What happened while you were on vacation

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Did you get away for an early winter break in January? Well, if you did, here’s what you’ve missed already this year. Based on trends in January, 2014 is shaping up to be a very exciting year in the Puget Sound region's apartment market.

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Was ist angesagt?

Declaration of half way

Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, Inc

We usually talk about trends for 20-unit and larger apartments. But there are a lot more investors involved in smaller rental properties like single-family rentals, multiplexes, and 5 to 19 unit apartment buildings. This spring we surveyed just over 2,200 20-unit and larger properties for our Apartment Vacancy Report and more than 6,400 smaller properties for our 1-19 Unit rent & Vacancy Report. So this week we will talk about some of the trends we found in King County from our smaller property survey.

Small property performance

Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, Inc

Forecasts are beautiful things to observe. Okay, maybe not as beautiful as a Chihuly glass garden. But just as fragile. That’s why the first rule of forecasting is, don’t. And the second rule is, if you must forecast, do it often. We won’t update our forecast for rents, vacancies, net income, development, and price trends until October. But since we’re almost half way through 2014 this is a good time to look at two key factors that will impact our next forecast.

Beautiful but fragile

Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, Inc

Single-family rentals versus apartments

Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, Inc

Can demand match development?

Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, Inc

More is ... More

Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, Inc

How are new units selling?

Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, Inc

Demand fuel

Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, Inc

Was ist angesagt? (8)

Declaration of half way

Small property performance

Beautiful but fragile

Single-family rentals versus apartments

Can demand match development?

More is ... More

How are new units selling?

Demand fuel

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According to the two finest philosophers of the past 100 years, when you are negotiating to buy an apartment building you have to decide on one of two strategies. The philosophers, Jagger & Richards in their 1968 treatise, “Let it Bleed”, identified the “Get what you want strategy” and suggested an alternate “Get what you need strategy.” Let’s start with the “get what you want” strategy.

Negotiating? Think "Let it bleed"

Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors, Inc

A lot of investors are bullish on our region’s apartment market. They have seen rents climb over the past few years and expect more of the same. Others are worried that new development will increase vacancies and lower rents and values. The key is for investors to look at all of the inflationary and deflationary trends in the market, not just the one thing they might be fixated on today. It’s like the Patriots letting air out of footballs. Let's see how.

Is deflation patriotic?

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