Increasing conversions multivariate testing to maximize efficiency of lead generation campaigns
Boost Website Performance with Statistical Design of Experiment
Web page elements
Header
Headline
Sub-headline
Body text
Bullet list, charts, graphs, videos, pictures, callouts, or similar
Promotion
Registration Form, call-to-action
Navigation
Site search
Links on the page
Footer
User reviews
We identified elements and the level of attention
We still don’t know which ones have bigger impact on conversion
What happens if we change one or more of them?
How do we optimize these for boosting performance?
Solution:
Statistical Controlled Experiment where variations are present
Determine the best performing combination of variations
Run a validation test on the recommendation to confirm
Controlled Experiment in 1747 in England
Testing cure for scurvy by James Lind, a surgeon
Fisher started with application to agriculture – 1918-1940
Factorial Design and ANOVA
Industrial Era: 1950-1970
Application in Chemical and process industries
Second Industrial Era: 1970-1990
Wider application in Quality Control to most industries
How do we apply this to boost website performance?
Select elements that are important or attract more attention
Elements should be as much independent as possible
Variations are created for each element
2/3 apart from the existing (CONTROL)
Develop web pages containing combination of variations
ALL possible variations or a SMALLER subset
These web pages are run along with Control
Traffic volume for creating statistically significant result is directed to these pages
Performance of each web page is measured
Statistical analysis yields which combination of variation is expected to yield the highest results
Develop a final page with recommended combination
Run this in parallel with CONTROL to validate results
Factors in choosing elements, variations and design
Independence, traffic volume, traffic sources, time, cost
Experiment Design: Full Factorial (all possible combination) or Partial (selected)
Example:
A Full Factorial Design with 3 elements with 3 levels of variations each will need 3^3 = 27 web pages to be tested
Traditional A/B Testing will also require 27 pages
Partial Factorial Design (say in Taguchi Design) will need a L9 array with 9 web pages only
Run duration should be enough to
Generate statistically significant results
Cover cyclical and important variations in environment
2. Website Optimization
Develop designs based on experience
Dated? Slow!
Inputs from focus groups
Limited and expensive
Optimization based on web analytics
Big step forward
Not granular enough-still making assumptions?
What next?
What are elements that go on my web page
How do they interact/affect user behavior
Do these elements have the same impact on users
If not which ones lead the pack
What happens if we change one or more of these?
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3. Example of elements
Web page elements
Header
Headline
Sub-headline
Body text
Bullet list, charts, graphs, videos, pictures, callouts, or similar
Promotion
Registration Form, call-to-action
Navigation
Site search
Links on the page
Footer
User reviews
Confidential | The next-generation online customer acquisition engine
5. Use Heat Maps
To identify elements that are getting visitors attention on web pages
6. In Page Analytics: More quantitative
Identifies elements AND level of attention from visitors
7. Web page elements: What Next?
We identified elements and the level of attention
We still don’t know which ones have bigger impact on conversion
What happens if we change one or more of them?
How do we optimize these for boosting performance?
Solution:
Statistical Controlled Experiment where variations are present
Determine the best performing combination of variations
Run a validation test on the recommendation to confirm
Confidential | The next-generation online customer acquisition engine
8. Statistical Controlled Experiment: Reaching back in time
Controlled Experiment in 1747 in England
Testing cure for scurvy by James Lind, a surgeon
Fisher started with application to agriculture – 1918-1940
Factorial Design and ANOVA
Industrial Era: 1950-1970
Application in Chemical and process industries
Second Industrial Era: 1970-1990
Wider application in Quality Control to most industries
How do we apply this to boost website performance?
Confidential | The next-generation online customer acquisition engine
9. High Level Design of Experiment (DOE) Process
Select elements that are important or attract more attention
Elements should be as much independent as possible
Variations are created for each element
2/3 apart from the existing (CONTROL)
Develop web pages containing combination of variations
ALL possible variations or a SMALLER subset
These web pages are run along with Control
Traffic volume for creating statistically significant result is directed to these
pages
Performance of each web page is measured
Statistical analysis yields which combination of variation is expected to yield
the highest results
Develop a final page with recommended combination
Run this in parallel with CONTROL to validate results
Confidential | The next-generation online customer acquisition engine
10. Selecting the right Design
Factors in choosing elements, variations and design
Independence, traffic volume, traffic sources, time, cost
Experiment Design: Full Factorial (all possible combination) or Partial
(selected)
Example:
A Full Factorial Design with 3 elements with 3 levels of variations each will need 3^3
= 27 web pages to be tested
Traditional A/B Testing will also require 27 pages
Partial Factorial Design (say in Taguchi Design) will need a L9 array with 9 web
pages only
Run duration should be enough to
Generate statistically significant results
Cover cyclical and important variations in environment
Confidential | The next-generation online customer acquisition engine
11. Case Study of an E-Commerce portal
Objectives
To increase the Shopping Cart creation Rate
Google Analytics data revealed that the Product Details page
were dropping visitors
Planned DOE on the Product Details Page
Selected 7 elements with 2 variations each
Partial Factorial Design lead to L8 array (8 pages to test)
Combinations were run sequentially
Each combination ran for 6 days taking 10%-15% of traffic
The page ran in parallel with CONTROL
13. Example of Page Element Layout
Link to Slide 6
TV1
Link to Slide 10
TV4
TV6
Link to Slide 6 Link to Slide 9
TV2
13
14. Experiments Run
Experiment
Run ID Variable Combinations
Name
Experiment-1 Test Run-2 C-TV1,C-TV2,C-TV3,C+1-TV4,C+1-TV5,C+1-TV6,C+1-TV7
Experiment-2 Test Run-3 C-TV1,C+1-TV2,C+1-TV3,C-TV4,C-TV5,C+1-TV6,C+1-TV7
Experiment-3 Test Run-4 C-TV1,C+1-TV2,C+1-TV3,C+1-TV4,C+1-TV5,C-TV6,C-TV7
Experiment-4 Test Run-5 C+1-TV1,C-TV2,C+1-TV3,C-TV4,C+1-TV5,C-TV6,C+1-TV7
Experiment-5 Test Run-6 C+1-TV1,C-TV2,C+1-TV3,C+1-TV4,C-TV5,C+1-TV6,C-TV7
Experiment-6 Test Run-7 C+1-TV1,C+1-TV2,C-TV3,C-TV4,C+1-TV5,C+1-TV6,C-TV7
Experiment-7 Test Run-8 C+1-TV1,C+1-TV2,C-TV3,C+1-TV4,C-TV5,C-TV6,C+1-TV7
Taguchi
New Test C+1-TV1,C-TV2,C+1-TV3,C+1-TV4,C+1-TV5,C+1-TV6,C+1-TV7
Recommendation
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17. 1. Significance Test Analysis
The Significant Test shows that Experiment 5 and Experiment 4 are ahead of the others
EXP
Exp Number Mean. EXP St. Dev. Control Control Z- P-value
# of Runs SC Cr. SC Cr. Mean SC Cr. St. Dev. score (accept H0) Rank
1 6 5.06% 0.69% 4.60% 0.80% 1.41 0.0700 4
2 6 4.83% 0.17% 4.68% 0.61% 0.60 0.5600 7
3 6 4.89% 0.42% 4.70% 0.36% 1.29 0.2000 6
4 6 5.27% 0.84% 4.67% 0.24% 6.12 0.0002 2
5 6 5.54% 0.98% 4.67% 0.38% 5.61 0.0002 1
6 6 4.90% 0.22% 4.48% 0.44% 2.34 0.0200 3
7 6 4.79% 0.65% 4.49% 0.45% 1.63 0.1000 5
A higher z-score
means that the data is
farther away from the
population mean
(CONTROL)
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18. 2. Taguchi Design Analysis
The Taguchi design analyzed the variables, and for each variable it
compared Control(1) vs. its Variant(2) and calculated Signal to Noise
ratio for each experiment
Mean – The mean gives the average SC creation rate
SN Ratio – Signal-to-Noise ratio is a measure of how predictable is the SC creation rate. A high SN ratio
means that the Standard Deviation for that given EXP is proportionally smaller than the mean. A lower
SN ratio means that data for the SC creation rate is relatively unpredictable.
Experiment 5 and Experiment 4 have the highest and the second highest SN ratio,
meaning that their SC creation rate is higher, robust and more predictable.
18
19. 2. Taguchi Design Analysis
Impact of elements & variations: Choice 1 (Control) vs. Choice 2
(Variant) for each of the 7 variables
Note that changes in variable 1 pushed the shopping cart creation rate the most while
changes in the second variable caused the rate to drop
19
20. 2. Recommendations Based on Taguchi Design Analysis
Taguchi recommended variable combination for the most performant
Shopping Cart creation rate as follows
Variable Recommendation
TV_1 2
TV_2 1
TV_3 2
TV_4 2
TV_5 2
TV_6 2
TV_7 2
NOTE: Taguchi however will not predict how much better than CONTROL the above hypothesized
template will perform. We recommend creating a design based on this recommendation and
running it for validation.
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21. Results
SC Creation Rate moved from 4.48% to 5.02% after validation
Number of carts created increased from 500 to 560 per day
Average Cart value moved from $155 to $169
Revenue increased by 170K a month
22. Things to keep in mind
Variables to be kept as independent from each other as possible
Avoid confounding
Keep environmental variables as much constant as possible
Avoid introducing new traffic sources
Select more variables if you have traffic
Keep the number of variation of each limited to 2-3
Traffic should be randomly selected
Load balancer should not introduce any bias
Should not mix traffic between different variations and CONTROL
23. Regalix Online Marketing
Why partner with Regalix
Industry Best Practices & Framework
Regalix has developed social media framework and best “The ComplianceOnline case study offers insight into how technology
practices leveraging experience from Fortune 1,000 as well marketers can make a vision for a viable online community — that
as venture backed customers across multiple industry embraces customers, partners, and prospects alike — become real.”
verticals including Hi-tech., Retail, Manufacturing, Education, – Laura Ramos, B2B Analyst, Forrester Research
Clean Tech. and Financial Services.
Full-service Execution
“Regalix has social media
Regalix provides strategy, program management, creative,
marketing experience that has
technology, and operations services. This reduces the need
for engaging and managing multiple service providers. been leveraged on behalf of blue- “Citibank views Regalix as a
chip Fortune 100 firms. For this trusted strategic partner. They
reason, I think that you’ll get far have consistently delivered
Superior Client-service more bang for your buck out of innovative solutions of
Regalix’s client services team consists of industry experts and leveraging them as your turn-key exceptional quality over the last
practitioners that have created significant and successful marketing team than you would couple of years of our
marketing programs. out of a single FTE. engagement.
Their reporting dashboards are Regalix has proven experience in
also first-rate. Super stream lined supporting an enterprise of our
– super time efficient.” size and diversity, while
respecting the stringent quality
- Alyssa Rapp, CEO Bottlenotes standards that we have set.”
23
24. Regalix Online Marketing
About Us
Full-Service: Digital Marketing & Technology Services
Company; Strategy, Creative, Campaigns, Technology,
Communities Collateral &
Thought
Talent: Leadership, Advisory, 175+ Team Leadership
Customers: Fortune 500 and Venture-Backed Content
Focus: B2B, B2C, C2C
Verticals: Retail, Hi-Tech., Finance, Healthcare
Global: HQ in Silicon Valley, 4 Offices Website,
Community
Portals,
Background: Built on 8+ years of research & Social
iPhone, iPad
Media
Industry Recognition: applications
Digital
Strategy
Customer & Lead
Prospect Generation
Nurturing & Sales
24
25. Companies that trust us
Retail & Financial Film & Professional Healthcare, Education Hi-Tech. & Clean-Tech.,
Consumer Services Entertainment Services Bio-Tech. Software Bio-Fuel
Products
UCLA
ICICI
BANK
25
27. Landing Page Optimization Overview
Goal: Increase Lead Conversion Rate (CR)
Use Regalix’s ROITM Intelligent Design of Experiment (DOE)
Create a best page with higher CR for the same online traffic
Create a continuous optimization program for Citibank
Activity 1: Plan for DOE
Break the landing pages into individual elements
Create variations on each element for testing
Create DOE test and identify the number of pages/element combinations
necessary for testing
Create landing pages with the necessary combinations
Activity 2: Conduct DOE
Set-up landing pages on ROI
Run DOE and collect statistically significant data
Activity 3: Analyze data and build best page
Activity 4: Continuous improvement
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28. Activity 3: Analyze data and build best page
Feed data into statistical system and use Regalix’s proprietary
algorithm to calculate the following:
The tested page elements that influence the conversion rate
The specific variations of the elements that worked best
The combination of elements that could provide a significant higher conversion
rate
Final landing page is built using the best element and their
variation
New Page is deployed
Data is collected to establish higher CR
Optionally to isolate any market dynamics that is likely to influence the CR:
The New Page will be run simultaneously with the Older Page to get a direct
measure of improvement
New page is ready for wider rollout
Confidential | The next-generation online customer acquisition engine