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Climate Change Expert Group www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm
(Intended) nationally
determined contributions
Olai Uludong and Pete Betts
2 Climate Change Expert Group
“Strategic review” of mitigation
contributions
3 Climate Change Expert Group
General
 Strategic review shaped by understanding of NDCs, target
setting process
 Would encompass both individual and aggregate
contributions – not clear where emphasis should be
 Expectations and peer pressure can be drivers for
ambition
 Consider how the process could usefully impact national
policies…
 …and how it might impact long-term private investment
decisions
 Would require better data
 Distinct from/not a substitute for legal form
4 Climate Change Expert Group
Areas of convergence
 Strategic review/ambition assessment could be important
part of political signal in Paris, given mitigation gap
 Strategic review takes place within the context of a
dynamic cycle of contributions
 The ultimate aim of the process is to enhance ambition
 Nationally-determined contributions can be compatible
with a multilateral process
 Need to consider existing and past review processes, and
how to build on these
 Outcome of strategic review process unlikely to be
prescriptive
5 Climate Change Expert Group
Areas of divergence
 Scope of the review: mitigation only?
 Timing of the review: midway through implementation
(impacting existing contributions), end of implementation
period (impacting future contributions)
o Whether ex ante or ex post review process most
effective
 Basis of the review: NDCs, or some other type of
contribution/commitment in the future
 Process: focus on better identifying gaps and actions
(clarification)? have recommendations delivered by
Convention body?
 Striking right balance between forward- and backward-
looking elements
6 Climate Change Expert Group
Use of transferred mitigation in
(I)NDCs
7 Climate Change Expert Group
General
 Markets play an important role, including in engaging the
private sector
 Clear signal needed for markets to be up-and-running for
2020; this requires actions in the very short term
 Some contribution types can make it difficult to robustly
account for international transfers
 INDCs can provide a strong political signal on markets, e.g.
Switzerland
 No provision for markets could be a concern: limits
confidence regarding double counting and environmental
integrity
 Important to have a provision or placeholder in agreement
enabling use of markets, with details to be determined later

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CCXG Global Forum March 2015 - Breakout group 1- Summary Slide

  • 1. Climate Change Expert Group www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm (Intended) nationally determined contributions Olai Uludong and Pete Betts
  • 2. 2 Climate Change Expert Group “Strategic review” of mitigation contributions
  • 3. 3 Climate Change Expert Group General  Strategic review shaped by understanding of NDCs, target setting process  Would encompass both individual and aggregate contributions – not clear where emphasis should be  Expectations and peer pressure can be drivers for ambition  Consider how the process could usefully impact national policies…  …and how it might impact long-term private investment decisions  Would require better data  Distinct from/not a substitute for legal form
  • 4. 4 Climate Change Expert Group Areas of convergence  Strategic review/ambition assessment could be important part of political signal in Paris, given mitigation gap  Strategic review takes place within the context of a dynamic cycle of contributions  The ultimate aim of the process is to enhance ambition  Nationally-determined contributions can be compatible with a multilateral process  Need to consider existing and past review processes, and how to build on these  Outcome of strategic review process unlikely to be prescriptive
  • 5. 5 Climate Change Expert Group Areas of divergence  Scope of the review: mitigation only?  Timing of the review: midway through implementation (impacting existing contributions), end of implementation period (impacting future contributions) o Whether ex ante or ex post review process most effective  Basis of the review: NDCs, or some other type of contribution/commitment in the future  Process: focus on better identifying gaps and actions (clarification)? have recommendations delivered by Convention body?  Striking right balance between forward- and backward- looking elements
  • 6. 6 Climate Change Expert Group Use of transferred mitigation in (I)NDCs
  • 7. 7 Climate Change Expert Group General  Markets play an important role, including in engaging the private sector  Clear signal needed for markets to be up-and-running for 2020; this requires actions in the very short term  Some contribution types can make it difficult to robustly account for international transfers  INDCs can provide a strong political signal on markets, e.g. Switzerland  No provision for markets could be a concern: limits confidence regarding double counting and environmental integrity  Important to have a provision or placeholder in agreement enabling use of markets, with details to be determined later