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The Myth and Reality of the
Evolving Patron(s)
Lee Rainie (@lrainie)
Director
Pew Research Internet Project
#rusapres13
“Tell the truth, and trust the people”
-- Joseph N. Pew, Jr.
http://bit.ly/dUvWe3
http://bit.ly/100qMub
3
“Tweckle (twek’ul) vt. To
abuse a speaker to Twitter
followers in the audience
while he/she is speaking.”
4
we need a tshirt, "I survived the
keynote disaster of 09"
it's awesome in the "I don't want to
turn away from the accident
because I might see a severed
head" way
too bad they took my utensils away
w/ my plate. I could have jammed
the butter knife into my temple.
http://bit.ly/124U9a4
Tech revolution has changed patron
experiences and expectations in 5 ways
1. Evolution driven by purpose of
engagement/need
2. Evolution driven by life stage
3. Evolution driven by life stressors (time
demands, urgency)
4. Evolution driven by demographics
5. Evolution driven by library innovation (supply
side evolution)
Shaped by inertia as
well as innovation
http://bit.ly/14x7IlG
Current state of play – patrons
% who have visited a library or bookmobile in
person in the past year
All Americans ages 16+ 53%
a Men (n=1,059) 48%
b Women (n=1,193) 59a
Age
a 16-17 (n=101) 62%de
b 18-29 (n=369) 57%e
c 30-49 (n=586) 59%de
d 50-64 (n=628) 51%e
e 65+ (n=531) 40%
Education attainment
a No high school diploma (n=254) 43%
b High school grad (n=610) 46%
c Some College (n=562) 58%ab
d College + (n=812) 63%ab
Parent of minor
a Parent (n=584) 64%b
b Non-parent (n=1,667) 49%
53%
59%
40%
58%
63%
64%
16%
17%
21%
23%
31%
40%
41%
46%
49%
50%
54%
73%
73%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Borrow a music CD
Borrow audio book
Attend class, program, event-adults
Attend a meeting of a group
Read mags/newspapers
Borrow a DVD/videotape
Attend class, program, event for kids
Use a research database
Sit, read, study, listen to media
Get help from a librarian
Research topics of interest
Browse the shelves-books/media
Borrow print books
Current state of play – activities
Women / parents
Afr-Amer / >50 / poorer
Minorities / age 16-29
poorer
Parents
Women
Current state of play – website users
% who have ever visited a library website
All Americans ages 16+ 39%
Men (n=1,059) 33
Women (n=1,193) 44a
Age
16-17 (n=101) 47de
18-29 (n=369) 48de
30-49 (n=586) 47de
50-64 (n=628) 32e
65+ (n=531) 19
Household income
Less than $30,000/yr (n=629) 30
$30,000-$49,999 (n=363) 37a
$50,000-$74,999 (n=314) 44a
$75,000+ (n=567) 52abc
Education attainment
No high school diploma (n=254) 24
High school grad (n=610) 22
Some College (n=562) 44ab
College + (n=812) 60abc
Parent of minor
Parent (n=584) 46b
Non-parent (n=1,667) 36
39%
44%
19%
52%
60%
46%
Current state of play – Mobile connectors
13% of those 16+
– Those under 50
– Those with
college degrees
– Those in non-
rural areas
Three tech revolutions and their impact
on patrons and libraries
Flickr – dougwoods
http://bit.ly/12vpOBy
Revolution 1
Broadband (68%)/ Internet (85%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
June
2000
April
2001
March
2002
March
2003
April
2004
March
2005
March
2006
March
2007
April
2008
April
2009
May
2010
Aug
2011
Dec
2012
Broadband
at home
Dial-up
at home
68%
3%
Impact on patrons and libraries
• Collections moved
from atoms to bits
• More volume, velocity,
and variety of
information
• Rise of “fifth estate” of
civic and community
actors
• More arguments in the
culture – libraries
function as “commons”
and “referees”
Revolution 2
Mobile – 91% … smartphone 56% … tablets 34%
326.4
Total U.S.
population:
319 million
2012
• Attention zones
change
– “Continuous partial
attention”
– Deep dives
– Info snacking
• Real-time, just-in-time
searches
• Augmented reality
highlights the merger
of data world and real
world
Impact on patrons and librarians
9%
49%
67%
76%
86% 87% 92%
7%
8%
25%
48%
61%
68% 73%
6%
4%
11%
25%
47%
49% 57%
1%
7%
13%
26%
29%
38%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Revolution 3
Social networking – 61% of all adults
72% of internet users
State of social media
% of internet
users who….
The service is especially
appealing to …
Use Any SNS 72% Adults ages 18-29, women
Use Facebook 68 Women, adults ages 18-29
Use Twitter 18
Adults ages 18-29, African-Americans,
urban residents
Use Pinterest 15
Women, adults under 50, whites,
those with some college education
Use Instagram 13
Adults ages 18-29, African-Americans,
Latinos, women, urban residents
Use Tumblr 6 Adults ages 18-29
• Composition and
character of people’s
social networks changes
AND networks become
important channels of …
– learning
– trust
– influence
• Context of expertise
expanded to “amateurs”
• Organizations can
become “helper nodes”
in people’s networks
Impact on patrons and librarians
Social networks act as …
sentries
Social networks act as …
evaluators
Social networks act as …
audience
new media are
the new
neighborhood
Back to the 5
evolutions
Searching
Learning
Browsing
Discovering
Soliciting expertise
Acting on impulse
1 – Patron evolution driven by
purpose of engagement/need
1 – Patron evolution driven by
purpose of engagement/need
Self-directed
Easier
Omnipresent
Facilitated by
personal networks
and crowds
1 – Patron evolution driven by
purpose of engagement/need
More noise
More junk
More temptations
More distractions
Librarian takeaways
Networks matter
Tech mastery matters
Lifelong learning is
the norm
New divides emerge
New ethics = important
2 – Patron evolution tied to life stage
Students
Young workers
30somethings
40-50somethings
Younger retirees
Older retirees
2 – Patron evolution tied to life stage
Overlaid with current life stage
differences in technology adoption
and use
2 – Patron evolution tied to life stage
Librarian takeaways
• This is familiar territory
• Driver of the demands that you be “everything to everyone”
• People’s needs change and you have opportunities to be
newly relevant to them
2 – Patron evolution tied to life stage
Librarian takeaways
• Generational differences can be bridged by
connecting to the non-user via the non-user
• Only 22% say that they know all or most of the
services their libraries offer
3 - Patron
evolution driven
by life stressors
http://bit.ly/12vNSUT
Inversion of
scarcity and
abundance
Librarian takeaways
Time is of the
essence.
You are in the
experiential goods
business (“If I spend
my time with you, I
want it to be
special”).
4 - Patron evolution driven by
demographics
29% 28% 28%
19%
29%
57% 56% 51% 50% 46%43%
57% 58%
49%
43%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
App for library
services
Online research
w/ librarian
Tech petting zoo Classes on
downloading e-
books
Library
“Redboxes”
around town
Whites Blacks Hispanics
19% 20%
28%
18%
23%
45% 43% 43%
38% 38%
44% 42%
55%
37%
41%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Digital media lab
in library
Pre-loaded e-book
readers
App for in-library
navigation
Classes on gadget
use
Personal book
recommendations
9%
40%*
50%*
64%*
81%*
81%*
5%
27%
35%
31%
68%
70%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Borrow e-book
Use computer/internet
Borrow DVD/CD/videotape
Attend class/event for kids
Borrow print books
Browse shelves
Other adults Parents of minor children
5 - Patron
evolution
driven by
library
innovation
Be not
afraid
Libraries.pewinternet.org
Lee Rainie
Email: lrainie@pewinternet.org
Twitter: @Lrainie
Kathryn Zickuhr
Email: kzickuhr@pewinternet.org
Twitter: @kzickuhr
Kristen Purcell
Email: @kpurcell@pewinternet.org
Twitter: @kristenpurcell

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The Myth and Reality of the Evolving Patron

  • 1. The Myth and Reality of the Evolving Patron(s) Lee Rainie (@lrainie) Director Pew Research Internet Project #rusapres13
  • 2. “Tell the truth, and trust the people” -- Joseph N. Pew, Jr. http://bit.ly/dUvWe3 http://bit.ly/100qMub
  • 3. 3 “Tweckle (twek’ul) vt. To abuse a speaker to Twitter followers in the audience while he/she is speaking.”
  • 4. 4 we need a tshirt, "I survived the keynote disaster of 09" it's awesome in the "I don't want to turn away from the accident because I might see a severed head" way too bad they took my utensils away w/ my plate. I could have jammed the butter knife into my temple. http://bit.ly/124U9a4
  • 5. Tech revolution has changed patron experiences and expectations in 5 ways 1. Evolution driven by purpose of engagement/need 2. Evolution driven by life stage 3. Evolution driven by life stressors (time demands, urgency) 4. Evolution driven by demographics 5. Evolution driven by library innovation (supply side evolution)
  • 6. Shaped by inertia as well as innovation http://bit.ly/14x7IlG
  • 7. Current state of play – patrons % who have visited a library or bookmobile in person in the past year All Americans ages 16+ 53% a Men (n=1,059) 48% b Women (n=1,193) 59a Age a 16-17 (n=101) 62%de b 18-29 (n=369) 57%e c 30-49 (n=586) 59%de d 50-64 (n=628) 51%e e 65+ (n=531) 40% Education attainment a No high school diploma (n=254) 43% b High school grad (n=610) 46% c Some College (n=562) 58%ab d College + (n=812) 63%ab Parent of minor a Parent (n=584) 64%b b Non-parent (n=1,667) 49% 53% 59% 40% 58% 63% 64%
  • 8. 16% 17% 21% 23% 31% 40% 41% 46% 49% 50% 54% 73% 73% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Borrow a music CD Borrow audio book Attend class, program, event-adults Attend a meeting of a group Read mags/newspapers Borrow a DVD/videotape Attend class, program, event for kids Use a research database Sit, read, study, listen to media Get help from a librarian Research topics of interest Browse the shelves-books/media Borrow print books Current state of play – activities Women / parents Afr-Amer / >50 / poorer Minorities / age 16-29 poorer Parents Women
  • 9. Current state of play – website users % who have ever visited a library website All Americans ages 16+ 39% Men (n=1,059) 33 Women (n=1,193) 44a Age 16-17 (n=101) 47de 18-29 (n=369) 48de 30-49 (n=586) 47de 50-64 (n=628) 32e 65+ (n=531) 19 Household income Less than $30,000/yr (n=629) 30 $30,000-$49,999 (n=363) 37a $50,000-$74,999 (n=314) 44a $75,000+ (n=567) 52abc Education attainment No high school diploma (n=254) 24 High school grad (n=610) 22 Some College (n=562) 44ab College + (n=812) 60abc Parent of minor Parent (n=584) 46b Non-parent (n=1,667) 36 39% 44% 19% 52% 60% 46%
  • 10. Current state of play – Mobile connectors 13% of those 16+ – Those under 50 – Those with college degrees – Those in non- rural areas
  • 11. Three tech revolutions and their impact on patrons and libraries Flickr – dougwoods http://bit.ly/12vpOBy
  • 12. Revolution 1 Broadband (68%)/ Internet (85%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% June 2000 April 2001 March 2002 March 2003 April 2004 March 2005 March 2006 March 2007 April 2008 April 2009 May 2010 Aug 2011 Dec 2012 Broadband at home Dial-up at home 68% 3%
  • 13. Impact on patrons and libraries • Collections moved from atoms to bits • More volume, velocity, and variety of information • Rise of “fifth estate” of civic and community actors • More arguments in the culture – libraries function as “commons” and “referees”
  • 14. Revolution 2 Mobile – 91% … smartphone 56% … tablets 34% 326.4 Total U.S. population: 319 million 2012
  • 15. • Attention zones change – “Continuous partial attention” – Deep dives – Info snacking • Real-time, just-in-time searches • Augmented reality highlights the merger of data world and real world Impact on patrons and librarians
  • 16. 9% 49% 67% 76% 86% 87% 92% 7% 8% 25% 48% 61% 68% 73% 6% 4% 11% 25% 47% 49% 57% 1% 7% 13% 26% 29% 38% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Revolution 3 Social networking – 61% of all adults 72% of internet users
  • 17. State of social media % of internet users who…. The service is especially appealing to … Use Any SNS 72% Adults ages 18-29, women Use Facebook 68 Women, adults ages 18-29 Use Twitter 18 Adults ages 18-29, African-Americans, urban residents Use Pinterest 15 Women, adults under 50, whites, those with some college education Use Instagram 13 Adults ages 18-29, African-Americans, Latinos, women, urban residents Use Tumblr 6 Adults ages 18-29
  • 18. • Composition and character of people’s social networks changes AND networks become important channels of … – learning – trust – influence • Context of expertise expanded to “amateurs” • Organizations can become “helper nodes” in people’s networks Impact on patrons and librarians
  • 19. Social networks act as … sentries
  • 20. Social networks act as … evaluators
  • 21. Social networks act as … audience new media are the new neighborhood
  • 22. Back to the 5 evolutions
  • 23. Searching Learning Browsing Discovering Soliciting expertise Acting on impulse 1 – Patron evolution driven by purpose of engagement/need
  • 24. 1 – Patron evolution driven by purpose of engagement/need Self-directed Easier Omnipresent Facilitated by personal networks and crowds
  • 25. 1 – Patron evolution driven by purpose of engagement/need More noise More junk More temptations More distractions
  • 26. Librarian takeaways Networks matter Tech mastery matters Lifelong learning is the norm New divides emerge New ethics = important
  • 27. 2 – Patron evolution tied to life stage Students Young workers 30somethings 40-50somethings Younger retirees Older retirees
  • 28. 2 – Patron evolution tied to life stage Overlaid with current life stage differences in technology adoption and use
  • 29. 2 – Patron evolution tied to life stage Librarian takeaways • This is familiar territory • Driver of the demands that you be “everything to everyone” • People’s needs change and you have opportunities to be newly relevant to them
  • 30. 2 – Patron evolution tied to life stage Librarian takeaways • Generational differences can be bridged by connecting to the non-user via the non-user • Only 22% say that they know all or most of the services their libraries offer
  • 31. 3 - Patron evolution driven by life stressors http://bit.ly/12vNSUT
  • 33. Librarian takeaways Time is of the essence. You are in the experiential goods business (“If I spend my time with you, I want it to be special”).
  • 34. 4 - Patron evolution driven by demographics
  • 35. 29% 28% 28% 19% 29% 57% 56% 51% 50% 46%43% 57% 58% 49% 43% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% App for library services Online research w/ librarian Tech petting zoo Classes on downloading e- books Library “Redboxes” around town Whites Blacks Hispanics 19% 20% 28% 18% 23% 45% 43% 43% 38% 38% 44% 42% 55% 37% 41% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Digital media lab in library Pre-loaded e-book readers App for in-library navigation Classes on gadget use Personal book recommendations
  • 36. 9% 40%* 50%* 64%* 81%* 81%* 5% 27% 35% 31% 68% 70% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Borrow e-book Use computer/internet Borrow DVD/CD/videotape Attend class/event for kids Borrow print books Browse shelves Other adults Parents of minor children
  • 37. 5 - Patron evolution driven by library innovation
  • 39. Libraries.pewinternet.org Lee Rainie Email: lrainie@pewinternet.org Twitter: @Lrainie Kathryn Zickuhr Email: kzickuhr@pewinternet.org Twitter: @kzickuhr Kristen Purcell Email: @kpurcell@pewinternet.org Twitter: @kristenpurcell