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The Fourth Digital Revolution
National Association of Religious Broadcasters
February 25, 6, 2015
Lee Rainie (@lrainie): Director, Internet, Science, and Technology Research
at the Pew Research Center
3
“Tweckle (twek’ul) vt. To
abuse a speaker to Twitter
followers in the audience
while he/she is speaking.”
4
we need a tshirt, "I survived the
keynote disaster of 09"
it's awesome in the "I don't want to
turn away from the accident
because I might see a severed
head" way
too bad they took my utensils away
w/ my plate. I could have jammed
the butter knife into my temple.
http://bit.ly/124U9a4
First revolution: Internet / Broadband
Second revolution: Mobile connectivity
6
Third revolution: Social networking/media
% of internet users
67
20
15 13
16
71
22 21
17 18
71
28 28 26
23
Facebook LinkedIn Pinterest Instagram Twitter
2012 2013 2014
Networked Individualism
The move to looser, far-flung networks
Personal networks are:
More important – trust, influence awareness
Differently composed – segmented, layered
Perform more/new functions
Source: Cisco
Internet of Things
BODY
HOMES
COMMUNITIES
ENVIRONMENT
This all facilitates networked information
Pervasively generated
Pervasively consumed
Personalized via new filters
Participatory / social /
spreadable
Linked / scaled
Context is fluid and “collapsed”
Continually edited
Real-time / just-in-time
Timeless / searchable
Given meaning via networks &
algorithms
Imagining ‘ A Day Made of Glass’
"A Day Made of Glass 2" - Corning's vision of a
connected future using glass
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZkHpNnXLB0
7 Media-Attention Zones
1) STACKS: IMMERSED IN LONG FORM CONTENT,
ENJOYING, STUDYING, COMPLETING A PROJECT OR
DOING SERIOUS, FOCUSED RESEARCH
How it works
• Motive – learning, mastery, productivity
• Content – actionable info, how-to sensibility,
links and other resources
• Demographics – tilts GenX, knowledge
workers, students
• Device – desktop / laptop
• Engagement – full attention – vertical reading
• Influentials – trusted brands and known
experts (professional and amateur)
• ~ Mindshare – quarter to a third of media time
Implication for media and activists
• Engagement strategy
– Search optimized / findable
– Acting as information sherpas
– Problem solving mindset
– Easy cut and paste
– FAQs
– How-to videos
– Feedback friendly
2) SIGNALS: USER HAS SET UP ALERTS ON HER
SMARTPHONE AND REGULARLY CHECKS HER HOME
SCREEN TO SEE NEWS HEADLINES
How it works
• Motive – real-time awareness
• Content – headlines, new information, first
impressions matter most
• Demographics – under 30, tilts women
• Device – smartphone, tablet
• Engagement – glancing OR galvanized
• Influentials – brands
• ~ Mindshare – < 5% of media time
Implication for media and activists
• Engagement strategy
– News, especially scoops
– Deals
– Location enabled
– Insights from analytics
3) SNACKS: USER ACCESSES HER MOBILE DEVICE
WHEN SHE HAS A SMALL AMOUNT OF TIME TO KILL
How it works
• Motive – killing time, beating boredom
• Content – gameified, bite-size headlines, link-
dense
• Demographics – Everyone gets something
different
• Device – smartphone
• Engagement – distracted, quick-twitch
• Influentials – brands, quality of social network
• ~ Mindshare – 5%-10% of media time
Implication for media and activists
• Engagement strategy
– Apps
– Immediate connection
– Predictable and compelling home screen
– Grabby copy / activity
– Clear and consistent Return on My Attention
4) STREAMS: USER SPENDS HER LUNCH BREAK
DIPPING INTO A VARIETY OF MEDIA “STREAMS”
How it works
• Motive – catching up / checking in / curiosity
• Content – news (broad definition), social updates
• Demographics – tilts under 35 / female
• Device – any / all
• Engagement – continuous partial attention /
horizontal scans / sharing
• Influentials – editors, social networks
• ~ Mindshare – quarter to a third of media time
Implication for media and activists
• Engagement strategy
– Apps
– Smart curation
– Customizable filters
– Compelling ecosystem of content
– Tagging and saving for future immersion
– Social network mediated
– Serendipity encounters
5) SOCIALS: SOMEWHAT LIKE “STREAMS” ZONE, EXCEPT
IT IS ENTIRELY FOCUSED ON SOCIAL MEDIA SCANNING
How it works
• Motive – friend grooming
• Content – social, personal, entertaining
• Demographics – under 35, tilts female
• Device – all
• Engagement – partial, browsing
• Influentials – super-networkers / primary nodes
in the network
• ~ Mindshare – 10% of media time
Implication for media and activists
• Engagement strategy
– Social networks are gatekeepers
– Spreadable content
– Treat central network nodes like traditional media
influences
– Enable participation and feedback
6) SPLIT SCREENED: MULTITASKERS WATCHING A BIG
SCREEN AND SOCIALIZING ON A SMALL SCREEN
How it works
• Motive – big events as social experiences
• Content – main screen activity, complemented
by social chatter
• Demographics – under 35
• Device – big screen, little screen
• Engagement – socially immersive; snarky
• Influentials – the big screen activity
• ~ Mindshare – fifth of media time
Implication for media and activists
• Engagement strategy
– Be a good listener and watch the analytics
– Be a node in the conversation
– *Maybe* use big event as promotional lift
– Enable participation and feedback
7) SYNTHESIZED SPACES: HOW PEOPLE WILL GET
MEDIA/INFO WHEN THEIR BODIES, APPLIANCES,
ROOMS, CARS, COMMUNITIES ARE CONNECTED
How it works
• Motive – my permissions
• Content – personalized, anticipatory
• Demographics – upscale, well-educated, middle
aged
• Device – my surroundings
• Engagement – immersive, invisible
• Influentials – my past behavior, analytics,
algorithms
• ~ Mindshare – most waking hours
Implication for media and activists
• Engagement strategy
– Driven by analytics
– Selective product placement and messaging
– Permission-based monitoring / interactions
– Careful of privacy sensitivities
– Careful of too much “monetization”
Your optimum moments
• When you are especially timely, relevant at
the personal AND cultural level (e.g. when
news breaks)
• When your “close up” unexpectedly comes
• When your evangelists work their networks
• When you can recruit unexpected allies
• When someone on the “other side” embraces
you
Thank you!

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The Fourth Digital Revolution

  • 1. The Fourth Digital Revolution National Association of Religious Broadcasters February 25, 6, 2015 Lee Rainie (@lrainie): Director, Internet, Science, and Technology Research at the Pew Research Center
  • 2.
  • 3. 3 “Tweckle (twek’ul) vt. To abuse a speaker to Twitter followers in the audience while he/she is speaking.”
  • 4. 4 we need a tshirt, "I survived the keynote disaster of 09" it's awesome in the "I don't want to turn away from the accident because I might see a severed head" way too bad they took my utensils away w/ my plate. I could have jammed the butter knife into my temple. http://bit.ly/124U9a4
  • 6. Second revolution: Mobile connectivity 6
  • 7. Third revolution: Social networking/media % of internet users
  • 8. 67 20 15 13 16 71 22 21 17 18 71 28 28 26 23 Facebook LinkedIn Pinterest Instagram Twitter 2012 2013 2014
  • 9. Networked Individualism The move to looser, far-flung networks
  • 10. Personal networks are: More important – trust, influence awareness Differently composed – segmented, layered Perform more/new functions
  • 12. BODY
  • 13. HOMES
  • 16. This all facilitates networked information Pervasively generated Pervasively consumed Personalized via new filters Participatory / social / spreadable Linked / scaled Context is fluid and “collapsed” Continually edited Real-time / just-in-time Timeless / searchable Given meaning via networks & algorithms
  • 17. Imagining ‘ A Day Made of Glass’ "A Day Made of Glass 2" - Corning's vision of a connected future using glass https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZkHpNnXLB0
  • 19. 1) STACKS: IMMERSED IN LONG FORM CONTENT, ENJOYING, STUDYING, COMPLETING A PROJECT OR DOING SERIOUS, FOCUSED RESEARCH
  • 20. How it works • Motive – learning, mastery, productivity • Content – actionable info, how-to sensibility, links and other resources • Demographics – tilts GenX, knowledge workers, students • Device – desktop / laptop • Engagement – full attention – vertical reading • Influentials – trusted brands and known experts (professional and amateur) • ~ Mindshare – quarter to a third of media time
  • 21. Implication for media and activists • Engagement strategy – Search optimized / findable – Acting as information sherpas – Problem solving mindset – Easy cut and paste – FAQs – How-to videos – Feedback friendly
  • 22. 2) SIGNALS: USER HAS SET UP ALERTS ON HER SMARTPHONE AND REGULARLY CHECKS HER HOME SCREEN TO SEE NEWS HEADLINES
  • 23. How it works • Motive – real-time awareness • Content – headlines, new information, first impressions matter most • Demographics – under 30, tilts women • Device – smartphone, tablet • Engagement – glancing OR galvanized • Influentials – brands • ~ Mindshare – < 5% of media time
  • 24. Implication for media and activists • Engagement strategy – News, especially scoops – Deals – Location enabled – Insights from analytics
  • 25. 3) SNACKS: USER ACCESSES HER MOBILE DEVICE WHEN SHE HAS A SMALL AMOUNT OF TIME TO KILL
  • 26. How it works • Motive – killing time, beating boredom • Content – gameified, bite-size headlines, link- dense • Demographics – Everyone gets something different • Device – smartphone • Engagement – distracted, quick-twitch • Influentials – brands, quality of social network • ~ Mindshare – 5%-10% of media time
  • 27. Implication for media and activists • Engagement strategy – Apps – Immediate connection – Predictable and compelling home screen – Grabby copy / activity – Clear and consistent Return on My Attention
  • 28. 4) STREAMS: USER SPENDS HER LUNCH BREAK DIPPING INTO A VARIETY OF MEDIA “STREAMS”
  • 29. How it works • Motive – catching up / checking in / curiosity • Content – news (broad definition), social updates • Demographics – tilts under 35 / female • Device – any / all • Engagement – continuous partial attention / horizontal scans / sharing • Influentials – editors, social networks • ~ Mindshare – quarter to a third of media time
  • 30. Implication for media and activists • Engagement strategy – Apps – Smart curation – Customizable filters – Compelling ecosystem of content – Tagging and saving for future immersion – Social network mediated – Serendipity encounters
  • 31. 5) SOCIALS: SOMEWHAT LIKE “STREAMS” ZONE, EXCEPT IT IS ENTIRELY FOCUSED ON SOCIAL MEDIA SCANNING
  • 32. How it works • Motive – friend grooming • Content – social, personal, entertaining • Demographics – under 35, tilts female • Device – all • Engagement – partial, browsing • Influentials – super-networkers / primary nodes in the network • ~ Mindshare – 10% of media time
  • 33. Implication for media and activists • Engagement strategy – Social networks are gatekeepers – Spreadable content – Treat central network nodes like traditional media influences – Enable participation and feedback
  • 34. 6) SPLIT SCREENED: MULTITASKERS WATCHING A BIG SCREEN AND SOCIALIZING ON A SMALL SCREEN
  • 35. How it works • Motive – big events as social experiences • Content – main screen activity, complemented by social chatter • Demographics – under 35 • Device – big screen, little screen • Engagement – socially immersive; snarky • Influentials – the big screen activity • ~ Mindshare – fifth of media time
  • 36. Implication for media and activists • Engagement strategy – Be a good listener and watch the analytics – Be a node in the conversation – *Maybe* use big event as promotional lift – Enable participation and feedback
  • 37. 7) SYNTHESIZED SPACES: HOW PEOPLE WILL GET MEDIA/INFO WHEN THEIR BODIES, APPLIANCES, ROOMS, CARS, COMMUNITIES ARE CONNECTED
  • 38. How it works • Motive – my permissions • Content – personalized, anticipatory • Demographics – upscale, well-educated, middle aged • Device – my surroundings • Engagement – immersive, invisible • Influentials – my past behavior, analytics, algorithms • ~ Mindshare – most waking hours
  • 39. Implication for media and activists • Engagement strategy – Driven by analytics – Selective product placement and messaging – Permission-based monitoring / interactions – Careful of privacy sensitivities – Careful of too much “monetization”
  • 40. Your optimum moments • When you are especially timely, relevant at the personal AND cultural level (e.g. when news breaks) • When your “close up” unexpectedly comes • When your evangelists work their networks • When you can recruit unexpected allies • When someone on the “other side” embraces you