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Coffee Market in China
February 2012
Executive Summary
               Coffee is one of the fastest growing segments of the beverage sector in China projected to 
                grow with a CAGR of x% to y tons by 20‐‐ from z tons in 20‐‐
  Market       Low coffee consumption at only 5 cups per capita per year provides robust growth 
                opportunity for coffee in China

              Drivers:                                                  Challenges:
               Rising Population and Urbanization                       Rising Labour Costs
               Rising Disposable Income                                 High Taxes and Duties
 Drivers & 
               Changing Lifestyles                                      Health Hazards
Challenges
               Young Population Drive Coffee Demand
               Low Per Capita Consumption

               Retail Chain Expansion
  Trends
               Rising Demand of Instant Coffee
               Investment Plans

                                                           Major Players

Competition
              Company 1         Company 2            Company 3          Company 4     Company 5   Company 6




                                      COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                         2
•Market Overview
  • Global
  • China
•Supply Chain
•Exports and Imports
•Drivers & Challenges
•Trends
•Mergers & Acquisitions
•Competition
•Key Takeaway

       COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT   3
Global coffee production with a greater emphasis on 
 ‘Arabica’ variety is expected to witness a steep rise
 Global Coffee Market ‐ Overview                                           Growth in Coffee Production
 • Global coffee production is expected to increase to x                       mn bags
                                                                                                        X%
   mn (y kg) bags by 20‐‐                                                    150                 x2                  x4
                                                                                          x1                 x3
 • South America accounted for z mn bags of the global 
                                                                             100
   coffee production in 20‐‐
 • Global coffee production is dominated by the Arabica                        50
   variety of coffee
                                                                                0
     •    Arabica coffee accounted for x% of the coffee produced 
                                                                                          20‐‐   20‐‐        20‐‐   20‐‐e
          in 20‐‐

    Production by Variety                                                   Regional Production (20‐‐)
                               A     B                                         mn bags
    mn bags
                                                                               60                                    z4
  100
           x1                            x3
    80                    x2                           x4                                        z2
                                                                               40
    60           y1            y2             y3            y4
    40                                                                         20                            z3
                                                                                          z1
    20
                                                                                0
     0
                                                                                           A      B           C      D
              20‐‐          20‐‐          20‐‐          20‐‐

Source:

                                                        COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                     4
Despite a relatively low share of coffee sales Chinese coffee 
 market is expected to witness a robust growth
 Domestic Coffee Market ‐ Overview                                                      Coffee Market Growth ‐ Production
 • Coffee market in China is expected to grow from x 
                                                                                       ‘000 tons
   thousand tons in 20‐‐ to y thousand tons by 20‐‐                                                                            x2
      Coffee demand in China is increasing at a rate of z% to y%                     300
                                                                                                                    Z%
       per year compared to a a world average of mere x%
                                                                                      200
 • X Province is the major coffee growing region in 
   China producing only Y variety of coffee                                           100
      X accounts for y% of the coffee bean production in China                                           x1
          _ Z Province is the major producer of X coffee with an annual                 0
            production of y tons
                                                                                                          20‐‐                20‐‐e

 Coffee Production Hubs in China                                                        Hot Drinks Market Share (20‐‐)

                                                                                                               x1


                                                                                                     x3                               A
                                                                                                                                      B
                                                                                                                                      C

                                                                                                                         x2
                                                                           X
                                                                           Z
Source:

                                                                   COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                        5
Chinese coffee market accounted for a trade surplus of over 
 USD  y mn in 20‐‐
 Coffee Market – Exports under HS Codes
                                  USD mn                                                Countrywise Segmentation
                                 150                     Y%                Z%                                      Country 1
                                                                                                  x8               Country 2
     Country 1 is the largest                                                    x4
                                                                                                                   Country 3
                                 100                                x4
       importer of coffee 
                                                          x3                               x5 x6 x7                Country 4
      accounting for x% of                    x2                                          x4                 x1
                                       x1                                                                          Country 5
     China’s coffee exports      50
                                                                                          x3                       Country 6
                                                                                                                   Country 7
                                  0                                                              x2                Country 8
                                       20‐‐   20‐‐       20‐‐      20‐‐         20‐‐

 Coffee Market – Imports under HS Codes
                                                                                        Countrywise Segmentation
                                  USD mn                  Y%                Z%                                     Country 1
                                  80                                              y5                               Country 2
                                                           y3                                    y8
    Country 1 is the largest                                                                                       Country 3
     exporter of coffee to        60                                 y4                       y6
                                               y2                                                                  Country 4
    China accounting for x%            y1                                                     y5 y7
                                  40                                                     y4                 y1     Country 5
       of China’s coffee 
                                                                                                                   Country 6
            imports               20                                                       y3
                                                                                                                   Country 7
                                   0                                                             y2                Country 8
                                       20‐‐   20‐‐        20‐‐      20‐‐         20‐‐
Source:

                                                   COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                             6
In volume terms, 20‐‐ witnessed a trade surplus of mere x 
 tons in China coffee market
 Coffee Market – Exports under HS Codes
                                                                                           Countrywise Segmentation
                                    ‘000 tons
                                    40                       Y%
       Coffee export volumes                                            x4          x5                 x6
    remained almost stagnant        30                                                                                Country 1
                                                              x3                                  x5
    during 20‐‐ ‐20‐‐, however              x1    x2                                         x4                       Country 2
                                    20
     registered a growth of x%                                                               x3                  x1   Country 3
    value wise, indicating price    10                                                                                Country 4
              increase                                                                                                Country 5
                                     0                                                             x2
                                                                                                                      Country 6
                                          2006   2007       2008      2009      2010

 Coffee Market – Imports under HS Codes
                                                                                           Countrywise Segmentation
                                    ‘000 tons                 Y%
                                                                               Z%
                                    40
                                                                                     y5             y5 y6             Country 1
      Coffee import volumes         30                                                            y3 y4               Country 2
     rose by x% between 20‐‐                      y2           y3        y4                  y2
                                            y1                                                                        Country 3
     and 2010 attributing to a      20
                                                                                                                      Country 4
          rise in demand
                                    10                                                                                Country 5

                                     0                                                                      y1        Country 6

                                          2006   2007        2008       2009        2010
Source:                                                                                                                       Note:

                                                       COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                            7
Drivers & Challenges – Summary




  Drivers                                                         Challenges

  Rising Population and Urbanization                              Rising Labour Costs

  Rising Disposable Income                                        Taxes and Duties

  Changing Lifestyles
                                                                  Health Hazards
  Young Population Drive Coffee 
  Demand

  Low Per Capita Consumption




                                        COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                 8
Rising population and rapid urbanization to act as the major 
 growth driver for the coffee market in China
 Rising Population and Urbanization                                                                Impact
 • Finding 1
 • Finding 2
 • Finding 3
 • Finding 4




                                      Rise in Population                          Increase in urbanization 
                                                                                   leads to growth of the 
                  mn                         Z%                                        coffee market  
          1,500        z1       z2                        z3               z4


          1,000        x1       x2                        x3               x4
                                                                                            A      B
           500
                       y1       y2                       y3                y4
             0
                       20‐‐    20‐‐                     20‐‐e             20‐‐e

Source:

                                        COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                       9
Rising disposable income leading to greater spending 
 increase demand from branded retail outlets
 Rise in Disposable Income                                                                           Impact
 •Finding 1
 •Finding 2
 •Finding 3
 •Finding 4




                  Urban Disposable Income                                  Urban Consumer Spending

             USD bn                                                       USD bn
                                      x3
      20,000                                                          5,000                        y3
                              Z%
      15,000                                                          4,000                Z%
                              x2                                      3,000
      10,000                                                                               y2
                                                                      2,000
          5,000       x1
                                                                      1,000        y1
             0                                                            0
                      20‐‐   20‐‐e   20‐‐e                                         20‐‐   20‐‐e   20‐‐e
Source:

                                             COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                  10
Rapidly changing lifestyle is a major contributor to the 
 growth of coffee market in China
 Changing Lifestyles                                                  Impact
 • Finding 1
 • Finding 2
 • Finding 3
 • Finding 4




                               Share of Spending

                         %                    A      B

                  100%
                   80%       x1
                                                           x2
                   60%
                   40%
                             y1
                   20%                                     y2
                   0%
                             20‐‐                        20‐‐e
Source:

                                    COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT            11
Low level of per capita consumption provides a huge 
 opportunity for growth to the coffee market in China
 Low Per Capita Consumption                                                                                               Impact
 • Finding 1
 • Finding 2
 • Finding 3




                                           Per Capita Coffee Consumption                                China’s per capita coffee 
                                                                                                       consumption is the lowest 
                                                                                                          offering substantial 
    No. of  Cups
                                                                                                         opportunity for growth
              x1
   1,500
                          x2       x3       x4        x5
   1,000                                                         x6
                                                                            x7          x8

     500                                                                                        x9        x10
                                                                                                                       x11
                                                                                                                                    x12
          0
              Finland   Sweden Netherlands Norway   Denmark    Austria    France      Germany   USA      Japan        Korea        China

Source:                                                                                               Coffee Consumption = Per capita per year

                                                    COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                                       12
Favorable demographics in China to lead to the growth of 
 the coffee market
 Young Population Drive Coffee Demand                                                                              Impact
 • Finding 1
 • Finding 2
 • Finding 3




        Demography ‐ Age Split (20‐‐)                                            Major Attractions of Coffee Outlets
                   A       B       C

                                 x1                                              A                 B                   C
                                                     Young  
                                                 population is 
              x3                                  the primary 
                                                 target of the                          Major Purposes Served
                                            x2   coffee retail          99%
                                                   outlets in 
                                                     China
                                                                                         X                    Y


Source: International Coffee Organisation

                                                   COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                          13
High cost of labour is one of the major challenges faced by 
 the coffee market in China
 Rising Labour Costs                                                                                                          Impact
 • Finding 1
 • Finding 2
 • Finding 3




                                           Labour Costs – Emerging Asia
                           0   500    1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000
                                                                                                      USD
               Country 1               x1
               Country 2             x2
               Country 3                                  x3
                                                                                      Xxx
               Country 4                  x4
               Country 5                   x5
               Country 6                       x6
               Country 7                                                                           x7
               Country 8                             x8
               Country 9       x9

Source:                                                                               Note: :Per capita Average Annual Salary has been considered 

                                                    COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                                           14
Trends – Summary 


                          Retail Chain Expansion




                                    Key 
                                   Trends

                                                             Rising Demand for
      Investment Plans 
                                                               Instant Coffee




                           COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                       15
High end retail chain expansion has emerged as a major 
 trend in the coffee market in China
 Retail Chain Expansion
 • Finding 1
 • Finding 2                                                                                                          Major Coffee 
                                                                                                                    outlets to expand 
 • Finding 3                                                                                                       their operations in 
 • Finding 4                                                                                                        the China market




               Starbucks Expansion Plan                               Growth of Retail Segments (20‐‐)
          Outlets                                                     %                                 Retail food sales is one of 
                                      x2                                                                  the highest growing 
    1,500                                                        40                x2                            segment
                             Z%
                                                                 30                        x3      x4
    1,000                                                                  x1                                 x5
                                                                 20                                                      x6
                     x1
      500
                                                                 10                                                                    x7

          0                                                       0
                    20‐‐             20‐‐e                                Total  Jewelry Clothes Food Electronics
                                                                                                                BuildingFurniture
                                                                          Retail
Source:                                                                                                                                     Note:

                                             COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                                                 16
Coffee market in China is witnessing a rapid rise in demand 
 for instant coffee
 Rising Demand of Instant Coffee
 • Finding 1
 • Finding 2
                                                                                                Rising Popularity of  
 • Finding 3                                                                                       Instant Coffee
 • Finding 4




                 Product Innovation                                     Instant Coffee Market (20‐‐)


                                                                              x2
     Company A                        Brand X



     Company B                        Brand Y                                                          A
                                                                                         x1            B



Source:

                                           COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                         17
Major Public Companies ‐ Summary
   Net Profit
 45,000
                  Size of the Bubble represents Market 
 40,000
                         Capitalization in USD bn
 35,000

 30,000

 25,000

 20,000

 15,000

 10,000

  5,000

      0               x1   x2

  ‐5,000

‐10,000                                                                                                                          Total Income
           0   1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000


                                Company 1      Company 2


Source:                                                                                                                                 Note:

                                                          COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                                18
Domestic Company – Company 1
 Company Information                                                            Locations – China
                         Address Line
 Corporate Address

 Tel No.                 ‐‐‐‐
 Fax No.                 ‐‐‐‐
 Website                 ‐‐‐‐
 Year of Incorporation   19‐‐
 Ticker Symbol           Xxx
 Stock Exchange          Yyy


 Products and Services
          Category                  Products/Services                               Headquarters

 Beverages               Product 1, Product 2, Product 3                        Key People
 Instant Noodles         Product 1, Product 2, Product 3                                 Name                   Designation
 Services                Service 1, Service 2, Service 3                         Person 1           Designation 1
                                                                                 Person 2           Designation 2
                                                                                 Person 3           Designation 3
                                                                                 Person 4           Designation 4

Source:

                                                           COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                    19
Domestic Company – Company 1
 Financial Snapshot                                                                   Key Ratios
                                                                                                                             y‐o‐y
  Total Income                                                       Profit                         Particulars             change      20‐‐        20‐‐   20‐‐       20‐‐
                                       A   Y
                                                                                                                           (20‐‐ ‐‐‐)
    USD mn                                                          USD mn 
                                                                                      Profitability Ratios
 3,000                                                                   150           Operating Margin                        ‐‐        ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
                                                            x4                         Net Margin                               ‐        ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
 2,000           x1             x2             x3                        100
                                                                                       Profit Before Tax Margin                 ‐        ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
 1,000                                                                   50            Return on Equity                         ‐        ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
                                                                                       Return on Capital Employed               ‐        ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
     0                                                                   0             Return on Working Capital                ‐        ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
              20‐‐              20‐‐           20‐‐         20‐‐                       Return on Assets                         ‐        ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
                                                                                       Return on Fixed Assets                   ‐        ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
 Financial Summary 
                                                                                      Cost Ratios
 • The company incurred a net profit of USD  x  mn in FY 20‐‐, as                      Operating costs (% of Sales)            ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
   compared to net profit of USD y mn in FY 20‐‐
                                                                                       Administration costs (% of Sales)       ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
 • The company reported total Income of  USD  y  mn in FY 20‐‐, 
                                                                                       Interest costs (% of Sales)             ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
   registering an increase of x % per cent over FY 20‐‐
                                                                                      Liquidity Ratios
 • The company earned an operating margin of y per cent in FY 20‐‐ a                   Current Ratio                           ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
   decrease of x percentage points over FY 20‐‐
                                                                                       Cash Ratio                              ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
 • The company reported debt to equity ratio of x in FY 20‐‐ an                       Leverage Ratios
   increase of y  per cent over FY 20‐‐                                                Debt to Equity Ratio                    ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
 Financial Summary                                                                     Debt to Capital Ratio
                                                                                       Interest Coverage Ratio
                                                                                                                               ‐         ‐
                                                                                                                                         ‐
                                                                                                                                                     ‐
                                                                                                                                                     ‐
                                                                                                                                                            ‐
                                                                                                                                                            ‐
                                                                                                                                                                       ‐
                                                                                                                                                                       ‐
          Indicators                       Value (dd/mm/yy)                           Efficiency Ratios
 Market Capitalization (USD)                                                           Fixed Asset Turnover                    ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
                                                      x1 
                                                                                       Asset Turnover                          ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
 Total Enterprise Value (USD)                         x2                               Current Asset Turnover                  ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
 EPS (USD)                                            x3                               Working Capital Turnover                ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐
 PE Ratio (Absolute)                                  x4                               Capital Employed Turnover               ‐         ‐           ‐      ‐          ‐

Source:                                                                                                                                        Improved     Decline

                                                                   COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                                                         20
Domestic Company – Company 1
 Key Business Segments                                                         Key Geographic Segments

                   A     B         C
                                                                                            X%
                                                                               100%
  100%                                                                                               The company’s geographic  
   80%                                                                           50%                  reportable segment is ‘A’
   60%       x1              y1                z1        n1
   40%
                                                                                  0%
   20%       x2                                          n2
                              y2                    z2                                      20‐‐
    0%       x3          y3               z3             n3

            20‐‐          20‐‐              20‐‐         20‐‐                               A



 Key Recent Developments

          Description                                                                  News
                                       • Company is primarily a manufacturer of beverage and instant food products. It operates 
 Overview
                                         in x provinces of China through different channels of sales and distribution points.
                                       • Company plans to raise its distribution channels in China from x1 to x2
 New business                          • Due to increased production capacity and distribution channels capital spending of the 
                                         company is estimated to be around USD z mn

 Share Holding pattern                 • Company 1 operates as a subsidiary of the Y

Source:

                                                          COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                          21
Growing popularity of instant coffee and rapid expansion of 
retail outlets will lead to robust growth of coffee market
            Coffee production is expected to grow with a CAGR of Z% from X tons in 20‐‐ to Y tons in 20‐‐

  Opportunities in the                                                                           Competitive 
                                                      Market Size
       Market                                                                                     Landscape
                                 ‘000 tons
 Rising population and                                                          x2
 urbanization coupled           300                                                           Coffee market in 
                                                                Z%
 with a rise in disposable                                                                    China is dominated 
 income are major growth        200                                                           by foreign retail 
 drivers for the coffee                                                                       coffee players 
                                100
 market in China                                 x1

                                  0
                                                                                              With retail coffee 
 Changing lifestyle and                         20‐‐                           20‐‐e          chains gaining rapid 
 rising demand among                                                                          popularity, retail 
 young population are                                                                         players dominate a 
 major contributors to the                                                                    greater share of the 
 growth of the coffee                                                                         coffee market in 
 market in China                                         Challenges                           China
 Low per capita coffee 
 consumption provides a                          • Rising Labour Costs                        Players are 
 scope for growth thus                                                                        diversifying into 
                                                 • High Taxes                                 instant coffee with a 
 acting as a major growth 
 driver for the coffee                           • Health Hazards                             view to capture 
 market in China                                                                              greater market share

                                             COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                           22
Thank you for the attention
The Coffee Market – China report is a part of Netscribes’ Food and Beverage Industry Series. 
For more detailed information or customized research requirements please contact:

 Jitendra Punjabi
 Phone:         +91 33 4064 6215
 E‐Mail:        jitendra.punjabi@netscribes.com




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                                                        COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT                                                     23

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Market Research Report : Coffee Market in China 2012

  • 1. Insert Cover Image using Slide Master View Do not distort Coffee Market in China February 2012
  • 2. Executive Summary  Coffee is one of the fastest growing segments of the beverage sector in China projected to  grow with a CAGR of x% to y tons by 20‐‐ from z tons in 20‐‐ Market  Low coffee consumption at only 5 cups per capita per year provides robust growth  opportunity for coffee in China Drivers: Challenges:  Rising Population and Urbanization   Rising Labour Costs  Rising Disposable Income  High Taxes and Duties Drivers &   Changing Lifestyles  Health Hazards Challenges  Young Population Drive Coffee Demand  Low Per Capita Consumption  Retail Chain Expansion Trends  Rising Demand of Instant Coffee  Investment Plans Major Players Competition Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Company 6 COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 2
  • 3. •Market Overview • Global • China •Supply Chain •Exports and Imports •Drivers & Challenges •Trends •Mergers & Acquisitions •Competition •Key Takeaway COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 3
  • 4. Global coffee production with a greater emphasis on  ‘Arabica’ variety is expected to witness a steep rise Global Coffee Market ‐ Overview Growth in Coffee Production • Global coffee production is expected to increase to x  mn bags X% mn (y kg) bags by 20‐‐ 150 x2 x4 x1 x3 • South America accounted for z mn bags of the global  100 coffee production in 20‐‐ • Global coffee production is dominated by the Arabica  50 variety of coffee 0 • Arabica coffee accounted for x% of the coffee produced  20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐e in 20‐‐ Production by Variety Regional Production (20‐‐) A B mn bags mn bags 60 z4 100 x1 x3 80 x2 x4 z2 40 60 y1 y2 y3 y4 40 20 z3 z1 20 0 0 A B C D 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ Source: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 4
  • 5. Despite a relatively low share of coffee sales Chinese coffee  market is expected to witness a robust growth Domestic Coffee Market ‐ Overview Coffee Market Growth ‐ Production • Coffee market in China is expected to grow from x  ‘000 tons thousand tons in 20‐‐ to y thousand tons by 20‐‐ x2 Coffee demand in China is increasing at a rate of z% to y%  300 Z% per year compared to a a world average of mere x% 200 • X Province is the major coffee growing region in  China producing only Y variety of coffee 100 X accounts for y% of the coffee bean production in China x1 _ Z Province is the major producer of X coffee with an annual  0 production of y tons 20‐‐ 20‐‐e Coffee Production Hubs in China Hot Drinks Market Share (20‐‐) x1 x3 A B C x2 X Z Source: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 5
  • 6. Chinese coffee market accounted for a trade surplus of over  USD  y mn in 20‐‐ Coffee Market – Exports under HS Codes USD mn Countrywise Segmentation 150 Y% Z% Country 1 x8 Country 2 Country 1 is the largest  x4 Country 3 100 x4 importer of coffee  x3 x5 x6 x7 Country 4 accounting for x% of x2 x4 x1 x1 Country 5 China’s coffee exports 50 x3 Country 6 Country 7 0 x2 Country 8 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ Coffee Market – Imports under HS Codes Countrywise Segmentation USD mn Y% Z% Country 1 80 y5 Country 2 y3 y8 Country 1 is the largest  Country 3 exporter of coffee to  60 y4 y6 y2 Country 4 China accounting for x%  y1 y5 y7 40 y4 y1 Country 5 of China’s coffee  Country 6 imports 20 y3 Country 7 0 y2 Country 8 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ Source: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 6
  • 7. In volume terms, 20‐‐ witnessed a trade surplus of mere x  tons in China coffee market Coffee Market – Exports under HS Codes Countrywise Segmentation ‘000 tons 40 Y% Coffee export volumes   x4 x5 x6 remained almost stagnant  30 Country 1 x3 x5 during 20‐‐ ‐20‐‐, however  x1 x2 x4 Country 2 20 registered a growth of x%  x3 x1 Country 3 value wise, indicating price  10 Country 4 increase Country 5 0 x2 Country 6 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Coffee Market – Imports under HS Codes Countrywise Segmentation ‘000 tons Y% Z% 40 y5 y5 y6 Country 1 Coffee import volumes   30 y3 y4 Country 2 rose by x% between 20‐‐ y2 y3 y4 y2 y1 Country 3 and 2010 attributing to a  20 Country 4 rise in demand 10 Country 5 0 y1 Country 6 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Note: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 7
  • 8. Drivers & Challenges – Summary Drivers Challenges Rising Population and Urbanization  Rising Labour Costs Rising Disposable Income Taxes and Duties Changing Lifestyles Health Hazards Young Population Drive Coffee  Demand Low Per Capita Consumption COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 8
  • 9. Rising population and rapid urbanization to act as the major  growth driver for the coffee market in China Rising Population and Urbanization  Impact • Finding 1 • Finding 2 • Finding 3 • Finding 4 Rise in Population Increase in urbanization  leads to growth of the  mn Z% coffee market   1,500 z1 z2 z3 z4 1,000 x1 x2 x3 x4 A B 500 y1 y2 y3 y4 0 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐e 20‐‐e Source: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 9
  • 10. Rising disposable income leading to greater spending  increase demand from branded retail outlets Rise in Disposable Income Impact •Finding 1 •Finding 2 •Finding 3 •Finding 4 Urban Disposable Income Urban Consumer Spending USD bn USD bn x3 20,000 5,000 y3 Z% 15,000 4,000 Z% x2 3,000 10,000 y2 2,000 5,000 x1 1,000 y1 0 0 20‐‐ 20‐‐e 20‐‐e 20‐‐ 20‐‐e 20‐‐e Source: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 10
  • 11. Rapidly changing lifestyle is a major contributor to the  growth of coffee market in China Changing Lifestyles Impact • Finding 1 • Finding 2 • Finding 3 • Finding 4 Share of Spending % A B 100% 80% x1 x2 60% 40% y1 20% y2 0% 20‐‐ 20‐‐e Source: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 11
  • 12. Low level of per capita consumption provides a huge  opportunity for growth to the coffee market in China Low Per Capita Consumption Impact • Finding 1 • Finding 2 • Finding 3 Per Capita Coffee Consumption China’s per capita coffee  consumption is the lowest  offering substantial  No. of  Cups opportunity for growth x1 1,500 x2 x3 x4 x5 1,000 x6 x7 x8 500 x9 x10 x11 x12 0 Finland Sweden Netherlands Norway Denmark Austria France Germany USA Japan Korea China Source: Coffee Consumption = Per capita per year COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 12
  • 13. Favorable demographics in China to lead to the growth of  the coffee market Young Population Drive Coffee Demand Impact • Finding 1 • Finding 2 • Finding 3 Demography ‐ Age Split (20‐‐) Major Attractions of Coffee Outlets A B C x1 A B C Young   population is  x3 the primary  target of the  Major Purposes Served x2 coffee retail  99% outlets in  China X Y Source: International Coffee Organisation COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 13
  • 14. High cost of labour is one of the major challenges faced by  the coffee market in China Rising Labour Costs Impact • Finding 1 • Finding 2 • Finding 3 Labour Costs – Emerging Asia 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 USD Country 1 x1 Country 2 x2 Country 3 x3 Xxx Country 4 x4 Country 5 x5 Country 6 x6 Country 7 x7 Country 8 x8 Country 9 x9 Source: Note: :Per capita Average Annual Salary has been considered  COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 14
  • 15. Trends – Summary  Retail Chain Expansion Key  Trends Rising Demand for Investment Plans  Instant Coffee COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 15
  • 16. High end retail chain expansion has emerged as a major  trend in the coffee market in China Retail Chain Expansion • Finding 1 • Finding 2 Major Coffee  outlets to expand  • Finding 3 their operations in  • Finding 4 the China market Starbucks Expansion Plan Growth of Retail Segments (20‐‐) Outlets % Retail food sales is one of  x2 the highest growing  1,500 40 x2 segment Z% 30 x3 x4 1,000 x1 x5 20 x6 x1 500 10 x7 0 0 20‐‐ 20‐‐e Total  Jewelry Clothes Food Electronics BuildingFurniture Retail Source: Note: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 16
  • 17. Coffee market in China is witnessing a rapid rise in demand  for instant coffee Rising Demand of Instant Coffee • Finding 1 • Finding 2 Rising Popularity of   • Finding 3 Instant Coffee • Finding 4 Product Innovation Instant Coffee Market (20‐‐) x2 Company A Brand X Company B Brand Y A x1 B Source: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 17
  • 18. Major Public Companies ‐ Summary Net Profit 45,000 Size of the Bubble represents Market  40,000 Capitalization in USD bn 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 x1 x2 ‐5,000 ‐10,000 Total Income 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 Company 1 Company 2 Source: Note: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 18
  • 19. Domestic Company – Company 1 Company Information Locations – China Address Line Corporate Address Tel No. ‐‐‐‐ Fax No. ‐‐‐‐ Website ‐‐‐‐ Year of Incorporation 19‐‐ Ticker Symbol Xxx Stock Exchange Yyy Products and Services Category Products/Services Headquarters Beverages Product 1, Product 2, Product 3   Key People Instant Noodles Product 1, Product 2, Product 3 Name Designation Services Service 1, Service 2, Service 3 Person 1 Designation 1 Person 2 Designation 2 Person 3 Designation 3 Person 4 Designation 4 Source: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 19
  • 20. Domestic Company – Company 1 Financial Snapshot Key Ratios y‐o‐y Total Income Profit Particulars  change  20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ A Y (20‐‐ ‐‐‐) USD mn USD mn  Profitability Ratios 3,000 150 Operating Margin ‐‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ x4 Net Margin ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,000 x1 x2 x3 100 Profit Before Tax Margin ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 1,000 50 Return on Equity ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Return on Capital Employed ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 0 0 Return on Working Capital ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ Return on Assets ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Return on Fixed Assets ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Financial Summary  Cost Ratios • The company incurred a net profit of USD  x  mn in FY 20‐‐, as  Operating costs (% of Sales) ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ compared to net profit of USD y mn in FY 20‐‐ Administration costs (% of Sales) ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ • The company reported total Income of  USD  y  mn in FY 20‐‐,  Interest costs (% of Sales) ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ registering an increase of x % per cent over FY 20‐‐ Liquidity Ratios • The company earned an operating margin of y per cent in FY 20‐‐ a  Current Ratio ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ decrease of x percentage points over FY 20‐‐ Cash Ratio ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ • The company reported debt to equity ratio of x in FY 20‐‐ an  Leverage Ratios increase of y  per cent over FY 20‐‐ Debt to Equity Ratio ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Financial Summary  Debt to Capital Ratio Interest Coverage Ratio ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Indicators Value (dd/mm/yy) Efficiency Ratios Market Capitalization (USD) Fixed Asset Turnover ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ x1  Asset Turnover ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Total Enterprise Value (USD) x2 Current Asset Turnover ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ EPS (USD) x3 Working Capital Turnover ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ PE Ratio (Absolute) x4 Capital Employed Turnover ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Source: Improved Decline COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 20
  • 21. Domestic Company – Company 1 Key Business Segments Key Geographic Segments A B C X% 100% 100% The company’s geographic   80% 50% reportable segment is ‘A’ 60% x1 y1 z1 n1 40% 0% 20% x2 n2 y2 z2 20‐‐ 0% x3 y3 z3 n3 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ 20‐‐ A Key Recent Developments Description  News • Company is primarily a manufacturer of beverage and instant food products. It operates  Overview in x provinces of China through different channels of sales and distribution points. • Company plans to raise its distribution channels in China from x1 to x2 New business • Due to increased production capacity and distribution channels capital spending of the  company is estimated to be around USD z mn Share Holding pattern • Company 1 operates as a subsidiary of the Y Source: COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 21
  • 22. Growing popularity of instant coffee and rapid expansion of  retail outlets will lead to robust growth of coffee market Coffee production is expected to grow with a CAGR of Z% from X tons in 20‐‐ to Y tons in 20‐‐ Opportunities in the  Competitive  Market Size Market Landscape ‘000 tons Rising population and  x2 urbanization coupled  300 Coffee market in  Z% with a rise in disposable  China is dominated  income are major growth  200 by foreign retail  drivers for the coffee  coffee players  100 market in China x1 0 With retail coffee  Changing lifestyle and  20‐‐ 20‐‐e chains gaining rapid  rising demand among  popularity, retail  young population are  players dominate a  major contributors to the  greater share of the  growth of the coffee  coffee market in  market in China Challenges China Low per capita coffee  consumption provides a  • Rising Labour Costs Players are  scope for growth thus  diversifying into  • High Taxes instant coffee with a  acting as a major growth  driver for the coffee  • Health Hazards view to capture  market in China greater market share COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 22
  • 23. Thank you for the attention The Coffee Market – China report is a part of Netscribes’ Food and Beverage Industry Series.  For more detailed information or customized research requirements please contact: Jitendra Punjabi Phone: +91 33 4064 6215 E‐Mail: jitendra.punjabi@netscribes.com About Netscribes Netscribes is a knowledge‐consulting and solutions firm with clientele across the globe. The company’s expertise spans areas of investment &  business research, business & corporate intelligence, content‐management services, and knowledge‐software services. At its core lies a true  value proposition that draws upon a vast knowledge base. Netscribes is a one‐stop shop designed to fulfil clients’ profitability and growth  objectives. Disclaimer: This report is published for general information only. Although high standards have been used the preparation, Research on India,  Netscribes (India) Pvt. Ltd. or “Netscribes” is not responsible for any loss or damage arising from use of this document. This document is the  sole property of Netscribes (India) Pvt. Ltd. and prior permission is required for guidelines on reproduction. COFFEE MARKET IN CHINA 2012.PPT 23