2.
To understand where international air passenger
travel may be heading in the future there are three
sets of forces that should be investigated
First -what are the factors which have driven the
growth in air travel
Second- set of factors to consider arises from a
possible change in world economies
Third-set of influences to be considered such as
events, policies and economic and political
environment
Also what new forces will have an impact on
international air travel?
3.
Several factor to be consider when forecasting
passenger growth are:
air travel forecasting models – indicates passenger
growth
trade growth and foreign direct investment-(air
cargo business)
policy changes-international aviation agreements
business models of carriers-hub and spoke
expansion of alliances-joint venture
aircraft fleets-aircraft type
possible change in world economies - pattern
THIS DRIVEN THE GROWTH IN AIR TRAVEL IN
THE PAST AND WHAT WILL THIS FACTOR LOOK
LIKE IN THE FUTURE
4.
Air cargo - a backbone of modern economy
Air cargo provides reliable and fast logistics
service for high-value and perishable export goods
in the global
Air cargo connects distant nations into global
supply chain network of materials and goods
Facilitates competitive advantage in a nation’s
trade and economy
Economic development in the world
Even the countries with less competitive
carriers want to open their air cargo market
5.
Flexible network design, routing, crew/fleet
scheduling
Hub and spoke logistics network
Night departure/arrival with lower landing charges
Air Cargo liberalization separately from passenger
liberalization-Recommended
6.
National economy Benefits
Consumer benefits
efficient on transportation of export goodsIncreasing competition with more carriers, more
supply and lower fare
routes, fare
Airlines benefits
traffic increase
forming efficient network
establishing hub airport
competitive power in the long run