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Industry Trends Report Wrap-up

Greg Horn
Vice President, Industry Relations
February 2012
Agenda for Today:

           •         An update on the Property Casualty Industry
           •         New Car sales, used car used car sales
           •         An update of Mitchell’s latest KPI’s
           •         Recap of this quarter’s feature article
           •         Rust in Peace
           •         New Auto Technology




2/10/2012 | Page 2                       Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Property Casualty Financials

           • The P & C insurance industry saw net income after taxes fall to
             under $8 Billion for the first nine months of 2011, about 60% less
             than the prior year.
           • The industry’s combined ratio climbed to 109.9 in the first nine
             months of 2011 compared to 101.2 in 2010.




| Page 3                           Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Collision Paid Claim Frequency Per 100 Cars

                      5.9
                     5.85
                      5.8
                     5.75
                      5.7
                     5.65
                      5.6
                     5.55
                      5.5
                     5.45
                      5.4
                     5.35




                                                             Through Q3 2011




2/10/2012 | Page 4                            Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Comprehensive Paid Claim Frequency Per 100 Cars
                            7.2

                             7

                            6.8

                            6.6

                            6.4

                            6.2

                             6

                            5.8

                            5.6

                            5.4




                                                     Through Q3 2011




2/10/2012 | Page 5                               Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Property Damage Paid Claim Frequency Per 100 Cars
                      3.6

                     3.55

                      3.5

                     3.45

                      3.4

                     3.35

                      3.3

                     3.25




                                          Through Q3 2011




2/10/2012 | Page 6                          Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Mitchell Key Performance Indicators




| Page 7                    Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
| Page 8   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
| Page 11   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
| Page 12   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
| Page 13   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
| Page 14   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Parts use by model year




| Page 15            Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
The Number of parts by part type by model year




| Page 16                     Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
The dollars spent by part type by model year




| Page 17                     Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
U.S. Vehicle sales data




| Page 18                      Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
New vehicle sales for 2011

            • Globally, Car makers sold 77.7 Million vehicles
            • That’s 8,900 vehicles every hour!
            • US sales are headed for full-year 2011 volume of about 13.4
              million vehicles, 10 percent higher than 2010




| Page 19                          Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
What is the top selling luxury brand in the US?




• BMW’s U.S. sales rose 15 percent to 26,834 in December, for an
  annual total of 247,907

•   Mercedes said its sales last month climbed 28 percent to 25,701,
    pushing its tally for the year to 245,192.

• U.S. sales at Lexus dropped 13 percent last year to 198,552 units -
  - the first time volume dropped below 200,000 units since 1999.




                         Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Used vehicle sales

• Used vehicle sales totaled 38,792.169 for all of 2011, up 5.2
  percent from the prior year.

• December volume surged 11.98 percent, to 3,142,513.

• The year, as a whole saw a surge in private party, or consumer-to-
  consumer, sales, especially in the final months of 2011.




                        Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Electric Vehicles in the future

            • A survey by KPMG of global auto maker executives finds a
              nominal increase for electric vehicle sales over the next 13 years.
            • However, most of the executives surveyed believe the industry
              will continue putting larger investments into EV technology -- just
              in case.
            • Nearly Two-thirds of the executives surveyed believe that
              combined hybrid and electric-vehicle sales will account for as
              little as 6 percent of the market in the U.S. and Western Europe
              by 2025.


 KPMG’s survey of automaker CEO’s




| Page 22                           Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Rust in Peace




| Page 23                   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Rust in Peace- Vehicles that died in 2011




| Page 24                     Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Rust in Peace




| Page 25                   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
| Page 26   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
| Page 27   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Rust in Peace




| Page 28                   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
The Detroit Auto Show highlights




| Page 29                   Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
But one car model didn’t die, but should have




| Page 30                     Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
New Ford Fusion




| Page 31                     Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
2012 Dodge Dart




| Page 32                     Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
2012 Hyundai Elantra




| Page 33                    Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Your vote for car of the year:


            A. Ford Fusion

            B. Dodge Dart

            C. Hyundai Elantra




| Page 34                        Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
New vehicle technology




| Page 35                  Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Volkswagen to help avoid speed traps

              The traffic signs recognition
              system being developed by
              Volkswagen Group Research
              receives a signal from each
              applicable road sign and
              sends an audible and digital
              message to the driver.




Image courtesy Volkswagen Gruppe GMBH

  | Page 36                             Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Ethanol Boosted Direct Injection

   • Automotive technology specialist
     Ricardo has developed a technology
     that optimizes ethanol-fuelled
     engines to a level of performance
     that exceeds gasoline engine
     efficiency comes close to diesel
     engines. Ethanol Boosted Direct
     Injection (EBDI), takes advantage of
     ethanol’s best properties higher
     heat of vaporization
   • Current E85 engines are about 30%
     less efficient than running on regular
     87 octane fuel


| Page 37                     Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Active Sound exhaust system


                                                                                                                             Although Pontiac created a
                                                                                                                             muffler bypass for the GTO
                                                                                                                             back in 1970;

                                                                                                                             German company Eberspächer
            Eberspächer “Aktiv Sound”                                                                                        has created an adjustable
                                                                                                                             exhaust sound system.

                                                                                                                             Using a steering wheel
                                                                                                                             mounted volume control, you
                                                                                                                             can adjust the exhaust system
                                                                                                                             sound




  Images courtesy Pontiac GTO Club and Wirtshafts Woche
| Page 38                                                 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
Upcoming events

    • Orlando, FL- PPG Platinum distributors conference February 23rd

    • Naples, FL- Mitchell Property Casualty conference, March 18-20

    • Maui, HI- Standox Partnership in Excellence conference, March 28-30

    • Phoenix, AZ- Toyota Motor Sales Conference, May 8-9

    • Scottsdale, AZ- Parts, Body & Equipment Sales conference, May 16-17




| Page 39                     Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
•   Sign up the Industry Trends Report
    and look for my articles in the
    following publications




                                  Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.

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Industry Trends Live Q1 2012

  • 1. Industry Trends Report Wrap-up Greg Horn Vice President, Industry Relations February 2012
  • 2. Agenda for Today: • An update on the Property Casualty Industry • New Car sales, used car used car sales • An update of Mitchell’s latest KPI’s • Recap of this quarter’s feature article • Rust in Peace • New Auto Technology 2/10/2012 | Page 2 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 3. Property Casualty Financials • The P & C insurance industry saw net income after taxes fall to under $8 Billion for the first nine months of 2011, about 60% less than the prior year. • The industry’s combined ratio climbed to 109.9 in the first nine months of 2011 compared to 101.2 in 2010. | Page 3 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 4. Collision Paid Claim Frequency Per 100 Cars 5.9 5.85 5.8 5.75 5.7 5.65 5.6 5.55 5.5 5.45 5.4 5.35 Through Q3 2011 2/10/2012 | Page 4 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 5. Comprehensive Paid Claim Frequency Per 100 Cars 7.2 7 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.2 6 5.8 5.6 5.4 Through Q3 2011 2/10/2012 | Page 5 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 6. Property Damage Paid Claim Frequency Per 100 Cars 3.6 3.55 3.5 3.45 3.4 3.35 3.3 3.25 Through Q3 2011 2/10/2012 | Page 6 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 7. Mitchell Key Performance Indicators | Page 7 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 8. | Page 8 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 9. Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 10. Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 11. | Page 11 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 12. | Page 12 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 13. | Page 13 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 14. | Page 14 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 15. Parts use by model year | Page 15 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 16. The Number of parts by part type by model year | Page 16 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 17. The dollars spent by part type by model year | Page 17 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 18. U.S. Vehicle sales data | Page 18 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 19. New vehicle sales for 2011 • Globally, Car makers sold 77.7 Million vehicles • That’s 8,900 vehicles every hour! • US sales are headed for full-year 2011 volume of about 13.4 million vehicles, 10 percent higher than 2010 | Page 19 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 20. What is the top selling luxury brand in the US? • BMW’s U.S. sales rose 15 percent to 26,834 in December, for an annual total of 247,907 • Mercedes said its sales last month climbed 28 percent to 25,701, pushing its tally for the year to 245,192. • U.S. sales at Lexus dropped 13 percent last year to 198,552 units - - the first time volume dropped below 200,000 units since 1999. Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 21. Used vehicle sales • Used vehicle sales totaled 38,792.169 for all of 2011, up 5.2 percent from the prior year. • December volume surged 11.98 percent, to 3,142,513. • The year, as a whole saw a surge in private party, or consumer-to- consumer, sales, especially in the final months of 2011. Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 22. Electric Vehicles in the future • A survey by KPMG of global auto maker executives finds a nominal increase for electric vehicle sales over the next 13 years. • However, most of the executives surveyed believe the industry will continue putting larger investments into EV technology -- just in case. • Nearly Two-thirds of the executives surveyed believe that combined hybrid and electric-vehicle sales will account for as little as 6 percent of the market in the U.S. and Western Europe by 2025. KPMG’s survey of automaker CEO’s | Page 22 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 23. Rust in Peace | Page 23 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 24. Rust in Peace- Vehicles that died in 2011 | Page 24 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 25. Rust in Peace | Page 25 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 26. | Page 26 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 27. | Page 27 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 28. Rust in Peace | Page 28 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 29. The Detroit Auto Show highlights | Page 29 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 30. But one car model didn’t die, but should have | Page 30 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 31. New Ford Fusion | Page 31 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 32. 2012 Dodge Dart | Page 32 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 33. 2012 Hyundai Elantra | Page 33 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 34. Your vote for car of the year: A. Ford Fusion B. Dodge Dart C. Hyundai Elantra | Page 34 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 35. New vehicle technology | Page 35 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 36. Volkswagen to help avoid speed traps The traffic signs recognition system being developed by Volkswagen Group Research receives a signal from each applicable road sign and sends an audible and digital message to the driver. Image courtesy Volkswagen Gruppe GMBH | Page 36 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 37. Ethanol Boosted Direct Injection • Automotive technology specialist Ricardo has developed a technology that optimizes ethanol-fuelled engines to a level of performance that exceeds gasoline engine efficiency comes close to diesel engines. Ethanol Boosted Direct Injection (EBDI), takes advantage of ethanol’s best properties higher heat of vaporization • Current E85 engines are about 30% less efficient than running on regular 87 octane fuel | Page 37 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 38. Active Sound exhaust system Although Pontiac created a muffler bypass for the GTO back in 1970; German company Eberspächer Eberspächer “Aktiv Sound” has created an adjustable exhaust sound system. Using a steering wheel mounted volume control, you can adjust the exhaust system sound Images courtesy Pontiac GTO Club and Wirtshafts Woche | Page 38 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 39. Upcoming events • Orlando, FL- PPG Platinum distributors conference February 23rd • Naples, FL- Mitchell Property Casualty conference, March 18-20 • Maui, HI- Standox Partnership in Excellence conference, March 28-30 • Phoenix, AZ- Toyota Motor Sales Conference, May 8-9 • Scottsdale, AZ- Parts, Body & Equipment Sales conference, May 16-17 | Page 39 Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.
  • 40. Sign up the Industry Trends Report and look for my articles in the following publications Confidential and Proprietary. ©2011 Mitchell International, Inc.