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Nylon Textile Filament
    Sustainability, Performance and
      Changing Business Patterns



                             Paola Corbani
              Senior Marketing Analyst – RadiciGroup

The Fibres and Raw Materials Conference.
Hong Hong, 3-4 November 2011

                                                       1
Topics
 RadiciGroup Today
 Macrotrends
 Fibre Consumption Trends
 Nylon Textile Filament
    Global Overview
    Sustainability and Performance
 Summary and Conclusions




                                      2
RadiciGroup in the World




Range of products: chemicals, engineering plastics, textiles & fibers, textile
machinery, energy, hotel and real estate…
                                                                                 3
      Production Sites & Branch Offices: more than 50 worldwide
RadiciGroup Turnover in 2010




    Consolidated
       Sales

    Millions of € 1.165

     Personnel 3500
                               4
Synergy and integration




                          5
Synergy and integration




                          6
OUR MARKETS AND
BRANDS




                  7
Topics
 RadiciGroup Today
 Macrotrends
 Fibre Consumption Trends
 Nylon Textile Filament
    Global Overview
    Sustainability and Performance
 Summary and Conclusions




                                      8
Population Trends
 World Population growth: from 6.9 billion
  in 2010 to 7.6 billion in 2020.
 Aging population in Western developed
  countries: off consumption peak
   less volume consumption, but higher added- value
    products, more service content, health, fitness and
    functional products
   Less export opportunities for (Asian) export driven
    economies, especially in commodity goods

 Fast growing young middle class in
  emerging countries with increasing income
  and request for sophisticated products.
 China to have the biggest population in
  working age...But also a fast growing aging
  population                                              9
Income shifting toward
emerging countries
Shift of GDP share and economic power to Asia
and emerging countries




                                                10
    Source: Frost & Sullivan 2010
Sustainability Issues
As world population grows, global
 sustainability issues gain importance
Competition on arable land of food/non
 food/biofuel crops, use of chemicals, water
 availability
Energy consumption, Greenhouse Gas
 Emissions and climate change
Chemical feedstock versus bio-feedstocks
Recycling of industrial and post consumer waste
Increasing consumer demand for
 environmentally responsible goods and services
Impact on Cotton vs manmade fibres, interfibre 11
 competition
Topics
 RadiciGroup Today
 Macrotrends
 Fibre Consumption Trends
 Nylon Textile Filament
    Global Overview
    Sustainability and Performance
 Summary and Conclusions




                                      12
Cotton Role in the Fibre Industry
 Cotton: in 2015 forecast between 26 and 28 mio M
  tonnes: in 2020 between 27 and 30 mio M tonnes
 Impact on on future manmade fibres demand
 Cotton Production capped below 28 mio M Tonnes in
  ICAC scenario: Limited arable land availability not
  compensated by strong growth in yields
                   Cotton Production




                                                           13
              Source: Terry Townsend, Icac Org. May 2011
World Fibre Mill Consumption 2010-20
                             110
                                                                                                           99
(Millions of Metric Tonnes


                             100                                              90
                              90
                                                77
                              80
                                                                                                   66                     tot fibres
                              70                                              61
                              60                51                                                                        cotton
                              50                                                                                          man made fibres
                              40                                                                   30
                                                25                            28
                              30
                              20
                                   2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

                                                              PES IF FIL (incl SB)
                                                                     2.7%
                                                                                                           Source: Pci Fibres RB 2010

                                          PES TF
                                                                     PP Fil+ST
                                                                       6.0%                  2010
                                           27.8%
                                                                        Cellulosic
                                                                          4.4%                                Nylon
                                                                                             Nylon IF        Carpet fil
                                                                            Acrylic Staple    1.5%
                                                                                2.5%                           1.0%
                                                                                                                              Nylon
                                                                             Other                                            Staple
                                   PES staple                                                                                  0.2%
                                                                             4.7%
                                     17.5%

                                                                                                        Nylon Textile
                                                                                                          filament
                                                     cotton                                                  2.0%
                                                     32.9%
                                   wool
                                   1.5%                                                                                                     14
Topics

 RadiciGroup Today
 Macrotrends
 Fibre Consumption Trends
 Nylon Textile Filament
    Global Overview
    Sustainability and Performance
 Summary and Conclusions




                                      15
Nylon TF Global trends
                                   Volumes forecast to keep above 1.5 mio Metric
                                    tonnes over the next 4 years and long term
                                   Actual volumes have been higher than forecast
                                    over the last few years.  Average yearly growth
                                                                                        var     var
                                                                                      2010/00 2020/10

                                   Mainly due to China
                                                              America                    -5.9%   -0.1%
                                                              Europe, M East & Africa    -6.4%   -0.2%
                                                              China (with Hong Kong)    10.7%     2.9%
                                    perfomance                Other Asia
                                                              World
                                                                                         -6.5%
                                                                                         -0.5%
                                                                                                 -4.1%
                                                                                                  1.0%
                                              RB 2010      RB 2005       RB 2007      RB 2009

                       1800

                       1700

                       1600
('000 Metric tonnes)




                       1500

                       1400                                                                                          Past Pci forecast
                       1300

                       1200

                       1100

                       1000
                              1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2015 2020
                                                                                                                                         16
                                       Source: PCI Fibres
Regional Trends Nylon TF
Nylon Textile filament mainstream volumes
to stay in Asia
 Following textile migration pattern of made up articles
 Fabrics and yarns integration
 China getting the biggest share
 But increasing Chinese costs opening opportunities to
  emerging Asian Countries: Vietnam, Pakistan,
  Bangladesh
 100%    1471              1517               1673
  90%
  80%
  70%
  60%                                                     Other Asia
  50%                                                     China (with Hong Kong)
  40%
                                                          Europe, Middle East & Africa
  30%
  20%                                                     America
  10%                                                     TOTAL
   0%
         2005              2010               2015
                                                                                         17
                 Thousands of Metric Tonnes          Source: PCI Fibres
Nylon TF Forecast Patterns
Nylon TF main historical forecast
 based on:
 Competition with polyester ...due to
  higher raw material cost of nylon in
  mainstream applications
 Static Apparel consumption in core
  nylon market Europe and in advanced
  countries
 Slow development of nylon core
  apparel demand in emerging countries
                                         18
Nylon TF at a turning point
In 2010, volumes at 1.5 mio metric tonnes
  at a peak since 2001
 Taking advantage of cotton shortage and high
  pricing reflecting also on polyester availability and
  pricing
 Fast developments in advanced nylon garment
  demand (lingerie, hosiery, sportswear, industrial
  uses) from middle class population in emerging
  countries... A continuing trend
 Some recovery in European demand on limited
  volumes: stable prospects for functional textiles
Medium term: Growing overall fiber consumption,
  Cotton loss of market share and partial shift to
  higher ends of the market
A positive contribution to Nylon TF in the future         19
More Regional Demand to come

 Asian suppliers increasingly focused on
  fast growing domestic demand
 Rising textile costs (esp. labour) and
  freight rates in China and other Asian
  Countries.
 Partial return to regional sourcing by
  European retailers: security of supply,
  financial and currency risk management,
  new products targeted to specific needs in
  reduced time lags, sustainability.

                                               20
Overall Industry Balance
                                      Europe: Supply more balanced with demand
                                        after extensive restructuring
                                      China: PA6 nylon TF capacity surge
                                China Nylon TF Capacity vs production
                                                                       Domestic demand
                               2000
                                                                        trends vs capacity
                                                                       Utilization rates to
(thousands of Metric tonnes)




                               1500

                                                                        remain below 60%
                               1000
                                                                        over the next 5 to
                               500                                      10 years
                                                                       Shrinking export
                                 0
                                        2010           2015      2020
                                                                        opportunities to
                                             capacity production        Western countries
                                      Global Raw material availability and high price an
                                      open issue                                             21
Key Issues for the Future
Nylon role as a specialist fibre:
Work on best performance to deliver value:
 comfort, softness, thermal regulation, moisture
  management, strength, lightweight, stretch, durability
 Innovation and product development - from polymer
  chemistry to yarn and fabric construction- to cater for
  diversified needs
Tackle the sustainability issue:
 Focus on environmental performance, clarify and
  communicate industry efforts
 Functionalize approach to Sustainability

                                                            22
Sustainability in
        Nylon Textile Filament
 Nylon Environmental performance perceived as
  worse than other fibres (esp. PES) in terms of
  energy use, GHG Emissions, water consumption

 Nylon recognized as a specialized fibre but
  focus on sustainability set to tighten

 Functional approach to Sustainability: work on
  environmental performance relative to delivered
  technical features

 Nylon Industrial waste recycling a reality ...
  increasing focus on post consumer.

 Recycling of limited percentages started from post
  consumer carpet waste, some textile filament, but
  no ready source like post consumer PET bottle.       23
The Recycling Options in
                      Nylon Sustainability
Nylon recycling:
 back into spinning: mainly in carpet, textile filament
  still technically difficult
 down the value chain into the plastics business
Both solutions are technically feasible but:
The spinning process requires more energy and
the CO2eq. emissions are higher.
    Recycled-yarns have some limitations on Recycled
     content, dyebility, Mechanical performances
The plastics solution requires less energy and
emits less CO2 equivalent.
    Recycled plastics retains: Good mechanical
     performances, Good mouldability; the recycled
     content could be up to 100%                           24
Pros and cons of recycling in Nylon Filaments and in
   plastics Both solutions are technically feasible but:
 e Up to 100%




                                                           25
RadiciGroup for Sustainability




                                 26
RadiciGroup: Nylon
   Sustainability & Performance
Balance of Energy requirements relative to
performance

              Ger/Average Textile Strength
                      (MJ/MPa)
    3.50
    3.00
    2.50
    2.00
    1.50
    1.00
    0.50
    0.00
           PA66 Radici   PA6   PETa   PP     HDPE




                                                    27
Topics

 RadiciGroup Today
 Macrotrends
 Fibre Consumption Trends
 Nylon Textile Filament
    Global Overview
    Sustainability and Performance
 Summary and Conclusions




                                      28
Summary
 Limited growth expected with demand to keep
  above 1.5 millions MT
 Commodity business: competition with
  polyester continuing
 Cost and availability of raw materials open
  issue for the whole business
 Positive trend of demand of core nylon
  products in emerging countries, stability in
  Western countries.
 More regional demand: cultivate growing
  Asian markets, More regional sourcing in
  Europe, less commodity export opportunities to
  Western countries.                             29
Conclusions
 Functional approach to market development
   Build on Nylon TF best features
 Environmental performance in relation to
  functionality deployed.
 Recycling into the plastics business
 Eco-design to enhance recyclability
                       REQUIRE
Closer cooperation along the polyamide chain
  between chemical & polymer producers,
  spinners and textile /apparel customers and
  retailers
to foster technology/product innovation and
  application development targeted to
                                              30
  specificity of local markets and customers.
Thank You !

www.radicigroup.com




                      31

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RadiciGroup at Fibres and Raw Materials Conference - 3-4 November 2011

  • 1. Nylon Textile Filament Sustainability, Performance and Changing Business Patterns Paola Corbani Senior Marketing Analyst – RadiciGroup The Fibres and Raw Materials Conference. Hong Hong, 3-4 November 2011 1
  • 2. Topics  RadiciGroup Today  Macrotrends  Fibre Consumption Trends  Nylon Textile Filament  Global Overview  Sustainability and Performance  Summary and Conclusions 2
  • 3. RadiciGroup in the World Range of products: chemicals, engineering plastics, textiles & fibers, textile machinery, energy, hotel and real estate… 3 Production Sites & Branch Offices: more than 50 worldwide
  • 4. RadiciGroup Turnover in 2010 Consolidated Sales Millions of € 1.165 Personnel 3500 4
  • 8. Topics  RadiciGroup Today  Macrotrends  Fibre Consumption Trends  Nylon Textile Filament  Global Overview  Sustainability and Performance  Summary and Conclusions 8
  • 9. Population Trends  World Population growth: from 6.9 billion in 2010 to 7.6 billion in 2020.  Aging population in Western developed countries: off consumption peak  less volume consumption, but higher added- value products, more service content, health, fitness and functional products  Less export opportunities for (Asian) export driven economies, especially in commodity goods  Fast growing young middle class in emerging countries with increasing income and request for sophisticated products.  China to have the biggest population in working age...But also a fast growing aging population 9
  • 10. Income shifting toward emerging countries Shift of GDP share and economic power to Asia and emerging countries 10 Source: Frost & Sullivan 2010
  • 11. Sustainability Issues As world population grows, global sustainability issues gain importance Competition on arable land of food/non food/biofuel crops, use of chemicals, water availability Energy consumption, Greenhouse Gas Emissions and climate change Chemical feedstock versus bio-feedstocks Recycling of industrial and post consumer waste Increasing consumer demand for environmentally responsible goods and services Impact on Cotton vs manmade fibres, interfibre 11 competition
  • 12. Topics  RadiciGroup Today  Macrotrends  Fibre Consumption Trends  Nylon Textile Filament  Global Overview  Sustainability and Performance  Summary and Conclusions 12
  • 13. Cotton Role in the Fibre Industry  Cotton: in 2015 forecast between 26 and 28 mio M tonnes: in 2020 between 27 and 30 mio M tonnes  Impact on on future manmade fibres demand  Cotton Production capped below 28 mio M Tonnes in ICAC scenario: Limited arable land availability not compensated by strong growth in yields Cotton Production 13 Source: Terry Townsend, Icac Org. May 2011
  • 14. World Fibre Mill Consumption 2010-20 110 99 (Millions of Metric Tonnes 100 90 90 77 80 66 tot fibres 70 61 60 51 cotton 50 man made fibres 40 30 25 28 30 20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PES IF FIL (incl SB) 2.7% Source: Pci Fibres RB 2010 PES TF PP Fil+ST 6.0% 2010 27.8% Cellulosic 4.4% Nylon Nylon IF Carpet fil Acrylic Staple 1.5% 2.5% 1.0% Nylon Other Staple PES staple 0.2% 4.7% 17.5% Nylon Textile filament cotton 2.0% 32.9% wool 1.5% 14
  • 15. Topics  RadiciGroup Today  Macrotrends  Fibre Consumption Trends  Nylon Textile Filament  Global Overview  Sustainability and Performance  Summary and Conclusions 15
  • 16. Nylon TF Global trends  Volumes forecast to keep above 1.5 mio Metric tonnes over the next 4 years and long term  Actual volumes have been higher than forecast over the last few years. Average yearly growth var var 2010/00 2020/10  Mainly due to China America -5.9% -0.1% Europe, M East & Africa -6.4% -0.2% China (with Hong Kong) 10.7% 2.9% perfomance Other Asia World -6.5% -0.5% -4.1% 1.0% RB 2010 RB 2005 RB 2007 RB 2009 1800 1700 1600 ('000 Metric tonnes) 1500 1400 Past Pci forecast 1300 1200 1100 1000 1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2015 2020 16 Source: PCI Fibres
  • 17. Regional Trends Nylon TF Nylon Textile filament mainstream volumes to stay in Asia  Following textile migration pattern of made up articles  Fabrics and yarns integration  China getting the biggest share  But increasing Chinese costs opening opportunities to emerging Asian Countries: Vietnam, Pakistan, Bangladesh 100% 1471 1517 1673 90% 80% 70% 60% Other Asia 50% China (with Hong Kong) 40% Europe, Middle East & Africa 30% 20% America 10% TOTAL 0% 2005 2010 2015 17 Thousands of Metric Tonnes Source: PCI Fibres
  • 18. Nylon TF Forecast Patterns Nylon TF main historical forecast based on:  Competition with polyester ...due to higher raw material cost of nylon in mainstream applications  Static Apparel consumption in core nylon market Europe and in advanced countries  Slow development of nylon core apparel demand in emerging countries 18
  • 19. Nylon TF at a turning point In 2010, volumes at 1.5 mio metric tonnes at a peak since 2001  Taking advantage of cotton shortage and high pricing reflecting also on polyester availability and pricing  Fast developments in advanced nylon garment demand (lingerie, hosiery, sportswear, industrial uses) from middle class population in emerging countries... A continuing trend  Some recovery in European demand on limited volumes: stable prospects for functional textiles Medium term: Growing overall fiber consumption, Cotton loss of market share and partial shift to higher ends of the market A positive contribution to Nylon TF in the future 19
  • 20. More Regional Demand to come  Asian suppliers increasingly focused on fast growing domestic demand  Rising textile costs (esp. labour) and freight rates in China and other Asian Countries.  Partial return to regional sourcing by European retailers: security of supply, financial and currency risk management, new products targeted to specific needs in reduced time lags, sustainability. 20
  • 21. Overall Industry Balance Europe: Supply more balanced with demand after extensive restructuring China: PA6 nylon TF capacity surge China Nylon TF Capacity vs production  Domestic demand 2000 trends vs capacity  Utilization rates to (thousands of Metric tonnes) 1500 remain below 60% 1000 over the next 5 to 500 10 years  Shrinking export 0 2010 2015 2020 opportunities to capacity production Western countries Global Raw material availability and high price an open issue 21
  • 22. Key Issues for the Future Nylon role as a specialist fibre: Work on best performance to deliver value:  comfort, softness, thermal regulation, moisture management, strength, lightweight, stretch, durability  Innovation and product development - from polymer chemistry to yarn and fabric construction- to cater for diversified needs Tackle the sustainability issue:  Focus on environmental performance, clarify and communicate industry efforts  Functionalize approach to Sustainability 22
  • 23. Sustainability in Nylon Textile Filament  Nylon Environmental performance perceived as worse than other fibres (esp. PES) in terms of energy use, GHG Emissions, water consumption  Nylon recognized as a specialized fibre but focus on sustainability set to tighten  Functional approach to Sustainability: work on environmental performance relative to delivered technical features  Nylon Industrial waste recycling a reality ... increasing focus on post consumer.  Recycling of limited percentages started from post consumer carpet waste, some textile filament, but no ready source like post consumer PET bottle. 23
  • 24. The Recycling Options in Nylon Sustainability Nylon recycling:  back into spinning: mainly in carpet, textile filament still technically difficult  down the value chain into the plastics business Both solutions are technically feasible but: The spinning process requires more energy and the CO2eq. emissions are higher.  Recycled-yarns have some limitations on Recycled content, dyebility, Mechanical performances The plastics solution requires less energy and emits less CO2 equivalent.  Recycled plastics retains: Good mechanical performances, Good mouldability; the recycled content could be up to 100% 24
  • 25. Pros and cons of recycling in Nylon Filaments and in plastics Both solutions are technically feasible but:  e Up to 100% 25
  • 27. RadiciGroup: Nylon Sustainability & Performance Balance of Energy requirements relative to performance Ger/Average Textile Strength (MJ/MPa) 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 PA66 Radici PA6 PETa PP HDPE 27
  • 28. Topics  RadiciGroup Today  Macrotrends  Fibre Consumption Trends  Nylon Textile Filament  Global Overview  Sustainability and Performance  Summary and Conclusions 28
  • 29. Summary  Limited growth expected with demand to keep above 1.5 millions MT  Commodity business: competition with polyester continuing  Cost and availability of raw materials open issue for the whole business  Positive trend of demand of core nylon products in emerging countries, stability in Western countries.  More regional demand: cultivate growing Asian markets, More regional sourcing in Europe, less commodity export opportunities to Western countries. 29
  • 30. Conclusions  Functional approach to market development  Build on Nylon TF best features  Environmental performance in relation to functionality deployed.  Recycling into the plastics business  Eco-design to enhance recyclability REQUIRE Closer cooperation along the polyamide chain between chemical & polymer producers, spinners and textile /apparel customers and retailers to foster technology/product innovation and application development targeted to 30 specificity of local markets and customers.