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A Framework for Evaluating Counterterrorism Regulations Jerry Ellig Senior Research Fellow, Mercatus Center Amos Guiora Director, Institute for Global Security Law and Policy Case Western Reserve School of Law Kyle McKenzie Research Fellow, Mercatus Center
What can an analytical framework do? ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
… Or, in Plain English: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
When  to do the analysis? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.  Outcomes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Identify the Desired Outcomes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Not Outcomes
1. Identify the desired outcomes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Outcomes
2.  Market failure: Voluntary action provides less security than people are willing to pay for ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2. Assess evidence of market failure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3.  Identify the core federal role ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3. Identify the core federal role ,[object Object],[object Object]
4.  Assess effectiveness of alternatives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What counts as an alternative? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
4. Assess effectiveness of alternative approaches ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
5.  Costs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
5. Identify Costs TSA Budget  $4.3 billion (2005) Dead Weight Loss Increased Waiting Time Increased fatalities due to substitution from flying to driving $2.35 billion (2005) $2.76 billion (2005) 116 individuals (4 th  Quarter 2002)
6.  Compare costs with outcomes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
6. Compare costs with outcomes
Regulatory Analysis in Plain English ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Ellig Reg Analysis And Counteterrorism Sept 2006

  • 1. A Framework for Evaluating Counterterrorism Regulations Jerry Ellig Senior Research Fellow, Mercatus Center Amos Guiora Director, Institute for Global Security Law and Policy Case Western Reserve School of Law Kyle McKenzie Research Fellow, Mercatus Center
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  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. 5. Identify Costs TSA Budget $4.3 billion (2005) Dead Weight Loss Increased Waiting Time Increased fatalities due to substitution from flying to driving $2.35 billion (2005) $2.76 billion (2005) 116 individuals (4 th Quarter 2002)
  • 18.
  • 19. 6. Compare costs with outcomes
  • 20.