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THE CASE FOR WINE INVESTMENT?


    Web:          www.antique-wine.com    Tel:               +44 (0) 20 3219 5588
    Email:       info@antique-wine.com    Free from USA:          +1 800 827 7153
    UK Office:     53 Queen Anne Street   From Hong Kong :        +852 2850 5572
16/02/2012             London W1G 9JR     Fax:               +44 (0) 20 3219 5568   1
Motives for Investment in Wine?

• Diversification of Portfolio


• Passion or interest in wine


• Tax efficient

• Supply/Demand Environment

                                 Liv-Ex 100 (Top 100 Investment wines) Vs FTSE 100




                                                                              2
Why AWC WineCap
•   Dedicated Investment Division within AWC Group
•   45,000 Global Client database
•   Readily accessible to market
•   Market making capabilities
•   Huge sourcing capabilities
•   Ability to help build large Client positions discreetly
•   Efficient and cost effective on liquidation




                                                              3
The Fine Wine Market
    Total global market for
    fine wine is just €2.95
    billion annually:

•    UK wholesale and merchants -
     €475 million
•    Global Auctions - €300 million
•    Asia auctions - €120 million
         (40% of global total)
•    Le Place de Bordeaux (Bordeaux
     negociants) - €500 million to
     €1 billion, depending on the
     vintage




                                        4
Why does wine rise in value?
• Increasing demand for fine wine
  – Emerging markets are only starting to drink wine
  – Global wealth is increasing


• Limited production
  – Fine Wine Appellation areas are not extendible
  – 150 years old classification remains unchanged


• Decreasing stocks
  – The older the wine, the less stock remains
    because people drink it




                                                       5
Growing Markets
                                     •Abolition of taxes on Alcohol in 2008 (from
                 HONG KONG           80% to 0%)
                                     •Gateway to China
                                     •Increasing consumption per habitant
                                     (3ltr/year to 4.5Ltr/year in 2012)

                                     •Between 2010 and 2013 wine consumption
                 CHINA               will grow by 25% in Asia
                                     •Top 20 chateaux exports are rising fast
                 (Mainland)          •Drinking habits (young wine, brand driven
                                     market)

                                   •600 million people aged between 20-35
                 INDIA             •Only 2% drink wine. By 2012 market research
                                   predicts 10% of Indians will be drinking wine
                                   (25 million people consume only 1.1 million
                                   cases annually > 125 million people in 2012
                                   will consume 55 million cases)

                                   •Strong internal investment has fuelled
                 BRAZIL            economic growth
                                   •The number of wine consumers is expected to
                                   increase year on year with 25 to 30 year olds
                                   enjoying more imported wine.

Offers opportunity to indirectly invest in emerging markets
                                                                           6
Traditional Markets
• Wine consumption is being maintained in all
  traditional markets
                                                    Wine Consumption
                           40,000

                           35,000

                           30,000
     Million Hectolitres




                           25,000                                                                  France
                                                                                                   Italy
                           20,000
                                                                                                   Spain

                           15,000                                                                  UK
                                                                                                   USA
                           10,000

                            5,000

                               0
                                    2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010



                                                                                 Source www.oiv.int         7
Past 10 year trend – TOP 100
•   Price movement of
    100 of the most
    sought-after     fine
    wines for which there
    is a strong secondary
    market.

•   The majority of the
    index consists of
    Bordeaux wines – a
    reflection    of   the
    overall    market –
    although wines from
    Burgundy, the Rhone,
    Champagne and Italy
    are also included.



                                      8
Crisis Times
• 2008-2009 Financial Crisis
  – Price correction by an average of 10-20% (dependant upon
    vintage)
  – Clients focus on strong brands from best vintages
  – March 2010 we are already back at the pre-crisis prices (top 100)
    and +5% more than highest record on top 10.


• 1997 Crisis
  – Weak vintage following two great ones
  – Opening prices not correctly aligned to quality of the vintage


                                                                     9
Critical Factors



Brand
Vintage          Secondary
                   Market
Rating
                    Value
Region

                             10
Which wines are for investment?
        BORDEAUX                          Portfolio
 - First Growths                                      Bordeaux -
 - Super Seconds                                      90%
 - Top Pomerol and Saint-Émilion
                                                      Burgundy -
       BURGUNDY                                       8.5%

- DRC, Leroy, Ponsot                                  Rhone
                                                      Valley -
    RHÔNE VALLEY                                      0.75%
- Chapoutier, Guigal, Jaboulet                        Italy -
                                                      0.75%
             Italy
- Masseto, Solaia, Sassicia, Ornellaia,

                                                                   11
Which Vintages?
Top vintages   Brand vintages

 •   1961       •   1991
 •   1966       •   1992
 •   1982       •   1993
 •   1986       •   1994
 •   1990       •   1997
 •   1996       •   2001
 •   1998       •   2002
 •   2000       •   2004
 •   2003
 •   2005
 •   2008
 •   2009
 •   2010
                                 12
Journalists’ Influence
   ROBERT PARKER                WINE SPECTATOR                 ALLEN MEADOWS              Jancis Robinson
(Bordeaux, Rhone Valley)          (All Regions)                   (Burgundy)               (All Regions)


                            Wine tasting    Release of the first     Release of the         Release of
        Harvest            during Primeur    ratings –> price      re-visited ratings   physical wines on
      [September ]             period         increase – Buy          [end of May          the market
                              [March ]         [End of May ]        following year]




    Robert PARKER rating system
          100 Points-scale
          96-100 - An Extraordinary wine (typical investment wines)
          90-95 - An Outstanding wine
          80-89 - A barely above average to very good wine
          70-79 - An Average wine
          60-69 - A below average wine
          50-59 - A wine deemed to be unacceptable


                                                                                                      13
Current Performance

Liv-ex 100 - Up 65% over the last 5
years, however it is down 16.1% in the
last year

Traditional markets still retaining a
demand for fine wine at the right price
levels

Emerging Markets broadening
tastes through producers and regions




                                          14
Out Performing the Index

• Careful   Stock picking

• Intuitive reaction to market conditions

•Availability to wide range of stock sources

•Carefully planned exit strategy




                                               15
Out Performing the Index




                           16
View of 2012
• Market broadening
• Demand in brand and value driven investment
  grade wines
• DRC has sparked interest in other Burgundy
  Producers. Speculation Driven ?
• Blue Chip Bordeaux heading back into “buy zone”
  – GBP250-300/Btl
• Excitement of Bordeaux 2009’s “the best modern
  vintage ever”
• 2011 En Primeur campaign – a drinking driven
  vintage
                                              17
Key Investment Points


•   Choice
•   Buy Early
•   Cases Only
•   Keep Records
•   Insurance
•   Reputation




                            18
Investing in a Fund
      Advantages                          Disadvantages
No in depth knowledge or passion   High subscription and Management
  for wine necessary to benefit                    fees

 Fully managed so no decision,       A Fund is not tax free, therefore
 control or input from investors        liable to capital gains tax

                                      Lack of flexibility in regards to
                                     investment amount, time period
                                       and Liquidation of Portfolio

                                    Investors have no title of the wine
                                     simply a share of the Fund itself

                                   You do not have the option of taking
                                           redemption in wine


                                                                          19
AWC WineCap Principle Terms

• Wine Investment advice provided through
  Portfolio Management
• All stock owned by the investor
• Minimum GBP50,000 investment
• Minimum investment term 1 year
• 2% Annual Management Fee
• 10% Performance fee - high watermark


                                        20
Liquidating to cash
       TRADE SALE

•   Generally 30 days process from Email
    order to cash payment
•   Fee: Market price minus 15% fee charged
    by The Antique Wine Company.
•   Immediate transfer of the wines from
    Bonded account to Bonded accounts in
    the same warehouse

       AUCTION

•   Uncertainties, but can realise exceptional
    values for rare items



                                                 21
How to begin

•Budget, Terms, Preferences

•Personal Account Opened

• Acquisition of wine

• Six Monthly Valuation

• Active Portfolio Management




                                22
23

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Wine Investment Case

  • 1. THE CASE FOR WINE INVESTMENT? Web: www.antique-wine.com Tel: +44 (0) 20 3219 5588 Email: info@antique-wine.com Free from USA: +1 800 827 7153 UK Office: 53 Queen Anne Street From Hong Kong : +852 2850 5572 16/02/2012 London W1G 9JR Fax: +44 (0) 20 3219 5568 1
  • 2. Motives for Investment in Wine? • Diversification of Portfolio • Passion or interest in wine • Tax efficient • Supply/Demand Environment Liv-Ex 100 (Top 100 Investment wines) Vs FTSE 100 2
  • 3. Why AWC WineCap • Dedicated Investment Division within AWC Group • 45,000 Global Client database • Readily accessible to market • Market making capabilities • Huge sourcing capabilities • Ability to help build large Client positions discreetly • Efficient and cost effective on liquidation 3
  • 4. The Fine Wine Market Total global market for fine wine is just €2.95 billion annually: • UK wholesale and merchants - €475 million • Global Auctions - €300 million • Asia auctions - €120 million (40% of global total) • Le Place de Bordeaux (Bordeaux negociants) - €500 million to €1 billion, depending on the vintage 4
  • 5. Why does wine rise in value? • Increasing demand for fine wine – Emerging markets are only starting to drink wine – Global wealth is increasing • Limited production – Fine Wine Appellation areas are not extendible – 150 years old classification remains unchanged • Decreasing stocks – The older the wine, the less stock remains because people drink it 5
  • 6. Growing Markets •Abolition of taxes on Alcohol in 2008 (from HONG KONG 80% to 0%) •Gateway to China •Increasing consumption per habitant (3ltr/year to 4.5Ltr/year in 2012) •Between 2010 and 2013 wine consumption CHINA will grow by 25% in Asia •Top 20 chateaux exports are rising fast (Mainland) •Drinking habits (young wine, brand driven market) •600 million people aged between 20-35 INDIA •Only 2% drink wine. By 2012 market research predicts 10% of Indians will be drinking wine (25 million people consume only 1.1 million cases annually > 125 million people in 2012 will consume 55 million cases) •Strong internal investment has fuelled BRAZIL economic growth •The number of wine consumers is expected to increase year on year with 25 to 30 year olds enjoying more imported wine. Offers opportunity to indirectly invest in emerging markets 6
  • 7. Traditional Markets • Wine consumption is being maintained in all traditional markets Wine Consumption 40,000 35,000 30,000 Million Hectolitres 25,000 France Italy 20,000 Spain 15,000 UK USA 10,000 5,000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source www.oiv.int 7
  • 8. Past 10 year trend – TOP 100 • Price movement of 100 of the most sought-after fine wines for which there is a strong secondary market. • The majority of the index consists of Bordeaux wines – a reflection of the overall market – although wines from Burgundy, the Rhone, Champagne and Italy are also included. 8
  • 9. Crisis Times • 2008-2009 Financial Crisis – Price correction by an average of 10-20% (dependant upon vintage) – Clients focus on strong brands from best vintages – March 2010 we are already back at the pre-crisis prices (top 100) and +5% more than highest record on top 10. • 1997 Crisis – Weak vintage following two great ones – Opening prices not correctly aligned to quality of the vintage 9
  • 10. Critical Factors Brand Vintage Secondary Market Rating Value Region 10
  • 11. Which wines are for investment? BORDEAUX Portfolio - First Growths Bordeaux - - Super Seconds 90% - Top Pomerol and Saint-Émilion Burgundy - BURGUNDY 8.5% - DRC, Leroy, Ponsot Rhone Valley - RHÔNE VALLEY 0.75% - Chapoutier, Guigal, Jaboulet Italy - 0.75% Italy - Masseto, Solaia, Sassicia, Ornellaia, 11
  • 12. Which Vintages? Top vintages Brand vintages • 1961 • 1991 • 1966 • 1992 • 1982 • 1993 • 1986 • 1994 • 1990 • 1997 • 1996 • 2001 • 1998 • 2002 • 2000 • 2004 • 2003 • 2005 • 2008 • 2009 • 2010 12
  • 13. Journalists’ Influence ROBERT PARKER WINE SPECTATOR ALLEN MEADOWS Jancis Robinson (Bordeaux, Rhone Valley) (All Regions) (Burgundy) (All Regions) Wine tasting Release of the first Release of the Release of Harvest during Primeur ratings –> price re-visited ratings physical wines on [September ] period increase – Buy [end of May the market [March ] [End of May ] following year] Robert PARKER rating system 100 Points-scale 96-100 - An Extraordinary wine (typical investment wines) 90-95 - An Outstanding wine 80-89 - A barely above average to very good wine 70-79 - An Average wine 60-69 - A below average wine 50-59 - A wine deemed to be unacceptable 13
  • 14. Current Performance Liv-ex 100 - Up 65% over the last 5 years, however it is down 16.1% in the last year Traditional markets still retaining a demand for fine wine at the right price levels Emerging Markets broadening tastes through producers and regions 14
  • 15. Out Performing the Index • Careful Stock picking • Intuitive reaction to market conditions •Availability to wide range of stock sources •Carefully planned exit strategy 15
  • 16. Out Performing the Index 16
  • 17. View of 2012 • Market broadening • Demand in brand and value driven investment grade wines • DRC has sparked interest in other Burgundy Producers. Speculation Driven ? • Blue Chip Bordeaux heading back into “buy zone” – GBP250-300/Btl • Excitement of Bordeaux 2009’s “the best modern vintage ever” • 2011 En Primeur campaign – a drinking driven vintage 17
  • 18. Key Investment Points • Choice • Buy Early • Cases Only • Keep Records • Insurance • Reputation 18
  • 19. Investing in a Fund Advantages Disadvantages No in depth knowledge or passion High subscription and Management for wine necessary to benefit fees Fully managed so no decision, A Fund is not tax free, therefore control or input from investors liable to capital gains tax Lack of flexibility in regards to investment amount, time period and Liquidation of Portfolio Investors have no title of the wine simply a share of the Fund itself You do not have the option of taking redemption in wine 19
  • 20. AWC WineCap Principle Terms • Wine Investment advice provided through Portfolio Management • All stock owned by the investor • Minimum GBP50,000 investment • Minimum investment term 1 year • 2% Annual Management Fee • 10% Performance fee - high watermark 20
  • 21. Liquidating to cash TRADE SALE • Generally 30 days process from Email order to cash payment • Fee: Market price minus 15% fee charged by The Antique Wine Company. • Immediate transfer of the wines from Bonded account to Bonded accounts in the same warehouse AUCTION • Uncertainties, but can realise exceptional values for rare items 21
  • 22. How to begin •Budget, Terms, Preferences •Personal Account Opened • Acquisition of wine • Six Monthly Valuation • Active Portfolio Management 22
  • 23. 23