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A NEW PLATFORM FOR A NEW ERA
Creating the
Digital Brain
Kaushik Das
Senior Principal Data Scientist

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

2
TODAY
We have analytics on Big Data
…and we have smart machines.

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

3
But That Does not Help Us Prevent
Accidents Like the Macondo Disaster

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

4
WHAT IF
We Could Prevent Disasters
Like This ?

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

5
We Have All the Ingredients of a Smart System
Sensors

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

Actuators

Decision Support
Tools

6
But Where is the Brain?
Sensors

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

?

Actuators

7
The Brain Brings it All Together
The Brain:
1.takes in the input from the eyes
2.analyzes it to compute the
trajectory of the ball
3.tells the body what action to take
to hit the ball

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

8
Let’s Put in a Digital Brain
and Make Systems Smart

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

9
Let’s Build a Digital Brain
The brain brings it all together
1.takes in the input from a large
number of sensors
2.Builds a model and uses it to
analyze incoming data
3.tells the actuators what action
to take
Over a network of machines

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

10
And Now Let’s Prevent Disasters
Input:

Action:
Shut down to
prevent blowout

Sensors in drill

The Digital Brain:
Extracts patterns and
flags outliers/anomalies

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

11
Smart System = Sensors + Digital Brain + Actuators
Data Lake

Sensors & actuators

Data Science for
Building Models
Data Lake Architecture
Unified Sources

Centralized Management
System monitoring

Real-time
ingestion

System management

Unified Data Management Tier
Data mgmt.
services

Flexible Actions

MDM
RDM

Audit and
policy mgmt.

Real-time
insights

Workflow management
Micro batch
ingestion

Processing Tier
In-memory

Interactive
insights

MPP database
Batch
ingestion

Distillation Tier

Batch
insights

HDFS storage
Unstructured and structured data

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

13
The Digital Brain: Making a Smart Grid Smarter!
Input:

Data from smart
meters

Action:
Where to send trucks
and when, preventive
maintenance

The Digital Brain:
Uses Fourier transform
extracts patterns and
flags outliers/anomalies

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

14
The Data Science that Goes into the Digital Brain
Identify patterns
based on frequency

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

Detect anomalies

15
Now the Power Company Knows a Tree has
Fallen Even Before the Residents Complain

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

16
“Zero unplanned downtime
is a key goal for
GE’s use of the Industrial Internet”
Jeff Immelt, GE

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

17
WHAT IF
We can take this even further – what about
zero unplanned outages, zero industrial accidents
and zero environmental disasters?

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

18
FOR MORE DETAILS

http://blog.gopivotal.com/
features/creating-the-digital-brain

© Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved.

19
A NEW PLATFORM FOR A NEW ERA

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Data Science and Smart Systems: Creating the Digital Brain

  • 1. A NEW PLATFORM FOR A NEW ERA
  • 2. Creating the Digital Brain Kaushik Das Senior Principal Data Scientist © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 2
  • 3. TODAY We have analytics on Big Data …and we have smart machines. © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 3
  • 4. But That Does not Help Us Prevent Accidents Like the Macondo Disaster © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 4
  • 5. WHAT IF We Could Prevent Disasters Like This ? © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 5
  • 6. We Have All the Ingredients of a Smart System Sensors © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. Actuators Decision Support Tools 6
  • 7. But Where is the Brain? Sensors © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. ? Actuators 7
  • 8. The Brain Brings it All Together The Brain: 1.takes in the input from the eyes 2.analyzes it to compute the trajectory of the ball 3.tells the body what action to take to hit the ball © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 8
  • 9. Let’s Put in a Digital Brain and Make Systems Smart © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 9
  • 10. Let’s Build a Digital Brain The brain brings it all together 1.takes in the input from a large number of sensors 2.Builds a model and uses it to analyze incoming data 3.tells the actuators what action to take Over a network of machines © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 10
  • 11. And Now Let’s Prevent Disasters Input: Action: Shut down to prevent blowout Sensors in drill The Digital Brain: Extracts patterns and flags outliers/anomalies © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 11
  • 12. Smart System = Sensors + Digital Brain + Actuators Data Lake Sensors & actuators Data Science for Building Models
  • 13. Data Lake Architecture Unified Sources Centralized Management System monitoring Real-time ingestion System management Unified Data Management Tier Data mgmt. services Flexible Actions MDM RDM Audit and policy mgmt. Real-time insights Workflow management Micro batch ingestion Processing Tier In-memory Interactive insights MPP database Batch ingestion Distillation Tier Batch insights HDFS storage Unstructured and structured data © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 13
  • 14. The Digital Brain: Making a Smart Grid Smarter! Input: Data from smart meters Action: Where to send trucks and when, preventive maintenance The Digital Brain: Uses Fourier transform extracts patterns and flags outliers/anomalies © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 14
  • 15. The Data Science that Goes into the Digital Brain Identify patterns based on frequency © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. Detect anomalies 15
  • 16. Now the Power Company Knows a Tree has Fallen Even Before the Residents Complain © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 16
  • 17. “Zero unplanned downtime is a key goal for GE’s use of the Industrial Internet” Jeff Immelt, GE © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 17
  • 18. WHAT IF We can take this even further – what about zero unplanned outages, zero industrial accidents and zero environmental disasters? © Copyright 2014 Pivotal. All rights reserved. 18
  • 20. A NEW PLATFORM FOR A NEW ERA

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. We have the Internet Of Things – it is a dumb collection of very sophisticated machines with thousands of sensors and actuators / machine
  2. 2010 accident on BP offshore platform in the Gulf of Mexico Drilling rigs cost between $350,000 and $1,000,000 per day Non-productive Time (NPT) is the measurement most watched Worst case scenario is a Macondo type blow-out = $40B liability We need - better safety protocols……better regulation……and a smart system!
  3. Sensors: GE blowout preventers (BOP) collect information like ram position, system health and maintenance, etc. Jet engine Fitbit We are all carrying a large number of sensors on us right now! There’s a lot of intelligence (analytics) built into these sensors/machines SENSORS: We now collect huge amounts of data about activities of humans and machines We apply predictive analytics to that data to build decision support tools – like using regression models to facilitate scenario analysis … and action is still taken based on human orders Create a list of customers likely to churn and reach out to them Optimize the pricing and discounting plan for the next year and modify it on the fly NUDGE: Figure out the drivers that affect human behavior like saving and encourage that Understand what is causing shutdowns and investigate Exception: the internet has automated systems that react to events of interest
  4. They are not connected! We have humans look at the data from sensors and then make decisions – full of delays and room for error WE CAN DO MUCH BETTER!
  5. Once connected, a smart system takes action in response to an event of interest Brian: Input – signal from eyes Analysis – compute trajectory of ball Action – swing bat to connect woth ball
  6. Brian: Input – signal from eyes Analysis – compute trajectory of ball Action – swing bat to connect woth ball
  7. Shown – a gamma ray detector in a drill stem – part of MWD – Monitoring While Drilling
  8. Smart System = Data lake for storing sensor data + data science for building and operationalizing models + actuators for taking action Sensors collect data and send it to a Data Lake The Digital Brain – We create the brain by building models that extract patterns The brain is then activated and can detect deviations from these patterns The system can initiate action on it’s own as well as provide alerts and predictive intelligence to humans Actuators: -Connect to the control system and send action messages -Shutdown system if blowup is predicted -Send an alert to humans in-charge if something is anomalous but dangerous -Predictive maintenance: Flag component for maintenance when required THE DIGITAL BRAIN CANNOT BE IN ONE MACHINE – IT NEEDS INFORMATION FROM THE NETWORK OF MACHINES A Parallel Storage system (or Data Lake) where all the sensor information is collected (at Pivotal we have developed Pivotal HD + HAWQ based on Hadoop) Capability to build models which keeping the data in-parallel and in-place EXTRACTING PATTERNS: Clustering algorithms – we have used the k-means clustering function available in MADlib, graph-based clustering, clustering of time-series data in frequency space etc. FINDING ANOMALIES: distance from centroid, change in cluster assignment etc. LIVING MODELS: Models have to learn and update continuously The ability to send appropriate signals to the actuator control systems Low latency scoring API that can connect to Business Intelligence tools and Apps Refer to the debate in the AI community between Douglas Hofstadter (UMich, Indiana University) one one hand and Peter Norvig (Google) and Stuart Russell (Berkeley) on the other hand We want to step out of that debate and combine humans and machines into smart system (a la Arnab Gupta of Opera @ Strata 2011 - > man + machine)
  9. We are not taking the humans out of the loop but empowering them Tiers: Ingestion: Ability to bring data from multiple data sources across all timelines with varying QoS Distillation: Ability to take the data stored in the storage tier and coverting it to structured data for easier analysis by downstream applications Processing: Ability to run analytical algorithms and user queries with varying QoS (real-time, interactive, batch) to generate structured data for easier analysis by downstream applications Insights: Ability to analyze all the data with varying QoS (real-time, interactive, batch) to generate insights for business decision making Action: Ability to integrate the insights with the business decision making systems Unified Data Management: Ability to manage the data lifecycle, access policy definition, and master data management and reference data management services Unified Operations: Ability to monitor, configure and manage the whole Data Lake from a single operations environment Processing Tier – PHD (Hive, HBase, Pig and MapReduce) Distillation Tier – Pivotal Data Dispatch, Pivotal Analytics, ETL Partner Products Informational Ability to get information in a dashboard Integration with business intelligence toolsTableau, MicroStrategy, BusinessObjects, Pentaho. Alerting Ability to alert the decision maker -Integration with the alert systems -Dashboard, alarms, emails, pagers, phones etc. Automation - Ability to integrate with business decision making systems - Integration with the applications to take automated actions - MessageMQ, Rabbit, Spring, & other technologies. Store Everything Analyze Anything Build Next Generation
  10. Smart meters measure power twice an hour – it’s a measure of all activity! We can Fourier transform 10 weeks of data from 100,000 meters in 5 seconds flat … and take action: once an anomaly is detected we can detect theft, prevent blackouts, and much, much more
  11. Batch process – FT time series data (data parallel algorithm) and use k-means clustering (not explicitly parallel – use MADlib); identify and label outliers Real-time process – detect changes and outliers and set off the suitable alarm
  12. 2010 accident on BP offshore platform in the Gulf of Mexico Drilling rigs cost between $350,000 and $1,000,000 per day Non-productive Time (NPT) is the measurement most watched Worst case scenario is a Macondo type blow-out = $20B liability We need - better safety protocols……better regulation……and a smart system!
  13. An ecosystem of smart machines, much like a natural ecosystem, will be self-healing and self-sustaining That’s the true realization of the potential of the Internet Of Things This is a movement we can all make happen
  14. We have the Internet Of Things – it is a dumb collection of very sophisticated machines with thousands of sensors and actuators / machine
  15. We have the Internet Of Things – it is a dumb collection of very sophisticated machines with thousands of sensors and actuators / machine