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Monetary  Policy Alan Greenspan:  Was The 2 nd  most powerful Person in the US.  the  “ Fed ”
GOALS OF MONETARY POLICY … to assist the economy in achieving a   full employment , noninflationary   level of output Ben Bernanke :  The New   Man in charge at the Fed: Took over January 2006.  Scored 1590 on SAT
The Federal Reserve - 1913
The   FOMC Meeting Room   in   Washington DC The  FOMC meets  around  a  27-foot oval mahogany table  in a room  with a  23-foot ceiling   with  a  1,000-pound  chandelier .
New reserves $800 Excess Reserves $ 4000 Money created  thru Bank Lending Mischa Barton  Deposits   $1,000  In Her  Bank [ RR is 20 % ] $ 200 RR $ 1000 Initial Deposit TMS  is  $ 5,000 Mischa from the  O.C.  [member of the public] Mischa Barton’s
New reserves $1,000 Excess Reserves $ 5,000 New money Created thru lending Fed  buys a $ 1,000  Bond from   Mischa’s  Bank TMS  is  $5000 20% RR Fed Mischa Barton’s
The Fed’s 25 Branches
Functions of the Fed Refund Check Destroy/Issue paper notes
4.  Several Thousand Member Banks
Recent GDP
“ When the party gets too good, it’s the job  of the Fed to take away the punch bowl.”   The  Fed’s  policy  is  “If you see inflation,  its  too late. Whip it before it gets out of the box.” During a recession, the Fed is happy to  “spike the punch.”
If  The  Economy  Is  Exceeding  The FE GDP Speed Limit Of 4% -
Beating the Inflation Dragon
See if you can understand some    “GREEN-SPEAK”
“ For Richer  or   For Poorer ” For  Andrea,  it took  12 years  to get a  marriage proposal she could understand.  [She got 3, but didn’t understand  what he was saying]
G reenspan  S worn in for a  5 th  4 -year  T erm
Last P aragraph of  Mr. Greenspan’s Marriage Proposal ,[object Object],[object Object],This was Greenspeak for ,  “Will You Marry Me?”
Y R   Real GDP D M Investment Demand Reall Interest Rate 10 8 6 0 Money Market   QID1   “ Easy Money” During Recessions MS 1 AS AD 1 P 1 10 8 6 0 MS 2 P 2 Price level Buy If there is  RECESSION MS will be increased. QID2 D I Y* “ Easy Money” – (Buy/Sell)  bonds, which   (increase/decrease)  MS,  which  (increase/decrease) interest rates,  which (appreciate/depreciate) the  dollar,  which   (increase/decrease) C, Ig,  &  Xn,  which  (increase/decrease ) AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp.   E 1 E 2 AD 2 “ Students, should the Fed  increase or decrease the money supply?” Jobs are tough to get. LRAS
D I AD 1 Y I D m Investment Demand Reall Interest Rate 10 8 6 0 Money Market QID 2   AS 10 8 6 0 P 2 MS 1 P 1 MS 2 If there is INFLATION , MS will be decreased. Sell QID 1 Y * “ Tight Money” during Inflation “ Tight Money”  – (Buy/Sell) bonds,  which   (incr/decr) the MS, which  (incr/decr) in. rates,  which   (apprec/deprec) the dollar, which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn, which  (incr/decr) AD, PL, &  GDP. E 1 E 2 AD 2 “ Now, should I  buy  or  sell ?” “ I’ll get rid of some money.” LRAS
Y R   Y *   Investment Demand 9 % 6% 3 % 0 Money Market   $50   $60 AS AD 1 PL 1 9 % 6 % 3 % 0 MS 2 AD 2 PL 2 $70 Y I AD 3 D I D m PL 3 MS 1 MS 3 $100   120   140 Q I D I =$50] I =$60 I =$70 RDO The ideal economy is  AD 2 , with I.R.  at  6%   &  Ig  at   $60  billion .
Fed Review ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
First Board of Governors, 1914
Scored 1590 on SAT VP
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Three Tools Of Monetary Policy
2.  Reserve Requirement -  most powerful (seldom used) - affects money creation by  changing ER  and   the  multiplier -  an  increase of   ½ of 1 %   would  increase   bank reserves  by  over $5  billion - RR was  20%  from  1937-1958   Sledgehammer  of  M onetary  P olicy RR -  Atomic Bomb of Monetary Policy
$10,000 [$9,000+$1,000] [In 1980,  the  RR  was set at  12%; stayed  there until  1992;  went to  10%] “ E asy  M oney ” AS AD 1 AD 2 Y R  Y * PL $1,000 Initial deposit $900 [$900x10] $1,000 $810 $729 Monetary Expansion [10% RR] [1/.10=10] “ Easy Money” The Reserve Requirement “ Easy Money”  – increase the money supply
$5,000 [$4,000+$1,000] “ Tight Money”   -   decrease the money suply RR at 20% - Tight Money Monetary Expansion (20% RR) [1/.20=M D  of 5] “ Tight Money” $1,000 Initial  deposit $800 $640 $512
3.  Discount Rate    Fed loans  to  banks Hurricane EarthQuake FL borrowed $99 million In 1991
Part of Uncle Sam’s Menu
 
Strengths of Monetary Policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Shortcomings and problems better at  fighting inflation  than  fighting depressions ] Fiscal Policy better Monetary Policy better
Only “fiscal or monetary policy” can get me back on my feet and allow “Sam” to get back up. “ Help”
Presidents try to put a positive spin  on a  struggling  economy
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Discount Rate The Reserve Ratio Open Market Operations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Easy Money” Fed
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Discount Rate The Reserve Ratio Open Market Operations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Got to  decrease  the MS.” Fed
The End

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The Federal Reserve

  • 1. Monetary Policy Alan Greenspan: Was The 2 nd most powerful Person in the US. the “ Fed ”
  • 2. GOALS OF MONETARY POLICY … to assist the economy in achieving a full employment , noninflationary level of output Ben Bernanke : The New Man in charge at the Fed: Took over January 2006. Scored 1590 on SAT
  • 4. The FOMC Meeting Room in Washington DC The FOMC meets around a 27-foot oval mahogany table in a room with a 23-foot ceiling with a 1,000-pound chandelier .
  • 5. New reserves $800 Excess Reserves $ 4000 Money created thru Bank Lending Mischa Barton Deposits $1,000 In Her Bank [ RR is 20 % ] $ 200 RR $ 1000 Initial Deposit TMS is $ 5,000 Mischa from the O.C. [member of the public] Mischa Barton’s
  • 6. New reserves $1,000 Excess Reserves $ 5,000 New money Created thru lending Fed buys a $ 1,000 Bond from Mischa’s Bank TMS is $5000 20% RR Fed Mischa Barton’s
  • 8. Functions of the Fed Refund Check Destroy/Issue paper notes
  • 9. 4. Several Thousand Member Banks
  • 11. “ When the party gets too good, it’s the job of the Fed to take away the punch bowl.” The Fed’s policy is “If you see inflation, its too late. Whip it before it gets out of the box.” During a recession, the Fed is happy to “spike the punch.”
  • 12. If The Economy Is Exceeding The FE GDP Speed Limit Of 4% -
  • 14. See if you can understand some “GREEN-SPEAK”
  • 15. “ For Richer or For Poorer ” For Andrea, it took 12 years to get a marriage proposal she could understand. [She got 3, but didn’t understand what he was saying]
  • 16. G reenspan S worn in for a 5 th 4 -year T erm
  • 17.
  • 18. Y R Real GDP D M Investment Demand Reall Interest Rate 10 8 6 0 Money Market QID1 “ Easy Money” During Recessions MS 1 AS AD 1 P 1 10 8 6 0 MS 2 P 2 Price level Buy If there is RECESSION MS will be increased. QID2 D I Y* “ Easy Money” – (Buy/Sell) bonds, which (increase/decrease) MS, which (increase/decrease) interest rates, which (appreciate/depreciate) the dollar, which (increase/decrease) C, Ig, & Xn, which (increase/decrease ) AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp. E 1 E 2 AD 2 “ Students, should the Fed increase or decrease the money supply?” Jobs are tough to get. LRAS
  • 19. D I AD 1 Y I D m Investment Demand Reall Interest Rate 10 8 6 0 Money Market QID 2 AS 10 8 6 0 P 2 MS 1 P 1 MS 2 If there is INFLATION , MS will be decreased. Sell QID 1 Y * “ Tight Money” during Inflation “ Tight Money” – (Buy/Sell) bonds, which (incr/decr) the MS, which (incr/decr) in. rates, which (apprec/deprec) the dollar, which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn, which (incr/decr) AD, PL, & GDP. E 1 E 2 AD 2 “ Now, should I buy or sell ?” “ I’ll get rid of some money.” LRAS
  • 20. Y R Y * Investment Demand 9 % 6% 3 % 0 Money Market $50 $60 AS AD 1 PL 1 9 % 6 % 3 % 0 MS 2 AD 2 PL 2 $70 Y I AD 3 D I D m PL 3 MS 1 MS 3 $100 120 140 Q I D I =$50] I =$60 I =$70 RDO The ideal economy is AD 2 , with I.R. at 6% & Ig at $60 billion .
  • 21.
  • 22. First Board of Governors, 1914
  • 23. Scored 1590 on SAT VP
  • 24.
  • 25. 2. Reserve Requirement - most powerful (seldom used) - affects money creation by changing ER and the multiplier - an increase of ½ of 1 % would increase bank reserves by over $5 billion - RR was 20% from 1937-1958 Sledgehammer of M onetary P olicy RR - Atomic Bomb of Monetary Policy
  • 26. $10,000 [$9,000+$1,000] [In 1980, the RR was set at 12%; stayed there until 1992; went to 10%] “ E asy M oney ” AS AD 1 AD 2 Y R Y * PL $1,000 Initial deposit $900 [$900x10] $1,000 $810 $729 Monetary Expansion [10% RR] [1/.10=10] “ Easy Money” The Reserve Requirement “ Easy Money” – increase the money supply
  • 27. $5,000 [$4,000+$1,000] “ Tight Money” - decrease the money suply RR at 20% - Tight Money Monetary Expansion (20% RR) [1/.20=M D of 5] “ Tight Money” $1,000 Initial deposit $800 $640 $512
  • 28. 3. Discount Rate Fed loans to banks Hurricane EarthQuake FL borrowed $99 million In 1991
  • 29. Part of Uncle Sam’s Menu
  • 30.  
  • 31.
  • 32. Only “fiscal or monetary policy” can get me back on my feet and allow “Sam” to get back up. “ Help”
  • 33. Presidents try to put a positive spin on a struggling economy
  • 34.
  • 35.