Exploring the snake evolution (wild's gravity).pdf
CCXG Global Forum March 2015 - Breakout group 1- Summary Slide
1. Climate Change Expert Group www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm
(Intended) nationally
determined contributions
Olai Uludong and Pete Betts
2. 2 Climate Change Expert Group
“Strategic review” of mitigation
contributions
3. 3 Climate Change Expert Group
General
Strategic review shaped by understanding of NDCs, target
setting process
Would encompass both individual and aggregate
contributions – not clear where emphasis should be
Expectations and peer pressure can be drivers for
ambition
Consider how the process could usefully impact national
policies…
…and how it might impact long-term private investment
decisions
Would require better data
Distinct from/not a substitute for legal form
4. 4 Climate Change Expert Group
Areas of convergence
Strategic review/ambition assessment could be important
part of political signal in Paris, given mitigation gap
Strategic review takes place within the context of a
dynamic cycle of contributions
The ultimate aim of the process is to enhance ambition
Nationally-determined contributions can be compatible
with a multilateral process
Need to consider existing and past review processes, and
how to build on these
Outcome of strategic review process unlikely to be
prescriptive
5. 5 Climate Change Expert Group
Areas of divergence
Scope of the review: mitigation only?
Timing of the review: midway through implementation
(impacting existing contributions), end of implementation
period (impacting future contributions)
o Whether ex ante or ex post review process most
effective
Basis of the review: NDCs, or some other type of
contribution/commitment in the future
Process: focus on better identifying gaps and actions
(clarification)? have recommendations delivered by
Convention body?
Striking right balance between forward- and backward-
looking elements
6. 6 Climate Change Expert Group
Use of transferred mitigation in
(I)NDCs
7. 7 Climate Change Expert Group
General
Markets play an important role, including in engaging the
private sector
Clear signal needed for markets to be up-and-running for
2020; this requires actions in the very short term
Some contribution types can make it difficult to robustly
account for international transfers
INDCs can provide a strong political signal on markets, e.g.
Switzerland
No provision for markets could be a concern: limits
confidence regarding double counting and environmental
integrity
Important to have a provision or placeholder in agreement
enabling use of markets, with details to be determined later