David Conrad's presentation to: Roundtable - A National Framework for Natural Hazard Risk Reduction and Management: Developing a Research Agenda

3. Floodplain Values

4. Floodplain Values

7. Major Findings

8. Major Findings: NFIP barely keeping ahead of costs

9. Hazard Mitigation Grants Program

10. Frequency Distribution of Repetitive Losses Per Properties Totals (as of August 1995) $2,581,260,251 74,501 200,182 Totals (8/31/2006 Post-Katrina - today) $8,475,459,708 135,521 384,196 (non-mitigated) $7,757,679,561 123,672 348,795 2 47,078 $1,212,925,826 3 15,711 $576,609,898 4-5 8,898 $505,093,263 6-7 1,983 $163,466,160 8-9 534 $58,330,698 10-11 170 $27,008,567 12-13 60 $12,400,392 14-15 34 $8,120,317 16-34 27 $17,305,128 Losses Properties Repetitive Loss Payments

11. Repetitive Loss State Data as of 08/31/2006 3,200 71,721,884.48 South Carolina 6,673 100,128,084.78 Massachusetts 6,545 104,734,050.55 West Virginia 5,563 125,201,934.07 Virginia 10,644 164,091,361.67 California 12,603 193,572,586.62 Missouri 20,021 233,697,340.46 New York 17,337 324,110,711.10 North Carolina 14,889 345,596,619.48 Pennsylvania 21,362 333,347,782.85 New Jersey 10,644 362,148,631.72 Alabama 13,423 450,499,453.94 Mississippi 45,731 1,061,335,470.18 Texas 37,123 1,146,038,835.84 Florida 79,893 2,005,143,438.88 Louisiana Repetitive Loss Buildings Total $ Losses Total State

19. Questions???

24. Questions for the Future Pre Ivan Post Ivan Post Katrina USGS Coastal & Marine Geology Program Should we rebuild on coastal barrier islands like Dauphin Island?

29. Findings

31. Where is Risk the Greatest?

32. Major Findings

33. Number of Major (Category 3, 4, 5) Hurricanes Striking the US by Decade *Figure for 2000s is extrapolated based on data for 2000-2005 (6 major storms: Charley, Ivan, Jeanne (2004) & Katrina, Rita, Wilma (2005)). Source: Tillinghast from National Hurricane Center: http:// www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastint.shtm . 10 1930s – mid-1960s: Period of Intense Tropical Cyclone Activity Mid-1990s – 20 30 s? New Period of Intense Tropical Cyclone Activity Tropical cyclone activity in the mid-1990s entered the active phase of the “ multi-decadal signal ” that could last into the 2030s Already as many major storms in 2000-2005 as in all of the 1990s

36. Flood Risk- Maryland

37. Results National Average Residential Property Costs and State Activity Tools for Acquisition, Relocation, Elevation, Floodproofing, Retrofit and Safe Room Projects all Mitigation Projects

38. Flood Risk- Virginia

39. Maryland Coast Sea-level Rise Potential Impact Areas

40. Delaware Bay Sea-Level Rise Potential Impact Areas

41. Maryland/Delaware with 1 meter contour delineations

44. Grand Forks, ND: Red River Flood of 1997

48. Restored Floodplain-Imola Avenue: Before View of restored marshplain terrace After

49. Flood Risk- Delaware

50. Flood Map Modernization Mapping Plan

51. Flood Map Modernization Mapping Plan- Maryland

52. Flood Map Modernization Mapping Plan- Delaware

53. Flood Map Modernization Mapping Plan- Virginia