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IBM Global Business Services                                Travel
Executive Report




IBM Institute for Business Value




Travel 2020:
The distribution dilemma
Enhancing collaboration to enrich the traveler experience
and improve profitability
IBM Institute for Business Value
IBM Global Business Services, through the IBM Institute for Business Value, develops
fact-based strategic insights for senior executives around critical public and private
sector issues. This executive report is based on an in-depth study by the Institute’s
research team. It is part of an ongoing commitment by IBM Global Business Services
to provide analysis and viewpoints that help companies realize business value.
You may contact the authors or send an e-mail to iibv@us.ibm.com for more information.
Additional studies from the IBM Institute for Business Value can be found at
ibm.com/iibv
Introduction




By Steve Peterson



At the height of the Internet revolution, the travel industry was
expected to be among the greatest beneficiaries of new, low-cost, information-rich
distribution opportunities. More than a decade later, however, online channels have done
little but focus travelers on price. But new technologies and business models finally offer
the potential for online differentiation and the provision of value-added services and
features for which travelers will pay a premium. To capitalize on these developments,
enhance the consumer travel experience and create opportunities for improved financial
performance, the travel ecosystem must learn to “play well” with others.



The travel industry has worked for decades to put the
customer first. Unfortunately, the end result has often been      Traditional distribution model gives way to “always on”
unrealistic and unconnected traveler interaction and booking
                                                                  Seventy percent of travelers in our survey shop for travel
processes that frequently require customers to self-assemble
                                                                  even when they are not planning a specific trip. In an
itineraries from multiple sources. A customer interaction on an
                                                                  online world in which travelers are constantly connected
airline website, for example, often must be followed by similar
                                                                  to the Internet and often receptive to information about
attempts to engage with hotel, car rental or related sites.1
                                                                  travel, the linear travel-buying pattern many distributors
                                                                  have clung to is being overtaken by an “always-on”
To solve this problem, consolidated websites were created to
                                                                  model of travel distribution. This model places the
provide customers with a single source to book multiple travel
                                                                  traveler at the center of a constant hive of information
modes. But the resulting increase in customer convenience was
                                                                  exchange across the entire travel ecosystem. Travel
counterbalanced by a loss of customer intimacy and personal-
                                                                  distributors that do not adjust their business models in
ized merchandising opportunities. As a result, travelers,
                                                                  response to this and fail to capture customer attention
frequently presented with conflicting incentives, dissimilar
                                                                  with personalized, meaningful content, will be poorly
methods of interaction and competing business models, were
                                                                  positioned to succeed.
largely left to fend for themselves in a confusing, time-
consuming and often undifferentiated travel distribution
landscape.
2   Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma




Customer service has been further diminished by the                   Even travel distributors, which have fared much better than
economics-driven focus of many travel executives to lower             travel providers in the past decade, struggle to find their
distribution costs. Automated interactions have replaced              rightful place in the travel ecosystem. Financial returns are
labor-intensive call centers for both suppliers and travel            inconsistent among major distribution players. The competi-
agencies. Unfortunately, the purchasing services provided             tive environment is awash with discord between distributors
through these channels were also excised, which, again, left          and major travel providers seeking to lower fees or bypass
travelers to manage their own cross-mode travel portfolios.           distribution systems altogether.
Perhaps the correlation between travel distribution cost
reductions and decreasing rates of customer satisfaction is not       Fortunately, this morass of competing priorities, objectives, and
coincidental.2                                                        technologies can be addressed by a dedicated commitment by
                                                                      the industry to put the customer first. The future of distribu-
Travelers aren’t the only ones “lost at sea” in today’s distribu-     tion will be defined by the success of the travel ecosystem in
tion landscape. Providers also find themselves adrift by a            meeting unique customer needs. Much of that battle can be
distribution model that rarely casts their products and services      won with more coordination among competing travel
in the perfect light. Consumers already have a well-docu-             providers and distributors. By sharing information about
mented tendency to focus on price, but many online channels           traveler preferences, the distribution community can formulate
make this outcome almost inevitable by displaying few, if any,        a collaborative, more complete view of customers, enhance
of the features and benefits that distinguish competing               online interactions and, ultimately, transform the customer
options.3 Global distribution systems (GDS),such as Sabre             experience. The net result promises to be an industry with
Holdings and Amadeus, and the on- and off-line agencies that          happier customers and more solidly positioned for healthier
rely on their data, serve up only the most basic information –        financial returns.
price, availability, and general category of service – about flight
and hotel options. This suboptimal method of selling predict-
ably produces less-than-desirable results.




Study methodology
To understand the issues and the consumer dynamics that will shape the travel industry over the next ten years, the
IBM Institute for Business Value, through its research partner Frost & Sullivan, surveyed a mix of 1,020 business and
1,030 leisure travelers from both developed and emerging economies. Once initial conclusions were derived,
supplemental external research was conducted and in-depth interviews with subject-matter experts were completed to
review and validate the main hypothesis and conclusions in the Travel 2020 study. Finally, IBM leveraged key findings
about the travel sector from the Airline 2020 study and the Hotel 2020 study, which were completed in 2010 and 2011,
respectively.
IBM Global Business Services   3




   Distribution dissatisfaction: The true price                                                         Customers
   of “low-cost channels”                                                                               The oft-cited axiom that you get what you pay for is aptly
   From the perspective of every major party in the travel                                              applied to travel distribution. In the years preceding the
   distribution ecosystem – providers, distributors, and, of course,                                    Internet revolution, travelers had little choice but to visit (by
   customers – travel distribution is not working (see Figure 1).                                       phone or in person) providers or travel agents to fulfill their
   Travel buying models are out of sync with dominant selling                                           travel needs. Today, the Internet provides the more common
   models in the industry, which results in a patchwork of                                              method of shopping and booking. In this new paradigm,
   competing distribution channels that consistently fail to meet                                       travelers are forced to make selections, coordinate their travel
   customer expectations.                                                                               plans across diverse travel modes and, ultimately, provide
                                                                                                        payment for each individual transaction on their own. While
                                                                                                        booking fees have declined over time, the disassembly of the
                                                                                                        travel agent model has also resulted in a decrease in customer
                                            The distribution dilemma                                    services. For price-focused travelers, these changes may be a
                                                                                                        welcome development. But the extra work travelers have to do
                Known customer




                                      Response buying                  Relationship interacting         to compensate for the work travel agents once performed is
                                      •	 Uses transaction history to   •	 Uses transaction history
                                         inform targeted offers           to interact based on multi-   exacting a toll on traveler satisfaction.
                                      •	 Enables bundled selling          mode/interaction history
                                      •	 Ideal for cross-mode travel   •	 Enables brand-driven whole
                                      •	 Typical “push” model             journey products/services     The intense focus on price among many consumers has been
Selling model




                                                                       •	 Emerging “swarm” model        extensively reviewed and discussed. What gets slightly less
                                                                                                        attention is the deeper cause of this price fixation: a misalign-
                                      Commodity buying                 Reputation selling
                                      •	 Extreme price focus           •	 Model based on experience,    ment of value. In aggregate, 93 percent of respondents to our
                                      •	 General category                 reputation, and loyalty       survey indicated that getting value for their travel expenditures
                Unknown customer




                                         awareness                     •	 Interaction informed by
                                      •	 Basic schedule, location         single-mode history           is important to them. At a segment level, these findings are
                                         information provided          •	 Typical “pull” model          even more pronounced. The notion of value has a relationship
                                      •	 Most undesirable model
                                                                                                        to price, but the two concepts are distinct. Only 47 percent of
                                                                                                        respondents to our survey said their travel expenditures were
                                   Unknown provider                                 Known provider
                                                            Buying model                                well-spent. In three out of five traveler segments, more than 98
                                                                                                        percent of respondents indicated getting value for travel invest-
  Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis, eMarketer, March 2010,
  PhoCusWright, “Online Travel Overview, Ninth Edition,” November 2009, includes leisure                ment is very important (see Figure 2).
  travel, and both managed and unmanaged business travel.


  Figure 1: Travel distribution in its current state is not working for
  providers, distributors or travelers.

                                                                                                        The disassembly of the travel agent model has
                                                                                                        resulted in a decline in both services rendered
                                                                                                        and customer satisfaction.
4   Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma




                                                                                      “Getting value for my              “Money spent on
 Percentage of respondents that say....
                                                                                      travel dollar is very              travel is money
                                                                                      important to me”                   well spent”

    Happily infrequents
    Glad to travel less than average because travel takes                                       62%                          56%
    a toll

    Occasional luxurists
    Enjoy short and frequent getaways and will spend when                                       92%                          61%
    necessary
                                                                                                                                                   Unfortunately,
    Perpetual searchers                                                                                                                            most segments are
    Constantly searching for a travel deal and looking to cut                                   99%                          13%                   not satisfied with
    costs on all trips                                                                                                                             the current travel
                                                                                                                                                   value equation
    Cautious calculators
    Make buying decisions carefully because travel is highly                                   99%                           82%
    valued

    Carpe deists
    Willing to seize an opportunity to travel with few                                         98%                             9%
    advanced plans


Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis, IBM-Frost & Sullivan Travel Survey March 2011.


Figure 2: Diverse traveler segments share a desire to get value for their travel expenditures, but consumers are not satisfied with the prevailing
value propositions in the market.




Only the “occasional luxurists” segment had a majority of                                           preferences may not be easily satisfied by travel products
respondents that felt that travel money is well spent. Across                                       developed to please the more particular desires of travelers
segments, our study shows customers feel the value equation is                                      from developed markets.
skewed and that they are not getting a fair deal.
                                                                                                    Evidence of the difficulty customers have meeting their travel
Other trends in the industry make the level of customer                                             needs with the current systems, products, and services can be
dissatisfaction with value even more alarming. Exploding travel                                     found in the exorbitant amount of time customers dedicate to
demand worldwide is expected to bring new travelers to the                                          travel search. Our survey of more than 2,000 global travelers
market from previously underserved populations. Though                                              revealed that 20 percent required more than five hours to
most acutely felt in growth markets in Asia and Eastern                                             search and book travel online. This affects travelers regardless
Europe, this transformational shift is certain to bring travelers                                   of experience with the system. More than half of leisure
to the entire global market. New consumers with unique                                              travelers and nearly 40 percent of business travelers needed
                                                                                                    more than two hours to accomplish these tasks.4
IBM Global Business Services   5




 While a portion of the excessive amount of time some                 Providers
travelers dedicate to travel search can be attributed to a simple     The efficiency of booking travel on the Internet has led over
inability to find what they are looking for, external assessments     the past decade to a rapid decline in travel distribution costs.
of travel websites suggest that few are designed for maximum          But this cost revolution has not been an unmitigated success
efficiency. In its annual “Digital IQ” ranking, think-tank L2         for providers. Although online travel transaction costs are
determined that only 8 percent of travel websites qualified for       getting closer to what economists call “frictionless pricing,”
the “genius” classification, and fully 60 percent of travel           travel distribution is failing to meet the needs of many travel
websites were in the “average,” “challenged” or “feeble” catego-      providers.
ries.5
                                                                      Previous IBM studies have revealed that while customers do
After spending relatively large amounts of time shopping for          perceive some differences in offerings, only a small number
and booking travel on websites that are not as good as they           are willing to pay price premiums to purchase these “differen-
could be, many travelers become convinced they overpay for            tiated” products. In those studies, we chastened providers to
the services they purchase. In fact, across all segments in our       address the challenges of undifferentiated products by altering
survey, only 10 percent of respondents felt they received a           the way they develop, market, and deliver products and
good deal in shopping and booking their last trip.                    services to consumers.8 We urged the entire process be
                                                                      organized around more narrowly defined customer segments
Surveys confirm travelers are dissatisfied. The travel industry       and provided actionable suggestions for how providers can
consistently ranks near the bottom of all industries in the           bring this new marketing model into view.
American Customer Satisfaction Index’s annual cross-industry
customer satisfaction comparison.6 In 2011, hotels were ranked        The challenge is that most non-provider-owned online
31st out of 47 industries, and airlines tied for last place for the   channels make it all but impossible to effectively emphasize
second consecutive year.                                              the differentiated features that make provider products and
                                                                      service unique in the market. Online travel agencies (OTAs)
In the eyes of many customers, travel has become a burden, not        and other travel distribution intermediaries often depict price
the relaxing, stimulating, rewarding experience to which many         most prominently and display only the most basic information
travel providers aspire. According to a 2010 survey of over           about provider services. This encourages a customer focus on
1,000 global travelers, four of the top eight words most              price and is counterproductive for providers seeking to limit
associated with travel were negative – such as “frustrating,”         the bottom-line effects of further travel commoditization.
“unreliable,” “infuriating” and “broken.”7
                                                                      Of course, some industries that face similar challenges manage
                                                                      to get price premiums for their products and services by
                                                                      employing a completely different marketing model. Air New
                                                                      Zealand, for example, has been recognized by the industry for
In a price-focused environment, some                                  its innovative marketing efforts, in part because it effectively
companies get price premiums by employing                             and consistently reinforces its differentiated services with
                                                                      multimedia tools and through its website.9 Too many travel
an innovative marketing model.                                        providers view marketing expenditures as a mechanism to
                                                                      boost short-term sales, and too few see them as longer-term
                                                                      strategic investments that can consistently reinforce the differ-
                                                                      ences among available products and services.
6   Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma




As providers begin to view marketing as a longer-term strategic
investment, they will be challenged to decide which customer                                                                        Average look-
                                                                                                                                    to-book ratio
segments to “de-select” from their target investment list.
Customers that place price above all other considerations will                                                  ~ 1000 looks
continue to be well served by comparison-based websites that                                                      per book
enable them to see the products that fit their needs at the
lowest possible price. It would be a poor investment to use                                   ~ 300 looks
marketing investment to pull them away from the lowest-cost                                    per book

options.                                                                  ~ 100 looks
                                                                           per book
However, those travelers who value the differences offered by                                                            Cost savings per booking
specific providers are ideal targets for investment. Customers                                                            (net IT support costs)
with relatively high willingness to seek out the most conve-                2000	 2005	 2010	2015?	2020?
nient or most luxurious travel experience regardless of price
offer the most promise for providers seeking to woo customers       Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis.
with differentiated messages.
                                                                    Figure 3: Over the past decade, direct distribution has been a boon
Providers wrestle with increasing “look-to-book” costs              for travel providers seeking to lower travel distribution costs.
                                                                    Increasingly, the cost associated with maintaining company
Provider websites remain an important tool for travel distribu-     websites is being driven up by a network of travel intermediaries,
tion. Well-developed sites help companies stand out from the        whose systems and solutions increase the volume of fruitless
crowded field of online travel distributors by presenting           searches in online channels.
content in a meaningful, engaging manner. Unfortunately,
while direct distribution has many distinct advantages, such as
                                                                    Ironically, one of the primary drivers of the rapid increase in
cost and content control, it also has frequently overlooked
                                                                    look-to-book ratios is the proliferation of travel distribution
disadvantages.
                                                                    intermediaries, whose sites are designed to look at inventory
                                                                    through provider websites, while bypassing GDSs. Travel
As providers seek to promote their differentiated offerings,
                                                                    providers who cannot control and limit such searches will
they must also contend with escalating costs – even in those
                                                                    continue to be exposed to the higher costs required to support
channels they own. As they have become more successful in
                                                                    increasing look-to-book ratios.
getting customers to book travel directly on their websites,
they have seen a dramatic increase in the ratio of website “hits”
to completed bookings. The ten-fold increase many providers
have observed in the all-important “look-to-book ratio” is
costly, however. Providers must scale websites to meet this
dramatically higher level of traffic, even when the revenue         The proliferation of travel distribution
generated through this channel is growing at a much slower          intermediaries is a primary driver of
rate.
                                                                    increased “look-to-book” ratios.
IBM Global Business Services   7




Travel distributors                                               example, are all companies that have emerged to fill specific
Over the past decade, despite the growth in the percentage of     markets perceived as underserved by the current set of market
total travel purchases completed online, few distribution         participants.13
companies have met their expectations for financial return.
                                                                  Interestingly, new travel distribution entrants are not just
From the perspective of investors, only one major publicly        confining their scope to the needs of narrowly defined
traded online travel distribution company has met expectations    segments. Several new players offer solutions they believe will
over the past six years. And while that one distributor has       appeal to unmet needs across broad swaths of the traveling
indeed produced strong returns over that period, some analysts    public. Kayak.com, for example, hopes to continue its growth
question whether its business model, which targets bargain        trajectory by providing more efficient and effective cross-site
hunters, will flourish in periods of economic growth.10 In any    and cross-mode comparisons.14 Concierge.com hopes to
case, it is clear that competitors in this space have not been    revolutionize trip planning by re-introducing several travel
able to consistently deliver results that satisfy investors, as   agent-like services in an on-and off-line format.15
these stocks have not managed to beat returns generated by the
S&P 500. 11                                                       Of course, the largest and most disruptive development in
                                                                  travel distribution lies not with small entrants, but with the
The relative under-performance in the travel distribution         potentially disruptive effect of large players from other online
market continues to attract the attention of niche market         domains. The full impact of Google’s ITA Software acquisition
players. While many new names in the travel distribution          to the travel distribution market is unknown. But the possi-
space, such as Hotwire, travel-ticker, and hotels.com, are        bility exists for Google to combine its extensive marketing and
actually sub-brands developed by larger OTAs (all of the          customer information capabilities with a low-transaction-cost
aforementioned are from the Expedia family of brands), a host     travel shopping and buying platform. If Google is also able to
of new companies has entered the market the past several          integrate such a travel offering with a mobile solution or
years.12 Hotelpricer, Webjet, hipmunk, and dohop, for             device, the results could revolutionize travel distribution,
                                                                  fulfillment, and support.




The “swarm” model of distribution
Twenty-eight percent of travelers start their travel search with social media, travel opinion websites and general search
engines. These provider-agnostic online properties could be the battleground of travel distribution in the years to come,
as more and more providers and distributors vie to pull customers away from these sites to induce purchases on their
own sites. This behavioral shift will challenge the sequential nature of both the “push”’ and “pull” models of travel
distribution and give way to a “swarm” model whereby travelers engage in multiple, non-sequential interactions with
many distributors across all aspects of the shopping, booking and travel process.
8   Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma




Finally the perennial pillar of the travel distribution ecosystem,    Alignment – customers are becoming the center of the
the GDS, is also under pressure to change. In the next decade,        swarming travel “hive”
GDSs may play a markedly different role in the travel distribu-       While customer buying behaviors have changed significantly in
tion landscape. Shaped by the competitive pressures influ-            the past few years, travel distribution companies have not kept
encing other travel distribution companies, GDSs will                 pace. In the pre-Internet era, travel distribution was largely
continue to try to lock in long-term commitments with travel          guided by a push model of customer interaction whereby travel
providers and offer difficult-to-replicate services to companies      providers and travel agents would sell their offers to individual
that want to improve their access to travel inventory via on-         consumers. Then, the Internet empowered the most connected
and off-line channels. GDSs will be pressured to bring                travelers and the push model gave way to a pull model of travel
innovative solutions to the presentation of enhanced provider         distribution. Over the next several years, the travel distribution
content. However, going beyond simple search characteristics,         model will change again, and only companies that more closely
such as price and availability, is counter to the simple search       align themselves to customer’s needs and preferences are likely
orientation that makes GDS systems so efficient. GDSs are not         to succeed.
going away, but they will be reshaped over the next ten years to
more affordably meet the needs of an increasingly demanding
travel distribution community.                                                                             “Swarm”
Rudimentary remedies: The travel                                                                                 Social
                                                                                                                networks
ecosystem must learn to “play well
with others”                                                                       Travel
                                                                                                                              Media and
                                                                                                                              advertising
With a new approach to the travel distribution landscape,                        providers
members of the travel ecosystem have a unique opportunity to
lead change across the industry. No segment can operate on its                                                 Traveler
own and be successful over the next several years. Three                                                                        Online
initiatives, in particular, promise to deliver lasting benefits to           Intermediaries                                     forum

the industry and its customers. Members of the travel
ecosystem must align their selling models to match buyer                                                         On/offline
                                                                                                                 agencies
behaviors, share data to form a more complete view of
customers and collaborate in the delivery of travel services
across the entire travel value chain. Implementing these              Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis.

initiatives will create the potential to fulfill the unmet needs of
travelers for more integrated and seamless journeys.                  Figure 4: The “swarm” distribution model places the customer in the
                                                                      center of a number of potential provider and distributor interactions.
IBM Global Business Services   9




The continued proliferation of social media and the rise of the     Shared perspective – cooperation provides complete view
“permanently connected” consumer are creating a buying              of the customer
model that places customers at the center of a hive of interac-     In this new travel distribution model, companies will recognize
tions – all of which have the potential to lead to a travel         that untargeted customer interactions, or interactions not
impression, decision or purchase. This new form of customer         informed by rich information about customers, their prefer-
interaction breaks down the traditional boundaries that define      ences and their context will be not only wasted, but will be
the travel shopping and booking process and provides an             potentially damaging. Interactions with travelers should be
environment in which customers can be influenced at almost          informed by the full complement of available data about their
any time by offers, ads, and suggestions about how to spend         previous travel experiences, search objectives and shopping
their precious travel dollars.                                      preferences. Of course, the full set of necessary customer data
                                                                    that will be used to facilitate this more robust and informed
Traveler interactions must also be personalized. In our Hotels      customer interaction is not currently contained in one
2020 study, we uncovered a strong preference for personalized       company or travel provider network, so individual elements of
interaction.16 More important, we found that the companies          the travel distribution ecosystem must learn to cooperate.
that do not facilitate a personalized interaction are more likely
to be punished with harsh reviews, lower customer satisfaction      Travel providers typically have an opportunity to harvest
and limited customer loyalty.                                       traveler data that can be used to improve the delivery of service
                                                                    on the plane, at the property, on the way to the airport, etc.,
Effective personalization starts with the traveler experience       but they are generally not well positioned to understand the
online; it is not limited to interactions at the property or on     full set of services customer seek during an online travel search.
the airplane. Online shoppers have come to expect that              OTAs and traditional travel agents, on the other hand, know
companies speed the process of selecting products and services      what the customer’s full travel needs are, but are consistently
that meet their needs based on their previous shopping and          ill-equipped to know about customer preferences as the travel
buying patterns. They also expect that interactions with            experience unfolds. In other words, while each member of the
companies will occur according to terms they accept and on          travel ecosystem has unique and important data about how to
devices they most prefer. Customers should be empowered to          best serve the customer, no one party can assemble a complete
extensively customize their communication preferences and           view on its own.
opt into and out of marketing and follow-on sales efforts.17
Customers could benefit, as well, from a provider that
leverages booking pattern data and search history to distribute
only flight options departing from their home city or deliver       No single party in the travel distribution
hotel promotions for destinations included in their future
itineraries.
                                                                    ecosystem can assemble a complete view of the
                                                                    customer on its own.
10    Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma




The journey toward seamless travel
                                                                                                                  Will travelers be willing to
                                                                                                                  pay for this service?


                                                                               Will the resulting analysis        Can customers interact
                                                                               prove useful?                      with the information?


                                                     Can the data be shared?   Can the data be analyzed           Can it be delivered
                                                                               for travelers?                     efficiently?


     Does the necessary data                         Has it been stored for    Can it be integrated with          Can the analysis be
     exist?                                          reuse?                    other data?                        packaged?


Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis.


Figure 5: To enable seamless travel, information aggregation and partner coordination must become top priorities in the travel industry.




Sharing data across the travel ecosystem will enable both                      Through collaboration across the travel ecosystem, the travel
providers and distributors to improve traveler interactions.                   shopping and booking process can be integrated and made
This is not only an essential advancement for travelers, but it                more efficient for the traveler. With shared data about
will position the travel ecosystem to reverse the negativity and               customer patterns, purchases and preferences, providers and
outrage many travelers express about the current travel                        distributors can work to deliver more coordinated journeys.
experience.                                                                    Finally, by coming together in the assessment and evaluation of
                                                                               the customers they serve, travel companies can leverage the
Collaboration – leveraging the wisdom of the crowd                             wisdom of the crowd to develop more precisely targeted
Future travel distribution success turns on the ability of the                 products, promotions and offers to attract and retain
ecosystem to unite forces on behalf of the customers to deliver                customers.
not just better marketing and sales interactions, but also a
better end-to-end experience. Customers value a more                           Figure 6 offers just a taste of the world to come. Travelers will
seamless travel experience and show a willingness to compen-                   seek the services of travel providers and distribution intermedi-
sate any entity that can provide it. With technological                        aries who can deliver the end-to-end experiences they most
advances, travel agents have been removed from the travel                      desire.
process for many travelers. However, the valuable post-
booking services agents provided must be reinserted into the
travel experience for the customers who most value such
services.
IBM Global Business Services   11




                                                                                               “Upgrade” financial performance by
                                                         Better service
                                                         Avoid airport and
                                                                                               teaming with current rivals
 Quicker
 Respond to                                              hotel check-in                        In an industry defined by perceptions of commoditization
 mid-search                                                                                    among customers and intense competitive rivalry between
 recommendation                                                        Simple
                                                Great value                                    market participants, the opportunity exists for antagonists to
                                                Buy in airport
                                                                       changes
                       Easier                                          Extend hotel stay       reach common ground. They can give customers what they
                       Purchase all             deal sent to
                                                                       and air tickets
                       modes of travel          your phone                                     have been longing for: travel distribution solutions that cater
                                                                       change
                       with one click                                  effortlessly            to their unique patterns and current position in the travel
 Peace of
 mind                                                                        Fewer             process. For those travel companies that wish to define the
 Buy integrated-                                     More                    hassles           future of the industry and bring an innovative seamless
 journey control       Less stress                   efficient               Storms cause
 for $50               Use smartphone                Use line-               diversion, but
                                                                                               experience to a weary population of travelers, the future is rich
                       guide to catch a              predictor to            train takes you   with opportunity. The main obstacles to success are sharing
                       bus to the airport            avoid long              home without
                                                     security line           delay             data with partners and cooperating with rivals to augment
                                                                                               capabilities. To assess and address gaps in capabilities and begin
Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis.
                                                                                               charting a path to future success, travel executives can ask
Figure 6: Even if seamless travel did not directly increase revenue, it is                     themselves the following questions:
highly likely that the improved travel experience it affords would be a
lasting source of brand strength.



                                                                                               Question to get started
Collectively, these changes amount to a revolution in the travel
experience. With better more meaningful interactions with                                      •	 Which distribution channels are most/least effective?
travelers and with journeys that are managed across the travel                                 •	 How does your travel distribution website compare to
ecosystem, customers will enjoy an improved all-around service                                    best-in-class websites?
experience. Confederated networks of travel players can then
begin to differentiate on the basis of the quality of journeys                                 •	 How do customers view travel distribution and fulfillment?
they collectively provide. At last, price premiums will flow from                              •	 Do current segmentation schemes match current and
the features customers care most about, not from the easily                                       future needs?
replicable physical factors that garner so much attention today.
                                                                                               •	 How can partner data be used to formulate a more robust
                                                                                                  view of customers?
                                                                                               •	 What capability gaps can partners fulfill more effectively?
12   Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma




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study, please contact us at iibv@us.ibm.com. For a full catalog   At IBM, we collaborate with our clients, bringing together
of our research, visit:                                           business insight, advanced research and technology to give
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                                                                  ment. Through our integrated approach to business design and
Be among the first to receive the latest insights from the IBM    execution, we help turn strategies into action. And with
Institute for Business Value. Subscribe to IdeaWatch, our         expertise in 17 industries and global capabilities that span 170
monthly e-newsletter featuring executive reports that offer       countries, we can help clients anticipate change and profit from
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ibm.com/gbs/ideawatch/subscribe

Author
Steve Peterson is the global Travel and Transportation leader
for the IBM Institute for Business Value. He has worked as a
strategy consultant to airlines and travel companies since 1998
and has focused on operations, marketing, distribution and cost
reduction initiatives across the travel and transport sector.
Steve can be reached at steve.peterson@us.ibm.com.

Contributors
Eric Conrad, Vice President and Partner, IBM Travel and
Transportation practice.
Tore Wick, IBM Travel Related Services Segment Leader.
Greg Land, IBM Associate Partner in the Travel and Transpor-
tation practice.
Tom Liebtag, IBM Industry Marketing Manager for Travel and
Transportation.
IBM Global Business Services   13




References                                                        9	 “Air New Zealand Wins Top Marketing Award.” Air New
1	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis; the IBM-Frost &        Zealand. July 19, 2011. http://www.airnewzealand.com/
   Sullivan Global Travel Survey. January 2011 IBM. (100             press-release-2011-air-new-zealand-wins-top-marketing-
   percent of respondents to our travel survey provided              award
   information about the second website they visited in their     10	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis.
   travel planning, despite having the option to enter informa-
                                                                  11	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis, stock data from
   tion about just one website).
                                                                      Google Finance, 2011, relative performance data from
2	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on JD              Orbitz, Expedia, Priceline, American Express, Amadeaus,
   Power & Associates reports for 2010 and 2011.                      Travelport - 10-K 2008, 2010, and Sabre Holdings 10-K
3	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on IBM-            2008, 2010.
   Oxford Economics Global Travel Survey. September 2010.         12	 “Expedia Transactional Brands.” Expedia. http://www.
   (Price was the number one selection criteria for 38 percent        expediainc.com/business-Book.cfm
   of air travel customers and 57 percent for hotel customers).
                                                                  13	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on
4	Ibid.                                                               company websites for expedia and hotelpricer, webjet,
5	 “L2 Digital IQ Index: Travel.” L2. April, 26, 2011. http://        hipmunk, and dohop.
   www.l2thinktank.com/traveldigitaliq2011/traveldigi-            14	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on kayak.
   taliq2011.pdf                                                      com website.
6	 American Customer Satisfaction Index. 2011. http://www.        15	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on
   theacsi.org/                                                       concierge.com website.
7	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on “Key        16	 Peterson, Steve. Hotels 2020: The personalization paradox.
   findings from survey of air travellers” Peter D. Hart              IBM Institute for Business Value. May 2011.
   Research. The Winston Group. May, 2008.
                                                                  17	 Shaefer, Melissa. “Meeting the demands of the smarter
8	 Peterson, Steve. “Airlines 2020: Substitution and commod-          consumer.” IBM Institute for Business Value. January
   itization.” IBM Institute for Business Value. December             2010. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/bus/html/
   2010. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/                      ibv-the-smarter-consumer.html
   thoughtleadership/ibv-airlines-subsitution-commoditiza-
   tion.html; Peterson, Steve. Hotels 2020: The personaliza-
   tion paradox. IBM Insititute for Business Value. May 2011.
   http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/thoughtleader-
   ship/ibv-hotel2020.html
© Copyright IBM Corporation 2011

IBM Global Services
Route 100
Somers, NY 10589
U.S.A.

Produced in the United States of America
October 2011
All Rights Reserved

IBM, the IBM logo and ibm.com are trademarks or registered trademarks
of International Business Machines Corporation in the United States, other
countries, or both. If these and other IBM trademarked terms are marked
on their first occurrence in this information with a trademark symbol (® or
™), these symbols indicate U.S. registered or common law trademarks
owned by IBM at the time this information was published. Such trademarks
may also be registered or common law trademarks in other countries. A
current list of IBM trademarks is available on the Web at “Copyright and
trademark information” at ibm.com/legal/copytrade.shtml

Other company, product and service names may be trademarks or service
marks of others.

References in this publication to IBM products and services do not
imply that IBM intends to make them available in all countries in which
IBM operates.


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Travel 2020 the distribution dilemma according to ibm

  • 1. IBM Global Business Services Travel Executive Report IBM Institute for Business Value Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma Enhancing collaboration to enrich the traveler experience and improve profitability
  • 2. IBM Institute for Business Value IBM Global Business Services, through the IBM Institute for Business Value, develops fact-based strategic insights for senior executives around critical public and private sector issues. This executive report is based on an in-depth study by the Institute’s research team. It is part of an ongoing commitment by IBM Global Business Services to provide analysis and viewpoints that help companies realize business value. You may contact the authors or send an e-mail to iibv@us.ibm.com for more information. Additional studies from the IBM Institute for Business Value can be found at ibm.com/iibv
  • 3. Introduction By Steve Peterson At the height of the Internet revolution, the travel industry was expected to be among the greatest beneficiaries of new, low-cost, information-rich distribution opportunities. More than a decade later, however, online channels have done little but focus travelers on price. But new technologies and business models finally offer the potential for online differentiation and the provision of value-added services and features for which travelers will pay a premium. To capitalize on these developments, enhance the consumer travel experience and create opportunities for improved financial performance, the travel ecosystem must learn to “play well” with others. The travel industry has worked for decades to put the customer first. Unfortunately, the end result has often been Traditional distribution model gives way to “always on” unrealistic and unconnected traveler interaction and booking Seventy percent of travelers in our survey shop for travel processes that frequently require customers to self-assemble even when they are not planning a specific trip. In an itineraries from multiple sources. A customer interaction on an online world in which travelers are constantly connected airline website, for example, often must be followed by similar to the Internet and often receptive to information about attempts to engage with hotel, car rental or related sites.1 travel, the linear travel-buying pattern many distributors have clung to is being overtaken by an “always-on” To solve this problem, consolidated websites were created to model of travel distribution. This model places the provide customers with a single source to book multiple travel traveler at the center of a constant hive of information modes. But the resulting increase in customer convenience was exchange across the entire travel ecosystem. Travel counterbalanced by a loss of customer intimacy and personal- distributors that do not adjust their business models in ized merchandising opportunities. As a result, travelers, response to this and fail to capture customer attention frequently presented with conflicting incentives, dissimilar with personalized, meaningful content, will be poorly methods of interaction and competing business models, were positioned to succeed. largely left to fend for themselves in a confusing, time- consuming and often undifferentiated travel distribution landscape.
  • 4. 2 Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma Customer service has been further diminished by the Even travel distributors, which have fared much better than economics-driven focus of many travel executives to lower travel providers in the past decade, struggle to find their distribution costs. Automated interactions have replaced rightful place in the travel ecosystem. Financial returns are labor-intensive call centers for both suppliers and travel inconsistent among major distribution players. The competi- agencies. Unfortunately, the purchasing services provided tive environment is awash with discord between distributors through these channels were also excised, which, again, left and major travel providers seeking to lower fees or bypass travelers to manage their own cross-mode travel portfolios. distribution systems altogether. Perhaps the correlation between travel distribution cost reductions and decreasing rates of customer satisfaction is not Fortunately, this morass of competing priorities, objectives, and coincidental.2 technologies can be addressed by a dedicated commitment by the industry to put the customer first. The future of distribu- Travelers aren’t the only ones “lost at sea” in today’s distribu- tion will be defined by the success of the travel ecosystem in tion landscape. Providers also find themselves adrift by a meeting unique customer needs. Much of that battle can be distribution model that rarely casts their products and services won with more coordination among competing travel in the perfect light. Consumers already have a well-docu- providers and distributors. By sharing information about mented tendency to focus on price, but many online channels traveler preferences, the distribution community can formulate make this outcome almost inevitable by displaying few, if any, a collaborative, more complete view of customers, enhance of the features and benefits that distinguish competing online interactions and, ultimately, transform the customer options.3 Global distribution systems (GDS),such as Sabre experience. The net result promises to be an industry with Holdings and Amadeus, and the on- and off-line agencies that happier customers and more solidly positioned for healthier rely on their data, serve up only the most basic information – financial returns. price, availability, and general category of service – about flight and hotel options. This suboptimal method of selling predict- ably produces less-than-desirable results. Study methodology To understand the issues and the consumer dynamics that will shape the travel industry over the next ten years, the IBM Institute for Business Value, through its research partner Frost & Sullivan, surveyed a mix of 1,020 business and 1,030 leisure travelers from both developed and emerging economies. Once initial conclusions were derived, supplemental external research was conducted and in-depth interviews with subject-matter experts were completed to review and validate the main hypothesis and conclusions in the Travel 2020 study. Finally, IBM leveraged key findings about the travel sector from the Airline 2020 study and the Hotel 2020 study, which were completed in 2010 and 2011, respectively.
  • 5. IBM Global Business Services 3 Distribution dissatisfaction: The true price Customers of “low-cost channels” The oft-cited axiom that you get what you pay for is aptly From the perspective of every major party in the travel applied to travel distribution. In the years preceding the distribution ecosystem – providers, distributors, and, of course, Internet revolution, travelers had little choice but to visit (by customers – travel distribution is not working (see Figure 1). phone or in person) providers or travel agents to fulfill their Travel buying models are out of sync with dominant selling travel needs. Today, the Internet provides the more common models in the industry, which results in a patchwork of method of shopping and booking. In this new paradigm, competing distribution channels that consistently fail to meet travelers are forced to make selections, coordinate their travel customer expectations. plans across diverse travel modes and, ultimately, provide payment for each individual transaction on their own. While booking fees have declined over time, the disassembly of the travel agent model has also resulted in a decrease in customer The distribution dilemma services. For price-focused travelers, these changes may be a welcome development. But the extra work travelers have to do Known customer Response buying Relationship interacting to compensate for the work travel agents once performed is • Uses transaction history to • Uses transaction history inform targeted offers to interact based on multi- exacting a toll on traveler satisfaction. • Enables bundled selling mode/interaction history • Ideal for cross-mode travel • Enables brand-driven whole • Typical “push” model journey products/services The intense focus on price among many consumers has been Selling model • Emerging “swarm” model extensively reviewed and discussed. What gets slightly less attention is the deeper cause of this price fixation: a misalign- Commodity buying Reputation selling • Extreme price focus • Model based on experience, ment of value. In aggregate, 93 percent of respondents to our • General category reputation, and loyalty survey indicated that getting value for their travel expenditures Unknown customer awareness • Interaction informed by • Basic schedule, location single-mode history is important to them. At a segment level, these findings are information provided • Typical “pull” model even more pronounced. The notion of value has a relationship • Most undesirable model to price, but the two concepts are distinct. Only 47 percent of respondents to our survey said their travel expenditures were Unknown provider Known provider Buying model well-spent. In three out of five traveler segments, more than 98 percent of respondents indicated getting value for travel invest- Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis, eMarketer, March 2010, PhoCusWright, “Online Travel Overview, Ninth Edition,” November 2009, includes leisure ment is very important (see Figure 2). travel, and both managed and unmanaged business travel. Figure 1: Travel distribution in its current state is not working for providers, distributors or travelers. The disassembly of the travel agent model has resulted in a decline in both services rendered and customer satisfaction.
  • 6. 4 Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma “Getting value for my “Money spent on Percentage of respondents that say.... travel dollar is very travel is money important to me” well spent” Happily infrequents Glad to travel less than average because travel takes 62% 56% a toll Occasional luxurists Enjoy short and frequent getaways and will spend when 92% 61% necessary Unfortunately, Perpetual searchers most segments are Constantly searching for a travel deal and looking to cut 99% 13% not satisfied with costs on all trips the current travel value equation Cautious calculators Make buying decisions carefully because travel is highly 99% 82% valued Carpe deists Willing to seize an opportunity to travel with few 98% 9% advanced plans Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis, IBM-Frost & Sullivan Travel Survey March 2011. Figure 2: Diverse traveler segments share a desire to get value for their travel expenditures, but consumers are not satisfied with the prevailing value propositions in the market. Only the “occasional luxurists” segment had a majority of preferences may not be easily satisfied by travel products respondents that felt that travel money is well spent. Across developed to please the more particular desires of travelers segments, our study shows customers feel the value equation is from developed markets. skewed and that they are not getting a fair deal. Evidence of the difficulty customers have meeting their travel Other trends in the industry make the level of customer needs with the current systems, products, and services can be dissatisfaction with value even more alarming. Exploding travel found in the exorbitant amount of time customers dedicate to demand worldwide is expected to bring new travelers to the travel search. Our survey of more than 2,000 global travelers market from previously underserved populations. Though revealed that 20 percent required more than five hours to most acutely felt in growth markets in Asia and Eastern search and book travel online. This affects travelers regardless Europe, this transformational shift is certain to bring travelers of experience with the system. More than half of leisure to the entire global market. New consumers with unique travelers and nearly 40 percent of business travelers needed more than two hours to accomplish these tasks.4
  • 7. IBM Global Business Services 5 While a portion of the excessive amount of time some Providers travelers dedicate to travel search can be attributed to a simple The efficiency of booking travel on the Internet has led over inability to find what they are looking for, external assessments the past decade to a rapid decline in travel distribution costs. of travel websites suggest that few are designed for maximum But this cost revolution has not been an unmitigated success efficiency. In its annual “Digital IQ” ranking, think-tank L2 for providers. Although online travel transaction costs are determined that only 8 percent of travel websites qualified for getting closer to what economists call “frictionless pricing,” the “genius” classification, and fully 60 percent of travel travel distribution is failing to meet the needs of many travel websites were in the “average,” “challenged” or “feeble” catego- providers. ries.5 Previous IBM studies have revealed that while customers do After spending relatively large amounts of time shopping for perceive some differences in offerings, only a small number and booking travel on websites that are not as good as they are willing to pay price premiums to purchase these “differen- could be, many travelers become convinced they overpay for tiated” products. In those studies, we chastened providers to the services they purchase. In fact, across all segments in our address the challenges of undifferentiated products by altering survey, only 10 percent of respondents felt they received a the way they develop, market, and deliver products and good deal in shopping and booking their last trip. services to consumers.8 We urged the entire process be organized around more narrowly defined customer segments Surveys confirm travelers are dissatisfied. The travel industry and provided actionable suggestions for how providers can consistently ranks near the bottom of all industries in the bring this new marketing model into view. American Customer Satisfaction Index’s annual cross-industry customer satisfaction comparison.6 In 2011, hotels were ranked The challenge is that most non-provider-owned online 31st out of 47 industries, and airlines tied for last place for the channels make it all but impossible to effectively emphasize second consecutive year. the differentiated features that make provider products and service unique in the market. Online travel agencies (OTAs) In the eyes of many customers, travel has become a burden, not and other travel distribution intermediaries often depict price the relaxing, stimulating, rewarding experience to which many most prominently and display only the most basic information travel providers aspire. According to a 2010 survey of over about provider services. This encourages a customer focus on 1,000 global travelers, four of the top eight words most price and is counterproductive for providers seeking to limit associated with travel were negative – such as “frustrating,” the bottom-line effects of further travel commoditization. “unreliable,” “infuriating” and “broken.”7 Of course, some industries that face similar challenges manage to get price premiums for their products and services by employing a completely different marketing model. Air New Zealand, for example, has been recognized by the industry for In a price-focused environment, some its innovative marketing efforts, in part because it effectively companies get price premiums by employing and consistently reinforces its differentiated services with multimedia tools and through its website.9 Too many travel an innovative marketing model. providers view marketing expenditures as a mechanism to boost short-term sales, and too few see them as longer-term strategic investments that can consistently reinforce the differ- ences among available products and services.
  • 8. 6 Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma As providers begin to view marketing as a longer-term strategic investment, they will be challenged to decide which customer Average look- to-book ratio segments to “de-select” from their target investment list. Customers that place price above all other considerations will ~ 1000 looks continue to be well served by comparison-based websites that per book enable them to see the products that fit their needs at the lowest possible price. It would be a poor investment to use ~ 300 looks marketing investment to pull them away from the lowest-cost per book options. ~ 100 looks per book However, those travelers who value the differences offered by Cost savings per booking specific providers are ideal targets for investment. Customers (net IT support costs) with relatively high willingness to seek out the most conve- 2000 2005 2010 2015? 2020? nient or most luxurious travel experience regardless of price offer the most promise for providers seeking to woo customers Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis. with differentiated messages. Figure 3: Over the past decade, direct distribution has been a boon Providers wrestle with increasing “look-to-book” costs for travel providers seeking to lower travel distribution costs. Increasingly, the cost associated with maintaining company Provider websites remain an important tool for travel distribu- websites is being driven up by a network of travel intermediaries, tion. Well-developed sites help companies stand out from the whose systems and solutions increase the volume of fruitless crowded field of online travel distributors by presenting searches in online channels. content in a meaningful, engaging manner. Unfortunately, while direct distribution has many distinct advantages, such as Ironically, one of the primary drivers of the rapid increase in cost and content control, it also has frequently overlooked look-to-book ratios is the proliferation of travel distribution disadvantages. intermediaries, whose sites are designed to look at inventory through provider websites, while bypassing GDSs. Travel As providers seek to promote their differentiated offerings, providers who cannot control and limit such searches will they must also contend with escalating costs – even in those continue to be exposed to the higher costs required to support channels they own. As they have become more successful in increasing look-to-book ratios. getting customers to book travel directly on their websites, they have seen a dramatic increase in the ratio of website “hits” to completed bookings. The ten-fold increase many providers have observed in the all-important “look-to-book ratio” is costly, however. Providers must scale websites to meet this dramatically higher level of traffic, even when the revenue The proliferation of travel distribution generated through this channel is growing at a much slower intermediaries is a primary driver of rate. increased “look-to-book” ratios.
  • 9. IBM Global Business Services 7 Travel distributors example, are all companies that have emerged to fill specific Over the past decade, despite the growth in the percentage of markets perceived as underserved by the current set of market total travel purchases completed online, few distribution participants.13 companies have met their expectations for financial return. Interestingly, new travel distribution entrants are not just From the perspective of investors, only one major publicly confining their scope to the needs of narrowly defined traded online travel distribution company has met expectations segments. Several new players offer solutions they believe will over the past six years. And while that one distributor has appeal to unmet needs across broad swaths of the traveling indeed produced strong returns over that period, some analysts public. Kayak.com, for example, hopes to continue its growth question whether its business model, which targets bargain trajectory by providing more efficient and effective cross-site hunters, will flourish in periods of economic growth.10 In any and cross-mode comparisons.14 Concierge.com hopes to case, it is clear that competitors in this space have not been revolutionize trip planning by re-introducing several travel able to consistently deliver results that satisfy investors, as agent-like services in an on-and off-line format.15 these stocks have not managed to beat returns generated by the S&P 500. 11 Of course, the largest and most disruptive development in travel distribution lies not with small entrants, but with the The relative under-performance in the travel distribution potentially disruptive effect of large players from other online market continues to attract the attention of niche market domains. The full impact of Google’s ITA Software acquisition players. While many new names in the travel distribution to the travel distribution market is unknown. But the possi- space, such as Hotwire, travel-ticker, and hotels.com, are bility exists for Google to combine its extensive marketing and actually sub-brands developed by larger OTAs (all of the customer information capabilities with a low-transaction-cost aforementioned are from the Expedia family of brands), a host travel shopping and buying platform. If Google is also able to of new companies has entered the market the past several integrate such a travel offering with a mobile solution or years.12 Hotelpricer, Webjet, hipmunk, and dohop, for device, the results could revolutionize travel distribution, fulfillment, and support. The “swarm” model of distribution Twenty-eight percent of travelers start their travel search with social media, travel opinion websites and general search engines. These provider-agnostic online properties could be the battleground of travel distribution in the years to come, as more and more providers and distributors vie to pull customers away from these sites to induce purchases on their own sites. This behavioral shift will challenge the sequential nature of both the “push”’ and “pull” models of travel distribution and give way to a “swarm” model whereby travelers engage in multiple, non-sequential interactions with many distributors across all aspects of the shopping, booking and travel process.
  • 10. 8 Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma Finally the perennial pillar of the travel distribution ecosystem, Alignment – customers are becoming the center of the the GDS, is also under pressure to change. In the next decade, swarming travel “hive” GDSs may play a markedly different role in the travel distribu- While customer buying behaviors have changed significantly in tion landscape. Shaped by the competitive pressures influ- the past few years, travel distribution companies have not kept encing other travel distribution companies, GDSs will pace. In the pre-Internet era, travel distribution was largely continue to try to lock in long-term commitments with travel guided by a push model of customer interaction whereby travel providers and offer difficult-to-replicate services to companies providers and travel agents would sell their offers to individual that want to improve their access to travel inventory via on- consumers. Then, the Internet empowered the most connected and off-line channels. GDSs will be pressured to bring travelers and the push model gave way to a pull model of travel innovative solutions to the presentation of enhanced provider distribution. Over the next several years, the travel distribution content. However, going beyond simple search characteristics, model will change again, and only companies that more closely such as price and availability, is counter to the simple search align themselves to customer’s needs and preferences are likely orientation that makes GDS systems so efficient. GDSs are not to succeed. going away, but they will be reshaped over the next ten years to more affordably meet the needs of an increasingly demanding travel distribution community. “Swarm” Rudimentary remedies: The travel Social networks ecosystem must learn to “play well with others” Travel Media and advertising With a new approach to the travel distribution landscape, providers members of the travel ecosystem have a unique opportunity to lead change across the industry. No segment can operate on its Traveler own and be successful over the next several years. Three Online initiatives, in particular, promise to deliver lasting benefits to Intermediaries forum the industry and its customers. Members of the travel ecosystem must align their selling models to match buyer On/offline agencies behaviors, share data to form a more complete view of customers and collaborate in the delivery of travel services across the entire travel value chain. Implementing these Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis. initiatives will create the potential to fulfill the unmet needs of travelers for more integrated and seamless journeys. Figure 4: The “swarm” distribution model places the customer in the center of a number of potential provider and distributor interactions.
  • 11. IBM Global Business Services 9 The continued proliferation of social media and the rise of the Shared perspective – cooperation provides complete view “permanently connected” consumer are creating a buying of the customer model that places customers at the center of a hive of interac- In this new travel distribution model, companies will recognize tions – all of which have the potential to lead to a travel that untargeted customer interactions, or interactions not impression, decision or purchase. This new form of customer informed by rich information about customers, their prefer- interaction breaks down the traditional boundaries that define ences and their context will be not only wasted, but will be the travel shopping and booking process and provides an potentially damaging. Interactions with travelers should be environment in which customers can be influenced at almost informed by the full complement of available data about their any time by offers, ads, and suggestions about how to spend previous travel experiences, search objectives and shopping their precious travel dollars. preferences. Of course, the full set of necessary customer data that will be used to facilitate this more robust and informed Traveler interactions must also be personalized. In our Hotels customer interaction is not currently contained in one 2020 study, we uncovered a strong preference for personalized company or travel provider network, so individual elements of interaction.16 More important, we found that the companies the travel distribution ecosystem must learn to cooperate. that do not facilitate a personalized interaction are more likely to be punished with harsh reviews, lower customer satisfaction Travel providers typically have an opportunity to harvest and limited customer loyalty. traveler data that can be used to improve the delivery of service on the plane, at the property, on the way to the airport, etc., Effective personalization starts with the traveler experience but they are generally not well positioned to understand the online; it is not limited to interactions at the property or on full set of services customer seek during an online travel search. the airplane. Online shoppers have come to expect that OTAs and traditional travel agents, on the other hand, know companies speed the process of selecting products and services what the customer’s full travel needs are, but are consistently that meet their needs based on their previous shopping and ill-equipped to know about customer preferences as the travel buying patterns. They also expect that interactions with experience unfolds. In other words, while each member of the companies will occur according to terms they accept and on travel ecosystem has unique and important data about how to devices they most prefer. Customers should be empowered to best serve the customer, no one party can assemble a complete extensively customize their communication preferences and view on its own. opt into and out of marketing and follow-on sales efforts.17 Customers could benefit, as well, from a provider that leverages booking pattern data and search history to distribute only flight options departing from their home city or deliver No single party in the travel distribution hotel promotions for destinations included in their future itineraries. ecosystem can assemble a complete view of the customer on its own.
  • 12. 10 Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma The journey toward seamless travel Will travelers be willing to pay for this service? Will the resulting analysis Can customers interact prove useful? with the information? Can the data be shared? Can the data be analyzed Can it be delivered for travelers? efficiently? Does the necessary data Has it been stored for Can it be integrated with Can the analysis be exist? reuse? other data? packaged? Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis. Figure 5: To enable seamless travel, information aggregation and partner coordination must become top priorities in the travel industry. Sharing data across the travel ecosystem will enable both Through collaboration across the travel ecosystem, the travel providers and distributors to improve traveler interactions. shopping and booking process can be integrated and made This is not only an essential advancement for travelers, but it more efficient for the traveler. With shared data about will position the travel ecosystem to reverse the negativity and customer patterns, purchases and preferences, providers and outrage many travelers express about the current travel distributors can work to deliver more coordinated journeys. experience. Finally, by coming together in the assessment and evaluation of the customers they serve, travel companies can leverage the Collaboration – leveraging the wisdom of the crowd wisdom of the crowd to develop more precisely targeted Future travel distribution success turns on the ability of the products, promotions and offers to attract and retain ecosystem to unite forces on behalf of the customers to deliver customers. not just better marketing and sales interactions, but also a better end-to-end experience. Customers value a more Figure 6 offers just a taste of the world to come. Travelers will seamless travel experience and show a willingness to compen- seek the services of travel providers and distribution intermedi- sate any entity that can provide it. With technological aries who can deliver the end-to-end experiences they most advances, travel agents have been removed from the travel desire. process for many travelers. However, the valuable post- booking services agents provided must be reinserted into the travel experience for the customers who most value such services.
  • 13. IBM Global Business Services 11 “Upgrade” financial performance by Better service Avoid airport and teaming with current rivals Quicker Respond to hotel check-in In an industry defined by perceptions of commoditization mid-search among customers and intense competitive rivalry between recommendation Simple Great value market participants, the opportunity exists for antagonists to Buy in airport changes Easier Extend hotel stay reach common ground. They can give customers what they Purchase all deal sent to and air tickets modes of travel your phone have been longing for: travel distribution solutions that cater change with one click effortlessly to their unique patterns and current position in the travel Peace of mind Fewer process. For those travel companies that wish to define the Buy integrated- More hassles future of the industry and bring an innovative seamless journey control Less stress efficient Storms cause for $50 Use smartphone Use line- diversion, but experience to a weary population of travelers, the future is rich guide to catch a predictor to train takes you with opportunity. The main obstacles to success are sharing bus to the airport avoid long home without security line delay data with partners and cooperating with rivals to augment capabilities. To assess and address gaps in capabilities and begin Source: IBM Institute for Business Value analysis. charting a path to future success, travel executives can ask Figure 6: Even if seamless travel did not directly increase revenue, it is themselves the following questions: highly likely that the improved travel experience it affords would be a lasting source of brand strength. Question to get started Collectively, these changes amount to a revolution in the travel experience. With better more meaningful interactions with • Which distribution channels are most/least effective? travelers and with journeys that are managed across the travel • How does your travel distribution website compare to ecosystem, customers will enjoy an improved all-around service best-in-class websites? experience. Confederated networks of travel players can then begin to differentiate on the basis of the quality of journeys • How do customers view travel distribution and fulfillment? they collectively provide. At last, price premiums will flow from • Do current segmentation schemes match current and the features customers care most about, not from the easily future needs? replicable physical factors that garner so much attention today. • How can partner data be used to formulate a more robust view of customers? • What capability gaps can partners fulfill more effectively?
  • 14. 12 Travel 2020: The distribution dilemma To learn more about this IBM Institute for Business Value The right partner for a changing world study, please contact us at iibv@us.ibm.com. For a full catalog At IBM, we collaborate with our clients, bringing together of our research, visit: business insight, advanced research and technology to give ibm.com/iibv them a distinct advantage in today’s rapidly changing environ- ment. Through our integrated approach to business design and Be among the first to receive the latest insights from the IBM execution, we help turn strategies into action. And with Institute for Business Value. Subscribe to IdeaWatch, our expertise in 17 industries and global capabilities that span 170 monthly e-newsletter featuring executive reports that offer countries, we can help clients anticipate change and profit from strategic insights and recommendations based on IBV research: new opportunities. ibm.com/gbs/ideawatch/subscribe Author Steve Peterson is the global Travel and Transportation leader for the IBM Institute for Business Value. He has worked as a strategy consultant to airlines and travel companies since 1998 and has focused on operations, marketing, distribution and cost reduction initiatives across the travel and transport sector. Steve can be reached at steve.peterson@us.ibm.com. Contributors Eric Conrad, Vice President and Partner, IBM Travel and Transportation practice. Tore Wick, IBM Travel Related Services Segment Leader. Greg Land, IBM Associate Partner in the Travel and Transpor- tation practice. Tom Liebtag, IBM Industry Marketing Manager for Travel and Transportation.
  • 15. IBM Global Business Services 13 References 9 “Air New Zealand Wins Top Marketing Award.” Air New 1 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis; the IBM-Frost & Zealand. July 19, 2011. http://www.airnewzealand.com/ Sullivan Global Travel Survey. January 2011 IBM. (100 press-release-2011-air-new-zealand-wins-top-marketing- percent of respondents to our travel survey provided award information about the second website they visited in their 10 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis. travel planning, despite having the option to enter informa- 11 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis, stock data from tion about just one website). Google Finance, 2011, relative performance data from 2 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on JD Orbitz, Expedia, Priceline, American Express, Amadeaus, Power & Associates reports for 2010 and 2011. Travelport - 10-K 2008, 2010, and Sabre Holdings 10-K 3 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on IBM- 2008, 2010. Oxford Economics Global Travel Survey. September 2010. 12 “Expedia Transactional Brands.” Expedia. http://www. (Price was the number one selection criteria for 38 percent expediainc.com/business-Book.cfm of air travel customers and 57 percent for hotel customers). 13 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on 4 Ibid. company websites for expedia and hotelpricer, webjet, 5 “L2 Digital IQ Index: Travel.” L2. April, 26, 2011. http:// hipmunk, and dohop. www.l2thinktank.com/traveldigitaliq2011/traveldigi- 14 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on kayak. taliq2011.pdf com website. 6 American Customer Satisfaction Index. 2011. http://www. 15 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on theacsi.org/ concierge.com website. 7 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on “Key 16 Peterson, Steve. Hotels 2020: The personalization paradox. findings from survey of air travellers” Peter D. Hart IBM Institute for Business Value. May 2011. Research. The Winston Group. May, 2008. 17 Shaefer, Melissa. “Meeting the demands of the smarter 8 Peterson, Steve. “Airlines 2020: Substitution and commod- consumer.” IBM Institute for Business Value. January itization.” IBM Institute for Business Value. December 2010. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/bus/html/ 2010. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/ ibv-the-smarter-consumer.html thoughtleadership/ibv-airlines-subsitution-commoditiza- tion.html; Peterson, Steve. Hotels 2020: The personaliza- tion paradox. IBM Insititute for Business Value. May 2011. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/thoughtleader- ship/ibv-hotel2020.html
  • 16. © Copyright IBM Corporation 2011 IBM Global Services Route 100 Somers, NY 10589 U.S.A. Produced in the United States of America October 2011 All Rights Reserved IBM, the IBM logo and ibm.com are trademarks or registered trademarks of International Business Machines Corporation in the United States, other countries, or both. If these and other IBM trademarked terms are marked on their first occurrence in this information with a trademark symbol (® or ™), these symbols indicate U.S. registered or common law trademarks owned by IBM at the time this information was published. Such trademarks may also be registered or common law trademarks in other countries. A current list of IBM trademarks is available on the Web at “Copyright and trademark information” at ibm.com/legal/copytrade.shtml Other company, product and service names may be trademarks or service marks of others. References in this publication to IBM products and services do not imply that IBM intends to make them available in all countries in which IBM operates. Please Recycle GBE03445-USEN-02