Shannon Page's presentation from the NERI Winter Lights Thought Leadership Forum held on 16th June 2011 in Dunedin, New Zealand.

1. The transportation system in 2050: looking back at our achievement Dr. Shannon Page Lecturer in Energy Management Department of Environmental Management NERI Winter Lights Forum 16th June, Otago Museum

2. The 2050 system: what’s it like Energy Required Energy Required Bus 2011 2050 Car Air Coastal Passenger Rail Fossil Fuel Freight Rail Freight Road

3. The 2050 system: what’s it like Energy Required Energy Required Bio Fuel Bus 2011 2050 Bio Mass Other Car Trolley bus/tram people & freight Renewable Electricity Passenger rail Freight rail Air Coastal Passenger Rail Fossil Fuel Freight Rail Freight Road

4. The 2050 system: what’s it like Energy Required Energy Required Bio Fuel Bus 2011 2050 Bio Mass Other Car Trolley bus/tram people & freight Renewable Electricity Passenger rail Freight rail Air Coastal Passenger Rail Energy required decreased but ... Increased activity...quality of life improved Fossil Fuel Freight Rail Freight Road

5. The 2050 system: what’s it like Energy Required Energy Required Bio Fuel Bus 2011 2050 Bio Mass Other Car Trolley bus/tram people & freight Renewable Electricity Passenger rail Freight rail Air Coastal Passenger Rail Energy required decreased but ... Increased activity...quality of life improved Fossil Fuel Freight Rail Freight Road

6. The 2050 system: what’s it like Energy Required Energy Required Bio Fuel Bus 2011 2050 Bio Mass Other Car Trolley bus/tram people & freight Renewable Electricity Passenger rail Freight rail Air Coastal Passenger Rail Energy required decreased but ... Increased activity...quality of life improved Because.... Electricity based systems more efficient Fossil Fuel Freight Rail Freight Road

7. The 2050 system: what’s it like Energy Required Energy Required Bio Fuel Bus 2011 2050 Bio Mass Other Car Trolley bus/tram people & freight Renewable Electricity Passenger rail Freight rail Air Coastal Passenger Rail Energy required decreased but ... Increased activity...quality of life improved Because.... Electricity based systems more efficient More efficient modes i.e. Car  train/bus Fossil Fuel Freight Rail Freight Road

8. The 2050 system: what’s it like Energy Required Energy Required Bio Fuel Bus 2011 2050 Bio Mass Other Car Trolley bus/tram people & freight Renewable Electricity Passenger rail Freight rail Air Coastal Passenger Rail Energy required decreased but ... Increased activity...quality of life improved Because.... Electricity based systems more efficient More efficient modes i.e. Car  train/bus Urban from changed reduced travel distances Fossil Fuel Freight Rail Freight Road

9. The 2050 system: what’s it like 2011 Household

10. The 2050 system: what’s it like 2011 Household 2050 Household

11. The 2050 system: what’s it like 2011 Freight

12. The 2050 system: what’s it like 2011 Freight 2050 Freight

13. The 2050 system: what’s it like 2011 Urban form 2050 Urban form

14. The 2050 system: what’s it like 2011 Urban form 2050 Urban form

15. The 2050 system: what’s it like All still accessible by a vehicle

16. The 2050 system: what’s it like All still accessible by a vehicle Not one size fits all – City dependant

17. The 2050 system: what’s it like All still accessible by a vehicle Not one size fits all – City dependant Location changes – residences & activities

18. The 2050 system: what’s it like All still accessible by a vehicle Not one size fits all – City dependant Location changes – residences & activities Location changes – production & processing

19. The 2050 system: what’s it like All still accessible by a vehicle Not one size fits all – City dependant Location changes – residences & activities Location changes – production & processing 2011

20. The 2050 system: what’s it like All still accessible by a vehicle Not one size fits all – City dependant Location changes – residences & activities Location changes – production & processing 2011 2050

21. The 2050 system: how we got there

22. The 2050 system: how we got there Didn’t wait for “just around the corner” technology

23. The 2050 system: how we got there Used systems/technology that worked in 2011

24. The 2050 system: how we got there Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality

25. The 2050 system: how we got there Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality We took control – lead the way

26. The 2050 system: how we got there Instead of “fast follower” “technology-taker” mentality We took control – lead the way Became an example to other countries on solving the problem

27. The 2050 system: how we got there It is not about mobility It is not about transport

28. The 2050 system: how we got there It is not about mobility It is not about transport It was about us as Kiwis

29. The 2050 system: how we got there It is not about mobility It is not about transport It was about us as Kiwis Being able to access the actives we want

30. The 2050 system: how we got there It is not about mobility It is not about transport It was about us as Kiwis Being able to access the actives we want Goods that we make/need getting to market

31. The 2050 system: how we got there It is not about mobility It is not about transport It was about us as Kiwis Being able to access the actives we want Goods that we make/need getting to market

32. The 2050 system: how we got there We stopped “encouraging” people to bike/walk and to take public transport

33. The 2050 system: how we got there We stopped “encouraging” people to bike/walk and to take public transport Instead.... Aggressively pursued an infrastructure where low/zero energy access was the least cost option

34. No more time spent contemplating the roll of fossil fuels in the future Only steps towards a fossil free future were taken The 2050 system: how we got there CO2 “Transitional measure” “Take full account of CO2“ Lignite Coal Diesel

35. The 2050 system: how we got there No new roads

36. The 2050 system: how we got there No new roads Drastic change in funding: roads  redevelopment

37. The 2050 system: how we got there No new roads Drastic change in funding: roads  redevelopment City streets progressively pedestrianised

38. The 2050 system: how we got there Although some felt that a more measured approach was necessary i.e. the wealth of fossil fuels should be considered....

39. The 2050 system: how we got there Although some felt that a more measured approach was necessary i.e. the wealth of fossil fuels should be considered.... Given the urgency of the situation, ALL efforts were put into reducing fossil fuel use