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Top 10
payment
trends to
watch
in 2012
Part of the Vantiv Insight Series 2012, featuring proprietary research performed by Vantiv Inc., and Mercator Advisory Group
                                           © 2012 by Vantiv LLC. All rights reserved.
3




         Shaping the future of
          payment processing
Business is changing on virtually every front, and the world of
payments is no exception. Today, merchants, financial institutions,    Top 10 Payment
and processors all face an evolving landscape that is being re-        Processing Trends 	
shaped by an array of forces. The use of credit and debit cards is     for 2012
changing. Emerging payment methods, based on everything from
                                                                       	 1.	Share of wallet
smartphones to social networks, are rapidly gaining traction, as are
innovative point-of-sale systems and a growing number of e-            	 2. 	 ecurity
                                                                            S
wallet-based methods. At the same time, more familiar factors—         	 3. 	 repaid
                                                                            P
such as shifting security threats and ever-changing laws and regu-      4. Smartphone
lations—have to be factored into the equation. Altogether, these           payments
currents promise a fundamental transformation comparable to the        	 5.	Merchant tablets
shift from cash to electronic payments more than a decade ago.         	 6. 	Mobile banking
In this publication, Vantiv focuses on these varying and often over-   	 7.  2P payments
                                                                            P
lapping currents. These have been distilled into 10 trends that are      8. E-commerce
underway and, in many cases, likely to have an even greater impact     	 9. Social payments
in the near future.                                                    	10. Legislation
These observations are based on Vantiv’s experience and on dis-
cussions with clients and others in the industry. Perhaps most
important, we draw on the insights of consumers. Working with the
Mercator Advisory Group, Vantiv has researched consumer atti-
tudes about these trends—what they want, what they worry about.
That perspective is key, because consumers’ views and behaviors
will shape the future as much as new technologies and policies.
4




No or low cost            87%          1. Vying for                                  Royal Cole, president, FI Services, at
                                                                                     Vantiv. “We haven’t seen much of that

    Fast at POS           85%
                                       Share-of-Wallet                               yet, but we certainly expect it before
                                                                                     long.” As a result, there will probably be
                                       Consumers have a growing array of             fewer rewards being offered with debit
                                       payment methods to choose from, but           cards in the coming months.
       Security      72%
                                       cash is still king, according to Roper/
                                       Vantiv research. In the study, conducted      Pent-up demand in the wake of the
Control spend        71%               during the most recent holiday season,        recession is also likely to drive more
                                       about 9 out of 10 consumers used              credit card usage. “There are a lot of
                                       cash, compared to about 6 out of 10           people in the marketplace who have
        Ease of
        dispute     68%                who used debit cards and less than half       been holding back, staying focused on
                                       who used bank credit cards, store credit      saving their money, and trying not use
    No minimum                         cards, or gift cards.                         credit or incur debt,” says Cole. “But
                    66%
       purchase                                                                      as the economic picture gets better,
                                       More extensive research conducted by          people will start spending again, and a
       Instant                         Vantiv in February 2012* indicates that       lot of them will use credit to do so.”
     deduction     65%
                                       these non-cash methods will continue
              0%
                                       to grow in popularity, altering the share-    As larger banks shift their focus away
                   50%          100%
                                       of-wallet across payment instruments.         from debit cards, credit unions and
                                       The greatest growth is likely to be in        community banks that are not covered
 CHOOSING A METHOD                     prepaid cards, which will pull from credit    by the Durbin Amendment may see a
                                       and check payments. Credit card usage         market opportunity and redouble their
       Cost, speed, security,          will increase moderately, and growth in       efforts in that space. “Consumers love
 control, and ease of dispute          the debit space will continue, but not as     their debit cards,” says Cole. “So non-
   are most important when             strongly as in the recent past. Checks,       regulated issuers have an opportunity
        consumers choose a             which have been declining for some            to enhance customer loyalty with this
        payment method for             time, will continue to do so. But they are    payment method. It has the potential
  everyday use. Factors such           hardly disappearing and will continue to      to be a competitive differentiator for
        as prestige and store          be used by businesses and consumers.          smaller institutions versus the large
 preference rank much lower                                                          banks.”
             (21% and 20%).            Driving much of this change is the
                                       Durbin Amendment to the Dodd-Frank            For the longer term, new and emerging
                                       Act, which caps interchange fees on           payment forms are likely to have an
                                       some debit cards. “Because Durbin             impact on this mix—in particular,
                                       is changing the economics of debit            mobile payments. Vantiv/Mercator
                                       cards, we’ll probably see larger financial    research shows that mobile payments
                                       institutions de-emphasizing debit cards       will have traction in all major spending
                                       and encouraging consumers to shift            categories, with significant percentages
                                       to credit and even prepaid cards,” says       of respondents saying they’d shift to




                                       *  antiv/Mercator Insight Series Research,
                                         V
                                         February 2012
5




mobile payments as follows:                 2. Extending the                                 Credit or
• 10% for small in-store purchases,
 displacing mostly cash
                                            Security Umbrella                               debit card
                                                                                         cancelled due
                                                                                                              15%

                                            Several years of high-profile data          to data breach
• 11% for grocery/everyday,                breaches and publicity about identity
 displacing mostly debit                    theft have made security top-of-mind
                                            for consumers. The payments industry
• 8% for large in-store purchases,         has made a tremendous amount of              Unauthorized
                                                                                              charges
 displacing mostly credit                   progress in bolstering security, and has
                                                                                             because
                                            done so in a fairly short time. But there        account
                                                                                                              14%
• 7% for online purchases,                 are no silver-bullet solutions when it        number was
 displacing credit/debit                    comes to keeping payment data safe,                stolen
                                            and the coming year will see continued
• 6% for education expenses,               work on this front.
                                                                                                     0%    10%       20%
 displacing mostly checks
                                            Consumers’ worries about security
• 9% for household expenses,               are a significant impediment to many             BREACHES
 displacing mostly debit                    of the advances taking place in the
                                            industry. The Vantiv/Mercator research           Fifteen percent of respon-
• 8% for doctor visits/co-pays,            found that concern about security                dents reported that their
 displacing mostly cash and checks          was the main driver behind a lack of             credit or debit cards had
                                            consumer interest in new payment                 been cancelled due to a data
These percentages may be                    types. For example, 6 out of 10                  breach in the past year, and
underestimated, since consumers tend        respondents said they were worried               14% actually saw fradulent
to minimize their own likelihood of using   about security with electronic wallets,          charges on their accounts
alternate payment methods.                  and 4 out of 10 said the same about              due to a stolen account
                                            person-to-person payments.                       number.
The study also looked at the factors that
drive and will drive consumers’ choice of   New developments may help alleviate
payment method. Consumers are very          some of those concerns. The move to
interested in low- or no-cost methods,      EMV technology, which can help prevent
security, and the ability to control        in-store fraud, is accelerating. This is
spending—and are less interested in         largely driven by Visa’s and MasterCard’s
the prestige of payment type and store      announced EMV roadmaps. There
preferences. An understanding of these      are also incentives at work, with Visa
perspectives can help institutions focus    allowing retailers to waive some PCI
on payment methods that will appeal         audit costs once more than 75% of
to consumers and encourage greater          transactions come from terminals that
adoption and usage.                         are both EMV and contactless capable.
6




      Criminal                         As more institutions adopt EMV,               downstream,” says Walters. “Smaller
hacking to get               78%       consumers will also be pushing for            shops can be very vulnerable because
 payment data
                                       adoption. “It will basically be mandated      they usually don’t have the technical
                                       by the market,” says Patty Walters,           sophistication the larger retailers have.”
                                       senior vice president, merchant               Expect to see more industry interest
 Losing phone                77%
                                       product security, at Vantiv. “Consumers       in moving security solutions down to
                                       are interested in security, and when          the small merchant, and making them
                                       one bank starts marketing its EMV             affordable and easy to install. These
   Would still                         product as being more secure, other           efforts may extend beyond technology,
 carry credit/             67%
  debit cards                          banks will no doubt want to keep up.”         she adds: “The industry is looking at
                                       In recent Vantiv/Roper research, only         how it might offer indemnification
                                       20% of consumers said they would be           programs, so that if the small retailer is
    Battery life     53%               interested in tapping or waving their         compromised, the resulting forensics
                                       phones at terminals to make a payment         and legal costs are at least somewhat
                                       this year—a fairly lukewarm response.         covered and don’t end up putting the
               0%   40%          80%   But more than twice that number (43%)         retailer out of business.”
                                       were interested in EMV smart cards,
                                       which consumers see as more secure.
            RETAINING CARDS
                                       EMV is also setting the stage for the
                                                                                     3. Prepaid Cards:
    Fearful of criminal hacking
  and lost phones, two-thirds
                                       use of dynamic CVV, which is included
                                       in the Visa roadmap. With this approach,
                                                                                     Wider Appeal,
   of respondents said that if
  they had a mobile phone for
                                       the card’s chip automatically generates
                                       a security code for each transaction,
                                                                                     Increasing Variety
    payments, they would still
                                       as opposed to the current approach of         Prepaid cards will continue to increase
  carry credit or debit cards in
                                       having a code for the card itself. “With      in popularity and variety—in large
 their wallets. Battery life was
                                       the dynamic data being required, the          part because of the Credit Card Act
                of less concern.
                                       card number is no longer enough to use        and the Dodd-Frank Act. “Those two
                                       for fraud,” says Walters. “The fraudsters     acts together are making it so that,
                                       really can’t guess the dynamic CVV, as        in many cases, a large portion of the
                                       they can with the traditional fixed           U.S. population is unable to obtain
                                       security code. You need the card with         a credit card, a debit card, or even a
                                       the chip itself. So this has the potential    checking account,” says Ed Paciolla,
                                       to dramatically improve security.”            product management director at
                                                                                     Vantiv. A prepaid card gives these
                                       The coming year may also see a                consumers a more convenient and
                                       heightened focus on strengthening             controllable payment method than cash,
                                       security among smaller retailers, which       especially for paying bills and making
                                       are often a “soft target” for data thieves.   online purchases. Overall, the Vantiv/
                                       “Reports show that fraud is moving            Mercator research found that 15.5% of
7




consumers expect to substitute debit/          used in the public sector to provide                I can trust
                                                                                             general-purpose                     62%
DDA accounts with prepaid cards in the         funds to constituents, present a mixed          prepaid cards
next 12 months.                                picture. For example, unemployment-
                                               card usage has ballooned in recent                   I can trust
                                                                                              retailer prepaid                  57%
Many consumers also like the security          years, but that market is now slowing                     cards
of prepaid cards compared to that              because most large states have
of emerging mobile and contactless             completed the transition to such              Useful for online                 49%
payment methods. As those methods              cards. Universities, on the other                   purchases
become more widespread, prepaid can            hand, are showing increased interest
offer a comfortable alternative because        in disbursement cards because it                                          38%
                                                                                             Safer than cash
the cardholder’s liability is limited if the   provides a cheaper, faster alternative
card is lost or compromised. But faith         to writing checks for tuition rebates.
in prepaid cards is not absolute: While                                                            Substitute
                                                                                                 for checking      16%
most consumers trust network-branded           Meanwhile, the gift-card segment                       account
prepaid cards (62%) and retailer cards         will continue to see modest growth,
(57%), only 38% see prepaid as being           compared to the significant 2011                               0%          35%          70%
safer than cash, according to the Vantiv/      market rebound driven by post-
Mercator research.                             recession consumers’ renewed
                                               confidence in the stability of retailers.
                                                                                                 TRUSTING PREPAID
General-purpose reloadable cards are           This is a mature market, and the trend
                                                                                                 CARDS
likely to see strong growth in the coming      toward merchants seeing gift cards as             Consumers trust prepaid
year—perhaps 25%. What’s more, large           marketing tools designed to drive traffic         cards, particularly general-
financial institutions may become more         to the business will continue. As a result,       purpose cards. Nearly half
involved in the effort to convert more         we are likely to see more incentives              consider them useful in
consumers as debit card usage slows.*          associated with gift cards, as well as            online purchases, a trust-
However, this may take time, as banks          efforts by merchants to integrate gift-           worthy way to hedge
sort out fee structures and look for           card programs with their marketing/               e-commerce risks with
convenient, multichannel approaches to         promotions functions—areas that are               limited personal data and
card-loading, which is inhibited because       still separate silos at many companies.           account separation.
58% of bank customers are still not
involved in online banking.                    Finally, several emerging approaches to
                                               prepaid bear watching. These include
The prepaid-card arena has been                digital, downloadable prepaid cards,
growing more diverse, with various             which essentially give the user a card
types of cards serving different               number online; and micro-lending
needs—and that trend continues. The            prepaid cards, which allow consumers
coming year will see growth in the 15%         to borrow small amounts from their
to 20% range for customer rebate and           financial institution and apply them to
incentive cards and employee-reward            their card, on the spot, when they need
cards. Disbursement cards, often               to make a larger purchase.




*  ue to Durbin-related costs and controls,
  D
  financial institutions are encouraging
  customers to roll from debit to prepaid
  cards by offering rewards/prewards for
  keeping cards loaded.
8




    Mobile payments will be
           common                4. Smartphone                                  Mercator’s own research shows
                                                                                that smartphone ownership at the
             22%     7%          Payments: On                                   beginning of 2012 was 45%, up from
                                                                                28% in 2011. In addition, in the Vantiv/
      10%
                           30%   the Verge                                      Mercator study, consumer awareness
                                                                                of mobile payments is now above 50%,
             31%                 Smartphones are being used for                 and interest is at 20%—levels that
                                 a growing range of applications in             typically represent a tipping point for a
                                 daily life—and that includes making            technology’s widespread acceptance.
                                 payments. But so far, there has been           By 2017, about 10% of consumers
                                 more buzz than actual usage.                   expect to be using mobile payments for
I will use mobile payments
                                                                                small in-store and grocery purchases.
             37%
                                 In the Vantiv/Mercator research, just
                                 1.5% of consumers said that they have          Merchant activities, too, will drive
                           18%   made mobile payments. Interest and             increased usage. There is a lack of
       18%                       awareness are there—61% believe that           in-store infrastructure for smartphone
                     19%         mobile payments will be common in five         payments. But as the push for EMV
              8%
                                 years. But consumers appear to have            compliance drives merchants to
                                 difficulty applying that to their own          upgrade equipment, some may bring
                                 situations: only 38% see themselves            on NFC capabilities, which are required
             ■ 1-2 years         making mobile payments in five years.          for smartphone payments, as part of
             ■ 2-5 years                                                        the upgrade. However, it is still not clear
             ■ 5+ years          There are several reasons for this             that NFC will be the winning technology,
             ■ No idea           gap. Consumers have doubts about               as a battle is raging between a number
             ■ Never             smartphone security and see the                of gatekeeping mechanisms, and some
                                 devices as vulnerable to hacking and           merchants wait for a clear victor.
                                 easy to lose. They’re also concerned
             USING MOBILE        about practical limitations, such as short     Another driver is represented by
                PAYMENTS         battery life and forgetting to carry their     solutions such as “Square”—a card-
                                 phones. As a result, most consumers            reader attachment for smartphones
 While 62% of respondents        say even if they used a phone for              that lets retailers use their phones
    expect that mobile pay-      payments, they would keep a traditional        to accept credit-card payments.
      ments will be common       card as a backup.                              Smartphone-based card acceptance
  within the next five years,                                                   has reached 33.5% awareness and 5%
 only 36% expect that they       The upshot: Smartphone payments are            usage. For such a relatively new tool,
    themselves will be mak-      not likely to take off in the next year. But   this represents a strong foundation
   ing those payments. Not       longer term, the picture is different due      for growth and the beginning of a
surprisingly, this percentage    to several factors, including marketplace      significant user base. Consequently,
   is higher among younger       buzz. The increasing ubiquity of the           says Ben Love, Vantiv’s vice president,
                 respondents.    devices is also creating momentum.             product, “We think phone-based card
9




acceptance is an early incarnation of the   at a pace that has surprised many
merchant world by 2015.”                    observers. Merchants are finding           Convenient              27%
                                            a number of in-store uses for the
Ultimately, the actions of issuers will     devices, allowing salespeople to gather
be key to bringing consumers around.        customer data and help customers find
Today, many users simply don’t see a        what they need, or letting shoppers
reason to change. Just 1 in 4 regard        browse through inventory themselves.          Reliable           23%
mobile wallets as convenient, and 1         “Merchants are finding them useful
in 8 would prefer to use smartphone         for streamlining in-store processes
payment rather than a card. But issuers     and engaging customers to increase
are taking steps to pique consumer          sales,” says Donald Boeding, president,
interest with features such as coupon       merchant services, at Vantiv.                 Secure      17%
programs, location- and proximity-based
marketing, and tools to help consumers      Increasingly, merchants are also looking
budget and manage spending.                 at the tablet as a mobile point-of-
                                                                                                 0%    15%           30%
                                            sale (POS) device that can be used
Rewards, too, may help: In the Vantiv       to accept payments and provide an
research, 27.5% of consumers regarded       effective alternative to the traditional
them as a potentially effective way to      cash register—at perhaps a tenth of           MOBILE PERCEPTIONS
encourage the use of mobile payments.       the price. While the use of tablets
                                                                                          Consumers are taking a
The research also found that for many       to handle payments is still relatively
                                                                                          “wait and see” approach to
consumers, a 1% rebate from merchants       new, the Vantiv/Mercator research
                                                                                          payments via smartphone,
at the point of sale would be an            found that 17% of consumers have
                                                                                          seeing phones as a some-
effective incentive for adopting a new      already used roving POS for in-store
                                                                                          what convenient way to
payment method. In short, says Love,        payments—and that figure should
                                                                                          pay—but not quite as
“You can’t make things any easier than      grow significantly, and quickly.
                                                                                          reliable or secure.
using a card, so you have to add value.
You have to offer something more than       Tablet-based payments are appealing
convenience and provide a compelling        not just because of lower costs,
consumer experience.”                       but also because they can increase
                                            salespeople’s efficiency, shorten
                                            checkout lines, and contribute to a
5. Merchants:                               satisfying customer experience. In a
                                            shoe store, for example, a salesperson
The Advent of the                           could use a tablet to check inventory
                                            without running to a storeroom,
POS Tablet                                  quickly locate the right type of shoe,
                                            and then have it retrieved for the
Over the past year, merchants have          customer. “If the customer likes the
embraced iPads and other tablets            product, the salesperson can just
10




                                        hand the tablet to the customer, who         banking evolves in the near future.
     Aware                  51%         can then fill out payment information
                                        and complete the sale online with            “So far, many banks have essentially just
                                        secure, encrypted card acceptance,”          transferred PC-based Internet banking
                                        says Boeding. The customer spends            to mobile banking, so you can do things
                                        less time waiting, and the salesperson       like check balances and transfer funds
                                        spends more time selling.                    from your phone,” says Ben Love, vice
Interested          28%
                                                                                     president, product, at Vantiv. “It’s a
                                        As this trend unfolds, we are likely to      utility that provides convenience, but
                                        see tablets continue to evolve to fit        it doesn’t really take advantage of the
                                        the often demanding requirements of          device’s mobility. So we are going to
                                        various retail environments. An iPad         see a lot of innovation in this space in
     Used     17%                       might not be suitable for a restaurant       the near future, as banks try to make
                                        where people are spilling drinks             mobile banking more compelling for
                                        and getting food on the device, for          consumers.”
                                        example. This is leading to specialized
         0%           30%         60%
                                        forms of tablets, with different             One such innovation is mobile check
                                        functions and levels of physical             deposit, which lets consumers use
TABLETS TAKE OFF                        “hardening” for each type of retail          their smartphones to photograph and
                                        environment. That specialization may         deposit a check. This approach moves
Merchant tablets may have               also help with another tablet issue. “If     beyond basic mobile banking and
already hit the tipping point,          you have a specialized device for, say,      lets the customer avoid a trip to the
with more than half of all              ordering and paying in a restaurant,”        bank branch, and it provides a proven
respondents aware of this               says Boeding, “customers are going           value proposition for banks. USAA, a
payment method and 17%                  to be less tempted to walk away              pioneer in mobile check deposit, has
saying they’ve already                  with it, compared to a new, general-         seen rapid acceptance of the process,
used it. This percentage is             purpose iPad.”                               reporting that customers used the
slightly higher among                                                                feature to deposit 7.8 million checks
smartphone users.                                                                    totaling $4.3 billion in 2011. Not
                                        6. Heading Toward                            surprisingly, there is a lot of interest
                                                                                     in this method among consumers
                                        Mobile Banking 3.0                           and banks alike, and it is expected to
                                                                                     become increasingly widespread in the
                                        Mobile banking is garnering a great deal     coming months.
                                        of attention, with nearly half the banks
                                        in an internal Vantiv survey saying they     Meanwhile, many observers see the
                                        expect to invest in it in the coming year.   addition of wallet-based payment
                                        But banks have a significant opportunity     capabilities as a logical next step in
                                        to take things to the next level—and         mobile banking. “The industry is already
                                        that may have an impact on how mobile        starting on that path, and we will
11




see much more of that,” says Love.
Banks’ interest in wallets is certainly
                                          7. P2P: Getting                                  Aware                 24%
growing—but so is the interest
of other parties, from Google and
                                          Consumers to
Amazon to numerous large retailers.
Vantiv estimates that there are more
                                          Come Along
than 80 wallets in development or on      There has been much discussion about
the market and that there may be as       person-to-person payments for several         Interested           22%
many as 250 by the end of the year.       years. Indeed, P2P is already a common
The result is an often-confusing array    form of payment in much of the world,
being presented to consumers.             with consumers in many countries able
                                          to easily make account-to-account
But banks have strengths that may         transfers (A2A) to other individuals and           Used     3%
stand out in that mix. Consumers—         businesses. In the U.S., however, P2P—a
worried, as always, about security—       key form of A2A—has not taken off.
may see their banks as a safe and
simple wallet option. “The bank           Part of the problem is that consumers                  0%        15%         30%
already has your personal and financial   don’t seem sure how mobile P2P would
information, so there is a level of       fit into their lives. Forty-seven percent         GAINING FAMILIARITY
trust already established,” says Love.    said that they don’t see a need for it,
“And if you have a mobile banking         38.5% have security concerns, and just            While mobile person-to-
application, it makes a lot of sense to   22% said they were interested.                    person payments have taken
just seamlessly add payments to                                                             off outside the U.S., that’s
that, rather than use a number of         Many observers think that increased               not the case here, where
other wallets.”                           familiarity will, in the long run, make P2P       only 3% of Vantiv/Mercator
                                          a common tool in the U.S. “There is real          respondents reported using
All of this can be seen as the            potential for P2P payments, especially            this method—largely, it
emergence of “mobile banking 3.0,”        for unanticipated transactions that               appears, because they don’t
says Love. “We’re moving toward           need to happen rapidly, such as paying            yet see the need for it.
mobile personal financial management,     medical bills or car repairs,” says Dean
where the consumer not only has           Seifert, senior vice president, product
banking functions, but can also use       strategy, at Vantiv. Interestingly,
the phone to do budgeting, receive        P2P has gained some traction
alerts about overspending, get offers     among individuals making payments
from third parties, and so on. At that    to tradespeople and other small
point, mobile banking starts to really    businesses. “The original thought was
contribute to the customer relationship   that two individuals might use P2P
and loyalty. And this will probably       to split the check at lunch, that sort
happen sooner than a lot of               of thing,” says Seifert. “But so far it’s
people expect.”                           been a consumer-to-small-business
12




                                             tool. The average transaction value is     money movement, and charging a fee
  Credit/charge                  41%         more than $300, rather than, say, $20.”    for these premium, faster transactions.
           card
                                                                                        Ultimately, banks will also need to
                                             The coming year should see consumer        provide P2P capabilities across
                                             awareness of P2P increase considerably.    channels—on-line, in-branch, mobile,
     Debit card            31%               There are a growing number of              and ATM—for consumer convenience.
                                             providers, from Paypal to Amazon, and      “Right now, P2P is really a blip in the
                                             many observers see the possibility of      overall payments market, but it will
Online payment                               players such as Google and Facebook        eventually grow quickly,” says Seifert.
  (e.g., PayPal)     16%
                                             moving into the space. Many banks have     “As long as the fees are lower than wire
                                             started to embrace P2P and A2A in          transfers and the speed is faster, it will
                                             earnest, and last year Bank of America,    catch on.“
General-purpose                              Chase, and Wells Fargo created
        prepaid     3%
                                             “clearXchange,” a back-end system for

               0%          25%         50%
                                             processing P2P payments.
                                                                                        8. Online Heads
                                             Nevertheless, there are some obstacles.
                                             One issue is time: Many P2P payment
                                                                                        Into Offline
         SECURITY STILL                      services rely on the ACH network,          When it comes to making payments
      IMPORTANT ONLINE                       which means that it can take a few         online, consumers have a clear sense
                                             days for payments to clear. Payments       of their options. The Vantiv/Mercator
 For purchases made online,                  made through services such as PayPal       research found high levels of awareness
 respondents said they pre-                  can go through in minutes, but only if     (more than 80%) for online methods of
  ferred credit cards, in large              both parties have accounts with the        credit and debit, PayPal, ACH debit, and
      measure due to “zero li-               service—which makes it fairly unsuitable   online bill payment. Credit and charge
ability.” Debit cards followed               for everyday, one-off transactions.        cards are still the preferred way to
closely, with online payment                 Otherwise, such transfers can take days.   purchase online, but other options will
     methods such as PayPal                  Consumers may also feel that current       gain ground in the near future.
            showing potential.               P2P services require too much effort,
                                             with the need to open accounts, go         For consumers paying online, security
                                             online to approve incoming transfers,      and the risk of identity theft are
                                             and so forth.                              top of mind. Credit cards provide
                                                                                        some comfort: More than half the
                                             The industry is working to address such    respondents cited the “zero liability”
                                             issues. Already, some institutions allow   of cards as a key factor behind their
                                             consumers to send payments to credit       online use. Roughly the same proportion
                                             cards using a common bill payment          said that prepaid cards, which limit
                                             network, such as MasterCard’s RPPS.        exposure, are useful in making online
                                             Others are seeing value in using their     payments. But looking ahead, worries
                                             debit “rails” in reverse for real-time     about security are likely to increase
13




the appeal of intermediaries, such as       has launched its V.me wallet for online
Amazon, because they allow consumers        shopping, which lets consumers pay
to enter their card number once for         using MasterCard, Discover, or American      Aware                  36%
use with multiple vendors, rather than      Express, as well as Visa cards.
separately with different vendors. In
the Vantiv/Mercator research, 45.5% of      Those moves are part of a larger
consumers said that they view PayPal        trend toward the increasing overlap of
online security as being better than that   physical commerce and e-commerce—a        Interested    12%
of credit or debit cards.                   trend that is likely to accelerate in
                                            the coming months. With mobile
Indeed, there is growing interest           smartphone payments, tablets being
in such online payment methods,             used in stores, ubiquitous wireless
including e-wallet initiatives such as      connections, and changing consumer
                                                                                           Used     4%
Google Checkout that let consumers          payment behaviors, “e-commerce is no
make purchases without having to            longer something you do from your PC
enter credit card numbers. What’s           at home—it’s now taking place in the
more, those methods are moving from         store itself,” says Weingart.                      0%         20%         40%
their e-commerce roots into the brick-
and-mortar world. “PayPal, Amazon,                                                        WILL VIRTUAL GET
and iTunes are cloud-based wallets
and have the potential to take their
                                            9. Social Network                             REAL?
e-commerce approach down to the in-
store point of sale,” says Bill Weingart,
                                            Payments: Entering                            Although spending on
                                                                                          virtual goods is growing
chief product officer at Vantiv. With
financial information stored by these
                                            the Real World?                               rapidly, social media
                                                                                          payments are of limited
intermediaries in the cloud, shoppers       Consumers are buying a growing                interest to consumers.
could check out with minimal risk using     number of virtual goods used in online        While more than a third are
an ID number and PIN, he explains.          social network games—things like              familiar with it, only 12%
                                            swords and magic wands for multi-             are interested and only 4%
“It’s highly probable that we will be       player games, or cows and tractors for        have used it.
seeing more of the e-commerce               Farmville. Nevertheless, only 36% of
wallets being used in brick and mortar,”    consumers have heard of these social
Weingart continues. “PayPal clearly has     network payments; 12% say they are
a vision to be an acceptance option at      interested in them, and just 4% are
the retail point of sale, and there’s an    using them, according to the Vantiv/
expectation that Amazon and Apple           Mercator research. Nonetheless, this
will want to do the same and take their     is a rapidly growing area, with U.S.
brands from the virtual to the real         consumers spending more than $2.3
world.” That trend is also proving to be    billion on virtual goods last year, up
a two-way street: Visa, for example,        from $1.8 billion in 2009, according to
14




Unauthorized
     charges                 86%
                                           the Frank N. Magid Associates con-
                                           sulting firm.
                                                                                          10. The Regulatory
 Unexpected                                The question is, how will this play out
                                                                                          Landscape:
                             84%
       fees                                in the non-virtual world of paying for
                                           actual goods and services? Already,
                                                                                          Unending Change
Store charge                80%            there is beginning to be some overlap          The past several years have seen
 for card use
                                           of the virtual and the real. “Facebook,        heightened regulatory scrutiny and new
                                           for example, is allowing people to use         legislation affecting financial activities;
     Debit card
      declined              78%            Facebook credits to purchase real              this year, those changes are having a
                                           goods from merchants,” says Ben                significant impact. The ramifications
  Credit card                              Love, vice president, product, at Vantiv.      of the CARD Act and the Durbin
                            77%
    declined                               “They are doing this in a small way so         Amendment are being sorted out, while
                                           far, but that may grow.”                       new 1099-K rules placing significant
Doesn’t work            71%                                                               reporting requirements on payment
     abroad
                                           However, virtual payments will need to         providers and merchants are being rolled
    Purchase                               overcome some obstacles to become              out through 2013.
 information           66%                 widespread in the real world. Because
     revealed
                                           virtual transactions are relatively high-      Even as companies work through these
                  0    50            100
                                           risk, providers typically charge 30% or        changes, new ones are appearing on
                                           more to handle them. “That also means          the horizon—and it can be difficult to
                                           that sellers have to wait days for pay-        keep track of it all. The Financial Crimes
        PERCEPTIONS WILL                   ment while the intermediary makes sure         Enforcement Network, for example,
           DRIVE CHANGE                    there are no chargebacks,” says Love.          has issued new reporting and record-
                                           Thus, social-network payment methods           keeping requirements that affect the
        When ranking the worst             will need to find approaches to pricing        use of open-loop prepaid cards. And
     payment experiences they              and timing that will appeal to broader         a number of observers expect to see
       face, respondents noted,            audiences. Security, too, will need to be      government agencies start tailoring
      in particular, unauthorized          more robust. “As virtual currencies are        regulations to the emerging use of
     charges, unexpected fees,             used for more real goods, they become          social media in financial activities.
         and stores charging for           more valuable to more people—and
                         card use.         that is likely to increase the potential for   A key development to watch will be the
                                           fraud to a level they aren’t dealing with      activities of the Consumer Financial
                                           today,” says Love.                             Protection Bureau, created last July and
                                                                                          now getting into full swing. The CFPB
                                           These challenges are significant but           presents an especially big question
                                           not insurmountable, Love adds: “This           mark because of its exceptionally
                                           is a fast-changing area, and social net-       broad mandate. “It essentially looks at
                                           works have a history of innovation. So         anyone who provides financial services
                                           this bears watching.”                          to consumers or businesses—which
15




is just about anything that touches a
transaction,” says David Herron, product
                                               Conclusion                                      Early adopters
                                                                                               may rush to try new
legal counsel at Vantiv. “It is staffing up    The currents moving through the indus-
and will be looking in a lot of directions.”   try are complex, intertwined, and often         methods, but most
The CFPB has been hearing credit card          disruptive. However, two things are crystal     consumers want
complaints since it was launched, and          clear: New challenges are arising on the        something more.
it recently expanded its efforts into          operational and regulatory fronts, and cus-
checking accounts. By early 2012, the          tomer expectations for ease of use and          They want to see
bureau announced that it had received          security are rising. By assessing the situ-     how new approaches
more than 20,000 complaints on various         ation, exploring consumer attitudes, and        will improve upon
topics, including some 12,000 about            continuing the discussion, we can contend
credit cards.                                  with developments as they unfold.               what they have.

Consumer perceptions may also drive            As these 10 trends demonstrate, success
change. Herron says that consumers             will require deeper expertise, the ability to
generally see the increased bank fees that     learn from broad experience, innovation,
have resulted from recent legislation, but     and the agility to stay in step with chang-
they haven’t seen the expected benefits        ing customer attitudes and technologies.
of lower costs being passed along from
retailers. “That may produce a backlash        It’s no longer just about share of wallet.
against the existing legislation, as well      It’s about owning a customer relation-
as drive more complaints to regulators,”       ship by creating value. As a result, com-
he says. The Vantiv/Mercator research          panies will need to heighten their focus
provides some insight into the potential       on consumers. A key lesson in the Vantiv/
nature of those complaints. Among the          Mercator research is that “build it and they
most-cited bad-payment experiences:            will come” is not effective in the world of
unexpected fees for using credit/debit         payments. Early adopters may rush to try
(84%), and being charged extra by stores       new methods, but most consumers want
to use a payment type (80%).                   something more. They want to see how
                                               new approaches will improve upon what
Finally, the U.S. presidential elections       they have now—how they will save time
are also likely to affect the regulatory       and money, make payments more con-
landscape, one way or another. “There          venient, and strengthen their confidence
have already been minority calls in            that information and funds are safe.
Congress to repeal parts of Durbin,” says
Herron. “A new Congress might be open          It is up to the industry to help consum-
to those calls. And depending on the           ers reach that understanding—and to
eventual makeup of Congress, we may see        keep driving improvements that work for
another run at credit card legislation when    consumers while enabling merchants and
the dust settles from the elections.”          financial institutions to thrive.
About Vantiv
Vantiv LLC is one of the
leading integrated payment
processors in the United
States. Known as Fifth
Third Processing Solutions
since 1971, the company,
headquartered in Cincinnati,
Ohio, changed its name to
Vantiv in 2011, and became
a public company in 2012.
Vantiv’s credit, debit,
prepaid, and data security
solutions help businesses
and financial institutions of
all sizes get the most out of
payment activities.




                                        Vantiv Corporate Headquarters

                                8500 Governors Hill Drive, Cincinnati, OH 45249
                                          866-622-2880 | www.vantiv.com
                                                                       TL0001 4/12

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Top 10 Payment Trends to Watch in 2012 (Whitepaper) | Vantiv

  • 2. Part of the Vantiv Insight Series 2012, featuring proprietary research performed by Vantiv Inc., and Mercator Advisory Group © 2012 by Vantiv LLC. All rights reserved.
  • 3. 3 Shaping the future of payment processing Business is changing on virtually every front, and the world of payments is no exception. Today, merchants, financial institutions, Top 10 Payment and processors all face an evolving landscape that is being re- Processing Trends shaped by an array of forces. The use of credit and debit cards is for 2012 changing. Emerging payment methods, based on everything from 1. Share of wallet smartphones to social networks, are rapidly gaining traction, as are innovative point-of-sale systems and a growing number of e- 2. ecurity S wallet-based methods. At the same time, more familiar factors— 3. repaid P such as shifting security threats and ever-changing laws and regu- 4. Smartphone lations—have to be factored into the equation. Altogether, these payments currents promise a fundamental transformation comparable to the 5. Merchant tablets shift from cash to electronic payments more than a decade ago. 6. Mobile banking In this publication, Vantiv focuses on these varying and often over- 7. 2P payments P lapping currents. These have been distilled into 10 trends that are 8. E-commerce underway and, in many cases, likely to have an even greater impact 9. Social payments in the near future. 10. Legislation These observations are based on Vantiv’s experience and on dis- cussions with clients and others in the industry. Perhaps most important, we draw on the insights of consumers. Working with the Mercator Advisory Group, Vantiv has researched consumer atti- tudes about these trends—what they want, what they worry about. That perspective is key, because consumers’ views and behaviors will shape the future as much as new technologies and policies.
  • 4. 4 No or low cost 87% 1. Vying for Royal Cole, president, FI Services, at Vantiv. “We haven’t seen much of that Fast at POS 85% Share-of-Wallet yet, but we certainly expect it before long.” As a result, there will probably be Consumers have a growing array of fewer rewards being offered with debit payment methods to choose from, but cards in the coming months. Security 72% cash is still king, according to Roper/ Vantiv research. In the study, conducted Pent-up demand in the wake of the Control spend 71% during the most recent holiday season, recession is also likely to drive more about 9 out of 10 consumers used credit card usage. “There are a lot of cash, compared to about 6 out of 10 people in the marketplace who have Ease of dispute 68% who used debit cards and less than half been holding back, staying focused on who used bank credit cards, store credit saving their money, and trying not use No minimum cards, or gift cards. credit or incur debt,” says Cole. “But 66% purchase as the economic picture gets better, More extensive research conducted by people will start spending again, and a Instant Vantiv in February 2012* indicates that lot of them will use credit to do so.” deduction 65% these non-cash methods will continue 0% to grow in popularity, altering the share- As larger banks shift their focus away 50% 100% of-wallet across payment instruments. from debit cards, credit unions and The greatest growth is likely to be in community banks that are not covered CHOOSING A METHOD prepaid cards, which will pull from credit by the Durbin Amendment may see a and check payments. Credit card usage market opportunity and redouble their Cost, speed, security, will increase moderately, and growth in efforts in that space. “Consumers love control, and ease of dispute the debit space will continue, but not as their debit cards,” says Cole. “So non- are most important when strongly as in the recent past. Checks, regulated issuers have an opportunity consumers choose a which have been declining for some to enhance customer loyalty with this payment method for time, will continue to do so. But they are payment method. It has the potential everyday use. Factors such hardly disappearing and will continue to to be a competitive differentiator for as prestige and store be used by businesses and consumers. smaller institutions versus the large preference rank much lower banks.” (21% and 20%). Driving much of this change is the Durbin Amendment to the Dodd-Frank For the longer term, new and emerging Act, which caps interchange fees on payment forms are likely to have an some debit cards. “Because Durbin impact on this mix—in particular, is changing the economics of debit mobile payments. Vantiv/Mercator cards, we’ll probably see larger financial research shows that mobile payments institutions de-emphasizing debit cards will have traction in all major spending and encouraging consumers to shift categories, with significant percentages to credit and even prepaid cards,” says of respondents saying they’d shift to * antiv/Mercator Insight Series Research, V February 2012
  • 5. 5 mobile payments as follows: 2. Extending the Credit or • 10% for small in-store purchases, displacing mostly cash Security Umbrella debit card cancelled due 15% Several years of high-profile data to data breach • 11% for grocery/everyday, breaches and publicity about identity displacing mostly debit theft have made security top-of-mind for consumers. The payments industry • 8% for large in-store purchases, has made a tremendous amount of Unauthorized charges displacing mostly credit progress in bolstering security, and has because done so in a fairly short time. But there account 14% • 7% for online purchases, are no silver-bullet solutions when it number was displacing credit/debit comes to keeping payment data safe, stolen and the coming year will see continued • 6% for education expenses, work on this front. 0% 10% 20% displacing mostly checks Consumers’ worries about security • 9% for household expenses, are a significant impediment to many BREACHES displacing mostly debit of the advances taking place in the industry. The Vantiv/Mercator research Fifteen percent of respon- • 8% for doctor visits/co-pays, found that concern about security dents reported that their displacing mostly cash and checks was the main driver behind a lack of credit or debit cards had consumer interest in new payment been cancelled due to a data These percentages may be types. For example, 6 out of 10 breach in the past year, and underestimated, since consumers tend respondents said they were worried 14% actually saw fradulent to minimize their own likelihood of using about security with electronic wallets, charges on their accounts alternate payment methods. and 4 out of 10 said the same about due to a stolen account person-to-person payments. number. The study also looked at the factors that drive and will drive consumers’ choice of New developments may help alleviate payment method. Consumers are very some of those concerns. The move to interested in low- or no-cost methods, EMV technology, which can help prevent security, and the ability to control in-store fraud, is accelerating. This is spending—and are less interested in largely driven by Visa’s and MasterCard’s the prestige of payment type and store announced EMV roadmaps. There preferences. An understanding of these are also incentives at work, with Visa perspectives can help institutions focus allowing retailers to waive some PCI on payment methods that will appeal audit costs once more than 75% of to consumers and encourage greater transactions come from terminals that adoption and usage. are both EMV and contactless capable.
  • 6. 6 Criminal As more institutions adopt EMV, downstream,” says Walters. “Smaller hacking to get 78% consumers will also be pushing for shops can be very vulnerable because payment data adoption. “It will basically be mandated they usually don’t have the technical by the market,” says Patty Walters, sophistication the larger retailers have.” senior vice president, merchant Expect to see more industry interest Losing phone 77% product security, at Vantiv. “Consumers in moving security solutions down to are interested in security, and when the small merchant, and making them one bank starts marketing its EMV affordable and easy to install. These Would still product as being more secure, other efforts may extend beyond technology, carry credit/ 67% debit cards banks will no doubt want to keep up.” she adds: “The industry is looking at In recent Vantiv/Roper research, only how it might offer indemnification 20% of consumers said they would be programs, so that if the small retailer is Battery life 53% interested in tapping or waving their compromised, the resulting forensics phones at terminals to make a payment and legal costs are at least somewhat this year—a fairly lukewarm response. covered and don’t end up putting the 0% 40% 80% But more than twice that number (43%) retailer out of business.” were interested in EMV smart cards, which consumers see as more secure. RETAINING CARDS EMV is also setting the stage for the 3. Prepaid Cards: Fearful of criminal hacking and lost phones, two-thirds use of dynamic CVV, which is included in the Visa roadmap. With this approach, Wider Appeal, of respondents said that if they had a mobile phone for the card’s chip automatically generates a security code for each transaction, Increasing Variety payments, they would still as opposed to the current approach of Prepaid cards will continue to increase carry credit or debit cards in having a code for the card itself. “With in popularity and variety—in large their wallets. Battery life was the dynamic data being required, the part because of the Credit Card Act of less concern. card number is no longer enough to use and the Dodd-Frank Act. “Those two for fraud,” says Walters. “The fraudsters acts together are making it so that, really can’t guess the dynamic CVV, as in many cases, a large portion of the they can with the traditional fixed U.S. population is unable to obtain security code. You need the card with a credit card, a debit card, or even a the chip itself. So this has the potential checking account,” says Ed Paciolla, to dramatically improve security.” product management director at Vantiv. A prepaid card gives these The coming year may also see a consumers a more convenient and heightened focus on strengthening controllable payment method than cash, security among smaller retailers, which especially for paying bills and making are often a “soft target” for data thieves. online purchases. Overall, the Vantiv/ “Reports show that fraud is moving Mercator research found that 15.5% of
  • 7. 7 consumers expect to substitute debit/ used in the public sector to provide I can trust general-purpose 62% DDA accounts with prepaid cards in the funds to constituents, present a mixed prepaid cards next 12 months. picture. For example, unemployment- card usage has ballooned in recent I can trust retailer prepaid 57% Many consumers also like the security years, but that market is now slowing cards of prepaid cards compared to that because most large states have of emerging mobile and contactless completed the transition to such Useful for online 49% payment methods. As those methods cards. Universities, on the other purchases become more widespread, prepaid can hand, are showing increased interest offer a comfortable alternative because in disbursement cards because it 38% Safer than cash the cardholder’s liability is limited if the provides a cheaper, faster alternative card is lost or compromised. But faith to writing checks for tuition rebates. in prepaid cards is not absolute: While Substitute for checking 16% most consumers trust network-branded Meanwhile, the gift-card segment account prepaid cards (62%) and retailer cards will continue to see modest growth, (57%), only 38% see prepaid as being compared to the significant 2011 0% 35% 70% safer than cash, according to the Vantiv/ market rebound driven by post- Mercator research. recession consumers’ renewed confidence in the stability of retailers. TRUSTING PREPAID General-purpose reloadable cards are This is a mature market, and the trend CARDS likely to see strong growth in the coming toward merchants seeing gift cards as Consumers trust prepaid year—perhaps 25%. What’s more, large marketing tools designed to drive traffic cards, particularly general- financial institutions may become more to the business will continue. As a result, purpose cards. Nearly half involved in the effort to convert more we are likely to see more incentives consider them useful in consumers as debit card usage slows.* associated with gift cards, as well as online purchases, a trust- However, this may take time, as banks efforts by merchants to integrate gift- worthy way to hedge sort out fee structures and look for card programs with their marketing/ e-commerce risks with convenient, multichannel approaches to promotions functions—areas that are limited personal data and card-loading, which is inhibited because still separate silos at many companies. account separation. 58% of bank customers are still not involved in online banking. Finally, several emerging approaches to prepaid bear watching. These include The prepaid-card arena has been digital, downloadable prepaid cards, growing more diverse, with various which essentially give the user a card types of cards serving different number online; and micro-lending needs—and that trend continues. The prepaid cards, which allow consumers coming year will see growth in the 15% to borrow small amounts from their to 20% range for customer rebate and financial institution and apply them to incentive cards and employee-reward their card, on the spot, when they need cards. Disbursement cards, often to make a larger purchase. * ue to Durbin-related costs and controls, D financial institutions are encouraging customers to roll from debit to prepaid cards by offering rewards/prewards for keeping cards loaded.
  • 8. 8 Mobile payments will be common 4. Smartphone Mercator’s own research shows that smartphone ownership at the 22% 7% Payments: On beginning of 2012 was 45%, up from 28% in 2011. In addition, in the Vantiv/ 10% 30% the Verge Mercator study, consumer awareness of mobile payments is now above 50%, 31% Smartphones are being used for and interest is at 20%—levels that a growing range of applications in typically represent a tipping point for a daily life—and that includes making technology’s widespread acceptance. payments. But so far, there has been By 2017, about 10% of consumers more buzz than actual usage. expect to be using mobile payments for I will use mobile payments small in-store and grocery purchases. 37% In the Vantiv/Mercator research, just 1.5% of consumers said that they have Merchant activities, too, will drive 18% made mobile payments. Interest and increased usage. There is a lack of 18% awareness are there—61% believe that in-store infrastructure for smartphone 19% mobile payments will be common in five payments. But as the push for EMV 8% years. But consumers appear to have compliance drives merchants to difficulty applying that to their own upgrade equipment, some may bring situations: only 38% see themselves on NFC capabilities, which are required ■ 1-2 years making mobile payments in five years. for smartphone payments, as part of ■ 2-5 years the upgrade. However, it is still not clear ■ 5+ years There are several reasons for this that NFC will be the winning technology, ■ No idea gap. Consumers have doubts about as a battle is raging between a number ■ Never smartphone security and see the of gatekeeping mechanisms, and some devices as vulnerable to hacking and merchants wait for a clear victor. easy to lose. They’re also concerned USING MOBILE about practical limitations, such as short Another driver is represented by PAYMENTS battery life and forgetting to carry their solutions such as “Square”—a card- phones. As a result, most consumers reader attachment for smartphones While 62% of respondents say even if they used a phone for that lets retailers use their phones expect that mobile pay- payments, they would keep a traditional to accept credit-card payments. ments will be common card as a backup. Smartphone-based card acceptance within the next five years, has reached 33.5% awareness and 5% only 36% expect that they The upshot: Smartphone payments are usage. For such a relatively new tool, themselves will be mak- not likely to take off in the next year. But this represents a strong foundation ing those payments. Not longer term, the picture is different due for growth and the beginning of a surprisingly, this percentage to several factors, including marketplace significant user base. Consequently, is higher among younger buzz. The increasing ubiquity of the says Ben Love, Vantiv’s vice president, respondents. devices is also creating momentum. product, “We think phone-based card
  • 9. 9 acceptance is an early incarnation of the at a pace that has surprised many merchant world by 2015.” observers. Merchants are finding Convenient 27% a number of in-store uses for the Ultimately, the actions of issuers will devices, allowing salespeople to gather be key to bringing consumers around. customer data and help customers find Today, many users simply don’t see a what they need, or letting shoppers reason to change. Just 1 in 4 regard browse through inventory themselves. Reliable 23% mobile wallets as convenient, and 1 “Merchants are finding them useful in 8 would prefer to use smartphone for streamlining in-store processes payment rather than a card. But issuers and engaging customers to increase are taking steps to pique consumer sales,” says Donald Boeding, president, interest with features such as coupon merchant services, at Vantiv. Secure 17% programs, location- and proximity-based marketing, and tools to help consumers Increasingly, merchants are also looking budget and manage spending. at the tablet as a mobile point-of- 0% 15% 30% sale (POS) device that can be used Rewards, too, may help: In the Vantiv to accept payments and provide an research, 27.5% of consumers regarded effective alternative to the traditional them as a potentially effective way to cash register—at perhaps a tenth of MOBILE PERCEPTIONS encourage the use of mobile payments. the price. While the use of tablets Consumers are taking a The research also found that for many to handle payments is still relatively “wait and see” approach to consumers, a 1% rebate from merchants new, the Vantiv/Mercator research payments via smartphone, at the point of sale would be an found that 17% of consumers have seeing phones as a some- effective incentive for adopting a new already used roving POS for in-store what convenient way to payment method. In short, says Love, payments—and that figure should pay—but not quite as “You can’t make things any easier than grow significantly, and quickly. reliable or secure. using a card, so you have to add value. You have to offer something more than Tablet-based payments are appealing convenience and provide a compelling not just because of lower costs, consumer experience.” but also because they can increase salespeople’s efficiency, shorten checkout lines, and contribute to a 5. Merchants: satisfying customer experience. In a shoe store, for example, a salesperson The Advent of the could use a tablet to check inventory without running to a storeroom, POS Tablet quickly locate the right type of shoe, and then have it retrieved for the Over the past year, merchants have customer. “If the customer likes the embraced iPads and other tablets product, the salesperson can just
  • 10. 10 hand the tablet to the customer, who banking evolves in the near future. Aware 51% can then fill out payment information and complete the sale online with “So far, many banks have essentially just secure, encrypted card acceptance,” transferred PC-based Internet banking says Boeding. The customer spends to mobile banking, so you can do things less time waiting, and the salesperson like check balances and transfer funds spends more time selling. from your phone,” says Ben Love, vice Interested 28% president, product, at Vantiv. “It’s a As this trend unfolds, we are likely to utility that provides convenience, but see tablets continue to evolve to fit it doesn’t really take advantage of the the often demanding requirements of device’s mobility. So we are going to various retail environments. An iPad see a lot of innovation in this space in Used 17% might not be suitable for a restaurant the near future, as banks try to make where people are spilling drinks mobile banking more compelling for and getting food on the device, for consumers.” example. This is leading to specialized 0% 30% 60% forms of tablets, with different One such innovation is mobile check functions and levels of physical deposit, which lets consumers use TABLETS TAKE OFF “hardening” for each type of retail their smartphones to photograph and environment. That specialization may deposit a check. This approach moves Merchant tablets may have also help with another tablet issue. “If beyond basic mobile banking and already hit the tipping point, you have a specialized device for, say, lets the customer avoid a trip to the with more than half of all ordering and paying in a restaurant,” bank branch, and it provides a proven respondents aware of this says Boeding, “customers are going value proposition for banks. USAA, a payment method and 17% to be less tempted to walk away pioneer in mobile check deposit, has saying they’ve already with it, compared to a new, general- seen rapid acceptance of the process, used it. This percentage is purpose iPad.” reporting that customers used the slightly higher among feature to deposit 7.8 million checks smartphone users. totaling $4.3 billion in 2011. Not 6. Heading Toward surprisingly, there is a lot of interest in this method among consumers Mobile Banking 3.0 and banks alike, and it is expected to become increasingly widespread in the Mobile banking is garnering a great deal coming months. of attention, with nearly half the banks in an internal Vantiv survey saying they Meanwhile, many observers see the expect to invest in it in the coming year. addition of wallet-based payment But banks have a significant opportunity capabilities as a logical next step in to take things to the next level—and mobile banking. “The industry is already that may have an impact on how mobile starting on that path, and we will
  • 11. 11 see much more of that,” says Love. Banks’ interest in wallets is certainly 7. P2P: Getting Aware 24% growing—but so is the interest of other parties, from Google and Consumers to Amazon to numerous large retailers. Vantiv estimates that there are more Come Along than 80 wallets in development or on There has been much discussion about the market and that there may be as person-to-person payments for several Interested 22% many as 250 by the end of the year. years. Indeed, P2P is already a common The result is an often-confusing array form of payment in much of the world, being presented to consumers. with consumers in many countries able to easily make account-to-account But banks have strengths that may transfers (A2A) to other individuals and Used 3% stand out in that mix. Consumers— businesses. In the U.S., however, P2P—a worried, as always, about security— key form of A2A—has not taken off. may see their banks as a safe and simple wallet option. “The bank Part of the problem is that consumers 0% 15% 30% already has your personal and financial don’t seem sure how mobile P2P would information, so there is a level of fit into their lives. Forty-seven percent GAINING FAMILIARITY trust already established,” says Love. said that they don’t see a need for it, “And if you have a mobile banking 38.5% have security concerns, and just While mobile person-to- application, it makes a lot of sense to 22% said they were interested. person payments have taken just seamlessly add payments to off outside the U.S., that’s that, rather than use a number of Many observers think that increased not the case here, where other wallets.” familiarity will, in the long run, make P2P only 3% of Vantiv/Mercator a common tool in the U.S. “There is real respondents reported using All of this can be seen as the potential for P2P payments, especially this method—largely, it emergence of “mobile banking 3.0,” for unanticipated transactions that appears, because they don’t says Love. “We’re moving toward need to happen rapidly, such as paying yet see the need for it. mobile personal financial management, medical bills or car repairs,” says Dean where the consumer not only has Seifert, senior vice president, product banking functions, but can also use strategy, at Vantiv. Interestingly, the phone to do budgeting, receive P2P has gained some traction alerts about overspending, get offers among individuals making payments from third parties, and so on. At that to tradespeople and other small point, mobile banking starts to really businesses. “The original thought was contribute to the customer relationship that two individuals might use P2P and loyalty. And this will probably to split the check at lunch, that sort happen sooner than a lot of of thing,” says Seifert. “But so far it’s people expect.” been a consumer-to-small-business
  • 12. 12 tool. The average transaction value is money movement, and charging a fee Credit/charge 41% more than $300, rather than, say, $20.” for these premium, faster transactions. card Ultimately, banks will also need to The coming year should see consumer provide P2P capabilities across awareness of P2P increase considerably. channels—on-line, in-branch, mobile, Debit card 31% There are a growing number of and ATM—for consumer convenience. providers, from Paypal to Amazon, and “Right now, P2P is really a blip in the many observers see the possibility of overall payments market, but it will Online payment players such as Google and Facebook eventually grow quickly,” says Seifert. (e.g., PayPal) 16% moving into the space. Many banks have “As long as the fees are lower than wire started to embrace P2P and A2A in transfers and the speed is faster, it will earnest, and last year Bank of America, catch on.“ General-purpose Chase, and Wells Fargo created prepaid 3% “clearXchange,” a back-end system for 0% 25% 50% processing P2P payments. 8. Online Heads Nevertheless, there are some obstacles. One issue is time: Many P2P payment Into Offline SECURITY STILL services rely on the ACH network, When it comes to making payments IMPORTANT ONLINE which means that it can take a few online, consumers have a clear sense days for payments to clear. Payments of their options. The Vantiv/Mercator For purchases made online, made through services such as PayPal research found high levels of awareness respondents said they pre- can go through in minutes, but only if (more than 80%) for online methods of ferred credit cards, in large both parties have accounts with the credit and debit, PayPal, ACH debit, and measure due to “zero li- service—which makes it fairly unsuitable online bill payment. Credit and charge ability.” Debit cards followed for everyday, one-off transactions. cards are still the preferred way to closely, with online payment Otherwise, such transfers can take days. purchase online, but other options will methods such as PayPal Consumers may also feel that current gain ground in the near future. showing potential. P2P services require too much effort, with the need to open accounts, go For consumers paying online, security online to approve incoming transfers, and the risk of identity theft are and so forth. top of mind. Credit cards provide some comfort: More than half the The industry is working to address such respondents cited the “zero liability” issues. Already, some institutions allow of cards as a key factor behind their consumers to send payments to credit online use. Roughly the same proportion cards using a common bill payment said that prepaid cards, which limit network, such as MasterCard’s RPPS. exposure, are useful in making online Others are seeing value in using their payments. But looking ahead, worries debit “rails” in reverse for real-time about security are likely to increase
  • 13. 13 the appeal of intermediaries, such as has launched its V.me wallet for online Amazon, because they allow consumers shopping, which lets consumers pay to enter their card number once for using MasterCard, Discover, or American Aware 36% use with multiple vendors, rather than Express, as well as Visa cards. separately with different vendors. In the Vantiv/Mercator research, 45.5% of Those moves are part of a larger consumers said that they view PayPal trend toward the increasing overlap of online security as being better than that physical commerce and e-commerce—a Interested 12% of credit or debit cards. trend that is likely to accelerate in the coming months. With mobile Indeed, there is growing interest smartphone payments, tablets being in such online payment methods, used in stores, ubiquitous wireless including e-wallet initiatives such as connections, and changing consumer Used 4% Google Checkout that let consumers payment behaviors, “e-commerce is no make purchases without having to longer something you do from your PC enter credit card numbers. What’s at home—it’s now taking place in the more, those methods are moving from store itself,” says Weingart. 0% 20% 40% their e-commerce roots into the brick- and-mortar world. “PayPal, Amazon, WILL VIRTUAL GET and iTunes are cloud-based wallets and have the potential to take their 9. Social Network REAL? e-commerce approach down to the in- store point of sale,” says Bill Weingart, Payments: Entering Although spending on virtual goods is growing chief product officer at Vantiv. With financial information stored by these the Real World? rapidly, social media payments are of limited intermediaries in the cloud, shoppers Consumers are buying a growing interest to consumers. could check out with minimal risk using number of virtual goods used in online While more than a third are an ID number and PIN, he explains. social network games—things like familiar with it, only 12% swords and magic wands for multi- are interested and only 4% “It’s highly probable that we will be player games, or cows and tractors for have used it. seeing more of the e-commerce Farmville. Nevertheless, only 36% of wallets being used in brick and mortar,” consumers have heard of these social Weingart continues. “PayPal clearly has network payments; 12% say they are a vision to be an acceptance option at interested in them, and just 4% are the retail point of sale, and there’s an using them, according to the Vantiv/ expectation that Amazon and Apple Mercator research. Nonetheless, this will want to do the same and take their is a rapidly growing area, with U.S. brands from the virtual to the real consumers spending more than $2.3 world.” That trend is also proving to be billion on virtual goods last year, up a two-way street: Visa, for example, from $1.8 billion in 2009, according to
  • 14. 14 Unauthorized charges 86% the Frank N. Magid Associates con- sulting firm. 10. The Regulatory Unexpected The question is, how will this play out Landscape: 84% fees in the non-virtual world of paying for actual goods and services? Already, Unending Change Store charge 80% there is beginning to be some overlap The past several years have seen for card use of the virtual and the real. “Facebook, heightened regulatory scrutiny and new for example, is allowing people to use legislation affecting financial activities; Debit card declined 78% Facebook credits to purchase real this year, those changes are having a goods from merchants,” says Ben significant impact. The ramifications Credit card Love, vice president, product, at Vantiv. of the CARD Act and the Durbin 77% declined “They are doing this in a small way so Amendment are being sorted out, while far, but that may grow.” new 1099-K rules placing significant Doesn’t work 71% reporting requirements on payment abroad However, virtual payments will need to providers and merchants are being rolled Purchase overcome some obstacles to become out through 2013. information 66% widespread in the real world. Because revealed virtual transactions are relatively high- Even as companies work through these 0 50 100 risk, providers typically charge 30% or changes, new ones are appearing on more to handle them. “That also means the horizon—and it can be difficult to that sellers have to wait days for pay- keep track of it all. The Financial Crimes PERCEPTIONS WILL ment while the intermediary makes sure Enforcement Network, for example, DRIVE CHANGE there are no chargebacks,” says Love. has issued new reporting and record- Thus, social-network payment methods keeping requirements that affect the When ranking the worst will need to find approaches to pricing use of open-loop prepaid cards. And payment experiences they and timing that will appeal to broader a number of observers expect to see face, respondents noted, audiences. Security, too, will need to be government agencies start tailoring in particular, unauthorized more robust. “As virtual currencies are regulations to the emerging use of charges, unexpected fees, used for more real goods, they become social media in financial activities. and stores charging for more valuable to more people—and card use. that is likely to increase the potential for A key development to watch will be the fraud to a level they aren’t dealing with activities of the Consumer Financial today,” says Love. Protection Bureau, created last July and now getting into full swing. The CFPB These challenges are significant but presents an especially big question not insurmountable, Love adds: “This mark because of its exceptionally is a fast-changing area, and social net- broad mandate. “It essentially looks at works have a history of innovation. So anyone who provides financial services this bears watching.” to consumers or businesses—which
  • 15. 15 is just about anything that touches a transaction,” says David Herron, product Conclusion Early adopters may rush to try new legal counsel at Vantiv. “It is staffing up The currents moving through the indus- and will be looking in a lot of directions.” try are complex, intertwined, and often methods, but most The CFPB has been hearing credit card disruptive. However, two things are crystal consumers want complaints since it was launched, and clear: New challenges are arising on the something more. it recently expanded its efforts into operational and regulatory fronts, and cus- checking accounts. By early 2012, the tomer expectations for ease of use and They want to see bureau announced that it had received security are rising. By assessing the situ- how new approaches more than 20,000 complaints on various ation, exploring consumer attitudes, and will improve upon topics, including some 12,000 about continuing the discussion, we can contend credit cards. with developments as they unfold. what they have. Consumer perceptions may also drive As these 10 trends demonstrate, success change. Herron says that consumers will require deeper expertise, the ability to generally see the increased bank fees that learn from broad experience, innovation, have resulted from recent legislation, but and the agility to stay in step with chang- they haven’t seen the expected benefits ing customer attitudes and technologies. of lower costs being passed along from retailers. “That may produce a backlash It’s no longer just about share of wallet. against the existing legislation, as well It’s about owning a customer relation- as drive more complaints to regulators,” ship by creating value. As a result, com- he says. The Vantiv/Mercator research panies will need to heighten their focus provides some insight into the potential on consumers. A key lesson in the Vantiv/ nature of those complaints. Among the Mercator research is that “build it and they most-cited bad-payment experiences: will come” is not effective in the world of unexpected fees for using credit/debit payments. Early adopters may rush to try (84%), and being charged extra by stores new methods, but most consumers want to use a payment type (80%). something more. They want to see how new approaches will improve upon what Finally, the U.S. presidential elections they have now—how they will save time are also likely to affect the regulatory and money, make payments more con- landscape, one way or another. “There venient, and strengthen their confidence have already been minority calls in that information and funds are safe. Congress to repeal parts of Durbin,” says Herron. “A new Congress might be open It is up to the industry to help consum- to those calls. And depending on the ers reach that understanding—and to eventual makeup of Congress, we may see keep driving improvements that work for another run at credit card legislation when consumers while enabling merchants and the dust settles from the elections.” financial institutions to thrive.
  • 16. About Vantiv Vantiv LLC is one of the leading integrated payment processors in the United States. Known as Fifth Third Processing Solutions since 1971, the company, headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, changed its name to Vantiv in 2011, and became a public company in 2012. Vantiv’s credit, debit, prepaid, and data security solutions help businesses and financial institutions of all sizes get the most out of payment activities. Vantiv Corporate Headquarters 8500 Governors Hill Drive, Cincinnati, OH 45249 866-622-2880 | www.vantiv.com TL0001 4/12