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World Pharmaceutical and Biopharmaceutical Market, 2010-2015 (Pipeline
Analysis of the Top 50 Companies)

July 1, 2010

     What Will The Pharmaceutical Market Look Like in the Next Five Years?

In this report, Kalorama has analyzed the late stage R&D pipeline of the 50 top
companies in pharmaceuticals -- the companies that produce the lion's share of industry
revenues. While the report looks at the entire pipeline to 2015, a key focus of the report
is the increasing role of biopharmaceutical products. The growing interest in
biotechnology development has transitioned the pharmaceutical industry to
biopharmaceuticals in less than a decade. Companies such as Pfizer, Merck and
Novartis have been unable to ignore the benefits of investing in biotechnology and have
focused on a pipeline in this direction through strategic acquisitions and partnerships
with biotech companies and/or through their own in-house research efforts.

This Kalorama Information market research report, The World Pharmaceutical and
Biopharmaceutical Market, 2010-2015 (Pipeline Analysis of the Top 50
Companies) captures these trends, extracting sales for all pharmaceutical and
biopharmaceutical products (excluding prophylactic vaccines) and providing estimates
and forecasts of the world biopharma market.

Among the top companies in biopharmaceuticals are, not surprisingly, the same names
that have dominated pharmaceuticals for years - Pfizer, Merck and Novartis. These
companies have been unable to ignore the benefits of investing in biotechnology and
have focused on a pipeline in this direction through strategic acquisitions and
partnerships with biotech companies and/or through their own in-house research efforts.
Specialist companies such as Amgen and Genzyme, now competing with a growing
number of companies. The result of all interest in biological solutions to major diseases?
In creased activity in the research and development departments of major
pharmaceutical companies in recent years, activity that we believe will have near-term
market impact.

                        Key Issues and Trends in the Industry
Issues and Trends discussed in this report include:

      Biotechnology Drug Development
      Orphan Drugs
      Fast Track Drug Status
      Other Accelerated Methods for Drug Approval
      Pharmaceutical Regulatory Exclusivity
      Biosimilar Development
      Aging Populations
      Mergers, Acquisitions, and Collaborations
      Contributors to R&D Success
      R&D Spending Trends
      The Role of Contract Research Organizations
      Sustainability in a Changing Pharmaceutical Industry

Also, despite an in-depth interview process and complete review of company financials,
some variation in company rankings is possible. This is more likely with privately held
companies or companies where prescription pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical
sales are not discussed.

In this comprehensive look a the pipeline of major companies, Kalorama Information
presents an accurate picture of the marketplace today, including

      Market Estimates by Major Drug Category, including:
         o Cardiovascular/Blood
         o Neurotherapeutics
         o Infection
         o Oncology
         o Respiratory/Inflammatory
         o Gastrointestinal
         o Other
      Discussion of Marketplace Trends
      Pipeline Analysis of Major Pharmacos
      Detailed Company Profiles
      Comparison of Market at Current Growth Versus Impact of Late-Stage
      Products
      Biopharmaceutical Market Breakdown
      Best-Selling Biopharmaceutical Products
      Regulatory Activity and Market Impact

Kalorama Information's market research into this topic is based on review of
government filings and company literature, but also interviews with executives and
experts, and the perspective of an analyst who has authored scores of reports in this
industry.

            Late Stage Product Development of the Top 50 Companies
50 top companies make up over 90% of the world biopharmaceutical market; The top
three companies have nearly a quarter of global sales in 2009.

Kalorama looks at each key player's late-stage pipeline in detail. The top 50 companies
discussed in this report include:

      Abbott
      Actelion
      Alcon, Inc.
      Allergan
      Amgen
      Astellas
      AstraZeneca
      Baxter International
      Bayer
      Biogen
      Boehringer Ingelheim
      Bristol-Myers Squibb
      Celgene Corp.
      Cephalon
      Chugai Pharmaceutical
      CSL
      Daiichi Sankyo
      Dainippon
      Eisai
      Eli Lilly & Co.
      Endo
      Forest
      Genzyme
      Gilead Sciences
      GlaxoSmithKline
      Hospira
      Johnson & Johnson
      Lundbeck
      Menarini
      Merck
      Merck KGaA
      Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma
      Mylan
      Novartis
      Novo Nordisk
      Nycomed
      Ono Pharmaceutical Co.
      Otsuka Pharmaceutical
      Pfizer
      Procter & Gamble
Purdue Pharma
      Roche
      Sanofi-Aventis
      Servier
      Shionogi
      Shire
      Takeda
      TEVA
      UCB
      Watson



Table of Contents

CHAPTER ONE: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

      Introduction
      Scope and Methodology
      Potential Market Opportunity
      Issues and Trends Affecting Market
      Leading Companies

CHAPTER TWO: INTRODUCTION

      Global Pharmaceutical Market
      Pharmaceutical Research & Development Overview
         o Clinical Trial Costs

CHAPTER THREE: ISSUES AND TRENDS

      Biotechnology Drug Development
      Orphan Drugs
      Fast Track Drug Status
      Other Accelerated Methods for Drug Approval
      Pharmaceutical Regulatory Exclusivity
      Pediatric Extensions
      Biopharmaceutical Industry—Biosimilar (Biogeneric) Development and
      Exclusivity Legislation
      Aging Population
      Mergers, Acquisitions, and Collaborations
      Contributors To R&D Success
      R&D Spending
      The Role of Contract Research Organizations
      Sustainability in a changing Pharmaceutical Industry
CHAPTER FOUR: WORLDWIDE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY LEADERS

    Introduction
    Pfizer, Inc./Wyeth (merged in 2009)
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    Merck & Co., Inc.
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    Novartis AG
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    Roche Ltd.
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    Sanofi-Aventis
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    AstraZeneca plc
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    GlaxoSmithKline plc
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    Johnson & Johnson
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    Eli Lilly & Company
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
    Abbott Laboratories
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
o   Late Stage Pipeline
     Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Bayer AG
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Amgen, Inc.
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     TEVA Pharmaceutical Industries, Ltd.
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Astellas
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Daiichi Sankyo
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Novo Nordisk
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Eisai
        o Overview
        o Financial Performance and Investments
        o Late Stage Pipeline

CHAPTER FIVE: COMPANIES OF INTEREST

     Introduction
     Otsuka
         o Late Stage Pipeline
     Merck KGaA
         o Late Stage Pipeline
Gilead Sciences

        Late Stage Pipeline

Mylan
    o Pipeline
Baxter International
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Chugai Pharmaceutical Company, Ltd.
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Mitsubishi Tanabe
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Servier, Les Laboratories
    o Pipeline
UCB SA
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Allergan
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Forest Laboratories
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Nycomed International
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Genzyme Corporation
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Biogen Idec
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Hospira
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Watson
    o Pipeline
CSL Limited
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Alcon
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Shire
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Celgene Corporation
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Lundbeck
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Shionogi & Co., Ltd.
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Menarini Group
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Dainippon Sumitomo Pharma, Co., Ltd.
    o Late Stage Pipeline
Cephalon
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Actelion
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Procter & Gamble
     Endo Pharmaceuticals
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Ono Pharmaceutical Co.
        o Late Stage Pipeline
     Purdue Pharma
        o Late Stage Pipeline

CHAPTER SIX: MARKET FORECAST

     Overview
     Company Analysis
     Pipeline Snapshot: Top 50 Companies
     Current Market Value
     Market Forecast

CHAPTER SEVEN: BIOPHARMACEUTICAL MARKET
  Biopharmaceutical Companies
  Biopharmaceutical Market Forecast APPENDIX: LIST OF COMPANIES

TABLE OF EXHIBITS

CHAPTER ONE: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

     Table 1-1: Global Pharmaceutical Market Research and Development Impact by
     Therapeutic Segment, 2015—based on late stage development projects
     evaluated ($ in billions)
     Figure 1-1: Global Pharmaceutical Market Research and Development Impact by
     Therapeutic Segment, 2015—based on late stage development projects
     evaluated

CHAPTER TWO: INTRODUCTION

     Table 2-1: Phases of Clinical Drug Development
     Table 2-2: Components of a Clinical Trial

CHAPTER THREE: ISSUES AND TRENDS

     Table 3-1: International Population Trend Age 65+
     Figure 3-1: International Population Trend Age 65+
     Table 3-2: United States Population Trend Age 65+
     Figure 3-2: International Population Trend Age 65+
Table 3-3: Recent Pharmaceutical Business Mergers and Acquisitions
    Table 3-4: Pharmaceutical/Biopharmaceutical R&D Statistics
    Figure 3-3: Drug Development Cost Progression
    Table 3-5: Total Industry R&D Spending 2004-2009
    Figure 3-4: Total Industry R&D Spending 2004-2009

CHAPTER FOUR: WORLDWIDE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY LEADERS

    Table 4-1: Top Biopharmaceutical Companies, 1-20 by 2009 Sales (millions)
    Table 4-2: Pfizer’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
    (Millions)
    Figure 4-1: Pfizer’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
    (Millions)
    Table 4-3: Pfizer’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
    Figure 4-2: Pfizer’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
    Table 4-4: Merck’s* Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
    (Millions)
    Figure 4-3: Merck’s* Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
    (Millions)
    Table 4-5: Merck & Co.’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
    Figure 4-4: Merck’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
    Table 4-6: Novartis’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
    (Millions)
    Figure 4-5: Novartis’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
    (Millions)
    Table 4-7: Novartis’ Late Stage Product Pipeline
    Figure 4-6: Novartis’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
    Table 4-8: Roche’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
    (Millions)
    Figure 4-7: Roche’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
    (Millions)
    Table 4-9: Roche’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
    Figure 4-8: Roche’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
    Table 4-10: Sanofi-Aventis’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-
    2009 (Millions)
    Figure 4-9: Sanofi-Aventis’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-
    2009 (Millions)
    Table 4-11: Sanofi-Aventis’ Late Stage Product Pipeline
    Figure 4-10: Sanofi Aventis’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
    Table 4-12: AstraZeneca’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-
    2009 (Millions)
    Figure 4-11: AstraZeneca’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-
    2009 (Millions)
    Table 4-13: AstraZeneca’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
    Figure 4-12: AstraZeneca’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 4-14: GlaxoSmithKline’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending
2007-2009 (Millions)
Figure 4-13: GlaxoSmithKline’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending
2007-2009 (Millions)
Table 4-15: GlaxoSmithKline’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 4-14: GlaxoSmithKline’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 4-16: Johnson & Johnson’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending
2007-2009 (Millions)
Figure 4-15: Johnson & Johnson’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending
2007-2009 (Millions)
Table 4-17: Johnson & Johnson’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 4-16: Johnson & Johnson’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic
Area
Table 4-18: Eli Lilly’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
(Millions)
Figure 4-17: Eli Lilly’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
Table 4-19: Eli Lilly’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 4-18: Eli Lilly & Co.’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 4-20: Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending
2007-2009 (Millions)
Figure 4-19: Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending
2007-2009 (Millions)
Table 4-21: Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 4-20: Bristol-Myers’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 4-22: Abbott’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
(Millions)
Figure 4-21: Abbott’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
(Millions)
Table 4-23: Abbott’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 4-22: Abbott’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 4-24: Takeda’s Total Company Revenue* and R&D Spending 2007-2009
(Millions)
Figure 4-23: Takeda’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
(Millions)
Table 4-25: Takeda Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 4-24: Takeda Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by
Therapeutic Area
Table 4-26: Bayer’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
(Millions)
Figure 4-25: Bayer’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
(Millions)
Table 4-27: Bayer’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 4-26: Bayers’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 4-28: Amgen’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
(Millions) Figure 4-27: Amgen’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending
2007-2009 (Millions)
Table 4-29: Amgen’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
     Figure 4-28: Amgen’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
     Table 4-30: Boehringer Ingelheim’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending
     2007-2009 (Millions)
     Figure 4-29: Boehringer Ingelheim’s Total Company Revenue and R&D
     Spending 2007-2009 (Millions)
     Table 4-31: Boehringer Ingelheim’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
     Figure 4-30: Boehringer Ingelheim’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic
     Area
     Table 4-32: TEVA’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
     (Millions)
     Figure 4-31: TEVA’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
     (Millions)
     Table 4-33: TEVA’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-32: TEVA’s Late Stage
     Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
     Table 4-34: Astellas’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
     (millions)
     Figure 4-33: Astellas’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
     (millions)
     Table 4-35: Astellas’ Late Stage Product Pipeline
     Figure 4-34: Astellas’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
     Table 4-36: Daiichi Sankyo’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-
     2009 (millions)
     Figure 4-35: Daiichi Sankyo’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending
     2007-2009 (millions)
     Table 4-37: Daiichi Sankyo’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
     Figure 4-36: Daiichi Sankyo’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
     Table 4-38: Novo Nordisk’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-
     2009 (millions)
     Figure 4-37: Novo Nordisk’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-
     2009 (millions)
     Table 4-39: Novo Nordisk’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
     Figure 4-38: Novo Nordisk’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
     Table 4-40: Eisai’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
     (Thousands)
     Figure 4-39: Eisai’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009
     Table 4-41: Eisai’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
     Figure 4-40: Eisai’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area

CHAPTER FIVE: COMPANIES OF INTEREST

     Table 5-1: Top Biopharmaceutical Companies, 21-50 by 2009 Sales
     Table 5-2: Otsuka Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
     Figure 5-1: Otsuka Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic
     Area
     Table 5-3: Merck KGaA’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-2: Merck KGaA’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-4: Gilead Sciences’ Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-3: Gilead Sciences’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-5: Baxter International’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-4: Baxter International’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic
Area
Table 5-6: Chugai Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-5: Chugai’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-7: Mitsubishi Tanabe’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-6: Mitsubishi Tanabe’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-8: UCB Pharma’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-7: UCB’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-9: Allergan’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-8: Allergan’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-10: Forest Laboratories’ Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-9: Forest Laboratories’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-11: Nycomed’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-10: Nycomed’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-12: Genzyme’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-11: Genzyme’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-13: Biogen Idec’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-12: Biogen Idec’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-14: Hospira’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-13: Hospira’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-15: CSL’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-14: CSL’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-16: Alcon’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-15: Alcon’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-17: Shire’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-16: Shire’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-18: Celgene’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-17: Celgene’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-19: Lundbeck’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-18: Lundbeck’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-20: Shionogi’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-19: Shionogi’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-21: Menarini’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-20: Menarini’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-22: Dainippon Sumitomo’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-21: Dainippon Sumitomo’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic
Area
Table 5-23: Cephalon’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-22: Cephalon’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-24: Actelion’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-23: Actelion’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
Table 5-25: Endo Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
Figure 5-24: Endo Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic
       Area
       Table 5-26: Ono Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
       Figure 5-25: Ono Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic
       Area
       Table 5-27: Purdue Pharma’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
       Figure 5-26: Purdue Pharma’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area

CHAPTER SIX: MARKET FORECAST

       Table 6-1: Top Pharmaceutical Companies, 1-50 by 2009 Sales (millions)
       Table 6-2: Company Pipelines by Total Late Stage Development Projects (Top
       20 Companies by Revenues)
       Figure 6-1: Company Pipelines by Total Late Stage Development Projects (Top
       20 Companies by Revenues)
       Table 6-3: Company Pipelines by Total Late Stage Development Projects
       (Companies 21-50 by Revenues)
       Figure 6-2: Company Pipelines by Total Late Stage Development Projects
       (Companies 21-50 by Revenues)
       Table 6-4: Global Pharmaceutical Market Value by Therapeutic Segment, 2005-
       2010 ($ in billions)
       Figure 6-3: Global Pharmaceutical Market Value by Therapeutic Segment 2005-
       2010
       Table 6-5: Global Pharmaceutical Market Forecast by Therapeutic Segment,
       2015—based on late stage development projects evaluated ($ in billions)
       Figure 6-4: Global Pharmaceutical Market Forecast by Therapeutic Segment,
       2015—based on late stage development projects evaluated
       Figure 6-5: Global Pharmaceutical Market Forecast by Therapeutic Segment,
       2015—Potential Impact from Late-Stage Development
       Figure 6-6: Global Pharmaceutical Market Forecast by, 2015—Potential Impact
       from Late-Stage Development

CHAPTER SEVEN: BIOPHARMACEUTICAL MARKET

       Table 7-1: Top 10 Biotechnology Companies*, 2009 Sales
       Table 7-2: Top 10 Biotechnology and Pharmaceutical Products, by 2009
       Revenues
       Table 7-3: Biotechnology Late Stage Development Projects by Company
       Classification—Pharmaceutical vs. Biotechnology--Market Forecast, 2015




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World pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical market, 2010 2015 (pipeline analysis of the top 50 companies)

  • 1. Get more info on this report! World Pharmaceutical and Biopharmaceutical Market, 2010-2015 (Pipeline Analysis of the Top 50 Companies) July 1, 2010 What Will The Pharmaceutical Market Look Like in the Next Five Years? In this report, Kalorama has analyzed the late stage R&D pipeline of the 50 top companies in pharmaceuticals -- the companies that produce the lion's share of industry revenues. While the report looks at the entire pipeline to 2015, a key focus of the report is the increasing role of biopharmaceutical products. The growing interest in biotechnology development has transitioned the pharmaceutical industry to biopharmaceuticals in less than a decade. Companies such as Pfizer, Merck and Novartis have been unable to ignore the benefits of investing in biotechnology and have focused on a pipeline in this direction through strategic acquisitions and partnerships with biotech companies and/or through their own in-house research efforts. This Kalorama Information market research report, The World Pharmaceutical and Biopharmaceutical Market, 2010-2015 (Pipeline Analysis of the Top 50 Companies) captures these trends, extracting sales for all pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical products (excluding prophylactic vaccines) and providing estimates and forecasts of the world biopharma market. Among the top companies in biopharmaceuticals are, not surprisingly, the same names that have dominated pharmaceuticals for years - Pfizer, Merck and Novartis. These companies have been unable to ignore the benefits of investing in biotechnology and have focused on a pipeline in this direction through strategic acquisitions and partnerships with biotech companies and/or through their own in-house research efforts. Specialist companies such as Amgen and Genzyme, now competing with a growing number of companies. The result of all interest in biological solutions to major diseases? In creased activity in the research and development departments of major pharmaceutical companies in recent years, activity that we believe will have near-term market impact. Key Issues and Trends in the Industry
  • 2. Issues and Trends discussed in this report include: Biotechnology Drug Development Orphan Drugs Fast Track Drug Status Other Accelerated Methods for Drug Approval Pharmaceutical Regulatory Exclusivity Biosimilar Development Aging Populations Mergers, Acquisitions, and Collaborations Contributors to R&D Success R&D Spending Trends The Role of Contract Research Organizations Sustainability in a Changing Pharmaceutical Industry Also, despite an in-depth interview process and complete review of company financials, some variation in company rankings is possible. This is more likely with privately held companies or companies where prescription pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical sales are not discussed. In this comprehensive look a the pipeline of major companies, Kalorama Information presents an accurate picture of the marketplace today, including Market Estimates by Major Drug Category, including: o Cardiovascular/Blood o Neurotherapeutics o Infection o Oncology o Respiratory/Inflammatory o Gastrointestinal o Other Discussion of Marketplace Trends Pipeline Analysis of Major Pharmacos Detailed Company Profiles Comparison of Market at Current Growth Versus Impact of Late-Stage Products Biopharmaceutical Market Breakdown Best-Selling Biopharmaceutical Products Regulatory Activity and Market Impact Kalorama Information's market research into this topic is based on review of government filings and company literature, but also interviews with executives and experts, and the perspective of an analyst who has authored scores of reports in this industry. Late Stage Product Development of the Top 50 Companies
  • 3. 50 top companies make up over 90% of the world biopharmaceutical market; The top three companies have nearly a quarter of global sales in 2009. Kalorama looks at each key player's late-stage pipeline in detail. The top 50 companies discussed in this report include: Abbott Actelion Alcon, Inc. Allergan Amgen Astellas AstraZeneca Baxter International Bayer Biogen Boehringer Ingelheim Bristol-Myers Squibb Celgene Corp. Cephalon Chugai Pharmaceutical CSL Daiichi Sankyo Dainippon Eisai Eli Lilly & Co. Endo Forest Genzyme Gilead Sciences GlaxoSmithKline Hospira Johnson & Johnson Lundbeck Menarini Merck Merck KGaA Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Mylan Novartis Novo Nordisk Nycomed Ono Pharmaceutical Co. Otsuka Pharmaceutical Pfizer Procter & Gamble
  • 4. Purdue Pharma Roche Sanofi-Aventis Servier Shionogi Shire Takeda TEVA UCB Watson Table of Contents CHAPTER ONE: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Introduction Scope and Methodology Potential Market Opportunity Issues and Trends Affecting Market Leading Companies CHAPTER TWO: INTRODUCTION Global Pharmaceutical Market Pharmaceutical Research & Development Overview o Clinical Trial Costs CHAPTER THREE: ISSUES AND TRENDS Biotechnology Drug Development Orphan Drugs Fast Track Drug Status Other Accelerated Methods for Drug Approval Pharmaceutical Regulatory Exclusivity Pediatric Extensions Biopharmaceutical Industry—Biosimilar (Biogeneric) Development and Exclusivity Legislation Aging Population Mergers, Acquisitions, and Collaborations Contributors To R&D Success R&D Spending The Role of Contract Research Organizations Sustainability in a changing Pharmaceutical Industry
  • 5. CHAPTER FOUR: WORLDWIDE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY LEADERS Introduction Pfizer, Inc./Wyeth (merged in 2009) o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Merck & Co., Inc. o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Novartis AG o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Roche Ltd. o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Sanofi-Aventis o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline AstraZeneca plc o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline GlaxoSmithKline plc o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Johnson & Johnson o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Eli Lilly & Company o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Bristol-Myers Squibb Company o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Abbott Laboratories o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments
  • 6. o Late Stage Pipeline Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Bayer AG o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Amgen, Inc. o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline TEVA Pharmaceutical Industries, Ltd. o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Astellas o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Daiichi Sankyo o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Novo Nordisk o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline Eisai o Overview o Financial Performance and Investments o Late Stage Pipeline CHAPTER FIVE: COMPANIES OF INTEREST Introduction Otsuka o Late Stage Pipeline Merck KGaA o Late Stage Pipeline
  • 7. Gilead Sciences Late Stage Pipeline Mylan o Pipeline Baxter International o Late Stage Pipeline Chugai Pharmaceutical Company, Ltd. o Late Stage Pipeline Mitsubishi Tanabe o Late Stage Pipeline Servier, Les Laboratories o Pipeline UCB SA o Late Stage Pipeline Allergan o Late Stage Pipeline Forest Laboratories o Late Stage Pipeline Nycomed International o Late Stage Pipeline Genzyme Corporation o Late Stage Pipeline Biogen Idec o Late Stage Pipeline Hospira o Late Stage Pipeline Watson o Pipeline CSL Limited o Late Stage Pipeline Alcon o Late Stage Pipeline Shire o Late Stage Pipeline Celgene Corporation o Late Stage Pipeline Lundbeck o Late Stage Pipeline Shionogi & Co., Ltd. o Late Stage Pipeline Menarini Group o Late Stage Pipeline Dainippon Sumitomo Pharma, Co., Ltd. o Late Stage Pipeline
  • 8. Cephalon o Late Stage Pipeline Actelion o Late Stage Pipeline Procter & Gamble Endo Pharmaceuticals o Late Stage Pipeline Ono Pharmaceutical Co. o Late Stage Pipeline Purdue Pharma o Late Stage Pipeline CHAPTER SIX: MARKET FORECAST Overview Company Analysis Pipeline Snapshot: Top 50 Companies Current Market Value Market Forecast CHAPTER SEVEN: BIOPHARMACEUTICAL MARKET Biopharmaceutical Companies Biopharmaceutical Market Forecast APPENDIX: LIST OF COMPANIES TABLE OF EXHIBITS CHAPTER ONE: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Table 1-1: Global Pharmaceutical Market Research and Development Impact by Therapeutic Segment, 2015—based on late stage development projects evaluated ($ in billions) Figure 1-1: Global Pharmaceutical Market Research and Development Impact by Therapeutic Segment, 2015—based on late stage development projects evaluated CHAPTER TWO: INTRODUCTION Table 2-1: Phases of Clinical Drug Development Table 2-2: Components of a Clinical Trial CHAPTER THREE: ISSUES AND TRENDS Table 3-1: International Population Trend Age 65+ Figure 3-1: International Population Trend Age 65+ Table 3-2: United States Population Trend Age 65+ Figure 3-2: International Population Trend Age 65+
  • 9. Table 3-3: Recent Pharmaceutical Business Mergers and Acquisitions Table 3-4: Pharmaceutical/Biopharmaceutical R&D Statistics Figure 3-3: Drug Development Cost Progression Table 3-5: Total Industry R&D Spending 2004-2009 Figure 3-4: Total Industry R&D Spending 2004-2009 CHAPTER FOUR: WORLDWIDE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY LEADERS Table 4-1: Top Biopharmaceutical Companies, 1-20 by 2009 Sales (millions) Table 4-2: Pfizer’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-1: Pfizer’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-3: Pfizer’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-2: Pfizer’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-4: Merck’s* Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-3: Merck’s* Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-5: Merck & Co.’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-4: Merck’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-6: Novartis’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-5: Novartis’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-7: Novartis’ Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-6: Novartis’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-8: Roche’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-7: Roche’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-9: Roche’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-8: Roche’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-10: Sanofi-Aventis’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007- 2009 (Millions) Figure 4-9: Sanofi-Aventis’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007- 2009 (Millions) Table 4-11: Sanofi-Aventis’ Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-10: Sanofi Aventis’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-12: AstraZeneca’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007- 2009 (Millions) Figure 4-11: AstraZeneca’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007- 2009 (Millions) Table 4-13: AstraZeneca’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-12: AstraZeneca’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area
  • 10. Table 4-14: GlaxoSmithKline’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-13: GlaxoSmithKline’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-15: GlaxoSmithKline’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-14: GlaxoSmithKline’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-16: Johnson & Johnson’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-15: Johnson & Johnson’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-17: Johnson & Johnson’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-16: Johnson & Johnson’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-18: Eli Lilly’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-17: Eli Lilly’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 Table 4-19: Eli Lilly’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-18: Eli Lilly & Co.’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-20: Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-19: Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-21: Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-20: Bristol-Myers’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-22: Abbott’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-21: Abbott’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-23: Abbott’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-22: Abbott’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-24: Takeda’s Total Company Revenue* and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-23: Takeda’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-25: Takeda Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-24: Takeda Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-26: Bayer’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-25: Bayer’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-27: Bayer’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-26: Bayers’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-28: Amgen’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-27: Amgen’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions)
  • 11. Table 4-29: Amgen’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-28: Amgen’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-30: Boehringer Ingelheim’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-29: Boehringer Ingelheim’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-31: Boehringer Ingelheim’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-30: Boehringer Ingelheim’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-32: TEVA’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Figure 4-31: TEVA’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Millions) Table 4-33: TEVA’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-32: TEVA’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-34: Astellas’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (millions) Figure 4-33: Astellas’ Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (millions) Table 4-35: Astellas’ Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-34: Astellas’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-36: Daiichi Sankyo’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007- 2009 (millions) Figure 4-35: Daiichi Sankyo’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (millions) Table 4-37: Daiichi Sankyo’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-36: Daiichi Sankyo’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-38: Novo Nordisk’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007- 2009 (millions) Figure 4-37: Novo Nordisk’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007- 2009 (millions) Table 4-39: Novo Nordisk’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-38: Novo Nordisk’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 4-40: Eisai’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 (Thousands) Figure 4-39: Eisai’s Total Company Revenue and R&D Spending 2007-2009 Table 4-41: Eisai’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 4-40: Eisai’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area CHAPTER FIVE: COMPANIES OF INTEREST Table 5-1: Top Biopharmaceutical Companies, 21-50 by 2009 Sales Table 5-2: Otsuka Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-1: Otsuka Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-3: Merck KGaA’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
  • 12. Figure 5-2: Merck KGaA’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-4: Gilead Sciences’ Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-3: Gilead Sciences’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-5: Baxter International’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-4: Baxter International’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-6: Chugai Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-5: Chugai’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-7: Mitsubishi Tanabe’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-6: Mitsubishi Tanabe’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-8: UCB Pharma’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-7: UCB’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-9: Allergan’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-8: Allergan’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-10: Forest Laboratories’ Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-9: Forest Laboratories’ Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-11: Nycomed’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-10: Nycomed’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-12: Genzyme’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-11: Genzyme’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-13: Biogen Idec’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-12: Biogen Idec’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-14: Hospira’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-13: Hospira’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-15: CSL’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-14: CSL’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-16: Alcon’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-15: Alcon’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-17: Shire’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-16: Shire’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-18: Celgene’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-17: Celgene’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-19: Lundbeck’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-18: Lundbeck’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-20: Shionogi’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-19: Shionogi’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-21: Menarini’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-20: Menarini’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-22: Dainippon Sumitomo’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-21: Dainippon Sumitomo’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-23: Cephalon’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-22: Cephalon’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-24: Actelion’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-23: Actelion’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-25: Endo Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline
  • 13. Figure 5-24: Endo Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-26: Ono Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-25: Ono Pharmaceutical’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area Table 5-27: Purdue Pharma’s Late Stage Product Pipeline Figure 5-26: Purdue Pharma’s Late Stage Product Pipeline by Therapeutic Area CHAPTER SIX: MARKET FORECAST Table 6-1: Top Pharmaceutical Companies, 1-50 by 2009 Sales (millions) Table 6-2: Company Pipelines by Total Late Stage Development Projects (Top 20 Companies by Revenues) Figure 6-1: Company Pipelines by Total Late Stage Development Projects (Top 20 Companies by Revenues) Table 6-3: Company Pipelines by Total Late Stage Development Projects (Companies 21-50 by Revenues) Figure 6-2: Company Pipelines by Total Late Stage Development Projects (Companies 21-50 by Revenues) Table 6-4: Global Pharmaceutical Market Value by Therapeutic Segment, 2005- 2010 ($ in billions) Figure 6-3: Global Pharmaceutical Market Value by Therapeutic Segment 2005- 2010 Table 6-5: Global Pharmaceutical Market Forecast by Therapeutic Segment, 2015—based on late stage development projects evaluated ($ in billions) Figure 6-4: Global Pharmaceutical Market Forecast by Therapeutic Segment, 2015—based on late stage development projects evaluated Figure 6-5: Global Pharmaceutical Market Forecast by Therapeutic Segment, 2015—Potential Impact from Late-Stage Development Figure 6-6: Global Pharmaceutical Market Forecast by, 2015—Potential Impact from Late-Stage Development CHAPTER SEVEN: BIOPHARMACEUTICAL MARKET Table 7-1: Top 10 Biotechnology Companies*, 2009 Sales Table 7-2: Top 10 Biotechnology and Pharmaceutical Products, by 2009 Revenues Table 7-3: Biotechnology Late Stage Development Projects by Company Classification—Pharmaceutical vs. Biotechnology--Market Forecast, 2015 Available immediately for Online Download at http://www.marketresearch.com/product/display.asp?productid=2691449
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