐State 0 10.9 3.0 13.9 Plan  Planning Commission has taken a 15% cut on the initial  Total 12.3 10.9 7 30.2 estimates in XIth Plan, which was USD 30.2 bn (INR1,520  *Planned investments before 15% cut  bn) POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 12
  • 13. SEBs control the distribution with the presence of few private  players Generation Trading Transmission Distribution Distribution ‐ Overview  Aggregate Technical & Commercial Losses • Distribution of electricity is controlled by State  Electricity Boards (SEBs) % • Few private players like Reliance and Tata are also Few private players like Reliance and Tata are also  40 38 9% 38.9% AT&C Losses present in electricity distribution 36.6% 34.9% 34.8% 35.2%  Distribution licenses of several cities are with private  35 33.1% sector players • Distribution system in India is characterized by high  30 Aggregate Technical and Commercial (AT&C) losses A t T h i l dC i l (AT&C) l  AT&C losses are declining but still on higher side  2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 compared to other countries  Most of the technical losses are due to poor transformers,  improper load management, pilferage, low voltage  Billing and Collection Efficiency  distribution lines etc distribution lines etc • Distribution sector is also crippled with poor billing  Collection Efficiency and collection efficiency % Billing Efficiency • A reduction in T&D losses by 1% point is estimated  100 95.2% 93.9% 93.0% 94.2% to be equivalent to power generated from a 600‐700  90.9% 92.7% MW plant MW plant 90 • Government introduced the APDRP (Accelerated  80 Power Development and Reforms Program) to fund  71.0% 69.5% 69.7% investments and also offer incentives for efficiency  70 67.3% 68.4% 68.4% improvements • Government plans to invest Rs 287,000 crore in  60 power distribution in XIth Plan 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 13
  • 14. • Introduction • Power Sector – Overview • Value Chain Analysis • Government Policies & Initiatives • Key Trends & Challenges • Competitive Landscape y p • Key Developments • Appendix POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 14
  • 15. Government has been taking positive steps by introducing new  policies and regulations.. Policies (1/2) • Accelerated Power Development and Reform Program (APDRP) launched in  2001 with the objective of: j  reducing T&D losses to 15% in five years in urban and high density areas APDRP  reducing power outage and raising collection efficiency • Restructured to achieve the objective of 15% loss by end of the XI 5‐year Plan • Central government has earmarked an outlay of INR8 billion for APDRP for FY09 • Removed/reduced entry barriers  De‐licensed generation Electricity Act   Freedom to captive generation 2003 RRecognized trading as an independent activity i d di i d d i i  Open access in transmission already in place • Multiple licenses in distribution • Total village electrification by 2010 l ll l f b National  • Access to Electricity Available for all households in next five years Electricity Policy  • Per capita availability of electricity to be increased to over 1000 units by 2012 2005 • Full development of hydro potential of the country • Development of National Grid POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 15
  • 16. .. and giving better incentives to encourage investment in power  sector Policies (2/2) • Tariff of Generation and Transmission Projects in Private Sector determined  through competitive bidding through competitive bidding Tariff Policy 2006 • Reduction of cross subsidy to ± 20% of average tariff in next five years • Facilitating Open Access in Distribution • Time‐bound introduction of Multi Year Tariff Incentives • 100% foreign equity participation is allowed under the automatic approval route in all segments of the industry 100% foreign equity participation is allowed under the automatic approval route in all segments of the industry  (except atomic energy) • Generation and distribution power projects of any type and size are allowed • A renewable license period of 30 years has been set • Return on equity up to 16% is assured at 68.5% PLF for thermal power plants. Similar incentives are provided for Return on equity up to 16% is assured at 68.5% PLF for thermal power plants. Similar incentives are provided for  hydroelectric power projects • Import duty at the confessional rate of 20% has been set for import of equipment • The government allows a 5‐year tax holiday for power generating projects with an additional five years in which a  p deduction of 30% taxable profits is allowed POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 16
  • 17. Public Private Partnership (PPP) model is not witnessing much  activity compared to other sector in infrastructure PPP Model ‐ Overview • India has around 300 projects under the public private  Airports Railways partnerships in infrastructure  Energy 1% • The power sector in India has not witness much PPP  11% activity as compared to other sectors Urban Development 2% 12%  Power sector witnessed investments worth USD 3.5 bn • Government is encouraging PPP model to meet the  62% 13% Road capacity addition target of 78,700 MW in XIth Plan i ddi i f 78 700 MW i XI h Pl Ports  Government plans to promote PPP model in ash utilization,  augmentation of transmission lines and distribution Types of public private partnerships in India Ultra Mega Power  Distribution Franchisee Projects (UMPP) POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 17
  • 18. Government prefer distribution franchisee model compared to  complete privatization of SEBs in India Distribution franchisee State Power  Distribution End User Corporation Franchisee Sell power to  Franchisee distribute at  Franchisee price prescribes by SEC • The distribution franchisee agreement is based upon a contract under which the distribution assets stay The distribution franchisee agreement is based upon a contract under which the distribution assets stay  under State control while private player is involved in efficiently distributing electricity in particular region • Power utilities follow revenue‐based model in which franchisee is responsible for all obligations of  distribution license in the franchisee area viz :  Supply of power pp y p  Consumer service  Operation and maintenance of distribution network  Billing and collection  Compliance with regulatory standards • A total of 14 States, including Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Orissa, West Bengal, Haryana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka  and Gujarat, have appointed franchisees for different zones • Crompton Greaves has been awarded 3 major divisions in Nagpur by the Maharashtra State Electricity  Distribution Company under this model POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 18
  • 19. Private players bidding for Ultra Mega Power Projects proposed  by the government Ultra Mega Power projects • MoP plans to set up Ultra Mega Power projects through private sector participation with capacity of 400 MW each • UMPP the projects are build on BOO (Build‐Own‐Operate) basis through tariff based competitive bidding route  • Bidders are finalized on tariff based competitive bidding and takes over Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) from Power  Finance Corporation (PFC) • PFC is the nodel agency for setting up the SPV for any project  • Projects to use supercritical technology based on pithead (captive block) or imported coal (coastal) • Full exemption of central excise duty on goods procured under supercritical technology • The identified projects are –  Five coastal site projects:‐ Mundra in Gujarat, Krishnapatnam in Andhra Pradesh, Tadri in Karnataka, Girye in Maharashtra, and  Cheyyur  in Tamil Nadu FFour pithead site projects:‐ S ith d it j t Sasan in Madhya Pradesh, Tilaiya in Jharkhand, Sundergarh district in Orissa and Akaltara in  i M dh P d h Til i i Jh kh d S d h di t i t i O i d Ak lt i Chhattisgarh POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 19
  • 20. • Introduction • Power Sector – Overview • Value Chain Analysis • Government Policies & Initiatives • Key Trends & Challenges • Competitive Landscape y p • Key Developments • Appendix POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 20
  • 21. Key Trends Increase in per capita  consumption p Increase in captive  Increase in captive Increase in domestic  Increase in domestic power production investments Trends PE firms showing  Increase in FDI Increase in FDI interest in power sector POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 21
  • 22. Power sector witnessing increase in per capita electricity  consumption and corporate investments Increase in per capita electricity consumption • India's per capita consumption of electricity has increased steadily over a period but still  insignificant compared to the rest of the world National Electricity  Policy expects the per  Kwh Kwh capita electricity  15,000 consumption to reach  800 15,000 1000 Kwh by 2012 704 672 10,000 700 632 595 613 600 567 5,000 5 000 1,800 704 2,300 500 0 World Average 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 US China India Increase in domestic investments Increase in domestic investments • Indian power sector has attracted USD 38 bn (INR 1.95 tn) in investments in the H12008  (Jan – June) Positive government  • Power sector attracted 30% of the total corporate investments policies encouraging  corporate investments  corporate investments USD b bn in power sector 38.0 40 29.9 21.4 17.7 17.6 20 0 Power Realty Steel Retail Telecom POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 22
  • 23. Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) and private equity (PE)  investments surging Increase in FDI • 100% FDI is allowed in all segments of power sector including trading • Foreign players can invest in Hydro Projects, Captive Power, Ultra Mega Power Projects, Foreign players can  invest in Hydro Projects, Captive Power, Ultra Mega Power Projects,  Power sector is  Nuclear Power, National Grid Program, Rural Electrification, Trading, Renewable energy witnessing  increase in  investments by the   USD mn foreign players  967.0 1,000 594.0 500 87.0 157.0 0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 * PE firms showing interest in power sector • Reforms in the power sector attracting large global PE firms to invest in power sector Global investors  • PE investments increased , both in volume and value investing in   PE  firms make up 59% of the total deals (M&A and PE investments) in 2008 in power sector with  alternatives fuels and  majority of deals in renewable energy ** energy segments in  USD mn India I di 900 1,000 682 20 Number of deals 500 113 10 Deal Amount 0 0 2006 2007 2008 Note: * From April 2008 – November 2008 ** Complete list of PE deals in Appendix III POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 23
  • 24. Captive power production becoming an attractive option for the  manufacturers Increase in captive power production • Electricity Act 2003 liberalized captive power generation in order to meet the energy  Manufacturers  shortages and enable cost effective power supply to manufacturing sector g p pp y g increasing captive  increasing captive  Act allows captive power producers to sell excess capacity to others power production as   Group captive power plants also allowed to enable small medium industries and cooperatives sale of surplus  becomes easier • Captive power generation is attractive to manufacturers as they can generate power at  prices 25‐80% cheaper than power from the grid • The captive power plant players can sell surplus electricity to   State electricity board through 15‐25 year power purchase agreements (PPAs)  Online electricity trading platform like IEX or PXI • Free capacity from captive plants  is connected to the grid to meet the country’s energy  requirements i  In 2005, 14,636 MW was connected to grid, while in 2006 14,866 was connected to grid MW 40,000 31,000 , 30,000 24,600 18,740 19,485 20,000 10,000 0 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-12 POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 24
  • 25. Challenges  Inability to meet the capacity  Shortage of coal addition targets Challenges Ageing and improperly‐ Huge power loss in transmission  maintained infrastructure and distribution POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 25
  • 26. Government has failed to meet the capacity addition targets set  in Five Year Plans Inability to meet the capacity addition targets • Actual capacity additions have substantially lagged the planned capacity additions in the  past 5 Year Plans Government inability   Eighth Five Year Plan (1992‐1997) – 54% implemented meet power capacity   Ninth Five Year Plan (1997‐2002) – 48% implemented targets is widening  the   Tenth Five Year Plan (2002‐2007) ‐ 51.5% implemented demand‐supply gap • Capacity addition of 21,180 MW was achieved in Xth against the target of 41,110 MW  • S Some of the reasons for the slippage of projects were ‐ f th f th li f j t  Delay in supplies/erection by suppliers/ contractors  Delay in tie‐up for super critical technology  Non‐availability of Gas   Delay in clearance/investment decisions (Hydro Projects) y / ( y j )  Hydro Project delayed due to delay in environmental clearance, natural calamities, delay in signing of  MoU  Law & Order Problems Summary of capacity addition during Xth Plan  Summary of capacity addition during Xth Plan Original Target 41,110 MW (‐) Net capacity additions from original target  19,829 MW () (‐) Net capacity addition from additional projects  p y p j 1,351 MW Capacity slipped/Dropped 21,281 MW POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 26
  • 27. Power plants facing coal shortages while distribution companies  facing huge T&D losses Shortage of Coal • Some of the India’s 77 coal‐based stations totalling 70,000MW are facing severe coal  shortages Coal supply shortages  • Power utilities are expected to face shortage of 66 mn tonnes of coal by end of 2011‐12 due to inability to keep  due to inability to keep imports in line with   Total coal requirement is  448.5 mn tonnes in 2011‐12 while the indigenous coal availability from  targets or problems in  Coal India and subsidiaries during the is estimated at 382.4 mn tonnes Coal India Ltd • Coal shortages are either due to inability of power utilities to import coal in line with its  target or law and order problems at subsidiaries of Coal India Ltd target or law and order problems at subsidiaries of Coal India Ltd • The current peaking shortages of 14% and energy shortages of 8% could worsen because  of coal shortages Huge power loss in transmission and distribution • Average transmission and distribution losses (T&D) exceed 30% of total power generation  compared to less than 15% for developing economies High T&D losses results  • Huge T&D losses impacting the financial health  of the power utilities with majority of  in lower effective  them having negative rate of return realization of per unit  realization of per unit • Significant proportion of loss is non‐technical, primarily due to theft of electricity  of power produced • Weak T&D system is due to lack of government focus on expanding T&D network  Ratio of investment in generation to T&D is 2:1 in India compared to 1:1 or more in developed  countries • Ratio of low‐tension (LT) and high‐tension (HT) has increasing significantly, resulting in  higher share of low‐voltage lines and high T&D losses  POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 27
  • 28. Power equipments used in generation and transmission of  electricity not well maintained Ageing and improperly‐maintained infrastructure • Network infrastructure has failed to grow at the pace of load growth • Most of the network equipments including power transformers, distribution  Poor quality and  transformers, 33 kV lines, 11 kV feeders and LT networks are old and overloaded ageing power  ageing power equipments impacting   • Lack of proper maintenance is further worsening the health of the equipments. quality and reliability  • Distribution companies are spending huge amount in replacing burnt equipments of power supply POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 28
  • 29. • Introduction • Power Sector – Overview • Value Chain Analysis • Government Policies & Initiatives • Key Trends & Challenges • Competitive Landscape y p • Key Developments • Appendix POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 29
  • 30. Majority of the installed power capacity in India with public  sector undertakings Public Sector Players Company Name Generation Transmission Distribution Revenues  EBITDA  Total Capacity (FY2007‐8) (FY2007‐8) National Thermal Power Corp  USD 9.6 bn USD 2.9 bn 29,144 MW National Hydro Electric  Power Corp  USD 780 mn USD 545 mn 2,755 MW Nuclear power Corp. of India Ltd p p  USD 1.05 bn USD 1.05 bn USD 584 mn USD 584 mn 4,120 MW 4,120 MW Power Grid Corporation Of India  USD 1.07 bn USD 961 mn Power Trading Corporation of India   USD 957 mn USD 5.2 mn • National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) is the si th largest thermal po er prod cer in the orld and India’s National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) is the sixth largest thermal power producer in the world and India’s  largest power producer. It accounts for 20% of the country’s installed capacity. NTPC plans to invest up to USD 36 bn by  2012 to transform itself into an integrated regional energy player and have an installed capacity of over 50,000 MW • National Hydro Electric Power Corp (NHPC) plans to increase the power generation capacity to over 10,000 MW by  2011–12 0 • Nuclear Power Corporation of India Ltd. (NPCIL) has 5 plants under construction adding 2660MW by 2012 • Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd (PGCIL) is responsible for inter‐state transmission of electricity. The company  reported revenue of USD 1.1 bn in FY2007‐08 • Power Trading Corporation of India (PTC) is the Government of India initiated public private partnership, formed for Power Trading Corporation of India (PTC) is the Government of India initiated public private partnership, formed for  the purpose of trading of power POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 30
  • 31. Many private players investing in power sector with presence  across the value chain Domestic Private Players Company Name Generation Transmission Distribution Revenues  EBITDA   Total  ( (FY2007‐8) ) (FY2007‐08) ( ) Capacity p y Tata Power    USD 1.9 bn USD 340 mn 2323 MW CESC Ltd   USD 880 mn USD 120.5 mn 975 MW Reliance Infrastructure    USD 1.7 bn USD 119 mn 941 MW Gujarat Industrial Power Corp.   USD 232 mn USD 63 mn 560 MW Lanco Infratech Ltd  USD 797 mn USD 175 mn 523 MW Torrent Power    USD 899 mn USD 137 mn 500MW Jaiprakash Hydro Power Ltd USD 74.7 mn USD 68.5 mn 300 MW • Some of the other significant private players in power sector include:  Kalpatru Power Transmission Ltd is design, testing, fabrication, erection and construction of EHV transmission  lines. The company has annual production of 62,450 MTs and reported revenues of USD664 mn in FY2007 08  lines. The company has annual production of 62,450 MTs and reported revenues of USD664 mn in FY2007‐08  KEC International Ltd is power transmission engineering, procurement and construction company with annual  production of 113,000 MTs . The company reported revenues of USD 699 mn in FY2007‐08  Auro Mira Energy is power generation company involved in BioMass, Hydel and Wind sectors. Planned reach of  1000MW by 2012  DPSC Ltd is involved in power distribution and generation in Asansol‐Raniganj coal belt in West Bengal POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 31
  • 32. Foreign players also showing interest in Indian power sector International Players Company Name Generation Transmission Distribution Revenues  Total Capacity (FY2007‐8) China Light & Power (CLP)  USD 320 mn* 655 MW Marubeni Corporation  n.a. 347 MW Note: * Revenues from India Note: * Revenues from India • China Light & Power (CLP): CLP Power India Private Ltd, a subsidiary of China Light and Power Ltd (Hong Kong) is the  largest foreign investor in the Indian power sector  • Marubeni Corporation: Marubeni is very active in power sector for both EPC (Engineering, Procurement and  Construction) type of projects as well as IPP (Independent Power Producer) type of projects  ) f ll ( d d d ) f • Many other foreign players planning to enter Indian power generation market including:  Ranhill Berhad (Malaysia)  Tronoh Alco (Malaysia)  Israel Electric Corporation (Israel)  Korea Electric Power Company (South Korea)  Khanjee Holding Inc (US) POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 32
  • 33. • Introduction • Power Sector – Overview • Value Chain Analysis • Government Policies & Initiatives • Key Trends & Challenges • Competitive Landscape y p • Key Developments • Appendix POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 33
  • 34. Key Developments Date Development 14‐Feb‐2009 NTPC and Nuclear Power Corp. will spend as much as USD$3 bn to build new atomic plants in the next eight years 11‐Feb‐2009 The power regulator Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) will come out with new trading regulation for the  country in March 2009.  country in March 2009 28‐Jan‐2009 Reliance Industries scrapped a INR 1,500 crore captive power plant after the government decided to allocate gas from its  eastern offshore fields to existing power and fertiliser plants only. RIL had proposed to set up a 345 MW power plant at  Nagothane in Maharashtra for captive use and was wanting to pipe its KG basin gas to the plant 27‐ Dec‐ 2008 Jindal Power announced today that will raise INR  7,000 crore in the next one year from both, domestic as well as  international sources to fund its thermal power project in Chhattisgarh.  01‐Nov‐2008 Power Trading Company India (PTC India) is looking at picking up stakes in power generation projects across the country. POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 34
  • 35. • Introduction • Power Sector – Overview • Value Chain Analysis • Government Policies & Initiatives • Key Trends & Challenges • Competitive Landscape y p • Key Developments • Appendix POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 35
  • 36. Appendix I – Power Sector Structure in India Central State Policy Ministry of Power State Government Plan CEA Regulations CERC SERC Generation Central Generating Units GENCOs IPPs Transmission CTU STU Some private  System operations NRLDC RLDC SLDC players in  generation &  Distribution  distribution  Distribution Licencee Trading Trading Licencee Trading Licencee Appeal pp Appellate Tribunal pp Appellate Tribunal pp POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 36
  • 37. Appendix II – Planned Capacity Additions for 11th Plan Plan Capacity Additions (MW) – 11th Five Year Plan Central State Private Total Thermal 24,840 23,301 11,552 59,693 Hydro H d 8,654 8 654 3,482 3 482 3,491 3 491 15,627 15 627 Nuclear 3,380 0 0 3,380 Total Utility 36,874 26,783 15,043 78,700 Renewables NA NA NA 14,000 Grand Total 36,874 26,783 15,043 92,700 POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 37
  • 38. Appendix III – PE Deals in India  Investor Investee % Stake Investment  Value in USD Darby Overseas Investments Ltd Bhoruka Power Corporation Ltd N.A. 17.50 mn DE Shaw DE Shaw Soham Renewable Energy India Soham Renewable Energy India N.A. NA 15.00 mn 15 00 mn Farallon Capital Indiabulls Power Services 23.40% 246.88 mn LNM India Internet Ventures Indiabulls Power Services 14.10% 148.13 mn State Bank of India and ICICI Bank Jaiprakash Power Ventures 3.005 100.00 mn NYLIM Jacob Ballas India Fund III Saravana Global Energy  Ltd N.A. 25.00 mn Mayfield Fund Servomax India N.A. 3.75 mn Orient Global Tamarind Fund Pte Ltd Cairn India Ltd 2.60% 278.69 mn First Reserve Corporation First Reserve Corporation Kenersys N.A. NA N.A. NA Dubai Investment Group Chiranjeevi Wind Energy Ltd. 40.00% N.A. Nexus India Capital SEDEMAC Mechatronics Pvt Ltd N.A. N.A. Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, Sherpalo Ventures and Applied Materials Kotak Urja Pvt Ltd N.A. 8.00 mn Olympus Capital Holdings Asia, Shriram EPC and Bessemer Venture  Orient Green Power Ltd N.A. 55.00 mn Acumen Fund SBA Hydro & Renewable Energy  N.A. 1.26 mn Acumen Fund D.light Design N.A. 1.00 mn Helion Venture Partners andFoundation Capital Helion Venture Partners andFoundation Capital Azure Power Azure Power N.A. NA N.A. NA POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 38
  • 39. Thank you for your time For an updated report or any customized research requirements, please contact: Gaurav Kumar E‐Mail: gaurav.kumar@netscribes.com; sales@netscribes.com Phone: +91 33 4064 6214; +91 983 030 9715 Netscribes’ Services: RESEARCH & ANALYTICS RESEARCH & ANALYTICS MARKET INTELLIGENCE MARKET INTELLIGENCE CONTENT SOLUTIONS CONTENT SOLUTIONS Investment Research Market Monitoring & Competitive  Social Media Marketing Enterprise Market Research Intelligence Marcom Support Services Patent Research Sales & Prospect Intelligence Content Management Services Syndicated Market Research S di t d M k t R h Listening & Media Monitoring Li t i & M di M it i Book Packaging Services B kP k i S i Brand Surveillance For further details, visit us at: www.netscribes.com About Netscribes Netscribes supports the organic and inorganic growth objectives of global corporations through a combination of Enterprise Market,  Investment & Patent Research, Market & Sales Intelligence, Social Media Monitoring & Management and Custom Publishing solution. Disclaimer: This report is published for general information only. High standards have been used for preparing this market research report;  Disclaimer: This report is published for general information only High standards have been used for preparing this market research report; however, Netscribes, Inc. or “Netscribes” is not responsible for any loss or damage arising from use of this document. This document is the sole  property of Netscribes and prior permission is required for guidelines on reproduction. POWER SECTOR – INDIA.PPT 39