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Programme for International Student Assessment
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Strong performers and successful reformers

Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                      Strong performers and
                                                      successful reformers
                                                                Lessons from PISA
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                                         Andreas Schleicher
                                                        Special advisor to the Secretary-General on Education Policy
                                                             Head of the Indicators and Analysis Division, EDU
2
            2
                                                                                   PISA 2009 in brief
                                                                      PISA countries in 2001
                                                                                        2003
                                                                                        2000
                                                                                        2009
                                                                                        2006
                                                                                        1998
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                         Over half a million of world economy 83%
                                                                 Coverage students…            87%
                                                                                               86%
                                                                                               85%
                                                                                               81%
                                                                                               77%
                                                             representing 28 million 15-year-olds in 74* countries/economies
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                      … took an internationally agreed 2-hour test…
Andreas Schleicher




                                                           Goes beyond testing whether students can
                                                            reproduce what they were taught…
                                                          … to assess students’ capacity to extrapolate from what they
                                                            know and creatively apply their knowledge in novel situations
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                      … and responded to questions on…
                                                             their personal background, their schools
                                                              and their engagement with learning and school
                                                         Parents, principals and system leaders provided data on…
                                                             school policies, practices, resources and institutional factors
                                                              that help explain performance differences .
                                                          *   Data for Costa Rica, Georgia, India, Malaysia, Malta, Mauritius, Venezuela and Vietnam will be published in December 2011
3
            3                                                                                                             How the demand for skills has changed
Strong performers and successful reformers



                                                                                                                Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US)
                                                      Mean task input as percentiles of the 1960 task distribution




                                                                                                                     65
                                                                                                                                                                           Routine manual
Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                                                                                     60
                                                                                                                                                                           Nonroutine manual

                                                                                                                     55
                                                                                                                                                                           Routine cognitive
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                                                                                     50
                                                                                                                                                                           Nonroutine analytic
                                                                                                                     45
                                                                                                                                                                           Nonroutine interactive
                                                                                                                     40

                                                                                                                      1960        1970        1980 The dilemma of 2002
                                                                                                                                                         1990        schools:
                                                                                                                                                   The skills that are easiest to teach and
                                                                                                                                                   test are also the ones that are easiest to
                                                                                                                           (Levy and Murnane)
                                                                                                                                                   digitise, automate and outsource
PISA        Strong performers and successful reformers
                                   Andreas Schleicher
            OECD Programme for
International Student Assessment   Lisbon, 28 March 2011                   5
                                                                           5




                                   What 15-year-olds can do
Shanghai-China
                                                                             High reading performance
            6
            6                                                                                               Average performance
                                                                                                            of 15-year-olds in
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                                                                Korea
                                                                                               540.000

                                                                                                Finland     reading – extrapolate
                                                                                                Hong Kong-China
                                                                                                            and apply
                                                                              Singapore
                                                                                                Canada
                                                                            New Zealand        520.000
                                                                                 Japan
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                                               Australia
Andreas Schleicher




                                                                                 Belgium        Netherlands
                                                                    Poland, Switzerland         Norway , Estonia
                                                                           United States        Iceland
                                                                                               500.000
                                                                        Germany, Sweden          Liechtenstein
                                                                         France, Ireland        Chinese Taipei
                                                                 Hungary, United Kingdom        Denmark
                                                                                                Portugal
                                                                             Macao-China        Italy
                                                                                                Latvia
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                                                 Slovenia       Greece
                                                                                                Spain
                                                                                               480.000
                                                           Slovak Republic, Czech Republic      Croatia
                                                                      Luxembourg, Israel
                                                                                  Austria       Lithuania
                                                                                                Turkey
                                                                                               460.000
                                                                                 Dubai (UAE)    Russian Federation


                                                                                                Chile

                                                                                                 Serbia
                                                                                               440.000
                                                      55                    45                           35                 25
                                                                                               … 17 countries perform below this line
                                                                                 Low reading performance
High reading performance
            7
            7                                                                                              Average performance
                                                                                                       Highof 15-year-olds in
Strong performers and successful reformers



                                                            High average performance                        average performance
                                                          Large socio-economic disparities
                                                                                                           science – extrapolate
                                                                                                           High social equity
                                                                                                           and apply
Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                          Strong socio-                                                 Socially equitable
                                                       economic impact on                                            distribution of learning
                                                      student performance                                                 opportunities
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                             Low average performance                   Low average performance
                                                          Large socio-economic disparities                    High social equity

                                                                                   Low reading performance
Australia                           High reading performance
            8
            8      Belgium
                            2009                               2009
                   Canada                                                  Durchschnittliche
Strong performers and successful reformers



                                 High average performance                   High average performance
                   Chile
                   Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities
                                                                           Schülerleistungen im
                                                                                High social equity
                   Denmark                                                 Bereich Mathematik
                   Finland
                   Germany
                   Greece
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                   Hungary
Andreas Schleicher




                   Iceland
                   Ireland
                   Israel
                             Strong socio-                                                Socially equitable
                   Italy
                          economic impact on                                           distribution of learning
                   Japan
                         student performance                                                opportunities
                   Korea
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                   Luxembourg
                   Mexico
                   Netherlands
                   New Zealand
                   Norway
                   Poland
                   Portugal
                   Spain
                                 Low average performance                    Low average performance
                   Sweden
                   SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities                  High social equity
                   UK                55               45                35               25                  15
                   US                                  Low reading performance
Australia                           High reading performance
            9
            9      Belgium                                     2009
                   Canada                                                  Durchschnittliche
Strong performers and successful reformers



                                 High average performance                   High average performance
                   Chile
                   Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities
                                                                           Schülerleistungen im
                                                                                High social equity
                   Denmark                                                 Bereich Mathematik
                   Finland
                   Germany
                   Greece
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                   Hungary
Andreas Schleicher




                   Iceland
                   Ireland
                   Israel
                             Strong socio-                                                Socially equitable
                   Italy
                          economic impact on                                           distribution of learning
                   Japan
                         student performance                                                opportunities
                   Korea
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                   Luxembourg
                   Mexico
                   Netherlands
                   New Zealand
                   Norway
                   Poland
                   Portugal
                   Spain
                                 Low average performance                    Low average performance
                   Sweden
                   SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities                  High social equity
                   UK
                   US                                  Low reading performance
Australia                           High reading performance
 10
 10                Belgium                                     2000
                   Canada                                                  Durchschnittliche
Strong performers and successful reformers



                                 High average performance                   High average performance
                   Chile
                   Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities
                                                                           Schülerleistungen im
                                                                                High social equity
                   Denmark                                                 Bereich Mathematik
                   Finland
                   Germany
                   Greece
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                   Hungary
Andreas Schleicher




                   Iceland
                   Ireland
                   Israel
                             Strong socio-                                                Socially equitable
                   Italy
                          economic impact on                                           distribution of learning
                   Japan
                         student performance                                                opportunities
                   Korea
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                   Luxembourg
                   Mexico
                   Netherlands
                   New Zealand
                   Norway
                   Poland
                   Portugal
                   Spain
                                 Low average performance                    Low average performance
                   Sweden
                   SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities                  High social equity
                   UK
                   US                                  Low reading performance
Australia                           High reading performance
  11
  11               Belgium                                     2000
                   Canada                                                  Durchschnittliche
Strong performers and successful reformers



                                 High average performance                   High average performance
                   Chile
                   Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities
                                                                           Schülerleistungen im
                                                                                High social equity
                   Denmark                                                 Bereich Mathematik
                   Finland
                   Germany
                   Greece
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                   Hungary
Andreas Schleicher




                   Iceland
                   Ireland
                   Israel
                             Strong socio-                                                Socially equitable
                   Italy
                          economic impact on                                           distribution of learning
                   Japan
                         student performance                                                opportunities
                   Korea
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                   Luxembourg
                   Mexico
                   Netherlands
                   New Zealand
                   Norway
                   Poland
                   Portugal
                   Spain
                                 Low average performance                    Low average performance
                   Sweden
                   SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities                  High social equity
                   UK
                   US                                  Low reading performance
PISA        Strong performers and successful reformers
            OECD Programme for     Andreas Schleicher
International Student Assessment   Lisbon, 28 March 2011                   12
                                                                           12




                                   Quality differences between schools
School performance and socio-economic background
 13
 13
                                                                                                     Portugal
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                                            Score

                                                                                                                               Private school
                                                                                                                               Public school in rural area
                                                                                                                               Public school in urban area
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                                            700
Andreas Schleicher




                                                                             593
                                                      Student performance
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                                             300
                                                                                    -2        -1             0             1                    2

                                                        Disadvantage                     PISA Index of socio-economic background         Advantage
PISA                      Strong performers and successful reformers
                               OECD Programme for                                    Andreas Schleicher

                                                                                                                                                   %




                        0
                                      10
                                                           20
                                                                               30
                                                                                        40
                                                                                                50
                                                                                                       60
                                                                                                                            70
                                                                                                                                                   80
                   International Student Assessment                                  Lisbon, 28 March 2011                                                         14
                                                                                                                                                                   14
     Shanghai-China
   Hong Kong-China
                 Korea
        Macao-China
           Singapore
               Finland
                 Japan
                Turkey
              Canada
              Portugal
      Chinese Taipei
                Poland
        New Zealand
                  Spain




                                students among
        Liechtenstein
               Estonia
         Netherlands




                            disadvantaged students
                            More than 30% resilient
                    Italy
          Switzerland
                 Latvia
             Australia
      OECD average
                France
              Belgium
                Ireland
               Iceland
               Mexico
       United States
               Greece
             Thailand
               Croatia
               Tunisia
               Norway
              Hungary
                                                                                                                       social background)




              Sweden
             Slovenia
            Indonesia
             Denmark
                   Chile
     United Kingdom
                                   students among




                  Israel
            Colombia
                                                                                                           Resilient student: Comes from the bottom
                                                                                                           quarter of the socially most disadvantaged




             Germany
                                                                                                         students internationally (after accounting for




                               disadvantaged students




                  Brazil
                                                                                                        students but performs among the top quarter of




     Czech Republic
     Slovak Republic
                            Between 15%-30% of resilient




         Luxembourg
             Lithuania
                                                                                                                                                                 disadvantaged students




                Austria
 Russian Federation
Trinidad and Tobago
              Uruguay
                 Serbia
                Jordan
               Albania
            Argentina
         Dubai (UAE)
             Romania
                                                                                                                                                          Percentage of resilient students among




              Bulgaria
              Panama
         Montenegro
          Kazakhstan
                                                               students among




                   Peru
           Azerbaijan
                                                           Less than 15% resilient




                  Qatar
                                                           disadvantaged students




          Kyrgyzstan
PISA        Strong performers and successful reformers
            OECD Programme for     Andreas Schleicher
International Student Assessment   Lisbon, 28 March 2011                   16
                                                                           16



                                Student engagement
                               with learning and school
17
 17                                                     Students' views of their teacher-
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                               student relations
                                                                                  OECD average       Portugal
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                            I get along well with most of my
Andreas Schleicher




                                                                        teachers.


                                                      Most of my teachers are interested in
                                                                 my well-being.
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                        Most of my teachers really listen to
                                                                what I have to say.


                                                       If I need extra help, I will receive it
                                                                from my teachers.



                                                                                                 0              50   100
18
    18                                                                                   Policy
                                                                    Policies and practices
                                                                                                     R
                                                                                                         System
                                                                                                                  R
                                                                                                                      School
                                                                                                                               E
                                                                                                                                   Equity
What students know and can do



                                                                    Learning climate

                                                                            Discipline                                
                                                                            Teacher behaviour                         
                                Andreas Schleicher
                                7 December 2010




                                                                            Parental pressure                         
                                                                            Teacher-student
                                                                            relationships                             
                                                                    Dealing with heterogeneity
PISA
                                 International Student Assessment
                                             OECD Programme for




                                                                            Grade repetition                                     
                                                                            Prevalence of tracking                                 
                                                                            Expulsions                                           
                                                                            Ability grouping
                                                                            (all subjects)
                                                                                                                                 
                                                                    Standards /accountability

                                                                            Nat. examination             
PISA        Strong performers and successful reformers
            OECD Programme for     Andreas Schleicher
International Student Assessment   Lisbon, 28 March 2011                   19
                                                                           19




                                   Does it all matter?
20                                                      Increased likelihood of postsec. particip. at age 19/21
 20
                                                      associated with PISA reading proficiency at age 15 (Canada)
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                      after accounting for school engagement, gender, mother tongue,
                                                         place of residence, parental, education and family income
                                                                       (reference group PISA Level 1)
                                                      Odds ratio
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                      higher
Andreas Schleicher




                                                      education
                                                      20
                                                      entry
                                                       18
                                                       16
                                                       14
                                                       12
                                                       10
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                        8
                                                         6
                                                         4
                                                         2
                                                         0
                                                       Age 19

                                                             Age 21

                                                                      Age 21
                                                                                                             Level 5
                                                                                                   Level 4
                                                                                         Level 3
                                                                               Level 2
PISA        Strong performers and successful reformers
            OECD Programme for     Andreas Schleicher
International Student Assessment   Lisbon, 28 March 2011                   21
                                                                           21




                                   What does it all mean?
22
 22                                                      A commitment to education and the belief
                                                          that competencies can be learned and
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                          therefore all children can achieve
                                                           Universal educational standards and
                                                            personalisation as the approach to
                                                            heterogeneity in the student body…
Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                          … as opposed to a belief that students have
                                                            different destinations to be met with different
                                                                 Lessons from PISA
                                                            expectations, and selection/stratification as
                                                                      on successful
                                                            the approach to heterogeneity
                                                            Clear articulation who is responsible for
                                                                  education systems
                                                          
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                            ensuring student success and to whom
25
 25
                                                         Clear ambitious goals that are shared across
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                          the system and aligned with high stakes
                                                          gateways and instructional systems
                                                           Well established delivery chain through which
                                                            curricular goals translate into instructional
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                            systems, instructional practices and student
Andreas Schleicher




                                                            learning (intended, implemented and achieved)
                                                          Lessons of metacognitive content of
                                                           High level from PISA
                                                            instruction
                                                                on successful
                                                              education systems
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for
26
 26
Strong performers and successful reformers

Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                         Capacity at the point of delivery
Andreas Schleicher




                                                            Attracting, developing and retaining high quality
                                                          Lessons from PISAand a work
                                                             teachers and school leaders
                                                             organisation in which they can use their
                                                               on successful
                                                             potential
                                                            education leadership and human resource
                                                             Instructional systems
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                          

                                                             management in schools
                                                            Keeping teaching an attractive profession
                                                            System-wide career development
27
 27                                                                            School principals’ reports
                                                                         of their involvement in school matters
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                          Index of schools principal’s leadership based on school principals’ report (part 1/2)
                                                                                            OECD average           Portugal

                                                          Professional development activities of teachers in
                                                          accordance with the teaching goals of the school
Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                      I ensure that teachers work according to the school’s
                                                                                          educational goals


                                                                        I observe instruction in classrooms


                                                          I use student performance results to develop the
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                                                 school’s educational goals

                                                            I give teachers suggestions as to how they can
                                                                                     improve their teaching


                                                                                   I monitor students’ work
                                                                                                                                                  %
                                                      When a teacher has problems in his/her classroom, I
                                                                    take the initiative to discuss matters


                                                                                                               0    25        50   75         100
29
 29
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                         Incentives, accountability, knowledge management
                                                             Aligned incentive structures
                                                               For students
                                                                   How gateways affect the strength, direction, clarity and nature of
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                               

                                                                   the incentives operating on students at each stage of their education
Andreas Schleicher




                                                                  Degree to which students have incentives to take tough courses and
                                                                   study hard
                                                                       Lessons from PISA
                                                                   Opportunity costs for staying in school and performing well
                                                               For teacherson successful
                                                                 Make innovations in pedagogy and/or organisation
                                                                 Improveeducation systems
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                               

                                                                        their own performance
                                                                   and the performance of their colleagues
                                                                  Pursue professional development opportunities
                                                                   that lead to stronger pedagogical practices
                                                             A balance between vertical and lateral accountability
                                                             Effective instruments to manage and share knowledge and
                                                              spread innovation – communication within the system and
                                                              with stakeholders around it
                                                             A capable centre with authority and legitimacy to act
30
 30                                                     How much autonomy individual schools have
                                                             over curricula and assessment
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                        Establishing student assessment
                                                                 policies, OECD average
                                                                                                                              Only "regional
                                                                               Portugal
                                                                                                                              and/or national
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                                                                                              education
Andreas Schleicher




                                                                                                                              authority"
                                                          Choosing which textbooks are
                                                                   used, OECD average

                                                                               Portugal
                                                                                                                              Both "principals
                                                                                                                              and/or teachers"
                                                                                                                              and "regional
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                      Determining course content, OECD
                                                                                                                              and/or national
                                                                                average
                                                                                                                              education
                                                                               Portugal                                       authority"

                                                                                                                              Only "principals
                                                                                                                              and/or teachers"
                                                             Deciding which courses are
                                                                offered, OECD average

                                                                               Portugal


                                                                                          0%   20%   40%   60%   80%   100%
School autonomy, accountability
 32
 32                                                                         and student performance
Strong performers and successful reformers



                                                      Impact of school autonomy on performance in systems with and without
                                                                                 accountability arrangements
                                                      PISA score in reading
                                                      500
Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                                                               495


                                                       490
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                                                                                 School autonomy in resource
                                                                                                                          allocation

                                                                                                                Schools with more autonomy

                                                       480
                                                                                                           Schools with less autonomy

                                                               Systems with more
                                                                 accountability      Systems with less
                                                                                       accountability
                                                                    System’s accountability arrangements
33
 33
                                                             Local responsibility
                                                        and system-level prescription
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                                    Trend in OECD countries
Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                        System-level prescription
                                                        ‘Tayloristic’ work organisation
                                                      Schools today         Schools          Finland today
                                                       The industrial      tomorrow?         Every school an
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                      model, detailed    Building capacity   effective school
                                                      prescription of
                                                      what schools do


                                                                                   Schools leading reform
                                                                           Teachers as ‘knowledge workers’
34
 34
Strong performers and successful reformers
                                                                  Public and private schools
                                                      Government schools      Observed performance difference
                                                      Government dependent private
                                                                                           Difference after accounting for socio-economic
                                                      Government independent private       background of students and schools
                                                       0    20     40    60    80     -150
                                                                                     100        -100      -50        0         50       100
                                                      %
                                                                                                                  Score point difference
                 Australia
                   Austria
                   Canada
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                       Chile
          Czech Republic
Andreas Schleicher




                 Denmark
                   Estonia
                   Finland
                 Germany
                   Greece
                  Hungary
                   Iceland
                    Ireland
                      Israel
                        Italy
                     Japan                                                                  Private schools
                     Korea
                                                                                            perform better
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




             Luxembourg
                   Mexico
             Netherlands
             New Zealand
                   Norway                                                                                                  Public schools
                   Poland                                                                                                  perform better
                  Portugal
         Slovak Republic
                 Slovenia
                      Spain
                  Sweden
              Switzerland
                    Turkey
         United Kingdom
            United States
                Argentina
                      Brazil
        Hong Kong-China
                Indonesia
                   Jordan
       Russian Federation
          Shanghai-China
               Singapore
           Chinese Taipei
35
 35
Strong performers and successful reformers

Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                                         Lessons from PISA
                                                                            on successful
                                                                         education systems
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                         Investing resources where they can make
                                                          most of a difference
                                                             Alignment of resources with key challenges (e.g.
                                                              attracting the most talented teachers to the
                                                              most challenging classrooms)
                                                             Effective spending choices that prioritise high
                                                              quality teachers over smaller classes
36
 36
Strong performers and successful reformers

Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                          A learning system
                                                      
                                                                             Lessons from PISA
                                                          An outward orientation of the system to keep
                                                          the system learning, international benchmarks
                                                          as the ‘eyes’ and ‘ears’ onthe system
                                                                                   of successful

                                                                              education systems
                                                          Recognising challenges and potential future
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                      

                                                          threats to current success, learning from them,
                                                          designing responses and implementing these
37 Coherence of policies and practices
 37
  
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                         Alignment of policies
                                                          across all aspects of the system
                                                         Coherence of policies
                                                          over sustained periods of time
Lisbon, 28 March 2011




                                                          Consistency of implementation
Andreas Schleicher




                                                      

                                                         Fidelity of implementation
                                                          (without excessive control) from
                                                                           Lessons   PISA
                                                                          on successful
                                                                        education systems
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for
39
 39                                                                 Education reform trajectories
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                      The old bureaucratic system                Student inclusion   The modern enabling system
                                                      Some students learn at high levels                      All students need to learn at high levels
Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                                                     Curriculum, instruction and assessment

                                                      Routine cognitive skills, rote learning                         Learning to learn, complex ways of
                                                                                                                               thinking, ways of working


                                                                                                 Teacher quality
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                      Few years more than secondary                       High-level professional knowledge workers


                                                                                                Work organisation

                                                      ‘Tayloristic’, hierarchical                                                          Flat, collegial


                                                                                                 Accountability

                                                      Primarily to authorities                                       Primarily to peers and stakeholders
44
 44
Strong performers and successful reformers




                                                      Find out more about PISA at…
                                                       OECD www.pisa.oecd.org

                                                           – All national and international publications
Lisbon, 28 March 2011
Andreas Schleicher




                                                           – The complete micro-level database
                                                          U.S. White House www.data.gov
                                                                   Thank you !
                                                      




                                                          Email: Andreas.Schleicher@OECD.org
PISA
                   International Student Assessment
                               OECD Programme for




                                                      




                                                      … and remember:
                                                          Without data, you are just another person with an opinion

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Education in Portugal

  • 1. Programme for International Student Assessment 1 1 Strong performers and successful reformers Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher Strong performers and successful reformers Lessons from PISA PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher Special advisor to the Secretary-General on Education Policy Head of the Indicators and Analysis Division, EDU
  • 2. 2 2 PISA 2009 in brief PISA countries in 2001 2003 2000 2009 2006 1998 Strong performers and successful reformers  Over half a million of world economy 83% Coverage students… 87% 86% 85% 81% 77%  representing 28 million 15-year-olds in 74* countries/economies Lisbon, 28 March 2011 … took an internationally agreed 2-hour test… Andreas Schleicher  Goes beyond testing whether students can reproduce what they were taught… … to assess students’ capacity to extrapolate from what they know and creatively apply their knowledge in novel situations PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for … and responded to questions on…  their personal background, their schools and their engagement with learning and school  Parents, principals and system leaders provided data on…  school policies, practices, resources and institutional factors that help explain performance differences . * Data for Costa Rica, Georgia, India, Malaysia, Malta, Mauritius, Venezuela and Vietnam will be published in December 2011
  • 3. 3 3 How the demand for skills has changed Strong performers and successful reformers Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US) Mean task input as percentiles of the 1960 task distribution 65 Routine manual Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher 60 Nonroutine manual 55 Routine cognitive PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for 50 Nonroutine analytic 45 Nonroutine interactive 40 1960 1970 1980 The dilemma of 2002 1990 schools: The skills that are easiest to teach and test are also the ones that are easiest to (Levy and Murnane) digitise, automate and outsource
  • 4. PISA Strong performers and successful reformers Andreas Schleicher OECD Programme for International Student Assessment Lisbon, 28 March 2011 5 5 What 15-year-olds can do
  • 5. Shanghai-China High reading performance 6 6 Average performance of 15-year-olds in Strong performers and successful reformers Korea 540.000 Finland reading – extrapolate Hong Kong-China and apply Singapore Canada New Zealand 520.000 Japan Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Australia Andreas Schleicher Belgium Netherlands Poland, Switzerland Norway , Estonia United States Iceland 500.000 Germany, Sweden Liechtenstein France, Ireland Chinese Taipei Hungary, United Kingdom Denmark Portugal Macao-China Italy Latvia PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Slovenia Greece Spain 480.000 Slovak Republic, Czech Republic Croatia Luxembourg, Israel Austria Lithuania Turkey 460.000 Dubai (UAE) Russian Federation Chile Serbia 440.000 55 45 35 25 … 17 countries perform below this line Low reading performance
  • 6. High reading performance 7 7 Average performance Highof 15-year-olds in Strong performers and successful reformers High average performance average performance Large socio-economic disparities science – extrapolate High social equity and apply Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher Strong socio- Socially equitable economic impact on distribution of learning student performance opportunities PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Low average performance Low average performance Large socio-economic disparities High social equity Low reading performance
  • 7. Australia High reading performance 8 8 Belgium 2009 2009 Canada Durchschnittliche Strong performers and successful reformers High average performance High average performance Chile Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities Schülerleistungen im High social equity Denmark Bereich Mathematik Finland Germany Greece Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Hungary Andreas Schleicher Iceland Ireland Israel Strong socio- Socially equitable Italy economic impact on distribution of learning Japan student performance opportunities Korea PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Spain Low average performance Low average performance Sweden SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities High social equity UK 55 45 35 25 15 US Low reading performance
  • 8. Australia High reading performance 9 9 Belgium 2009 Canada Durchschnittliche Strong performers and successful reformers High average performance High average performance Chile Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities Schülerleistungen im High social equity Denmark Bereich Mathematik Finland Germany Greece Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Hungary Andreas Schleicher Iceland Ireland Israel Strong socio- Socially equitable Italy economic impact on distribution of learning Japan student performance opportunities Korea PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Spain Low average performance Low average performance Sweden SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities High social equity UK US Low reading performance
  • 9. Australia High reading performance 10 10 Belgium 2000 Canada Durchschnittliche Strong performers and successful reformers High average performance High average performance Chile Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities Schülerleistungen im High social equity Denmark Bereich Mathematik Finland Germany Greece Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Hungary Andreas Schleicher Iceland Ireland Israel Strong socio- Socially equitable Italy economic impact on distribution of learning Japan student performance opportunities Korea PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Spain Low average performance Low average performance Sweden SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities High social equity UK US Low reading performance
  • 10. Australia High reading performance 11 11 Belgium 2000 Canada Durchschnittliche Strong performers and successful reformers High average performance High average performance Chile Czech Rep Large socio-economic disparities Schülerleistungen im High social equity Denmark Bereich Mathematik Finland Germany Greece Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Hungary Andreas Schleicher Iceland Ireland Israel Strong socio- Socially equitable Italy economic impact on distribution of learning Japan student performance opportunities Korea PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Spain Low average performance Low average performance Sweden SwitzerlandLarge socio-economic disparities High social equity UK US Low reading performance
  • 11. PISA Strong performers and successful reformers OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher International Student Assessment Lisbon, 28 March 2011 12 12 Quality differences between schools
  • 12. School performance and socio-economic background 13 13 Portugal Strong performers and successful reformers Score Private school Public school in rural area Public school in urban area Lisbon, 28 March 2011 700 Andreas Schleicher 593 Student performance PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for 300 -2 -1 0 1 2 Disadvantage PISA Index of socio-economic background Advantage
  • 13. PISA Strong performers and successful reformers OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher % 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 International Student Assessment Lisbon, 28 March 2011 14 14 Shanghai-China Hong Kong-China Korea Macao-China Singapore Finland Japan Turkey Canada Portugal Chinese Taipei Poland New Zealand Spain students among Liechtenstein Estonia Netherlands disadvantaged students More than 30% resilient Italy Switzerland Latvia Australia OECD average France Belgium Ireland Iceland Mexico United States Greece Thailand Croatia Tunisia Norway Hungary social background) Sweden Slovenia Indonesia Denmark Chile United Kingdom students among Israel Colombia Resilient student: Comes from the bottom quarter of the socially most disadvantaged Germany students internationally (after accounting for disadvantaged students Brazil students but performs among the top quarter of Czech Republic Slovak Republic Between 15%-30% of resilient Luxembourg Lithuania disadvantaged students Austria Russian Federation Trinidad and Tobago Uruguay Serbia Jordan Albania Argentina Dubai (UAE) Romania Percentage of resilient students among Bulgaria Panama Montenegro Kazakhstan students among Peru Azerbaijan Less than 15% resilient Qatar disadvantaged students Kyrgyzstan
  • 14. PISA Strong performers and successful reformers OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher International Student Assessment Lisbon, 28 March 2011 16 16 Student engagement with learning and school
  • 15. 17 17 Students' views of their teacher- Strong performers and successful reformers student relations OECD average Portugal Lisbon, 28 March 2011 I get along well with most of my Andreas Schleicher teachers. Most of my teachers are interested in my well-being. PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Most of my teachers really listen to what I have to say. If I need extra help, I will receive it from my teachers. 0 50 100
  • 16. 18 18 Policy Policies and practices R System R School E Equity What students know and can do Learning climate Discipline  Teacher behaviour  Andreas Schleicher 7 December 2010 Parental pressure  Teacher-student relationships  Dealing with heterogeneity PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Grade repetition    Prevalence of tracking  Expulsions    Ability grouping (all subjects)    Standards /accountability Nat. examination 
  • 17. PISA Strong performers and successful reformers OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher International Student Assessment Lisbon, 28 March 2011 19 19 Does it all matter?
  • 18. 20 Increased likelihood of postsec. particip. at age 19/21 20 associated with PISA reading proficiency at age 15 (Canada) Strong performers and successful reformers after accounting for school engagement, gender, mother tongue, place of residence, parental, education and family income (reference group PISA Level 1) Odds ratio Lisbon, 28 March 2011 higher Andreas Schleicher education 20 entry 18 16 14 12 10 PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for 8 6 4 2 0 Age 19 Age 21 Age 21 Level 5 Level 4 Level 3 Level 2
  • 19. PISA Strong performers and successful reformers OECD Programme for Andreas Schleicher International Student Assessment Lisbon, 28 March 2011 21 21 What does it all mean?
  • 20. 22 22  A commitment to education and the belief that competencies can be learned and Strong performers and successful reformers therefore all children can achieve  Universal educational standards and personalisation as the approach to heterogeneity in the student body… Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher … as opposed to a belief that students have different destinations to be met with different Lessons from PISA expectations, and selection/stratification as on successful the approach to heterogeneity Clear articulation who is responsible for education systems  PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for ensuring student success and to whom
  • 21. 25 25  Clear ambitious goals that are shared across Strong performers and successful reformers the system and aligned with high stakes gateways and instructional systems  Well established delivery chain through which curricular goals translate into instructional Lisbon, 28 March 2011 systems, instructional practices and student Andreas Schleicher learning (intended, implemented and achieved) Lessons of metacognitive content of  High level from PISA instruction on successful education systems PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for
  • 22. 26 26 Strong performers and successful reformers Lisbon, 28 March 2011  Capacity at the point of delivery Andreas Schleicher  Attracting, developing and retaining high quality Lessons from PISAand a work teachers and school leaders organisation in which they can use their on successful potential education leadership and human resource Instructional systems PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for  management in schools  Keeping teaching an attractive profession  System-wide career development
  • 23. 27 27 School principals’ reports of their involvement in school matters Strong performers and successful reformers Index of schools principal’s leadership based on school principals’ report (part 1/2) OECD average Portugal Professional development activities of teachers in accordance with the teaching goals of the school Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher I ensure that teachers work according to the school’s educational goals I observe instruction in classrooms I use student performance results to develop the PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for school’s educational goals I give teachers suggestions as to how they can improve their teaching I monitor students’ work % When a teacher has problems in his/her classroom, I take the initiative to discuss matters 0 25 50 75 100
  • 24. 29 29 Strong performers and successful reformers  Incentives, accountability, knowledge management  Aligned incentive structures For students How gateways affect the strength, direction, clarity and nature of Lisbon, 28 March 2011  the incentives operating on students at each stage of their education Andreas Schleicher  Degree to which students have incentives to take tough courses and study hard  Lessons from PISA Opportunity costs for staying in school and performing well For teacherson successful Make innovations in pedagogy and/or organisation Improveeducation systems PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for   their own performance and the performance of their colleagues  Pursue professional development opportunities that lead to stronger pedagogical practices  A balance between vertical and lateral accountability  Effective instruments to manage and share knowledge and spread innovation – communication within the system and with stakeholders around it  A capable centre with authority and legitimacy to act
  • 25. 30 30 How much autonomy individual schools have over curricula and assessment Strong performers and successful reformers Establishing student assessment policies, OECD average Only "regional Portugal and/or national Lisbon, 28 March 2011 education Andreas Schleicher authority" Choosing which textbooks are used, OECD average Portugal Both "principals and/or teachers" and "regional PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Determining course content, OECD and/or national average education Portugal authority" Only "principals and/or teachers" Deciding which courses are offered, OECD average Portugal 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
  • 26. School autonomy, accountability 32 32 and student performance Strong performers and successful reformers Impact of school autonomy on performance in systems with and without accountability arrangements PISA score in reading 500 Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher 495 490 PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for School autonomy in resource allocation Schools with more autonomy 480 Schools with less autonomy Systems with more accountability Systems with less accountability System’s accountability arrangements
  • 27. 33 33 Local responsibility and system-level prescription Strong performers and successful reformers Trend in OECD countries Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher System-level prescription ‘Tayloristic’ work organisation Schools today Schools Finland today The industrial tomorrow? Every school an PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for model, detailed Building capacity effective school prescription of what schools do Schools leading reform Teachers as ‘knowledge workers’
  • 28. 34 34 Strong performers and successful reformers Public and private schools Government schools Observed performance difference Government dependent private Difference after accounting for socio-economic Government independent private background of students and schools 0 20 40 60 80 -150 100 -100 -50 0 50 100 % Score point difference Australia Austria Canada Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Chile Czech Republic Andreas Schleicher Denmark Estonia Finland Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Private schools Korea perform better PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Public schools Poland perform better Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Argentina Brazil Hong Kong-China Indonesia Jordan Russian Federation Shanghai-China Singapore Chinese Taipei
  • 29. 35 35 Strong performers and successful reformers Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher Lessons from PISA on successful education systems PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for  Investing resources where they can make most of a difference  Alignment of resources with key challenges (e.g. attracting the most talented teachers to the most challenging classrooms)  Effective spending choices that prioritise high quality teachers over smaller classes
  • 30. 36 36 Strong performers and successful reformers Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher  A learning system  Lessons from PISA An outward orientation of the system to keep the system learning, international benchmarks as the ‘eyes’ and ‘ears’ onthe system of successful education systems Recognising challenges and potential future PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for  threats to current success, learning from them, designing responses and implementing these
  • 31. 37 Coherence of policies and practices 37  Strong performers and successful reformers  Alignment of policies across all aspects of the system  Coherence of policies over sustained periods of time Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Consistency of implementation Andreas Schleicher   Fidelity of implementation (without excessive control) from Lessons PISA on successful education systems PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for
  • 32. 39 39 Education reform trajectories Strong performers and successful reformers The old bureaucratic system Student inclusion The modern enabling system Some students learn at high levels All students need to learn at high levels Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher Curriculum, instruction and assessment Routine cognitive skills, rote learning Learning to learn, complex ways of thinking, ways of working Teacher quality PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for Few years more than secondary High-level professional knowledge workers Work organisation ‘Tayloristic’, hierarchical Flat, collegial Accountability Primarily to authorities Primarily to peers and stakeholders
  • 33. 44 44 Strong performers and successful reformers Find out more about PISA at…  OECD www.pisa.oecd.org – All national and international publications Lisbon, 28 March 2011 Andreas Schleicher – The complete micro-level database U.S. White House www.data.gov Thank you !  Email: Andreas.Schleicher@OECD.org PISA International Student Assessment OECD Programme for  … and remember: Without data, you are just another person with an opinion

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. I am delighted to share our analysis of the latest PISA findings with you, and I am particularly pleased to do this in Japan, a country which has maintained its high levels of student performance, and which has seen important improvements in student engagement since 2000, an area that traditionally was one of Japan’s weaknesses.I want to start with a brief overview of the objectives and origins of PISA, then analyse where Japan stands on measures ranging from student performance up to student attitudes to learning and engagement with school, and then conclude with what we have learned about effective policies and practices that may help Japan to further raise its already impressive educational performance.
  2. We started to develop PISA in 1998 with 28 OECD countries, but since then country participation has grown and our latest PISA assessment covers 74 education systems that make up 86% of the world economy. Coverage in China and India is still patchy though, in China we have now covered 12 provinces and in India we are working in two states only.One aspect that makes PISA stand apart from traditional school tests is that PISA puts less emphasis on whether students can reproduce what they were taught, but focuses on their capacity to extrapolate from what they know and creatively apply what they know in novel situations. Some people complain that PISA is unfair, because it confronts students with tasks they have not dealt with before, but if you take that line, then you should consider life unfair, because in this fast-changing world, that is precisely what will expect students later in life. You will see that in the callout box.Students also provided data on their socio-economic context, their schools and their attitudes and engagement with school and learning.In addition, PISA collected data from parents, principals and system leaders to yield insights on school policies, practices, resources and institutional factors that help explain performance differences.
  3. The idea of PISA is to support governments in preparing students for life. In a sense, PISA provides schools and nations with a mirror in which they can judge their performance in light of what other systems show is possible to achieve.
  4. With that introduction, let us turn to the results. The firstthingyou can do is to see how countries line up with regard to the competencies of their 15-year-olds.
  5. An area in which further improvements can be sought is performance variation among students and schools. It is correct that Japanese 15-year-olds are in their first year of senior high school, which contributes to a relatively larger share of between-school variation, but it does not explain the fairly large performance variation overall. It also does not explain why the difference between high and low performers in reading grew since 2000, particularly that between schools.
  6. Fortunately, Japan has a large share of students who succeed despite social disadvantage, we call them resilient students.In general, the accuracy with which socio-economic background predicts student performance varies considerably across countries. Most of the students who perform poorly in PISA come from challenging socio-economic backgrounds, and yet some of their disadvantaged peers excel in PISA and beat the odds against them. These students show that overcoming socio-economic barriers to achievement is possible. While the prevalence of resilience is not the same across educational systems, it is possible to identify substantial numbers of resilient students in practically all OECD countries. In Japan, 11% of students can be considered resilient, in that they are among the 25% most socio-economically disadvantaged students in the country yet perform much better than what would be predicted based on their background (Table II.3.3).
  7. Reading a lot is not enough: students who read a lot but who do not understand how to learn effectively perform worse in reading than students who read less but understand how to learn in all countries including Japan (Table III.1.28). While enjoying reading is a necessary step towards becoming a better reader, it is not sufficient if it does not go hand-in-hand with a good understanding of how to use reading to learn effectively. In Japan, an awareness of strategies to summarise information plays an important role in closing the performance gap between boys and girls and between socio-economically disadvantaged and advantaged students. In general across OECD countries, girls and socio-economically advantaged students tend to have a better awareness of strategies to summarise information than boys and disadvantaged students, and, in turn, students with this better awareness tend to perform better (Table III.3.10). In other words, an awareness of these strategies mediates the impact of students’ background and gender on performance. This mediating effect is particularly strong in Japan: 22% of the total impact of students’ socio-economic background on performance is filtered through the different levels of students’ awareness of these strategies (the OECD average is 17%); and 38% of the total impact of students’ gender on performance is filtered through the different levels of students’ awareness of these strategies. This underlines the importance for parents, teachers and schools to provide students with the tools to become effective readers and learners. It is important for students to develop an awareness of the most effective learning strategies to summarise information, especially boys and socio-economically disadvantaged students. This can be fostered by letting students experiment with different approaches, discussing with students what they find helpful and unhelpful, and encouraging them to reflect on the different approaches they use to achieve learning goals.
  8. Positive teacher-student relations can help to establish an environment that is conducive to learning. Research finds that students, particularly disadvantaged students, tend to learn more and have fewer disciplinary problems when they feel that their teachers take them seriously. One explanation is that positive teacher-student relations help foster social relationships, create communal learning environments and promote and strengthen adherence to norms conducive to learning. PISA asked students to agree or disagree with several statements regarding their relationships with the teachers in school. These statements include whether students get along with the teachers and whether teachers are interested in their personal well-being, whether teachers take the student seriously, whether teachers are a source of support if students need extra help, and whether teachers treat the student fairly. Students in Japan reported one of the weakest teacher-student relations among OECD countries (Figure IV.4.1). For example, 28% of students in Japan agree or strongly agree that their teachers are interested in their well-being (the OECD average is 66%), 63% agree or strongly agree that most teachers really listen to what the student has to say (the OECD average is 67%), 64% agree or strongly agree that teachers are a source of support if students need extra help (the OECD average is 79%), 73% agree or strongly agree that they get along with their teachers (the OECD average is 85%) and 74% agree or strongly agree that teachers treat the student fairly (the OECD average is 79%). There is a positive relationship between teacher-student relations and student performance in Japan. For example, the quarter of students in Japan reporting the poorest student-teacher relations are two times more likely to also be among the quarter of the poorest performing students, which is the highest likelihood among the countries and economies that participated in PISA (Table IV.4.1). Differences in student-reported teacher interest in their well-being may reflect either different student expectations of their teachers’ level of involvement, or different roles that teachers assume with respect to their students. A low percentage of agreement with these statements suggests a possible mismatch between student expectations and what teachers are actually doing.
  9. Let me briefly summarise the influences that we have measured in PISA.
  10. You have seen very large performance differences among schools and countries, but how predictive are these for the success of students and nations?
  11. To what extent is performance in school predictive of success in later life?The best way to find out whether what students have learned at school matters for their life is to actuallywatch what happens to them after they leave school. This is exactly what we have done that with around 30,000 students in Canada. We tested them in the year 2000 when they were 15 years old in reading, math and science, and since then we are following up with them each year on what choices they make and how successful they are in their transition from school to higher education and work.The horizontal axis shows you the PISA level which 15-year-old Canadians had scored in 2000. Level 2 is the baseline level on the PISA reading test and Level 5 the top level in reading.The red bar shows you how many times more successful someone who scored Level 2 at age 15 was at age 19 to have made a successful transition to university, as compared to someone who did not make it to the baseline PISA level 1. And to ensure that what you see here is not simply a reflection of social background, gender, immigration or school engagement, we have already statistically accounted for all of these factors. The orange bar. …How would you expect the picture to be like at age 21? We are talking about test scores here, but for a moment, lets go back to the judgements schools make on young people, for example through school marks. You can do the same thing here, you can see how well school marks at age 15 predict the subsequent success of youths. You see that there is some relationship as well, but that it is much less pronounced than when we use the direct measure of skills. What this tells you how important reliable measures of student performance are, an area where the UK is leading the field since some years.
  12. First, there is no question that most nations declare that education is important. But the test comes when these commitments are weighed against others. How do countries pay teachers, compared to other highly-skilled workers? How are education credentials weighed against other qualifications when people are being considered for jobs? Would you want your child to be a teacher? How much attention do the media pay to schools and schooling? What we have learned from PISA is that in high performing systems political and social leaders have persuaded citizens to make choices that show they value education more than other things. But placing a high value on education is only part of the equation. Another part is belief in the possibilities for all children to achieve success. In some countries, students are separated into different tracks at an early age, reflecting a notion shared by teachers, parents and citizens that only a subset of the nation’s children can or need to achieve world class standards. Our analysis shows that systems that track students in this way, based differing expectations for different destinations, tend to be fraught with large social disparities. By contrast, the best performing systems deliver strong and equitable learning outcomes across very different cultural and economic contexts. In Finland, Japan, Singapore, Shanghai-China and Hong Kong-China, parents, teachers and the public at large share the belief that all students are capable of achieving high standards and need to do so, and they provide great examples for how public policy can support the achievement of universal high standards.
  13. High-performing education systems also share clear and ambitious standards across the board. Everyone knows what is required to get a given qualification, both in terms of the content studied and the level of performance needed to earn it. Students cannot go on to the next stage—be it in work or in further education—unless they show that they are qualified to do so. They know what they have to do to realise their dream, and they put in the work that is needed to do it.As discussed in the 2009 edition of OECD’s Education at a Glance¸ over the past decade, assessments of student performance have become common in many OECD countries – and the results are often widely reported and used in both public and more specialised debate. However, the rationale for assessments and the nature of the instruments used vary greatly within and across countries. Methods employed in OECD countries include different forms of external assessment, external evaluation or inspection, and schools’ own quality assurance and self-evaluation efforts. One aspect relating to accountability systems concerns the existence of standards-based external examinations. These are examinations that focus on a specific school subject and assess a major portion of what students who are studying this subject are expected to know or be able to do (Bishop, 1998, 2001). Essentially, they define performance relative to an external standard, not relative to other students in the classroom or school. These examinations usually have a direct impact on students’ education – and even on their futures – and may thus motivate students to work harder. Other standardised tests, which may be voluntary and implemented by schools, often have only indirect consequences for students. For teachers, standardised assessments can provide information on students’ learning needs and can be used to tailor their instruction accordingly. In some countries, such as Brazil, Hungary, Italy, Malaysia, Mexico, Poland and the Slovak Republic, such tests are also used to determine teachers’ salaries or to guide professional development (for data, see the 2009 edition of Education at a Glance ). At the school level, information from standardised tests can be used to determine the allocation of additional resources, and what interventions are required to establish performance targets and monitor progress.Across OECD countries, students in school systems that require standards-based external examinations perform, on average, over 16 points higher than those in school systems that do not use such examinations (Figure IV.2.6a). Among OECD countries, there are standards-based external examinations for secondary school students in the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Turkey and the United Kingdom. In Australia, these examinations cover 81% of secondary students, in Canada 51% and in Germany 35%. In Austria, Belgium, Chile, Greece, Mexico, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland, such examinations do not exist or only in some parts of the system (Table IV.3.11).In PISA 2009, school principals were asked to report on the types and frequency of assessment used: standardised tests, teacher-developed tests, teachers’ judgemental ratings, student portfolios or student assignments. Some 76% of students in OECD countries are enrolled in schools that use standardised tests. Standardised tests are relatively uncommon in Slovenia, Belgium, Spain, Austria and Germany, where less than half the 15-year-olds attend schools that assess students through standardised tests. In contrast, the use of standardised tests is practically universal in Luxembourg, Finland, Korea, the United States, Poland, Denmark, Sweden and Norway, where over 95% of students attend schools that use this assessment at least once a year (Table IV.3.10). In Japan, 65% of students are in schools that use standardised tests.
  14. Third, the quality of an education system cannot exceed the quality of its teachers and principals. Just like companies, high quality school systems pay attention to how they select and train their staff. They watch how they improve the performance of those who are struggling; how structure teachers’ pay packets; and how they reward their best teachers. They provide an environment in which teachers work together to frame good practice. That is where teachers conduct field-based research to confirm or disprove the approaches they develop, and they judge their colleagues by the degree to which they use these practices in their classrooms. Listen to what the Finnish Minister had to say about that.To determine the extent to which teacher behaviour influences student learning, school principals in PISA were asked to report the extent to which they perceived learning in their schools to be hindered by such factors as teachers’ low expectations of students, poor student-teacher relations, absenteeism among teachers, staff resistance to change, teachers not meeting individual students’ needs, teachers being too strict with students, and students not being encouraged to achieve their full potential. Japan is slightly below the OECD average on these measures, and the reports from school principals highlight a number of challenges: 39% of students in Japan are enrolled in schools whose principals reported that learning is hindered to some extent or a lot because students are not being encouraged to achieve their full potential (OECD average is 23%), 37% are enrolled in schools whose principals reported that this is the case because staff resist change (the OECD average is 28%), 29% are in schools where, according to principals, teachers do not meet individual students needs (the OECD average is 28%) and 24% are in schools where teachers’ low expectations of students hinders learning (in contrast, in Finland that proportion is just 6% and the OECD average is 22%) (Figure IV.4.5). But only 3% of school principals see teachers’ absenteeism as a problem (the OECD average is 17%).
  15. Fourth, as you have seen, success has to do with incentives and accountability, and how these are aligned in the system. It has also to do with how vertical accountability to superiors is balanced with horizontal or professional accountability towards peers, how knowledge is shared and spread. Forstudentsthisaffects: How gateways affect the strength, direction, clarity and nature of the incentives operating on students at each stage of their education; as well as the degree to which students have incentives to take tough courses and study hard and the opportunity costs for staying in school and performing well.It also means providing incentives for teachers to make innovations in pedagogy and/or organisation, improve their own performance and the performance of their colleagues, and to pursue professional development opportunities that lead to stronger pedagogical practices.High performing systems tend to provide a balance between vertical and lateral accountability and have effective instruments to manage and share knowledge and spread innovation – and that means both communication within the system and with stakeholders around it.
  16. The most impressive outcome of world class education systems is perhaps that they deliver high quality learning consistently across the entire education system so that every student benefits from excellent learning opportunity. To achieve this, they invest educational resources where they can make most of a difference, they attract the most talented teachers into the most challenging classroom, and they establish effective spending choices that prioritise the quality of teachers. Let me come back to the example of Shanghai once more here. Let us have a look at the struggling schools six years later.Research usually shows a weak relationship between educational resources and student performance, with more variation explained by the quality of human resources (i.e. teachers and school principals) than by material and financial resources, particularly among industrialised nations. The generally weak relationship between resources and performance observed in past research is also seen in PISA. At the level of the education system, and net of the level of national income, the only type of resource that PISA shows to be correlated with student performance is the level of teachers’ salaries relative to national income (Figure IV.2.8). Teachers’ salaries are related to class size in that if spending levels are similar, school systems often make trade-offs between smaller classes and higher salaries for teachers. The findings from PISA suggest that systems prioritising higher teachers’ salaries over smaller classes, such as those in Japan and Korea, tend to perform better. The lack of correlation between the level of resources and performance among school systems does not mean that resource levels do not affect performance at all. Rather, it implies that, given the variation in resources observed in PISA, they are unrelated to performance or equity. A school system that lacks teachers, infrastructure and textbooks will almost certainly perform at lower levels; but given that most school systems in PISA appear to satisfy the minimum resource requirements for teaching and learning, the lack of a relationship between many of the resource aspects and both equity and performance may result simply from a lack of sufficient variation among OECD countries.
  17. Some of the most successful systems are also actively looking outward, realising that the benchmark for success is no longer simply improvement by national standards, but the best performing systems internationally. Whether Singapore is interested in designing a better sewer system, retirement system or school system, it sends key people in the relevant sector to visit those countries that are the world’s best performers in those areas with instructions to find out how they do it, and to put together a design for Singapore that is superior to anything that they have seen anywhere.
  18. Last but not least, in high performing systems these policies and practices are aligned across all aspects of the system, they are coherent over sustained periods of time, and they are consistently implemented. And PISA shows, success is within the reach for nations that have the capacity to creating and executing policies with maximum coherence in the system. Of course, the path to reform is not easy and it can be fraught with political controversy. Moving away from administrative and bureaucratic control toward professional norms of control can be counterproductive if a nation does not yet have teachers and schools with the capacity to implement these policies and practices. Pushing authority down to lower levels can be as problematic if there is not agreement on what the students need to know and should be able to do. Recruiting high quality teachers is not of much use if those who are recruited are so frustrated by what they perceive to be a mindless system of initial teacher education that they will not participate in it and turn to another profession. Or if they become school teachers, but are so turned off by the bureaucratic forms of work organisation they find there that they leave teaching for some other occupation. So this is all about alignment.
  19. Whether and how long students are enrolled in pre-primary education is also an important resource consideration. Many of the inequalities that exist within school systems are already present once students enter formal schooling and persist as students’ progress through school. Earlier entrance into the school system may reduce these inequities. On average across OECD countries, 72% of today’s 15-year-old students reported that they had attended pre-primary education for more than one year. Attendance in more than one year of pre-primary education was practically universal in Japan (97%), and in the Netherlands, Hungary, Belgium, Iceland and France, over 90% of 15-year-old students reported that they had attended pre-primary school for more than one year. More than 90% of students in 27 OECD countries had attended pre-primary school for at least some time, and 98% or more of students in Japan (99%), Hungary, France and the United States reported having done so. Pre-primary education is rare in Turkey, where less than 30% of 15-year-olds had attended pre-primary school for at least a year. More than one year of pre-primary education is uncommon in Chile, Ireland, Canada and Poland, where less than 50% of students attended pre-primary school for that length of time (Table IV.3.18).PISA 2009 results show that, in general, students who had attended pre-primary education perform better in reading at the age of 15 than students who had not (Figure II.5.9 and Table II.5.5). In 32 OECD countries, students who had attended pre-primary education for more than one year outperformed students who had not attended pre-primary education at all – in many countries by the equivalent of well over a school year. This finding holds in most countries even after accounting for students’ socio-economic backgrounds. However, across countries, there is considerable variation in the impact of attendance in pre-primary education and reading performance when students are 15 years old. Among OECD countries, in Israel, Belgium, Italy and France, students who attended pre-primary education for more than one year perform at least 64 score points higher in reading than those who did not, which corresponds to the equivalent of roughly one-and-a-half school years. This was the case even after accounting for students’ socio-economic background. On the other hand, in Estonia, Finland, the United States and Korea, there is no marked difference in reading scores between those who attended pre-primary school for more than one year and those who did not attend at all, after accounting for students’ socio-economic background. In Japan, the students who had attended pre-primary education for one year or more scored an average of 39 points higher on the PISA reading scale than those who did not – roughly the equivalent of one school year – and after accounting for students’ socio-economic background, the performance advantage is 24 score points. These results underline the importance of pre-primary education, and international comparisons of primary-school children show high pre-primary enrolment rates among both advantaged and disadvantaged Japanese children. The next challenge will be to increase the positive impact of pre-primary education on performance later on in students’ school careers.One factor that may explain the variations in the impact of pre-primary education on later school performance is the quality of pre-primary education. This hypothesis is supported by the fact that the impact tends to be greater in education systemswhere pre-primary education is of longer duration, has smaller pupil-to-teacher ratios or benefits from higher public expenditure per pupil (Table II.5.6). When this impact is compared according to socio-economic background, in most OECD countries, there is no significant difference in the impact between students from socio-economically disadvantaged and advantaged backgrounds (Table II.5.8). Students benefit equally from attending pre-primary school in 31 OECD countries including Japan and 25 partner countries and economies. The United States is the only OECD country where PISA shows that disadvantaged students benefit more from pre-primary education. Part of the difference in the impact of attendance in pre-primary education on the performance of students from different socio-economic backgrounds may be due to the fact that many factors other than pre-primary education (e.g. education in and out of school that students received between the ages of 6 and 15) may influence 15-year-olds’ performance.
  20. I want to conclude with what we have learned about successful reform trajectories In the past when you only needed a small slice of well-educated people it was efficient for governments to invest a large sum in a small elite to lead the country. But the social and economic cost of low educational performance has risen substantially and all young people now need to leave school with strong foundation skills.When you could still assume that what you learn in school will last for a lifetime, teaching content and routine cognitive skills was at the centre of education. Today, where you can access content on Google, where routine cognitive skills are being digitised or outsourced, and where jobs are changing rapidly, the focus is on enabling people to become lifelong learners, to manage complex ways of thinking and complex ways of working that computers cannot take over easily.In the past, teachers had sometimes only a few years more education than the students they taught. When teacher quality is so low, governments tend to tell their teachers exactly what to do and exactly how they want it done and they tend to use Tayloristic methods of administrative control and accountability to get the results they want. Today the challenge is to make teaching a profession of high-level knowledge workers. But such people will not work in schools organised as Tayloristic workplaces using administrative forms of accountability and bureaucratic command and control systems to direct their work. To attract the people they need, successful education systems have transformed the form of work organisation in their schools to a professional form of work organisation in which professional norms of control complement bureaucratic and administrative forms of control.