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UNICEF
Innocenti Research Centre

Report Card 10




Measuring
child poverty
New league tables of child poverty
in the world’s rich countries
Innocenti Report Card 10 was written by Peter Adamson.
Two background papers from the UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre
support this Report:
1.	   Bradshaw, J., Y. Chzhen, C. de Neubourg, G. Main, B. Martorano
      and L. Menchini (2012), ‘Relative Income Poverty among Children in
      Rich Countries’, Innocenti Working Paper 2012-01, UNICEF Innocenti
      Research Centre, Florence.
      www.unicef-irc.org/publications/pdf/iwp_2012_01.pdf
2.	   de Neubourg, C., J. Bradshaw, Y. Chzhen, G. Main, B. Martorano
      and L. Menchini (2012), ‘Child Deprivation, Multidimensional
      Poverty and Monetary Poverty in Europe’, Innocenti Working Paper
      2012-02, UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre, Florence.
      www.unicef-irc.org/publications/pdf/iwp_2012_02.pdf
The UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre would like to acknowledge the
generous support for Report Card 10 provided by the Andorran,
Belgian, Swiss and United Kingdom National Committees for UNICEF.
                                                                           Which countries
                                                                           are included?
Any part of this Innocenti Report Card may be freely reproduced using
the following reference:
UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre (2012), ‘Measuring Child Poverty:
New league tables of child poverty in the world’s rich countries’,
Innocenti Report Card 10, UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre, Florence.      Data on child deprivation rates
                                                                           are drawn from the 2009 round
                                                                           of the European Union Statistics
                                                                           on Income and Living Conditions
The Report Card series is designed to monitor and compare the              and are therefore available for 29
performance of economically advanced countries in securing the rights      countries, i.e. all 27 countries of
of their children.                                                         the European Union plus Norway
The Innocenti Research Centre (IRC) was established in Florence, Italy     and Iceland. Most of these (23
in 1988 to strengthen the research capability of the United Nations        out of 29) are also members of
Children’s Fund (UNICEF) and to support its advocacy for children          the Organisation for Economic
worldwide. IRC is the dedicated research hub of the UNICEF Office of       Co-operation and Development
Research (OOR), which provides global leadership for the organization’s    (OECD). The exceptions are
strategic research agenda around children. The Office aims to set out a    Bulgaria, Cyprus, Latvia,
comprehensive framework for research and knowledge within the              Lithuania, Malta and Romania,
organization, in support of its global programmes and policies. Through    which are EU member states,
strengthening research partnerships with leading academic institutions     but not members of the OECD.
and development networks in both the North and South, the Office
                                                                           Data on relative child poverty
seeks to leverage additional resources and influence in support of
                                                                           rates are also available for six
efforts towards policy reform in favour of children.
                                                                           additional OECD countries
The Centre's publications are contributions to a global debate on child    (Australia, Canada, Japan,
rights and help facilitate full implementation of the Convention on the    New Zealand, Switzerland, and
Rights of the Child in low-, middle- and high-income countries. The        the United States). The analysis
views expressed are those of the authors and researchers and do not        of relative child poverty therefore
necessarily reflect the policies or views of UNICEF  .                     includes the following 35
                                                                           countries:

                                                                           Australia, Austria, Belgium,
© United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), May 2012                        Bulgaria, Canada, Cyprus,
                                                                           Czech Republic, Denmark,
ISBN: 978-88-8912-965-4
                                                                           Estonia, Finland, France,
ISSN: 1605-7317                                                            Germany, Greece, Hungary,
                                                                           Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan,
UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre                                           Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg,
Piazza SS. Annunziata, 12                                                  Malta, the Netherlands,
50122 Florence, Italy                                                      New Zealand, Norway, Poland,
                                                                           Portugal, Romania, Slovakia,
Tel: (+39) 055 2033 0
                                                                           Slovenia, Spain, Sweden,
Fax: (+39) 055 2033 220
                                                                           Switzerland, United Kingdom,
florence@unicef.org                                                        United States.
www.unicef-irc.org
I n n o c e n t i   R e p o r t   C a r d   1 0                       1




UNICEF
Innocenti Research Centre




This report sets out the latest internationally comparable data on
child deprivation and relative child poverty. Taken together, these
two different measures offer the best currently available picture
of child poverty across the world’s wealthiest nations.

Previous reports in this series have shown that failure to
protect children from poverty is one of the most costly mistakes
a society can make. The heaviest cost of all is borne by the
children themselves. But their nations must also pay a very
significant price – in reduced skills and productivity, in lower
levels of health and educational achievement, in increased
likelihood of unemployment and welfare dependence, in the
higher costs of judicial and social protection systems, and in
the loss of social cohesion.

The economic argument, in anything but the shortest term, is
therefore heavily on the side of protecting children from poverty.

Even more important is the argument in principle. Because
children have only one opportunity to develop normally in mind
and body, the commitment to protection from poverty must be
upheld in good times and in bad. A society that fails to maintain
that commitment, even in difficult economic times, is a society
that is failing its most vulnerable citizens and storing up
intractable social and economic problems for the years
immediately ahead.

It is for these reasons that this comparative snapshot of child
poverty in the industrialized nations is presented for the
attention of political leaders, press and public.
2                                                                                                       I n n o c e n t i      R e p o r t     C a r d     1 0




T W O              VI E WS                   OF           CHILD                        POV ER TY
New league tables of child poverty
in the world’s rich countries




Fig. 1a A league table of child                     0.9                                                                                             Iceland
deprivation, 29 economically
advanced countries                                  1.3                                                                                            Sweden

                                                    1.9                                                                                             Norway
Figure 1a shows the percentage of children
(aged 1 to 16) who lack two or more                 2.5                                                                                             Finland
of the following 14 items because the               2.6                                                                                           Denmark
households in which they live cannot
afford to provide them.                             2.7                                                                                        Netherlands

                                                    4.4                                                                                        Luxembourg
1.	 Three meals a day
2.	 At least one meal a day with meat,              4.9                                                                                             Ireland
    chicken or fish (or a vegetarian                5.5                                                                                  United Kingdom
    equivalent)
                                                    7.0                                                                                             Cyprus
3.	 Fresh fruit and vegetables every day
                                                    8.1                                                                                              Spain
4.	 Books suitable for the child’s age and
    knowledge level (not including                  8.3                                                                                            Slovenia
    schoolbooks)                                    8.7                                                                                             Austria
5.	 Outdoor leisure equipment (bicycle,
                                                    8.8                                                                                      Czech Republic
    roller-skates, etc.)
                                                    8.8                                                                                           Germany
6.	 Regular leisure activities (swimming,
    playing an instrument, participating in         8.9                                                                                              Malta
    youth organizations etc.)                       9.1                                                                                            Belgium
7.	 Indoor games (at least one per child,
                                                    10.1                                                                                            France
    including educational baby toys,
    building blocks, board games,                   12.4                                                                                            Estonia
    computer games etc.)                            13.3                                                                                               Italy
8.	 Money to participate in school trips
                                                    17.2                                                                                            Greece
    and events
                                                    19.2                                                                                           Slovakia
9.	 A quiet place with enough room
    and light to do homework                        19.8                                                                                          Lithuania
10.	 An Internet connection                         20.9                                                                                            Poland
11.	 Some new clothes (i.e. not all
                                                    27.4                                                                                           Portugal
     second-hand)
                                                    31.8                                                                                             Latvia
12.	 Two pairs of properly fitting shoes
     (including at least one pair of                31.9                                                                                           Hungary
     all-weather shoes)                             56.6                                                                                           Bulgaria
13.	 The opportunity, from time to time, to
                                                    72.6                                                                                           Romania
     invite friends home to play and eat
14.	 The opportunity to celebrate special
                                                0                             10                          20                       30
     occasions such as birthdays, name
     days, religious events, etc.                                                                   Child deprivation
                                                                                       (% of children lacking two or more items)

                                                Note: Data refer to children aged 1 to 16.
                                                Source: Calculations based on EU-SILC 2009.




    The data are drawn from the 2009 round of the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC)
    and are not available for non-European countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).
I n n o c e n t i   R e p o r t    C a r d     1 0                                                                                                                                    3




Introduction                                     children in each country who are                                      Figure 1b shows the percentage of
                                                 deprived – i.e. ‘lacking two or more’                                 children living in relative poverty,
The league tables on these pages
                                                 of 14 items considered normal and                                     defined as living in a household whose
present the latest available data on child
                                                 necessary for a child in an                                           income, when adjusted for family size
poverty across the world’s rich nations.         economically advanced country                                         and composition, is less than 50% of
Figure 1a, made available here for the           (see opposite for the full list).                                     the median income for the country in
first time, shows the proportion of                                                                                    which they live.


Fig. 1b A league table of relative child             4.7                                                                                                                 Iceland
poverty, 35 economically advanced                    5.3                                                                                                                 Finland
countries                                            6.1                                                                                                                 Cyprus
Figure 1b shows the percentage of children           6.1                                                                                                           Netherlands
(aged 0 to 17) who are living in relative            6.1                                                                                                                Norway
poverty, defined as living in a household in         6.3                                                                                                               Slovenia
which disposable income, when adjusted               6.5                                                                                                              Denmark
for family size and composition, is less             7.3                                                                                                                Sweden
than 50% of the national median income.
                                                     7.3                                                                                                                 Austria
                                                     7.4                                                                                                      Czech Republic
                                                     8.1                                                                                                           Switzerland
                                                     8.4                                                                                                                 Ireland
                                                     8.5                                                                                                               Germany
                                                     8.8                                                                                                                 France
                                                     8.9                                                                                                                   Malta
                                                     10.2                                                                                                               Belgium
                                                     10.3                                                                                                              Hungary
                                                     10.9                                                                                                              Australia
                                                     11.2                                                                                                               Slovakia
                                                     11.7                                                                                                        New Zealand
                                                     11.9                                                                                                                Estonia
                                                     12.1                                                                                                     United Kingdom
                                                     12.3                                                                                                         Luxembourg
                                                     13.3                                                                                                                Canada
                                                     14.5                                                                                                                Poland
                                                     14.7                                                                                                              Portugal
                                                     14.9                                                                                                                 Japan
                                                     15.4                                                                                                              Lithuania
                                                     15.9                                                                                                                    Italy
                                                     16.0                                                                                                                Greece
                                                     17.1                                                                                                                  Spain
                                                     17.8                                                                                                               Bulgaria
                                                     18.8                                                                                                                  Latvia
                                                     23.1                                                                                                                   USA
                                                     25.5                                                                                                              Romania


                                                 0                               10                       20                      30                                                 40
                                                                                                  Child poverty rate
                                                           (% of children living in households with equivalent income lower than 50% of national median)

                                                 Note: Data refer to children aged 0 to 17.
                                                 Sources: Calculations based on EU-SILC 2009, HILDA 2009, SLID 2009, SHP 2009, PSID 2007. Results for New Zealand are from Perry
                                                 (2011). Results for Japan are from Cabinet Office, Gender Equality Bureau (2011).




 Some OECD countries – Australia, Canada, Japan, New Zealand, Switzerland and the United States – are included in the league table
 of relative child poverty (Figure 1b) but could not be included in the league table of child deprivation (Figure 1a) because relevant
 data are not available. Child deprivation data are drawn from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions and are
 therefore only available for the 27 EU countries plus Iceland and Norway.
4                                                                                      I n n o c e n t i   R e p o r t   C a r d      1 0




As may be seen at a glance, the two            the child poverty rate is one of the         greater likelihood of teenage
league tables project two very different       most important of all indicators of a        pregnancy to the increased probability
pictures of child poverty in the world’s       society’s health and well-being. For the     of drug and alcohol abuse. That there
rich nations. What these different             here and now, it is a measure of what        are many exceptions – many children
pictures mean – the relationship               is happening to some of society’s most       who grow up in economically poor
between them and the controversies             vulnerable members. For the years to         families who do not fall into any of
surrounding them – is the subject of           come, it is a pointer to the well-being      these categories – does not alter the
this Report Card.                              and cohesion of society as a whole.          fact that poverty in childhood is
                                                                                            closely and consistently associated with
                                               Previous reports in this series have
                                                                                            measurable disadvantage both for
Slipping down the agenda                       presented the evidence for the close         individuals and for the societies in
In the wake of statistics following the        association between child poverty            which they live.i
post-2008 economic crises, the child           and a long list of individual and social
poverty rate has rarely surfaced.              risks – from impaired cognitive              A commitment to protecting children
“In a downturn,” says Sharon Goldfeld,         development to increased behavioural         from poverty is therefore more than
National Director of the Australian            difficulties, from poorer physical health    a slogan or a routine inclusion in a
Early Development Index, “the first            to underachievement in school, from          political manifesto; it is the hallmark
thing that happens is that children drop off   lowered skills and aspirations to higher     of a civilized society.
the policy agenda.” Yet it is arguable that    risks of welfare dependency, from the




    Box 1 Children and recession




    There are almost no internationally comparable data on            The possible impact of the economic downturn on
    what is happening to child poverty as a result of the             efforts to reduce child poverty rates has also recently
    economic downturn of the last three years.                        been estimated for the United Kingdom, where the
                                                                      Child Poverty Act of 2010 has set legally binding targets
    It is nonetheless evident that front-line services for
                                                                      for reducing child poverty. By 2020, the relative child
    families are everywhere under strain as austerity
                                                                      poverty rate is to be halved to no more than 10%.
    measures increase the numbers in need while depleting
                                                                      (‘Absolute income poverty‘ – defined as living on
    the services available. It is also clear that the worst is
                                                                      an income below 60% of the median income for
    yet to come. Many families, even those on low incomes,
                                                                      the benchmark year 2010 and updated only for inflation
    have some form of ‘cushion’ – whether in the form of
                                                                      – is to be cut from 20% to 5%.)
    savings, assets, or help from other family members – by
    which to maintain spending during difficult times. There          But as the Act came into force, the economic crisis
    is therefore almost always a time lag between the onset           was already beginning to threaten social protection
    of an economic crisis and the full extent of its impact.          programmes. Child benefits, for example, have been
                                                                      frozen for three years – meaning that in real terms
                                                                      they will fall in value. Child tax credits and other
    Commitment
                                                                      programmes designed to protect the poorest children
    In Ireland, a leader in both the theory and practice of           have been cut back.
    monitoring child poverty, some data are available to
    estimate the effects on children and families of a                What difference are such changes likely to make
    severe contraction in the national economy. Between               to the UK’s long-term efforts to bring down child
    2009 and 2010, for example, Ireland’s own child                   poverty rates?
    deprivation index showed a rise of almost 7 percentage
                                                                      Reversal
    points, from 23.5% to 30.2%.1 Over the same period,
    falling median incomes meant that relative child poverty          According to an October 2011 report from the Institute
    rose by less than one percentage point – again showing            for Fiscal Studies (IFS),2 the likeliest prospect is that the
    the value of using the two different measures                     progress of recent years will be thrown into reverse.
    discussed in this report.                                         Although currently thought to be stable, the child
                                                                      poverty rate is predicted to begin rising again in 2013.
I n n o c e n t i        R e p o r t        C a r d       1 0                                                                                                                            5




A crisis of monitoring                                       reveal a crisis of monitoring. In both                          “The discourse on poverty is very confusing,”
                                                             cases the data they present, although                           says Jonathan Bradshaw, Professor of
In practice, making good on this
                                                             the latest available, are mostly drawn                          Social Policy at the University of York
commitment is impossible without
                                                             from surveys conducted in 2009. They                            and one of the authors of the statistical
close monitoring of what is happening
                                                             are therefore at least two to three years                       analysis on which this report draws:ii
to children’s lives. It is monitoring that
                                                             old.* This would be bad enough at the                           “We tend to mix up concepts and measures
makes possible evidence-based policy,
                                                             best of times. But these are not the best                       and use different words to describe the same
political accountability, informed
                                                                                                                             thing and the same words to describe
advocacy and the cost-effective use of                       of times. And it is a significant failing,
                                                                                                                             different things.” iii
limited public resources. The                                on behalf of many governments of
availability of timely data is therefore                     OECD countries, that the available data                         Many of the questions and confusions
in itself an indicator of whether the                        on children’s lives do not yet reflect the                      about the measurement of child
commitment to protecting children is                         impact of the economic downturn                                 poverty are encompassed by the two
being taken seriously or not.                                (see Box 1: Children and recession).                            league tables with which this report
                                                                                                                             begins. It may therefore be helpful to
The two league tables, Figures 1a and                        Underlying weak monitoring is the                               summarize the principal differences
1b, therefore reveal more than the                           lack of any robust public or political                          between them.
percentages of children living in                            consensus on how child poverty
different kinds of poverty. They also                        should be defined and measured.




Looking further ahead, levels of ‘relative’ and ‘absolute’
child poverty are expected to reach 24% and 23%                                           Relative child poverty rate,
respectively by 2020/21 – compared to the target figures                                  United Kingdom, 1998–2020
of 10% and 5%. This would mean a return to the relative                                   28
child poverty levels of two decades ago.
                                                                                          26
Such forecasts, says the IFS, are “always highly
                                                                                          24
uncertain.” In particular, they cannot accurately predict                                                                                           Predicted
the impact of, and responses to, the tax and benefit                                      22
changes currently in the pipeline. They are nonetheless
                                                                                          20
the best available independent estimate of “what might
happen to poverty under current government policies.”                                     18

Since these forecasts were made, the commitment to                                        16

increase child credits by more than the rate of inflation in                              14
2012 and 2013 has been abandoned. According to IFS                                                                                                                Target

calculations, this decision alone is likely to mean that                                  12

another 100,000 children will fall below the relative                                     10
                                                                                               1998

                                                                                                       2000

                                                                                                              2002

                                                                                                                      2004

                                                                                                                             2006

                                                                                                                                     2008

                                                                                                                                            2010

                                                                                                                                                    2012

                                                                                                                                                           2014

                                                                                                                                                                   2016

                                                                                                                                                                          2018

                                                                                                                                                                                  2020




poverty line.

                                                                                          Source: Data from the Institute for Fiscal Studies, London, October 2011. The graph shows
                                                                                          the percentage of children living in households below 60% of equivalized median income
                                                                                          before housing costs. For illustrative purposes, the 'Target' line assumes linear progress
                                                                                          towards the 2020 goal.




1 Central Statistics Office Ireland, Government of Ireland, 2011.
2 Brewer, M., J. Browne and R. Joyce (2011). Child and Working-age
  
  Poverty from 2010 to 2020, Institute for Fiscal Studies, London.




* EU-SILC 2009: data on income refers to 2008, other data to 2009. Poverty data was released in early 2010.
6                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    I n n o c e n t i                                       R e p o r t                              C a r d                                  1 0




A deprivation index                                                                                                                     5.	               Outdoor leisure equipment                                                                                                 Overall, the league table shows that
                                                                                                                                                          (bicycle, roller-skates, etc.)                                                                                            approximately 85% of the almost
Figure 1a, a League Table of Child
Deprivation, represents a significant                                                                                                   6.	               Regular leisure activities                                                                                                85 million children (aged 1 to 16) in
new development in the international                                                                                                                      (swimming, playing an                                                                                                     29 European countries have at least 13
monitoring of child poverty. For the                                                                                                                      instrument, participating in youth                                                                                        of the 14 items in the deprivation
first time, the European Union Statistics                                                                                                                 organizations etc.)                                                                                                       index and are therefore ‘not deprived’.
on Income and Living Conditions,                                                                                                        7.	               Indoor games (at least one per                                                                                            The second most obvious feature of
sampling more than 125,000                                                                                                                                child, including educational baby                                                                                         the table is that the highest rates of
households in 29 European countries,                                                                                                                      toys, building blocks, board                                                                                              deprivation are to be found in some
has included a section on the lives of                                                                                                                    games, computer games etc.)                                                                                               of the newest and poorest member
children aged 1 to 16. Using this data,                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             countries of the European Union.
the UNICEF Innocenti Research                                                                                                           8.	               Money to participate in school
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Over 30% are seen to be deprived in
Centre has constructed the 14-item                                                                                                                        trips and events
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Hungary and Latvia, over 50% in
Child Deprivation Index on which                                                                                                        9.	               A quiet place with enough room                                                                                            Bulgaria and over 70% in Romania.
League Table 1a is based.                                                                                                                                 and light to do homework                                                                                                  For Central and Eastern European
                                                                                                                                        10.	 An Internet connection                                                                                                                 countries, therefore, the league table of
The 14 items in the index
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    child deprivation makes grim reading.
encompass the ability of                                                                                                                11.	 Some new clothes (i.e. not all
households to afford:                                                                                                                                     second-hand)                                                                                                              Among the richest 15 countries, all
1.	                    Three meals a day                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            except France and Italy have child
                                                                                                                                        12.	 Two pairs of properly fitting
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    deprivation rates below 10%. But
2.	                    At least one meal a day with                                                                                                       shoes (including at least one pair
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    clearing a bar that is set so low does
                       meat, chicken or fish (or a                                                                                                        of all-weather shoes)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    not warrant any great applause. In
                       vegetarian equivalent)                                                                                           13.	 The opportunity, from time to                                                                                                          the world’s wealthiest nations the
3.	                    Fresh fruit and vegetables                                                                                                         time, to invite friends home to                                                                                           proportion of children lacking two
                       every day                                                                                                                          play and eat                                                                                                              or more of these basic items should
4.	                    Books suitable for the child’s                                                                                   14.	 The opportunity to celebrate                                                                                                           be at or close to zero. Yet in practice
                       age and knowledge level                                                                                                            special occasions such as birthdays,                                                                                      only Denmark, Finland, Iceland, the
                       (not including schoolbooks)                                                                                                        name days, religious events etc.                                                                                          Netherlands, Norway and Sweden have




Fig. 2a Percentage of children deprived in countries with                                                                                                                                     Fig. 2b Percentage of children deprived in countries with
GDP per capita between $13,000 – $25,000 (PPP)                                                                                                                                                GDP per capita between $25,000 – $36,000 (PPP)

                      80                                                                                                                                                                                            30
                                              72.6                                                                                                                                                                        27.4
                      70
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    25

                      60
                           56.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    20
                      50
                                                                                                                                                                                              % Children deprived
% Children deprived




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         17.2

                      40                                                                                                                                                                                            15
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           13.3
                                                                31.8                                                                    31.9
                      30                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   10.1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10                           8.8                     8.3                                                8.1
                                                                                  19.8               20.9
                      20                                                                                                                                   19.2                                                                                                                                             7.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 5.5
                                                                                                                      12.4                                                                                           5
                      10                                                                                                                                                       8.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2.5


                       0                                                                                                                                                                                             0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Portugal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                ($25,058)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Czech Republic
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ($25,572)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Slovenia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             ($27,556)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Greece
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ($29,303)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Cyprus
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ($30,728)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Spain
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ($32,262)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Italy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ($32,413)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           France
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                ($33,349)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            United Kingdom
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ($35,145)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Finland
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ($35,254)
                           Bulgaria
                                  ($13,764)

                                              Romania
                                                    ($14,216)

                                                                Latvia
                                                                     ($16,166)

                                                                                 Lithuania
                                                                                         ($17,059)

                                                                                                     Poland
                                                                                                          ($18,925)

                                                                                                                      Estonia
                                                                                                                            ($19,690)

                                                                                                                                        Hungary
                                                                                                                                              ($20,275)

                                                                                                                                                           Slovakia
                                                                                                                                                                  ($22,875)

                                                                                                                                                                              Malta
                                                                                                                                                                                  ($24,804)




                                                                (per capita GDP in parentheses)                                                                                                                                                                             (per capita GDP in parentheses)
I n n o c e n t i                                              R e p o r t                                 C a r d                       1 0                                                                                                                                                       7




child deprivation rates below 3%. For                                                                                                             Relative poverty league                                                                      behind). All of these countries have
Austria, Belgium and Germany, the rate                                                                                                                                                                                                         relative child poverty rates below 7%.
                                                                                                                                                  The second of the two league tables
climbs to 8% or more. In France and                                                                                                                                                                                                            Another eight countries including two
                                                                                                                                                  (Figure 1b) paints a very different
Italy the rate rises above the 10% mark.                                                                                                                                                                                                       of the largest – Germany and France –
                                                                                                                                                  picture of child poverty in the world’s
                                                                                                                                                  advanced economies.                                                                          have rates between 7% and 10%. A third
More with less                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 group, including Australia, Canada,
                                                                                                                                                  It includes six OECD countries that                                                          New Zealand and the United Kingdom,
Looked at as a whole, the child                                                                                                                   do not participate in EU-SILC                                                                post rates of between 10% and 15%.
deprivation table may therefore seem                                                                                                              (Australia, Canada, Japan,                                                                   A further six, including populous Italy
to present little more than a blurred                                                                                                             New Zealand, Switzerland and the                                                             and Spain, show rates of between 15%
reflection of each country’s level of per                                                                                                         United States), and is based on the                                                          and 20%. In only two countries are
capita income. But a closer look reveals                                                                                                          definition of relative poverty used by                                                       more than 20% of children living in
that some countries are in fact                                                                                                                   the OECD. Under this definition, a                                                           relative poverty – Romania and the
achieving much more – and some                                                                                                                    child is deemed to be living in relative                                                     United States.
much less – than their income levels                                                                                                              poverty if he or she is growing up in a
would predict. Estonia, Hungary and                                                                                                               household where disposable income,                                                           Overall, the divide between the
Poland, for example, have roughly                                                                                                                 when adjusted for family size and                                                            wealthy and not-so-wealthy nations is
equivalent per capita incomes but                                                                                                                 composition, is less than 50% of the                                                         much less clear-cut. Hungary, Slovakia
widely varying rates of child                                                                                                                     median disposable household income                                                           and Estonia, for example, are seen to
deprivation (see Figure 2a). Portugal                                                                                                             for the country concerned.* By this                                                          have a smaller proportion of children
and the Czech Republic both have per                                                                                                              standard, more than 15% of the 200                                                           living in relative poverty than the
capita incomes of about PPP $25,000,                                                                                                              million children in the 35 countries                                                         United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, or the
but Portugal’s child deprivation level is                                                                                                         listed in Figure 1b are seen to be living                                                    United States. Clearly, this is not
three times higher (see Figure 2b).                                                                                                               in relative poverty.                                                                         because a smaller proportion of their
Belgium and Germany have similar                                                                                                                                                                                                               children are poor in an absolute sense;
per capita incomes to Denmark and                                                                                                                 The top five positions in the league                                                         it is because the incomes of most poor
Sweden – but child deprivation rates                                                                                                              table are occupied by Iceland, Finland,                                                      households in these former centrally-
that are about three and seven times                                                                                                              Cyprus, the Netherlands and Norway                                                           planned economies do not fall as far
higher (see Figure 2c).                                                                                                                           (with Slovenia and Denmark close                                                             behind the median level of income for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               the nation as a whole.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Finally, it is worth noting that – despite
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               the very different measures of child poverty
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               employed in these two league tables – seven
Fig. 2c Percentage of children deprived in countries with                                                                                                                                                                                      countries are ranked in the top 10 in both
GDP per capita between $36,000 – $85,000 (PPP)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               – Cyprus, Denmark, Finland, Iceland,
                 10                                                                                                                                                                                                                            the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden.
                            9.1
                      9                      8.8                                                                      8.7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Controversy
                      8                                                                                                                                                                                                                        What are we to make of these two
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               very different pictures of child poverty
                      7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               in the world’s richest nations?
% Children deprived




                      6                                                                                                                                                                                                                        First, it is important to resist the
                                                                                                                                       4.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               temptation to see the two different
                      5
                                                                                                                                                                                                 4.4                                           views presented in Figures 1a and 1b
                      4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               as contradictory or mutually exclusive.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Both are valid. Both can inform policy.
                      3                                                                           2.6                                                    2.7                                                                                   And both make it clear that some
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               countries are doing a much better job
                                                                                                                                                                               1.9
                      2                                                                                                                                                                                                                        than others at protecting their children
                                                                                  1.3
                                                                0.9                                                                                                                                                                            from poverty.
                      1

                      0                                                                                                                                                                                            Note: Data refer to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   children aged 1 to 16.
                          Belgium
                                ($36,279)

                                            Germany
                                                  ($36,320)

                                                              Iceland
                                                                    ($36,733)

                                                                                Sweden
                                                                                     ($37,157)

                                                                                                 Denmark
                                                                                                       ($37,672)

                                                                                                                   Austria
                                                                                                                         ($38,804)

                                                                                                                                     Ireland
                                                                                                                                           ($39,643)

                                                                                                                                                       Netherlands
                                                                                                                                                                 ($40,796)

                                                                                                                                                                             Norway
                                                                                                                                                                                  ($55,717)

                                                                                                                                                                                              Luxembourg
                                                                                                                                                                                                       ($84,766)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Sources: Calculations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   based on EU-SILC 2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   for child deprivation and   * Most European Union countries draw the relative
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   on World Development        poverty line at 60% of national median income. For
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Indicators (2011) for GDP   purposes of international comparison, the OECD (and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   per capita, PPP (current    this Report Card series) uses a relative poverty line
                                                                   (per capita GDP in parentheses)                                                                                                                 international $).           drawn at 50% of median income.
8                                                                                    I n n o c e n t i   R e p o r t   C a r d   1 0




The two measures are, however,               ‘Real’ poverty                               This is a mistake. Both are relative
profoundly different in concept.             It is often argued that relative poverty     measures.
The most important difference between        isn’t ‘real poverty’. Real poverty, it is    The deprivation index is based on the
them is that the child deprivation table     said, means lacking basics - enough          kind of possessions, services and
uses a fixed measure for all 29 countries    food to eat, adequate clothing, a dry        opportunities that most people would
surveyed; the criterion applied (lacking     home, an indoor toilet, hot water, and       consider normal for a child growing
two or more from the same list of 14         a bed to sleep in. Once you leave such       up in a wealthy country today. In
items) is exactly the same for Sweden        basics behind and start drawing              other words, it is relative to both time
or the United States as it is for Bulgaria   poverty lines based on statistical           and place. Twenty years ago, for
or Romania. Inevitably, therefore, it        notions like median income, it is            example, such a list would not have
puts the emphasis on the differences         argued, you end up with results that         included an Internet connection. Go
between richer and poorer countries.         fail to make intuitive sense and so          back a little further in time and
The criterion used to measure relative       fail to convince either politicians or       ‘having at least one meal a day with
child poverty, by contrast, changes with     public. Can the child poverty rate           meat, chicken or fish’ would not have
the median income of each country; it        really be said to be rising, for example,    been regarded as normal. In fact the
therefore transfers the emphasis to the      at a time when the incomes of the            longer the historical view the more
                                             poor are also rising? And can there          obvious it becomes that poverty is an
gap between the bottom and the
                                             really be more children in poverty           essentially relative concept. Any
middle in the living standards of
                                             in the United Kingdom or the                 poverty line intended to represent a
children within each country.
                                             United States than in Hungary or             minimum acceptable standard of living
It is because of this difference that the    Lithuania (as shown in Figure 1b)?           in the industrialized world today
poorer countries in Figure 1a tend to        Or are these findings just statistical       implies higher standards of food,
have significantly higher rates of child     artefacts produced by a definition of        clothing, housing, water supply,
deprivation but may or may not have          child poverty that is in effect based        sanitation, health care, education,
higher rates of relative income poverty.     on a concern not with poverty but            transport and entertainment than were
For the same reason, the two different       with inequality?                             available to even the wealthiest
measures tend to respond to economic                                                      households of previous eras.
                                             Such are the arguments that push
and policy changes in very different
                                             many to reject the relative income           The whole idea of defining child
ways.iv In periods of sustained
                                             measure and to embrace instead the           poverty in an absolute sense therefore
economic growth, for example, the            direct measurement of deprivation.           rests on shaky ground. Unless we wish
proportion of a nation’s children            Does the child have three meals a day?       to argue that the threshold should be
defined as ‘deprived’ will almost            A few books in the home? And a roof          set at the minimum income necessary
certainly fall as overall incomes rise.      that doesn’t leak? Isn’t this a much         for sheer physical survival then there
The proportion living in relative income     more intuitive measure, and one that         can in fact be no such thing as an
poverty, on the other hand, may either       is more capable of winning public            absolute poverty line.
rise or fall depending upon whether          understanding and support?
their household incomes grow by more                                                      The real debate, therefore, is not
or less than the median income for the       Direct measures of outcomes like             whether poverty lines should be
nation concerned. To take a famous           deprivation do have advantages over          absolute or relative, but how and how
example, a decade of sustained               indirect or ‘input’ measures such as         often they should be updated to reflect
                                             household income (see Box 2: The             changes in the living standards of
economic growth in the Ireland of the
                                             problem with incomes). But the trouble       society as a whole. If the decision is
1990s more than doubled the nation’s
                                             with the argument that deprivation           taken, for example, to draw an
median income, but the proportion of
                                             measures ‘real poverty’, whereas relative    ‘absolute’ poverty line at some fixed
children living in relative poverty also
                                             income does not, is that the intuitively     point and to update it only for
rose because the incomes of households
                                             appealing idea on which it rests is that     inflation, then this means that a relative
below the poverty line rose more
                                             poverty should be measured in an             poverty line is being anchored to an
slowly than the median income for the
                                             absolute rather than a relative sense.       arbitrary point in time. As the years
country as a whole.
                                             And from here it is but a short step to      pass and incomes rise, such a poverty
Such examples bring us to the heart          the belief that the deprivation index        line is likely to fall further and further
of one of the principal controversies        presented in Figure 1a is an absolute        behind the norm for the society and
surrounding the measurement of               measure whereas the median income            to become less and less useful. This is
child poverty.                               method used for Figure 1b is ‘only’ a        essentially what has happened over the
                                             relative measure.
I n n o c e n t i   R e p o r t   C a r d   1 0                                                                                                9




   Box 2 The problem with incomes




   Relative child poverty rates are usually estimated by           σσ   Income measures cannot reflect the fluctuations in
   assuming that household income is a reasonable guide                 income experienced by many households (for example
   to the material resources available to the child. But this           as a result of overtime, bonuses, working shorter
   assumption is beset by problems.1                                    hours, becoming unemployed, or taking retirement).

                                                                   σσ   Calculating a poverty rate from household income
   Among the concerns:
                                                                        data requires that some method be used to convert
   σσ   Data on incomes may not be reliable, especially if              household income into equivalent individual incomes
        derived from surveys, or if a significant proportion of         (see Box 3: Do children have incomes?). To achieve
        the working population is self-employed or employed             this, an ‘equivalence scale’ must be used. But such
        in informal work. Under-reporting of earnings varies            scales are not based on any scientific understanding
        from country to country, and tends to be greater                of the different patterns of need in households of
        towards the bottom end of the income scale.                     different size.
   σσ   Most countries measure household incomes before            σσ   Household income measures cannot reflect the fact
        housing costs. In practice, a family’s capacity to              that some families may be much more competent
        meet children’s needs is more likely to be dependent            than others in managing income or in prioritizing
        on income after housing costs (which can vary                   spending (for example by putting children’s needs
        significantly within as well as between countries).             first). The child of a high-income household, for
   σσ   Income does not always reflect the real level of                example, will not be counted as poor even if most of
        resources available. A family’s economic capacity, its          the income is spent on drugs, gambling or alcohol;
        security and spending power, are based not only on              conversely a child in a low-income household will be
        household income at a single point in time but also             counted as poor even if the parents make enormous
        on savings and debts, on home ownership and house               sacrifices to ensure that the child has the same
        values, on previous earnings and future expectations,           advantages and opportunities as his or her peers.
        on the help that may be available from other family        Some or all of these problems combine to introduce
        members, and perhaps on the value of home-                 doubts about household incomes as a measure of the
        produced goods such as food and clothes.                   real resources available to the child. And they help to
   σσ   When used to compare child poverty in different            explain why surveys have sometimes found that
        countries, income measures cannot take into account        measures of household spending do not correspond to
        the fact that services such as health care and child       measures of household incomes. At any given level of
        care may be subsidised or free in some countries but       household income, for example, material living
        not in others. This may make a substantial difference      standards tend to vary substantially according to
        to real ‘disposable household income’.                     whether they are assessed by incomes or by
                                                                   expenditures.2 In most advanced economies, household
   σσ   Similarly, whether or not education, and particularly      incomes are easier to monitor than expenditures. But
        pre-school education, is free or subsidised may make       expenditure measures would in most cases provide a
        a substantial difference to disposable incomes. In         more reliable guide to the real level of resources
        most advanced economies, primary and secondary             available to the household.
        education is usually available free of charge. But early
        childhood education is subsidised to different
        degrees in different countries. The same is true of
        tertiary or college education, which may mean that
        parents in some countries must try to put aside            1  ee for example, Fusco, A., A-C. Guio and E. Marlier (2010).
                                                                     S
        significant sums even when their children are still          ’Income Poverty and Deprivation in European Countries’, Eurostat
                                                                     Methodologies and Working Papers, European Commission, Luxembourg.
        young. Both of these factors affect real disposable        2  radshaw, J. and N. Finch (2003). ‘Overlaps in Dimensions of Poverty’.
                                                                     B
        incomes to different degrees in different countries.         Journal of Social Policy, 32 (4): 513-525.
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty
Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty

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Report Card 10 - Measuring Child Poverty

  • 1. UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre Report Card 10 Measuring child poverty New league tables of child poverty in the world’s rich countries
  • 2. Innocenti Report Card 10 was written by Peter Adamson. Two background papers from the UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre support this Report: 1. Bradshaw, J., Y. Chzhen, C. de Neubourg, G. Main, B. Martorano and L. Menchini (2012), ‘Relative Income Poverty among Children in Rich Countries’, Innocenti Working Paper 2012-01, UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre, Florence. www.unicef-irc.org/publications/pdf/iwp_2012_01.pdf 2. de Neubourg, C., J. Bradshaw, Y. Chzhen, G. Main, B. Martorano and L. Menchini (2012), ‘Child Deprivation, Multidimensional Poverty and Monetary Poverty in Europe’, Innocenti Working Paper 2012-02, UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre, Florence. www.unicef-irc.org/publications/pdf/iwp_2012_02.pdf The UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre would like to acknowledge the generous support for Report Card 10 provided by the Andorran, Belgian, Swiss and United Kingdom National Committees for UNICEF. Which countries are included? Any part of this Innocenti Report Card may be freely reproduced using the following reference: UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre (2012), ‘Measuring Child Poverty: New league tables of child poverty in the world’s rich countries’, Innocenti Report Card 10, UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre, Florence. Data on child deprivation rates are drawn from the 2009 round of the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions The Report Card series is designed to monitor and compare the and are therefore available for 29 performance of economically advanced countries in securing the rights countries, i.e. all 27 countries of of their children. the European Union plus Norway The Innocenti Research Centre (IRC) was established in Florence, Italy and Iceland. Most of these (23 in 1988 to strengthen the research capability of the United Nations out of 29) are also members of Children’s Fund (UNICEF) and to support its advocacy for children the Organisation for Economic worldwide. IRC is the dedicated research hub of the UNICEF Office of Co-operation and Development Research (OOR), which provides global leadership for the organization’s (OECD). The exceptions are strategic research agenda around children. The Office aims to set out a Bulgaria, Cyprus, Latvia, comprehensive framework for research and knowledge within the Lithuania, Malta and Romania, organization, in support of its global programmes and policies. Through which are EU member states, strengthening research partnerships with leading academic institutions but not members of the OECD. and development networks in both the North and South, the Office Data on relative child poverty seeks to leverage additional resources and influence in support of rates are also available for six efforts towards policy reform in favour of children. additional OECD countries The Centre's publications are contributions to a global debate on child (Australia, Canada, Japan, rights and help facilitate full implementation of the Convention on the New Zealand, Switzerland, and Rights of the Child in low-, middle- and high-income countries. The the United States). The analysis views expressed are those of the authors and researchers and do not of relative child poverty therefore necessarily reflect the policies or views of UNICEF . includes the following 35 countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, © United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), May 2012 Bulgaria, Canada, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, ISBN: 978-88-8912-965-4 Estonia, Finland, France, ISSN: 1605-7317 Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Piazza SS. Annunziata, 12 Malta, the Netherlands, 50122 Florence, Italy New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Tel: (+39) 055 2033 0 Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Fax: (+39) 055 2033 220 Switzerland, United Kingdom, florence@unicef.org United States. www.unicef-irc.org
  • 3. I n n o c e n t i R e p o r t C a r d 1 0 1 UNICEF Innocenti Research Centre This report sets out the latest internationally comparable data on child deprivation and relative child poverty. Taken together, these two different measures offer the best currently available picture of child poverty across the world’s wealthiest nations. Previous reports in this series have shown that failure to protect children from poverty is one of the most costly mistakes a society can make. The heaviest cost of all is borne by the children themselves. But their nations must also pay a very significant price – in reduced skills and productivity, in lower levels of health and educational achievement, in increased likelihood of unemployment and welfare dependence, in the higher costs of judicial and social protection systems, and in the loss of social cohesion. The economic argument, in anything but the shortest term, is therefore heavily on the side of protecting children from poverty. Even more important is the argument in principle. Because children have only one opportunity to develop normally in mind and body, the commitment to protection from poverty must be upheld in good times and in bad. A society that fails to maintain that commitment, even in difficult economic times, is a society that is failing its most vulnerable citizens and storing up intractable social and economic problems for the years immediately ahead. It is for these reasons that this comparative snapshot of child poverty in the industrialized nations is presented for the attention of political leaders, press and public.
  • 4. 2 I n n o c e n t i R e p o r t C a r d 1 0 T W O VI E WS OF CHILD POV ER TY New league tables of child poverty in the world’s rich countries Fig. 1a A league table of child 0.9 Iceland deprivation, 29 economically advanced countries 1.3 Sweden 1.9 Norway Figure 1a shows the percentage of children (aged 1 to 16) who lack two or more 2.5 Finland of the following 14 items because the 2.6 Denmark households in which they live cannot afford to provide them. 2.7 Netherlands 4.4 Luxembourg 1. Three meals a day 2. At least one meal a day with meat, 4.9 Ireland chicken or fish (or a vegetarian 5.5 United Kingdom equivalent) 7.0 Cyprus 3. Fresh fruit and vegetables every day 8.1 Spain 4. Books suitable for the child’s age and knowledge level (not including 8.3 Slovenia schoolbooks) 8.7 Austria 5. Outdoor leisure equipment (bicycle, 8.8 Czech Republic roller-skates, etc.) 8.8 Germany 6. Regular leisure activities (swimming, playing an instrument, participating in 8.9 Malta youth organizations etc.) 9.1 Belgium 7. Indoor games (at least one per child, 10.1 France including educational baby toys, building blocks, board games, 12.4 Estonia computer games etc.) 13.3 Italy 8. Money to participate in school trips 17.2 Greece and events 19.2 Slovakia 9. A quiet place with enough room and light to do homework 19.8 Lithuania 10. An Internet connection 20.9 Poland 11. Some new clothes (i.e. not all 27.4 Portugal second-hand) 31.8 Latvia 12. Two pairs of properly fitting shoes (including at least one pair of 31.9 Hungary all-weather shoes) 56.6 Bulgaria 13. The opportunity, from time to time, to 72.6 Romania invite friends home to play and eat 14. The opportunity to celebrate special 0 10 20 30 occasions such as birthdays, name days, religious events, etc. Child deprivation (% of children lacking two or more items) Note: Data refer to children aged 1 to 16. Source: Calculations based on EU-SILC 2009. The data are drawn from the 2009 round of the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) and are not available for non-European countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).
  • 5. I n n o c e n t i R e p o r t C a r d 1 0 3 Introduction children in each country who are Figure 1b shows the percentage of deprived – i.e. ‘lacking two or more’ children living in relative poverty, The league tables on these pages of 14 items considered normal and defined as living in a household whose present the latest available data on child necessary for a child in an income, when adjusted for family size poverty across the world’s rich nations. economically advanced country and composition, is less than 50% of Figure 1a, made available here for the (see opposite for the full list). the median income for the country in first time, shows the proportion of which they live. Fig. 1b A league table of relative child 4.7 Iceland poverty, 35 economically advanced 5.3 Finland countries 6.1 Cyprus Figure 1b shows the percentage of children 6.1 Netherlands (aged 0 to 17) who are living in relative 6.1 Norway poverty, defined as living in a household in 6.3 Slovenia which disposable income, when adjusted 6.5 Denmark for family size and composition, is less 7.3 Sweden than 50% of the national median income. 7.3 Austria 7.4 Czech Republic 8.1 Switzerland 8.4 Ireland 8.5 Germany 8.8 France 8.9 Malta 10.2 Belgium 10.3 Hungary 10.9 Australia 11.2 Slovakia 11.7 New Zealand 11.9 Estonia 12.1 United Kingdom 12.3 Luxembourg 13.3 Canada 14.5 Poland 14.7 Portugal 14.9 Japan 15.4 Lithuania 15.9 Italy 16.0 Greece 17.1 Spain 17.8 Bulgaria 18.8 Latvia 23.1 USA 25.5 Romania 0 10 20 30 40 Child poverty rate (% of children living in households with equivalent income lower than 50% of national median) Note: Data refer to children aged 0 to 17. Sources: Calculations based on EU-SILC 2009, HILDA 2009, SLID 2009, SHP 2009, PSID 2007. Results for New Zealand are from Perry (2011). Results for Japan are from Cabinet Office, Gender Equality Bureau (2011). Some OECD countries – Australia, Canada, Japan, New Zealand, Switzerland and the United States – are included in the league table of relative child poverty (Figure 1b) but could not be included in the league table of child deprivation (Figure 1a) because relevant data are not available. Child deprivation data are drawn from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions and are therefore only available for the 27 EU countries plus Iceland and Norway.
  • 6. 4 I n n o c e n t i R e p o r t C a r d 1 0 As may be seen at a glance, the two the child poverty rate is one of the greater likelihood of teenage league tables project two very different most important of all indicators of a pregnancy to the increased probability pictures of child poverty in the world’s society’s health and well-being. For the of drug and alcohol abuse. That there rich nations. What these different here and now, it is a measure of what are many exceptions – many children pictures mean – the relationship is happening to some of society’s most who grow up in economically poor between them and the controversies vulnerable members. For the years to families who do not fall into any of surrounding them – is the subject of come, it is a pointer to the well-being these categories – does not alter the this Report Card. and cohesion of society as a whole. fact that poverty in childhood is closely and consistently associated with Previous reports in this series have measurable disadvantage both for Slipping down the agenda presented the evidence for the close individuals and for the societies in In the wake of statistics following the association between child poverty which they live.i post-2008 economic crises, the child and a long list of individual and social poverty rate has rarely surfaced. risks – from impaired cognitive A commitment to protecting children “In a downturn,” says Sharon Goldfeld, development to increased behavioural from poverty is therefore more than National Director of the Australian difficulties, from poorer physical health a slogan or a routine inclusion in a Early Development Index, “the first to underachievement in school, from political manifesto; it is the hallmark thing that happens is that children drop off lowered skills and aspirations to higher of a civilized society. the policy agenda.” Yet it is arguable that risks of welfare dependency, from the Box 1 Children and recession There are almost no internationally comparable data on The possible impact of the economic downturn on what is happening to child poverty as a result of the efforts to reduce child poverty rates has also recently economic downturn of the last three years. been estimated for the United Kingdom, where the Child Poverty Act of 2010 has set legally binding targets It is nonetheless evident that front-line services for for reducing child poverty. By 2020, the relative child families are everywhere under strain as austerity poverty rate is to be halved to no more than 10%. measures increase the numbers in need while depleting (‘Absolute income poverty‘ – defined as living on the services available. It is also clear that the worst is an income below 60% of the median income for yet to come. Many families, even those on low incomes, the benchmark year 2010 and updated only for inflation have some form of ‘cushion’ – whether in the form of – is to be cut from 20% to 5%.) savings, assets, or help from other family members – by which to maintain spending during difficult times. There But as the Act came into force, the economic crisis is therefore almost always a time lag between the onset was already beginning to threaten social protection of an economic crisis and the full extent of its impact. programmes. Child benefits, for example, have been frozen for three years – meaning that in real terms they will fall in value. Child tax credits and other Commitment programmes designed to protect the poorest children In Ireland, a leader in both the theory and practice of have been cut back. monitoring child poverty, some data are available to estimate the effects on children and families of a What difference are such changes likely to make severe contraction in the national economy. Between to the UK’s long-term efforts to bring down child 2009 and 2010, for example, Ireland’s own child poverty rates? deprivation index showed a rise of almost 7 percentage Reversal points, from 23.5% to 30.2%.1 Over the same period, falling median incomes meant that relative child poverty According to an October 2011 report from the Institute rose by less than one percentage point – again showing for Fiscal Studies (IFS),2 the likeliest prospect is that the the value of using the two different measures progress of recent years will be thrown into reverse. discussed in this report. Although currently thought to be stable, the child poverty rate is predicted to begin rising again in 2013.
  • 7. I n n o c e n t i R e p o r t C a r d 1 0 5 A crisis of monitoring reveal a crisis of monitoring. In both “The discourse on poverty is very confusing,” cases the data they present, although says Jonathan Bradshaw, Professor of In practice, making good on this the latest available, are mostly drawn Social Policy at the University of York commitment is impossible without from surveys conducted in 2009. They and one of the authors of the statistical close monitoring of what is happening are therefore at least two to three years analysis on which this report draws:ii to children’s lives. It is monitoring that old.* This would be bad enough at the “We tend to mix up concepts and measures makes possible evidence-based policy, best of times. But these are not the best and use different words to describe the same political accountability, informed thing and the same words to describe advocacy and the cost-effective use of of times. And it is a significant failing, different things.” iii limited public resources. The on behalf of many governments of availability of timely data is therefore OECD countries, that the available data Many of the questions and confusions in itself an indicator of whether the on children’s lives do not yet reflect the about the measurement of child commitment to protecting children is impact of the economic downturn poverty are encompassed by the two being taken seriously or not. (see Box 1: Children and recession). league tables with which this report begins. It may therefore be helpful to The two league tables, Figures 1a and Underlying weak monitoring is the summarize the principal differences 1b, therefore reveal more than the lack of any robust public or political between them. percentages of children living in consensus on how child poverty different kinds of poverty. They also should be defined and measured. Looking further ahead, levels of ‘relative’ and ‘absolute’ child poverty are expected to reach 24% and 23% Relative child poverty rate, respectively by 2020/21 – compared to the target figures United Kingdom, 1998–2020 of 10% and 5%. This would mean a return to the relative 28 child poverty levels of two decades ago. 26 Such forecasts, says the IFS, are “always highly 24 uncertain.” In particular, they cannot accurately predict Predicted the impact of, and responses to, the tax and benefit 22 changes currently in the pipeline. They are nonetheless 20 the best available independent estimate of “what might happen to poverty under current government policies.” 18 Since these forecasts were made, the commitment to 16 increase child credits by more than the rate of inflation in 14 2012 and 2013 has been abandoned. According to IFS Target calculations, this decision alone is likely to mean that 12 another 100,000 children will fall below the relative 10 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 poverty line. Source: Data from the Institute for Fiscal Studies, London, October 2011. The graph shows the percentage of children living in households below 60% of equivalized median income before housing costs. For illustrative purposes, the 'Target' line assumes linear progress towards the 2020 goal. 1 Central Statistics Office Ireland, Government of Ireland, 2011. 2 Brewer, M., J. Browne and R. Joyce (2011). Child and Working-age Poverty from 2010 to 2020, Institute for Fiscal Studies, London. * EU-SILC 2009: data on income refers to 2008, other data to 2009. Poverty data was released in early 2010.
  • 8. 6 I n n o c e n t i R e p o r t C a r d 1 0 A deprivation index 5. Outdoor leisure equipment Overall, the league table shows that (bicycle, roller-skates, etc.) approximately 85% of the almost Figure 1a, a League Table of Child Deprivation, represents a significant 6. Regular leisure activities 85 million children (aged 1 to 16) in new development in the international (swimming, playing an 29 European countries have at least 13 monitoring of child poverty. For the instrument, participating in youth of the 14 items in the deprivation first time, the European Union Statistics organizations etc.) index and are therefore ‘not deprived’. on Income and Living Conditions, 7. Indoor games (at least one per The second most obvious feature of sampling more than 125,000 child, including educational baby the table is that the highest rates of households in 29 European countries, toys, building blocks, board deprivation are to be found in some has included a section on the lives of games, computer games etc.) of the newest and poorest member children aged 1 to 16. Using this data, countries of the European Union. the UNICEF Innocenti Research 8. Money to participate in school Over 30% are seen to be deprived in Centre has constructed the 14-item trips and events Hungary and Latvia, over 50% in Child Deprivation Index on which 9. A quiet place with enough room Bulgaria and over 70% in Romania. League Table 1a is based. and light to do homework For Central and Eastern European 10. An Internet connection countries, therefore, the league table of The 14 items in the index child deprivation makes grim reading. encompass the ability of 11. Some new clothes (i.e. not all households to afford: second-hand) Among the richest 15 countries, all 1. Three meals a day except France and Italy have child 12. Two pairs of properly fitting deprivation rates below 10%. But 2. At least one meal a day with shoes (including at least one pair clearing a bar that is set so low does meat, chicken or fish (or a of all-weather shoes) not warrant any great applause. In vegetarian equivalent) 13. The opportunity, from time to the world’s wealthiest nations the 3. Fresh fruit and vegetables time, to invite friends home to proportion of children lacking two every day play and eat or more of these basic items should 4. Books suitable for the child’s 14. The opportunity to celebrate be at or close to zero. Yet in practice age and knowledge level special occasions such as birthdays, only Denmark, Finland, Iceland, the (not including schoolbooks) name days, religious events etc. Netherlands, Norway and Sweden have Fig. 2a Percentage of children deprived in countries with Fig. 2b Percentage of children deprived in countries with GDP per capita between $13,000 – $25,000 (PPP) GDP per capita between $25,000 – $36,000 (PPP) 80 30 72.6 27.4 70 25 60 56.6 20 50 % Children deprived % Children deprived 17.2 40 15 13.3 31.8 31.9 30 10.1 10 8.8 8.3 8.1 19.8 20.9 20 19.2 7.0 5.5 12.4 5 10 8.9 2.5 0 0 Portugal ($25,058) Czech Republic ($25,572) Slovenia ($27,556) Greece ($29,303) Cyprus ($30,728) Spain ($32,262) Italy ($32,413) France ($33,349) United Kingdom ($35,145) Finland ($35,254) Bulgaria ($13,764) Romania ($14,216) Latvia ($16,166) Lithuania ($17,059) Poland ($18,925) Estonia ($19,690) Hungary ($20,275) Slovakia ($22,875) Malta ($24,804) (per capita GDP in parentheses) (per capita GDP in parentheses)
  • 9. I n n o c e n t i R e p o r t C a r d 1 0 7 child deprivation rates below 3%. For Relative poverty league behind). All of these countries have Austria, Belgium and Germany, the rate relative child poverty rates below 7%. The second of the two league tables climbs to 8% or more. In France and Another eight countries including two (Figure 1b) paints a very different Italy the rate rises above the 10% mark. of the largest – Germany and France – picture of child poverty in the world’s advanced economies. have rates between 7% and 10%. A third More with less group, including Australia, Canada, It includes six OECD countries that New Zealand and the United Kingdom, Looked at as a whole, the child do not participate in EU-SILC post rates of between 10% and 15%. deprivation table may therefore seem (Australia, Canada, Japan, A further six, including populous Italy to present little more than a blurred New Zealand, Switzerland and the and Spain, show rates of between 15% reflection of each country’s level of per United States), and is based on the and 20%. In only two countries are capita income. But a closer look reveals definition of relative poverty used by more than 20% of children living in that some countries are in fact the OECD. Under this definition, a relative poverty – Romania and the achieving much more – and some child is deemed to be living in relative United States. much less – than their income levels poverty if he or she is growing up in a would predict. Estonia, Hungary and household where disposable income, Overall, the divide between the Poland, for example, have roughly when adjusted for family size and wealthy and not-so-wealthy nations is equivalent per capita incomes but composition, is less than 50% of the much less clear-cut. Hungary, Slovakia widely varying rates of child median disposable household income and Estonia, for example, are seen to deprivation (see Figure 2a). Portugal for the country concerned.* By this have a smaller proportion of children and the Czech Republic both have per standard, more than 15% of the 200 living in relative poverty than the capita incomes of about PPP $25,000, million children in the 35 countries United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, or the but Portugal’s child deprivation level is listed in Figure 1b are seen to be living United States. Clearly, this is not three times higher (see Figure 2b). in relative poverty. because a smaller proportion of their Belgium and Germany have similar children are poor in an absolute sense; per capita incomes to Denmark and The top five positions in the league it is because the incomes of most poor Sweden – but child deprivation rates table are occupied by Iceland, Finland, households in these former centrally- that are about three and seven times Cyprus, the Netherlands and Norway planned economies do not fall as far higher (see Figure 2c). (with Slovenia and Denmark close behind the median level of income for the nation as a whole. Finally, it is worth noting that – despite the very different measures of child poverty employed in these two league tables – seven Fig. 2c Percentage of children deprived in countries with countries are ranked in the top 10 in both GDP per capita between $36,000 – $85,000 (PPP) – Cyprus, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, 10 the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden. 9.1 9 8.8 8.7 Controversy 8 What are we to make of these two very different pictures of child poverty 7 in the world’s richest nations? % Children deprived 6 First, it is important to resist the 4.9 temptation to see the two different 5 4.4 views presented in Figures 1a and 1b 4 as contradictory or mutually exclusive. Both are valid. Both can inform policy. 3 2.6 2.7 And both make it clear that some countries are doing a much better job 1.9 2 than others at protecting their children 1.3 0.9 from poverty. 1 0 Note: Data refer to children aged 1 to 16. Belgium ($36,279) Germany ($36,320) Iceland ($36,733) Sweden ($37,157) Denmark ($37,672) Austria ($38,804) Ireland ($39,643) Netherlands ($40,796) Norway ($55,717) Luxembourg ($84,766) Sources: Calculations based on EU-SILC 2009 for child deprivation and * Most European Union countries draw the relative on World Development poverty line at 60% of national median income. For Indicators (2011) for GDP purposes of international comparison, the OECD (and per capita, PPP (current this Report Card series) uses a relative poverty line (per capita GDP in parentheses) international $). drawn at 50% of median income.
  • 10. 8 I n n o c e n t i R e p o r t C a r d 1 0 The two measures are, however, ‘Real’ poverty This is a mistake. Both are relative profoundly different in concept. It is often argued that relative poverty measures. The most important difference between isn’t ‘real poverty’. Real poverty, it is The deprivation index is based on the them is that the child deprivation table said, means lacking basics - enough kind of possessions, services and uses a fixed measure for all 29 countries food to eat, adequate clothing, a dry opportunities that most people would surveyed; the criterion applied (lacking home, an indoor toilet, hot water, and consider normal for a child growing two or more from the same list of 14 a bed to sleep in. Once you leave such up in a wealthy country today. In items) is exactly the same for Sweden basics behind and start drawing other words, it is relative to both time or the United States as it is for Bulgaria poverty lines based on statistical and place. Twenty years ago, for or Romania. Inevitably, therefore, it notions like median income, it is example, such a list would not have puts the emphasis on the differences argued, you end up with results that included an Internet connection. Go between richer and poorer countries. fail to make intuitive sense and so back a little further in time and The criterion used to measure relative fail to convince either politicians or ‘having at least one meal a day with child poverty, by contrast, changes with public. Can the child poverty rate meat, chicken or fish’ would not have the median income of each country; it really be said to be rising, for example, been regarded as normal. In fact the therefore transfers the emphasis to the at a time when the incomes of the longer the historical view the more poor are also rising? And can there obvious it becomes that poverty is an gap between the bottom and the really be more children in poverty essentially relative concept. Any middle in the living standards of in the United Kingdom or the poverty line intended to represent a children within each country. United States than in Hungary or minimum acceptable standard of living It is because of this difference that the Lithuania (as shown in Figure 1b)? in the industrialized world today poorer countries in Figure 1a tend to Or are these findings just statistical implies higher standards of food, have significantly higher rates of child artefacts produced by a definition of clothing, housing, water supply, deprivation but may or may not have child poverty that is in effect based sanitation, health care, education, higher rates of relative income poverty. on a concern not with poverty but transport and entertainment than were For the same reason, the two different with inequality? available to even the wealthiest measures tend to respond to economic households of previous eras. Such are the arguments that push and policy changes in very different many to reject the relative income The whole idea of defining child ways.iv In periods of sustained measure and to embrace instead the poverty in an absolute sense therefore economic growth, for example, the direct measurement of deprivation. rests on shaky ground. Unless we wish proportion of a nation’s children Does the child have three meals a day? to argue that the threshold should be defined as ‘deprived’ will almost A few books in the home? And a roof set at the minimum income necessary certainly fall as overall incomes rise. that doesn’t leak? Isn’t this a much for sheer physical survival then there The proportion living in relative income more intuitive measure, and one that can in fact be no such thing as an poverty, on the other hand, may either is more capable of winning public absolute poverty line. rise or fall depending upon whether understanding and support? their household incomes grow by more The real debate, therefore, is not or less than the median income for the Direct measures of outcomes like whether poverty lines should be nation concerned. To take a famous deprivation do have advantages over absolute or relative, but how and how example, a decade of sustained indirect or ‘input’ measures such as often they should be updated to reflect household income (see Box 2: The changes in the living standards of economic growth in the Ireland of the problem with incomes). But the trouble society as a whole. If the decision is 1990s more than doubled the nation’s with the argument that deprivation taken, for example, to draw an median income, but the proportion of measures ‘real poverty’, whereas relative ‘absolute’ poverty line at some fixed children living in relative poverty also income does not, is that the intuitively point and to update it only for rose because the incomes of households appealing idea on which it rests is that inflation, then this means that a relative below the poverty line rose more poverty should be measured in an poverty line is being anchored to an slowly than the median income for the absolute rather than a relative sense. arbitrary point in time. As the years country as a whole. And from here it is but a short step to pass and incomes rise, such a poverty Such examples bring us to the heart the belief that the deprivation index line is likely to fall further and further of one of the principal controversies presented in Figure 1a is an absolute behind the norm for the society and surrounding the measurement of measure whereas the median income to become less and less useful. This is child poverty. method used for Figure 1b is ‘only’ a essentially what has happened over the relative measure.
  • 11. I n n o c e n t i R e p o r t C a r d 1 0 9 Box 2 The problem with incomes Relative child poverty rates are usually estimated by σσ Income measures cannot reflect the fluctuations in assuming that household income is a reasonable guide income experienced by many households (for example to the material resources available to the child. But this as a result of overtime, bonuses, working shorter assumption is beset by problems.1 hours, becoming unemployed, or taking retirement). σσ Calculating a poverty rate from household income Among the concerns: data requires that some method be used to convert σσ Data on incomes may not be reliable, especially if household income into equivalent individual incomes derived from surveys, or if a significant proportion of (see Box 3: Do children have incomes?). To achieve the working population is self-employed or employed this, an ‘equivalence scale’ must be used. But such in informal work. Under-reporting of earnings varies scales are not based on any scientific understanding from country to country, and tends to be greater of the different patterns of need in households of towards the bottom end of the income scale. different size. σσ Most countries measure household incomes before σσ Household income measures cannot reflect the fact housing costs. In practice, a family’s capacity to that some families may be much more competent meet children’s needs is more likely to be dependent than others in managing income or in prioritizing on income after housing costs (which can vary spending (for example by putting children’s needs significantly within as well as between countries). first). The child of a high-income household, for σσ Income does not always reflect the real level of example, will not be counted as poor even if most of resources available. A family’s economic capacity, its the income is spent on drugs, gambling or alcohol; security and spending power, are based not only on conversely a child in a low-income household will be household income at a single point in time but also counted as poor even if the parents make enormous on savings and debts, on home ownership and house sacrifices to ensure that the child has the same values, on previous earnings and future expectations, advantages and opportunities as his or her peers. on the help that may be available from other family Some or all of these problems combine to introduce members, and perhaps on the value of home- doubts about household incomes as a measure of the produced goods such as food and clothes. real resources available to the child. And they help to σσ When used to compare child poverty in different explain why surveys have sometimes found that countries, income measures cannot take into account measures of household spending do not correspond to the fact that services such as health care and child measures of household incomes. At any given level of care may be subsidised or free in some countries but household income, for example, material living not in others. This may make a substantial difference standards tend to vary substantially according to to real ‘disposable household income’. whether they are assessed by incomes or by expenditures.2 In most advanced economies, household σσ Similarly, whether or not education, and particularly incomes are easier to monitor than expenditures. But pre-school education, is free or subsidised may make expenditure measures would in most cases provide a a substantial difference to disposable incomes. In more reliable guide to the real level of resources most advanced economies, primary and secondary available to the household. education is usually available free of charge. But early childhood education is subsidised to different degrees in different countries. The same is true of tertiary or college education, which may mean that parents in some countries must try to put aside 1 ee for example, Fusco, A., A-C. Guio and E. Marlier (2010). S significant sums even when their children are still ’Income Poverty and Deprivation in European Countries’, Eurostat Methodologies and Working Papers, European Commission, Luxembourg. young. Both of these factors affect real disposable 2 radshaw, J. and N. Finch (2003). ‘Overlaps in Dimensions of Poverty’. B incomes to different degrees in different countries. Journal of Social Policy, 32 (4): 513-525.