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Electric Breakout:
    Can't We All Just Get Along?

 The Case for Consistently Treating
and Incorporating Energy Efficiency
into the Regional Planning Process

     Mid-Atlantic Regulatory Conference
         Rapid City, South Dakota
                June 6, 2011
MEEA’s Role in the Midwest
•   Nonprofit serving 13 Midwest states
•   10 years serving utilities, states and communities
•   Staff of 23 in Chicago
•   Actions
    –   Advancing Energy Efficiency Policy
    –   Designing & Administering EE Programs
    –   Delivering Training & Workshops
    –   Coordinating Utility Program Efforts
    –   Regional Voice for DOE/EPA & ENERGY STAR
    –   Evaluating & Promoting Emerging Technologies
Transmission
• More than 160,000 miles of high voltage transmission
  lines in the U.S.
• The system can be strained for a variety of reasons,
  including
  –   High growing population centers
  –   Renewable resources not near existing lines
  –   The need to incorporate intermittent power sources
  –   Serving functions for which it may not have been designed
      to serve
• Grid is designed to take supply but how can Energy
  Efficiency be treated as a dispatched energy supply?
Role of Efficiency and the Grid
• EE Can Help Relieve the Grid Strain
  – Moderates growing energy demand
  – Reduce peak energy demand
  – Savings can be quantified and forecasted
• EE can help reduce the future demand and the
  need to build new power plants and transmission
  lines
• Make utilities whole for losing energy sales
  – Slowed demand defers generation and T&D investments
  – Allow for lost revenue recovery
  – Reward utilities for exceeding EE goals
Why EE vs. Just New Transmission?
• Cheaper than renewables or supply side options
  – < 3¢/kWh
• Create local jobs and keeps money in local economy
  – Clean-energy investments create 16.7 jobs for every $1
    million in spending. Spending on fossil fuels, by contrast,
    generates 5.3 jobs per $1 million in spending
• No NIMBY or BANANA issues (often opposite effect)
• Great PR/Customer satisfaction with EE and utilities
• Potential for integration of EE into RPS or Clean
  Energy Portfolio Standards
Efficiency Combats Dollar Drain
• Midwest region - $40 billion per year leaves the economy to
  pay for imported fossil fuels
• Savings potential comes from a combination of EE
  programs:
   –   Natural gas EE
   –   Electricity EE
   –   Price drop through demand reduction
   –   Reduction of amount and cost of NG used in electric generation
• Potential Annual Savings for MW Region
   – 2010: $4.4 billion
   – 2015: $7.9 billion
   – 2020: $10.4 billion
Estimated Annual Investment in Energy
         Efficiency in the Midwest
                                                                                           EERS                   Legislative
                                                                                           Legislation
           $1.800                                                                          • IL Gas
                                                                                                                  Committee
                                                                                                                  • WI EERS
                                                                                           Admin Order              overturned
                                                                                           • IN Electric
           $1.600
                           Earlier Statewide EE                                                      Admin Order
                           • MN                                                  EERS                • WI Electric,
                             1983 – Pilot legislation                            Legislation                                                 $1.581
           $1.400            1991 – CIP                                          • MI Electric,
                                                                                                       Gas

                             requirement adopted                                   Gas
                                                                                 • OH Electric
           $1.200          Earlier Statewide EE
                                                                                 Exec Order
                                                                                 • IA Gas,
                           • IA                                                    Electric
                             1990 – Initial legislation                                                                                     $1.191
           $1.000
Billions




                             1996 – Legislation
                             updated                                    EERS
                                                                        Legislation
                                                                        • IL Electric
           $0.800          Earlier Statewide EE                         • MN Electric,
                           • WI                                           Gas
                             1999 - Public Benefit
           $0.600            Fund Adopted


           $0.400
                                                                                                                                              $0.390
           $0.200

           $0.000
                    2000




                                                                                                                      2011
                           2001

                                     2002

                                               2003

                                                          2004

                                                                 2005

                                                                        2006

                                                                                2007

                                                                                         2008

                                                                                                  2009

                                                                                                           2010



                                                                                                                             2012

                                                                                                                                    2013

                                                                                                                                           2014

                                                                                                                                                  2015
Future Midwest Efficiency Targets and Funding
                                                      2010       $1.06 billion
                                                      2015       $1.58 billion
            Minnesota                        Wisconsin
       1.5% elec current
                                           0.7% elec currently
       1.5% gas current
                                           0.4% gas currently        Michigan
                                                                  1% elec by 2012
                                                                  0.75% gas by 2012


               Iowa                                                       Ohio
      1.4% elec currently                                          2% elec by 2015
      1% gas currently                                             gas in discussion




              Illinois                                                   Indiana
      2% elec by 2015                                               2% elec by 2019
      1.5% gas by 2017                                              gas none yet



           2010 EE funding                                            Kentucky
                                                                  Voluntary elec and gas
           2015 EE funding      Missouri
           (projected)       IRP process




May 2011
What’s Keeping EE from Being
  Treated as Generation?
•   No pure measuring of kWh/therm generation and so need
    way to count energy NOT used!
•   Need consistent valuing of EE across state/utility
    boundaries
    –   A way to determine kWh savings from a CFL should be the same
        no matter the state (even if kWh savings are different)!
    –   EM&V results in the region (and nation) are divergent, even on the
        same EE program implemented by the same company
•   A kWh/therm of EE needs to become commoditized in
    case of tradable Clean Energy Port Stds or sale to the Grid.
Solution: Midwest EM&V Forum
• Create a Forum for utilities and regulators to discuss and agree
  upon the valuation and evaluation of EE
• Current Regional Issues Around Evaluation
   – Different definitions of savings and reporting periods make comparisons across
     programs or states difficult
   – Different methods to measure savings making it difficult to address program
     attribution, define metrics for policy objectives, assess broader market impacts
   – Different levels of Commission review leads to a large range of uncertainty and
     lack of confidence in claimed energy savings and use of deemed savings
   – Aggregation of program savings into load forecasting frameworks is limited by
     the uncertainty
   – Efficiency and demand savings cannot be utilized in regional markets without
     some consistency in approach
• Evaluation, Measurement and Verification is already a part of all
  regulated EE programs, so bring together and streamline
Why Midwest EM&V Forum?
• Reason for a Midwest EM&V Forum at this time
   – Efficiency programs, spending and savings goals have been growing
     significantly in the region
   – Credibility of savings estimates can be enhanced if there is some
     agreement on a regional evaluation, monitoring and verification model
   – Needed for instituting a forward capacity market
   – Efficiency savings and demand response in regional markets can be
     monetized if there is standardization and consistency
   – Mass market research for program development and incremental costs
     can be leveraged with regional information
   – Money can be saved on estimating savings, and developing load shape
     studies
   – EE program designs across the region can be improved
   – Leverage knowledge and lessons of regulators and staff across the
     region
Next Steps for Midwest EM&V Forum
• Needed Actions for advancing the Forum
   –   Secure support for the concept
   –   Some future commitment of staff time to participate
   –   Prepare Midwest as roll out area for U.S. DOE EM&V actions
   –   Utilize some EM&V funding for regional support
• MEEA is coordinating with US DOE and regional stakeholders
   – MEEA has the regional footprint, credibility and staff resources to
     implement this project
   – Bring US DOE messaging and goals to be consistent with Midwest
     activities
Why Advance the Forum Now?
• Impact of November 2010 Elections
   – Need to Educate on EE – What is EE & What are the
     current statutes and regulations
      •   9 new Governors (8 Republican/1 Democrat)
      •   State Senates (11 Republican Majorities)
      •   State Houses (10 Republican Majorities)
      •   519 New Legislators out of 1595
   – New PSC Chairs and change to Commissioners and staff
      • Delays with program review and approval
      • Need to educate on value of energy efficiency
      • Need consistency of EM&V
• EEPS requirements continue to increase
• Difficult Economic Climate – state budgets tight
Energy Efficiency is a Bipartisan Issue
     State House/Senate and Governor party affiliation at the time of the first enactment of
                             statewide energy efficiency policy

                                                                 VT: D
               D
                                                                                        MA: D
           D                                 D
                                                     R                       D          RI: R

                                                          D                             CT: R
                                              R                      D
               R                                                                        DE: D

                             D                       D R D
        R                                                                D              MD: D

                                                                                   State Legislature
                                                                         D           H/S: Republican
                   R       D                     D                                   H/S: Democrat
                                                                                     H/S: Split
                                         R                                           EERS Pending
                                                                                 D/R Governor’s Party
                                                                  R

                                 HI: R
January 2011
Contact Info
   Kevin Cullather
Senior Policy Manager

  Midwest Energy Efficiency Alliance
  20 North Wacker Drive, Suite 1301
          Chicago, IL 60606
            312-784-7265
      kcullather@mwalliance.org
        www.mwalliance.org

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The Case for Consistently Treating and Incorporating Energy Efficiency into the Regional Planning Process

  • 1. Electric Breakout: Can't We All Just Get Along? The Case for Consistently Treating and Incorporating Energy Efficiency into the Regional Planning Process Mid-Atlantic Regulatory Conference Rapid City, South Dakota June 6, 2011
  • 2. MEEA’s Role in the Midwest • Nonprofit serving 13 Midwest states • 10 years serving utilities, states and communities • Staff of 23 in Chicago • Actions – Advancing Energy Efficiency Policy – Designing & Administering EE Programs – Delivering Training & Workshops – Coordinating Utility Program Efforts – Regional Voice for DOE/EPA & ENERGY STAR – Evaluating & Promoting Emerging Technologies
  • 3. Transmission • More than 160,000 miles of high voltage transmission lines in the U.S. • The system can be strained for a variety of reasons, including – High growing population centers – Renewable resources not near existing lines – The need to incorporate intermittent power sources – Serving functions for which it may not have been designed to serve • Grid is designed to take supply but how can Energy Efficiency be treated as a dispatched energy supply?
  • 4. Role of Efficiency and the Grid • EE Can Help Relieve the Grid Strain – Moderates growing energy demand – Reduce peak energy demand – Savings can be quantified and forecasted • EE can help reduce the future demand and the need to build new power plants and transmission lines • Make utilities whole for losing energy sales – Slowed demand defers generation and T&D investments – Allow for lost revenue recovery – Reward utilities for exceeding EE goals
  • 5. Why EE vs. Just New Transmission? • Cheaper than renewables or supply side options – < 3¢/kWh • Create local jobs and keeps money in local economy – Clean-energy investments create 16.7 jobs for every $1 million in spending. Spending on fossil fuels, by contrast, generates 5.3 jobs per $1 million in spending • No NIMBY or BANANA issues (often opposite effect) • Great PR/Customer satisfaction with EE and utilities • Potential for integration of EE into RPS or Clean Energy Portfolio Standards
  • 6. Efficiency Combats Dollar Drain • Midwest region - $40 billion per year leaves the economy to pay for imported fossil fuels • Savings potential comes from a combination of EE programs: – Natural gas EE – Electricity EE – Price drop through demand reduction – Reduction of amount and cost of NG used in electric generation • Potential Annual Savings for MW Region – 2010: $4.4 billion – 2015: $7.9 billion – 2020: $10.4 billion
  • 7. Estimated Annual Investment in Energy Efficiency in the Midwest EERS Legislative Legislation $1.800 • IL Gas Committee • WI EERS Admin Order overturned • IN Electric $1.600 Earlier Statewide EE Admin Order • MN EERS • WI Electric, 1983 – Pilot legislation Legislation $1.581 $1.400 1991 – CIP • MI Electric, Gas requirement adopted Gas • OH Electric $1.200 Earlier Statewide EE Exec Order • IA Gas, • IA Electric 1990 – Initial legislation $1.191 $1.000 Billions 1996 – Legislation updated EERS Legislation • IL Electric $0.800 Earlier Statewide EE • MN Electric, • WI Gas 1999 - Public Benefit $0.600 Fund Adopted $0.400 $0.390 $0.200 $0.000 2000 2011 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015
  • 8. Future Midwest Efficiency Targets and Funding 2010 $1.06 billion 2015 $1.58 billion Minnesota Wisconsin 1.5% elec current 0.7% elec currently 1.5% gas current 0.4% gas currently Michigan 1% elec by 2012 0.75% gas by 2012 Iowa Ohio 1.4% elec currently 2% elec by 2015 1% gas currently gas in discussion Illinois Indiana 2% elec by 2015 2% elec by 2019 1.5% gas by 2017 gas none yet 2010 EE funding Kentucky Voluntary elec and gas 2015 EE funding Missouri (projected) IRP process May 2011
  • 9. What’s Keeping EE from Being Treated as Generation? • No pure measuring of kWh/therm generation and so need way to count energy NOT used! • Need consistent valuing of EE across state/utility boundaries – A way to determine kWh savings from a CFL should be the same no matter the state (even if kWh savings are different)! – EM&V results in the region (and nation) are divergent, even on the same EE program implemented by the same company • A kWh/therm of EE needs to become commoditized in case of tradable Clean Energy Port Stds or sale to the Grid.
  • 10. Solution: Midwest EM&V Forum • Create a Forum for utilities and regulators to discuss and agree upon the valuation and evaluation of EE • Current Regional Issues Around Evaluation – Different definitions of savings and reporting periods make comparisons across programs or states difficult – Different methods to measure savings making it difficult to address program attribution, define metrics for policy objectives, assess broader market impacts – Different levels of Commission review leads to a large range of uncertainty and lack of confidence in claimed energy savings and use of deemed savings – Aggregation of program savings into load forecasting frameworks is limited by the uncertainty – Efficiency and demand savings cannot be utilized in regional markets without some consistency in approach • Evaluation, Measurement and Verification is already a part of all regulated EE programs, so bring together and streamline
  • 11. Why Midwest EM&V Forum? • Reason for a Midwest EM&V Forum at this time – Efficiency programs, spending and savings goals have been growing significantly in the region – Credibility of savings estimates can be enhanced if there is some agreement on a regional evaluation, monitoring and verification model – Needed for instituting a forward capacity market – Efficiency savings and demand response in regional markets can be monetized if there is standardization and consistency – Mass market research for program development and incremental costs can be leveraged with regional information – Money can be saved on estimating savings, and developing load shape studies – EE program designs across the region can be improved – Leverage knowledge and lessons of regulators and staff across the region
  • 12. Next Steps for Midwest EM&V Forum • Needed Actions for advancing the Forum – Secure support for the concept – Some future commitment of staff time to participate – Prepare Midwest as roll out area for U.S. DOE EM&V actions – Utilize some EM&V funding for regional support • MEEA is coordinating with US DOE and regional stakeholders – MEEA has the regional footprint, credibility and staff resources to implement this project – Bring US DOE messaging and goals to be consistent with Midwest activities
  • 13. Why Advance the Forum Now? • Impact of November 2010 Elections – Need to Educate on EE – What is EE & What are the current statutes and regulations • 9 new Governors (8 Republican/1 Democrat) • State Senates (11 Republican Majorities) • State Houses (10 Republican Majorities) • 519 New Legislators out of 1595 – New PSC Chairs and change to Commissioners and staff • Delays with program review and approval • Need to educate on value of energy efficiency • Need consistency of EM&V • EEPS requirements continue to increase • Difficult Economic Climate – state budgets tight
  • 14. Energy Efficiency is a Bipartisan Issue State House/Senate and Governor party affiliation at the time of the first enactment of statewide energy efficiency policy VT: D D MA: D D D R D RI: R D CT: R R D R DE: D D D R D R D MD: D State Legislature D H/S: Republican R D D H/S: Democrat H/S: Split R EERS Pending D/R Governor’s Party R HI: R January 2011
  • 15. Contact Info Kevin Cullather Senior Policy Manager Midwest Energy Efficiency Alliance 20 North Wacker Drive, Suite 1301 Chicago, IL 60606 312-784-7265 kcullather@mwalliance.org www.mwalliance.org