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Contribution of public transport to
urban accessibility in the Netherlands




Ambrosius Baanders
ECORYS, Rotterdam


Paul van Beek & Sander van der Eijk
Goudappel Coffeng, Deventer
increasing congestion


decreasing accessibility of economic centres
increasing congestion


decreasing accessibility of economic centres



Q: What is the present role of public transport
  in serving the important economic centres
and how can public transport help to alleviate
           car congestion problems?
study commissioned by NL Ministry of Transport
            to ECORYS and Goudappel Coffeng



objective:

  make “photo” of current contribution
  of PT
  estimate potential to increase
  contribution of PT
method [1]



existing modelling tools insufficient



combination of
 modelling tools and
 local expertise
method [2]

preliminary choices:
  current situation    transport model base years
  morning peak: 07:00 – 09:00
  twelve regions
  focus on “economic centres” in urban areas
  trips relevant for public transport
method [2]

preliminary choices:
  current situation    transport model base years
  morning peak: 07:00 – 09:00
  twelve regions
  focus on “economic centres” in urban areas
  trips relevant for public transport
method [2]

preliminary choices:
  current situation    transport model base years
  morning peak: 07:00 – 09:00
  twelve regions
  focus on “economic centres” in urban areas
  trips relevant for public transport
The twelve urban
regions studied
method [2]

preliminary choices:
  current situation    transport model base years
  morning peak: 07:00 – 09:00
  twelve regions
  focus on “economic centres” in urban areas
  trips relevant for public transport
Levels of the analysis
                                                                  and relevant trips
                                                   100%


                 Total number of arrivals per region



                                                                  50-80%


    Dispersed trips
(not linked to the cities)                     Arrivals in the cities




                                                                                    20-50%


                                 Arrivals outside the                 Arrivals in the
                                 Economic Centres                   Economic Centres



                                                                                                         10-45%


                                          Trips of < 2,5 km                             Arrivals relevant for
                                       and streams of <20 trips                           public transport




                                                                                        Estimation of potential
method [2]



analysis by:

 clusters of cities by size
                     300,000       100,000       50,000       14,000   inhabitants



               1               2             3            4



 market segments
The market segments




                 3   2
     1
    within the
    urban area

                     from another
                     region 4
method [3]


workshops:

 participants: experts from local / regional
 stakeholders

 making estimates of effects with the help of
 an interactive spreadsheet
method [3]



steps in the workshops:

1. verify the data

2. select the measures (“policy dials”)

3. estimate the potential growth relative to current PT volume

4. feedback on the results
method [3]




                                        number of trips >100


Origins of morning peak trips to   23   % share PT




Utrecht Centre-North
method [3]


Input data per economic centre
method [3]



steps in the workshops:

1. verify the data

2. select the measures (“policy dials”)

3. estimate the potential growth relative to current PT volume

4. feedback on the results
The “policy dials”

• Quality of public transport
• Parking policy
• Public transport fares
• Mobility management
• Intermodal chaining
• Marketing and image
method [3]

Selecting the “policy dials”
method [3]
                         “Tuning” the “policy dials”
Mixing console policy dials


PT Quality    Parking restr.   PT Fares   Mob. manag,   Marketing   Interm. chains   Image   Spatial pol.
method [3]



steps in the workshops:

1. verify the data

2. select the measures (“policy dials”)

3. estimate the potential growth relative to current PT volume

4. feedback on the results
method [3]



steps in the workshops:

1. verify the data

2. select the measures (“policy dials”)

3. estimate the potential growth relative to current PT volume

4. feedback on the results
method [3]

Current PT share and potential for growth
method [3]

PT trips affected by each of the measures
method [3]
Contribution of each of the measures to potential
                 PT share growth
results: the “photo”

level of the regions

90 – 50 % of trips have destination in urban area

all modes:
    work trips      50 – 58 %
    education trips 22 – 26 %
    other trips     20 – 23 %

public transport:
   work trips      56 – 53 %, large cities ~ 62 %
   education trips 43 – 44 %, large cities ~ 33%
   other trips      3– 5%
results: the “photo”
level of the cities: shares of the market segments and shares of PT
                                          other city         outside
         within urban area                in region regional region
                                 PT 23%                       PT 33%     PT 21%   PT 34%


    City cluster 1

                         PT 7%                     PT 18%       PT 12%             PT 23%


    City cluster 2

                     PT 8%                PT 23%            PT 18%                PT 28%


    City cluster 3

                         PT 2%                     PT 11%      PT 7%              PT 13%


    City cluster 4
results: the “photo”

level of the economic centres

share of the market segments by economic centre of
trips relevant for PT (> 2.5 km)

                              Market          Market         Market          Market      Total all
                           segment 1       segment 2       segment 3       segment 4    segments
                           within urban    from other      from within   from another
                               area       city in region      region         region
City centre in cluster 1       69%             12%              6%            13%         100%
City centre in cluster 2       49%             13%             27%            11%         100%
City centre in cluster 3       45%             11%             33%            11%         100%
City centre in cluster 4       34%             13%             29%            24%         100%
Office parks                   44%             13%             28%            14%         100%
Commercial estates             58%             11%             18%            13%         100%
results: the potential
Importance attributed in the workshops
         to the “policy dials”
                                       City centre            Office park   Commercial
                                                                              estate
                              Large city         Small city

Quality of public transport
                                 1                   2             3
supply


Parking regime                                       3             3            4
                                 2


Public transport fares          3                    3            4

Mobility management                                                3           3


Intermodal chaining                                                3
                                 2


Marketing and image              4                   4            4             4
results: the potential

Potential for PT share increase
results: the potential
Contribution of the “policy dials” to the potential
conclusions

current contribution

What is current role?
    Flows within the cities / urban areas
    Flows from other regions
What is explanation of differences?
    Differences in local circumstances
Influence of land use patterns?
    Role increases with size of the urban area
Which travel purposes?
    Work = 50%+, education = 50%-.
    Largest cities: work = larger share
conclusions

estimation of the potential

What is expected potential?
   Between 1 % and 10 % of total trips to economic centres
Increase at the expense of which mode?
   The car (bicycle > 2.5 km?)
What measures contribute?
   Improvement of PT supply quality
   Makes tightening of parking regime possible
   Mobility management, intermodal chaining, marketing
   Fares not important
Relationship between the measures?
   “Dials” cannot be turned independently    “Tuning”
Role of the train?
larger in largest cities
   varies elsewhere due to local network configuration
conclusions

the method: combining models and expert
knowledge
Worked well

Was a combination of several benefits:
 models used that were owned by the regions = own tools
 expertise in the regions used: clear added value to model results
 outcomes were trusted, because not a black box
conclusion for AMTU:
  continue to study
broos.baanders@ecorys.com

  pvbeek@goudappel.nl

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Contribution of public transport to urban accessibility in the Netherlands

  • 1. Contribution of public transport to urban accessibility in the Netherlands Ambrosius Baanders ECORYS, Rotterdam Paul van Beek & Sander van der Eijk Goudappel Coffeng, Deventer
  • 2.
  • 4. increasing congestion decreasing accessibility of economic centres Q: What is the present role of public transport in serving the important economic centres and how can public transport help to alleviate car congestion problems?
  • 5. study commissioned by NL Ministry of Transport to ECORYS and Goudappel Coffeng objective: make “photo” of current contribution of PT estimate potential to increase contribution of PT
  • 6. method [1] existing modelling tools insufficient combination of modelling tools and local expertise
  • 7. method [2] preliminary choices: current situation transport model base years morning peak: 07:00 – 09:00 twelve regions focus on “economic centres” in urban areas trips relevant for public transport
  • 8. method [2] preliminary choices: current situation transport model base years morning peak: 07:00 – 09:00 twelve regions focus on “economic centres” in urban areas trips relevant for public transport
  • 9. method [2] preliminary choices: current situation transport model base years morning peak: 07:00 – 09:00 twelve regions focus on “economic centres” in urban areas trips relevant for public transport
  • 11. method [2] preliminary choices: current situation transport model base years morning peak: 07:00 – 09:00 twelve regions focus on “economic centres” in urban areas trips relevant for public transport
  • 12. Levels of the analysis and relevant trips 100% Total number of arrivals per region 50-80% Dispersed trips (not linked to the cities) Arrivals in the cities 20-50% Arrivals outside the Arrivals in the Economic Centres Economic Centres 10-45% Trips of < 2,5 km Arrivals relevant for and streams of <20 trips public transport Estimation of potential
  • 13. method [2] analysis by: clusters of cities by size 300,000 100,000 50,000 14,000 inhabitants 1 2 3 4 market segments
  • 14. The market segments 3 2 1 within the urban area from another region 4
  • 15. method [3] workshops: participants: experts from local / regional stakeholders making estimates of effects with the help of an interactive spreadsheet
  • 16. method [3] steps in the workshops: 1. verify the data 2. select the measures (“policy dials”) 3. estimate the potential growth relative to current PT volume 4. feedback on the results
  • 17. method [3] number of trips >100 Origins of morning peak trips to 23 % share PT Utrecht Centre-North
  • 18. method [3] Input data per economic centre
  • 19. method [3] steps in the workshops: 1. verify the data 2. select the measures (“policy dials”) 3. estimate the potential growth relative to current PT volume 4. feedback on the results
  • 20. The “policy dials” • Quality of public transport • Parking policy • Public transport fares • Mobility management • Intermodal chaining • Marketing and image
  • 21. method [3] Selecting the “policy dials”
  • 22. method [3] “Tuning” the “policy dials” Mixing console policy dials PT Quality Parking restr. PT Fares Mob. manag, Marketing Interm. chains Image Spatial pol.
  • 23. method [3] steps in the workshops: 1. verify the data 2. select the measures (“policy dials”) 3. estimate the potential growth relative to current PT volume 4. feedback on the results
  • 24. method [3] steps in the workshops: 1. verify the data 2. select the measures (“policy dials”) 3. estimate the potential growth relative to current PT volume 4. feedback on the results
  • 25. method [3] Current PT share and potential for growth
  • 26. method [3] PT trips affected by each of the measures
  • 27. method [3] Contribution of each of the measures to potential PT share growth
  • 28. results: the “photo” level of the regions 90 – 50 % of trips have destination in urban area all modes: work trips 50 – 58 % education trips 22 – 26 % other trips 20 – 23 % public transport: work trips 56 – 53 %, large cities ~ 62 % education trips 43 – 44 %, large cities ~ 33% other trips 3– 5%
  • 29. results: the “photo” level of the cities: shares of the market segments and shares of PT other city outside within urban area in region regional region PT 23% PT 33% PT 21% PT 34% City cluster 1 PT 7% PT 18% PT 12% PT 23% City cluster 2 PT 8% PT 23% PT 18% PT 28% City cluster 3 PT 2% PT 11% PT 7% PT 13% City cluster 4
  • 30. results: the “photo” level of the economic centres share of the market segments by economic centre of trips relevant for PT (> 2.5 km) Market Market Market Market Total all segment 1 segment 2 segment 3 segment 4 segments within urban from other from within from another area city in region region region City centre in cluster 1 69% 12% 6% 13% 100% City centre in cluster 2 49% 13% 27% 11% 100% City centre in cluster 3 45% 11% 33% 11% 100% City centre in cluster 4 34% 13% 29% 24% 100% Office parks 44% 13% 28% 14% 100% Commercial estates 58% 11% 18% 13% 100%
  • 31. results: the potential Importance attributed in the workshops to the “policy dials” City centre Office park Commercial estate Large city Small city Quality of public transport 1 2 3 supply Parking regime 3 3 4 2 Public transport fares 3 3 4 Mobility management 3 3 Intermodal chaining 3 2 Marketing and image 4 4 4 4
  • 32. results: the potential Potential for PT share increase
  • 33. results: the potential Contribution of the “policy dials” to the potential
  • 34. conclusions current contribution What is current role? Flows within the cities / urban areas Flows from other regions What is explanation of differences? Differences in local circumstances Influence of land use patterns? Role increases with size of the urban area Which travel purposes? Work = 50%+, education = 50%-. Largest cities: work = larger share
  • 35. conclusions estimation of the potential What is expected potential? Between 1 % and 10 % of total trips to economic centres Increase at the expense of which mode? The car (bicycle > 2.5 km?) What measures contribute? Improvement of PT supply quality Makes tightening of parking regime possible Mobility management, intermodal chaining, marketing Fares not important Relationship between the measures? “Dials” cannot be turned independently “Tuning” Role of the train? larger in largest cities varies elsewhere due to local network configuration
  • 36. conclusions the method: combining models and expert knowledge Worked well Was a combination of several benefits: models used that were owned by the regions = own tools expertise in the regions used: clear added value to model results outcomes were trusted, because not a black box
  • 37. conclusion for AMTU: continue to study