Forecasting what technology will arrive when turns out to be relatively straightforward. However, the human, commercial and political elements are far more tricky! Here we look at where IT is going and what is available, and possible, today as opposed to predicting what is actually going to happen.

1. Largely Unseen...
...but on the radar !
Peter Cochrane
ca-global.org
cochrane.org.uk
COCHRANE
a s s o c i a t e s
Tuesday, 7 February 12

2. Context, context! My
kingdom for Context!
With apologies to William Shakespear
Richard The Third Act 5, scene 4, 7–10
Tuesday, 7 February 12

3. Sustainability cannot
be realised with old
technologies and old
industry models...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

4. Changing all the light
bulbs and tinkering at
the edges won’t cure
this problem..
Tuesday, 7 February 12

5. We have to stop
doing things like this
and find planet (and
people) friendly
alternatives...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

6. Underused video
conference is a sign of
the lack of network
bandwidth and
connectivity...
...it does not signify a
lack of need, demand,
or suitable technology !
Tuesday, 7 February 12

7. Home, remote, and
working on the move
are obvious winners
too...
...but only if you can get
the bandwidth and
connectivity you need...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

8. But there is widespread
frustration at the
extremely low bandwidth
and poor connectivity
available today ...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

9. It undermines and
prevents the
widespread use of the
latest technologies...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

10. < 7 % of internet ready
TV sets can gain access
at sufficient speed to be
useable...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

11. d !!
I collected these o rl
w
ic
Global average
test results over e tr
m
the past year as I sy
m
a
travelled the an
planet... n ot
is
t IT
B u
Global average
Tuesday, 7 February 12

12. Bandwidth & connectivity
present the ultimate road
block to our progress...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

13. Our future and that
of the planet lies in
the hands of new
technologies and new
models for industry
and society...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

14. I only have time to
illustrate this with a few
samples of some of the
biggest changes on the
horizon....
Tuesday, 7 February 12

15. It all hinges on the the next tech hot spot....
...and the next industrial revolution
Nano Bio
IT + AI
This is where all
the real action is
going to be
Tuesday, 7 February 12

16. Moving on from bulk
materials and the
destruction of
resources...
...3D printing is going
mainstream in industry... and
soon it will be in every office
and home
Tuesday, 7 February 12

17. It is revolutionising
the way we think of
design & production...
...enabling new ways to realize
c o m p l e x s t r u c t u re s , a n d
integrated components...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

18. Hardware
ig n
D es t
Access en
lo pm
D e ve
OPEN on
bu ti
Networks
i st ri on
D a ti
n ov
In
Software
Tuesday, 7 February 12

19. Bridging the organic
and the biological to
create new materials
and capabilities...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

20. Programming materials
to form 3D objects of
predefined shape &
function...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

21. Back to the plot !
Tuesday, 7 February 12

22. Nothing is static for long:
technology, networks and
people...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

23. Everything now tends
toward the complex, is
inter-connected, making
causality difficult to
establish - and is mostly
impossible...
...what drives what is no
longer simple or clear
Tuesday, 7 February 12

24. Technological change is
a l w ay s a o n e w ay
process...
...there is never any going
back without huge
penalties !
Tuesday, 7 February 12

25. Unequals
Worlds apart - a completely
new paradigm!
Tuesday, 7 February 12

26. Mobile technology has
enabled new ways of
wo r k i n g , p l ay a n d
industries...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

27. So, what happens
next ?
Tuesday, 7 February 12

28. Social media leads to
social selling...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

29. es
se ..
es e’.
ic os
e rv cl
S ly
ed eal
Bas ‘r
e
on com
ti be
ca s
o d
L n
+ rie
S lf
P a
G u
vi rt
Tuesday, 7 February 12

30. Where you are ?
Your mobile device will Where you have been ?
Where you are likely to be going to ?
know more and more Who you have met ?
Who you are going to meet ?
about you day by day ! Who you call ?
Who calls you ?
Who you TXT - IM - Link ?
All your contacts
All your urls
All you passwords
What you are doing now ?
What have you done in the past ?
What games you play ?
What apps you use ?
What music you listen to...?
What you watch...?
What you read...?
++++++++++
Tuesday, 7 February 12

31. Incramentalism ?
This really isn’t the next step - it really isn’t !!
Tuesday, 7 February 12

32. The wider problem - cards galore!
ID
Pass
Debit
Credit
Guides
Loyalty
Medical
Licences
Insurances
Institutions
Quick Notes
Memberships
iCards
++++++++++
How many more my life for me!with?
Just manage can you cope
Tuesday, 7 February 12

33. If cards go from swipe to contactless...and that
is all, then there will be another...
...only this time it will really hurt!
Tuesday, 7 February 12

34. Tagging for life
Cradle
Chunky
Limited to Pretty
Grave
technology
information Jewelry
Data
Chips and tags on and in everything
including goods, animals & people
Tuesday, 7 February 12

35. Everything & everyone
will be connected and
communicating...
...and increasingly
mobile...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

36. MetaData will be the
future focus of
business, care and
government ...
...and it is where the £,
$, € will migrate !
Tuesday, 7 February 12

37. B U T a g ro w i n g
complexity will
demand more
speed and more
connectivity...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

38. The technologies of the
p a s t c a n ’t c u t t h e
mustard...they really
can’t...
...the future demands
something radically
different...a new approach
that can deliver...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

39. And we won’t find
the solution in the
museum...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

40. The biggest challenges
facing any industry ?
• History
• Old mindsets
• Old models
• Existing operations
• Vested interests
• Change
Tuesday, 7 February 12

41. It is time to be
thinking different...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

42. A existence theorem... a
company with a vision
and a plan...
...FTTH @ an initial
1Gbit/s both ways open to
all users and all
networks...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

43. FTTH + 3G + WiFi
open access in the
customers box...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

44. Mountain View
& GoogleNet
… a different model
and new threat to the
Mobile Industry???
Tuesday, 7 February 12

45. What would all this
mean for the UK ?
Tuesday, 7 February 12

46. 22M of these...
Or
55k of these...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

47. Thin bandwidth
over 1 - 10km
Big bandwidth
over 10m
Tuesday, 7 February 12

48. FM WiFi
Opportunity
TV Optical
Mobile
We have devices & processing power
to do & access more than ever before
Tuesday, 7 February 12

49. Number Tx
MW of devices
Tns
Sensors
RFID
Bns
100% The need for regulation and control ~ 0%
Ms
Mobiles
Distance 3/4/5G
& Power
100ks WiFi/Max
ks mW
Tuesday, 7 February 12

50. The spectrum myth…
…it is in short supply!
!
ed
u s
n u
s t ly
City of Chicagoostudy <17%
m
of commercial spectrum used
is
it
a lly
ctu
A
Tuesday, 7 February 12

51. We now have the technology to deliver an infinity
of wireless bandwidth to almost any location...all
the old limiters have gone!
Tuesday, 7 February 12

52. 2.5/3G mobile
HiFi
FreeView
SatTV
DVD
~60GHz
WiFi
FTTH
Entertainment & IT connected &
configured using 60GHz.
Broadband Server + back up store
+ CD & DVD + movie store
+ Integral 60GHz + WiFi
+ BlueTooth + 3 + 4G
Tuesday, 7 February 12

53. mobile
PC
Hub/
Switch
Server A cloud of
connectivity
Router
Old wires and boxes view
New access cloud perception
Tuesday, 7 February 12

54. Mobile migration
“Hardwear”
Chunky Pretty
technology Jewelry
It hurts when I sit down!
Tuesday, 7 February 12

55. Mobile migration...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

56. Gen Y = most connected, networked, participative
and technically engaged generation ever…
Tuesday, 7 February 12

57. Or as the older generation might see them...
Tuesday, 7 February 12

58. >20 years of living on line
- Any platform
- Any device
- Any OS
- Any Application
- An entirely different expectation!
- Socially aware and connected
- Unwilling to tow the IT Dept line
- Provide and own their own IT and apps
Tuesday, 7 February 12

59. And IT Dept’s will not
be able to do this any
more…
Tuesday, 7 February 12

60. Creativity is now at the
edge, out of control,
open, & distributed...
...and it is connectivity
and bandwidth hungry
Tuesday, 7 February 12

61. ca-global.org
cochrane.org.uk
Thank You
COCHRANE
a s s o c i a t e s
Tuesday, 7 February 12